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ABSTRACT permeability variations in predicting tion curve is obtained. This curve may
A method is presented for predicting the performance of water floods in de- then be likened to a "smoothed" per-
the performance of water flooding oper- pleted reservoirs. meability profile of the formation.
ations in depleted, or nearly depleted, In making comparison between dif-
PERMEABILITY AND ferent distribution curves it is conveni-
petroleum reservoirs. The method makes
use of permeability variations and the
CAPACITY DISTRIBUTION ent to state the permeabilities in terms
vertical distribution of productive ca· It is generally agreed by most investi- of the ratio of the actual permeability
pacity. From these two parameters can gators that in a single phase system values to the average permeability of
be calculated the produced water cut fluid will flow in a porous and perme- the formation. These ratios termed
versus the oil recovery. Derivations of able medium in proportion to the per- "dimensionless permeabilities", are
the mathematical analogy is shown and meability of the medium. used in this paper rather than the per-
sample calculations and curves of pre- Producing formations are usually meabilities in terms of millidarcys.
diction are presented. Comparison is highly irregular in permeability, both The capacity distribution curve is a
made of the predicted and actual per- vertically and horizontally. However, plot of the cumulative capacity (start-
formance of a typical 5-spot in an Illi- zones of higher or lower· permeability ing with the highest permeabilities)
nois water flood. are often found to exhibit lateral con- versus the cumulative thickness. The
tinuity. Thus, while structurally com- capacity and thickness are given as
INTRODUCTION parable stringers in adjacent wells may fractions of the total capacity and thick-
The use of water as a flooding me- differ several fold in permeability val- ness. Mathematically, the capacity dis-
dium in both depleted and "flush" oil ues, they usually bear resemblance as tribution is the intergration of the
res~rvoirs is gaining greater recognition being part of a general continuous high· permeability distribution curve.
and acceptance. Many of the shallower er or lower permeability section. It is In practice it is convenient to first
fields, depleted by primary production, generally agreed that where such strati- obtain the capacity distribution curve
have been and are being subjected to fication of permeability exists, injected and derive from it a smoothed dimen-
water injection in order to obtain some water sweeps first the zones of higher sionaless permeability curve.
part of the large volume of oil remain- permeability, and it is in these zones The method of obtaining the capacity
ing after primary production. Some of that "break-through" fir:st occurs in the distribution curve is illustrated in the
the earlier water flood installation producing well. It is a basic assump- successive column of Table 1, in which
proved highly discouraging and the tion of the presently described method capacity and thickness are derived as
value of water flooding was often ques- that penetration of a water front fol- fractions of their respective totals. If
tioned. Many of these earlier floods lows the individual permeability varia- only a small number of permeability
were haphazardly selected and devel- tions as if such variations were con- values are available, it is generally de-
oped as little was known of the physi· tinuous from input to producing well. sirable to smooth the resultant curve.
cal characteristics and contents of the This is admittedly not rigorously true, This has been done to give the capacity
producing formations. The prior evalu- but can be justified as making possible distribution curve shown in Figure 1.
ation of the flood performance was a simplifying mathematical approach to The differentiation of the capacity
impossible. an otherwise extremely complicated distribution curve to obtain the perme-
During the past decade the develop- three dimensional flow problem. ability distribution curve is shown in
ment of the required reservoir engi- As a basis for study of the lateral Table 2. Here, the capacity values are
neering tools-core analysis, reservoir flow of fluids in formations of irregular read from the smoothed curve at inter-
fluid analysis, electric logs, fluid flow permeability, the irregularities may be vals of cumulative thickness, and the
formulae, etc.-has allowed the engi- conveniently represented by a perme- increments of capacity are divided by
neer to construct and apply the meth- ability distribution curve and a capac- the increments of thickness to obtain
ods which are presently being used to ity distribution curve. In obtaining the dimensionless permeability, K'. Due
evaluate the economic and mechanical these curves, the permeability values, to this stepwise procedure of calcula-
susceptibility of a reservoir to flooding. regardless of their structural position in tion these premeability values must be
This discussion will present a method the formation, are rearranged in order plotted at the midpoints of the succes-
for taking into account the effect of of decreasing permeability. sive increments of thickness. The curve
If these permeability values so ar- 00 obtained from these data is shown
Manuscript received at office of the Divi.
