PSVM Subsea Operations - Technical Note

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Risk Review of FPSO Marine Monitoring Sensor Failures

Author: Digitally signed by Date:
lorne.gifford lorne.gifford@uk.bp.com
DN:
Lorne Gifford (A1) 10 April 2013 (A1) Doc: ANG-B31-OSS-TEC-0047
@uk.bp.com
cn=lorne.gifford@uk.bp.com
Date: 2013.05.01 11:13:29
Lorne Gifford (A2) +01'00' 01 May 2013 (A2)
Approved: Date:
Alvaro Da Costa (A1) 10 April 2013 (A1) Revision: A2
Neil Kitney (A2) 01 May 2013 (A2)

Introduction

This document presents an analysis of the flat lined pitch and heave sensors on the marine monitoring system and the
inaccurate wave height sensor in relation to overall integrity monitoring of the subsea system and in particular the dynamic
flexibles and umbilicals.

Rev A2 is updated to include revised consequences of gas riser failure that take account of gas plume modeling
conducted for Greater Plutonio.

Risk Summary

Risk
Risk Title Risk Owner Scenario - Risk Event Location Cause
Type/Group
Excessive heave, pitch or
Loss of dynamic FPSO
Loss of Lorne wave height results in Overstress &
flexible fluid directly
containment Gifford overstress and failure of accelerated fatigue
containment below turret
dynamic flexibles

Existing Barriers & Mitigations

Barriers - Existing Control Measures

Existing Mitigation Measures
Plant Process People
Flexibles have been
With Alert system sensors not working
Flexibles are designed for 100yr pressure tested. Periodic
Marine crew the only mitigation is direct reporting of
return period and for various annulus vent testing is
URF Team severe environmental conditions from
broken mooring line scenarios performed to verify
the Marine Supervisor
integrity

Current Risk

 Risk assessed is loss of fluid containment from ruptured flexible. Flexible is assumed to become overstressed or
damaged by excessive heave, pitch or wave height which is not detected and leads to rapid deterioration and failure.
Environmental event needs to exceed 100 year return conditions and there has to be no reporting to the URF Team
of the event occurring. Probability = 1e-5 to 1e-4; one step right of standard design risk. Likelihood score is 3.
 Safety consequence from rupture of high pressure gas line or gas escape from production line under packing
conditions is loss of 10+ lives = C
 Worst case environmental consequence is failure of a production flexible, resulting in an oil spill of several hundred
barrels = F
 Worst case Non-Financial impact is international media coverage for an oil spill or loss of life. = D
 Worst case financial impact is also loss of FPSO plus risers, but not subsea infrastructure = C

Likelihood Impact A-H HSSE Risk Business Risk

Non-
1 to 8 Safety Enviro Financial 1 to 15 1 to 15
Financial

3 C F D C 8 8

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Action Plan

Additional Risk Reduction Measures (including deliverables) Action Owner Completion Date

Re-instigate wave height measurement and Alert setting to advise of high waves Lorne Gifford

Re-instigate pitch and heave height measurement and Alert settings to advise of high
Lorne Gifford
turret movements

Risk After Action Plan Completed

 Likelihood reduced to 1e-6 to 1e-5 per year. This is the typical probability based on correct design and suitable
safeguards for over design risk mitigation. Likelihood score = 2
 Consequences remain the same as before

Likelihood Impact A-H HSSE Risk Business Risk

Non-
1 to 8 Safety Enviro Financial 1 to 15 1 to 15
Financial

2 C F D C 7 7

Anomaly Description

FPSO Bow Heave and Pitch sensors appear to be inoperative and giving flat line readings.

Bow heave – appears to be flat lined:

Pitch (green line) – also appears to be flat lined:

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This leaves just the Bow Wave Height as being available for determination of the dynamic movement of the bow and
hence the movement of the dynamic flexibles and the umbilicals.

However, the Bow Wave Height sensor is giving unrealistic wave height readings, having twice recorded 12m waves in
the first 3 months of 2013:

The maximum wave/swell height for the 100 year return environmental conditions is 7m and discussion with Marine
Superintendent on FPSO indicates no cases of high waves have been noted:

From: PSVM Marine Superintendent

Sent: 09 April 2013 08:24
To: Gifford, Lorne C. (Orion Engineering)
Subject: RE: Wave heights

Hi Lorne,

Grant has gone on leave, but I have had a look at these since I got back.

We have no record of adverse weather on those days and were operating flights, boats as usual. I have passed the information on to
the Telecoms guys but they are unaware of any faults in their system. I have asked why we are not getting information on bow heave
and pitch and am awaiting their response.

Certainly, we have not had any 12m waves!

Brgds,

Cian Timmons
Marine Superintendent

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FPSO PSVM
From: Gifford, Lorne C. (Orion Engineering)
Sent: 05 April 2013 10:55
To: PSVM Marine Superintendent
Cc: Fox, Alistair; Kitney, Neil
Subject: Wave heights

Hi Grant

I've been reviewing the readings from the environmental metocean sensors since Jan 1st and have attached a couple of Processnet
graphs showing sensor output.

Two things are sticking out from these:

1) we appear to have had 2 incidents where a wave height of over 12m has been recorded
2) there are flat lines for bow heave and FPSO pitch

Any thoughts on these? The 12 m wave height is incidentally way above what we expect for 100 year return periods. Unfortunately
though with flat lines for bow heave and vessel pitch it's difficult to see if these might have been correct readings.

thanks

Lorne

Conclusions

 Instigate remediation of sensors to functionality so that Risk-Consequence returns to the underlying enduring value

Outstanding actions

 Instigate a plan to have sensors returned to functionality

 This technical note to be updated once Sensors are functional again
 This technical note to be updated if additional information received on the high wave height readings

Anomaly Action Plan

 Instigate a plan to have sensors returned to functionality

Contacts

For further information, please contact:

Name: Lorne Gifford,
Title: Subsea Engineer,
Phone: +44(0)7976159943; Email: Lorne.Gifford@uk.bp.com

References

none

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Appendix – Risk Map

100+ fatalities Widespread damage to environment which Public or investor outrage on a global scale.
A remains unsatisfactory for > 5 years. Threat of global loss of license to operate. >$20 billion

50+ fatalities Extensive damage to environment which Loss of license to operate a major asset in a $5 billion - $20
B remains unsatisfactory for > 5 years major market – US, EU, Russia. billion

10+ fatalities Extensive damage to environment which Loss of license to operate other material
$1 billion - $5
C can be restored to satisfactory in < 5 years asset, or severe enforcement action against
billion
a major asset in a major market.

3+ fatalities or Extensive damage to environment which Prolonged adverse national or international

30+ injuries can be restored to an equivalent capability media attention. $100 m to $1
D billion
in around 1 year Widespread adverse social impact.

1+ fatalities or Localized damage to environment which can Short term adverse national or international
E 10+ injuries be restored to an equivalent capability in media coverage. $5m -$100 m
around 1 year Relationship damage with key stakeholders

2+ DAFWC Localized damage to environment which Prolonged local media coverage.

can be restored to an equivalent capability Local adverse social impact. $500k-$5m
F in a period of months.

1 DAFWC Immediate area damage to environment Short term local media coverage.
$50k -
G which can be restored to an equivalent Some disruption to local operations $500k
capability in a period of months.
First aid Immediate area damage to environment and Isolated and short term complaints from
H which can be restored to an equivalent neighbours <$50k
capability in a period of days

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