PROBABILITY OF SIMPLE EVENTS

I. OBJECTIVES
At the end of the discussion, the students will be able to:
A. Identify the sample space and the total possible outcomes of the probability
experiment
B. Find the probability of a simple event
C. Appreciate the value of winning or losing in a game

II. SUBJECT MATTER

Topic: Probability of Simple Event
References: Grade 8 Mathematics Learner’s Module
https://math.tutorvista.com/statistics/simple-event.html?view=simple
https://www.google.com/imghp?hl=en
Materials: Box, powerpoint presentation, laptop, projector, visual aids, group
activity sheet, cartolina, whiteboard marker, chalk and Board,

III. LEARNING EXPERIENCES

TEACHER’S ACTIVITY STUDENT’S ACTIVITY

A. DAILY ROUTINE

May I request everyone to stand up and start
our day with a prayer. (Student’s name), please
lead the prayer.
Dear Heavenly Father, thank you for
this day. May you pour out wisdom,
knowledge and understanding as we
start learning today. In Jesus name we
pray, Amen.

Good morning class. Good morning, Ma’am Santos!

Before you take your seat, please pick up the (Students will pick up pieces of trash
pieces of trash under your chair and also and arrange chair properly)
arrange your chair.

(Class secretary’s name), who are the absent No one is absent today, Ma’am.
today?

Let me remind you our classroom rules.

1. Raise your hand if you want to answer.
2. No using of cell phones unless I told you
to use it.
3. Respect each other.

What are you going to do with these rules? Obey and follow, Ma’am.

Very good! You must obey and follow.

B. MOTIVATION
“What is in the Box?”

I have here a box and inside these are different

flavor/color of choco mucho; 5 violet, 4 yellow, 3
red, 2 blue and 1 black. I will call five students to
pick one choco mucho inside these box but first,
he/ she will have to guess what color of choco Five students will volunteer and
mucho is he/she holding before he/ she remove perform the activity.
his/ her hand inside the box. If he/ she guess it
right, he/ she can get it as his/ her prize.

What did you get? I got _______.

Those students who got the prizes, you may
share it with your friends. Those chocolates will
boost your mood and mind therefore I am
expecting everyone to participate on our class
discussion

C. ACTIVITY

Before we proceed to our proper lesson, let’s

have first an activity. Who wants to have an Everybody will raise their hands.
activity class?

That’s great!
Are you familiar with the game rock-paper- Yes, Ma’am!
scissors class?

(The students find their partner)

Trial 1st round 2nd round 3rd round
Student
A
Student
B
Find a partner and let’s play rock-paper- scissors.

You have three rounds to play and record your

result on the activity sheet that I will give you.
Write W if you win and L if you lose.
Are you now ready class? Do you have a partner All: Yes, Ma’am
already?
(The students perform the activity
1, 2, 3 go “bato2x pick! and record the result.)

(After 3 rounds)

Thank you, you may now go back to your seats.

D. ANALYSIS

1. How do you find your activity? Is it interesting? It’s fun and interesting.

2. How many times did you win or lose the game? Student 1: I lost 2 times ma’am
Student 2: I won 2 times ma’am
Student 3: I lost 3 times ma’am

3. How do you feel about the activity? About We learned to accept losing and
winning or losing? winning in a game.
(Answers my vary)

In life, there are lots of chances or possibility of

winning and losing. Those possibilities are related
to our topic for today.

Are you ready to listen? Yes, Ma’am!

 E. ABSTRACTION

Our topic for today is Probability of Simple events.

Let us first define probability and simple events.

What comes into your mind when you hear the Student 1:Possibilities that something
word probability? will happen, Ma’am
Student 2: Chances
Very good!
Thank for sharing your idea.

It’s about how possible things can happen.

By full definition,

Probability – is a numerical description on or

between 0 and 1 of how likely an event is to
occur. The more likely an event is to occur, the
higher its probability. The less likely an event is
to occur, the lower its probability.

Simple event – it is an event which has a single

outcome.

number of favorable outcomes n( E)

P( E)= =
total number of possible outcomes n(S )

For example is the warm up activity we had.

I have here a box and inside these are different
color of chocomuchos; 5 violet, 4 yellow, 3 red, 2
blue and 1 black. What is the probability of getting
a red chocomucho?

How many red chocomuchos are there?

There are 3 red chocomuchos.
That’s right! That means there are 3 favorable
outcomes.

How many choco muchos are there in total?

Correct! That means the total number of possible 5 violet + 4 yellow + 3 red + blue + 1
outcome is 15. black= 15
There are 15 choco muchos.
If the probability can be solve as the number of
favorable outcomes over the total number of
possible outcomes then what is the probability of
getting a red choco mucho?

Excellent! 6
It is .
6 15
The probability of getting a choco mucho is .
15

Let’s have another example.

In playing en poy, you either win or lose. Find the
probability of winning in one round.

How many times can you win?

What does it mean?

One time only.
How many are the possible outcomes?
What are those? There is only one favorable outcome.

Then, what is the probability of winning or losing There are two possible outcomes.
in one round? Those are winning or losing.

We can also say that the probability of winning or The probability of winning or losing in
losing in one round is 0.50 or 50% because 1
one round is .
probability can be expressed as fraction, percent 2
or decimal.

Did all of you understand it?

Do you have any questions?

Great! Yes, Ma’am.

Let’s proceed to our group activity.
No, Ma’am.
A. APPLICATION

The class will be divide into five groups.

