SECI / ISTS / 1200MW

Wind Solar Hybrid Storage

VIMAL JEYASEELAN
 Draft 1
Amendment
Project Info (SECI / ISTS / 1200MW Hybrid Storage)
Customer: SECI • Peak Supply : 6-9am (± 30min), 6-12pm (± 30min) (any 2+4 hrs. within
• Contract Capacity (MW) : 50 (min), 300 (Max) 9hrs. slot)
• Hybrid pattern : 75-25 (min) • Off peak : Remaining hrs.
• ESS Size (MWh) : Contract Capacity /2 • Tariff : INR 2.77 2.88/kWh
• Peak power : 50% of contract cap for 6 hrs. • Peak : Reverse Auction
• Capacity Uti. factor (CUF)(%) : >40 35%/MW of contract (0-10yrs) • Fluctuation (RE) : +10 to -15% from 0-10 years
: >34 29.75%/MW of contract (11- : +10 to -20% from 11-25 years
25yrs) • Pooling substation : 33 220 KV

120
Hybrid RE 100MW
100
+10%
Capacity (MW)

80 Load -15% Annual

60

40 -15% Monthly -15%

Contract Capacity (MW)
20

0 ESS Capacity (Cont. Cap/2)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30
Time Slot
Design Approach
1. Renewable hybrid Analysis
• Hybrid Ratios and AEP
2. Simulate Grid Profile and energy storage
3. Energy deviation at peak and off-peak
4. Grid Evacuation Profile
5. Energy Storage system design
• Simulate charge – discharge pattern
• Degradation and life cycle
6. Financials
1. Hybrid Ratios / AEP (MW)
• Contract Capacity of Plant (MW) : 200 Annual Energy Production (AEP) = Wind + Solar

• Energy storage Capacity (MWh) : 200 CUF = Energy Injected / Contract Capacity

• Simulate multiple combination of wind –solar to achieve best annual = 679794 / 200 MW

energy production (AEP) CUF = 38.8%

Template data: Site in Maharashtra

1 Source % Capacity Source % Capacity AEP

2 75 225 25 75 679794

3 70 210 30 90 673805

4 60 180 40 120 661828

Wind Solar
5 50 150 50 150 649851

6 40 120 60 180 637873

7 30 90 70 210 625895
2. Grid Profile / Energy Storage
Source of Energy
Wind MW AC 225
Solar MW AC 75

Grid Peak MW AC 100

ESS MWh AC 200

Under injection Over injection

 Energy (MW)
Deviation

150
200

0
100

-50
50

-150
-100

100
120

-80
-60
-40
0

-100
20
40
60
80
1

-20 0
145
289
433
577
721
865
1009
1153
1297
1441
1585
1729

50
1873
2017
2161
2305
2449
2593
2737
2881
3025
3169
3313
3457
100 3601
3745
3889
4033
4177
4321
4465
Time (Hr)

4609
Time (hr)
3. Energy Dev (peak/off-peak)

4753
4897
5041
5185
150

5329
5473
5617
5761
5905
Deviations (225MW Wind,75MW Solar, 200MWh ESS)

6049
6193
6337
6481
6625
6769
6913
200

7057
7201
7345
7489
Deviation

7633
7777
7921
8065
during high wind season

8209
Grid

8353
Positive deviation happens only

8497
8641
250
 Energy (MW/hr)

100
150
200
250
300

0
50
1
141
281
421
561
701
841
981
1121
1261
1401
1541
1681
1821
1961
2101
2241
2381
2521
2661
2801
2941
3081
3221
3361
3501
3641
4. Grid evacuation profile

3781
3921
4061
4201
4341
4481
Hourly

4621
4761
4901
5041
5181
Grid Profile (225MW Wind,75MW Solar, 200MWh ESS)

5321
5461
5601
5741
5881
6021
6161
year

6301
6441
6581
6721
6861
7001
7141
7281
7421
7561
7701
(100MW for 3+3 hours)}

7841
7981
Contract / Evacuation Cap

8121
8261
8401
Energy injection profile over a

{including Peak supply of power

8541
8681
 So, which is your right ESS sizing 100MWh or
5. ESS Design 200MWh?
Well, Both.
• Identify suitable model / design for <15% energy
shortfall during peak hours 100MWh is sufficient to cover 85% of your
peak requirements for 70% Wind 30% Solar
690000 90 hybrid to avoid any penalties.

Energy Shortfall (%) @ Peak

Peak Power 100 MW ESS 100MWh
680000 80
ESS 200MWh
670000 70 BUT…
ESS 300 MWh
660000 AEP - Hybrid 60
AEP (MW)

650000 50 Peak Power (MW) 100

640000 40 Shortfall
ESS Shortfall (%) ESS Shortfall (%) ESS
(%)
630000 30 300 2.1 200 4.8 100 14
2.4 6 14.5
620000 20
2.9 8.3 19.7
610000 10 3 10.7 23
4 15.3 29.4
600000 0 13.1 28.3 36
75 70 60 50 40 30
Wind Capacity (%)
5.a. ESS Degradation
Effect of SoC (%), temp (oC) and DoD (%) are main
parameters for capacity fade analysis

Cycle life, O&M and replacement costs are to be calculated

for 25 years to estimate LCOE
Challenges??
• This analysis is done from one-year wind and solar data
• While solar do not have much fluctuations in terms of Annual energy generation compared to wind
• Wind data varies as much as 30% over 10 years
• As this analysis best suited for wind sites, you are challenged for energy shortfall
• Degradation of Energy storage systems are very much dependant of the above scenario

How to Mitigate
• Energy Shortfall – one may shift energy from non-peak to peak hours to save penalty
• Increase your plant size by 20% in next couple of years to manage shortfall
• Tool design and Sizing of ESS systems
• Model an ESS degradation real-time systems that can help optimising lifetime of ESS plant,
replacements, O&M etc.
6. Financials
Assumptions
Solar Plant cost / MW : ₹ Market Rate
Wind Plant Cost /MW : ₹ Market Rate
ESS Cost / MWh : $350,000
ESS Replacement time : every 7 years
Others
GST : 18%
O&M : 1-1.5%
Discount Rate : 13%

This model works fine with all assumptions and

well below awarded tariff Tariff

Peak- off peak

LCOE
cost

Plant 200 Rs./kWh Rs./kWh

Peak 438000 4.94

Normal 383250 2.88 3.98

Thank You