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10 - Chapter 3 PDF
10 - Chapter 3 PDF
CHAPTER.3
DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION AND ITS IMPLICATION
ON AGED POPULATION IN KERALA
3.1. Introduction
In the previous chapter, we reviewed the available theories of
demographic transition and ageing. In this chapter we discuss demographic
transition specific to Kerala state. Kerala occupies 1.2 percent of the total area of
Indian union and accounts for 3.4 percent of the India‟s population. Like its
development experience, the spectacular performance in demographic indicators
has received the global attention to the state. Kerala‟s demographic structure is
characterised by Total Fertility Rate (1.8 children per women) below the
replacement level, an Infant Mortality Rate of 13 per 1000 live births, population
growth rate less than one percent etc, thus portraying the features of the final stage
of demographic transition. The model is against the expectation of positive
association between fertility and economic development (Notestein, 1945). The
dramatic decline in fertility indicates that even at low levels of economic
development, fertility transition can take place with the progress made in the
social sector. With rising life expectancy and below replacement fertility, Kerala is
likely to achieve zero population growth years ahead. One of the direct
consequences of this trend is the problem of population ageing, which is also the
focus of the thesis. However the problems of the aged cannot be discussed without
glimpsing through demographic transition in Kerala. Hence the present chapter
makes an attempt to analyse the trends and pattern of demographic transition in
Kerala and its implications on aged population.
Table 3.1
Trends of Population Growth in Kerala-1901-2026
Year Population in millions
Persons Males Females
1901 6396262(100) 3191466(49.89) 3204796(50.11)
1911 7147673(100) 3559425(49.80) 3588248(50.20)
1921 7802127(100) 3879458(49.72) 3922669(50.28)
1931 9507050(100) 4702951(49.47) 4804099(50.53)
1941 11031541(100) 5443296(49.34) 5588245(50.66)
1951 13549118(100) 6681901(49.32) 6867217(50.68)
1961 16903715(100) 8361927(49.47) 8541788(50.53)
1971 21347375(100) 10587851(49.59) 10759524(50.41)
1981 25403217(100) 12487961(49.16) 12915256(50.84)
1991 29098518(100) 14288995(49.11) 14809523(50.89)
2001 31838619(100) 15468664(48.59) 16369955(51.41)
2011* 34563000(100) 16859000(48.72) 17704000(51.22)
2026* 37254000(100) 18297000(49.12) 18956000(50.88)
Figures in the brackets show percentages
Source: Census of India, various years, Office of the Registrar General and
Census Commissioner India.
* Population Projections for India and States 2001-2026, Office of Registrar
General.
towards women. Throughout the census period, the proportion of females to total
population in the state is higher than males. The proportion of females to total
population has increased from 50.1 percent in 1901 to 50.53 percent in 1961 and
further to 51.4 percent in 2001. This trend is a very important indicator from
sociological point also. Almost all states experience a declining female population
because of the couple preference of male child.
3.3. Growth Rate and Decadal Change in Population
Table (3.2) shows the growth rate of Kerala‟s population and decadal
variation in population from 1901-2001.
Table 3.2
Growth Rate and Decadal Change in Population for 1901-2026
Year Growth rate Decadal change (in percent)
growth rate of India was 2.2 percent. The decadal variation in population growth
was also high during 1941-1971. The major factor contributing to this increase of
population was very high martial fertility and very low mortality rate (Zachiarah et
al, 1994). Realising the dangers of population expectations, the government of
India started to give added thrust on family planning from late 1960‟s. As a result
of this, from 1971 onwards, the state witnessed a declining trend in population
growth. The growth rates of population for the last two decades were 1.34 percent
and 0.91 percent respectively, lowest in the country. The decadal changes in
population during 1991-2001 were 9.42 percent. As mentioned, Kerala is one of
the states where family planning made notable progress. Large scale migration of
people to gulf countries and subsequent improvement in the standard of living of
the people has reduced the fertility rate.