sion September 30. 1948. Paper presented at ranged are plotted against the cumula- in Figure 1. The total area under the
Division Fall Meeting, Dallas, Texas, Oct. 4-6. tive thickness, a permeability distribu- K' curve is equal to unity.
19.J.~.
I.
13
14
16
17
.4483
.4828
.5172
.5517
.5852
159
148
127
109
88
.031
.029
.025
.021
.017
.772
.801
.826
.847
.854
(I-C) ( ~o) (-~)
18 87 .017 .881 Rate of total fluid production=
+)
.6207
19 .5552 87 .017 .898
~:w ) ~:o )(
20 .6897 77 .015 .913
21 .7241 71 .014 .927
22 .7585 62 .012 .939 C( + ( l-C )(
23 .7931 58 .011 .950
24 .8275 54 .011 .961 Thus, water cut=
25 .8621 50 .010 .971
25 .8956 47 .009 .980
27 .9310 47 .009 .989
28 .9555 35 .007 .995
29 1.0000 15 .004 1.000
--
(~:w ) ~)
• 5,075
C +( I-C )( K:: )(
permeability K', also:
c(~:w . ~ro .u)
Derivation of Water Cut
and Recovery Equations Y=l-(W+X) =l-C, and
The derivation of the water cut and X=feXae=K'h
the recovery equations is based on two
principal assumptions: (I) fluid flow
Areas X and Y represent the portion
of the formation from which oil has
C(~:w . ~o .u)+( I-C)
is linear and (2) the distance of pene- been displaced by the encroaching Assigning the term A to
tration of the flood front is proportional
to permeability.
water. The oil recovery expressed as a
fraction of the total flood able forma·
.~.u)
Kro
With these assumptions, a cross sec- tion is then:
X+Y K'h+(l-C) Water Cut
tion of the flood front would show Recovery CA+(I-C)
penetration proportional to the perme- X+Y+Z K' The water cut is expressed as a frac-
ability distribution. At the time when In the producing well, it has been as· tion, the ratio of the water production
all permeabilities greater than a given sumed that all permeabilities greater rate to the total fluid production rate.
value, K', have "broken through" to 10.0 1.0
~
water at the producing well, a schematic
diagram of the water penetration would
9.0
I t--r .9
v+_,~_
be as shown in Figure 2.
In the diagram of Figure 2, the in-
take well exposed to water injection is 80
/ _.-- .8
represented by the line ab and the pro-
ducing well by line cd. The rectangle ~ 7.0
I // i I .7
·u'"'
0
a.
:c 0
abed represents the floodable volume of 0
/ I u
I
I
!
I
I
I
i
I
I
.6 2
0
'0
c:
5.0 5 ~
The curve gfb represents the water C'" I I
... u
/
0
I
front and the enclosed area agfba is
.. ~
!
V
I
-L-1-~
Since dimensionless permeability is a '"'
used, the area under this curve is equal \ I
I
u
0
a.
XI
-l<; 3.0 t---- .3 0
to unity. i '-'
I
Area abed =X+Y+Z=1 i '-'
-7 ~'""---
I
2.0 .2
=floodable formation= I
abXfe=abXK' j-....
I !
