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THE
BEST
NEW
HOME
LOANS Your home loans are now pegged to
external benchmarks. Find out how to
select the right lender. P2
Don’t buy stocks How to help Use Goal Seek Best gadgets to
just because they parents with to manage your gift on a
are cheap medical needs financial goals budget
P8 P11 P13 P26
cover story
02 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
THE BEST
NEW HOME
LOANS
Your home loans are now
pegged to external
benchmarks. Find out how
to select the right lender
and optimise benefits
PHOTOS: GETTY IMAGES
O
n 1 October, all banks shifted Base Rate and Marginal Cost of Funds-
to the Reserve Bank of India- Based Lending Rate (MCLR). “For more Internal benchmarks did not keep pace with RBI’s repo rate.
mandated external bench- than 20 years after the RBI deregulated 12
marks for pricing their new lending rates of banks, the absence of
home loans. While banks smooth transmission remained a matter
SBI Base Rate / MCLR
have chosen to keep it a low-key affair, for of concern,” the apex bank noted in an 10 8.15
retail borrowers, a shift to loans linked addendum to the report of its Internal
to an external benchmark holds more Study Group. The group observed that 7.50
potential than any other benchmarking internal benchmarks such as the Base Repo rate
8
mechanism implemented so far. Read on Rate and MCLR have not delivered effec-
to understand how you can get the best tive transmission of monetary policy. It
out of the new regime. recommended a switchover to an external 5.15
benchmark to plug this gap. 6
The rationale Banks have often cited higher internal
For long, a major grouse of home loan cost of funds as a key reason for not being
borrowers was their lenders’ tendency to able to ensure complete policy transmis- 4 5.75
increase lending rates in line with RBI’s sion. RBI reduced policy rates cumula-
policy rate hike but drag their feet when tively by 110 bps between February and
it came to passing on rate cut benefits. August 2019. Banks, however, reduced
2
Existing borrowers also frequently came interest rates on new loans by just 29 bps
across banks offering lower rates to at- during the period. This was noted by
tract new borrowers. RBI in its monetary policy review on 4
Several benchmarking regimes in- October. It said monetary transmission 0
troduced by the banking regulator over “remained staggered and incomplete.” In 4 Sep 2010 4 Sep 2013 4 Sep 2016 4 Sep 2019
the years in a bid to change the situation fact, lending rates on outstanding loans
Note: Note: Base Rates were in effect till the introduction of MCLR.Source: ETIG
have met with limited success. These increased by 7 bps during the same pe-
cover story
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 03
The effective interest rate will include the spread decided by individual banks
Borrowers will benefit if they opt for loans that come with a narrower spread and transparent credit assessment.
LOWEST# (%) HIGHEST# (%) LOWEST # (%) HIGHEST# (%) LOWEST# (%) HIGHEST# (%) LOWEST # (%) HIGHEST# (%)
SBI 3.05-3.3 Internal assessment 8.45 8.55 8.60 8.70 8.50 8.75 8.65 8.95
BoB 2.95-3.95 CIBIL score 8.35 9.35 8.35 9.35 8.40 9.40 8.40 9.40
Union Bank of India 3.05-3.15 CIBIL score 8.45 8.55 8.45 8.55 8.50 9.00 8.50 9.00
ICICI Bank 3.9-4.2 Credit score 9.30 9.45 9.45 9.60 8.70 9.05 9.20 9.20
Axis Bank 3.45-4.1 Internal assessment 8.85 9.30 8.90 9.50 9.00 9.00 9.05 9.05
Note: Most banks, except Citibank, have chosen RBI’s repo rate (5.4%) as their external benchmark, Citi’s benchmark is 3-month T-bill rate (5.32% on 1
October); all rates as on 1 October.
RBI reduced its repo rate by 25 bps on 4 October; banks will have to follow suit. Source: Bank websites,
*Over external benchmark rate; in addition, some banks offer 5 bps concession to women borrowers. Paisabazaar and
Rates will also be influenced by borrower’s credit assessment by the bank. MortgageWorld
riod. This prompted RBI to initially nudge benchmark. “As the repo rate is stable and rate plus a spread as decided by banks. In addition, a 15 bps credit risk premium
banks to move to an external benchmark does not change frequently, most banks are “The new effective rate would be repo rate comes into play for borrowers with the best
to price their loans and finally mandate a benchmarking their floating rate loans to + (negative carry on CRR + operating cost) internal risk grades (RG 1, 2, 3). Depending
switchover for all new retail floating-rate it,” says Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief + credit risk premium,” explains Ghosh. on source of income (salaried or non-
loans from 1 October. Earlier, the shift, pro- Economic Adviser, SBI. The T-Bill-linked Banks will have to reset the rates every salaried), the loan amount and internal
posed to be effective from 1 April, was de- rates could be more volatile (see graphic), three months. “Other components of the risk grading, the credit risk spread can be
layed due to concerns expressed by banks. say experts. “Moreover, they will be mar- spread including operating cost can be al- as wide as 75 bps. Women borrowers are of-
The new system will not be applicable to ket-driven, while repo rate will be driven tered once in three years. However, credit fered a 5 bps concession on interest rates.
housing finance companies regulated by by the regulator. Repo rate also scores over risk premium may undergo change only The initial experience of SBI’s repo-
the National Housing Bank (NHB). T-bill rate in terms of awareness amongst when the borrower’s credit assessment rate lending rate loan scheme introduced
The central bank has now allowed lay individuals. This is a plus from the undergoes a substantial change, as agreed voluntarily in July was encouraging. A 35
banks to choose between the repo rate, transparency standpoint,” says Vipul upon in the loan contract,” the RBI circular bps repo rate cut in August resulted in an
3 or 6-month treasury bills or any other Patel, Founder, MortgageWorld. mandating the move says. equivalent reduction in the product—now
benchmark market interest rate published For example, the State Bank of India withdrawn and replaced with a revised
by the FBIL. However, most banks have External benefits charges a spread of 265 points over the scheme—rate.
picked the repo rate as their external Your effective interest rate will be repo repo rate (5.4%) for a loan of up to `30 lakh. On the flipside, as banks have pointed
April 2016 to
October 2016
-0.5 -0.01 -0.15 -0.11 0.01
Note: #Existing loans and new loans | ^WALR: Weighted Average Lending Rate for banks | MCLR: Marginal Cost of Funds
based Lending Rate. | *: MCLR system was put in place on 1 April 2016.
Source: Reserve Bank of India.
cover story
04 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
out, borrowers run the risk of frequent Bank mentions that rates will vary based
increases in their interest outgo or EMIs on “bureau score.” “Clarity is yet to emerge
Why repo rate scores over T-bill when the rate cycle turns and RBI starts on the credit risk component for all banks.
Treasury bill-linked home loan rates could be more volatile. raising rates. However, floating-rate Borrowers will have to enquire before sign-
borrowers sign up for revision in loan ing loan contracts or wait till the picture is
rates depending on interest rates in the clearer,” says Patel.
7 REPO RATE system. Therefore, as long as borrowers Then, you need to look at how the risk
The repo rate is more stable as it changes once in two months. are aware of this fact at the time of loan scoring is being arrived at. “Banks may play
approval, the rate movement should not on credit risk premium, as internal assess-
6.00 result in shocks. ments are confidential,” says V.N. Kulkarni,
retired banker and financial counsellor.
6 Devil in the details “The concern is that banks could use this
Now that most banks have a uniform tool to avoid passing on an RBI rate cut, citing
5.15 benchmark, will choosing a lender change in borrower’s risk score,” he adds.
become easier? Not quite. For one, the Hence, it would be wise to enquire with your
spreads charged by banks vary, making bank and ensure that factors that will consti-
it a key determinant in selecting a lender. tute ‘substantial’ change in risk scoring are
5
“It is best to go with a bank that charges mentioned in the loan contract.
the narrowest spread over the repo rate. Better still, look for banks where the
The interest rate will then be most reflec- interest rates are transparently linked to
tive of the external benchmark rate,” easily-verifiable credit score. For example,
says Ratan Chaudhury, Head, Home Union Bank charges 8.45% if the borrower’s
4 Loans, Paisabazaar.com. credit score is over 750. If it’s below this
23 Aug 2017 4 Oct 2019 This apart, the credit risk component floor, borrower will have to shell out 10 bps
holds the key to this system’s success – it more. “Since the purpose of this switchover
can make or mar the newest effort to get is improvement in transparency, a similar
8 3-MONTH T-BILL banks to transmit monetary policy fully. exercise in disclosing risk scoring param-
The treasury-bill yield changes on a daily basis, making it more volatile. “Transparency in risk scoring and bor- eters will help. Borrowers have a right to
rowers’ ability to understand and verify know. Banks will have to justify the reasons
the same will be critical,” says Patel. for any change in credit assessment,” says
7
Do note that not all banks have Kulkarni. At the moment, clarity is yet to
6.11 disclosed the credit-risk-premium emerge on how all how banks can decide an
component of the spread separately. improvement or deterioration in risk scores.
While banks like SBI, Union Bank and Maintaining a clean credit history and high
6
5.23 Syndicate Bank have specified the credit credit score will become increasingly impor-
risk premium, over and above the base tant in coming days. Banks view those with
spread, some like ICICI Bank, Axis Bank CIBIL credit scores over 750 favourably.
and Citibank have not. Axis Bank’s web-
5 site states that the total spread over repo Make the switch in time
rate is between 3.45-3.9% for salaried Most industry-watchers are clear that bor-
borrowers. ICICI Bank mentions a total rowers will be better off under an external
spread between 3.9-4.05% for the cat- benchmarking regime. As experience with
4 egory. Moreover, while Union Bank and SBI’s RLLR scheme shows, there is a high
23 Aug 2017 4 Oct 2019 Syndicate Bank have decided to adopt chance of rate revisions being passed on to
the CIBIL score to determine risk, ICICI borrowers, teething issues notwithstanding.
Existing borrowers who are servicing MCLR
or Base Rate-linked loans can switch over to
the external benchmark-linked loans after
paying administrative or legal charges. The
If the EMI is reduced…
Switch ORIGINAL REVISED
final rate and other terms and conditions
will be similar to those for new borrowers
to Save Rate of interest 8.85% 8.50% in the same category. In its previous avatar,
SBI’s RLLR scheme allowed MCLR bor-
One can switch banks to Tenor 25 years 25 years
rowers to switch after paying 0.25% of the
avail of new rates. By pay- Loan amount 50,00,000 50,00,000 outstanding loan amount as conversion fee.
ing the same EMI even after Monthly EMI 41,447 40,261 Banks are yet to release detailed schedule of
the switch, one can save charges for repo-linked home loans.
substantially on interest. Interest payable 74,34,229 70,78,406
If you opt for home loan refinancing,
Interest saved* 3,55,822 charges include fees to be paid for lawyers,
valuers, besides insurance premium and
*Minimum savings assuming EMI is reduced
stamp duty on loan agreement. Processing
charges, too, need to be factored in though
If the EMI is maintained… most banks, particularly during the festive
ORIGINAL REVISED season, reduce or waive processing fees.
Rate of interest 8.85% 8.50% Opting for conversion or switching to your
existing bank’s repo-linked scheme will be
Tenor 25 years 22 years, 9 mths simpler. Do carry out a cost-benefit analysis.