Kerala is one among the states having urban population less than the
was 4.5 percent, while it was 11 percent at all India. As per 2001 census 25.9
percent of total population in the state resides in urban areas while it is 27.8
percent in India. But the Kerala society is largely termed as urbanized. Unlike
other states in India urbanization is not limited to cities and towns. The entire state
The proportion of rural population in the state has declined from 86.5 percent in
conflicting arguments on this. There are scholars who believe that rural-urban
agglomeration is more important. In 1901 the rural and urban population in Kerala
was 59.4 lakhs and 45 lakhs respectively. From 1901- 1951, the rural population in
the state increased 2 times and recorded a population of 117.2 lakhs, while urban
population in the state has recorded an increase of more than 3 times during the
same period. Again, from 1951-2001, state‟s population in rural areas has recorded
an increase of 118 lakhs people. During the same period urban population has
cities but due to increase in urban areas in the state and also urbanization of
Table 3.4
District Wise Population in Kerala
Districts 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
This is natural since the state is experiencing a decline in the growth rate of
population. Noteable increase in total population is in Malappuram district (an
increase of 17.22 percent) in 1991-2001 followed by Wayanad (17.04 percent) and
Kasaragod (12.30 percent). Lowest variation in population is in Pathanamthitta
district (3.64 percent). This indicates that Malappuram is behind other districts in
demographic transition. The population trends in the state show a disparity in
northern and southern regions. During the 40 years period the share of northern
districts to state‟s population has increased from 36.24 percent to about 42 percent.
Mohanachandran (1997) noticed that the two regions differ in respect to certain
characteristics like birth rates and average household size. Zachariah et al (1994)
pointed out socio-economic characteristics of population and historical lag of
northern districts in development process affecting demographic measures. The
picture will be clearer only when we examine district wise density of population.
3.6. Sex Ratio of Population in Kerala
Figure.3.1
1050
990
980
970
*
*
01
11
21
31
41
51
61
71
81
91
01
11
26
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Years
Source: Census of India, various years, Office of the Registrar General and Census
Commissioner, India
*Population Projections for India and states 2001-2026, Office of Registrar General.
72
Kerala is the only state in India where females out number males. Over
the last 100 years, the state showed sex ratio above the equality. This situation in
the state is quite impressive as compared to the national average. The sex ratio of
Kerala exhibits an increasing trend from 1004 females per 1000 males in 1901 to
1022 females per 1000 males in 1961. In 2001 the sex ratio of the state was 1058
females per 1000 males. This impressive picture of sex composition in Kerala is
not reflected in the sex ratio of children (0-6 years). The sex ratio of this age group
is in favour of boy child with 962 girls per 1000 boys. The condition is marginally
changing in recent years. Now, there is large number of families with three
children. Also, sex related Medical Termination of Pregnancy (MTP) has
considerably reduced. Sociologists believe that a U turn has started in the state‟s
demographic transition. Preferences for more children, preference for boy etc have
some association to the practices of inheritance. Projections show that sex-ratio of
general population shows a decline after 2001.
Table 3.5
District Wise Sex Ratio of Population
Districts 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
District wise sex ratio shows that four districts in the state are having sex
ratio lower than the state average. Of this Wayanad and Idukki are having sex ratio
below the equality ratio indicating fewer females for 1000 males. Among the
districts, Pathanamthitta is having highest sex ratio with 1094 females for 1000
males followed by Thrissur (1092 females per 1000 males). Idukki is having
lowest sex-ratio in the state (993 females per 1000 males).
Figure 3.2
Density of Population in Kerala for 1901-2001
Density of population
1200
1000 959
889
No: of persons per sq km
819
800 749
655
600 549
Density
435
400 349
284
245
201
200 165 184
0
01
11
21
31
41
51
61
71
81
91
01
*
11
26
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Years
Source: Census of India, various years, Office of the registrar general and
census commissioner India
*Population projections for India and states 2001-2026, Office of registrar
general.
Kerala is one of the most densely populated states in India. As per
2001 census the state is having third position in respect of density. The density of
population for India as a whole is 324 persons per sq km while Kerala is having a
density more than three times. From early days onwards, Kerala had more people
per sq km than India. In 1901 Kerala‟s population density was 165 people per sq
km, while India‟s was 77 persons per sq km. It is seen that the density of the state
74
has increased about 5 times from 1901 to 2001. As per 1961 census the density of
population for Kerala is 435 persons per sq km and it went up to 749 persons per
sq km in 1991 and further to 819 persons per sq km in 2001. This is one of the
contradictions in the demographic characteristics of Kerala in spite of having
lowest rate of growth of population; the state emerged as most crowded state in
India. One of the explanations is the lowest share of the state in the geographical
area. Kerala constitutes only 1.2 percent of the country‟s land area. High land man
ratio is the root cause of state‟s many problems. This has far reaching
consequence in the spheres of environment health, public health infrastructure
needs, employment and housing (Nair, 2010). Table (3.6) shows the district wise
density of population in Kerala.
