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BUY MHIL is the 2nd largest hospital chain (by sales) in India despite being 3rd
largest (operating bed) given focus on high value markets – Delhi NCR, Mumbai.
CMP: Rs 399 Strong positioning and execution have led to best in class ARPOB, EBITDA per
Target Price: Rs 465 bed; capacity expansion in existing hospitals with land bank is key differentiator.
Potential Upside: 17% Improvement in payor mix, capacity expansion led by strong FCF/ BS, scale-up
in Max Labs are key future drivers. Initiate with BUY and TP of Rs 465.
Market Data
No. of shares : 970 mn
Strong positioning – best in class ARPOB, margin, operating efficiency
Free Float : 39%
Market Cap : USD 4,882 mn Max Healthcare (MHIL) is the 2nd largest (sales) and 3rd largest (operating bed
52-week High / Low : Rs 473 / Rs 128 capacity) hospital chain in India. It has a network of 17 hospitals/clinics with
Avg. Daily vol. (6mnth) : 2.5 mn shares over 3,200 beds and focus on north India (Delhi NCR) and Mumbai.
Bloomberg Code : MAXHEALT IB Equity Being a market leader with highest sales (North India), ARPOB, and occupancy,
Promoters Holding : 61% it has been able to garner best doctors and medical staff given its focus on
FII / DII : 14% / 9% metros (Mumbai/ Delhi NCR) – most attractive and under-penetrated market.
Post new management (Mr. Abhay Soi and KKR) in Aug’20, EBITDA margin of
Key drivers (%) FY22E FY23E FY24E Max hospitals has improved to 26.3% in Q2’22 (adj. for one-offs) from 11.6% in
Hospital margins 25.4% 26.8% 27.3% Q1’20. EBITDA margin expansion to 26.5% in H1FY22 (from 8.9% in FY19) led
Labs margins 12.5% 16.0% 18.0% by Rs 3 bn+ cost savings initiatives, improvement in ARPOB (case mix), etc.
Blended margins 25.4% 26.5% 27.0%
Multiple drivers for growth – payor mix, scale-up in labs, capacity addition
It sees steady growth/ margin led by (1) improvement in payor mix as 21%
business is from low margin institutional business which it expects to reduce,
Relative performance (2) increase in high margin international business (4% in H1’22 vs 11% in FY20).
Sensex Max Healthcare Max Labs/ homecare seeing strong traction (added 135+ collection centers in
400
H1’22 with total count of partner network (collection and PUPs) at 430. Scaling
300
up of labs business and potential spin-offs could be value unlocking opportunity.
200
Max plans to double its bed capacity with addition of 3,300+ beds through
100 brownfield in existing hospitals which already have 70-80% occupancy
0 (construction/ occupancy scale up is much faster) and greenfield expansion
Aug-20 Jan-21 Jun-21 Nov-21 (Gurugram – highest EBITDA per bed, NCR dominance). Max is evaluating M&A
Source: Bloomberg, Axis Capital
and asset light models (via developers/ REIT players) to expand in key cities.
Initiate coverage with BUY and TP of Rs 465 (26x Sep’23E blended EV/E)
Significant improvement in margin from 9.7% in FY19 to 26.3% in H1FY22 has led
to 1.8x rise in stock price in last 1 year. MHIL is ready for next leg of growth via
improvement in payor/case mix and doubling of capacity (organically and
inorganically) supported by strong FCF/ BS.
Note: ARPOB – Average Revenue Per Occupied Bed Day, Occupancy – number of operating beds
Download Axis Capital is also available on Bloomberg (AXCP<GO>), Reuters.com, Firstcall.com and Factset.com. 1
FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND DISCLAIMERS, REFER TO THE END OF THIS MATERIAL
Max Healthcare Institute
Initiating coverage
Table of contents
Key charts.......................................................................................................................................................... 3
Valuations ....................................................................................................................................................... 29
Key charts
Exhibit 1: Max is 2nd largest hospital by revenue… Exhibit 2: …and 3rd by operating bed capacity
20 16 17 2,000
0
0 Apollo Narayana Max Fortis Aster DM
Apollo Max Fortis Narayana Aster DM Hosp Health#
Hosp Health#
Source: Companies, Axis Capital; FY20 represents Max Healthcare + partnered Source: Companies, Axis Capital; Max Healthcare FY21 beds include Radiant Life and
healthcare facilities and demerged business of Radiant Life. FY21 includes sales of Max Healthcare as part of demerger scheme
Radiant Life and 10 months of Max Healthcare as part of demerger scheme
Exhibit 3: Higher ARPOB vs. peers Exhibit 4: Better occupancy given strong metro presence
Apollo Aster Max Fortis Narayana FY20 FY21 H1FY22
60 100% (%
ARPOB (000'
78%
occupancy)
55 Rs/ day)
73%
70%
80%
69%
66%
67%
65%
64%
50 61%
56%
55%
56%
45
60%
40
35
40%
30
25 20%
20
15 0%
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22 Apollo Hosp Aster DM Max Health# Fortis
Source: Companies, Axis Capital; FY20 represents Max Healthcare + partnered Source: Companies, Axis Capital; FY20 represents Max Healthcare + partnered
healthcare facilities and demerged business of Radiant Life. FY21 includes sales of healthcare facilities and demerged business of Radiant Life. FY21 includes sales of
Radiant Life and 10 months of Max Healthcare as part of demerger scheme Radiant Life and 10 months of Max Healthcare as part of demerger scheme
Exhibit 5: Max Healthcare has metro focused hospitals Exhibit 6: Metro focused hospitals have higher margin
(% of total
beds % hospital beds in metro cities (FY20) FY20 FY21 H1FY22
capacity)
31%
35%
100%
26%
84%
25%
30%
24%
22%
80% 72%
20%
61% 25%
18%
16%
54%
16%
60% 20%
14%
10%
40% 15%
6%
18% 10%
20%
5%
0% 0%
Max Fortis Apollo Manipal Aster DM Apollo Max Health Narayana Narayana
Health# Hosp Chennai^ Bangalore Kolkata
Source: Company, Axis Capital; as of FY21 Source: Company, Axis Capital; as a % of H1FY22 gross sales
Exhibit 7: Max Healthcare: Cost efficient model Exhibit 8: Management focus on cost controls…
Cost comparison Cost comparison
% of sales FY20 FY21 H1FY22 % of sales FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Doctor fee Employee cost
Apollo 20 20 20 Apollo 14 13 10
Aster DM 8 7 8 Aster DM 34 32 32
Max Health 24 13 14 Max Health 22 26 21
Narayana 20 20 18 Narayana 22 24 21
Fortis 21 20 18 Fortis 20 21 17
CoGS Other expenses
Apollo 41 45 44 Apollo 17 17 17
Aster DM 29 30 30 Aster DM 15 19 18
Max Health 22 27 28 Max Health 18 18 11
Narayana 24 26 25 Narayana 21 23 19
Fortis 21 24 24 Fortis 25 25 21
Source: Companies, Axis Capital; Apollo Hospitals revenues grossed up to adjust Source: Companies, Axis Capital; Apollo Hospitals revenues grossed up to adjust
doctor fees. Apollo Hospitals has higher CoGS due to Pharmacy business (as % of doctor fees
sales stood at 43%, 465 and 35% for FY20, FY21 and H1FY22 respectively)
Exhibit 9: …leading to margin improvement Exhibit 10: EBITDA per bed for Max higher vs. peers
Apollo Aster Max Health FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Fortis Narayana
5
30% (Rs mn)
(EBITDA 3.8
