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Reprinted from
ENERGY &
ENVIRONMENT
VOLUME 25 No. 3 & 4 2014
ABSTRACT
In this paper, we assess 13 process technologies to improve energy efficiency in
the Chlor-Alkali sector of Shandong province in China up to 2025 using a techno-
economic approach. The results show energy efficiency improvement (EEI)
potentials of 9% in the caustic soda and 38% in the polyvinyl chloride (PVC)
production process compared to a frozen-efficiency development. The most
influential technologies are energy-efficient electrolysis technology in brine
electrolysis step and heat recovery technology in Vinyl Chloride Monomer
synthesis (VCM) step. The energy savings can be translated into mitigated CO2
emissions of 10 Mt in 2025. The larger part of this potential is found to be cost-
effective from a firm’s perspective. In conclusion, significant saving potentials are
still available. However, to achieve the all potentials, additional energy policies are
needed.
1. INTRODUCTION
In the struggle for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions, the industrial sector plays an
important role, particularly in China. Its energy use and energy-related CO2 emissions
account for 33% and 36% of total energy use and energy-related CO2 emissions
worldwide, respectively [1]. In China, about 81% of CO2 emissions came from the
industry sector (including electricity and heat generation sector) in 2011 [2]. The
Chlor-Alkali sector is an important basic chemical raw materials industry in China.
The electricity consumed in the sub-process brine electrolysis accounts for 16% of the
total electricity consumption in China’s chemical industry [3]. Thus, improving energy
662 Energy & Environment · Vol. 25, No. 3&4, 2014
efficiency in the Chlor-Alkali industry is not only an important way to save energy but
also an important measure to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions.
Due to rich natural sea salt, rock salt, underground brine salt resources, and well-
developed land and sea transport facilities, located in the Chinese eastern coastal
region, the Chlor-Alkali sector in the Shandong Province consists of more than 50
plants and occupies a pivotal position in China. In 2012, the production capacity of
caustic soda and Poly Vinyl Chloride (PVC) reached 9.65 million and 3.07 million
tons, accounting for 26.6% and 13.7% of China’s total respectively [4]. However, the
sector is facing increasing pressure to improve its energy efficiency further. Firstly, the
National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has published five
documents with a list of 116 key energy-efficient technologies to be promoted by the
end of 2012. More than 48 national energy efficiency standards had been put into
practice by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) by June
2012. Secondly, energy efficiency improvement targets are set by the central
government and decomposed down to local energy users since 2006. The achievement
of these targets is an important aspect of the performance evaluation of local
governments and state-owned enterprises. Lastly, the easy measures have been put into
practice by companies. In this context, implementing suitable policies can accelerate
the energy efficiency progress and contribute to achieving the energy saving target.
However, knowledge about available energy efficiency technologies potentials and
their costs is a prerequisite for designing effective and efficient policies.
Due to their importance in energy saving and mitigation of greenhouse gas
emissions, energy saving potentials issues have been studied widely. Various types of
models including top-down integrated assessment models, bottom-up technical
models, and input-output models have been widely used in assessing energy saving
potentials and CO2 emission mitigation potential. Decomposition analysis is a ‘top-
down’ method where the analysis generally sets out from total energy consumption
and emissions. An overview of decomposition algorithms and their application in
industrial energy demand analysis was presented by Ang. et al [5, 6]. Examples of
index decomposition analysis were given in [7-10]. The ODEX indicator, another kind
of ‘top-down’ method and developed as part of the ODYSSEE project, was widely
used in European countries to provide an overview of sectoral and national energy
efficiency trends [11-13]. Frozen technology and energy trends simulation and two
bottom-up methods presented, as well as supply results at the detailed level of specific
policy measures. Boonekamp [14] compared the six methods to evaluate energy
savings at a national or sectoral level. He illustrated the adverse effects of certain
choices and problems of the individual methods.
Based on a very detailed description of energy-efficiency technologies (EET),
bottom-up methods have been widely employed to analyze energy-saving potentials
and CO2 mitigation potentials in the industrial sector [15-20]. Although most of these
studies used a technology-specific model, many did not investigate the effects of
technologies diffusion on the energy-saving potential. Instead they focused on
analyzing the energy system and evaluating energy savings potential. Fleiter et al. [21]
assessed 17 process technologies to improve energy efficiency in the German pulp and
paper industry up to 2035 using a techno-economic approach based on a bottom-up
Energy efficiency Potentials in the Chlor-Alkali sector 663
– A case study of shandong province in China
model. They explicitly considered the diffusion of technologies over time, which
allowed transparency about the degree of maturity of the technologies and yielded
more detailed policy recommendations. McKane and Hasanbeigi [22] applied the
bottom-up energy efficiency supply curve models to estimate the cost-effective
electricity efficiency and potential as well as CO2 emissions reduction for industrial
motor systems in some selected countries. Oda et al. [23] and Hidalgo [24] applied
bottom-up models to energy efficiency in iron and steel industry, which have more
detailed assumptions on the simulation of technology diffusion.