Table 3.6
Density of Population from 1951-2001
Table 3.7
Gender wise Literacy Rate of Kerala
Literacy rate (1951-2001)
Year Persons Male Female
1951 47.18 58.35 36.43
1961 55.08 64.89 45.56
During this period, the natural growth rate of population reached its highest rate
(22.6) in the state. Until 1960, because of high mortality rate the natural growth of
population in India was lower than Kerala, 12.5 in 1941-1951 and 20.9 in 1951-
61. This accelerated increase in population in the first half of 20th century in Kerala
is not due to increase in birth rate but because of fall in death rate. Improvement
and spread of health facilities also contributed to decline in the mortality rate
(Bhat and Rajan, 1997). The crude birth rate of population was 40 births per 1000
population during 1931-1941. Fertility transition has occurred in the 1970‟s with
25.4 births per 1000 population. Thereafter, the state continued to experience a
rapid decline in the birth rate reaching 14.7 births in 2007. A drop in IMR during
1960‟s may be the reason for this decline. Davis (1963) in his study also presented
a similar view. A drop in IMR made people aware of the consequences of large
number of children. Death rate in the state has reached a low level of 6 deaths per
1000 in 1991 and further decline is almost ruled out biologically also. From 2004
onwards, CDR in Kerala shows an increasing trend. This increase in CDR is a
reflection of the faster increase in elderly population rather than deterioration in
medical services (Kumar, 2010). Demographic projections show that the crude
birth rate and death rate in the state by 2021-2025 will be 12.3 and 7.8
respectively. Various studies (Pillai.1983, Zachariah and Kurup 1984)conducted
indicate that female literacy, socio-economic changes, increased preference and
performance of family planning programme, declining IMR etc as the factors
contributing to this decline.
Figure.3.3
6
5.6
5 5
3.4
TFR
3 3.1
Total
2.6
Fertility
2 2.1 Rate
1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
0
1
5*
5*
5*
96
97
97
98
98
99
99
00
00
01
02
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-2
-2
-2
-2
51
61
71
76
81
86
91
96
01
11
21
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
20
20
20
Years
In 1951-61 the TFR for Kerala was 5.6 children per woman of
reproductive age. High IMR in the early decades was found to be the reason for
high TFR. It dropped to 3.4 in 1971- 75 and to 3 children per woman in 1976-80.
Zachiarh et al (1994) shows that about 70 percent of fertility decline in 1970‟s
were due to the implementation of family planning measures. During 1980‟s when
TFR was close to replacement level demographers believed that further decline
was unlikely, but TFR continued to decline. The state has achieved the
replacement rate of fertility (2.1children per woman) in the second half of 1980
much ahead the all India target of 2011. Maternal and Child Health programme
(MCH) have contributed to largest decline in fertility during 1980‟s (Zachiarh,
1997). As per the SRS data the fertility rate has reached 1.8 in 1996-2000 and is
expecting to experience stable fertility till 2025. If this situation continues in the
coming decades, the state will be having negative growth rate of population and
79
total population will start declining. The experience of state shows that high
female labour participation which is a proxy for the opportunity cost of child care
has not been necessary for fertility decline (Kabeer, Nila, 1996). Several studies
have pointed out fall in IMR, female literacy, rise in age at marriage as the factors
contributing for this declining trend of fertility rate in Kerala (Murthi et al 1995).
But as mentioned earlier, there are signs of an increase in the number of children
in families since 2005. But this requires detailed studies which are not in the
agenda of this thesis. District wise details show that, all the districts in Kerala have
achieved the replacement level of fertility rate except Malappuram with TFR of
2.4 births per women. The lowest total fertility rate of 1.5 is reported for many
districts, including Alappuzha, Pathanamthitta and Ernakulam.
3.7.3. Infant Mortality Rate in Kerala
Caldwell (1993) point out that fertility decline would be more likely, if
child mortality could be reduced.
