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The term ,operations research , was first coined in 1940by McClosky and Trefthen in a
small town Bowdsey , of the United Kingdom. This new science came to existence in military
context. During world war II, military management called on scientists from various
disciplines and organized them into teams to assist in solving strategic and tactical problems,
i.e., to discuss,evolveand suggest ways and means to improve the execution of various
military projects .By their joint efforts,experience and deliberations ,they suggested certain
approaches that showed remarkable progress. This new approach to systematic and scientific
study of the operations of the system was called the Operations Research or Operational
Research.(abbreviated as O.R.)
O.R. IN INDIA
In India, operations research came into existence in 1949 with the opening of an O.R.
unit at the regional research laboratory at Hyderabad. At the same time another group was set
up in defence science laboratory which devoted itself to the problems of store ,purchase and
planning .in 1953, an O.R. unit was established in the Indian statistical institute ,Calcutta ,for
the application of O.R. methods in national planning and survey .O.R. society of India was
formed in 1957. It became a member of international federation of O.R. societies in 1959. The
first conference of O.R. society of India was held in Delhi in 1959.it was also decided to start
journals of operations research, which took a practical shape in 1963 in form of
‘OPSEARCH’. In the same year, India along with Japan became a member of international
federation of operational research societies (IFORS)with headquarters in London .
MODELS IN O.R.
A model in O.R. is a simplified representation of an operation or a process in which
only the basic aspects or the most important features of a typical problem under investigation
are considered . Constructing a model aids inputting the complexities and possible
uncertainties attending a decision making problem,into a logical framework amenable to
comprehensive analysis. Such a model clarifies the decision alternatives ,their anticipated
effects ,indicate the relevant data for analysis the alternatives ,and leads to informative
conclusions.
CLASSIFICATION OF MODEL
Although the classification of models is a subjective problem. They may be
distinguished as follows :
These models are based on the past data/information of the problems under
consideration and can be categorised into (a)language models (b) case studies.
MODELS BY FUNCTION
DISCRIPTIVE MODELS
These models describe ,explain ,predict facts and relationships among the various activities
of the problem. These are used to describe mathematically some particular aspects of the
system being modelled. These models do not have an objective the system being modeled.
These models do not have an objective function as apart of the model to evaluate decision
alternatives. Thus, in a descriptive model it is possible to get information as to how one or
more factors charge as a result of changes in other factors.
PREDICTIVE MODELS
These model indicates that “if this occurs then that will follow ” .they relate
independent and dependent variables and permit trying out ,’what if ’ questions. In other
words ,these models are used to predict the outcomes due to a given set of the alternatives for
the problem. These models do not have an objective function as a part of the model to
evaluate decision alternatives.
These models provide the “best” or “optimal” soloution to the problems subject to
limitation on the use of resources. These models provide recommended courses of action. For
example , in mathematical programming ,models are formulated for optimizing the given
objective function ,subject to certain restrictions and non negativity of the decision variables.
MODELS BY STRUCTURE
These models are represented (a) IconicModels, (b) Analogue Models, and
(c) Symbolic Models.
ICONIC MODELS
Iconic model retains some of the physical properties and characteristics of the system
they represent. An iconic model is either in an idealized form of or a scaled scale version of
the system . In the other words ,such models represent the system as it is by scaling it up or
down.
Examples of iconic models are blue prints of a home , globes ,photographs , drawing, atom
etc.
Iconic models are easy to observe , build and describe but difficult to manipulate and not
very useful for the predictions. Commonly these models represent a static event.
ANALOGUE MODELS
Analogue models are more abstract then iconic ones for there is no ‘look- alike’
correspondence between these models and real life items. They are built by utilizing one set of
properties to represent another set of properties. For instance a network of pipes through
which water is running could be used as a parallel for understanding a distribution of electric
current. Graphs and maps parallel in various colors are analogue models, in which different
color correspond to different characteristics. A floe process chart is analogue model which
represents the order of occurrence of various events to make a product .
These models are more abstract in nature. They employ asset of mathematical symbols
to represent the components of the real system. These models are more general and precise.
DETERMINISTIC MODELS:
If all the parameters, constants and functional relationships are assumed to be known with
certainity when decision is made ,then the model is said to be deterministic. Thus in such a
case ,the outcome associated with particular course of action is known. That is for a specific
set of input values there is uniquely determined output which represents the solution of the
model under conditions of certainity . linear programming models are example of
deterministic models.
Models in which atleast one parameters or decision variables is a random variable are
called probabilistic models. These models reflect ,to some extent the complexity of the real
world and the uncertainty surrounding it.
These models can be categorised into (a) specific models (b) general models.
SPECIFIC MODELS:
GENERAL MODELS:
Simulation and heuristic models fall under general models. These models are mainly
used to explore alternative strategies which have been overlooked previously. These models
do not yield any optimum solution to the problem , but give a solution to the problem
depending on the assumptions based on the past experience.
The systematic methodology developed for operations research study deals with
problems involving conflicting multiple objectives ,policies and alternatives. O.R. in the final
analysis is a scientific methodology which is applied to the study of operations of large
complex organisation and activities with a view to assessing the overall implications of
various alternative courses of action , thus providing an improved basis for managerial
decision.
Then O.R. approach to problem solving consists of the following six steps:
1. Formulation of the problem: It involves analysis of the physical system, setting up of
objectives, determination of restriction constraints against which decision should be
adopted,alternative courses of action and measurement of effectiveness.
2. Construction of a mathematical model: after formulation of the problem , the next step
is to express all the relevant variables of the problem into a mathematical model.a
generalized mathematical model might take the form:
E = f( xi , yj )
3. Deriving the solution from the model : once the mathematical model is formulated , the
next step is to determine the values of the decision variables that optimize the given
objective function. This deals with the mathematical calculations for obtaining the
solution to the model.
4. Validity of the model : the model should be validated to measure its accuracy. That is in
the order for a model to be useful , the degree to which it actually represents the system or
problem being modeled must be established. A model is valid or accurate if (a) it
contains all the objectives, constraints, and the decision variables relevant to the problem,
(b) the objectives , constraints, and the decision variables are all relevant to ,or the
actually part of the problem, and (c) the functional relationships are valid.
5. Establishing control over the solution : After testing the model and its solution, the next
step of the study is to establish control over the solution ,by proper feedback of the
information on the variables which deviated significantly. As soon as one or more of the
control variables change significantly , the solution goes out of the control in such as
situation the model may accordingly be modified.
6. Implementation of the final results: Finally, the tested result of the model are
implemented to work. This would basically involve a careful explanation of the solution to
be adopted and its relationship with the operating realities. This stage of O.R. investigation
is executed primarily through the cooperation of both the O.R. experts and those who are
responsible for managing and operating the system.
The scientific method in operations research consists of the following three phases:
Research phase: this phase is the largest and longest among the other two. However other
two also equally important as they provide basis for a scientific method. This phase utilizes
(i) observations and data collection for better understanding of what the problem is
(ii) formulation of hypothesis and models (iii) observation and experiment to test the
hypothesis on the basis of additional data (iv) analysis of the available information and
verification of the hypothesis using pre established measures of effectiveness (v) predictions
of the various results from the hypothesis , and (vi) generalization of the results and
consideration of alternative methods.
Action phase : This phase consist of making recommendations for decision process by those
who first posed the problem for consideration, or by anyone in a position to make a decision
influencing the operation in which the problem occurred .
Some of the industrial /government / business problems which can be analyzed by O.R.
approach have been functional area wise as follows :
Marketing
(a) Product selection , timing ,competitive actions.
(b) Advertising media with respect to time and cost.
(c) Number of salesman, frequency of calling of accounts etc.
(d) Effectiveness of marketing research.
Physical distribution
(a) Location and size of warehouses, distribution centres, retail outlets etc.
(b) Distribution policy.
Personnel
(a) Forcasting the manpower requirement, recruitment policies and assignment jobs.
(b) Selection of suitable personnel with due consideration of age and skills, etc.
(c) Determination of optimum number of persons for each centre.
Production
(a) Scheduling and sequencing the production run by proper allocation of machines.
(b) Calculating the optimum product mix.
(c) Selection location and design of the sites for the production plant.
(i) Optimum use of production factors: linear programming techniques indicate how a
manager can most effectively employ his production factors by more efficiently
selecting and distributing these elements.
(ii) Improved quality of decision : the computation table gives a clear picture of
happenings within the basic restriction and the possibilities of compound behaviour
of the elements involved in the problems. The effect on the profitability due to
changes in the production pattern will be clearly indicated in the table .e.g.,simplex
table.
(iii) Preparations of future managers: these methods substitute a means for improving a
knowledge and skills of your manager.
(iv) Modification of mathematical solution: O.R. presents a possible practical solution
when one exist, but it is always a responsibility of the manager to accept or modify
the solution before its use. The effects of these modifications may be evaluated from
the computational steps and tables.
(v) Alternative solution : O.R. techniques will suggest all the alternative solution
available for the same profit so that the management may decide on the basis of its
strategies.