25% margin %) 4
20% 3
2.4
15%
2 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.4
1.7
10%
1.2
0.9 0.8 0.7
1 0.7
5%
0% 0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22 Apollo Max# Aster Fortis
Source: Companies; ^ Apollo Hospitals – EBITDA adjusted for clinician pay-outs in Source: Companies, Axis Capital; Note: EBITDA for hospital business, Max Healthcare
revenue; EBITDA margin is post IND AS FY20 onwards EBITDA adjusted for one-offs and vaccination revenues, Aster DM EBITDA is for
India business
Exhibit 11: Improving operating CF and FCF Exhibit 12: Net debt declining across companies
(Net debt
Operating CF Capex FCF Rs bn)
FY20 FY21 H1FY22
4,000 3,727 35
(Rs mn) 31
30 28
3,000 2,617
25
20
2,000 19 19
20
1,179 14
771 15 11
1,000 10
10 8 9
5 6 5
0 5 3 2
(130) (6)
0
(1,000)
Apollo Max Health Aster DM Narayana Fortis
FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Source: Companies, Axis Capital; Note: Max Healthcare FCF for FY20 excludes Source: Companies, Axis Capital
~Rs 21 bn for purchase of Max Healthcare equity share by Radiant Life and
H1FY22 excludes Rs 601 mn for acquisition of subsidiary
Growth drivers
Exhibit 13: Focus to increase share of self-paid (cash), international in revenue mix
Bed capacity share (%) Revenue share (%)
% share FY20 FY21 H1FY21 FY20 FY21 H1FY21
Self-Pay, TPA and Corporate 58% 64% 67% 67% 73% 75%
International 8% 2% 2% 11% 4% 4%
Institutional 34% 34% 31% 22% 23% 21%
Source: Company
Exhibit 15: Strong growth in Max Labs over last five years
Max Labs and Max Homecare
Gross revenues witnessed strong traction during
800
(Rs mn) 676 Covid and network expansion with
700
570 total count of active partner
600
network (collection and PUPs) at
500 430+ (added 135+ new collection
409
400 centers in H1’22). Expanding and
300 243 scaling up its labs business and
200 131 potential spin-offs could be value
51 unlocking opportunity.
100
0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 16: Max Healthcare capacity expansion in existing hospitals with land bank is key differentiator
Company Key expansion plan
Focus to expand in North and East region; M&A opportunities – targets hospital assets with 300-500 bed capacities;
Apollo Hospitals
Focus on expansion across its digital capability – Apollo 24/7; targets ~5,000 retail stores by FY25/26 (vs. 4,292 in H1FY22)
Looking to expand hospitals in India – Maharashtra, Chennai, Bangalore and Kerala; 411 beds planned in the next 18 months
Aster DM
Network expansion in AHLL; focus on organic expansion for its Diagnostic business
Valuation comparison
Exhibit 19: Max is 5th largest by total bed capacity… Exhibit 20: …and 3rd by operating bed capacity
(Nos of FY21 FY21
beds) (Operational
10,000
12,000 beds Nos)
10,206 7,409
10,000 8,000
5,787
8,000 6,750 6,000
20 16 17
10
0
Apollo Hosp Max Health# Fortis Narayana Aster DM
Exhibit 22: Max’ metro focus… Exhibit 23: …leads to higher occupancy…
FY20 FY21 H1FY22
(% of total
beds % hospital beds in metro cities (FY20) 100% (%
capacity)
78%
occupancy)
73%
70%
100% 80%
69%
66%
67%
65%
64%
84%
61%
56%
72%
55%
80%
56%
61% 60%
60% 54%
40%
40%
18%
20% 20%
0%
0%
Max Fortis Apollo Manipal Aster DM
Apollo Hosp Aster DM Max Health# Fortis
Health# Hosp
Source: Company, Axis Capital
Source: Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 25: Metro focused hospitals have high margin Exhibit 26: Even higher than matured hospitals
35% 30%
25%
26%
23%
25%
30%
24%
25%
22%
19%
19%
20%
18%
18%
25%
18%
20%
16%
16%
14%
20%
14%
13%
10%
15% 15%
9%
6%
10% 10%
5%
5%
0%
Apollo Max Health Narayana Narayana 0%
Chennai^ Bangalore Kolkata Apollo^ Max Health Narayana
Source: Companies; ^ Apollo Hospitals – EBITDA adjusted for clinician pay-outs in Source: Companies; ^ Apollo Hospitals – EBITDA adjusted for clinician pay-outs in
revenue; Apollo Hospitals margin assumed at 26% for Chennai cluster. EBITDA revenue; EBITDA margin is post IND AS FY20 onwards
margin is post IND AS FY20 onwards
Exhibit 27: Higher ARPOB in Tier I metro cities Exhibit 28: ~55% international patients in Delhi, Mumbai
60
50 Others
50 45 46 Hyderabad
42 (5-7%)
40
33 Delhi NCR
30 (42 - 45%)
Mumbai
20 (10-12%)
Chennai (22
10 - 25%)
0
Delhi NCR Mumb ai Ch en nai Bangalore Hyderab ad
Source: Max Healthcare annual report, Company, Axis Capital Source: Max Healthcare annual report, Company, Axis Capital; Data as of 2017
Exhibit 29: Favorable regional dynamics… Exhibit 30: …given gap in quality beds availability
Total beds per '000 population Quality beds* per '000 population
4 3.6 1.0
(Nos of (Nos of
beds) beds) 0.8 0.8
3.1 0.8
3
2.5 0.6
2.2 0.6
1.9 0.4 0.4
2
0.4
1 0.2
0.0
0 Delhi NCR Mumb ai Ch en nai Bangalore Hyderab ad
Delhi NCR Mumb ai Ch en nai Bangalore Hyderab ad
Source: Max Healthcare annual report, Company, Axis Capital Source: Max Healthcare annual report, Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 31: Matured beds with high margin drive operating performance
Matured hospitals drive operating
(% of bed share) FY20 FY21 performance led by centre of
1.2 excellence and better occupancy.
100% 100% 100% 100% Improving payor mix to drive higher
1.0 92% 91%
87% ARPOB and EBITDA margin
82%
0.8 73% 71%
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.0
Max Health# Fortis Narayana Aster DM Apollo Hosp
Exhibit 32: Occupancy higher in matured clusters Exhibit 33: Higher ARPOB in metros/ matured hospitals
100% 60,000
(%
occupancy) 78% 50,000
80% 73%
59% 60% 65% 62% 61% 40,000
60%
48% 46% 30,000
40%
20,000
51,100
50,800
55,100
47,151
49,115
54,494
36,184
46,479
52,218
31,781
34,247
38,219
24,932
24,932
29,589
20% 10,000
0% 0
Apollo Chennai^ Max Health Apollo AP^ Max Apollo Apollo AP^ Narayana Narayana
Health Chennai^ Bangalore Kolkata
Source: Companies; ^ Apollo Hospitals occupancy for Chennai and Andhra Source: Companies; ^ Apollo Hospitals occupancy for Chennai and Andhra Pradesh
Pradesh clusters clusters
15%
Mumbai)
10%
5%
0%
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Source: Companies, Axis Capital; For Apollo Hospital, EBITDA adjusted for clinician pay-outs in revenue; FY20 represents Max
healthcare + partnered healthcare facilities and demerged business of Radiant Life. FY21 includes sales of Radiant Life and 10
months of Max Healthcare as part of demerger scheme; EBITDA margin is post IND AS FY20 onwards
Exhibit 35: EBITDA per bed for Max Healthcare higher vs. peers
EBITDA per bed for Max
FY20 FY21 H1FY22 Healthcare is highest among
5 comparable peers. Increase in
(Rs mn)
EBITDA per bed is largely
3.8
4 supported by higher ARPOB,
presence of hospitals in metros,
3
2.4 improved case and payor mix. This
2 1.7 1.7 1.7 coupled with better cost
1.4 1.4 1.2 management led to growth in
0.9 0.8 0.7 1.0
1 0.7 0.7
0.3 EBITDA per beds.
0
Apollo Max# Aster Fortis Narayana
Source: Companies, Axis Capital, Note: EBITDA for hospital business, Max Healthcare EBITDA adjusted for one-offs and
vaccination revenues, Aster DM EBITDA is for India business.