Compared to other sectors, the wide range of products and the huge heterogeneity
are the central challenges for a technology-based bottom-up analysis in the chemical
sector. Even for the same product, different process and technologies may be used.
Worrell et al. [25] assessed the energy saving potential in the process chain for major
petrochemical products on the basis of commercially available technologies (CAT).
They found that the potential savings varied from inorganic chemicals 6% to
petrochemicals 9%. The energy saving potential in the process chain for major
petrochemical products varied from 12% for ethylene to 25% for PVC. Neelis et al.
[26] performed a bottom-up analysis of energy use in the chemical industry using a
model containing datasets on production processes for 52 of the most important bulk
chemicals as well as production volumes for these chemicals. They found that there
was significant room for improving energy efficiency. Neelis et al. [27] analyzed the
process energy use in relation to the heat loss and effects of the chemical reactions in
chemical industry and 68 petrochemical processes in the petrochemical industry for
Western Europe, the Netherlands and the world. Saygin et al. [28] analyzed the energy
efficiency potential if Best Practice Technologies (BPT) were implemented in
chemical processes in 66 chemical products in fifteen countries. The results suggested
a global energy efficiency potential of 16% for this sector, excluding savings in
electricity use, savings from higher levels of process integration, combined heat and
power (CHP) and post-consumer plastic waste treatment. Lu et al. [29] evaluated the
energy saving and greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation potential if BPT were
implemented in Taiwan in six major energy-intensive sectors. Saygin et al. [30]
developed an advanced bottom-up model (PIE-Plus) to estimate the total energy use
and the actual energy efficiency improvements of Germany’s basic chemical industry.
There was a wide range of energy efficiency improvements for the sector: 2.1-5.9%
p.a. in the period between 1995 and 2008. Tian et al. [31] quantitatively examined the
energy consumption and energy efficiency of the industrial park and evaluated the
energy-saving potentials and cost-effectiveness of ten types of energy-saving
measures by means of a bottom-up method and scenario analysis in a Chinese fine
chemical industrial park. To summarize, while several papers used a bottom-up
approach to analyze the chemical industry, not many focused particularly on the Chlor-
Alkali industry, especially based on a process-specific technology assessment.
To analyze and illustrate saving potentials and their cost-effectiveness,
conservation supply curves (CSC) and marginal abatement cost curves (MACC) have
been widely used. CSC has already been applied in 1980 to analyse and to identify
profitable energy-efficient technology during the investment decision-making process
[32]. Worrell et al. performed an in-depth analysis of the US cement industry and
664 Energy & Environment · Vol. 25, No. 3&4, 2014
2. METHODOLOGY
2.1 Model description
The model applied in this study is a process-specific bottom-up model. It is developed
as an accounting model using a technology diffusion scenario analysis. A similar
methodology has been used in other sectoral energy efficiency studies [21, 31].
With regard to technology structure, the Chlor-Alkali sector distinguishes processes
and EETs. Processes are characterized by their specific energy consumption (SEC) and
a production output. EET are defined as technologies that reduce the SEC of a
particular process. Thus, each EET addresses a specific process. The total annual
energy savings (TES) are calculated as the sum of saving potentials achieved by
technology diffusion of individual EET.
The annual energy savings (ES) of individual EET in year t for one scenario (Sc)
Energy efficiency Potentials in the Chlor-Alkali sector 665
– A case study of shandong province in China
are calculated based on the specific saving potential (sp), the diffusion defined by the
difference between the market shares (MS) of the saving option in year t and the
baseline year in 2012, and the industrial production (IP) of the related process (p).
ESt ,Sc , p , EET = spEET *( MSt ,Sc , EET − MSt =2012,Sc , EET ) * IPt , p (1)
n m
TESt ,Sc = ∑ ∑ ESt , p , EET ,Sc (2)
p =1 EET =1
The CO2 mitigation potentials of energy savings are calculated based on CO2
coefficients. Besides the energy saving and CO2 mitigation potential, the cost-
effectiveness of individual EETs is an important factor for designing effective and
efficient policies. In this paper, we use the average abatement costs in the whole
service lifetime of individual EETs to assess their cost effectiveness.
The abatement costs are based on the total costs for an EET (TC) and the total CO2
emission (TCE) abated in its whole service lifetime.