(a) Magnitude of computation: O.R. tries to find out the optimal solution taking all the
factors into account. In the modern society , these factors are numerous and expressing
them in quantity and establishing relationship among these , requires huge calculations.
All these calculations cannot be handled manually and require electronic computers
which bear a very heavy cost. Thus the use of O.R. is limited to only very large
organizations.
(b) Absence of qualification: O.R. provides solution only when all the elements related to a
problem can be quantified. The tangible factors such as product, price, etc., can be
expressed in terms of quantity , but intangible factors such as human relations etc.
cannot be quantified. Thus these intangible elements of the problem are excluded from
the study, though these might be equal or more important than quantifiable intangible
factors as far as possible.
(c) Distance between managers and operations research: O.R. being specialist job,
requires a mathematician or a statistician, who might not be aware of business problems.
Similarly a manager may fail to understand the complex working of O.R. Thus, there is
a gap between one who provides the solution and one who uses a solution. Thus, the
manager who becomes suspicious about the optimal solution. This problem is mainly of
training. Both the persons should have a working knowledge of each others job to have
better understanding of insights of the problem and its optimal solution.
(iii) Objective. Operational Research attempts to find the best or optimal solution to
the problem under consideration. To do this, it is necessary to define a measure of
effectiveness that takes into account the goals (objective) of the organization. In
other words “Operational Research is the scientific study of large systems with a
view to identify problem areas and provide the managers with a quantitative basis
for decisions which will enhance their effectiveness in achieving the specified
objectives.”
(i) Objective probability, and (ii) Subjective probability. The objective probability is a
probability for which there is a definite historical evidence and common experience.
On the other hand, the subjective probability is a probability where historical evidence
is not available and the businessman has to rely on own estimation of a situation and the
likelihood of various outcomes.
The probability of any given action must be between 0 and 1 and the sum of all these
probabilities must be 1. If the probability is ‘0’ to an occurrence, it will not take place and in
the case the probability is 1 to an occurrence, it is certain that the occurrence will take place.
The basic premise of decision theory is that the behavior of the future is probabilistic
and not deterministic. Various probabilities are assigned to the state of nature on the basis of
available information or subjective judgement and the likely outcomes of the alternative
courses of action are evaluated accordingly before a particular alternative is selected.
This technique of decision making is based on expected monetary value and utility. By
analyzing the monetary value of utility from a given set of circumstances, a model is
constructed and accordingly decisions are taken. It is a well-known fact that the environment
within which decisions are taken can be logically divided into three parts: certainty, risk and
uncertainty. Certainty exists when one can specify exactly what will happen when during the
period for which the decision is being made. Risk refers to a situation where one can specify a
probability distribution for the possible outcomes. Uncertainty refers to the condition when
one cannot specify the relative likelihood of the outcomes. Although some business decision
can be made under condition nearing certainty, elements of risk and uncertainty underline
most of the decisions which mangers make.
(a) The Simplex Method. This aims at maximizing or minimizing a given function,
subject to constraints in respect of each variable.
(b) The Transportation Problem. This deals with problems of matching the origins
(stores, warehouse, and factories) with the outlets (process centre, market e.t.c.) at
a minimum cost of distribution and transportation.
(c) The Assignment Problem. It can handle the problems of assigning a given number
of agents each one to the same number of tasks so as to result in maximum
efficiency or minimum cost.
4. Dynamic Programming. This technique deals with the problems that arise
in connection with multiperiod analysis and decisions. In contrast to Linear
Programming there does not exist a standard mathematical formulation of Dynamic
Programming, rather it is a general type of approach to problem solving and particular
equation must be developed to fit each individual situation. However, the basic
approach used in Dynamic programming is to break down a problem into series of
problems in such a way that answer to the first sub problem can be used in deriving
the solution to the next sub-problem and so forth finally giving solution to the whole
problem.
The first decision namely – how much to order at one time, is to be balanced between
two pressures – the first pressure is to order huge lots so as to minimize ordering costs and the
other pressure is order small lots so as to minimize carrying costs. The optimum course of
action is a compromise between the two extremes. Arriving at a model for deriving the
economic order quantity (E.O.Q) can do this.
The second decision namely – when to order this quantity, is decided by ascertaining
the re-ordering level. The re-ordering level is the point lying between the maximum and the
minimum levels at which time it is essential to intimate the purchase department for fresh
supplies of the material. This point will usually be slightly higher than the minimum stock, to
cover such emergencies as abnormal usage of material or unexpected delay in delivery of
fresh supplies. Re-ordering level depends upon lead-time, rate of consumption and economic
ordering quantity.
11. Replacement Theory. This theory suggested the determination of the time
when items of plant should be replaced. The replacement of items is necessary
because the efficiency of an item deteriorates with time, or sometimes the item may
fail completely. Replacement, on the one hand, requires investment, on the other,
saves operating cost which otherwise is more while using old parts. Thus, a problem
arises when the part should be replaced so that cost is minimum. The replacement
problems arises in three conditions:
(i) Replacements of item that fail completely and are expensive to be replaced.
(ii) Replacement of items whose efficiency deteriorates with time: and
(iii) Replacement of items because of obsolescence.
(iii) Goal programming. Goal programming deals with the problems having
multiple objectives. It is a technique quite similar to linear programming.
Applications include production scheduling, transportation problems, portfolio
analysis and crop selection in agriculture.
(iv) Heuristic programming also known as discovery method refers to step by step
search towards an optimal when a problem cannot be expressed in
mathematical programming form. The search procedure examines
successively a series of combinations that lead to stepwise improvement in the
solution and the search stops when near optimal has been found.
14. Markov Analysis. The Markov analysis is a method of analyzing the current
movement of some variables in an effort to predict the future movement of the same
variable. Russian mathematician, A. Markov developed this analysis, early in the 20th
century. As a management tool, the Markov analysis has been used in the last few
years mainly as a marketing aid for examining and predicting the behavior of the
consumer in terms of their brand loyalty and their switching from one brand to
another. A full treatment of the application of Markov analysis to managerial decision
making would require an extensive background in mathematics. This technique,
however, can be most favorably applie
MARKETING
These activities include the decisions and actions of buyers and sellers in a market, or a
situation in which there is a transfer of goods and services. In a broader terms, Marketing relates to business
activities through which human needs and wants are satisfied. The Marketing concept is considered the
satisfaction of customers needs while meeting the objectives of the organization. Marketing involves
gathering information from customers and potential customers to identify the wants and needs of specific
groups of customers, then developing the product to satisfy those needs. Other crucial aspect of Marketing
are creating a distribution system that effectively gets the company’s products to its customers and
developing strategies for communicating information to customers about what the company offers.
These four elements:- product, price, promotion and place constitute the
marketing mix. They are sometimes refered to as the “four P’s of Marketing”. The
appropriate Marketing mix varies with the market targeted.
MARKETING STRATEGY
All four elements of the Marketing mix are closely related in formulating
the Marketing strategy.
Marketing planning involves establishing objectives for marketing activity, determining
and scheduling the steps necessary to achieve the objectives, and then allocating the
necessary resources.
Marketing strategy includes the activities of finding a competitive advantage, planning
for the company’s growth, analyzing the company’s portfolio and allocating the
company’s resources.
Marketing control involves a careful monitoring of the results of the Marketing plan to
ensure that the plan is achieving the objectives that were set and that it is cost-effective.
FACTS OF MARKETING
These are diverse facts of Marketing, but the tasks of Marketing remain the
same: to understand the customer, know who is involved in making a purchase decision,
and then develop a Marketing mix- product, price, distribution system, and
communication- that will satisfy those customers.
CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
This simple definition contains a number of important concepts. First, note the inclusion in the definition of the
word “exchange”. Consumer is inevitably at the one end of an exchange process in which resources are
transferred between two parties. For example, an exchange takes place between a doctor and a patient: the
physician trades medical services for money. Other resources- such as feelings, information, and status- may also
be exchanged between the parties. Exchange process as a fundamental element of Consumer Behavior.
Exchanges occur between Consumers and Firms. Again looking at the definition the term “buying units” rather
than consumers. This is because purchases may be made by groups as well as individuals. In fact, an important
study area for Consumer researchers is organizational buying behavior.
ACQUISITION PHASE
Researchers analyze the factors that influence consumer’s product and service choices. Indeed, most of the
researchers has focused on the Acquisition phase. One factor associated with the search for and selection of
goods and services is product symbolism- i.e., people often acquire a product to express to others certain ideas
and meanings they have about themselves
.
CONSUMPTION PHASE
Consumption phase researchers analyze how Consumers actually use a product or service and the experience
they obtain from such use. The consumption experience is extremely important for service industry. In some
industries, such as restaurants, amusement parks, and rock concert promotions, the consumption experience is the
reason for purchase.
DISPOSITION PHASE
Disposition phase refers to what Consumers do with a product once they have finished using it. In addition, it
addresses Consumer satisfaction levels after purchasing a good or service. When Consumers have unrealistic
expectations of a product, they are unlikely to realize anticipated outcomes, and they will probably be highly
dissatisfied.