Exhibit 36: RoCE improving led by increasing EBITDA Exhibit 37: RoCE improving for Max Healthcare
35% 35%
30% 30%
30% 26% 30% 26%
25% 25% 21%
20% 20%
15% 14%
15% 11% 15% 11% 10%
10% 8% 10% 8%
4%
5% 1% 5% 2%
0% 0%
RoCE Adjusted RoCE Apollo^ Max Health Fortis
Source: Companies; For adjusted RoCE, Capital employed excludes impact of Source: Companies; Indicative company level RoCE; Apollo RoCE is as published in
Purchase price allocation on capital employed consequent to merger with Radiant Q2FY22 earnings update for standalone financial performance. Fortis EBIT computed
and current quarter acquisition; Also excludes short term FDRs; Depreciation has from group consolidated P&L
been considered based on normalized replacement capex
Source: Company; MHIL – Max Healthcare Institute Limited; CRL – Crosslay Remedies Limited; HBPL – Hometrail Buildtech Private Limited
Exhibit 40: Max Healthcare, partnered healthcare facility and Max Healthcare network – key financials
Particulars Hospital Year Operating beds (Nos) Occupancy (%) Sales (Rs mn) EBITDA (Rs mn) EBITDA margin (%)
FY20 2,262 NA 29,431 4,249 14.4%
Max Healthcare Max + Radiant FY21 2,291 NA 26,830 4,439 16.5%
H1FY22 2,296 NA 20,190 5,170 25.6%
Balaji FY20 401 82% 4,567 572 12.5%
FY21 401 68% 3,940 600 15.2%
H1FY22 401 NA 2,750 680 24.7%
GM Modi FY20 250 70% 2,757 236 8.6%
Partnered
FY21 238 69% 2,550 300 11.8%
Healthcare Facility
H1FY22 238 NA 1,730 270 15.6%
Devki Devi FY20 320 NA 5,550 489 8.8%
FY21 320 NA 5,330 640 12.0%
H1FY22 320 NA 3,690 780 21.1%
FY20 3,233 73% 39,907 5,571 14.0%
Max Healthcare network FY21 3,250 65% 36,020 5,645 15.7%
H1FY22 3,255 77% 26,610 7,060 26.5%
Source: Company, Axis Capital; Note: Assumed same number of operating beds in H1FY22 or partnered healthcare facilities; FY20 represents Max Healthcare and demerged
business of Radiant Life. FY21 includes sales of Radiant Life and 10 months of Max Healthcare as part of demerger scheme
Post-acquisition, Abhay Soi and Kayak were the promoters of Max Healthcare and Max
promoters reclassified as public shareholders. Kayak further acquired 4.99% stake in
Max Healthcare from Max promoters.
Exhibit 41: Management structure – controlling stake with Abhay Soi and KKR
Shareholding pattern % holding
Mar-20 Sep-20 Mar-21 Sep-21
Kayak Investments Holding Pte. Ltd. 47% 52% 49% 38%
Mr. Abhay Soi 23% 23% 22% 23%
Max India 12% 2% 0% 0%
Public and others 18% 23% 30% 39%
Source: Company, Axis Capital
Max Healthcare completed an equity fund raise of Rs 12 bn through a QIP in Mar’21 and 61.41 mn
shares were issued at Rs 195.40 per share; accordingly, % holdings for the promoters has changed
in Mar’21.
Mr. Abhay Soi has a successful track record of restructuring – Dr. B L Kapur Hospital, a leading
Delhi hospital and turnaround of Mumbai’s Dr. Balabhai Nanavati Hospital. He has also initiated
the turnaround of Max Healthcare − EBITDA increased by over 70% in FY20/21 with strong
margin expansion in H1FY22.
The financial backing by KKR with extensive global experience and expertise in healthcare
investments have helped Max Healthcare in financial management and efficient capital allocation.
Max Healthcare management team has made multiple successful acquisitions including BLK,
Nanavati and Max Hospitals – which provides comfort on its ability to turnaround assets post
M&A. The company has also acquired land parcel at Saket, Delhi and Gurugram, Haryana for new
hospitals.
EBITDA margin of Max Hospitals has improved to 26.3% in Q2’22 (adjusted for one-offs) from
11.6% in Q1’20. EBITDA margin expansion to 26.5% in H1FY22 (from 8.9% in FY19), improvement
was driven by (1) ~Rs 2.22 bn worth of initiatives implemented with ~Rs 1.4 bn flowing in EBITDA
in FY20 and (2) FY21 EBITDA has full year impact of the structural performance improvement
initiatives implemented in FY20 of Rs 800 mn. New structural cost initiatives worth ~Rs 1.08 bn in
FY21 were implemented with an impact of ~Rs 730 mn on FY21 EBITDA.
40,000 120
54 80
30,000 39
11 8 40
7
20,000 -15
0
-41
35,990
39,907
14,340
11,600
11,610
10,000
13,850
(40)
9,440
6,170
0 (80)
FY19 FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital; Q1FY22 and Q2FY22 include sales from Covid vaccination income
4,000 (30)
3,000
(80)
2,000
2,520
2,630
3,480
5,571
3,590
3,620
1,430
1,000
-220
(130)
0
FY19 FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
(1,000) (180)
Source: Company, Axis Capital; Q1FY22 and Q2FY22 include EBITDA from Covid vaccination income
Post-acquisition, Max Healthcare’s focus was on (1) realignment of roles and responsibilities,
leading to personnel cost optimization, (2) reduction in corporate overheads, (3) renegotiation of
contracts across material and other indirect costs and (4) transient cost management initiatives
during the onset of Covid-19 pandemic.
5000 70%
58%
60%
4000
45% 43% 42% 42% 43% 50%
3000 36% 36%
32% 32% 40%
2000 30%
20%
4,410
4,250
3,330
3,750
3,910
4,250
4,332
4,218
3,860
4,380
1000
10%
0 0%
Q2FY20
Q3FY20
Q1FY21
Q2FY21
Q4FY21
Q1FY22
Q1FY20
Q4FY20
Q3FY21
Q2FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital
For FY22, the key priorities for the company are (1) improve average revenue per occupied bed
per day, (2) improve occupancy rates and equipment utilization at hospitals, and (3) maximize
efficiencies through greater integration, better supply chain management and human resource
development.