Loan amount 50,00,000 50,00,000 You could wait till banks come out with de-
tails on credit risk premium and reset claus-
Monthly EMI 41,447 41,447
es. To determine whether you should shift to
Interest payable 74,34,229 63,19,022 your existing lender’s external benchmark-
EMIs saved* 27 linked loan or to a new bank, evaluate the
difference between the two rates. “Make the
Interest saved* 11,15,206 switch if the gap is at least 35 bps,” says Patel.
*Minimum savings assuming EMI as per 8.85% (higher rate) is maintained.
Note: A processing charge of `10,000 (maximum fee charged by SBI) will make a negligible dent on
Please send your feedback to
potential savings over total tenure; however, banks tend to waive this fee during festive seasons.
etwealth@timesgroup.com
Source: MortageWorld
financial planning
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 05
T
scheme while many others wait
endlessly for the right time to invest.
he cut in corporate tax rate has trig-
gered a clamour for a similar cut in
personal income tax rates. Godrej
“These attempts to micro manage invest- Group chairman Adi Godrej says the gov-
ments are futile. Most of the time, your ernment should bring down the personal
returns are defined by the asset alloca- tax rates to boost the economy. “The gov-
tion of your portfolio,” said Prableen ernment should provide more stimulus,”
Bajpai, Founder & Managing Partner, Godrej said at a function last week.
Finfix Research & Analytics. Bajpai was Asked if the reduction in the corporate
addressing the ET Wealth Investment tax would help in the revival of the indus-
Workshop in Lucknow, where she helped try, the Godrej group patriarch said : “It
GETTY IMAGES
participants understand the importance would, but more needs to be done. Personal
of asset allocation. tax rate should be also be cut down”.
“The current growth rate of economy is
How asset allocation works slow and we need to stimulate it. We need
Asset allocation simply means dividing to have the growth rate up and even if it
your money into different asset classes, to ride a four-wheeler, a concentrated suit all investors. “The allocation de- means that the fiscal deficit goes up, I do
including equity, fixed income, real es- portfolio invested in one asset class is pends on several factors, such as the stage not think it matters. It must do,” he said.
tate and gold. All these assets have their riskier than having multiple assets in of life you are in, how far are your goals, On 20 September, Finance Minister
own advantages. “One asset class can your portfolio. A car with four wheels geopolitical risks and your risk profile,” Nirmala Sitharaman announced a reduc-
mitigate the risk of the other in a differ- makes the journey less jerky and more Bajpai said. tion in the base corporate tax rate to 22%
ent market cycle. Over a period of time, comfortable,” said Bajpai. A diversified For instance, if your goal is a year away, from 30% as part of the stimulus measures
these assets together can shoulder the portfolio reduces the overall risk. Also, you will keep money in fixed income in- to revive the slowing economic growth.
common responsibility to take you to- the chances of reaching your destination struments. On the other hand, if you are Moreover, the Goods and Services Tax
wards your goals,” Bajpai explained. in time are higher. saving for your child’s higher education (GST) collections dropped sharply to a
A portfolio concentrated with one that is 15 years away, the equity compo- 19-month low of `91,916 crore in September,
asset class will not be very stable. “Just What is the ideal allocation? nent has to be high in your portfolio. mirroring a widening slowdown in
like it is difficult to ride a unicycle than There is no ideal asset mix which will – Avneet Kaur economy. – PTI
review preview
06 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
I
t will be difficult to satisfy the nev- increased probability of further rate cuts in
er ending demands of the markets. future policy meets, if growth estimates fall
The negative reactions coming further.
from both equity and debt markets af- First, the 25 bps cut was below expecta-
ter the latest rate cut by RBI reinforce tion for some market participants. “While
this truth. RBI on 4 October reduced the repo rate cut of 25 bps was in line with
repo rate by 25 basis points (100 basis consensus estimates, it was below the ex-
points constitute 1 percentage point). pectation of the bond market bulls,” says
Bond prices fell after the announce- Mihir Vora, CIO, Max Life Insurance. Debt
ment and 10-year yield moved up market participants were expecting a bigger
by 80 basis points (bond prices and cut because of visible global slowdown (ie
yields move in opposite directions). Purchase Manager Index data in developed
Similarly, benchmark equity indices market has gone below 50, which indicates
Sensex and Nifty fell by 1.14% and economic contraction in those countries).
1.23% respectively. The 10-year yield and repo rates moving
The stock market’s negative reac- in different directions is not a new thing.
tion to the sudden 80 bps reduction For example, the RBI reduced repo rates by
in growth estimates was on expected 60 bps during the last two months, but the 10-
lines. For example, RBI has reduced year yield went up 30 bps during same time.
the projected 2019-20 growth rate from Debt market’s concern with fiscal slip-
6.9% in August to 6.1% in October. page which is due to the massive corporate
With global growth threatened, ex-
perts have started doubting if this No change in small savings rates tax reduction announced by the Finance
Minister, is the main reason for this.
6.1% is achievable. “Based on recent Despite a general downtrend in interest In the previous quarter, rates of these Another worry pertains to states’ financ-
signs of local and global slowdown, rates, the rates of small savings schemes schemes had been cut by 10 basis points ing and consequently increased supply of
even this revised expectation of 6.1% have been kept unchanged for the (100 basis points equal 1 percentage the state development loans (SDLs). “We
may be disappointed,” says Suyash October-December 2019 quarter. All small point). It was expected that since govern- are expecting gross SDL supply to touch
Choudhary, Head – Fixed Income, savings schemes, including PPF, NSC and ment bond yields had declined almost 40 close to `600,000 crore in the current finan-
IDFC AMC. Sukanya Samriddhi Yojana will continue basis points during the quarter, the rates cial year, almost 30% higher than previous
Faltering growth and inflation to fetch the same interest rates as before. of these schemes will also be cut by 30-40 year and as a result, we would expect the
under control should have been good (See page 22 for prevailing rates). basis points. yield curve to start to steepen overtime,”
news for the debt market, but why did says Choudhary.
89.3%
is the decline in the
you are comfortable with it,” Pathak told
participants of the ET Wealth Investment
Workshop held at Lucknow.
He explained that debt funds carry
two kinds of risks: interest rate risk and
to choose schemes
with an average
maturity closer or
little less than their
investment horizon.
Yes Bank share price credit risk. “When interest rates move The strategy, he said,
up, the prices of bonds fall and vice versa. will help them avoid
from its peak of Investors must also know that the longer risk,” said Pathak. volatility. You can check the average matu-
`394 achieved in the duration or maturity, higher is the in- The other risk is credit risk. Pathak be- rity of the holdings of a debt scheme in its
August 2018. The terest rate risk,” said Pathak. lieves this risk is more dangerous as a de- monthly factsheet.
Long duration funds carry higher inter- fault can cause permanent loss of capital. Pathak said looking at past returns
private bank slid est rate risk because they are more sensi- In the past one year, we have seen a lot of was futile. “The performance can change
sharply to a tive to rate changes than short-term or credit events in the NBFC space and many significantly in a short time,” he said. “In
10-year low of `29 money market funds. “The NAVs of liquid debt mutual funds were hit by defaults and September 2018, one-year return of gilt
funds, which cannot invest in securities downgrades. “Credit risk funds, which funds was close to 1% and closer to 10% for
on 1 October after a of more than 91 days, mostly move in a invest in weaker companies with credit credit risk funds. Today, the returns are
forced sale of 10 crore straight line. But in case of long duration rating below AA, take higher risk and try at around 14% for gilt funds and 0.83% for
pledged shares. or dynamic bond funds, there is a lot of to earn higher returns by better managing credit risk funds,” he explained.
fluctuation due to higher interest rate the credit. Default can cause permanent – Avneet Kaur
review preview
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 07
GETTY IMAGES
or any permanent exclusions. This would the passengers.
reduce grievances among policyholders,”
says Shreeraj Deshpande, Chief Operating Firms opting for low tax
Officer, Future Generali India Insurance. won’t get MAT credit
Insurers will also not be able to deny vors who contracted the illness long ago. tion, oral chemotherapy, immunotherapy Companies looking to switch to
coverage outright to those suffering from The change will bring more individuals etc will have to be covered by insurers. the just-lowered 22% corporate tax
critical illnesses or conditions like can- in the ambit of coverage. “The guidelines “By mandating inclusion of modern pro- rate without exemptions, will not
cers, heart-related ailments, Alzheimer’s, bring in a lot of clarity. Once the insurer cedures, the guidelines have made polices be able use accumulated credit of
Parkinson’s, HIV/AIDS and so on. The list decides to bring policyholders into the more inclusive,” says Shanai Ghosh, CEO- minimum alternate tax. In a detailed
covers 16 such ailment categories. Until portfolio after excluding say chronic kid- Designate, Edelweiss General Insurance. circular issued last week, the Central
now, those with these conditions were not ney diseases, all claims not pertaining to However, these changes could also push Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) said
considered eligible for health policies. this condition will be covered,” explains up the premiums. “Most changes are wel- that though MAT credit will not be
“For instance, people who suffered from Sanjay Datta, Chief, Underwriting, Claims come from a policyholder’s perspective. available, companies will have the
say epilepsy could not get health cover and Reinsurance, ICICI Lombard. However, providing coverage to modern option to go for the new regime
earlier even for non-related conditions. Pre-existing diseases (PED) will be treatment procedures entails a cost. And after completely utilising their
accumulated MAT credit.
They will now be able to, with permanent defined as the ones that were diagnosed by this could get reflected in premiums
exclusions for the existing diseases,” says a physician within 48 months before the once the new framework is in place,” says New investment norms
Mahavir Chopra, Director, Life, Health policy issuance. Amit Bhandari, Chief Technical Officer,
and Strategic Alliances, Coverfox.com. In addition, the specified modern treat- Magma HDI General Insurance.
for debt mutual funds
Sebi has issued new investment
Similar was the case with cancer survi- ment procedures like deep brain stimula- – Preeti Kulkarni
rules for debt mutual funds. Fund
may not invest in unlisted securities
including unlisted commercial paper.
However, there are some exceptions
use NEFT facility Don’t fall intsruments that don’t normally have
a credit rating. Funds can invest
in unlisted NCDs provided they
GETTYIMAGES
pany-specific issues. It makes sense to
avoid companies with governance issues.