Consumer Behavior is a young discipline. It incorporates theories and concepts from all behavioral sciences, so
that when studying the Acquisition, Consumption, & Disposition of products, services, and ideas, one has to
explore the discipline of Marketing, Psychology, Sociology, Anthropology, Demography, and Economics.
WHY STUDY CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR?
Understanding Consumers and consumption process brings a number of benefits, among them the
ability to assist managers in their decision making, provide marketing researchers with a knowledge base from
which to analyze Consumers, help legislators and regulators create laws and regulations concerning the purchase
and sale of goods and services, and assist the average Consumer in making better purchase decisions. Moreover,
studying Consumer Behavior will enhance your understanding of psychological, sociological, and economic
factors that influence all human behavior.
TYPES OF BUYERS
Buyer Behavior is a complex topic precisely because it deals with people. People are complex, unpredictable,
and at times even irrational. They are also unique. No two buying situations are exactly alike because the buyers
are not exactly alike. Yet all buyer behavior is goal oriented; people are trying to satisfy particular needs when
they purchase and consume products and services. It is marketers task to recognize the needs of the particular
buyer and attempt to satisfy them. In every buying situation, the actual decision to buy is made by a decision-
making-unit(DMU). There are three basic DMUs, this classification is based on the process of buyer behavior,
not on the products consumed:
Individual consumers:- The decision to buy is made by the individual, and the purchase is used to satisfy a
personal need. Many buying decisions are made, and many products are consumed by an individual consumer.
Households:- Many times, a product is used by, and perhaps purchased by, a group of consumers who form a
Household. Example is a family meal.
Organizations:- Businesses, Governments, and Nonprofit Organizations are all formal Organizations. DMUs in
organizations are composed of a number of members with different roles to play.
ROLES OF BUYERS
While individual consumers make buying decisions for themselves, the purchase of households and
organizations are the results of group decision-making-processes by DMU. The role of buyers is that of :-
o Initiator
o Purchaser
o Decision maker
o Influencer
o Gatekeeper
The initiator recognizes the need for a purchase and puts the rest of the buying process in motion. Someone
actually performs the activities of purchasing the product. However the question comes “Is the purchaser also the
decision maker?” often they are not the same, in the decision making the entire DMU may be involved while the
purchase is done by only one person. Also the purchaser may have been requested by another household member
to make a purchase so there may be influencer for the purchase. A gatekeeper is a person who controls a flow of
information, there by controlling whether or not a potential customer hears about a product. This role can be
especially critical in the organizational setting.
The buyer decision
The understanding buyer behavior is the keystone to developing successful Marketing strategies; marketing
managers must have a clear understanding of the process by which buying decisions are made, whether by
individual consumers, by households, or by organizations. The steps in the buyer decision process:-
Problem recognition, information search, evaluation of alternatives, purchase decision, and postpurchase
evaluation.
Problem Recognition
Information Search
Evaluation of Alternatives
Purchase Decision
Post purchase Evaluation
PROBLEM RECOGNITION
Consumer Behavior is rarely aimless. It is goal-oriented Behavior, even though the goals may not
be explicit to the buyer. Its objective is to contribute to the maintenance or improvement of the Consumer’s
quality of life. Consequently, there must be some stimulus that initiates the buyer decision process. The most
productive way for a marketer to look at this stimulus is as a “Consumer Problem”. A problem is Consumer’s
need or want. In broader terms, it is anything that makes it more difficult or impossible for a buyer to achieve
some objective. Consumers recognize a problem in a number of ways. Some of the common ways are:
o A currently used product or brand isn’t performing properly.
o A buyer wants to do something but can’t find a product that will do it.
o A buyer hears about or sees a product that seems to have features superior to the one
currently used.
o It is hard to find or purchase a preferred product.
o The buyer is running out of a product that is generally kept on hand.
It is important to look at Consumer problems from the standpoint of the marketer. Can the company make a
product that will solve this problem for a sizeable segment of Consumers? Even if there is no perceived need for
a new product, can it produce one that solves the problem better.
INFORMATION SEARCH
If the problem is a stimulus that leads the buyer to engage in the decision process, the next step the
buyer is likely to take is to begin to search for and accumulate information. It is easy for marketers to assume that
Consumers want to acquire a great deal of information. After all, marketers reason, Consumers will make better
decision if they have all relevant information. In fact, buyers may not make better decisions when they have large
amounts of information. Usually, however, Consumer does not seem to acquire enough information to cause
confusion. In some cases, little or no information search took place even though the purchase seemed
“important”-it was being purchased for the first time, it was expensive, or a lot of choices were available. These
characteristics suggest when the purchase is somewhat risky; information is obtained to reduce risk. when little
risk is present, it is not surprising that buyers do not spend large amounts of time acquiring product-related
information. Other factors that affect the amount of information search include the availability of information
and such variables as experience, time and financial resources available, education, occupation, age, and beliefs
about market place.
Sources of information
There are two major sources of information available to buyers- the mass media, and personal sources.
The mass media:- the mass media are all around us-from billboards to magazines to radio and television-and
carry advertising. The “average” American has the opportunity to be exposed to hundreds, if not thousands, of
ads on any given day. The mass media provide the greater quantity of information. The sheer volume of mass
media advertising has produced “clutter”, or the existence of large numbers of commercial messages, which
makes it difficult for any one communication to receive significant attention that would lead consumers to recall
it and to take intended action.
Personal sources:- Buyers perceive information from personal sources as being credible. Persons whose opinions
are highly valued and frequently sought out are called opinion leaders or influentials. They tend to be outgoing
individuals who are knowledgeable about the product and who like to try new things. The personal sources
generally provide the higher quality, or more credible, information.
Methods of information search
Buyers have a variety of ways they can go about acquiring information. The search can be internal versus
external or active versus passive.
Internal search versus External search:- Internal search involves retrieving information from the individual’s own
memory. This is obviously a quick and easy way to search for information and is usually the first kind of search.
If it is satisfactory, the search may stop there. The less the buyer knows about the product, the more he or she
may use External search. The External search covers the mass media or personal sources discussed.
Active search versus Passive search:- Active search is undertaken when the buyer has inadequate or conflicting
information or when the buyer is nearing a decision and wishes to confirm the correctness of decision. Exposure
to information not actively sought is passive search. Most mass media advertising fits into this category. The
issue for marketers is how to make passively received information, such as television commercials, compelling
enough to the passive recipient, such as television viewer, that he or she will remember the information.
EVALUATION OF ALTERNATIVES
Once the buyer feels that adequate information has been obtained, he or she can begin the process
of choosing which product or service to purchase. This choice process takes place on two levels- the product
category level and the brand choice level. Several types of product may appear to have the potential to solve the
buyer’s problem when it is first recognized. Once the product category has been chosen, the buyer evaluates the
brand within the category and chooses a specific one to buy. It is difficult to find out how buyers make the choice
between product categories, as question often does not get at the criteria buyers use to choose among such a
diverse set of alternatives. The researcher looked at two types of values-terminal, or states of being, and
instrumental, or doing- in relation to appliance purchases. Terminal values included “ being the kind of person
who wishes to have a beautiful home; being the kind of person who wishes to have a high level of physical
comfort at home”. Instrumental values included persons who go by appearance and usability. Whether the choice
be product category or brand level, buyers do not ordinarily consider all available alternatives. They seriously
evaluate only a subset of available alternatives, called evoked set this group of alternatives is made up of those of
which the buyer is aware and has sufficient positive information willing and able to evaluate.
The multiattribute model:- buyers have choice rule: “ I will consider all brands below a certain price.” “ The suit
must be conservative in style, made of high-quality materials, and a good value for the money.” The choice rules
establish the criteria by which the buyer will make the choice. Buyers also apply weights to each of the
attributes, based on the importance of the attribute to the buyer. The result is to develop an overall preference for
one of the brands in the evoked set. Buyers go through the process of weighting attributes in every buying
situation, but the intensity of the process varies. In routine purchases, the process is almost subconscious. The
riskier and more unfamiliar the buying situation, the more important and deliberate the process becomes.
PURCHASE DECISION
The purchase decision is not a simple yes or no decision. Even if the buyer
has decided to make a purchase, there are a number of sub decisions that must be made
before the product is actually bought. These includes the following:-
1. Timing:- A purchase can be made immediately or it can be deferred until some
future time.
2. Situation:- Some purchase are affected by the situation that exists when the
purchase is made.
3. Place of purchase:- The choice may be between a department store or a discount
outlet; in the suburbs or in the city; in a store with a prestige image or one with
low prices.
The marketer has two jobs in this step : presenting the buyer with the type of information
that is most relevant and presenting the information in such a way that the buyer
positively evaluates the brand.