0%
Q2FY20 Q3FY20 Q4FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital, Note: Tower specialty includes Oncology, Cardiac sciences, Neuro sciences, Orthopedics,
Renal sciences, Liver and biliary sciences
Exhibit 46: Tower specialty – oncology, cardiac, Neuro remain high and steady
Within tower specialty, the share of
(% share) Oncology Cardiac sciences Neuro sciences Orthopedics Renal sciences
critical care treatment like
100% oncology, cardiology and neurology
10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 9% 7% 9%
remains high. This provides better
80% 10% 10% 4% 5% 6% 9% 5% 10%
11% growth visibility coupled with
10% 8% 9% better margin given high-end
10% 11% 10% 8% 10%
60% 10%
10% tertiary care treatment share in
10% 10% 9% 12%
12% 13% 15% 14% business improving.
40%
0%
Q2FY20 Q3FY20 Q4FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Focus is to build on upcountry markets to improve share of high-end tertiary care procedures as
patients travel from far-flung areas to metro cities, such as Delhi-NCR to get high-end treatments.
MHIL gets flow of patients from all of North India, including Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand,
Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan and other key states.
Strategy is to deepen its reach across the country by penetrating into new cities or regions and
establishing sales offices or OPD centres to cater to the local population and refer to its tertiary
care facilities for high-end procedures.
Focus on high end treatment across tower specialty (Onco, Neuro, Cardiac etc) with advance
medical technology like Advanced robotics provides high precision and enables minimal invasive
surgery.
Exhibit 47: High end quaternary care facilities including 3 JCI accredited
Source: Company, Axis Capital, Note: *Run rate basis Q2FY22, given rest of Q1FY22 was adversely impacted by Covid-19 pandemic. (1) Transplants include kidney, heart, liver,
lung, etc. | (2) Includes Cardiac Surgery, Cardiac Paed. Surgery, Vascular Surgery, Angioplasty, Angiography and Other Cardiac Procedures | (3) Includes Surgical and Spinal
Surgeries | (4) Includes Joints and Other surgeries | (5) Includes Onco Surgical and bone marrow transplant (BMT)
Over last few quarters with reducing number of Covid cases, the non-Covid occupancy has started
inching up. Max Healthcare expects occupancy to improve to 77-78% in FY22 and further in FY23
and FY24 with optimal target of 80%+ occupancy across the network. Improvement in occupancy
and change in case mix with improving share of tower specialties to support the growth.
Exhibit 50: ALOS improving post Covid impact in FY21 and H1FY22
Improving case mix, reduction in
ALOS (Days) Covid allotted beds and focus on
7
5.9 center of excellence to help
6 5.20 improve ALOS.
5 4.40 4.6
4.20 4.30 4.3
4 3.39 3.25
3
2
1
0
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Exhibit 53: International patient flow impacted during Covid; expects improvement
Easing of travel restrictions will
(% share) International lead to improvement in flow of
14% international patients which in turn
12%
12% 11% 11%
to improve both case mix and
ARPOB in near term.
10%
8%
6%
6% 5%
4%
4%
4% 3%
2%
2%
0%
Q2FY20 Q3FY20 Q4FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Better ALOS, payor mix and improving case mix provides visibility for ARPOB growth
0 change in FY20/21).
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Exhibit 55: ARPOB over last few quarters has improved with better case/ payor mix
Few of the leading hospital
ARPOB companies have indicated Tier-I
70,000 (Rs/day) city base hospitals are having
56,900 59,000
60,000 54,000 ARPOB in range of Rs 60,000+ per
49,700 50,800 51,200 51,500
50,000 47,000 46,400 day. Hence Max Healthcare with
~84%+ bed capacity in metro Tier-I
40,000
city can see further improvement
30,000 or can sustain the ARPOB in near
20,000 term.
10,000
0
Q2FY20 Q3FY20 Q4FY20 Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Max Healthcare has existing valuable land bank which will enable it to add 3,300+ beds through
brownfield and greenfield expansion. In Oct’21, Max Healthcare board approved the expansion
initiative through purchase of two parcels of land admeasuring ~ 5.26 acres and ~ 6.11 acres
located in Gurugram (Haryana) at Sector 56 and Sector 53 respectively. The land was offered to
the company for allotment on freehold basis for setting up two hospitals, following acceptance of
its bids made under the e-auction of Institutional Properties arranged by Haryana Shehri Vikas
Pradhikaran (“HSVP”), subject to the terms & conditions prescribed under the Letter of Intent
issued by HSVP.
The company expects regular maintenance capex of ~Rs 1.6 bn per year. Land cost for greenfield
project in Gurugram would be ~Rs 1.8 bn, which is expected to be paid by FY22 end. For Mohali,
Nanavati and Saket complex (settled dispute with Vikrant foundation), the company already has a
land bank for the expansion which helps it to reduce capex per bed to Rs 10-15 mn.
Gurugram expansion: Max Healthcare already has one hospital (Alfa Hospital with 72 bed
capacity). It plans to expand its bed capacity in NCR region by addition of two hospitals of
~500 beds each in Gurugram. This will significantly ramp up its existing footprint in NCR
region.
Nanavati hospital: plans to add ~440 net beds spread over 3.9 acres of land in the Nanavati
Max Hospital located in the heart of Mumbai. Addition of ~339 beds in phase 1 by Q3FY25 as
part of a new block. Demolition of ~160 beds before commencement of Phase 2. Addition of
~271 beds in phase 2 by Q3 FY27. Bed expansion to aid EBITDA margin expansion and enable
spreading of employee cost over a larger base.
Saket complex, Delhi: Plans to create 2,300+ beds contiguous medical hub spread over
23 acres of land in the heart of South Delhi. This will be enabled by augmentation of existing
~770 beds with – (1) ~1,100 additional beds in Max Smart in four phases as per current
brownfield expansion plans, and (2) ~500 beds at Vikrant Foundation over two phases.
Adding about 100 beds in Shalimar Bagh; expects to commence in Q3/Q4FY22 – operational
by FY23 end. Mohali hospital adding 190 beds and expects to commence in Q3FY22 –
operational by FY23 end.