Similarly, it is better to stick with large
caps while following this strategy. “The
chance of value traps is more among mid-
by Narendra Nathan growth due to continued government to wait for concrete action, especially on and small-caps, so investors need to be ex-
interference is one problem faced by this the mode, style and conditions of divest- tra careful,” says Gopalan. We searched
T
here is extreme volatility in the segment. These counters are also getting ment,” says Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail large-cap stocks that are part of BSE
stock market at present. Some battered because of piecemeal divestment Research, HDFC Securities. Even if the 200. We shortlisted stocks that are close
stocks are trading at all-time by the government using CPSE ETFs. Now government shows will, six months of this to 10-year lows. We restricted ourselves
highs and others at decade lows. that the government has started talking financial year is already gone and there- to stocks that are expected to give good
Economic logic suggests a prod- strategic sales, will the sentiments change? fore, a small time period is going to be the upside potential as per consensus analyst
uct is an attractive buy if it is available at Experts are not sure. “Since privatising next issue. “Strategic divestments may not estimates. Given below is the list of stocks
a discount. There are a number of stocks a PSE is a political hot potato, we prefer happen in the next six months. The gov- that investors can consider now.
going dirt cheap right now. For example,
Yes Bank is quoting at `32, compared to its
all-time high of `404 around a year back. If
you widen your search to include mid- and Bharat Heavy Electricals 10-YR HIGH 10-YR LOW 10-YR FALL FROM
small-cap counters, you will find a large CMP (`) PRICE (`) PRICE (`) RANGE 10-YR HIGH
number of stocks going for 90% less than Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL) is a classic case of value
46.85 359.33 46.05 0% 87%
their peak prices. Should you buy stocks destruction. `100 invested in 2009 has become `15 now! You
250
quoting at significant discounts to all-time would have got `224 if you had invested the same money
SENSEX
highs? Experts advise caution. You could in the Sensex. Power sector woes hit the company hard. The 200 223.56
well be trying to catch a falling knife. power sector index fell 40% over the past 10 years. Due to a
Several companies have lost value due slowdown in new power generation projects, the order inflow 150 ET CAPITAL
to valid reasons. Investors should find out for BHEL is also waning. However, the power surplus situation GOODS
100
why they are quoting at low prices. Stocks is transitory and will turn deficit once the current transmission 150.95
usually crash for three reasons—general problems are sorted out in 2-3 years. Being a leading capital 50
goods player catering to the power sector, this eventual upturn BHEL
economic weakness, sectoral or segmental
in the power capex cycle will be a positive for BHEL. Despite 0 14.95
weakness and company-specific issues.
Had it been general economic weakness, short-term worries, experts are also bullish on its throwaway 1 Oct 2009 1 Oct 2019
VALUATIONS ANALYST VIEWS
the crash would have been across the board valuations. “BHEL’s net cash position of `5,500 crore as of
March 2019 and receivable book of `38,000 crore provide DIV. TARGET EX
and not restricted to a few segments. PE PB YIELD BUY HOLD SELL PRICE GAIN
Once we went through the list of compa- valuation support given that its total market capitalisation is
nies quoting close to 10-year lows, we could less than 0.5 times its receivables,” says a Emkay report. 20.66 0.56 4 9 16 9 63.07 35%
spot sectoral and segmental pockets. For
instance, a large number of these stocks The 10-year range calculates whether a company’s CMP is close to its 10-year low (value will be close to zero) or to
are public sector enterprises (PSEs). Slow its 10-year high (value will be close to 100). Values are normalised to a base of 100.
stocks
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 09
Glenmark ONGC
Glenmark’s US business is still facing
10-YR HIGH 10-YR LOW 10-YR FALL FROM challenges and therefore, there is
CMP (`) PRICE (`) PRICE (`) RANGE 10-YR HIGH
little expectation of revenue growth
319.3 1,261.95 210.00 10% 75% from there in 2019-20. However,
Glenmark continues to report strong
600 growth in the domestic market and is
ET
500 PHARMA one the fastest-growing among large
290.35 peers. Glenmark’s plan to unlock
400
value by listing its subsidiary and
300 SENSEX also to reduce debt by divesting non
200
223.56 core assets will be positives in the
long term. “The de-merger may lead
100 GLENMARK to an improvement in profitability for
0 135.33 the ex-novel business and a healthier
1 Oct 2009 1 Oct 2019 balance sheet. The recent share price
fall reflects impatience on the part of
VALUATIONS ANALYST VIEWS
Glenmark’s investors with respect to 10-YR HIGH 10-YR LOW 10-YR FALL FROM
DIV. TARGET EX
PE PB YIELD BUY HOLD SELL PRICE GAIN management’s delivery vs promises.” CMP (`) PRICE (`) PRICE (`) RANGE 10-YR HIGH
says Deepak Jasani, Head of Retail 128.25 314.67 115.55 6% 59%
11.74 1.68 0.6 14 15 3 463.54 45% Research, HDFC Securities.
250
SENSEX
200 223.56
NMDC ET OIL &
150 GAS
NMDC has been on the receiving 177.46
end ever since Karnataka decided 100
to withdraw its letter of lease ONGC
renewal for the Donimalai mining 50 65.11
block. However, investors can have 1 Oct 2009 1 Oct 2019
a sigh of relief now because the VALUATIONS ANALYST VIEWS
government of India has amended DIV. TARGET EX
PE PB YIELD BUY HOLD SELL PRICE GAIN
the Mineral Rules 2015 and this
makes sure the state government 6.24 0.76 5.33 28 5 2 193.50 51%
renews the mining lease of a 10-YR HIGH 10-YR LOW 10-YR FALL FROM
CMP (`) PRICE (`) PRICE (`) RANGE 10-YR HIGH
government company. In addition
Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC), with its PSE tag and continued
to the resumption of production 96.4 571.80 74.80 4% 83%
share supply through CPSEs, like other upstream oil companies runs the
from Donimalai mine (EPS may 250 risk of the government asking it to bear the subsidy burden in future if
go up by around 15% because of SENSEX oil prices rise to much higher levels. This risk had become more real in
this resumption), this amendment 200 223.56 the recent past because of the flare-up in crude oil prices, triggered by
also removes the ambiguity about
150 the drone attack on Aramco refinery in Saudi Arabia. However, global
other lease renewals that are ET METAL crude prices have started easing because the Aramco refinery restarted
coming up. “The NMDC stock has 100 86.81 operations without much delay and this price fall should reduce the
underperformed global iron ore
subsidy sharing fears. Lack of volume growth (no new big oil fields
players by 34% over the past 12 50 NMDC are getting operational) is another factor pulling these counters down.
months, mainly due to uncertainty 27.12 However, experts feel that the current low valuations capture all these
0
on Donimalai and its consequential
1 Oct 2009 1 Oct 2019 negatives. “Though the government ownership means that it may not
impact on other mines coming up
VALUATIONS ANALYST VIEWS always operate in favour of minority interests, considering its good
for renewal. This new development
DIV. TARGET EX dividend yield and other low valuation multiples, ONGC may seem
removes headwinds to stock PE PB YIELD BUY HOLD SELL PRICE GAIN attractive to value investors,” says Jasani of HDFC Securities.
performance,” says a recent
Edelweiss report. 5.78 1.08 6.04 9 6 4 114.39 19%
Despite being the strongest power generation player from 59.4 146.55 50.40 9% 59%
the private sector, Tata Power lost 52% of its value over the
past 10 years, compared to a loss of 40% by the power index. 250
This under performance is because of problems specific to its 200
SENSEX
Mundra project. Though tariff revision talks are on with five 223.56
state governments and some positive outcome is expected, it 150
will be time consuming. There is resolution in sight in Gujarat ET POWER
and Punjab and positive action is expected from Maharashtra 100 60.48
and Haryana after the Assembly polls. The management is also 50
trying to address the concern of high debt—around `49,000 TATA
POWER
crore—through divestment of non-core assets and improving 0
47.70
collections from discoms. The positive trigger will come in the 1 Oct 2009 1 Oct 2019
form of revival in domestic power sector, expected in the next VALUATIONS ANALYST VIEWS
2-3 years. Since its valuation has come back to reasonable DIV. TARGET EX
levels, it provides a good investment opportunity. “Tata Power PE PB YIELD BUY HOLD SELL PRICE GAIN
is now trading close to 10–years’ average EV/EBITDA band and 25.04 0.92 2.1 11 5 2 79.54 34%
is nearing the floor price,” says a recent Edelweiss report.
guest column
10 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
I
often say that if investment advice
has an expiry date, then it’s already
dead. Only if it stays relevant for
DHIRENDR A KUMAR
CEO, VALUE RESE ARCH years is it of any use. Sometimes,
readers write back and quibble about
this and ask for examples, so here they are.
money The following are excerpts from some-
WEALTH
WHINES
Helping parents with
Money &
Relationships
their medical needs
Here’s how to financially prepare yourself and your parents for medical problems
and emergencies that they may face after retirement, says Riju Mehta.
to access medical corpus, when needed. cause such plans are heavily subsidised
I
f your parents are set to retire in a few
and you could retain these for your par-
years or are on the verge of quitting Buy health insurance: If the parents’ ents. For yourself, buy an independent
work, it is crucial to ensure that they financial condition does not allow them to family floater plan, which will be much
are financially prepared for their secure their medical needs, buy a health cheaper given your younger age.
medical needs. Given the increasing cover for them. There are several plans for
health-care costs, rising medical inflation senior citizens in the market, which cover Medical buffer: If, for some reason,
of 15-20% annually, and the likelihood of pre-existing diseases and specific ail- you and your parents are unable to
worsening health problems in old age, it is ments after the waiting period, and do not buy an insurance plan, make sure
imperative that they secure their finances require medical check-ups. Take a plan of you maintain a sufficient buffer for
when it comes to medical preparedness. at least `5 lakh, if possible. However, these eventualities. If their financial condi-
can come with high premiums and if these tion doesn’t allow them to build such a
Talk with parents: Have a discussion seem too formidable, opt for a small cover corpus, you should keep a bigger emer-
with your parents about their existing of, say, `3 lakh and a bigger top-up plan gency corpus, which includes a medical
medical conditions, the size of health in- of, say, `10-15 lakh, which will be cheaper. buffer, before you start investing for
surance that they have, if any, and if they You can also claim tax benefit of `50,000 your goals. This will ensure you don’t
are maintaining a medical buffer or emer- under Section 80D for the premium you have to dip into your corpus for other
gency corpus. Find out the expenditure pay for them if they are above 60 years. goals, and they don’t have to depend on
they are likely to incur after retirement relatives or friends for emergencies.
and the cover or corpus they should have Employer’s cover: If your employer pro-
ANIRBAN BORA
handy. If they have prepared well for their vides a group health plan that has a provi- Be prepared for emergencies: Be-
retirement, and have sufficient insurance sion of covering parents and in-laws, avail sides financial readiness, you need to
and accessible cash, find out the details of of the maximum limit available, even if have a plan in place for emergencies.
the TPA, insurance documents, and ways there is a co-payment clause. This is be- Your parents should have the mobile
numbers of ambulances, regular doc-
tors and hospitals on their speed dial,
IF YOU HAVE A WEALTH WHINE, WRITE TO US... Disclaimer: The advice in this column is not from
a licensed healthcare professional and should besides your number. The insurance
All of us have been in a financial dilemma when it comes to relationships. How do you say no to a friend not be construed as psychological counselling, and medical documents or cash should
who wants you to invest in his new business venture? Should you take a loan from your married brother? therapy or medical advice. ET Wealth and the be kept in a pre-determined location
Are you concerned about your wife’s impulse buying? If you have any such concerns that are hard to writer will not be responsible for the outcome of
to be accessed easily. You should also
resolve, write in to us at etwealth@timesgroup.com with ‘Wealth Whines’ as the subject. the suggestions made in the column.
have their neighbours’ numbers handy.
47% Yes, I have made provisions. 17% Do not feel the need.
Parents are financially stable.