TC EET
cEET = , (2)
TCE EET
The total costs (TC) comprise the initial investment costs (CI), the running costs
(CR), the saved energy costs (CE), the saved costs for emission certificates (CC), as
well as the saved material costs (MC) for material efficiency technology. All the costs
are discounted to present the value of the investment year excluding initial investment
costs.
CRt − CEt − CCt − MC
TEET
TC EET = CI + ∑ (4)
t =1 (1 + r )t
Similarly, the total CO2 abatement achieved in the whole service lifetime (TEC) is
the sum of the annual abatement (EC) of the individual EET.
TEET
Step 1: Brine production. In this step, raw salt is dissolved and saturated to crude
brine. Purified brine is prepared for electrolysis sub-process after primary and
secondary crude brine treatment in which impurities like calcium, magnesium,
sulphates, and heavy metals are eliminated. With regard to energy, steam and
electricity are consumed.
Step 2: Brine electrolysis. In this step, the purified brine prepared from sodium
chloride is electrolyzed in a membrane cell. The product is a caustic soda solution of
approximately 32%-35% concentration and co-products are chlorine and hydrogen.
This process is highly electricity intensive.
Step 3: Chlorine and hydrogen processing. In this step, chlorine and hydrogen
generated in electrolysis are treated by a series of steps, such as, washing, cleaning
drying, oxygen removing and compression for the next process use. Electricity is the
main form of energy consumed.
Step 4: Caustic evaporation. Sodium hydroxide produced in a membrane cell
reaches a concentration of about 32 to 35 percent. If needed, a moderate evaporation
to increase the concentration of the caustic solution is applied. Caustic evaporation
requires huge amounts of steam.
Auxiliary step: Electricity rectified. Direct current (DC) is needed in the
electrolysis step to produce caustic soda solution. Energy losses occur during the
transformation of alternating current (AC) into DC.
Step 1: Acetylene production. At the present time, wet production processes were
most frequently used in the production of acetylene, including acetylene producing,
acetylene purification, drying, compressing, and carbide slurry processing. Electricity
is the main form of energy consumed in this step.
Step 2: Hydrogen chloride (HCl) synthesis. First, chlorine reacts with hydrogen to
produce HCl in a synthesis furnace. Then HCl is cooled and pumped to produce Vinyl
Chloride Monomer (VCM). Unused HCl is diluted into hydrochloric acid after
cooling. The reaction is a significant exothermic process and has a larger reaction heat
recovery potential.
Step 3: VCM production. There two ways of producing VCM. The first one is
Calcium carbide-based process; acetylene reacts with hydrogen chloride to produce
VCM. The process comprises raw gas blending, preheating, VCM synthesis,
purification, compression, distillation, residues recycling, and discharged gas
recovery. The reaction is exothermic.
Alternative step: Ethlene Di-Chloride (EDC) production. For the Ethylene-based
route, there two main methods to produce EDC: direct chlorination and
Oxychlorination. This step includes EDC production, purification, and thermal
cracking. The thermal cracking reaction is highly endothermic and is generally carried
out in a fired heater.
Step 4: PVC synthesis. In this step, the raw material VCM is pressurized and
liquefied, and then fed into a polymerization reactor where PVC is produced. The step
consists of monomer polymerization, VCM removal, slurry storage, dewatering,
drying, packing and storage. The main consumed energy is electricity for motors and
steam used for drying.
Energy efficiency Potentials in the Chlor-Alkali sector 669
– A case study of shandong province in China
at high pressure. When the pressure drops, the adsorbed PVC and Acetylene are
released and the adsorbent is reused. The recovery rate of PVC could reach 99.9%
which is higher by about 10% [43].
(3) Oxychlorination exhaust gases recycling technology
In EDC production process, the exhaust gases mainly contain carbon monoxide,
carbon dioxide, nitrogen, and ethylene. The gases are dewatered by gas-liquid
separation, compressed to increase their pressure and fed back to the Oxychlorination
unit. The concentration of ethylene in exhaust could be decreased by 25% [42]
due to a trend replacing the calcium carbide process by the ethylene process in PVC
production. On the other hand, material efficiency technologies could achieve considerable
indirect energy savings by saving energy-intensive raw materials or products.
Here, the EEI potentials not only include the saved electricity, steam, recycled heat,
but also material efficiency. Excluding economic considerations, the total EEI
potential is estimated at about 9% in BAU and 12% in the speeded scenario compared
676 Energy & Environment · Vol. 25, No. 3&4, 2014
to the frozen-efficiency up to 2025. For the Caustic soda production process, EEI
potentials are about 7% in BAU and 9% in the speeded diffusion scenario compared
to the frozen-efficiency in 2025. Compared to the Caustic soda production process, the
EEI potential in the PVC production process remains quite large, which is 30% in
BAU and 38% in the speeded scenario in 2025 compared to the frozen-efficiency
scenario.