Exhibit 58: Capex outlay and expansion plan for bed addition across hospital network
(Rs mn) # of beds Likely Likely FY22 FY23 FY24 FY25 FY26 FY27 FY28 & Total
construction commencement onwards
commencement by of operations
Brownfield projects
Commenced in
Max Shalimar Bagh, Delhi 100 H2FY24 80 500 430 110 - - - 1,120
Sep'21
Max Mohali, Punjab 190 Q4FY22 H2FY24 30 800 960 200 - - - 1,990
Max Smart,
350 Q4FY22 H1FY25 900 1,800 1,500 2,350 290 - - 6,840
(Saket Complex) -1
Nanavati Max, Mumbai -1* 329 Q4FY22 H2FY25 750 1,100 1,350 710 440 - - 4,350
Vikrant Foundation,
300 Q4FY24 H1FY26 120 660 900 1,560 360 - - 3,600
(Saket Complex)
Nanavati Max,
271 Q2FY25 H2FY27 - - - 450 800 1,300 280 2,830
Mumbai – 2*
Max Smart,
300 on or after FY28 NA - - - - - - 2,250 2,250
(Saket Complex) -3
Max Smart,
200 on or after FY28 NA - - - - - - 2,700 2,700
(Saket Complex) -4
Vikrant Foundation,
200 on or after FY28 NA - - - - - - 2,400 2,400
(Saket Complex) -2
Total Brownfield projects 2,490 1,880 4,860 5,140 5,680 2,290 1,770 8,760 30,380
Greenfield Projects
Gurugram Sector 56** 500 Q4FY23 H1FY26 - 1,600 1,550 1,900 1,650 - - 6,700
Total Greenfield
1,000 - 1,600 1,550 1,900 1,650 - 6,700 13,400
Projects**
Overall total 3,490 1,880 6,460 6,690 7,580 3,940 1,770 15,460 43,780
Source: Company, Axis Capital; * ~160 beds need to be demolished before commencement of Phase 2, ** Excludes land cost | Above exclude routine capex
Looking to expand hospitals in India – Maharashtra, Chennai, Bangalore and Kerala; 411 beds planned in the next
18 months
Expanding presence in Pharmacy distribution business – acquired Hindustan Drug; Targets to start ~130
Aster DM pharmacies in India by FY22 end (~30 store as of Jun'21)
Expansion in Clinics business – Aster Labs – targets to start ~23 labs in FY22
In GCC, expects to add 225 beds in near term
Cayman Island capex is on track and the company sees it as a natural extension of its GCC hospital business
In Aug'21, acquired exclusive rights to aid development and provide medical services to a 500-bed hospital to be
built on a 3.5 acres of a prime land parcel in Saket (South Delhi). 250 beds will be commissioned in the first phase by
FY24 end
Max Healthcare
Looking to double its bed capacity over FY22-27
Focusing on expanding presence in clinics business through Max Labs and Max homecare – looking to expand
the network
Max Healthcare management team has done multiple successful acquisitions including BLK (in
2009-10), Nanavati (in 2014-15) and Max Hospitals (in 2020) – which provides comfort on its
ability to turnaround assets post M&A.
Exhibit 60: BLK hospital sales growth trend Exhibit 61: EBITDA margin trend
370
-9%
240
2,130 400
1,070
1,140
1,290
2,000 1,250 -10%
580
890
20
740 -20%
0
-20%
(110)
0
(150)
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 (400) -30%
FY11FY12FY13FY14FY15FY16FY17FY18FY19FY20
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 62: Nanavati hospital sales trend Exhibit 63: EBITDA turnaround post acquisition
260
-4%
140
110
1,850
10
2,000
1,500 0
(80)
-15%
1,000 -10%
(200)
(230)
0
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 (400) -20%
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 64: Even Max Hospitals saw steady sales Exhibit 65: Margin improved post management change
30,000 26,610 20
24,340 25,954 15.7
14.0
15 11.5
20,000 9.7
8.5
10
10,000
5
0 0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY17/18 for Max Hospitals (before acquisition) Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY17/18 for Max Hospitals (before acquisition) and
and FY19/20 proforma (Max + Radiant) FY19/20 proforma (Max + Radiant)
Exhibit 66: Improving operating CF and FCF Exhibit 67: Net debt declining across companies
(Net debt
Operating CF Capex FCF Rs bn)
FY20 FY21 H1FY22
4,000 3,727 35
(Rs mn) 31
30 28
3,000 2,617
25
20
2,000 19 19
20
1,179 14
771 15 11
1,000 10
10 8 9
5 6 5
0 5 3 2
(130) (6)
0
(1,000)
Apollo Max Health Aster DM Narayana Fortis
FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital, Companies, Axis Capital; Note: Max Healthcare Source: Company, Axis Capital
FCF for FY20 excludes ~Rs 21 bn for the purchase of Max Healthcare equity share
by Radiant Life and H1FY22 excludes Rs 601 mn for acquisition of subsidiary
Asset-light model with real estate investment trusts (REITs) for future expansion
Max Healthcare’s core competence lies in providing healthcare services ranging from primary care
to quaternary care. In addition to its plan of brownfield capacity expansion, it seeks to move
towards an asset light model for the delivery of healthcare services through operations and
management contracts, which will enable it to focus on its core healthcare operations and key
medical competencies. For this strategy, the company is looking to enter into partnership with real
estate developers who could build the hospital facilities as per Max’s specifications and it would
then operate and manage the hospital facilities by leveraging its brand equity and expertise in
healthcare services.
Exhibit 68: Asset-light model with real estate investment trusts (REITs)
Source: Company
Exhibit 69: Over 13x revenue growth in 4 years for Max Labs
Max Healthcare’s non-captive
Gross revenues business under Max Labs has seen
800 strong traction over last few years
(Rs mn) 676 (~91% gross revenue CAGR over
700
570 FY17-21 to Rs 676 mn in FY21). As
600
of Sep’21, Max Labs has 220+
500 409 Partner-run collection centres, 13
400
Company owned collection
300 243
centres, 135+ Phlebotomist at Site
200 131 (PAS), 200+ Pick-Up Points (PUPs),
100 51
19+ Hospital based Lab
0 Management (HLMs), 20+ Cities of
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22 operations and offers 1,900+ test
Source: Company, Axis Capital portfolio.
Using the power of digitization, Max@Home plans to technologically enable and automate existing
customer acquisition channels within Max Healthcare network by allowing customers to directly
place a home care request over multiple online mediums during their visit to the hospital, among
others, in order to grow its Max@Home brand. Also, it intends to utilize MaxLab and Max@Home’s
plug and play approach to provide new services and scale its digital business for future growth.
Exhibit 70: Steady growth trend in GMV Exhibit 71: Sales normalizing as Covid impact weans
Q2FY21
Q3FY21
Q4FY21
Q1FY22
Q2FY22
Q1FY21
Q2FY21
Q3FY21
Q4FY21
Q1FY22
Q2FY22
Exhibit 72: Covid share declined in Q2FY22… Exhibit 73: …led to decline in sales
40% 40%
52% 48% 57% 56%
20% 37% 45% 20%
23% 23% 30%
18% 15% 18%
0% 0%
Q1FY21Q2FY21Q3FY21Q4FY21Q1FY22Q2FY22 Q1FY21Q2FY21Q3FY21Q4FY21Q1FY22Q2FY22
Gross Merchandise Value Net revenue
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 74: Margin impacted on decline in Covid sales Exhibit 75: Volume increased and steady realization
EBITDA EBITDA margin (RHS) No. of Bills (‘000) Average realization per bill (Rs)
Q2FY21
Q3FY21
Q4FY21
Q1FY22
Q2FY22
Q1FY21
Q2FY21
Q3FY21
Q4FY21
Q1FY22
Q2FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital
The patients can book appointments, make payments and upload their documents using the
mobile app
The doctors can review uploaded documents, conduct video consults, write, and share
prescription on mobile/web app
The app is also integrated with IOMT devices (Omron and Kardia) for real-time monitoring of
vitals. Other Covid-19 related initiatives include digitization of home isolation package workflows,
data capturing, among others. Digitization is also applied in other non-clinical areas, such as patient
and nurse feedback management, in-house kitchen processes and biometrics for employee
attendance management. Artificial Intelligence is being deployed in clinical areas especially
radiology to augment reporting and decision making. Max Healthcare’s AI solution for chest X-rays
is deployed in Max Saket and Max Smart. Similarly, Predible Lung IQ solution enables nodule
detection and fibrosis quantification for Covid-19 patients and hence helps radiologists assess
severity and disease progression. There are other solutions as well in the field of orthopaedics and
neurosciences that are currently helping doctors make informed clinical decisions.
