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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
Basel III has increased focus on The ability to measure and cross sell
maintaining core liquidity and leverage products has become increasingly
ratios with pressure on reducing short- important to a company’s ability to
term funding, holding more liquid assets, remain competitive, while best servicing
raising long-term wholesale funding, all bank customers with an eye on capital
while reducing leverage both on and off returns.
balance sheet.
5.The emergence of Fintech companies
2.Capital is scarce creates a disruptive marketplace
The effect of Basel III has resulted The African financial services market is
in fundamental shifts in product expected to be one of the most receptive
profitability. Structured derivatives and FinTech markets globally, opening the
long dated transactions pre-crisis & Basel door to disruption across the end to
3 in many cases are now a drag on ROE. end investment banking value chain.
This has resulted in the shift towards Blockchain is rapidly seen as changing the
the creation of non-core divisions to face of cross-border lending activity.
dispose of unprofitable transactions &
6.Outdated, inflexible physical
portfolios. Commoditised exchanged
infrastructure restricts movement
traded OTC products has resulted in
and growth in the current digital age
a fundamental change in margins and
capital management. The traditional infrastructure of banks
(both physical and technical) has proven
3.Pressure on costs as suboptimal ROE
to be inflexible to change and this
bites
renders their ability to survive “as is”
Investment banks face significant in a disruptive marketplace potentially
pressure to reduce their cost base as unlikely.
regulation has bitten. Industry experts
predict only 5 to 6 investment banks
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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
Annual global investment in the FinTech investment, the Canadian Central Bank
industry has grown by a factor of 6.5 announcing it is working with the country’s
multiples in the past 5 years, representing largest banks to develop an electronic
a compounded annual growth rate of 45%. version of the Canadian dollar and the
Goldman Sachs, Citi and Santander were Bank of England’s intent to use Blockchain
the most active investors among the large and a digital central bank currency to widen
banks. Central banks have also entered access to its real-time gross settlement
the fray with the Singaporean central bank system (RTGS), which processes £500bn
funding a Blockchain-based record-keeping worth of transactions each day.
system as part of a five-year $225m
775
701
$14.40
553
440
$7.30
319
$3.00
$2.50
$2.20
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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
• Volume driven profitability (rather • Independent pricing vendors are set • Optimising Collateral
than margin driven) to be used by all financial institutions
The increased cost of capital has resulted
Margin driven products and profitability As competition in the financial institutions in the need to optimise collateral assets
are set to make way for volume drive landscape continues to strengthen, and obligations. Increased sophistication
operations as the competitive landscape independent pricing vendors forcing with the use of algorithmic methodology
continues to develop transparency and equilibrium are set to with haircuts, concentration requirements
be key and eligibility are major considerations
• Major focus on cross sell of products
with eye on capital returns • Confluence of Disruptors • Service Centres of the future
Financial institutions will continue to Blockchain is forcing Financial Services Increased use of robotics will result in a
develop their need to ensure effective transactions can be digitised and securely significant shift in size and structure of
cross-selling of products and services to distributed – will impact F2B lending, current service centres run by financial
maximise capital returns Syndication & Trade Finance insititutions leading to greater efficiencies
and improved control enviroment
• Compensation subject to balanced • Bitcoin Stability Risk
independence risk score-cards • Standard Initial Margin Model for
Financial Stability Oversight Committee
assessment Non-Cleared Derivitives
has warned that like most new
In years past, excessive risk-taking was technologies certain risks & operational The push to develop and implement
driven by the potential for excessively vulnerabilities with such systems until they a standardised methodology for OTC
large rewards, this is set to be a thing of are deployed at scale. Dramatic increases derivitives not settled through clearing
the past driven mainly by the expected in transaction delays & failures as new houses eliminating collateral disputes in a
increase in use of developed independent Bitcoin transactions exceed the speed market of 170th % national value
risk score-cards assessment for financial they can be added to the Blockchain
• European Stress Testing Lessons for
institution leadership
• New Digital Currency to clear & settle Africa
• Continuing development of trades
While the EBA’s stress testing results for
regulations such as Twin Peaks will
Four of the world’s largest banks combine European Banks was largely positive it
force transparency
resources to develop a new form of stressed emphasis on the need for strong
Regulations such as Twin Peaks digital currency to clear & settle financial CET1 capital to avoid additional capital
encourages transparency and enhances transactions which is estimated to cost the raising
the integrity of the banking market by industry $65bln to $80bln annually. Based
placing equal importance on market and on Blockchain technology to speed up
prudential conduct supervision settlement & freeing up billions of pounds
of capital by creating utility bitcoin that
• Structured derivatives are set to
are directly convertible into cash at central
become the domain of a small
banks, cutting the time and cost of post-
number of investment banks
trade settlement and clearing.
Structured product’s ability to offer
• The continued evolution of FinTech
customised exposure, including to
means flexibility becomes crucial to
otherwise hard-to-reach asset classes and
survival
subclasses, are set to make structured
products important as a complement to Understanding, regulating and maximising
these other traditional components of the benefit of FinTech is set to be a
diversified portfolios critical means of not only success, but
also survival in the investment banking
• Financial engineering requirements
landscape of the future
become a vital part of any successful
banking structure • Intelligent Risk Culture
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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
Deloitte Digital
We help clients reimagine how profits are
generated, and how relationships with your
customers are created and managed. We
reshape how work gets done, and rewire Strategy & Risk and
the competitive fabric of entire industries. Innovation Analytics
That’s the power of driving disruption.
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Current and prospective industry challenges, changes, disruptions
Contacts
Mark Arnold
Director: Financial Services Institution
Deloitte Consulting
+27 72 853 1691
markarnold@deloitte.co.za
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