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FINN 326 – Financial Risk Management
Spring Semester 2012
Instructor Dr. Bushra Naqvi
Room No. 312
Office Hours TBA
Email Bushra.naqvi@lums.edu.pk
Telephone 042‐35608321
Secretary/TA Saleem Ahmed Khan
TA Office Hours TBA
Course URL (if any)
Course Basics
Credit Hours 4
Lecture(s) Nbr of Lec(s) Per Week 2 Lectures/Week Duration 100 minutes
Recitation/Lab (per week) Nbr of Lec(s) Per Week Duration
Tutorial (per week) Nbr of Lec(s) Per Week Duration
Course Distribution
Core
Elective Elective
Open for Student Category Juniors, Seniors
Close for Student Category
COURSE DESCRIPTION
This is an advanced level course in Risk Management and provides the core body of knowledge for financial risk managers. Need of Risk
Management has rapidly evolved over the past decade and it has almost become an inevitable function in many institutions. The course is
primarily designed for the readers who have good background in finance. Nonetheless, only the strong foundation in finance is not sufficient due
to the rigorous nature of the course and a lot of hard work and dedication is expected from the participants.
The course will cover topics on different hedging tools, hedging strategies, risk valuation models and practical examples to understand the true
nature of real time problems. The first half is dedicated towards building of mathematical and quantitative foundations which are required for the
effective risk management, while the next half is allocated to the use and application of those quantitative concepts in different risk estimation
and risk management settings.
COURSE PREREQUISITE(S)
Principles of Economics
Principles of Finance
Statistics
COURSE OBJECTIVES
This course, apart from developing pure financial concepts like different hedging tools, hedging strategies, risk valuation models, etc., also intends
to widen critical and analytical thinking of students in the field of finance through interactive discussion on some recent episodes of financial crisis
and new emerging financial risks. Undoubtedly, this dual perspective will act as the foundation for generating new research in the field of
financial risk management.
Lahore University of Management Sciences
Learning Outcomes
By the end of this course students should be able to realize:
That a working knowledge of risk management is important particularly if you are planning a career in finance.
Besides wanting to pass this course, why do you need to understand risk management?
What are the nature, types and sources of different financial risks?
What types of financial products and derivatives are available to hedge different risks?
What are the different hedging strategies and how we can minimize risk by deploying them?
Analyze the causes of some big risk management failures?
And how can we improve the existing risk management systems in an organization.
Grading Breakup and Policy
Assignment(s): 10%
Home Work: ‐‐‐
Quiz(s): 20%
Class Participation: 10%
Attendance:5%
Midterm Examination: 25%
Project: ‐‐‐
Final Examination: 30%
Examination Detail
Yes/No: Yes
Combine Separate:
Midterm
Duration: 2 hours
Exam
Preferred Date:
Exam Specifications: Objective & Subjective
Yes/No: Yes
Combine Separate:
Final Exam
Duration: 2 hours
Exam Specifications: Objective & Subjective
COURSE OVERVIEW
Recommended Objectives/
Lecture Topics of Lecture
Readings Application
Lecture 01
Introduction to Financial Risk management
Definition of Risk
Types of Risk (Market, Liquidity, Operational, Credit etc.)