32% 10% 14% 26% 18% 24% Not yet, but I will
I am in full control When needed, My relatives My children I have make provisions soon.
of my finances. I I seek help and friends take care health 12% They have taken
keep money handy from my help out of such insurance care by purchasing
for an emergency. neighbours. many times. situations. cover. Insurance themselves.
by Sameer Bhardwaj
SLAY THESE 10 DEMONS These 10 financial habits are eroding your wealth. Get rid of them this Dussehra. Illustration by Anirban Bora
PROFLIGACY
LAZINESS PRIDE IMPAT
Wasteful spending is a big problem, especially for
millennials. The proliferation of online shopping has Investors hold on to poor Impat IENCE
Procrastination may seem harmless, but ient in
fuelled the malaise. Young people want to buy the latest investments and losing stocks s uccess v estors
gadgets and new apparel, unmindful of the impact these
delaying your investments can cost you a lot.
because they fear that selling invest ful. Whethe are rarely FORGETFULNESS
in r
expenses can have on their finances.
If your money idles in a savings bank account,
an investmnt at a loss would option g in fixed i you are
it loses value. In five years, even a modest 6% s or e ncome The implications of missing
impat quity
make them appear stupid. They ie ma
How to slay it inflation will reduce the value of `1 lakh to less from nce preven rkets, financial deadlines range from
than `74,000. somehow want to prove that earnin ts you minor charges of `100-200 to
Early g
Spending is not a sin if done within limits. To make they were right in picking that withd high return serious penalties running into
How to slay it Provid raw s.
sure you don’t overspend, set a budget and stick to it. investment and are willing to ent Fu als from t thousands of rupees. If you
Budgeting apps help by sending out alerts if you spend powe nd sto h e
Open a recurring deposit in your bank or hold it till it recoups its losses. ro p
beyond a limit on any head. Sellin f compoun s the miss an EMI or a credit card bill,
start SIPs in mutual funds through a financial go d
How to slay it fund t ff a stock ing. you will be slapped with late
app. Automating your savings will ensure oo soo or equ payment charges. But if you
It is silly to let your ego define profit n will ity
that the amount gets invested every month. sb h
your financial choices. Never fall the lo ut preven elp book miss the tax filing deadline or an
ng-ter t
in love with your investments. m adv you from insurance premium, you could be
How t antag
e. in serious trouble.
If a stock has no future, dump o slay
Don't it
it and cut your losses. If you book How to slay it
when pr
continue holding it, the losses your i ofits in a h
GREED will only grow bigger.
up. As
se
nvest
me
for se ss the real nts move
urry Just as automating SIPs and
recurring deposits ensures
lli r
Everyone wants to earn high redee ng before y easons that you don’t miss investment
returns, but not everyone m you ou
r fund targets, putting your bills on
understands the risks involved. s.
autopayment mode means you
Investing in stocks is risky but can don’t miss payment deadlines.
be very rewarding if done carefully Put alerts for important dates
and in a disciplined manner. But like insurance premiums and
dabbling in futures and options other deadlines.
is usually ruinous for the small
investor.
How to slay it
Small investors should buy equities ENVY
through mutual funds, Ulips and It’s easy to get
pension products. One can invest enamoured when friends
in direct stocks if one has done and acquaintances talk about
enough research. But one should their investments and the high
never venture into futures and
options.
returns they earned. Following in
their footsteps may not always
BLIND FAITH
deliver the desired results. Past Last but not the least is the
performance of an investment tendency to blindly believe
option is not an assurance of whatever a salesperson tells
future returns. you. Relationship managers
from banks are the worst
FEAR How to slay it offenders when it comes to
Just as greed makes investors Investments should be misselling. They find easy
overlook the risks involved, customised to the needs and risk targets in customers who
fear makes people blind to the
opportunities. Fear of losing money
appetite of an individual. What
worked for someone in a certain
LUST don’t ask too many questions
and readily sign on the
makes investors shun the potential situation may not work for Fraudsters cheat people by promising them a huge share in their dotted line.
of equities and pushes them to buy everyone. inheritance or bargain offers on their credit cards. The temptation to make
low-yield instruments that give poor easy money can make even level-headed people part with money or credit How to slay it
but assured returns. card details. You spend hours researching
How to slay it a smartphone. Spend the
How to slay it same amount of time when
Establish your asset allocation and Never believe fraudsters who promise you money for doing nothing. There you buy a financial product.
stick to it. Research has shown that are no free lunches in this world and if someone wants to give you a share Compare its features, read
periodic rebalancing of the portfolio of his fortune, he is probably a con artist. up the terms and assess its
can yield better returns than trying to utility in your portfolio.
find the best performing investment.
financial planning
16 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
GETTY IMAGES
Fifth, ensure your child works and in-
terns while studying. It is easy to dismiss
these efforts as time consuming and not
paying well enough, or not resulting in firm
placements. But your child must know that
T
he email was blank. No content. being foregone and by whom. If the family’s they are on their own when it comes to find-
The subject line said $$$. The son wealth will be depleted by `1 crore to fund the ing a job and ensuring they earn money. Do
studying abroad needed money. education of the child, place it on the table for not send your children out to fancy degrees
The parent smiled. It was still the discussion. How big is this amount compared that don’t offer much scope for employment,
freshman year. Would the smile to the wealth of the family? How secure is unless you do not care for it much, or you
last in the senior year, if the child asked for the future income of the parents to be able to have enough money to keep funding more
more time to graduate and did not know if afford this expense? Does this spend impact courses. Children must know they have to
there was a job at the end of the program? the budgets for other children in the family? find their feet, and mostly do it on their own.
In many upper middle class households, it Does it endanger the retirement goals of the Financial responsibility for young adults
is a firm financial goal of parents to ensure parents? Instead of taking a benevolent view who are 18-25 years old is primarily about in-
UMA SHASHIK ANT
IS CHAIRPER SON, CENTRE
the child goes abroad for higher education. that assures the child that whatever they dependence. They have set out to build them-
FOR INVES TMENT Not only can children side-step the rigours of desire, the parents will happily fund, let it be selves—knowledge, skill and attitude—so
EDUC ATION AND LE ARNING entrance exams in India, but are also exposed known how big this decision is for the family. they can live a life they choose. There is not
to a different quality of education, lifestyle, It is also better to state it at the start, than la- much for parents to do in this process. This
social interaction and development. Parents ment in future. Take a loan, if need be. discovery is personal and the victories and
and children, both aspire for that experience. Second, outline the responsibilities that failures are the children’s own, to savour
However, not everyone can afford the ex- the child will have to bear. Whether it is in and endure. Parents do not know much
perience in its entirety. The world of higher the form of grades they have to get, activities about the world the child will live in, except
education involves too many choices that and internships they have to pursue, disci- being enablers that fund that journey. Keep
Many parents parents and children are ill equipped to pline and diligence they have to exercise, or that equation pleasant and firm.
are able to afford make. The child will seek social networks to frequency of communication and informa- We live in times of indulgent parenting.
find cohorts, seniors and alumni to chat with tion sharing with parents, set the rules. Do Many parents are able to afford everything
everything their
and figure how courses and credits span out; not beat around the bush and tell yourself their child seeks and set them up on a path of
child seeks and set
parents will seek counselors, other parents that your child will be upset, or feel moni- privilege. That position should not hamper
them up on a path
with experience of sending children abroad, tored, or might dislike your supervision. the ability of the child to be accountable,
of privilege. That
possibilities for scholarships and loans, and As long as you are the provider, you have to themselves, to the family and to society
position should
prospects for employment after graduating. authority you must exercise. Not to the point at large. Adulthood is about dealing with
not hamper the Not easy, but most plod on optimistically. of straining the relationship, but based on the world on your own, and protective
ability of the child The reality check mostly happens with the agreed principles. Set them out at the start. parenting should not create artificial
to be accountable, to money decisions. How does one navigate the Third, agree on what you will do when bubbles and smokescreens. Let them build
themselves, to the burden of higher education expenses without things do not pan out as expected. For ex- themselves with their own hands; you have
family and to society ruining relationships and the financial posi- ample, if your child changes his major, and provided the safety net anyway.
at large. tion of the household? Let us propose some needs to earn more credits, let it be known
rules and talk about it. that you will provide for the additional
First, be upfront with the child about the fees only if they deliver on their work and
Please send your feedback to
costs and how much of a dent it will make results. Do not keep it open-ended where etwealth@timesgroup.com
on the finances of the family, and what is the child moves from one major to another,
financial planning
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 17
S
udeep is confident that over the
next four years, his income will in- Investors who wish to
crease enough for him to be able to consolidate their mutual
fund investments into
afford the house of his choice, with-
a single folio need to submit a
out taking a loan. However, does
written application to the AMC/
earning more guarantee wealth creation?
Investor service centre or to his/her
Sudeep associates wealth with his income
investment adviser or agent to carry
level. If this was true, only individuals with out consolidation. A standard format
low incomes would be opting for car loans, for application can also be obtained
home loans, loan for vacations, credit card on the mutual fund website.
spending, etc. The fact is, there are takers for
loans at all income levels; only the quantum
changes. Needs change, and types of loans Information needed
change accordingly.
All folios held in the fund should
Many people like Sudeep can barely get by
be mentioned in the application.
every month, irrespective of how much they
The target folio into which all
earn. Expenditure tends to increase with
other folios need to be consolidated
income. Therefore, Sudeep must analyse should also be mentioned.
his expenses and curtail the unnecessary
ones, to set aside some savings. He must start
by setting a financial goal. By saving with
Signature
a number in mind, he is more likely to do it
diligently, so that he ultimately meets his The request needs to be
signed by all unit holders,
target. He must invest for the long-term in a
if the units are held jointly.
growth-oriented investment like equity.
However, in case the mode of holding
Further, he must consider topping up his
is anyone or survivor, the application
investment amount every year as his income
can be signed by any of the holders.
increases. This should be easy to achieve
GETTY IMAGES
There
1
2 4
Equity
Valuation
are two
types of
:: Points to note
Folio consolidation can be done
is a valuation only at a mutual fund level. Folios
method methods Relative valuation is held across different mutual fund
of For the stock –absolute Absolute valuation method when one compares the
5
houses cannot be merged.
3
deriving market, value valuation attempts to find the ‘true’ company in question to If the folio being merged is under
the fair is the price model value of a stock based other similar companies lien or pledge, prior consent of
value of that someone and only on fundamentals such and typically involves the financier is required to be
a firm or is willing to relative things as dividends, cash calculating and enclosed with the application.
its equity pay for owning valuation flow and growth rate of comparing multiples or
stock. the company. model. the company. ratios such as the PE.
family finance
18 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
Kolkata-based Sandip Goyal should link his Emergency fund 8.1 lakh Fixed deposit -
investment to goals and increase his insurance. Down payment Real estate, cash,
75 lakh / 1 yr -
for house silver, FD
by Riju Mehta
Child’s education 84 lakh / 11 yrs Stocks 21,000
Portfolio
S
andip Goyal, 37, works with an
MNC and stays with his home- Child’s wedding 1 crore / 18 yrs Gold, silver 10,000*
CURRENT VALUE
ASSET
maker wife, seven-year-old child (`)
and father in his own house, in Real estate 25 lakh Retirement 8.2 crore / 18 yrs EPF, mutual funds 24,000
Kolkata. He has saved and in-
vested aggressively and has a net worth
Cash 15 lakh
Investible surplus
of `1.69 crore. He has no liabilities and 45,000
Gold/silver 23.5 lakh needed
his portfolio comprises a house worth `25
lakh, cash of `15 lakh, debt in the form of Debt * Due to lack of surplus, investment for this goal will begin after a rise in income.