The contributions of each type of EET in the speeded diffusion scenario in 2025 are
shown in Figure 4. Heat recovery technologies contribute to about 25%, material
efficiency technologies to 14%. A large part of the energy savings comes from other
EETs (61%), which are mainly applied to the caustic soda production process.
The contributions to the EEI potentials from individual EETs and processes are
shown in Table 4. Although the relative EEI potential in the caustic soda production
process is not very high, the contribution of the process to the total energy savings
reaches about 57%. The brine electrolysis tops the list in the Caustic soda production
process with a contribution of about 39% to the total EEI potential. The PVC
production process contributes the rest, where the VCM synthesis step contributes
most with 29%.
The contribution of individual EETs to the aggregated EEI potentials is given in
Figure 5. It can be seen that ZGMODC has the largest contribution with a share of
about 30%. Another important EET is the VCM synthesis reaction heat recovery with
a share of 22%. Other EETs, such as BME, TCFFEC, HHCL and the dry acetylene
process also have a contribution of more than 8% respectively.
Figure 5: The contribution of individual EET to the aggregated EEI potentials in the
speeded diffusion scenario in 2025
Among others, this result depends on the EETs’ diffusion in future, which is
particularly uncertain for technologies not yet on the market, like ZGMODC.
Although the electrolysis technology should be favorable provided that electrodes
with low cell voltage, moderate production costs and satisfactory lifetime are
available, it has to be taken into account that hydrogen which is normally exploited as
a fuel is no longer produced [59]. So it is a promising option to reduce energy use and
abate CO2 emissions especially for chlor-alkali plants without or with a lower
hydrogen gas demand. The biggest obstacle for the technology diffusion is the
regulated and somewhat low energy price, especially for electricity. The pace of
electricity price reform in China will significantly affect the contribution of ZGMODC
to the aggregated EEI potentials.
Table 4: EEI potentials and CO2 mitigation in the speeded diffusion scenario in relation to the frozen-efficiency scenario by 678
process and EET
Figure 6: The resulting marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) in the baseline case
of the speeded diffusion scenario in 2025
It is not surprising that material efficiency technologies have much lower average
abatement costs on the whole due to a large amount of indirect CO2 emissions
reduction. The lowest one is Oxychlorination exhaust gas recycling technology with a
negative average abatement cost of -650 RMB/tCO2. Heat recycling technologies also
have negative average abatement cost in which Vinyl chloride reaction heat recovery
technology is the lowest with -370 RMB/tCO2. Among other EETs, ZGMODC has the
largest CO2 annual mitigations with a negative average abatement cost. It implies that
ZGMODC technology is one important option to mitigate CO2 emissions for the
chlor-alkali sector in the future. Some other EETs also have a positive abatement cost
in which three countercurrent falling film evaporation technologies take the lead with
a cost of 886 RMB/tCO2.
Overall, the cost-effective mitigation potential is about 8 MtCO2 per year in 2025.
However, as the barriers to ZGMODC technology diffusion still exist at present, this
680 Energy & Environment · Vol. 25, No. 3&4, 2014
potential includes a high uncertainty and might turn out to be lower if ZGMODC is be
commercially available in the near future.
The discount rate is often used to simulate barriers to the diffusion of technology.
A higher discount rate represents barriers like information deficits, capital constraints,
capacity and knowledge constraints, or more generally bounded rationality. Figure 7
shows how the discount rate will affect the average abatement cost when it increases
from 10% to 15%. The higher discount rate increases the steepness of the MACC and
results in higher average costs for most technologies.
Saved costs for emission certificates will further improve the cost-effectiveness of
certain EETs if the carbon emission trading scheme is put into operation. We assume
that a carbon ETS will be running in 2015 and that the price will increase to
RMB/tCO2 in 2025 (see Table 4). The decrease in abatement costs depends directly on
the CO2 coefficients of the energy carriers saved.
7. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.
71303126. The CAS Strategic Priority Research Program under No. XDA05150700,
and the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 71210005, No.
71273253, and No. 71133005 are acknowledged. The authors would also like to
express their thanks for the support from Shandong Natural Science Foundation under
Energy efficiency Potentials in the Chlor-Alkali sector 683
– A case study of shandong province in China
Grant No. 2013ZRB01746 and the Talent Research Fund in QUST. Many thanks are
given to Shandong Province Chlor-Alkali Industry Associations (SDCIA) for their
assistance and support during the survey and interviews. We further appreciated the
weekly seminars at CEEP in CAS, where the earlier draft of the paper was improved.
Finally we would like to thank two anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments
as well as Vanessa Dolbé-Raffler for the English correction of this paper.
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