Exhibit 76: 7x revenue growth in 4 years with scale-up of direct to customer services
Gross revenues
1,800
(Rs mn) 1,550
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
768
800 696
626
600
400 276
200 96
0
FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 H1FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital
Video consultation
60,000 55,000
(Nos)
50,000
40,000
28,200 30,000 30,000
30,000
20,000
17,500
20,000
10,000
0
Q1FY21 Q2FY21 Q3FY21 Q4FY21 Q1FY22 Q2FY22
Source: Company, Axis Capital
Going forward, Max Healthcare is working towards creating an integrated digital platform that
would help it deliver personalised and efficient healthcare services.
Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY21 includes sales of Radiant Life and 10 months Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY21 includes sales of Radiant Life and 10 months of
of Max Healthcare Max Healthcare. FY22-24E EBITDA includes non-operating expenses related to
ESOP, fair value contract assets and VRS scheme
Exhibit 81: Adjusted margin to remain strong Exhibit 82: EBIT margin improving
Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY21 includes sales of Radiant Life and 10 months Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY21 includes sales of Radiant Life and 10 months of
of Max Healthcare. FY22-24E EBITDA adjusted for non-operating expenses like Max Healthcare
ESOP, fair value contract assets and VRS scheme
Exhibit 83: EBITDA per bed improving with better operating metrics
EBITDA/ bed
6
(Rs mn) 5.1
5 4.7
4.4
4
2 1.7 1.7
0
FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E
Source: Company; FY20 represents Max Healthcare + partnered healthcare facilities and demerged business of Radiant Life.
FY21 includes sales of Radiant Life + 10 months of Max Healthcare. FY22-24E EBITDA adjusted for non-operating expenses.
Exhibit 84: Hospital business to see steady growth Exhibit 85: Strong margin expansion led by…
Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY20 represents Max Healthcare including Source: Company, Axis Capital; FY20 represents Max Healthcare including partnered
partnered healthcare facilities and demerged business of Radiant Life. FY21 healthcare facilities and demerged business of Radiant Life. FY21 includes sales of
includes sales of Radiant Life and 10 months of Max Healthcare Radiant Life and 10 months of Max Healthcare. FY22-24E EBITDA adjusted for non-
operating expenses related to ESOP, fair value contract assets and VRS scheme
Exhibit 86: …growth in ARPOB and… Exhibit 87: …steady occupancy over next couple of years
Exhibit 88: Strong growth visibility in Max Labs Exhibit 89: EBITDA and margin to see steady growth
Valuations
Exhibit 90: Hospital peer valuation comparison
Mcap P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) ROE (%) RoCE (%)
(Rs bn) FY22E FY23E FY24E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY22E FY23E FY24E FY19 FY20 FY21
India
KIMS IB Equity 107 35.6 30.1 28.4 21.9 18.0 16.6 27.0 na na na 19.2 25.4
APHS IB Equity 748 84.3 62.1 49.4 34.0 29.0 24.2 17.9 19.6 21.4 6.1 11.1 4.9
ASTERDM IB Equity 96 22.4 16.2 15.8 10.5 8.9 8.4 11.7 14.4 na 11.5 10.4 6.3
MAXHEALT IB Equity 387 48.9 41.9 34.2 29.0 26.9 22.6 16.3 18.5 19.1 na na na
FORH IB Equity 214 61.1 41.2 37.0 21.0 18.5 16.7 6.7 7.3 7.0 na 3.4 - 5.8
NARH IB Equity 117 40.0 31.4 27.4 19.8 16.3 14.5 22.7 23.2 22.9 6.1 9.9 na
India Industry Weighted Average 63.3 47.9 39.5 28.0 24.4 20.8 16.6 16.5 16.5 3.8 7.9 3.4
Asia Peers
IHH MK Equity 1,034 38.9 36.1 31.6 16.9 16.1 14.6 6.3 6.5 7.2 3.6 4.9 4.4
BDMS TB Equity 818 51.0 41.8 35.5 23.3 20.5 18.3 8.4 10.0 11.2 15.7 15.4 7.1
Asia Industry Weighted Average 44.3 38.6 33.3 19.7 18.1 16.2 7.2 8.0 9.0 8.9 9.6 5.6
Source: Bloomberg; as of 13 Dec 2021
30
(x)
25
20
15
Apr-21
Jun-21
Oct-21
Nov-21
Dec-21
Mar-21
Aug-21
Jul-21
Sep-21
May-21
Source: Bloomberg
Peer comparison
Exhibit 94: Apollo is largest player on bed capacity… Exhibit 95: …also operational beds
(Nos of FY21 FY21
beds)
10,000
12,000
10,206 7,409
8,000
10,000
Exhibit 96: Apollo, Max and Fortis – metro focused Exhibit 97: Apollo Hospitals has superior margin
Ap ollo Aster Max Health
100%
84% Fortis Narayana
80% 72%
25%
61% (EBITDA
60% 54% 50% 54% margin %)
20%
40%
15%
18%
20%
10%
0%
Apollo
Manipal
Manipal
Fortis
Narayana
Max
Aster India
5%
0%
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 98: Apollo is among higher ARPOB hospitals Exhibit 99: Occupancy steady for Apollo Hospitals
Ap ollo Aster Max Fortis Narayana Ap ollo H osp Aster DM Max Health # Fortis
60 80% (%
ARPOB occupancy)
(000' Rs/ 75%
50 day)
40 70%
30 65%
20 60%
10 55%
0 50%
FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital
Exhibit 100: Gross margin steady Exhibit 101: Employee cost as % of sales – control on cost
(% gross FY20 FY21 H1FY22 Employee FY20 FY21 H1FY22
margin) cost as % of
100 sales)
40
7976 76 34
78 32 32
80 73 72 76 74 75 35
71 70 70
30 26
59 24
60 55 56 22 21
25 22 21
2021
20 17
40 1413
15
10
20 10
5
0 0
Apollo Aster DM Max Health Narayana Fortis Apollo Aster DM Max Health Narayana Fortis
Exhibit 102: Other costs declining trend – cost savings Exhibit 103: Doctor fees steady across leading players
(Other (Doctor fees
expenses as FY20 FY21 H1FY22 as % of sales) FY20 FY21 H1FY22
% of sales)
25% 24%
30 20% 21%
20% 20% 20% 20%
2525
25 23 20% 20% 18% 18%
21 21
1918 19 13%
20 17 17 17 18 18 15% 14%
15
15
11 10% 8% 7% 8%
10
5%
5
0 0%
Apollo Aster DM Max Health Narayana Fortis Apollo Aster DM Max Narayana Fortis
Health
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital, Assuming fees for Apollo at 20% of sales
35
31
30 28
25
20
19 19
20
14
15 11 10
10 8 9
5 6 5
5 3 2
0
Apollo Max Health Aster DM Narayana Fortis
Source: Companies, Axis Capital
Presence in metro cities with higher revenue concentration to sustain in near term
Exhibit 106: Presence in metro cities Exhibit 107: Key hubs from domestic in North and East
Exhibit 108: Operating beds higher in Delhi & Mumbai… Exhibit 109: …metro regions are leading contributors
Haryana
71 % of operating beds % of H1FY22 gross sales
Uttarakhand
184
70% 65%
61%
60%
Punjab
333
50%
Maharashtra 40%
305
Delhi 30%
1,974
UP 20%
12%
11% 9%8% 10%
373 9%
10% 6%4%
2%3%
0%
DL UP MH PU UT HA
Source: Company, Axis Capital, as of H1FY22 Source: Company, Axis Capital, as a % of H1FY22 gross sales
Exhibit 110: Delhi, UP (NCR region) and Mumbai witnessed spike in sales
Combined Delhi NCR and Mumbai
(Rs mn) H1FY21 H1FY22 region has ~82% operating bed
16,000
2,150
2,070
1,610
1,310
1,290
4,000
970
840
690
480
0
DL UP MH PU UT HA
Source: Company, Axis Capital
Max Healthcare, on May 27,2020 received approval from National Company Law Tribunal
('NCLT') for the Composite Scheme of Amalgamation and Arrangement amongst Max Healthcare,
Radiant Life Care Private Limited, erstwhile Max India Limited and its subsidiary company
Advaita Allied Healthcare.