Annual return assumed to be 12% for equity, 8% for debt funds. Inflation assumed to be 7%.
EPF (`20 lakh) and fixed deposit (`27 lakh),
and equity in the form of mutual funds Fixed deposit 27 lakh
(`50.6 lakh) and stocks (`8.03 lakh). His
goals include building an emergency cor-
EPF 20 lakh
Insurance portfolio
pus, buying a house, saving for the child’s Equity
EXISTING SUGGESTED
education and wedding, and retirement. EXISTING
Mutual funds 50.6 lakh MONTHLY MONTHLY
Financial Planner Pankaaj Maalde sug- INSURANCE COVER SUGGESTIONS
PREMIUM PREMIUM
gests Goyal build the emergency corpus (`)
Stocks 8.03 lakh (`) (`)
of `8.1 lakh, which is equal to six months’
expenses. He can do so by allocating a Total 1.69 crore Life insurance
portion of his fixed deposit and investing
it in an ultra-short duration fund. He also 1,167 +
LIABILITIES CURRENT VALUE (`) Term plans (2) 1 crore 1,000 Buy `1 crore plan 1,000
wants to buy a house worth `1 crore at the
earliest, for which he can make a down (existing)
Loans Nil
payment of `75 lakh by allocating his Traditional
house, silver, cash and remaining fixed Total liability Nil 2.05 lakh 1,000 - 1,000
plans (2)
deposit. For the remaining amount, he can
take a loan and at 8.5% for 20 years, and his
Ulips - - - -
EMI will come to `21,300. This can be eas- Net worth `1.69 crore
ily sourced from the surplus.
For the child’s higher education in 11 TOTAL 1.02 crore 2,000 `2.02 crore 3,167
years, Goyal has estimated a need of `84
lakh. He can allocate his stocks to this goal Health insurance
and will also have to start an SIP of `21,000 Cash flow
in a diversified equity fund. For the wed- Employer’s 8 lakh - - -
ding of the child in 18 years, he wants to EXISTING SUGGESTED
(`) (`)
save `1 crore. For this, he can allocate his 667 +
gold and remaining silver, and will also Buy `15 lakh
Income 1.8 lakh 1.8 lakh Own 10 lakh 1,000 1,000
have to start an SIP of `10,000 in a diversi- top-up plan
(existing)
fied equity fund. However, since he doesn’t Outflow
have the required surplus, he can do so TOTAL 18 lakh 1,000 `33 lakh 1,667
Household 88,333 88,333
after a rise in his income. expenses
Finally, for an early retirement in 18 Critical illness Buy `50 lakh
years, at 55 years of age, Goyal will need to Child’s 20,000 20,000
education & accident - - accident disability 500
build a retirement kitty of `8.2 crore. For disability plan
this goal, he can allocate his mutual fund Insurance 3,000 5,334
corpus and EPF. In addition to this, he will premium
TOTAL - - `50 lakh 500
have to start an SIP of `24,000 in a diversi- Home loan
EMI - 21,300
fied equity fund for the specified term.
Insurance cost - 3,000 - 5,334
For life insurance, Goyal has two term
Investment - 45,000
plans worth `1 crore and two traditional
Premiums are indicative and could vary for different insurers.
plans worth `2.05 lakh. Maalde suggests
Total outflow 1.11 lakh 1.79 lakh
he retain all the plans and buy an addition-
al term plan of `1 crore at `1,167 a month.
Surplus 68,667 33
For health insurance, he has a family
floater plan of `10 lakh and another `8 lakh
cover provided by his employer. He is ad-
vised to buy a top-up plan of `15 lakh with
FINANCIAL PLAN BY
Write to us Looking for a professional to analyse your investment
portfolio? Write to us at etwealth@timesgroup.com with
a deductible of `5 lakh, at `667 a month. He
should also pick a `50 lakh accident dis-
PANKAAJ MAALDE for expert ‘Family Finances’ as the subject. Our experts will study
your portfolio and offer objective advice on where and
ability plan for `500 a month.
CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER
advice how much you need to invest to reach your goals.
SMART STATS
The Economic Times Wealth
October 7-13, 2019
In This Section
MUTUAL FUNDS - P20
LOANS AND DEPOSITS - P22
ALTERNATE INVESTMENTS- P23
Apar Industries 1 1 550.35 18.95 52.23 15.51 1.75 1.72 0.30 1.09 0.88 10 4.90
1 Fast growing stocks
KEC International 2 2 270.95 23.79 30.20 14.28 2.85 1.00 0.49 1.49 0.87 31 4.84
Top 5 stocks with the highest
JK Cement 3 3 1020.00 21.23 67.34 28.20 2.97 0.96 0.31 1.12 0.94 22 4.50 expected revenue % growth
Gujarat Gas 4 5 169.20 35.61 91.64 27.95 5.31 0.58 0.37 1.34 1.07 28 4.61 over the previous year
HG Infra Engineering 5 4 208.60 33.49 39.52 10.28 1.98 0.25 0.25 1.99 0.92 13 5.00 Sterlite
41
Technologies
Aurobindo Pharma 6 6 579.65 31.05 25.86 14.39 2.45 0.43 0.52 1.37 1.00 36 4.61
Gujarat Gas 36
Engineers India 7 8 112.20 27.40 36.21 19.03 3.00 3.49 0.75 1.65 0.78 17 4.47
HG Infra
Zensar Technologies 8 7 210.60 20.78 25.05 3.05 2.46 1.30 0.13 1.61 1.12 16 4.63 Engineering 33
Ipca Laboratories 9 9 904.95 22.31 43.71 25.31 3.61 0.34 0.59 1.14 0.63 26 4.42 Aurobindo 31
DB Corp 10 10 139.65 5.39 29.64 9.04 1.33 7.13 0.26 1.27 1.18 15 4.13 Pharma
Info Edge India 30
Ahluwalia Contracts 11 11 280.05 22.37 33.30 16.00 2.55 0.11 0.48 1.53 0.94 16 4.81
Sun Pharmaceutical 12 14 388.15 20.65 46.24 35.18 2.26 0.71 0.78 1.69 0.90 43 3.54
Oberoi Realty 13 12 489.85 22.01 42.09 21.48 2.22 0.41 0.44 1.74 1.32 25 4.04
2 Least expensive stocks
Bharat Heavy Electrical 14 16 47.20 9.68 37.95 16.92 0.53 4.27 0.49 1.80 1.40 34 3.06 Top 5 stocks with the lowest
price-earnings ratio
Parag Milk Foods 15 15 154.90 22.16 24.46 10.73 1.57 0.64 0.46 1.74 0.94 15 4.40
Zensar
UltraTech Cement 16 19 4146.80 26.28 79.86 46.86 4.02 0.27 0.61 1.29 1.32 40 4.13 Technologies 3.05
Sobha 17 23 459.05 16.67 20.84 14.70 1.96 1.47 0.59 1.62 1.08 23 4.57 Jagran
Prakashan 7.22
Allcargo Logistics 18 18 108.20 15.64 16.77 10.58 1.28 3.38 0.49 1.34 1.02 11 4.73
NTPC 7.61
Power Grid Corp 19 13 199.10 10.61 12.02 8.24 1.75 4.24 0.61 0.95 0.48 28 4.32
Power Grid
Corp 8.24
Alkem Laboratories 20 20 1898.30 18.31 38.89 30.06 4.20 0.82 0.79 0.83 -0.18 18 4.56
Redington
Emami 21 31 317.00 14.28 86.28 46.46 6.79 1.27 0.53 1.40 1.03 34 4.26 India 8.75
Rallis India 22 21 169.00 18.40 29.20 20.78 2.51 1.47 0.72 1.11 0.59 19 3.89
HeidelbergCement 23 28 185.20 12.96 39.76 18.94 3.57 2.16 0.47 1.61 1.71 15 4.33
3 Best PEGs
Century Plyboards 24 17 161.25 15.78 43.56 23.88 3.63 0.64 0.55 1.76 1.09 19 4.68
Top 5 stocks with the least
Lupin 25 30 701.20 15.70 70.17 52.39 2.31 0.71 0.73 1.18 0.84 47 2.91
price-earnings to growth ratio
CCL Products India 26 22 235.00 25.13 26.51 20.19 3.73 0.74 0.74 0.94 0.38 10 4.70 HG Infra Apar Industries
Engineering
NBCC India 27 36 34.35 25.48 37.25 16.51 4.10 3.49 0.50 2.35 2.50 13 4.00
NTPC 28 25 116.75 13.98 6.59 7.61 1.05 4.68 0.93 1.11 0.89 26 4.85
0.13 0.25 0.26 0.30 0.31
Larsen & Toubro 29 32 1458.05 20.53 21.02 22.93 3.28 1.23 1.09 1.03 1.02 39 4.64
Jagran Prakashan 30 29 62.30 5.51 20.02 7.22 0.99 5.54 0.36 1.61 0.90 14 4.36
Zensar DB Corp JK Cement
Narayana Hrudayalaya 31 27 235.80 21.23 135.67 82.02 4.49 0.43 0.59 1.36 0.38 11 5.00 Technologies
Redington India 32 26 108.45 15.67 16.29 8.75 1.12 2.90 0.55 1.82 0.85 10 4.70
4 Income generators
JSW Energy 33 34 61.30 5.04 37.36 14.43 0.85 1.59 0.37 1.32 1.13 16 3.19
Reliance Industries 34 33 1311.05 11.52 30.03 19.59 2.00 0.50 0.70 1.28 1.09 36 4.28 Top 5 stocks with the highest
dividend yield (%)
Grasim Industries 35 24 679.65 17.34 37.49 25.08 0.80 1.01 0.84 1.55 1.39 13 4.54
DB Corp 7.13
Sterlite Technologies 36 38 149.30 40.77 21.62 10.50 3.49 2.31 0.53 2.47 1.66 12 4.42
Jagran 5.54
Info Edge India 37 37 2122.00 30.33 66.53 41.98 9.98 0.25 0.34 1.71 0.25 29 3.52 Prakashan
Ashok Leyland 4.70
Hexaware Techno 38 35 368.65 25.01 22.15 18.76 4.33 2.39 1.01 1.34 0.55 28 3.79
NTPC 4.68
Zee Entertainment 39 43 251.55 19.07 23.36 15.04 2.64 1.50 0.61 2.78 1.59 34 3.94 Bharat Heavy
Electrical 4.27
Ashok Leyland 40 42 67.60 18.03 11.31 9.50 2.26 4.70 0.84 1.83 1.24 49 3.35
Mphasis 41 41 937.00 18.86 12.43 16.74 3.33 2.88 1.12 1.24 1.04 33 4.30
5 Least risky
Jubilant Life Sciences 42 45 492.85 8.22 23.46 13.46 1.64 0.89 0.54 1.67 1.25 13 4.77 Top 5 stocks with the lowest
ITC 43 40 261.65 15.03 22.34 25.18 5.38 2.25 1.11 0.93 1.00 37 4.70 downside risk
CG Consumer Elect 44 44 244.00 21.36 25.87 37.66 13.77 0.81 1.19 1.26 0.50 36 4.53 ITC Power Grid Corp
Torrent Pharmaceuticals 45 50 1598.85 13.21 49.21 61.71 5.70 1.05 1.26 1.03 0.52 33 4.21
Mahanagar Gas 46 49 891.35 7.62 16.75 16.16 3.68 2.22 0.89 1.10 0.65 27 4.48
0.83 0.93 0.94 0.95 1.03
Cipla/India 47 39 418.10 10.89 24.93 22.05 2.24 0.73 0.88 1.11 0.65 42 3.62
Dr Reddy's Laboratories 48 -- 2677.15 16.56 22.90 23.61 3.16 0.74 1.02 1.15 0.33 45 3.44
Alkem CCL Products Larsen &
HCL Technologies 49 46 1076.80 22.16 8.45 14.75 3.50 0.76 1.52 1.21 0.53 48 4.10 Laboratories India Toubro
SEE DOWNSIDE RISK AND BEAR BETA COLUMNS
IN THE ADJACENT TABLE.