The factors that influence Consumer Behavior are divided into two categories-
o Internal Factors
o External Factors
INTERNAL FACTORS
At the care of any individual’s Consumer Behavior is his or her own psychological
makeup. There are number of concepts from fields of psychology and social psychology
that are critical to an understanding of Consumer Behavior. The Internal Factors include
the psychological factors as
o Needs and Motives
o Personality
o Perception
o Learning
o Attitudes
o Involvement
Perception:- Perception refers to the manner in which a person selects, organizes, and
interprets the stimuli to which he or she is exposed to. In other words, perception is the
process by which a person gives meaning to the things he or she sees, hears, touches,
tastes, and smells. The perceptions developed through exposure to a stimulus are the
result of more than just the stimulus itself. They are affected by person’s mood, motives,
personality, and the social and physical context of the exposure, among other variables.
Two aspects of perception have been identified as being of particular importance to
marketers. They are perceptions of price and perceived risk.
EXTERNAL FACTORS
The overall society in which a Consumer lives has considerable effect on Consumer
Behavior. The beliefs and values and indeed, the world view that an individual holds are
learned and transmitted within the societal framework. The effect of those values is often
difficult to assess because they are deeply, almost unconsciously, held. They are also
enduring, changing slowly, even in the face of major technological and social change.
The various sociocultural factors, then have a tremendous effect on people’s behavior as
consumers. The external factors can be categorized as
o Sociocultural factors
Societal values
Economic factors
The media
Reference groups
o Demographic characteristics
Age
Gender
Income
Educational level
Occupation
Social class
Ethnic group
Place of residence
Societal Values :- Values are desired end-states, or the states of being individuals
desire to achieve. As such, they describe the goals of society and of sub-groups within
that society. Values also play an important role in defining what we as individuals and as
a society should do. Types and Levels of values can be described as
Cultural values-“ Enduring beliefs concerning desired modes of behavior.”
Consumption-specific values- “ Beliefs relevant to specific social, personal, and other
activities.”
Product-specific values-“ Evaluative beliefs about product attributes.”
Media :- Marshal McLuchan says that “ the medium is the message.” While that may be
an overstatement, it makes an important point: the media vehicle chosen by advertisers
conveys a message to the consumer that goes beyond the actual advertising content.
Media is categorized as either “hot” or “cool”. A hot medium like television provides a
great deal of both auditory and visual sensory data. Movies, another hot medium can be
produced in 3-D, adding an even greater impact to visual stimuli. Cool media like a
newspaper or the telephone convey less data, because they usually involve only one
sense. The medium itself is not the only factor that influences a consumer’s reception of
the message the advertiser wishes to convey.
Gender :- Biological gender also has a great impact on consumer behavior. Beyond
products serving the obvious physiological differences in males and females, it exerts
influence in two ways: by prescribing certain culturally ingrained ways of thinking and
behaving, and by its effect on an individual’s sense of self, or self-concept.
Educational level :- A Consumer’s education level has both direct and indirect effects
on his or her buying behavior. Some products and services, such as personal computers
and opera tickets, are more heavily consumed by better-educated Consumer. In general,
the educational level influences tastes, lifestyle preferences, and the ability to search for
and process information.
Occupation :- Occupation is strongly related to level of education. It too has direct and
indirect effects on Consumer Behavior. Clothing appropriate for a particular work
situation is one direct effect. The indirect effects are probably an outcome of both the
types of people and situations experienced at work and the ability to communicate on the
job.
Social class :- Income, Educational level, and Occupation are combined to create a
measure of social class. It does not seem to be as influential in other product categories.
Some study found that income alone, unconnected with such factors as social class and
education level provide a better explanation for expenditures on major appliances that
were not considered status symbols.
Ethnic group :- Differences in Consumer Behavior that are related to ethnicity may go
far beyond product preferences. Ethnicity has also been linked to exposure to
information, innovativeness, and patterns of information transfer. It may also be related
to the importance and meaning Consumers attach to various products. In addition the
foreign-language media, both national and local, give marketers the ability to reach ethnic
groups with culturally appropriate appeals for mass-market or specialized products. In
this light ethnic groups will be an important consideration in forming strategy for a wide
variety of products long into future.
Place of residence :- It designates a region of the country, or it can refer to the urban/
suburban/rural concentration in an area. The population in different geographical regions
are growing at different rates, since the lifestyle of the people is based to a considerable
extent on outdoor living and a generally slower pace, the implications for Consumer
Behavior are enormous. So the marketers must be aware of lifestyle trends in the region
tom provide the products that consumers want.
MODEL OF CONSUMER BUYING BEHAVIOR
Field 1
Field 2
Message Attitude
Firm’s Consumer’s
Attribute Attributes
Search
Exposure
s Evaluati
Motivation
Feo
Decision or Action Field 3
Purchasing Behavior
Consumption Field 4
POSTULATES
1. the rate of change of the level of buying (B) of a brand X at time t is a function of
the level of Consumer’s Motivation (M) towards that brand and the level of
buying (B) at time to.
3. The rate of change of the level of Consumer’s Attitude (A) towards brand X at
time t is a function of his level of buying (B) of that brand, of the level his attitude
(A) towards that brand & of the level of communication (C) all at time t.
Equations of postulates
1) Motivation has no units whereas buying has no unit
dB(t) [M(t)- B(t)]
dt
B(t) has dimension , is a constant
dB(t) = b * [M(t)- B(t)]
dt
2) M(t) =m *A(t)
m is a constant (fraction of people will be motivated )
If 1/ <0 the level of buying will decrease as the motivation towards it increases. M is
dimension less b is in Rs. Therefore in expression has dimension as 1/Rs. This
coefficient summarizes the social, psychological mechanism described in field 3 of the
diagram. The coeff. B in equation (1) determines how rapidly the consumer will resolve
the conflict b/w the level of buying (B) times & the level of motivation (M). if B is in
Rs. Then b is in Rs./t & is taken as +ve. The analogous meaning & interpret coeff. &a.
however the coeff. C in eqution (3) determines the impact of advertising (C) on the rate
of change in the level of attitude towards the advertised brand. This coeff. Summarizes
the psychological mechanism of subfeild 2 of field 1. since C is measured in Rs. The
dimension of c is 1/ t*Rs. In equation (6) the absence of external influence such as
advertising C is equal to 0 or when its impact is 0 then the coeff. is establishes the
relation B = * A or A = B/ thus the coeff. 1/ measures the level of attitude that will
be generated by a purchase. We may call it the behavior coeff. Since B in Rs. A is
dimension less is expressed in Rs.
COMPANY PROFILE
With its presence virtually in all the important centres of the country, Punjab
National Bank offers a wide variety of banking services which include
corporate and personal banking, industrial finance, agricultural finance,
financing of trade and international banking. Among the clients of the Bank
are Indian conglomerates, medium and small industrial units, exporters,
non-resident Indians and multinational companies. The large presence and
vast resource base have helped the Bank to build strong links with trade and
industry.
Punjab National Bank is serving over 3.5 crore customers through 4525
Offices including 432 extension counters - largest amongst Nationalized
Banks. The Bank was recently ranked 21st amongst top 500 companies by
the leading financial daily, Economic Times. PNB's attempts at providing
best customer service has earned it 9th place among Indias Most Trusted
top 50 service brands in Economic Times- A.C Nielson Survey. PNB is also
ranked 248th amongst the top 1000 banks in the world according to "The
Banker" London.
At the same time, the bank has been conscious of its social responsibilities
by financing agriculture and allied activities and small scale industries (SSI).
Considering the importance of small scale industries bank has established 31
specialised branches to finance exclusively such industries.
The bank has been focussing on expanding its operations outside India and
has identified some of the emerging economies which offer large business
potential. Bank has set up representative offices at Almaty: Kazakhistan,
Shanghai: China and in London. Besides, Bank has opened a full fledged
Branch in Kabul, Afghanistan.
Keeping in tune with changing times and to provide its customers more
efficient and speedy service, the Bank has taken major initiative in the field
of computerization. All the Branches of the Bank have been computerized.
The Bank has also launched aggressively the concept of "Any Time, Any
Where Banking" through the introduction of Centralized Banking Solution
(CBS) and over 2409 offices have already been brought under its ambit.
PNB also offers Internet Banking services in the country for Corporates as
well as individuals. Internet Banking services are available through all
Branches of the Bank networked under CBS. Providing 24 hours, 365 days
banking right from the PC of the user, Internet Banking offers world class
banking facilities like anytime, anywhere access to account, complete details
of transactions, and statement of account, online information of deposits,
loans overdraft account etc. PNB has recently introduced Online Payment
Facility for railway reservation through IRCTC Payment Gateway Project and
Online Utility Bill Payment Services which allows Internet Banking account
holders to pay their telephone, mobile, electricity, insurance and other bills
anytime from anywhere from their desktop.
Housing Loan
EMI Calculator
PNB reaches out to you with fast, friendly and most convenient home loans for:
Construction or purchase of house/ flat.
Purchase of house/ flat on First Power of Attorney basis from the original
allottee.
Extent of loan
Individual
Security
Rate of Interest
Rate of Interest @
percent p.a.