Consequently, Kayak Investments Holding and Mr. Abhay Soi, obtained control of the Company.
The business combination has been treated as a reverse acquisition for financial reporting
purposes, with Radiant Life Care as the accounting acquirer and Max Healthcare Institute as the
accounting acquiree/legal acquirer.
Liabilities
(i) Long term borrowings 7,892
(ii) Lease liabilities (non-current) 1,752
(iii) Other financial liabilities (non-current) 9
(iv) Long term provisions 236
(v) Deferred tax liabilities (net) 6,043
(vi) Other non-current liabilities 2,319
(vii) Short term borrowings 4,750
(viii) Trade payables 3,031
(ix) Lease liabilities (current) 103
(x) Other financial liabilities (current) 6,357
(xi) Other current liabilities 173
(xii) Short term provisions 189
Total liabilities acquired (b) 32,854
Net Assets of MHIL and its subsidiaries recognised pursuant to the Scheme (a-b) 19,497
C. Goodwill (A-B) 20,371
Source: Company, Axis Capital
QIP
During March 2021, the company issued 61.41 mn equity shares (face value of Rs 10 each) at a
price of Rs 195.40 per equity share, including a premium of Rs 185.40 per equity share (the Issue
price), aggregating to Rs 12 bn.
Exhibit 118: Improved EBITDA leading to better OCF and FCF generation
(Rs mn) FY20 FY21 H1FY21 H1FY22
PBT 128 -687 -2,780 3,715
Operating Profit before WC 1,222 4,361 794 5,209
Source: Company
Notes:
Healthcare undertaking of Radiant Life Care and residual business of erstwhile Max India Limited has
merged into Max Healthcare Institute through a NCLT approved Composite Scheme of Amalgamation
and Arrangement on June 1, 2020.
Earlier, Radiant had acquired 49.7% stake of MHIL from Life Healthcare at ~ Rs 21.36 bn at Rs 80 per
share in June, 2019. Upon merger of the healthcare undertaking of Radiant with MHIL, the Radiant
shareholders were issued 635.04 mn shares by MHIL (merged entity) based on approved swap ratio
(9,074 shares of MHIL for 10 shares held in Radiant) and its pre-acquisition stake of 49.7% stood
cancelled. The merger resulted into Radiant promoters controlling the merged MHIL.
Radiant was identified as the accounting acquirer and thus the merger qualified as a “reverse
acquisition”. MHIL financials were considered to be the continuation of Radiant’s healthcare
undertaking financials (accounting acquirer) and thus all assets & liabilities of MHIL were fair valued as
per principles laid down in IND AS 103. Demerged undertaking of Radiant was accounted for at its
carrying amounts. Applying the principles of Ind AS 103, the financial result of MHIL (merged) for year
ended March 31, 2021 consisted 12 months of operations of Radiant and 10 months of operations of
MHIL (merged). FY20 consisted 12 months of operation of Radiant and FY19 consisted of 12 months of
operation of Max Healthcare.
Net sales 39,907 36,020 52,044 56,343 66,140 Profit before tax 1,258 (878) 9,732 11,190 13,742
Other operating income - - - - - Depreciation & Amortisation 2,067 2,150 2,469 2,854 3,335
Total operating income 39,907 36,020 52,044 56,343 66,140 Chg in working capital (7,982) 6,360 (3,604) (1,259) (364)
Cost of goods sold (8,957) (9,728) (13,011) (14,086) (16,535) Cash flow from operations (4,628) 7,109 6,749 10,659 14,102
Gross profit 30,950 26,292 39,033 42,257 49,605 Capital expenditure (5,859) (7,160) (4,666) (8,060) (8,290)
Gross margin (%) 77.6 73.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 Cash flow from investing (5,859) (7,160) (4,666) (8,060) (8,290)
Total operating expenses (25,784) (23,417) (25,829) (27,335) (31,771) Equity raised/ (repaid) 14,271 24,921 - - -
EBITDA 5,166 2,875 13,204 14,922 17,835 Debt raised/ (repaid) 4,788 (13,030) (2,270) (1,050) (1,000)
EBITDA margin (%) 12.9 8.0 25.4 26.5 27.0 Dividend paid - - - - -
Depreciation (2,067) (2,150) (2,469) (2,854) (3,335) Cash flow from financing 19,060 11,891 (2,270) (1,050) (1,000)
EBIT 3,099 725 10,735 12,068 14,499 Net chg in cash 8,573 11,840 (187) 1,549 4,812
Net interest (2,166) (1,883) (1,203) (1,097) (997)
Other income 325 280 200 220 240
Key ratios
Profit before tax 1,258 (878) 9,732 11,190 13,742
Y/E March FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E
Total taxation (29) (523) (1,849) (2,126) (2,611)
OPERATIONAL
Tax rate (%) 2.3 (59.5) 19.0 19.0 19.0
FDEPS (Rs) 1.9 1.4 9.0 10.0 12.1
Profit after tax 1,287 (1,401) 7,883 9,064 11,131
CEPS (Rs) 3.7 0.8 10.7 12.3 15.0
Minorities - - - - -
DPS (Rs) - - - - -
Profit/ Loss associate co(s) - - - - -
Dividend payout ratio (%) - - - - -
Adjusted net profit 1,692 1,369 8,714 9,687 11,692
GROWTH
Adj. PAT margin (%) 4.2 3.8 16.7 17.2 17.7
Net sales (%) 10.9 (9.7) 44.5 8.3 17.4
Net non-recurring items (405) (2,770) (831) (623) (561)
EBITDA (%) 72.8 (44.4) 359.3 13.0 19.5
Reported net profit 1,287 (1,401) 7,883 9,064 11,131
Adj net profit (%) (1,638.6) (19.1) 536.7 11.2 20.7
FDEPS (%) (1,638.6) (24.3) 536.7 11.2 20.7
Balance Sheet (Rs mn) PERFORMANCE
Y/E March FY20 FY21 FY22E FY23E FY24E RoE (%) 6.5 3.0 14.2 13.9 14.6
Paid-up capital 9,045 9,660 9,660 9,660 9,660 RoCE (%) 7.0 1.5 14.8 15.2 16.4
Reserves & surplus 24,815 47,721 55,603 64,668 75,799 EFFICIENCY
Net worth 33,860 57,380 65,263 74,327 85,458 Asset turnover (x) 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Borrowing 25,130 12,100 9,830 8,780 7,780 Sales/ total assets (x) 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7
Other non-current liabilities - 1,580 1,790 1,790 1,790 Working capital/ sales (x) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total liabilities 58,990 71,060 76,883 84,897 95,028 Receivable days 24 48 38 43 42
Gross fixed assets 40,876 79,430 82,830 90,890 99,180 Inventory days 10 8 10 12 11
Less: Depreciation (6,064) (7,614) (10,084) (12,938) (16,273) Payable days 26 47 47 49 49
Net fixed assets 34,812 71,816 72,747 77,952 82,907 FINANCIAL STABILITY
Add: Capital WIP 1,578 234 1,500 1,500 1,500 Total debt/ equity (x) 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Total fixed assets 36,390 72,050 74,247 79,452 84,407 Net debt/ equity (x) 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 (0.1)
Total Investment 21,380 20 20 20 20 Current ratio (x) 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.6
Inventory 940 740 1,086 1,336 1,510 Interest cover (x) 1.4 0.4 8.9 11.0 14.5
Debtors 2,605 4,691 5,429 6,681 7,550 VALUATION
Cash & bank 4,110 6,660 6,473 8,022 12,834 PE (x) 203.9 269.3 42.3 38.0 31.5
Loans & advances - - - - - EV/ EBITDA (x) 71.5 130.6 28.3 24.8 20.5
Current liabilities 4,890 6,260 6,951 7,537 8,523 EV/ Net sales (x) 9.3 10.4 7.2 6.6 5.5
Net current assets 2,765 5,831 6,036 8,503 13,371 PB (x) 10.2 6.4 5.6 5.0 4.3
Other non-current assets 1,545 6,841 3,420 3,078 2,770 Dividend yield (%) - - - - -
Total assets 58,990 71,060 76,883 84,897 95,028 Free cash flow yield (%) (2.8) 0.0 0.6 0.7 1.6
Source: Company, Axis Capital Source: Company, Axis Capital
Note:
(1) PHF - Partnered Healthcare Facilities
(2) Gross block and debtors in balance sheet is as per Axis Capital estimates for FY20-24; Derived working capital cycle for FY20-24 base on Axis Capital
estimates for debtor days.