*REVENUE AND NET PROFIT GROWTH IS BASED ON CONSENSUS ANALYSTS' EXPECTATIONS. NR: NOT IN THE RANKING. DATA AS ON 26 SEPT 2019. SOURCE: BLOOMBERG
smart stats
20 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
LAGGARDS LEADERS
ET Wealth collaborates with Value Research to identify the top-performing Equity: Large-cap 5-year returns
funds across categories. Equity funds and equity-oriented hybrid funds are
4.4 11.94
ranked on 3-year returns while debt-oriented hybrid and income funds are Principal Nifty 100 Equal Weight Fund JM Core 11 Fund
ranked on 1-year returns. 5.76 11.78
Taurus Largecap Equity Fund Axis Bluechip Fund
1.63 11.69
EQUITY: TAX-SAVING 13.3% JM Equity Hybrid Fund Tata Retirement Savings Fund
Mirae Asset Tax Saver Fund 2305.59 -3.77 -1.27 6.95 13.3 — 2.02
THE 3-YEAR
Axis Long Term Equity Fund 19236.11 0.96 6.2 12.26 12.17 12.52 1.76 RETURN OF 5.63 10.68
JM Tax Gain Fund 30.64 1.32 5.25 14.4 11.46 11.47 — MIRAE ASSET LIC MF Equity Hybrid Fund SBI Equity Hybrid Fund
Motilal Oswal Long Term Equity Fund 1389.39 1.09 2.76 6.12 10.26 — 2.11 TAX SAVER
FUND IS THE
5.66 9.87
Invesco India Tax Plan 859.03 -2.53 -2.11 2.46 9.12 10.13 2.35
HIGHEST IN PGIM India Hybrid Equity Fund Canara Robeco Equity Hybrid Fund
Tata India Tax Savings Fund 1814.81 -4.26 -0.83 10.65 8.99 12.1 2.12
ITS CATEGORY. 5.86 9.58
DSP Tax Saver Fund 5482.26 -0.54 1 10.76 8.73 11.34 1.88
Kotak Tax Saver 895.56 -4.8 -0.56 7.56 8.38 10.83 2.4 Baroda Hybrid Equity Fund HDFC Hybrid Equity Fund
IDFC Tax Advantage (ELSS) Fund 1876.67 -8.39 -8.44 -2.57 8.01 9.09 2.15 6.08 9.45
Aditya Birla Sun Life Tax Relief 96 8561.62 -3.1 -5.46 -1.88 7.64 11.12 2.07 UTI Hybrid Equity Fund HDFC Children's Gift Fund
Quant Tax Plan 9.36 -5.13 -4.27 -1.42 6.92 12.6 2.48
ANNUALISED RETURNS IN % AS ON 1 OCTOBER 2019.
smart stats
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 21
ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund 1639.51 1.27 2.93 9.26 8 9.59 1.94 9.3%
Tata Retirement Savings Fund 130.42 1 2.86 9.04 6.65 8.44 2.23 THE 1-YEAR
Top 5 MIPs
Indiabulls Savings Income Fund
Aditya Birla Sun Life Regular Savings Fund
18.86
2003.6
-0.91
-0.21
1.82
1.7
6.35
5.51
8.16
4.57
—
8.64
2.22
1.86
RETURN OF
ICICI PRU REG-
2 Top 5 MIP schemes based on
UTI Regular Savings Fund 2379.01 0.25 -1.95 2.31 5.28 7.44 1.79
ULAR SAVINGS
SBI Magnum Children's Benefit Fund 62.31 -0.72 -2.9 1.63 8.23 10.43 2.26
FUND IS THE 3-year SWP returns
HIGHEST IN ITS
CATEGORY. Indiabulls Savings Income Fund
DEBT: MEDIUM- TO LONG-TERM
IDFC Bond Fund Income Plan 673.28 3.28 6.84 14.26 7.36 9.05 1.89 8.50
ICICI Prudential Bond Fund 3318.48 3.1 5.35 11.4 6.68 8.65 1.08 ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund
SBI Magnum Income Fund 1204.3 3.14 5.6 11.35 7.31 8.76 1.47
7.92
DEBT: MEDIUM-TERM
Baroda Conservative Hybrid Fund
SBI Magnum Medium Duration Fund 1841.93 3.09 5.48 11.21 8.51 9.37 1.09
Indiabulls Income Fund 21.87 2.09 4.26 9.89 7.43 8.56 0.76 6.84
Franklin India Income Opportunities Fund 3587.02 1.44 2 7.56 7.76 8.41 1.71 Canara Robeco Conservative Hybrid Fund
Axis Strategic Bond Fund 1185.13 2.6 2.04 7.33 6.89 8.67 1.05
6.02
DEBT: SHORT-TERM
Axis Short Term Fund 2153.68 2.88 4.76 10.11 7.34 8.1 0.9
10.1% BNP Paribas Conservative Hybrid Fund
THE 1-YEAR 5.91
HDFC Short Term Debt Fund 8487.64 2.72 4.72 9.96 7.63 8.32 0.4
RETURN OF
Baroda Short Term Bond Fund 297.92 2.33 4.54 9.29 7.81 8.39 1.3 AXIS SHORT SWP: SYSTEMATIC % ANNUALISED RETURNS
Franklin India Short Term Income Plan 13155.95 1.38 1.88 7.91 8.01 8.5 1.49 TERM FUND WITHDRAWAL PLAN AS ON 1 OCTOBER 2019
Indiabulls Short Term Fund 67.78 0.44 2.39 7.29 6.62 7.73 1.48 IS THE HIGH-
EST IN ITS
DEBT: DYNAMIC BOND CATEGORY.
Value Oriented:
Edelweiss Dynamic Bond Fund
SBI Dynamic Bond Fund
PGIM India Dynamic Bond Fund
54.25
1126.07
41.37
2.83
3.33
2.57
6.53
7.7
6.47
16.12
14.06
13.56
7.22
7.8
8.24
8.14
9.4
9.53
1.02
1.66
1.28
3 Cash holdings
Kotak Dynamic Bond Fund 790.76 2.7 5.85 13.06 8.09 9.22 1.08 17.63
ICICI Prudential All Seasons Bond Fund 2779.93 2.37 4.97 10.22 7.43 9.71 1.32
Franklin India Dynamic Accrual Fund 3981.43 1.68 2.66 8.82 8.13 9.32 1.68 13.41
DEBT: CORPORATE BOND 10.14
HDFC Corporate Bond Fund 12910.11 2.79 5.16 11.37 7.8 8.7 0.45 8.57
7.85
Aditya Birla Sun Life Corporate Bond Fund 16274.98 2.53 4.84 10.61 7.78 8.68 0.39
Franklin India Corporate Debt Fund 1033.42 1.59 3.61 10.3 8.06 8.68 0.87
Kotak Corporate Bond Fund 2447.6 2.79 4.83 10.08 8.01 9.25 0.59
Expense as on 31 August 2019
ICICI Prudential Corporate Bond Fund 9002.07 2.65 4.72 9.98 7.46 8.28 0.56
Returns as on 1 October 2019
Nippon India Prime Debt Fund 1139.9 2.37 3.3 8.2 7.09 7.9 0.71
Assets as on 31 August 2019 SBI Quantum Indiabulls Templeton ICICI
All equity funds ranked on 3-year returns. Debt funds ranked on 1-year returns. Rating as on 30 September 2019 Contra Long Term Value India Value Prudential
Fund Equity Fund Fund Value
Did not find your fund here? Value Discovery
Log on to www.wealth.economictimes.com for an exhaustive list. Fund Fund
% AS ON 31 AUGUST 2019
Next 22.5% Tax planning: Offer tax rebate under Section 80C. 0.71 0.74
60%
(Not covered
Middle 35% in ETW Funds International: More than 65% of assets invested abroad.
Next 22.5% 100 listing) Income: Average maturity varies according to objective.
Bottom 10% Gilt: Medium- and long-term; invest in gilt securities.
Fixed-income funds less than 18 months old and equity funds Equity-oriented: Average equity exposure more
of the equity diversified 0.21
less than three years old have been excluded. This ensures than 60%. small-cap funds have
that all the funds have existed long enough to be tracked for Debt-oriented aggressive: Average equity exposure delivered negative SIP
consistency of performance. Given the focus on long-term Quant Quantum Indiabulls ABSL Ac- Edelweiss
investing, liquid funds, short-term funds and FMPs are not
between 25-60%. returns in the past one year*
Dynamic Dynamic Dynamic tive Debt Dynamic
part of the list. For the same reason, we have considered only Debt-oriented conservative: Average equity exposure Bond Bond Bond Multi- Bond
*Between September 2018 and
the growth option of funds that reinvest returns instead of less than 25%. Fund Fund Fund Manager Fund
September 2019.
offering dividends that increase the NAV of funds. Arbitrage: Seek arbitrage opportunities between equity FoF
Despite these rigorous filters, the list includes 2/3 funds of and derivatives. % AS ON 31 AUG 2019
% EXPENSE RATIO IS CHARGED ANNUALLY.
each category to maximise choice from the best funds. Asset allocation: Invest fully in equity or debt as per
METHODOLOGY OF TOP 100 FUNDS ON
The fund categories are: market conditions. WWW.WEALTH.ECONOMICTIMES.COM
loans and deposits
22 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
TENURE: 3 YEARS Central Bank of India 8.25 to 8.55 8.25 to 8.55 1 October 2019
DCB Bank 8.00 12,682
AU Small Finance Bank 7.77 12,597 Federal Bank 8.80 to 8.90 8.85 to 9.00 1 October 2019
Lakshmi Vilas Bank 7.50 12,497
IDFC First Bank 7.50 12,497 ICICI Bank 8.90 to 9.50 9.05 TO 9.65 1 October 2019
Indusind Bank 7.35 12,442
IDBI Bank 8.50 to 8.85 8.60 to 9.05 1 October 2019
TENURE: 5 YEARS
DCB Bank 7.75 14,678 Oriental Bank of Commerce 8.35 to 8.80 8.35 to 8.80 1 October 2019
IDFC First Bank 7.50 14,499
RBL Bank 7.50 14,499 SBI Max Gain 8.45 to 8.80 8.60 to 8.95 1 October 2019
AU Small Finance Bank 7.50 14,499
SBI Term Loan 8.20 to 8.55 8.35 to 8.70 1 October 2019
Indusind Bank 7.35 14,393
Top five senior citizen bank FDs United Bank of India-EBLR 8.25 to 8.40 8.25 to 8.40 1 October 2019
Interest rate (%) What `10,000
TENURE: 1 YEAR compounded qtrly will grow to United Bank of India-RLLR 8.15 to 8.30 8.15 to 8.30 1 October 2019
IDFC First Bank 8.50 10,877
* Since RBI cut repo rate by 25 bps on 4 October, these rates are expected to go down by 0.25% in the near future.