TENOR
For loans repayable in/upto Effective from
08.01.2007
10.25
i) Upto 5 years
ii) Above 5 & upto 10 years 11.00
iii) Above 10 years & upto 20 11.25
years
iv) Above 20 years & upto 25 11.75
years
Rate of Interest @
percent p.a.
TENOR
For loans repayable in/upto Revised w.e.f
08.01.2007
09.00
i) Upto 5 years
ii) Above 5 & upto 10 years 09.25
iii) Above 10 years & upto 20 09.50
years
iv) Above 20 years & upto 25 10.00
years
Repayment
Disbursemen
t
For outright purchase of house/ flat, the loan amount will be paid in
lumpsum to the vendor.
For house/ flat under construction, the loan amount will be disbursed in
stages as per progress of construction/ demand by selling agency.
http://www.pnbindia.com/r_housing.htm
iii) Professionally qualified Doctors viz. MBBS, BDS & above having annual income of
Rs.3.00 lac & above.
Purpose
However, for Teachers, Army Jawans, other permanent employees of Military Station
Headquarters and Para Military Personnel whose salary is being credited and disbursed
through our branches the minimum Net Monthly Income criteria shall be Rs.5000/- at all
Centres viz. Metro, Urban, Semi-Urban and Rural.
Term Loan/ Overdraft – Minimum amount of loan will be Rs.10,000/- and maximum
amount of loan Rs.3,00,000/- or 30 times monthly net salary, whichever is lower,
depending upon the repaying capacity.
Margin
Nil
Repayment Period
However, loan allowed to Army Jawans, other permanent employees of Military Station
Headquarters and Para Military Personnel shall be Repayable in maximum 36 Equated
Monthly Instalments or remaining period of stay at the particular posting, whichever is
lower.
Rate of Interest
For employees whose salary is being
12% p.a.
disbursed through our branches and employees under check-off facility
For others having annual income of
13% p.a.
Minimum Rs.3.00 lac
Security
CHECKLIS
T
While applying for the loan, the borrower is required to furnish the following
information/papers:
2. Proof of Income:
Salaried Class : Salary Certificate issued by employer (indicating gross and net salary) /
Income Tax Return; Statement of Bank account for last six months.
For Professionally Qualified Doctors: Income Tax Return for the last 2 years
3. Age proof
4. Address Proof / ID Proof
5. Any other information which may be necessary, as per the requirement of each case
Eligibility
Amount of
Loan
Security
Rate of
Interest
* Subject to change.
Repayment
Term Loan
Disbursemen
t
Payments will be made direct to the suppliers/ dealers. In case of construction of the
premises, the loan may be disbursed in phases after verifying the end use in terms of
the plan as also at the spot.
ELIGIBILITY
All types of pensioners who are drawing their pension through our branches are
eligible. This includes pensioners and Ex-employees of our Bank. PNB’s pre
1986 retirees who are getting ex-gratia are also eligible.
PURPOSE
LOAN AMOUNT
- For Pensioners above the age of 75 years, the maximum amount of loan would
be Rs.60,000/-.
MARGIN
Nil
PROCESSING FEE
Nil
SECURITY
PNB has introduced a new scheme for providing finance against mortgage of
immoveable property situated in Metro/Urban/semi Urban centres, which is designed to
offer instant solutions relating to business needs or for personal needs such as,
children’s higher education, travel, daughter’s marriage, medical emergencies etc. Loan
is, however, not available for speculative purposes
Amount of
loan
Security
Rate of
interest
Repayment
Period
Area of operation
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
I would like to thank all those people who contributed to this project from
the very beginning till its successful completion.
First of all I wish to express my gratitude to Mr. S.C Malik
(AGM-HRD ) for allowing me to undertake the project that has certainly
enriched my work experience.
I also thank Mr. Sanjiv Verma (Sr. Manager Organisation Study Cell) for his
enlightening guidance, and the keen interest shown in me throughout the
project.
I would like to thank Mr. P.K. Kapoor who gave me proper guidance and
helped me throughout my project.
I am also very thankful to all my faculty members and my friends who
helped me to do this project in efficient manner.
kavita
Msc. (Final) Operational Research
Department Of Operational Research
Faculty of Mathematical Sciences
University of Delhi
Delhi-110007
CERTIFICATE
FACTOR ANALYSIS
Overview
Factor analysis is used to uncover the latent structure (dimensions) of a set of variables. It
reduces attribute space from a larger number of variables to a smaller number of factors
and as such is a "non-dependent" procedure (that is, it does not assume a dependent
variable is specified). Factor analysis could be used for any of the following purposes:
* To select a subset of variables from a larger set, based on which original variables
have the highest correlations with the principal component factors.
* To validate a scale or index by demonstrating that its constituent items load on the
same factor, and to drop proposed scale items which cross-load on more than one factor.
* To establish that multiple tests measure the same factor, thereby giving justification
for administering fewer tests.
A non-technical analogy: A mother sees various bumps and shapes under a blanket at the
bottom of a bed. When one shape moves toward the top of the bed, all the other bumps
and shapes move toward the top also, so the mother concludes that what is under the
blanket is a single thing, most likely her child. Similarly, factor analysis takes as input a
number of measures and tests, analogous to the bumps and shapes. Those that move
together are considered a single thing, which it labels a factor. That is, in factor analysis
the researcher is assuming that there is a "child" out there in the form of an underlying
factor, and he or she takes simultaneous movement (correlation) as evidence of its
existence. If correlation is spurious for some reason, this inference will be mistaken, of
course, so it is important when conducting factor analysis that possible variables which
might introduce spuriousness, such as anteceding causes, be included in the analysis.
Factor analysis is part of the multiple general linear hypothesis (MLGH) family of
procedures and makes many of the same assumptions as multiple regression: linear
relationships, interval or near-interval data, untruncated variables, proper specification
(relevant variables included, extraneous ones excluded), lack of high multicollinearity,
and multivariate normality for purposes of significance testing. Factor analysis generates
a table in which the rows are the observed raw indicator variables and the columns are the
factors or latent variables which explain as much of the variance in these variables as
possible. The cells in this table are factor loadings, and the meaning of the factors must
be induced from seeing which variables are most heavily loaded on which factors. This
inferential labeling process can be fraught with difficulty as diverse researchers impute
different labels.
There are several different types of factor analysis, with the most common being
principal components analysis (PCA). However, principal axis factoring (PAF), also
called common factor analysis, is preferred for purposes of confirmatory factory analysis
in structural equation modeling.
* Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) seeks to determine if the number of factors and
the loadings of measured (indicator) variables on them conform to what is expected on
the basis of pre-established theory. Indicator variables are selected on the basis of prior
theory and factor analysis is used to see if they load as predicted on the expected number
of factors. The researcher's à priori assumption is that each factor (the number and labels
of which may be specified à priori ) is associated with a specified subset of indicator
variables. A minimum requirement of confirmatory factor analysis is that one
hypothesize beforehand the number of factors in the model, but usually also expectations
about which variables will load on which factors (Kim and Mueller, 1978b: 55). The
researcher seeks to determine, for instance, if measures created to represent a latent
variable really belong together.
* Factors and components: Both are the dimensions (or latent variables) identified
with clusters of variables, as computed using factor analysis. Technically speaking,
factors (as from PFA -- principal factor analysis, a.k.a. principal axis factoring, a.k.a.
common factor analysis) represent the common variance of variables, excluding unique
variance, and is thus a correlation-focused approach seeking to reproduce the
intercorrelation among the variables. By comparison, components (from PCA - principal
components analysis) reflect both common and unique variance of the variables and may
be seen as a variance-focused approach seeking to reproduce both the total variable
variance with all components and to reproduce the correlations. PCA is far more
common than PFA, however, and it is common to use "factors" interchangeably with
"components."
Types of Factoring
* Principal factor analysis (PFA): Also called principal axis factoring, PAF, and
common factor analysis, PFA is a form of factor analysis which seeks the least number of
factors which can account for the common variance (correlation) of a set of variables,
whereas the more common principal components analysis (PCA) in its full form seeks the
set of factors which can account for all the common and unique (specific plus error)
variance in a set of variables. PFA uses a PCA strategy but applies it to a correlation
matrix in which the diagonal elements are not 1's, as in PCA, but iteratively-derived
estimates of the communalities (R2 of a variable using all factors as predictors; see
below).
* Q-mode factor analysis, also called inverse factor analysis , is factor analysis
which seeks to cluster the cases rather than the variables. That is, in Q-mode the rows are
variables and the columns are cases (ex., people), and the cell entries are scores of the
cases on the variables. In Q-mode the factors are clusters of people for a set of variables.
Q-mode is used to establish the factional composition of a group on a set of issues at a
given point in time.
The Q-mode has the special problem of negative factor loadings. In conventional
factor analysis of variables, a negative loading indicates a negative relation of the
variable to the factor. In Q-mode factor analysis, a negative loading does not have a clear
meaning. One common approach is to consider all cases with negative loadings as being
in a cluster of their own.
* Factor loadings: The factor loadings, also called component loadings in PCA, are
the correlation coefficients between the variables (rows) and factors (columns).