Each group have assigned problem to solve.
They need to find the probability in different
subject areas that is given. Each group is
required to make a yell and after they finish their
task, each group will present their yell and that is
the sign that they are done. (Students will go to their respective
groups)

Group 1: Twisters
The longest known Filipino word in a
dictionary is “Pinakanakapagpapabagabag-
damdamin” which means the most emotionally
disturbing (or upsetting) thing. What is the The word
probability of this word on having vowels? “Pinakanakapagpapabagabag-
damdamin” has 32 letters .
There are 14 vowels

Favorable outcomes (vowels):

14 vowels
Possible outcomes:
32 letters

number of favorable outcomes 14 7

P ( E )= = = ∨0.43
total number of possible outcomes 32 16

Therefore, the probability of the word

“Pinakanakapagpapabagabag-
damdamin” on having vowels is
7
∨0.4375.
16

Group 2: Febfair
Favorable outcomes:
Next month, there will be a February fair in
(1)Ferris wheel
UPLB. Many people went there and tried the
There is only one favorable outcomes.
rides. There are Ferris wheel, Caterpillar, and
Anchor’s away and Flying fiesta? What is the
Possible outcomes:
probability that each person ride in Ferris wheel?
(1) Ferris wheel
(2) Caterpillar
(3) Anchor’s away
 (4) Flying fiesta
The total possible outcomes is 4.

number of favorable outcomes 1

P( E)= =
total number of possible outcomes 4
Therefore, the probability that each
1
person ride in Ferris wheel is ∨0.25.
4

Favorable outcomes:
Group 3: Historians We had 2 female former Presidents.
The Philippines had sixteen presidents.
From the first who become a president was Possible outcomes:
General Emilio Aguinaldo and up to our current The Philippines had 16 Presidents.
President Rodrigo Duterte. What is the
probability that we had female presidents? number of favorable outcomes 2 1
P ( E )= = = ∨0.125
total number of possible outcomes 16 8
Therefore, the probability that we had
1
female Presidents is ∨0.125.
8

Favorable outcomes:
There is no 7 in a die therefore the
favorable outcome is 0.

Possible outcomes:
Group 4: Die
(1) 1 dot
In rolling a die, what is the probability of getting a
(2) 2 dots
7?
(3) 3 dot
(4) 4 dots
(5) 5 dots
(6) 6 dots
The total possible outcomes is 6.
number of favorable outcomes 0
P( E)= =
total number of possible outcomes 6
It is not possible to get 7 in rolling a
die. Therefore, the probability of getting
a 7 in rolling a die is 0.

Favorable outcomes:
(1) 1 dot
(2) 2 dots
(3) 3 dot
Group 5: Die (4) 4 dots
In rolling a die, what is the probability of getting a (5) 5 dots
number less than 7? (6) 6 dots
There are 6 favorable outcomes.

Possible outcomes:
(1) 1 dot
(2) 2 dots
(3) 3 dot
(4) 4 dots
(5) 5 dots
(6) 6 dots
The total possible outcomes is 6.
 number of favorable outcomes 6
P( E)= =
total number of possible outcomes 6

Any you get when you roll a die is less

than 7. Therefore, the probability of
6
getting a number less than 7 is or 1.
6

(Student’s will answer the given

problem on a paper )

5 1
1.a . = ∨0.2
10 5
B. ASSESMENT 0
b. ∨0.
10
Find the probability of the following events. Write
your solution and answer on a piece of paper.
1. A jar contains 3 red, 5 yellow, and 2 blue
marbles. If a marble is picked at random 6 3
from the box, what is the probability that a 2. a. 20 = 10 ∨0.3
marble picked is a; 14 7
b. Yellow b. = ∨0.7
20 10
c. Green
2. Math club has 6 female and 14 male
members. If they choose their president from
the members, what is the probability of 1
choosing a; 3. =0.5
2
a. Female as president
b. Male as a president
3. A woman is about to give birth. What is the
probability of having a baby girl?

C. ASSIGNMENT
Research about Theoretical and
Experimental Probability. Give examples for each.

Rubrics for the Group Activity

 CRITERIA OUTSTANDING SATISFACTORY DEVELOPING BEGINNING
4 3 2 1
It shows in- It shows It shows some It shows no
depth understanding of understanding understanding
USE OF understanding required of the required of the problem,
MATHEMATICAL of the required mathematical mathematical perhaps only
CONCEPTS Mathematical knowledge. knowledge. re-copying the
knowledge in given data.
probability.
100% of the Almost all (85 - Most (75-84%) More than 75%
steps and 89%) of the steps of the steps
solutions have of the steps and and and solutions
ACCURACY
no Mathematical solutions have no solutions have have
errors. Mathematical no Mathematical
errors. Mathematical errors.
errors.
All members are Members have Only few All members do
on tasks and defined members do not know their
have defined responsibilities the tasks. tasks and have
TEAMWORK
responsibilities most of the time. no defined
at all times. responsibilities.

The group The group The group The group

finishes on time finishes on time does not finish does not finish
TIME with complete with incomplete on time with on time with
MANAGEMENT solution and solution and incomplete wrong solution
answer. answer. solution and and answer.
answer.
There is a There is a clear There is an There is no
complete, clear explanation of the incomplete explanation of
and effective solution and explanation; it the solution.
explanation of answer.They is not clearly The
the solution and perform their yell represented. explanation
answer. They with some energy They do not cannot be
perform their and effort. Some have energy understood, or
PRESENTATION yell with full of members are in and effort to is unrelated to
energy and the timing and perform their the task. They
effort. All have coordination yell. Some have yell but
members are in and clarity of members do they did not
the timing and voice. not cooperate present it.
coordination and and does not
they have clarity have clarity of
of voice. voice.