I
1.0 .1
Area agfba=W+X +Y=l
~ t---r--W
Since the capacity distribution curve ~ J
0.0 0.0
is the integration of the permeability 0.0 .2 .3 .4 .5 .6 .7 .8 .9 1.0
curve, W+X=C=capacity correspond- h - Cumulative thickness' fraction
ing to the formation thickness hand FIG. 1 - PERMEABILITY AND CAPACITY DISTRIBUTION.
cut have been determined they may be 'A- Krw ~ _ .20 4.34 Xl 073=1 42
- Kro X fJ,W X V - .80 X . 8 2 · .
applied to the previously obtained water
cut versus recovery data to convert to
recovery in terms of barrels. These COMPARISON OF ACTUAL LIMITATIONS
data and the assumed water injection AND PREDICTED BEHAVIOR The limitations of the above method
rate furnish the necessary information The presently described method of of calculating water flood behavior
for determining the time behavior of taking into account the variations in should be pointed out. In particular,
the flood unit. Illustrated in Table 5 permeability has been used in a num- this method should not be applied
are the stepwise calculations for deter- ber of engineering studies of water where there is present a gas zone or
mining the cumulative oil recovery, oil flood projects. Figure 4 shows a com- water zone immediately above or below
rate, and cumulative water injected parison of the predicted and the actual the oil zone under consideration. In
versus time. recovery versus water cut relationship this event there would be by-passing of
From these basic results and other in one of these earlier projects which the oil zone by injected water, or there
derived information, such as total in- has now progressed sufficiently to make would be coning and the oil recovery
jection water requirements and time to possible such comparison. The behavior to any given water cut would be less
reach economic limit, can be deter- of this project, a Benoist Sand flood in than the calculated recovery. However,
mined the economic feasibility of a Illinois, was calculated by the above in the case of gas or water zones of
water flood project. method prior to the start of injection. known permeability certain modifica-
100 tions can be made in the basic equa-
90 /"
V tions to adjust for those conditions.
The water cut recovery curve should
not be interpreted as a prediction of
I
80
I
-- ---- ---
1/ the behavior of any individual well,
since structural consideration may make
individual recoveries greater or less
iI
..
C
70
i
1/
/ I
I
than the calculated value. Instead, the
water cut recovery curve must be con-
..
~ I
/ I
I
sidered an average relationship for an
entire field assuming a uniformly spaced
1/ 1
0- 60
I I I flood is established therein. The water
I-
I
cut-recovery relationships should be
~
<> i I
50 ,
I based on the permeability and capac-
iI
0::
W
l-
e( 40
I
/ 1 I
ity distribution of a large number of
permeability measurements from many
~
V i
i
wells in the area to be flooded.
This method does not take into ac-
30 count all factors which may influenc~
20
II
V I
I
!
the production history, such as the
presence of gas or water zones, dis-
/
tance from fluid contacts, rate of pro-
duction, structural position of the indi-
10 vidual wells, lateral versus upward en-
o
o 10
/ 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
croachment, shape of field, spacing pat-
tern effect, etc. As more data and ex-
perience is obtained the effect of these
factors will be better understood. In
OIL RECOVERY: Percent
FIG. 3 - CALCULATED WATER CUT VS. RECOVERY
TABLE 5
Predicted Performance of 5-Spot at 100 Rbis/Day Injection Rate
Cumulative
Recovery; Fraction
I Cumulative
Recovery; .6. Recovery;
Water cut;
Fraction
Average
Water cut;
Average Oil
Rate; bbl,!day
Days to Produce
.6. Recovery at
Cumulative
Days after
Cumulative
Water Injected;
I
01 Total Barrels Barrels Fraction ~ l00(1-W) Average Oil Rate Fill-up Barrels
-- I -----~
·Total recoverable oil in 5-,pot~l00 aere-Ieet X 501 bbl,!ac-It. X 85% coverage~42,585 bbl,.
0 ACKNOWLEDGMENT
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 The author wishes to acknowledge
OIL RECOVERY; Percent the assistar,ce given in the preparation
FIG. 4 - COMPARISON OF PREDICTED AND ACTUAL FLOOD PERFORMANCE. of this paper by Dr. Frank C. Kelton,
Core Laboratories, Inc., whose original
work serves as a basis for the methods
outlined.