Analogous to Pearson's r, the squared factor loading is the percent of variance in that
variable explained by the factor. To get the percent of variance in all the variables
accounted for by each factor, add the sum of the squared factor loadings for that factor
(column) and divide by the number of variables. (Note the number of variables equals the
sum of their variances as the variance of a standardized variable is 1.) This is the same as
dividing the factor's eigenvalue by the number of variables.
In SPSS, the factor loadings are found in a matrix labeled Factor Matrix if PFA is
requested, or in one labeled Component Matrix if PCA is requested, or one labeled
Pattern Matrix if an oblique rotation is requested.
The sum of the squared factor loadings for all factors for a given variable (row) is the
variance in that variable accounted for by all the factors, and this is called the
communality. In a complete PCA, with no factors dropped, this will be 1.0, or 100% of
the variance. The ratio of the squared factor loadings for a given variable (row in the
factor matrix) shows the relative importance of the different factors in explaining the
variance of the given variable. Factor loadings are the basis for imputing a label to the
different factors.
* Communality, h2, is the squared multiple correlation for the variable using
the factors as predictors. The communality measures the percent of variance in a given
variable explained by all the factors jointly and may be interpreted as the reliability of the
indicator.
When an indicator variable has a low communality, the factor model is not
working well for that indicator and possibly it should be removed from the model.
However, communalities must be interpreted in relation to the interpretability of the
factors. A communality of .75 seems high but is meaningless unless the factor on which
the variable is loaded is interpretable, though it usually will be. A communality of .25
seems low but may be meaningful if the item is contributing to a well-defined factor.
That is, what is critical is not the communality coefficient per se, but rather the extent to
which the item plays a role in the interpretation of the factor, though often this role is
greater when communality is high.
Communality for a variable is computed as the sum of squared factor loadings for
that variable (row). Recall r-squared is the percent of variance explained, and since
factors are uncorrelated, the squared loadings may be added to get the total percent
explained, which is what communality is. For full orthogonal PCA, the communality will
be 1.0 for all variables and all of the variance in the variables will be explained by all of
the factors, which will be as many as there are variables. In the communalities chart,
SPSS labels this column the "initial" communalities. The "extracted" communality is the
percent of variance in a given variable explained by the factors which are extracted,
which will usually be fewer than all the possible factors, resulting in coefficients less than
1.0. For PFA, however, the communalities for the various factors will be less than 1 even
initially. Communality does not change when rotation is carried out, hence in SPSS there
is only one communalities table.
Thus, eigenvalues measure the amount of variation in the total sample accounted
for by each factor. Note that the eigenvalue is not the percent of variance explained but
rather a measure of "amount," used for comparison with other eigenvalues. A factor's
eigenvalue may be computed as the sum of its squared factor loadings for all the
variables. Note that the eigenvalues associated with the unrotated and rotated solution
will differ, though their total will be the same.
* Trace is the sum of variances for all factors, which is equal to the number
of variables since the variance of a standardized variable is 1.0. A factor's eigenvalue
divided by the trace is the percent of variance it explains in all the variables, usually
labeled percent of trace in computer output. Computer output usually lists the factors in
descending order of eigenvalue, along with a cumulative percent of trace for as many
factors as are extracted.
* Factor scores: Also called component scores in PCA, factor scores are the scores
of each case (row) on each factor (column). To compute the factor score for a given case
for a given factor, one takes the case's standardized score on each variable, multiplies by
the corresponding factor loading of the variable for the given factor, and sums these
products. The SPSS FACTOR procedure saves standardized factor scores as variables in
your working data file. By default it will name them FAC1_1,FAC2_1, FAC3_1, etc., for
the corresponding factors (factor 1, 2 and 3) of analysis 1; and FAC1_2, FAC2_2,
FAC3_2 for a second set of factor scores, if any, within the same procedure, and so on.
Although SPSS adds these variables to the right of your working data set automatically,
they will be lost when you close the dataset unless you re-save your data.
* Criteria for determining the number of factors, roughly in the order of frequency of
use in social science (see Dunteman, 1989: 22-3).
* Kaiser criterion: A common rule of thumb for dropping the least important
factors from the analysis. The Kaiser rule is to drop all components with eigenvalues
under 1.0. Kaiser criterion is the default in most computer programs.
* Scree plot: The Cattell scree test plots the components as the X axis and the
corresponding eigenvalues as the Y axis. As one moves to the right, toward later
components, the eigenvalues drop. When the drop ceases and the curve makes an elbow
toward less steep decline, Cattell's scree test says to drop all further components after the
one starting the elbow. Scree plot example
* Rotation Methods. Rotation serves to make the output more understandable and
is usually necessary to facilitate the interpretation of factors. The sum of eigenvalues is
not affected by rotation, but rotation will alter the eigenvalues of particular factors.
* Direct oblimin rotation is the standard method when one wishes a non-
orthogonal solution -- that is, one in which the factors are allowed to be correlated. This
will result in higher eigenvalues but diminished interpretability of the factors. See below.
PRINCALS: A computer program which adapts PCA for non-metric and non-
linear relationships. Its use is still rare.
Assumptions
* Interval data are assumed. However, Kim and Mueller (1978b 74-5) note that ordinal
data may be used if it is thought that the assignment of ordinal categories to the data do
not seriously distort the underlying metric scaling. Likewise, these authors allow use of
dichotomous data if the underlying metric correlations between the variables are thought
to be moderate (.7) or lower. The result of using ordinal data is that the factors may be
that much harder to interpret.
Note that categorical variables with similar splits will necessarily tend to correlate
with each other, regardless of their content (see Gorsuch, 1983). This is particularly apt to
occur when dichotomies are used. The correlation will reflect similarity of "difficulty" for
items in a testing context, hence such correlated variables are called difficulty factors.
The researcher should examine the factor loadings of categorical variables with care to
assess whether common loading reflects a difficulty factor or substantive correlation. See
the discussion of levels of data.
* Multivariate normality of data is required for related significance tests. PCA and
PFA, significance testing apart, have no distributional assumptions. Note, however, that a
less-used variant of factor analysis, maximum likelihood factor analysis, does assume
multivariate normality. The smaller the sample size, the more important it is to screen
data for normality. Moreover, as factor analysis is based on correlation (or sometimes
covariance), both correlation and covariance will be attenuated when variables come
from different underlying distributions (ex., a normal vs. a bimodal variable will correlate
less than 1.0 even when both series are perfectly co-ordered).
* Orthogonality (for PFA but not PCA): the unique factors should be uncorrelated with
each other or with the common factors. Recall that PFA factors only the common
variance, ignoring the unique variance. This is not an issue for PCA, which factors the
total variance.
* Factor interpretations and labels must have face validity and/or be rooted in theory. It
is notoriously difficult to assign valid meanings to factors. A recommended practice is to
have a panel not otherwise part of the research project assign one's items to one's factor
labels. A rule of thumb is that at least 80% of the assignments should be correct.
3. Suggestions and Recommendations to the company on the basis of analysis done and
consumers surveyed.
II. METHODOLOGY
The methodology adopted for collecting data and sample design is given below:
A. COLLECTION OF DATA
For collecting Primary Data from the users, a questionnaire was designed.
This questionnaire was administered to the consumers who already have
their Bank Account and who are willing to take loan . Sample
questionnaire is attached in annexure.
Roll No-
PROJECT REPORT
On
For
SUBMITTED TO:-
THE DEPARTMENT OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH
FACULTY OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES
UNIVERSITY OF DELHI, DELHI.
AS
PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT
OF THE DEGREE OF MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES
IN
OPERATIONAL RESEARCH
UNIVERSITY OF DELHI, DELHI
SESSION 2006-2007
25-29
30-35
36-40
30-35, 49, 33% Greater than 41
24, 16%
2-4 lacs
4-6 lacs
31, 21% Greater than 6 lacs
95, 63%
Occupation
14, 9%
Business man
Govt.service
Privatefirm/office
Showroom/shop
106, 71%
conclusion :- Most of the people who have their bank account in Punjab
National bank are Govt. servant.
A B A&B C D Total
112 18 12 7 1 150
Nature of account
1, 1%
7, 5%
12, 8%
18, 12% A
B
AB
C
D
112, 74%
Where
A – Saving account
B – Fixed deposit
C – Current account
D – All of above
6, 4%
7, 5%
11, 7%
43, 29%
A
B
C
23, 15%
D
A&B
B&C
D&A
21, 14%
39, 26%
Where
A - Investment
B – Interest
C – B rand Reputation
D – Maturity Period
(a) YES
(b) NO
Yes No Total
55 95 150
55, 37%
YES
NO
95, 63%
Conclusion :- 63% of the customer say that they are not availing any
loan from PNB.