Table 3.9
Infant Mortality rate in Kerala
Year IMR
1911-21 242
1921-31 210
1931-41 173
1941-51 153
1951-61 120
1961-1971 66
1971-1981 54
1991 16
2001 11
2002 10
2004 12
2005 14
2006 15
2007 13
2011-2015* 10
2021-2025* 8.4
IMR was quite high in the first half of 20th century. It is observed that
over the years this rate has come down to 120 per 1000 live births in 1951-61 and
66 per 1000 live births in 1961-71. In 1991 IMR in Kerala further declined and
reached 16 per 1000 live births which is the lowest in the country. Large
investments made by the government in health services particularly to improve the
condition of children and women in the state have contributed for this sharp
decline in IMR. Recent Sample Registration System (SRS) estimates show that
though this decline continued up to 2002, from 2004 onwards IMR in the state has
marginally increased to 12 per 1000 live births and later to 15 per 1000 live births.
Table 3.10
Gender wise Life Expectancy in Kerala
Life Expectancy (in years)
Year Male-female
Males Females difference
1961 46.2 50 3.8
1971 60.5 61.1 0.6
1981 60.6 62.1 1.5
1991 66.9 72.8 5.9
2001 68 74 6
2001-06 75.20 81.20 6
2006-11 75.78 81.78 6
2011-2016 76.29 82.29 6
2021-2026 77.15 83.15 6
2031-2036 77.89 83.89 6
2041-2046 78.55 84.55 6
2046-2051 78.85 84.85 6
to 60.6 years in 1981 and to 68 years in 2001. Over the same period the female life
expectancy has risen from 50 years to 62.1 years and further to 74 years. This may
be due to improvement in medical and health facilities. According to the
projections made for the period (2001-2051), life expectancy at birth for males in
Kerala is expected to rise about 78.9 years. Expectation of life at birth for females
is predicted to increase from 81.8 years in 2006-2011 to 84.9 years from 2046-51.
By contrast to all India pattern, throughout the period females in the state are
having high life expectancy than males. The gender gap in the extension of life at
birth in the state was 3.8 years in 1961. It has widened by 32 percent in 2001 with
a gap of 6 years. High life expectancy among females in the state contrary to all
India pattern made them increasingly living alone at old age. Women‟s increasing
life expectancy is attributed to behavioural and social factors. Negative health
behaviour like smoking, alcohol consumption, violence and accidents account for
men‟s excess mortality (Markides, 1992)
The average household size in the state during 1961 was 5.79 persons per
household slightly higher than the national average (5.16). At present the average
household size in Kerala is 4.8 persons per household. According to the 2001
census, 3 per cent of households are single member households and another 7 per
cent are with just two members and only 27 per cent of households have more than
six members in the house holds. Increase in the cost of rearing children may be the
reason for lower family size. Sushama (1996) observed that parent‟s desire for few
children is with the assumption that children will care them at old age if they
provide children better life now. This indicates that there is a shift in parents‟
preference from number to quality of children by increasing spending on
education, similar to the view presented by Becker in 1960 (Currais, 2000). But
trends since 2000 indicate that there is large number of families with 3 children
(Status report, 2006). In such cases, the gender composition of the children were
also examined and found that the elder two will either be both males and females.
Thus the couple desire to have both gender led to this phenomenon.
82
Table 3.12
Demographic Profile of Aged in Kerala
Source: Census Reports from 1961-2001, Office of Registrar General and Census
Commissioner, India
S.Irudaya Rajan and Zachariah, 1998 for 2011-2051
Figure 3.4
100%
percentage of aged population
80%
80+
60%
75-79
70-74
65-69
40%
60-64
20%
0%
1 2 3 4 5
Years
Source: Census report from various years, Office of Registrar General and
Census Commissioner, India
Table 3.13
Age Wise Distribution of Elderly in the Districts in 2001
District wise census data indicate that highest number of elderly was
in Ernakulam district (352743) followed by Thrissur (346943). Lowest number of
elderly aged 60 and above is in Wayanad (58097) followed by Kasaragod (98838).
The picture would be different if we examine the elderly‟s proportion to total
population in the districts. According to 2001 census data, the proportion of
elderly to total population is highest in Pathanamthitta district (14.62 percent).
Age- wise distribution of elderly shows that the highest proportion of elderly aged
80+ is reported in Pathanamthitta district (14.19 percent of total aged population)
and lowest in Malappuram district (10 percent). Census data 2001 show that one-
87
tenth of population in nine districts was aged 60 and above. This is likely to go up
to 20 percent in near future.
3.5) the proportion of young old to total population is expected to reach more than
one-third of total population in 2051.