Lakshmi Vilas Bank 8.10 10,835
RBL Bank 8.10 10,835
Indusind Bank 8.00 10,824
Bandhan Bank 8.00 10,824 Your EMI for a loan of `1 lakh
TENURE: 2 YEARS
TENURE 5 YEARS 10 YEARS 15 YEARS 20 YEARS 25 YEARS
IDFC First Bank 8.50 11,832
@ 8%
RBL Bank 8.15 11,751 2,028 1,213 956 836 772
Bandhan Bank 8.15 11,751 @ 10%
Lakshmi Vilas Bank 8.10 11,740 2,125 1,322 1,075 965 909
@ 12%
DCB Bank 8.00 11,717
@ 15% 2,224 1,435 1,200 1,101 1,053
TENURE: 3 YEARS
DCB Bank 8.50 12,870 2,379 1,613 1,400 1,317 1,281
AU Small Finance Bank 8.27 12,784
FIGURES ARE IN `. USE THIS CALCULATOR TO CHECK YOUR LOAN AFFORDABILITY.
Lakshmi Vilas Bank 8.10 12,720 FOR EXAMPLE, A `5 LAKH LOAN AT 12% FOR 10 YEARS WILL TRANSLATE INTO AN EMI OF `1,435 X 5 = `7,175
Bandhan Bank 8.10 12,720
IDFC First Bank 8.00 12,682
TENURE: 5 YEARS
Post office deposits Interest (%)
Minimum
invt. (`)
Maximum investment (`) Features
Tax
benefits
Top five tax-saving bank FDs Time deposit 6.90-7.70 200 No limit Available in 1, 2, 3, 5 years 80C#
Interest What `10,000
TENURE: 5 YEARS AND ABOVE rate (%) will grow to Single 4.5 lakh 5-year tenure, monthly returns Nil
Post Office Monthly Income
DCB Bank 7.75 14,678 7.60 1,500
Scheme
Joint 9 lakh 5-year tenure, monthly returns Nil
IDFC First Bank 7.75 14,678
Indusind Bank 7.50 14,499 Kisan Vikas Patra 7.60 1,000 No limit Can be encashed after 2.5 years Nil
RBL Bank 7.50 14,499
Recurring deposits 7.20 10 No limit 5-year tenure Nil
AU Small Finance Bank 7.50 14,499
Savings account 4.00 20 No limit `10,000 interest tax free Nil
ALL DATA SOURCED FROM ECONOMIC TIMES INTELLIGENCE GROUP
(ETIGDATABASE@TIMESGROUP.COM) Data as on 19 Sept 2019 # Benefit available only for 5-year deposit
non-traditional investments
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 23
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT
RETURNS MONITOR
The scope and attractiveness of alternative investments is increasing. Here’s a weekly tracker of returns from such investments. But don’t
compare these with returns from traditional investments since the proportion and purpose of alternative investments is vastly different.
CHANGE
X I WEEK -0.02% I WEEK -0.47% I WEEK 0.35% I WEEK 7.95%
X I YEAR -4.65% I YEAR 24.48% I YEAR -3.05% I YEAR 39.66%
Overall Diamond Index is based on The S&P GSCI Precious Metals Index The Liv-ex Fine Wine 50 Index tracks The Krugerrand Coin index represents
actual transactions from 20 different comprises gold (91.33%) & silver (8.67%) daily price movement of the most the denomination of a 22 carat gold
market players and reflects price & provides a benchmark for investment heavily traded commodities in the wine bullion coin weighing one troy ounce
movements in the global diamond performance in the precious metals market. It includes only the 10 most that is listed for trading on the
market. The index is updated daily. commodity markets. It is updated daily. recent vintages and is updated daily. Johannesburg Stock Exchange.
IL&FS Tran. Networks 3.14 25.60 100.00 0.46 329.68 103.29 BT Syndicate 9.75 2.63 -0.41 1.25 11,33,027.9 100.13
Frontier Informatics 4.45 27.14 80.16 0.06 2,934.31 22.70 Gold Line Inter. Finvest 1.32 -17.50 -36.54 0.03 5,734.66 68.77
Setubandhan Infra. 1.89 6.18 60.17 0.30 -14.68 23.76 Frontier Informatics 4.45 27.14 80.16 0.06 2,934.31 22.70
Shree Global Tradefin 2.81 20.60 59.66 0.01 18.56 320.20 Digicontent 5.74 -7.12 -4.33 0.28 2,023.32 33.41
Reliance Naval & Engg 1.40 25.00 59.09 11.32 40.07 103.26 Mercator 1.05 -21.05 -17.97 13.18 1,248.73 31.76
SAL Steel 3.10 3.33 49.04 0.16 204.35 26.34 MSR India 8.35 7.05 11.33 0.20 1,221.78 52.50
Genus Paper & Boards 6.81 -0.15 48.37 0.39 373.84 175.09 Sulabha Enggineers 1.26 -4.55 -13.10 0.04 1,216.16 12.66
Vikas Multicorp 3.99 9.62 40.99 1.07 57.28 264.74 Bombay R Fashions 4.88 -16.44 -4.31 0.25 1,131.36 154.93
Starlite Components 10.00 9.05 40.85 0.02 -66.92 17.10 Hexa Tradex 6.35 4.44 -41.20 0.12 1,048.24 35.08
Satkar Finlease 2.31 10.00 40.85 0.00 -98.58 50.91 Global Offshore Services 6.08 -11.11 3.93 0.71 861.34 15.04
THE STOCKS HAVE BEEN SELECTED USING THE FOLLOWING FILTERS: PRICE LESS THAN `10, ONE-MONTH AVERAGE VOLUME GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 1 LAKH AND MARKET
CAPITALISATION GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO `10 CRORE. DATA AS ON 25 SEPTEMBER 2019. SOURCE: ETIG DATABASE AND BLOOMBERG.
pick of the week
24 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
S
hriram City Union Finance (SCUF), the retail fi- to return to high growth trajectory once the system liquidity
nance arm of the Shriram Group, corrected signifi- situation improves because it has a high capital adequacy
Fundamentals
cantly in the recent past. For example, it fell 27% in ratio of 22.6%. CONSENSUS
ACTUAL
ESTIMATE
the last six months, compared to just 2% fall each The liquidity crisis has increased cost of funds and this
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21
in Sensex and ET NBFC index. This underper- may continue to put short-term pressure on its net interest
Revenue (` cr) 3,447.23 3,720.80 3,984.55 4,324.55
formance reflects the market’s recent behaviour towards margin (NIMs) in coming quarters. However, this short
the mid cap non-banking finance companies (NBFCs). term pain is transitory. More importantly, recent price cor- Ebitda (` cr) 1,087.10 1,518.49 2,400.77 2,664.22
Weak numbers for the first quarter of 2019-20 was another rection factors in most of the above mentioned negatives. Net profit (` cr) 710.94 988.88 1,073.13 1,206.16
reason for this underperformance. Analysts are getting bullish on this EPS (`) 107.80 149.88 161.57 178.70
For example, its loan growth during counter now because of the fall in
the first quarter was weak because Analysts’ views valuations. The situation is stable at Valuations PBV PE
DIVIDEND
YIELD (%)
of the weakness in the auto segment the asset quality front and analysts Shriram City Union Finance 1.30 8.46 1.69
(disbursement down by 25% y-o-y)
1 are expecting gradual decline in its
Sell 11 Bajaj Finance 11.66 52.74 0.15
and MSME segment (disburse- credit cost and write offs in com-
Buy Chola Investment and Finance Co. 3.65 23.24 0.45
ment down by 19% y-o-y). Since the ing quarters. The recent reduction
Shriram Transport Finance Co. 1.47 22.77 1.16
weakness in the auto sector got ag- in corporate tax is also good news
M&M Financial Services 1.79 19.68 1.98
gravated in the second quarter, be for SCUF and its EPS for 2019-20
ready for another quarter of weak and 2020-21 are expected to go up by
numbers by SCUF. However, vehi-
5
around 12% each. Latest brokerage calls TARGET
cle demand is expected to pick up in RECO DATE RESEARCH HOUSE ADVICE PRICE (`)
Hold
the second half of 2019-20 because of S ele c t ion Met ho dolog y: We 23 Sep ’19 ICICI Securities Buy 1,750
better than average monsoon this pick up the stock that has shown
23 Sep ’19 Axis Capital Limited Buy 1,700
year. This is expected to result in maximum increase in “consen-
20 Sep ’19 Kotak Securities Buy 1,900
better farming in the kharif season sus analyst rating” in the past
28 Aug ’19 Motilal Oswal Sec. Buy 1,900
and increase in rural income which The recent reduction in corporate tax is good news for month. Consensus rating is ar-
might give a push to vehicle sales. Shriram City Union Finance. Its EPS for 2019-20 and rived at by averaging all analyst 30 Jul ’19 Phillip Securities Buy 1,650
2020-21 are expected to go up by around 12%. Also,
Though other segments like gold recommendations after attribut- SENSEX
loans and personal loans are ex-
the correction in price and valuation during the last six
months has made the company a favourite of analysts. ing weights to each of them (5 for Relative performance 105.92
111.62
pected to remain firm in coming strong buy, 4 for buy, 3 for hold,
1
100 MARKET PRICE: `1298.15
quarters, overall loan growth is expected to remain muted 2 for sell and 1 for strong sell) and any improvement in
for 2019-20 because SCUF is also impacted by the ongoing consensus analyst rating indicates that the analysts are
system wide liquidity tightness. This is despite the fact that getting more bullish on the stock. To make sure that we
SCUF enjoys strong group reputation especially in South pick only companies with decent analyst coverage, this
India and its high credit rating (AA from several rating agen- search will be restricted to stocks with at least 10 ana-
cies). As normalization of liquidity is taking longer than the lysts covering it. You can see similar consensus analyst 78.98
expected, management has also reduced its AUM growth out- rating changes during the last one week in ETW 50 table. 3 OCT 2018 SCUF ET NBFC 3 OCT 2019
look for 2019-20 from 18% to 15%. However, SCUF will be able —Narendra Nathan SCUF compared with ET NBFC and Sensex. Stock price and index values normalised to a
base of 100. Source: ETIG and Bloomberg.