12, 22%
19, 35%
Home loan
Vehicle loan
Education loan
personnel loan
15, 27%
9, 16%
Promotional Channels
Newspaper
0%
Magazine
0%
Reason categorization
0, 0%
16, 17%
4, 4%
No need
Agent Presentation
Rate of interest
7, 7%
Maturity Period
Advertisement
56, 59% Documentation
12, 13%
(a) YES
(b) NO
YES NO Total
39 0 39
Different sector
7, 18%
10, 26%
22, 56%
Communalities
Initial Extraction
Maturity Period 1.000 .383
Rate of interest 1.000 .402
Documentation 1.000 .528
Information 1.000 .707
Handling charges 1.000 .621
Cooperative staff 1.000 .758
Withdrawal facility 1.000 .672
Awareness about
the product 1.000 .791
Online servics 1.000 .547
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.
Component Matrix(a)
Component
1 2 3
Maturity Period .228 .463 .341
Rate of interest .320 .494 .234
Documentation .588 .419 -.087
Information .757 -.275 .239
Handling charges .609 .168 -.470
Cooperative staff .671 .197 -.518
Withdrawal facility .481 -.663 -.016
Awareness about
the product .553 -.511 .474
Online servics .162 .402 .599
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.
a 3 components extracted.
Component
1 2 3
Maturity Period .093 .282 .260
Rate of interest .130 .302 .179
Documentation .239 .255 -.066
Information .308 -.168 .183
Handling charges .248 .103 -.359
Cooperative staff .273 .120 -.396
Withdrawal facility .196 -.404 -.012
Awareness about
the product .225 -.312 .362
Online servics .066 .246 .458
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Component Scores.
Component 1 2 3
1 1.000 .000 .000
2 .000 1.000 .000
3 .000 .000 1.000
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Component Scores.
Component
1 2 3
Maturity Period -.018 .081 .613
Rate of interest -.021 .224 .592
Documentation .075 .595 .410
Information .765 .291 .191
Handling charges .100 .781 -.008
Cooperative staff .103 .865 -.002
Withdrawal facility .737 .144 -.328
Awareness about
the product .878 -.075 .120
Online servics .080 -.150 .720
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization.
a Rotation converged in 5 iterations.
Component 1 2 3
1 .649 .700 .299
2 -.650 .306 .695
3 .395 -.645 .654
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization.
Component
1 2 3
Maturity Period -.021 -.017 .394
Rate of interest -.041 .068 .365
Documentation -.037 .288 .206
Information .381 .046 .095
Handling charges -.048 .437 -.089
Cooperative staff -.057 .483 -.094
Withdrawal facility .385 .021 -.231
Awareness about
the product .491 -.172 .087
Online servics .064 -.174 .490
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization.
Component Scores.
Component 1 2 3
1 1.000 .000 .000
2 .000 1.000 .000
3 .000 .000 1.000
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Rotation Method: Varimax with Kaiser Normalization.
Component Scores.
Correlations
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Maturity Period
Valid 55
Missin
g 0
N
Maturity Period
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Not so
6 10.9 10.9 10.9
imp
Imp 22 40.0 40.0 50.9
Most imp 27 49.1 49.1 100.0
Total
100.0 100.0
55
Conclusion:- 49.1% of the population says that maturity period provided
by PNB is most important.
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Rate of interest
N Valid 55
Missin
0
g
Rate of interest
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Not so
1 1.8 1.8 1.8
imp
imp 6 10.9 10.9 12.7
Most imp 48 87.3 87.3 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
Conclusion :- 87% of the population who have their bank
account in PNB find attractive rate of interest.
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Documentation
N Valid 55
Missin
0
g
Documentation
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Least imp 3 5.5 5.5 5.5
Not so
21 38.2 38.2 43.6
imp
imp 21 38.2 38.2 81.8
Most imp 10 18.2 18.2 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
Conclusion:- Documentation is important for the customer.
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Information
N Valid 55
Missin
0
g
Information
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Not imp 3 5.5 5.5 5.5
Least imp 11 20.0 20.0 25.5
Not so
14 25.5 25.5 50.9
imp
imp 16 29.1 29.1 80.0
Most imp 11 20.0 20.0 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
Conclusion :- Information is most important for the customer
while availing loan from PNB.
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Handling charges
N Valid 55
Missin
0
g
Handling charges
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Not imp 14 25.5 25.5 25.5
Least imp 17 30.9 30.9 56.4
Not so
10 18.2 18.2 74.5
imp
imp 11 20.0 20.0 94.5
Most imp 3 5.5 5.5 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
Conclusion :- Handling charges are least important for
customer.
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Cooperative staff
N Valid 55
Missin
0
g
Cooperative staff
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Not imp 10 18.2 18.2 18.2
Least imp 14 25.5 25.5 43.6
Not so
13 23.6 23.6 67.3
imp
imp 14 25.5 25.5 92.7
Most imp 4 7.3 7.3 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
Conclusion :- People consider co-operative staff is important.
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Withdrawal facility
N Valid 55
Missin
0
g
Withdrawal facility
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Least imp 4 7.3 7.3 7.3
Not so
11 20.0 20.0 27.3
imp
imp 22 40.0 40.0 67.3
Most imp 18 32.7 32.7 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
Conclusion :- People consider withdrawal facility is important.
for them.
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Frequencies
Statistics
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Not imp 2 3.6 3.6 3.6
Least imp 9 16.4 16.4 20.0
Not so
16 29.1 29.1 49.1
imp
imp 20 36.4 36.4 85.5
Most imp 8 14.5 14.5 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
Conclusion :- Awareness of the product is important for policy
taker when he is availing any loan.
Mo s tim p
im p
L e
a sti m
p
Not so im p
Not im p
On
l n
i se rvic s
e
Frequencies
Statistics
Online servics
N Valid 55
Missin
0
g
Online servics
Cumulative
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Percent
Valid Not imp 7 12.7 12.7 12.7
Not so
9 16.4 16.4 29.1
imp
Least imp 13 23.6 23.6 52.7
imp 14 25.5 25.5 78.2
Most imp 12 21.8 21.8 100.0
Total 55 100.0 100.0
QUESTIONNAIRE
I am Kavita, student of M.Sc Operational Research, Delhi University. Currently I am
doing a survey for my project "Studying Consumer Behaviour towards loan of “Punjab
National Bank”. This project is part of my curriculum and shall contribute to my
examination.
1. NAME OF THE RESPONDENT._____________________________
2. PLEASE SPECIFY YOUR AGE GROUP.
25-29 30-35
36-40 above 41
Magazine.
Bank staff.
Friends & relatives.
Newspaper.
Others (Please Specify)___________________
Rate: 5-(Most imp); 4-(imp) ; 3-( Not so imp); 2-(Least imp); 1-(Not imp)
ATTRIBUTES 5 4 3 2 1
Maturity Period
Rate of Interest
Documentation
Information
Handling charges
Co-operative staff
Withdrawal facility
Awareness about the product.
Online service
11. IF NO, WHAT ARE THE REASONS FOR NOT TAKING LOAN FROM PNB ?
No Need
Agent Presentation.
Rate of Interest.
Maturity Period.
Advertisment.
Documentation.
From the study & analysis which I have done to study the
consumer behaviour towards bank loan I have found that
out of the total sample population, 63% of the population are
not availing any loan from PNB while they have their bank
account at PNB. So I have found that,
3) PNB should also consider their rate of interest and maturity period
Because some people consider that their rate of interest & maturity is
not suitable.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. Introduction to Operational
Research
2. Approach, techniques & tools in Operational
Research
3. Problem definition
4. Market & marketing research
5. Company profile
6. Designing & using questionnaires
7. Interpretation and statistical analysis
8. Conclusions & recommendations
9. Bibliography
BIBLIOGRAPHY
The following books and websites were referred to in the execution of this
project
Kanti Swarup,
P.K.Gupta
Man Mohan.
N.K.Malhotra.
Second Edition,2003.
J.K.Sharma.
www.delhitourism.nic.in
www.mktgresearch.com
www.google.com
In surveys, answers are of interest not intrinsically but because of their relationship to
something they are supposed to measure. Good questions are reliable, providing
consistent measures In comparable situations, and valid; answers correspond to what they
are Intended to measure.
One step toward ensuring consistent measurement is that each respondent in a sample is
asked the same set of questions. Answers to these questions are recorded. The researcher
would like to be able to make the assumption that differences in answers stem from
differences among respondents rather than from differences in the stimuli to which
respondents are exposed.
1. The researcher's side of the question and answer process is fully scripted so that
the questions as written fully prepare a respondent to answer questions.
2. The question means the same thing to every respondent.
3. The kinds of answers that constitute an appropriate response to the question are
communicated consistently to all respondents.
If all respondents are asked exactly the same questions, one step has been taken to ensure
that differences in answers can be attributed to differences in respondents. However,
there is a further consideration. The questions should all mean the same thing to all
respondents. If two respondents understand the question to mean different things, their
answers may be different for that reason alone.
One potential problem is using words that are not understood universally. In general
samples, it is important to remember that a range of educational experiences and cultural
backgrounds will be represented. Even with well-educated samples, using simple words
that are short and widely understood is a sound approach to questionnaire design.