Lecture 02
Introduction and Types of Risks, Sources of Risk
& Why Financial Risk Management is Required
1 – 3 Course Pack
Foundations of Risk Management Role of Financial Risk Manager
Investors and Risk Management
Lecture 03
A quick glance on Portfolio theory and;
Some measures of risk in Traditional Finance like Sharpe,
Treynor, Information Ratio, Sortino Ratio
Volatility and contagion risk
Lahore University of Management Sciences
Lecture 04
Statistical concepts related to market risk and return
Measures of Central Tendency and Dispersion
Symmetry and Skewness in Return Distribution
Lecture 05
Probability Concepts
Probability, Random Variables, Expected Value and
Variance (Standalone asset and Portfolio)
Lecture 06
Conditional Probability
Bayes’ Formula
Spiegel, Chapter Small Cases
Quantitative Concepts Related to 1‐8 Lecture 07
4 – 9 Risk and Risk Management Discrete and Continuous Random Variables
Jorion, Chapter
Some Important Probability Distributions
21,22
Standard Normal Distribution and Area Under the Curve
Application of Standard Normal Distribution (Roy’s Safety
First Ratio)
Lecture 08
Regression Analysis
Assumption, Hypothesis Testing, Limitations and Violations
Lecture 09
Estimating and Forecasting Volatility, Covariance and
Correlation
1. EWMA
2. GARCH (1,1)
Monte Carlo Simulations
Lecture 10
Financial Markets, Market Organization and Structure
Derivatives & Hedging Strategies Assets and Contracts
Positions
Orders
Primary and Secondary Markets
Financial Intermediaries, Structural Hubs, Clearinghouses,
Derivative Product Companies and Exchanges
Lecture 11
Derivative Market and Instruments
Purpose and Criticism on Derivative Markets
Elementary Principles of Derivative Pricing
Lecture 12, 13
10 ‐ 15 Hull, Chapter 1‐10
Forward Markets and Contracts
Structure of Global Forward Markets
Types of Forward Contracts
Pricing and Valuation of Forward Contracts
Credit Risk and Forward Contracts
Lecture 14, 15
Futures Markets and Contracts
Futures Trading, Clearinghouse, Margins, and Price Limits
Delivery and Cash Settlement
Futures Exchanges
Types of Futures Contracts
Pricing and Valuation of Futures Contracts
Role of Futures Markets and Exchanges
16 Mid Term Week Mid Term Exam
Financial Markets, Derivatives & Lecture 17, 18
17 – 22 Hull, Chapter 1‐10
Hedging Strategies Options Markets and Contracts
Lahore University of Management Sciences
Structure of Global Options Markets
Types of Options
Principles of Option Pricing
Covered Call, Protective Put and Put Call Parity
Role of Options Markets
Lecture 19, 20
Swap Markets and Contracts
Structure of Global Swap Markets
Types of Swaps
Pricing and Valuation of Swaps
Credit Risk and Swaps
Lecture 21, 22
Risk Management Applications using Forwards, Futures,
Options and Swaps
Trading Strategies: Bull and Bear Spread, Butterfly Spread,
Calendar Spread, Diagonal Spread, Straddle, Strangle,
Strips and Straps, Collar
Lecture 23
Introduction to Value at Risk
VAR Methods
Lecture 24
Market Risk Management
Introduction
Sources of Market Risk
Use of VAR in Market Risk Management
Application: Basel Standards
Lecture 25
Credit Risk Management
Rating Agencies
External and Internal Rating
Saunders, Country Risk Models and Sovereign Risk
Chapter 1,3
Loan Portfolios and Expected Loss
Jorion, Chapter
10,11 Unexpected Loss
VAR (Value At Risk) PD, LGD and EAD
23 ‐ 28 Application of VAR in Credit,
Securitization
Market & Operational Risk
Lecture 26
Modelling
De Servigny and Operational Risk Management
Renault, Chapter
2,3,4,6,7 LDA (Loss Distribution Approach)
Model Risk
Lecture 27
Integrated Risk Management
Enterprise Risk Management: Theory and Practice
Risk Measurement, Risk Management and Capital
Adequacy and Financial Conglomerates
Lecture 28
Case Studies: Risk Management Failures
Metallgesellschaft
Sumitomo
Barings
Long Term Capital Management (LTCM)
Subprime Mortgage Crisis
Lahore University of Management Sciences
Textbook(s)/Supplementary Readings
Course pack will be available.
1. Arnaud de Servigny and Olivier Renault, Measuring and Managing Credit Risk, (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 2004)
2. Damodar N. Gujrati, Essentials of Econometrics (3rd Edition)
3. Hull, Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 6th ed.
4. Kevin Dowd, Measuring Market Risk, 2nd ed., (West Sussex: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2005).
5. Linda Allen, Jacob Boudoukh, Anthony Saunders, Understanding Market, Credit and Operational Risk: The Value At Risk
Approach (Oxford: Blackwell Publishing, 2004)
6. Michael Crouhy, Dan Galai, and Robert Mark, Risk Management (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 2001)
7. Murray R. Spiegel, John Schiller, and R. Alu Srinivasan, Probability and Statistics, Schaum’s Outlines, 2nd ed. (New York:
McGraw‐Hill, 2000)
8. Philippe Jorion, Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk, 3rd ed. (New York: McGraw‐Hill, 2007).
9. Robert L. McDonald, Derivatives Markets, (Boston: Addison‐Wesley, 2003).
10. René Stulz, Risk Management & Derivatives (Mason, Ohio: South‐Western, 2003).
11. Saunders, Financial Institutions Management, 5th ed.