Axis Capital Limited is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as “Research Analyst” with SEBI-registration number
INH000002434 and which registration is valid till it is suspended or cancelled by the SEBI.
DISCLAIMERS / DISCLOSURES
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
1. Axis Capital Limited (ACL), the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is also engaged in the business of Investment banking, Stock broking and
Distribution of Mutual Fund products.
2. ACL is also registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its investment banking and stockbroking business activities and with the
Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products.
3. ACL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report
4. ACL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients
of this report should be aware that ACL may have a conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should not consider this report
as the only factor in making their investment decision.
5. The RE and /or the research analyst or any of his / her family members or relatives may have financial interest or any other material conflict of interest in the
subject company of this research report.
6. The research analyst has not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month
immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report.
7. The RE and / or the research analyst or any of his / her family members or relatives may have actual / beneficial ownership exceeding 1% or more, of the
securities of the subject company as at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report.
8. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report ACL or any of its
associates may have:
i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of
this research report and / or;
ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or;
iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stockbroking services from the subject company
of this research report.
9. The other disclosures / terms and conditions on which this research report is being published are as under:
i. This document is prepared for the sole use of the clients or prospective clients of ACL who are / proposed to be registered in India. It may be also be
accessed through financial websites by those persons who are usually enabled to access such websites. It is not for sale or distribution to the general
public.
ii. This document is provided for assistance only and is not intended to be and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision.
iii. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice, or advice to buy / sell or solicitation to buy / sell the securities of
companies referred to therein.
iv. The intent of this document is not to be recommendatory in nature
v. The investment discussed or views expressed may not be suitable for all investors. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations
as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including
the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the suitability, merits and risks of such an investment.
vi. ACL has not independently verified all the information given in this document. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made
as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information and opinions contained in this document
vii. ACL does not engage in market making activity.
viii. This information is subject to change without any prior notice. The Company reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this
statement as may be required from time to time without any prior approval
ix. Subject to the disclosures made herein above, ACL, its affiliates, their directors and the employees may from time to time, effect or have effected an
own account transaction in, or deal as principal or agent in or for the securities mentioned in this document. They may perform or seek to perform
investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business from, any company referred to in this report. Each of these
entities functions as a separate, distinct entity, independent of each other. The recipient shall take this into account before interpreting the document.
x. This report has been prepared on the basis of information, which is already available in publicly accessible media or developed through analysis of
ACL. The views expressed are those of analyst and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein
xi. This document is being supplied to the recipient solely for information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly,
to any other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose and the same shall be void where prohibited.
xii. Neither the whole nor part of this document or copy thereof may be taken or transmitted into the United States of America “U.S. Persons” (except to
major US institutional investors (“MII”)), Canada, Japan and the People’s Republic of China (China) or distributed or redistributed, directly or indirectly,
in the United States of America (except to MII), Canada, Japan and China or to any resident thereof.
xiii. Where the report is distributed within the United States ("U.S.") it is being distributed pursuant to a chaperoning agreement with Axis Capital USA,
LLC pursuant to Rule 15a-6. The distribution of this document in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law, and persons into whose possession this
document may come shall inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions.
xiv. Neither the Firm, not its directors, employees, agents or representatives shall be liable for any damages whether direct or indirect, incidental, special
or consequential including but not limited to loss of capital, revenue or profits that may arise from or in connection with the use of the information.
xv. Copyright of this document vests exclusively with Axis Capital Limited.
DEFINITION OF RATINGS
Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12 months
BUY More than 15%
ADD Between 5% to 15%
REDUCE Between 5% to -10 %
SELL More than -10%
This report was prepared, approved, published and distributed by Axis Capital Limited, a company located outside of the United States (a “non-US
Company”). This report is distributed in the U.S. by Axis Capital USA LLC, a U.S. registered broker dealer, which assumes responsibility for the research
report’s content, and is meant only for major U.S. institutional investors (as defined in Rule 15a-6 under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the
“Exchange Act”)) pursuant to the exemption in Rule 15a-6 and any transaction effected by a U.S. customer in the securities described in this report must
be effected through Axis Capital USA LLC rather than with or through the non-US Company.
Neither the report nor any analyst who prepared or approved the report is subject to U.S. legal requirements or the Financial Industry Regulatory
Authority, Inc. (“FINRA”) or other regulatory requirements pertaining to research reports or research analysts. The non-US Company is not registered as
a broker-dealer under the Exchange Act or is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc. or any other U.S. self-regulatory organization.
The non-US Company is the employer of the research analyst(s) responsible for this research report. The research analysts preparing this report are
resident outside the United States and are not associated persons of any US regulated broker-dealer and therefore the analyst(s) is/are not subject to
supervision by a US broker-dealer, and are not required to satisfy the regulatory licensing requirements of FINRA or required to otherwise comply with
US rules or regulations regarding, among other things, communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a
research analyst account.
The non-US Company will refrain from initiating follow-up contacts with any recipient of this research report that does not qualify as a Major Institutional
Investor, or seek to otherwise induce or attempt to induce the purchase or sale of any security addressed in this research report by such recipient.
ANALYST DISCLOSURES
1. The analyst(s) declares that neither he/ his relatives have a Beneficial or Actual ownership of > 1% of equity of subject company/ companies;
2. The analyst(s) declares that he has no material conflict of interest with the subject company/ companies of this report;
3. The research analyst (or analysts) certifies that the views expressed in the research report accurately reflect such research analyst's personal
views about the subject securities and issuers; and
4. The research analyst (or analysts) certifies that no part of his or her compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific
recommendations or views contained in the research report.