Undoubtedly, a much more common error than using unfamiliar words is the use of terms
or concepts that can have multiple meanings. It is impossible to give an exhaustive list of
ambiguous terms used in surveys, but the prevalence of misunderstanding of common
terms has been well documented by those who have studied the problem (e.g., Belson,
1981).
When respondents are being asked questions about their own lives, feelings, or
experiences, a "don't know" response is often a statement that they are unwilling to do the
work required to give an answer. On the other hand, sometimes we ask respondents
questions about things about which they legitimately do not know. As the object of the
questions gets further from their immediate lives, the more plausible and reasonable it is
that some respondents will not have adequate knowledge on which to base an answer or
will not have formed an opinion or feeling.
There are two approaches to dealing with such a possibility. One simply can ask the
questions of all respondents, relying on the respondent to volunteer a "don't know." The
alternative is to ask respondents whether or not they feel familiar enough with a topic to
have an opinion or feeling about it.
When a researcher is dealing with a topic about which familiarity is high, whether or not
a screening question for knowledge is asked is probably not important. However, when
there is reason to think that a notable number of respondents will not be familiar with
whatever the question is dealing with, it probably is best to ask a screening question
about familiarity with the topic. People differ in their willingness to volunteer a "don't
know". A screening question for familiarity helps to produce a kind of standardisation;
most people answering the question then will have at least some minimal familiarity with
what they are responding to (Schuman & Presser, 1981).
These procedures are designed to maximize reliability - the extent to which people in
comparable situations will answer questions in similar ways. However, one can measure
with perfect reliability and still not be measuring what one wants to measure. The extent
to which the answer given is a true measure and means what the researcher wants it to
mean or expects it to mean is called validity. In this section, we discuss other aspects of
the design of questionnaires, in addition to steps to maximize the reliability of questions,
that can increase the validity of survey measures.
In contrast, when people are asked about subjective states, feelings, attitudes, and
opinions, there is no objective way of validating the answers. Only the person has access
to his or her feelings and opinions. Thus the only way of assessing the "validity" of
reports of subjective states is the way in which they correlate either with other answers
that a person gives or with other facts about the person's life that one thinks should be
related to what is being measured. For such measures, there is no truly independent direct
measure possible; the meaning of answers must be inferred from patterns of association.
This fundamental difference in the meaning of validity requires sepa- rate discussions
regarding ways of maximizing validity.
Levels of Measurement
There are four different ways in which measurement is carried out in social sciences. This
produces four different kinds of tasks for respondents and four different kinds of data for
analysis:
1. Nominal - people or events are sorted into unordered categories. ("Are you male
or female?")
2. Ordinal - people or events are ordered or placed in ordered categories along a
single dimension. ("How would you rate your health - very good, good, fair, or
poor?")
3. Interval data - numbers are attached that provide meaningful information about
the distance between ordered stimuli or classes. (In fact, interval data are very
rare. Fahrenheit temperature readings are among the few common examples.)
4. Ratio data - numbers are assigned that have absolute meaning such as a count or
measurement by an objective, physical scale such as distance, weight, or pressure.
("How old were you on your last birthday?")
Most often in surveys, when one is collecting factual data, respondents are asked to fit
themselves or their experiences into a category, creating nominal data, or they are asked
for a number, most often ratio data. "Are You employed?", "Are you married?". and 'Do
You have arthritis?" are examples of questions that provide nominal data. "How many
times have 'you seen a doctor?" "How old are you?", and 'What is your income?" are
examples of questions to which respondents are asked to provide real numbers for ratio
data.
When gathering factual data, respondents may be asked for ordinal answers. For
example, they may be asked to report their incomes in relatively large categories or to
describe their behavior in non numerical terms ("usually. occasionally, seldom, or
never"). When respondents are asked to report factual events in ordinal terms, it is
because great precision is not required by the researcher or because the task of reporting
an exact number was considered too difficult; ordinal classification seemed a more
realistic task for a respondent. However, there usually is a real numerical basis
underlying an ordinal answer to a factual question."
The situation is somewhat different with respect to reports of subjective data. Although
there have been efforts over the years, first in the work of a psychophysical psychologists
(eg., Thurstone, 1929), to have people assign numbers to subjective states that met the
assumptions of interval and ratio data, for the most part respondents are asked to provide
nominal and ordinal data about subjective states. The nominal question is, "Into which
category do your feelings, opinions, or perceptions fall?" The ordinal question is "Where
along this continuum do your feelings, opinions, or perceptions fall?"
When designing a questionnaire, a basic task of the researcher is to decide what kind of
measurement is desired. When that decision is made, there are some clear implications
for the form in which the question will be asked.
Types of Questions
Survey questions can be classified roughly into two groups: those for which a list of
acceptable responses is provided to the respondent (closed questions) and those for which
the acceptable responses are not provided exactly to the respondent (open questions).
When the goal is to put people in unordered categories (nominal data), the researcher has
a choice about whether to ask an open or closed question. Virtually identical questions
can be designed in either form.
Agree-disagree items are very prevalent in the survey research field and therefore deserve
special attention. One can see that the task that respondents are given in such items is
different from that of placing themselves in an ordered category. The usual approach is to
read a statement to respondents and ask them if they agree or disagree with that
statement. The statement is located somewhere on a continuum such as that portrayed in
Figure 5.1. Respondents’ locations on that continuum are calculated by figuring out
whether they say they are very close to that statement (by agreeing) or saying their
feelings are very far from where that statement is located (by disagreeing).
The use of agree-disagree questions to order respondents has two main potential limits.
5.15 In the next five years, this country will probably be strong and prosperous.
Problems. It obviously is possible for someone to have the view that the country will be
strong but not prosperous or vice-versa. Since prosperity and strength do not go together
necessarily, a respondent may have trouble knowing what to do.
5.16 With economic conditions the way they are these days, it really isn't fair to have
more than one or two children.
Problems. If a person does not happen to think that economic conditions are terrible
(which the question imposes as an assumption person does not believe that economic
conditions of whatever kind have any implications for family size, but if that person
happens to think one or two children is a good target for a family, it is not easy to answer
the question.
THREE-CATEGORY SCALE
FOUR-CATEGORY SCALE
FIVE-CATEGORY SCALE
The problem then is knowing what the respondent agreed to, if he or she agreed. Asking
two or three questions at once and having imbedded assumptions in questions are very
common problems with the agree-disagree format. The agree-disagree format appears to
he a rather simple way to construct questionnaires. In fact, to use this form to provide
reliable, useful measures is not easy and requires a great deal of care and attention. In
many cases, researchers would have more reliable and interpretable measures if they used
a different question form.
When a researcher asks a factual question of a respondent, the goal is to have the
respondent report with perfect accuracy, that is, give the same answer that the researcher
would have given if the researcher had access to the information needed to answer the
question. There is a rich methodological literature on the reporting of factual material.
Reporting has been compared against records in a variety of areas, in particular the
reporting of economic and health events (see Cannell et al., 1977a, for a good summary).
There are several steps that the researcher can take to combat each of these potential
problems.
INTERPRETATION
Out of the sample population 33% of the population are of the age
group more than 41 year. In addition to this 53% of the population have
their bank account in Punjab National bank for more than 5 year.
106% of the population who have their bank account in Punjab
National bank are Govt. servant.112% of the population have saving
account in PNB. 29% of the customer are satisfy with their investment
in PNB which show a major part of the population. 63% of the
population are not availing loan from PNB. Most the customer are
availing personnel and vehicle loan. While only 16% of the customer are
availing education loan. Most of the people have been informed by bank
staff. Punjab National Bank provide a suitable rate of interest and
maturity period.
Interpretations of Q10.
Respondents were asked to rate the various attributes of Life Insurance Policy on the
scale of 5
Out of 9 variables we are able to reduce them to 3 factors which are free from
redundancy.
After the statistical computations of factoring have been completed, the next step is of
interpreting these factors. This is achieved by inspecting the pattern of high and low
loading of each of the factors on the variables.
Factor-1
Product information
Label Mean Factor Loading
1. Information 3.38 0.765
2. Withdrawal facility 3.98 0.737
3. Awareness of the product 3.42 0.878
As second factor has maximum mean. We can say that out of all variables this variable
influences most within the factor. All of the attributes within this factor have +ve loading
therefore we can say that these attributes affects the consumers decision significantly.
Factor – 2
Customer satisfication
Label Mean Factor Loading
1. Documentation 3.69 0.595
2. Handling charges 2.49 0.781
3. Co-operative staff 2.78 8.65
As first factor has maximum mean. We can say that out of all variables this variable
influences most within the factor. All of the attributes within this factor have +ve loading
therefore we can say that these attributes affects the consumers decision significantly
Factor – 3
Fexibility
Label Mean Factor loading
1. Maturity period 4.38 .613
2. Rate of interest 4.85 .592
3. Discounts & Free Gifts 3.27 .720
As Second factor has maximum mean. We can say that out of all variables this variable
influences most within the factor. All of the attributes within this factor have +ve loading
therefore we can say that these attributes affects the consumers decision significantly