Corporate banks have seen steady earnings normalisation over 2018-19. Of these banks, Axis
Axis Bank HDFC Sec Buy 668 986 48 Bank is the top pick due to the DNA change happening at the bank.
While near term volume growth could be at risk, Coal India is attractively valued with a 10%
Coal India IIFL Buy 187 270 45 dividend yield offering downside protection.
Amber is one of the few contract manufacturers of air-conditioners in India that would benefit
Amber Enterprises Anand Rathi Buy 875 1,248 43 from robust demand as India is set to remain the fastest-growing market in the world till 2030.
IOC will be a key beneficiary if government sells controlling stake in BPCL to a third party. As it
IOC J P Morgan Overweight 152 205 35 would remove the overhang of IOC purchasing the BPCL stake and sharply increasing debt.
Retain positive view on the infrastructure & defence industries. Reiterate 'buy' on BEML, because
BEML Elara Capital Buy 956 1,180 23 of its high order book and huge opportunity in metros and defence segments.
Though there is not much merit in M&M's acquisition of 51% stake in most of Ford's India operation,
Mahindra & Mahindra Jefferies Buy 563 690 23 it may help M&M to cement its strategic alliance with Ford in the long run.
While the sales volume has grown in the recent past, concerns about the weak operational cash
Sobha Nirmal Bang Sell 459 405 -12 flow after tax and interest cost remain same.
QA
your queries
The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019 25
HEADPHONES
way to improve the sound quality
without worrying about wires and
SOUNDBAR ruining the look of a TV is to use a
soundbar. Most people don't invest
ARINDAM
Pranav Mathur saves for his child’s goals and retirement. Here’s what the doctor has advised him: investors
know
1 2 3 4
whether
EMERGENCY FUND: DAUGHTER’S HIGHER EDUCATION: DAUGHTER’S MARRIAGE: RETIREMENT: 24 years
GOALS
they have
Immediate 24 years 26 years CURRENT NEED:
CURRENT NEED: `10 lakh CURRENT NEED: `25 lakh CURRENT NEED: `25 lakh `2.4 crore (`1lakh a month) invested in
FUTURE COST: `10 lakh FUTURE COST: `2.46 crore FUTURE COST: `1.46 crore FUTURE COST: `12.68 crore the right
funds and if their
PORTFOLIO INVESTOR’S EXISTING PORTFOLIO fund portfolio is on
CHECK-UP FUND NAME AMOUNT EXISTING RECOMMENDED ACTION NEW SIP track. The Portfolio
Initially invested in INVESTED (`) SIP (`) (`)
ELSS funds. Started Start SIPs of `20,000 for 15 months in this stable Doctor assesses the
ICICI Pru Ultra Short Term 2,31,126 0 short-term debt fund. 20,000
SIPs in equity schemes
1 health of the fund
3-4 years ago. Fund has underperformed. Stop SIPs and switch to
Nippon India Credit Risk 2,59,259 10,000 Nippon India Gilt Securities. Stop after 15 months. 10,000 portfolio, examines the
Invests a sizeable
`76,000 in equity ABSL Equity Hybrid '95 1,19,226 5,000 These hybrid funds have underperformed. Stop SIPs 0 schemes and their
and shift corpus to dynamic asset allocation fund
funds every month. Aditya Birla SL Equity Savings 61,895 2,500 Aditya Birla SL Balanced Advantage. 0 suitability with regard to
Early start and Start SIPs of `5,000 in this stable dynamic asset the goals and, if
Aditya Birla SL Balanced Adv 0 0 allocation fund. Hike by 5% every year. 5,000
aggressive savings required, recommends
2
have helped Nippon India Tax Saver 73,397 3,500 These ELSS funds have done poorly. Stop SIPs and 0
accumulate big corpus. shift the corpus to Aditya Birla SL Balance Advantage corrective measures. The
Aditya Birla SL Tax Relief '96 58,650 0 after lock-in period ends to consolidate portfolio. 0 advice given is based on
Holds too many funds,
Continue SIPs in this stable large-cap fund. Hike
many of which are Aditya Birla SL Focused Equity 1,16,233 5,000 amount by 5% every year.
5,000 the performance of the
consistent
ICICI Pru Balanced Advantage 1,02,096 5,000 Continue SIPs in this dynamic asset allocation fund 5,000 funds, the risk profile of
underperformers.
3 and conservative hybrid fund. No need to hike SIP
the investor as well as
Retirement and other ICICI Pru Regular Savings 1,38,370 5,000 amount. 5,000
goals can be reached ICICI Pru Banking & Financial Stop SIPs in this sector fund; switch to ICICI Pru his financial goals.
1,18,099 5,000 0
by small 5% hike in Services Multicap.
SIPs every year. ICICI Pru Long Term Equity 57,301 0 Switch to ICICI Pru Multicap after lock-in period ends. 0
Increase SIP to `10,000 in this stable multi-cap Assumptions used
ICICI Pru Multicap 1,25,750 5,000 10,000
fund. Hike amount by 5% every year. in the calculations
Note from
DSP Midcap 1,21,976 5,000 Stop SIPs and switch to HDFC Hybrid Equity to 0
the doctor INFLATION
consolidate portfolio.
Don’t invest in too HDFC Balanced Advantage 1,29,421 5,000 0 Education For all
many funds. Avoid Increase SIP to `15,000 in this stable hybrid fund. expenses other goals
HDFC Hybrid Equity 1,28,783 5,000 15,000
buying yearly 4 Hike by 5% every year.
winners. Nippon India Focused Equity 1,12,430 5,000 0 10% 7%
Also avoid sector Nippon India Retirement - These funds have underperformed. Switch corpus
1,30,039 5,000 and SIPs to Nippon India Small Cap fund. Hike SIPs by 0
funds. Diversified Income Gen RETURNS
5% every year.
funds are better. Nippon India Retirement - Equity funds Debt options
1,08,882 5,000 15,000
Review investments Wealth Creation
Continue contributions and hike amount by 5% every
and rebalance at least
once in a year.
PF and PPF 18,00,000 12,000 year. Don't withdraw before retirement. 12,000 12% 8%
Start contributing `5,000 a month hike amount by
Reduce risk when goal NPS 0 0 5% every year. Don't withdraw before retirement.
5,000
is near so that you The goals can be reached using the mutual
don’t miss the target.
TOTAL `39,92,933 `88,000 funds marked in the same colour. `1,07,000 PORTFOLIOS
ANALYSED BY
RAJ KHOSLA,
Managing Director
Hardik Patel wants to accumulate `35 lakh in 15 years. PRESENT COST: `35 lakh Target is too ambitious
Here’s what the doctor has advised him: FUTURE COST: `96.5 lakh
given the current
investments.
WRITE
TO US
AMOUNT EXISTING Increase monthly
FUND NAME INVESTED (`) SIP (`) RECOMMENDED ACTION
investment to `10,000 FOR HELP
Increase SIPs to `3,000 in this outperforming small-cap to reach goal. If you want your portfolio examined,
SBI Small Cap 3,216 1,000 fund. Increase amount by 10% every year. write to etwealth@timesgroup.com
All SIPs must also be with “Portfolio Doctor” as the subject.
Increase SIPs to `4,000 in this outperforming multi-cap Mention the following information:
SBI Focused Equity 1,573 1,500 fund. Increase amount by 10% every year. hiked by 10% every year.
Names of the funds you hold.
Increase SIPs to `3,000 in this outperforming large and Review mutual fund
1 Mirae Asset Emerging Bluechip 1,008 1,000 mid-cap fund. Increase amount by 10% every year. portfolio at least once a
Current value of the investment.
If you have SIPs running in any
Mirae Asset Taxsaver 25,727 0 Continue holding this outperforming ELSS fund. year. Change if any of them.
The financial goals for which you
fund’s performance slips.
Bond funds will not yield high returns. Since you have invested.
Franklin India Ultra Short Bond 25,150 0 enough time, shift to SBI Focused Equity. Reduce risk when goal is How much you need for each
financial goal.
near so that you don’t
TOTAL `56,674 `3,500 How far away is each goal.
miss the target.
your feedback & more...
28 The Economic Times Wealth October 7-13, 2019
Readers’ response, online and in print, to ET Wealth stories has been enlightening.
We pick some that add information and perspective to our articles from previous issues.
This refers to Dhirendra Kumar’s dysfunctional RBI. In the absence of a
column, ‘Problem is, people are capable and functional central bank, the
rushing for gold again’. I am not Indian saver has extremely limited safe
convinced by his argument. If gold is
not a good investment, then why are
We can never options other the EPF (not available to 90%
of the public) and PPF (annual contribution
so many mutual fund managers and
financial advisers advocating gold save enough capped at `1.5 lakh). While gold bonds are
a good option, very few people are able to
ETFs to investors? This refers to the cover story, ‘Are you utilise this due to the modalities. Ideally,
Ajay Gupta
ready for the future?’ Till a few years these should be across the counter products
back we could work out how much at all banks.
I totally disagree with Dhirendra we would need to live comfortably Kochar Bipin
Kumar. There are times when gold is a
in retirement. However, the way the
bad investment and there are times The column, ‘Why women need to work’,
cost of living has been increasing, it
when gold is a good investment. The made interesting reading. Men are hardly
appears no amount of savings is going
previous decade was definitely not around to share household responsibilities
to be enough for the future.
good for gold. However, the coming equally to enable the woman to achieve her
Subbu India
decade could be excellent and no other potential in the world. On top of that there
asset class may give as much returns as are expectations of the family and the
gold. There is a global slowdown and society at large.
India is not unaffected. Valuations of Meera Kishen
so-called top quality stocks have gone that is actually in a recession. Globally too, rather than physical gold.
through the roof. This is not because of things are no better. Considering the overall Vikram Rao Another very relevant and beautifully
any amazing growth prospects of these environment, stocks across the globe and crafted article by Uma Shashikant. More
companies but rather due to the particularly in India are headed for a major The author has a valid point. Over the women are choosing not to go to work, if
incessant flow of domestic retail crash. Gold could, therefore, be the only past 6-7 years, solid public sector banks they can afford it. This topic is a great
money into mutual funds through the asset class that will glitter over the next have reported more and more NPAs. Now, conversation starter, amongst women of
SIP route. So we have an equity market decade or so. However, when I say gold, I even cooperative banks are going the all ages. Hoping for more such analyses,
that is trading at nonsensical agree with the author that gold bonds and same way. Depositors are not allowed to keep them coming.
valuations coupled with an economy gold ETFs are the best vehicles to invest in, withdraw their money, thanks to a totally Aishwarya Shingare
` 1.03 crore (avg) (sq ft) DLF City Phase 2 9,600-14,000 49,900-75,300
23%
1,000-1,500
2,500-3,000
3 BHK: 1,990 (sq ft) crore (avg) DLF City Phase 4 9,100-12,000 41,900-63,100
` 1.91 lakh (avg) DLF City Phase 3 8,500-13,900 51,200-85,000
The Economic Times Wealth is available at an invitation price of `8/issue. To book your copy, contact your newspaper vendor or call 079 - 67773300; Email: crm.ahmedabad@timesgroup.com; SMS ETWS to 58888
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and seek appropriate advice before making any specific or other decisions. RNI No.: GUJENG/2014/55568. VOLUME 06 NO. 40