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H2
→→ State-of-the-art
State-of-the-art 2009:
2009:
Obreschkow+09a,b
Obreschkow+09a,b and and Power+10.
Power+10.
→→ Currently
Currently (progress
(progress inin 3-4
3-4 years):
years):
Connection
Connection gas
gas ↔
↔ stars
stars in
in galaxy
galaxy
formation
formation semi-analytic
semi-analytic models
models in in aa
self-consistent
self-consistent way
way..
The galaxy formation semi-analytic technique
Intrinsic
Intrinsicproperties,
properties,plus
plusfull
fullSED
SED
(2) Halo, sub-halo finder and and
andemission
emissionlines.
lines.
merger trees construction
Provide
Provide aa theoretical
theoretical framework
framework in in which
which
we
we can
can study
study SF,
SF, its
its relation
relation with
with the
the
molecular/atomic
molecular/atomic gas,
gas, and
and other
other galaxy
galaxy3
properties
properties (stellar
(stellar mass,
mass, colours,
colours, B/T,
B/T, etc).
etc).
Semi-analytic models: Connecting galaxy formation and evolution with the growth of
structures in the Universe...
HI H2 total
Blitz & Rosolowsky (2006); Wong et al. (2002); Leroy et al. (2008); Bigiel et al. (2008,2010)
Evolution
Evolution ofof HI,
HI, H2
H2 and
and other
other galaxy
galaxy properties
properties
followed
followed self-consistently
self-consistently (Lagos
(Lagos et et al.
al. 2011a,b,
2011a,b, 2012;
2012;
Fu
Fu et
et al.
al. 2010,
2010, 2012;
2012; Cook
Cook et
et al.
al. 2010;
2010;
Popping
Popping et et al.
al. 2013).
2013).
Prior
Prior treatment
treatment ignored
ignored the
the different
different gas
gas phases
phases
and
and used
used free
free parameters
parameters toto describe
describe SF
SF efficiency.
efficiency. 6
Radial profiles of neutral gas and scaling relations
Fu et al. (2010)
Lagos et al. (2011a,b)
Scaling
Scalingrelations:
relations:aadirect
directconsequence
consequenceofofthethe
pressure-based
pressure-basedSF SFlaw
lawand
andfundamental
fundamentalpredictions
predictionsofof
the
themodel
model(Fu
(Fuetetal.
al.2010,
2010,Lagos
Lagosetetal.
al.2011a)
2011a) 7
The neutral gas content of the Universe
x 20-30
x 2-2.5
IfIf neutral
neutral gas
gas isis the
the fuel
fuel for
for star formation, why
star formation, why the
the star
star formation
formation history
history
of
of the
the Universe
Universe looks
looks so
so much
much different
different than
than the
the HI
HI history
history of
of it?
it?
8
Lagos et al. (2014) The densities of SFR
and H2
x20
Difference
Difference comes
comes from
from the
the
contribution
contribution from from starbursts:
starbursts:
it's
it's larger
larger in
in SFR
SFR than
than in
in H
H22
x8
x20
(1)
(1) The
The evolution
evolution of
of total
total neutral
neutral gas:
gas:
outflow
outflow vs.
vs. inflow
inflow
(2)
(2) The
The size
size evolution
evolution ofof galaxies:
galaxies:
gas
gas density
density
x2
CHALLENGE: It's necessary to
resolve all galaxies that make an
important contribution to the HI in
the Universe:
→ Very high resolution (so far
achieved with MC trees or
Millennium-II)
Lagos et al. (2011a,b) Lagos et al. The densities of SFR,
(2014)
HI and H2
(1)
(1) The
The evolution
evolution of
of total
total neutral
neutral gas:
gas:
outflow
outflow vs.
vs. inflow
inflow
(2)
(2) The
The size
size evolution
evolution ofof galaxies:
galaxies:
gas
gas density
density
Higher H2/HI
For
For the
the same
same amount
amount of
of gas
gas inin aa
galaxy,
galaxy, the
the higher-z
higher-z one
one will
will have
have
more
more H H22,, and
and therefore
therefore more
more SF SF
Which galaxies dominate the HI and H2 content of the
universe?
SFR<1Msun/yr
SFR<1Msun/yr dominate
dominate
SFR>10Msun/yr
SFR>10Msun/yr dominate
dominate
9
For
For HI:
HI: those
those with
with SFR<1M
SFR<1Moo/yr,
/yr, Mstellar<few
Mstellar<few 10
109M Moo
10
For
For H
H2:: those
those with
with SFR>few
SFR>few M Mo/yr,
/yr, Mstellar>10
Mstellar>1010MMo
2 o o
Challenges for upcoming HI surveys
Early-type galaxies
Meyer et al. (2004); Zwaan et al. (2005);
Martin et al. (2010); Serra et all. (2012);
Young et al. (2011)
The HI gas fraction distribution function as higher order
constraint
Early-type galaxies
Normal star-forming galaxies
With
With future
future HI
HI surveys
surveys we
we will
will be
be able
able to
to put
put very
very stringent
stringent constraints
constraints on
on the
the physics
physics
of
of the
the gas
gas in
in simulations.
simulations.
The beauty of HI...
HI
HI and
and stellar
stellar mass
mass function
function give
give
very
very different
different constraints
constraints toto the
the physics
physics
included
included inin the
the simulations.
simulations.
Challenges for HI and H2 science for semi-analytic models
(i)(i)Combination
Combinationhydrodynamic
hydrodynamic
simulation with semi-analytic
simulation with semi-analytic
models
models(Monster
(Monsteretetal.
al.2014)
2014)
(ii) Explore geometry of the
(ii) Explore geometry of the
problem
problem(simplifications).
(simplifications).
Challenges for HI and H2 science for semi-analytic models
Expectation
Expectationfor
forthe
theequivalent
equivalent
width
width of emission lines(better
of emission lines (better
descriptions of radial profiles)
descriptions of radial profiles)
Challenges for HI and H2 science for semi-analytic models
(4) Challenges for SAMs: accounting for HI gas outside galaxies, and
improve angular momentum treatment. Clear synergy between SAMs
(faster and more flexible tools) and hydro sims (accurate treatment of
hydrodynamics outside galaxies).
20
Lagos et al. (2011a,b); Geach et al. (2011); Lagos et al. (2012a,b); Kim et al. (2013b, 2014);
Swinbank et al. (2013); Lagos et al. (2013a); Lagos et al. (2014a,b)