Figure 3.5
3
Growth rate
young
2
old
old-
1 old
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
-1
Years
Age-wise sex ratio shows a trend favourable to older women with their
proportion in total population increases with age. In 1961 the sex ratio of
population aged 60-64 years were 934 males per 1000 females. For older persons
aged 80 and above the sex ratio were only 840 males per 1000 females during the
same year. This may be because female mortality rate is less than males at all
ages. It is seen that in 2001, the sex ratio of elderly in the state has declined further
to 802 males per 1000 females. In 2001, there are fewer men for women at all age
groups. Larger gender-gap in life expectancy favourable to women may be the
reason for this declining trend.
1981 18.1 23.8 12.6 31.8 36.5 27.2 88.5 93.4 84.2
1991 17.8 23.6 12.5 25.8 30.7 21.7 89.6 99.2 81.6
1971 26.9 29.6 24.6 43.6 53.5 34.3 112.7 132.8 96.7
Urban
1981 21.6 25.8 17.8 39.1 54.4 27.2 76.3 93.2 63.8
Age specific death rate among elderly shows a decline in death rate of
elderly during the 30 year period. Among elderly aged 70+ the death rate in 1971
was 102 per 1000 elderly. It declined to around 90 per 1000 elderly in 1991. In
urban areas, the death rate of elderly aged 70 and above in Kerala was about 113
per 1000 persons. It declined to 71 percent in 1991. The death rate of elderly has
declined faster in urban areas i.e. a decline of about 60 percent compared to 13
percent in rural area. This may be because of the better health care facilities
90
available in the urban Kerala. Gender-wise differences are evident from the data
with low death rate among older women compared to older men. It is also noticed
that as age advances the gap in the death rate has widened. This may lead to more
chance for feminization of ageing.
3.7.12. Measures of Ageing Process
The conventional tools for studying the ageing process are median
age, index of ageing and dependency ratio.
Table 3.17
Median Age of Population
Source: Census reports, Office of Registrar General and Census Commissioner, India
The changes in the median age indicate the extent of population ageing
of a country. The median age of a population is the age that divides the population
into two groups of the same size, such that half of the total population is younger
than this age and the other half older. The median age of Kerala was lower than
India in 1961. It increased gradually up to 1981. Since 1981, the median age of
Kerala increased faster than India. The median age of Kerala has recorded an
increase of more than 8 years during the period 1961-2001, while median age of
India has shown an increase of only about 2 years. As with Kerala most of the
increase in median age happened after 1980‟s. This may be because in the second
half of 1980‟s Kerala has reached the third stage of demographic transition with a
reduction in fertility rate. As per 2001 census, the median age of the state is 27.5
years. Projections drawn on the basis of 2001 census, show that half of the
population in Kerala will age 37 or above by 2026. This shows that by 2026
91
Kerala will reach the status of many Eurpoean countries. Median age of females is
higher than males both at state and national level even though the difference is
only marginal. Thus the computation of median age by various scholars cautions
the near danger of ageing population and the consequences.
3.7.13. Index of Ageing
The ageing index is calculated as the number of persons 60 years old
or over per 100 persons under age 15. Table (3.18) shows the index value for the
period 1961- 2001.
Table 3.18
Index of Ageing from 1961-2001
Source: Census reports for various years, Office of Registrar General and Census
Commissioner, India
In 1961 the ratio of persons aged 60 and above to children younger than
15 years was 13.7 in Kerala and India. For the country as a whole, during the
period 1961- 2001, the index value of ageing increased to 21 elderly persons per
100 children, while in Kerala index value during the same period increased more
than 3 times. The ratio of elderly to children was about 14 elderly persons to 100
children. As per 2001, for every hundred young children we have 40 older persons
in Kerala. Projections based on 2001 census show that there will be 97 older
persons for every 100 children in Kerala by 2026. This age composition has social
implications also.
92
90
80
70
dependency ratio
60
child dependency
50
ratio
40 old age
dependency ratio
30
20
10
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Years
Source: Census reports for various years, Office of Registrar General and
Census Commissioner, India
The trends show that child dependency ratio has shown a decline from
82.71 percent to 39.73 percent during 1961-2001 and an increasing trend in the
case of old age dependency ratio from 11.2 percent to 15.06 percent. At present,
child population accounts for larger share in overall dependency ratio.
93
Demographic projections suggest that by 2030, the age dependency ratio will
surpass the child dependency ratio in the state. It may be inferred that, in the
coming decades the burden of a large group of aged people will have to be borne
by relatively smaller younger population. Table (3.19) shows the gender-wise
distribution of old age dependency in state.
Table 3.19
Gender Wise Old Age Dependency Ratio in India and Kerala
1961 1971 1981 1991 2001
Male 11.13 11.26 12.59 13.72 15.24
Table 3.20
Level of Economic Dependence of Elderly
Dependency Status
Table 3.21
Incidence of Morbidity of Aged in Kerala
Male Female All ages
Male Female
Rural 56.2 58.6 24.2 26.6
Kerala
Source: Govt of India (2006): Morbidity, Health care and condition of aged,
NSSO 60th round (January- June 2004), NSS Report No.507, NSSO, NewDelhi
The state is known for high levels of morbidity rate for all ages
(Suryanarayana2008). Co-existence of high level of morbidity with low level of
mortality has attracted the attention of scholars. Incidence of morbidity rate is
higher in Kerala with nearly one fourth of the population suffers from diseases
while the rate is less than 10 percent for all India (table 3.21). This is reflected in
the case of aged population. Gender-wise analysis shows that older women suffer
from more morbidity than men. A study (Vijay Kumar et al, 1994) also confirmed
that though the death rates are lower, women suffer from more morbidity than
men. High humidity levels and wet monsoons in the state may be the reason for
high morbidity rate in the state. Negative life style habits of elderly adversely
affect their health and increases the morbidity conditions among the elderly
(Mutharayappa and Bhat, 2008) Further it is added that high literacy and
accessibility of health providers in Kerala lead to reporting high morbidity (Nair,
2010)
elderly shows that nearly one-tenth of elderly men are widowers, while 58.7
percent of older women are widows. This gender difference is mainly due to high
life expectancy of women than men and due to the practice of women to marry
men older than themselves. Further, there is less chance for widows to remarry
than widowers. These trends lead to the problem of loss of emotional support, and
greater dependency among older women. From the period 1961-2001, an
increasing trend is witnessed in the case of elderly whose current status is married
due to an improvement in life expectancy of both men and women in the state.
This may be due to an improvement in life expectancy of elderly as result of better
health care facilities in the state.
High literacy rate of Kerala is reflected in the case of elderly also. The
literacy rate of elderly in the state is 68.46 percent much higher than all India level
(36.31 percent). The census data show that the proportion of elderly who are
literate increases from 48.44 percent in 1981 to 68.46 percent in 2001. This trend
suggests that the proportions of elderly who are literates are more likely to
increase in the coming decades. Though the gender gap in old age literacy is
narrowing, it is still high compared to general population. The gender gap in the
literacy rate declined from 36.66 percent in 1961 to 23.39 percent in 2001. Male-
female difference in literacy rate is 6.34 percent for general population. This is
because those who are now at the age of 60 and above have born in 1930‟s or
1940. Chances of female education were very limited in those days in Kerala. The
proportion of elderly with educational level up to primary or below has declined
from 65.33 in 1981 to 46.99 in 2001. Nearly one-fourth of elderly are having
educational qualifications above middle school in 2001. It is noted that 16 percent
of elderly in the state has educational qualification matric or above in 2001. Their
proportion may likely to increase in coming decades causing pressure for
government in the form of social security or pension benefits.
Table 3.22
Work participation rate of Elderly in Kerala (in percentages)
Source: Census reports for various years, Office of Registrar General and Census
Commissioner, India
Table 3.23
Activity Status of Non-Workers in Kerala
Source: Census reports for various years, Office of Registrar General and Census
Commissioner, India
3.9. Conclusion
The changes in the age structure and gender of elderly population
have posed serious challenge in the demographic and development field. In
coming decades the major challenge before the state is provision of employment
opportunities, social security and pension for the aged. A large share of old age
population will increase the welfare expenditure of the government in the form of
social security. Further, high life expectancy raises the cost of promoting benefits
as the government has to provide benefits over a longer period. Though the policy
holders raised the problem of state‟s affordability in providing social security
benefits to the growing elderly population, how far these schemes are efficient in
providing support to the elderly is also a matter of concern. Hence in the forth
coming chapters trends and issues related to the care and social security
arrangements of elderly in both formal and informal setting is analysed.
References
Bhat, P.N. Mari and Rajan, S.Irudaya (1997) Demographic Transition Since
Independence in K.C. Zachariah and S. Irudaya Rajan (Eds) Kerala‟s
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