Professional Documents
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MICHAEL RINGEL
FLORIAN GRASSL
RAMÓN BAEZA
DEREK KENNEDY
MICHAEL SPIRA
JUSTIN MANLY
3 INNOVATION IN 2019
Digital Natives Lead, but Others Are in Fast Pursuit
Two New Forces
One Additional Thought
tain, deploy, and scale AI-based solutions.” Platforms and ecosystems serve multiple
BASF (number 12) is collaborating with AI functions, including facilitating (and some-
software developer Citrine to build models times profiting from) the innovation of oth-
that identify new materials for capturing car- ers, expanding reach and collaboration, and
bon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. enabling new multiparty solutions and offer-
ings. Again, strong innovators are more likely
than weak ones to expect a significant impact
Two New Forces within three to five years and to be actively
Most companies are at least exploring the targeting these areas. (See Exhibit 3.) Strong
use of AI, and strong innovators are seeing innovators also show other signs of being
positive results. Nine out of ten respondents focused on external innovation. For example,
in our current survey say that their compa- 75% report using incubators, 81% leverage
nies are investing in AI, and more than 30% academic partnerships, and 83% partner with
expect AI to have the greatest impact of any other companies. Weak innovators lag consis-
innovation area on their industry over the tently in all of these areas.
next three to five years. (See Exhibit 2.) Four
in ten self-described strong innovators report Platforms are technologies that provide a
receiving more than 15% of their sales from foundation for developing other business
AI-enabled products, compared with less offerings. Numerous industrial goods compa-
than one in ten weak innovators. nies, including Siemens (number 16) and
Boeing (number 11), have built substantial
In the next chapter, “AI Powers a New Inno- platform businesses in predictive mainte-
vation Machine,” we take an in-depth look at nance to complement their traditional engi-
the widening gap in where and how AI is af- neering and manufacturing endeavors. Ama-
fecting innovation. zon, Microsoft, and IBM, among others, offer
41 41 41 40
40 38 39 39
35 34 34 34 33 32
31 31 30 31 30 30
30 28 28 29
27 27 26
24 25 24
20 18
10
0
Technology Speed of Big data Operations Extension Extension New Supporting
platforms adopting analytics process of existing of existing service capabilities
tech product service
New Digital Mobile AI Customer Business Marketing
products design channel model
40
35 35 35
33 32
30 30 30 30 29 29 29
30 28 28
26 27 27
25
27 26 25 26
24 24 23
22 22 22
20
17
10
0
Technology Speed of Big data Operations Extension Extension New Supporting
platforms adopting analytics process of existing of existing service capabilities
new tech product service
New Digital Mobile AI Customer Business Marketing
products design channel model
2017 2018
50
46
44
42 42 41
–13 40
40 38 37
–16 –12 36 35
33 33 34 34 34 33
–21 –16
30 30
30 28 28 –10
27 26 26
24 25 24
22
21 20
20
13
10
0
Technology Big data New Operations Customer New Extension Marketing
platforms analytics products process channel service of existing
service
Speed of Mobile Digital Supporting Extension AI Business
adopting design capabilities of existing model
tech product
50
42
40 40
40 38 38 39
37 36
35
33 34 33
–15
32 31
–23 –17 29
30
–27 –13 27
24 –17 24 25
23 23
21 22
20
20 18
17 17
16
13 12
10
0
Technology Big data New Operations Customer New Extension Marketing
platforms analytics products process channel service of existing
service
Speed of Mobile Digital Supporting Extension AI Business
adopting design capabilities of existing model
tech product
AI leaders
Better than average
at AI (%)
0.2 6.0 19.2
25.4
Average at AI (%)
1.9 46.6 9.6
58.1
AI laggards
Worse than average
at AI (%)
7.1 8.7 0.7
16.5
How would you rate your company’s skill at leveraging big data and advanced analytics to help
with each of the following aspects of innovation?
Percentage of respondents selecting “Strong” or “Very Strong”
80
60
94 92 92 92 91 89
40
20
32 32 29 30 36
27
0
Providing Identifying players Informing Revealing Identifying Making portfolio
input to with external innovation market trends new themes prioritization
ideation innovation potential investment decisions
decisions
AI leaders AI laggards
port found that many early AI initiatives were Despite ample evidence of impact, AI still
pilots or tests designed to solve a particular garners its share of skepticism, which is one
problem as companies focused their early at- reason that laggards are falling behind. Re-
tention on gathering low-hanging fruit and search by BCG and Google in the consumer
making moves with near-term impact. Nearly products sector found that by applying AI
two-thirds of the AI leaders in our study re- and advanced analytics at scale, consumer
port that their innovation-related use of AI packaged goods (CPG) companies can gener-
aims to improve internal processes. ate more than 10% of their revenue growth
through multiple means, including more pre-
As significant as the impact of AI will be on dictive demand forecasting, more relevant lo-
business processes, however, its area of cal assortments, personalized consumer ser-
greatest potential lies in developing new vices and experiences, optimized marketing
products and services that can evolve into and promotion ROI, and faster innovation cy-
major revenue streams over time. Most of the cles. (See “Unlocking Growth in CPG with AI
AI pioneers in the SMR-BCG study prioritized and Advanced Analytics,” BCG article, Octo-
revenue-enhancing applications, which is ber 2018.) Yet in our innovation survey, only
where 72% of respondents expect the big AI 23% of CPG respondents said that they be-
gains to originate. In our survey, the AI lieve AI will have the greatest impact on in-
leaders reported much higher percentages of novation and product development in the in-
sales driven by AI-enhanced products or dustry over the next three to five years, and a
services introduced in the past three years: similarly modest percentage are actively tar-
46% of AI leaders say that 16% or more of geting AI in their innovation programs. Both
sales are AI-generated, compared with only figures are about 10 percentage points below
10% of AI laggards). AI leaders also expect a the cross-industry averages.
much greater percentage of sales to come
from the introduction of AI-enhanced
products or services over the next five years AI at Scale
(54% of AI leaders anticipate that 16% or AI forces business executives to deal simul
more of sales will come from these sources, taneously with technology infrastructure and
compared with 22% of AI laggards). more traditional business issues. Typical IT
0 0 0
2015 2018 2015 2018 2015 2018
new ideas. For example, many of the longest- Just as multiple types of platforms exist, eco-
tenured companies on our most innovative systems may be formed to serve different
companies list use platforms to gain access to purposes. Here are some of the most com-
different capabilities and sources of data, mon ones that are relevant to innovation.
which they then use to build new business
models or develop new products and services. Building Capabilities. Many ecosystems are
set up to bring in expertise from other
Developers of voice-recognition-based smart industries. BCG research shows that 83% of
home platforms, including Amazon and Goo- digital ecosystems involve partners from four
gle, make it easy for others to create new or more industries and 53% involve partners
consumer services that use their AI-enabled from six or more industries. For instance, a
platforms—and in the process to attract the household electronics manufacturer might
critical mass of applications needed to make partner with sensor and camera manufactur-
their platform a clear leader. ers, an AI software provider, and research
facilities to bring an advanced vacuum robot
Digital technologies enable collaboration plat- to market. In the past, to enter a new market
forms, and collaboration platforms enable eco (such as China), automakers either formed a
systems that bring together a group of organi- joint venture or alliance with an OEM or
zations to build a new capability or product or established contractual relationships with
service offering, or to help a new field of sci- hundreds of suppliers to secure parts. These
ence or technology advance. Some ecosystems traditional partnerships still exist, but today a
represent expansions of traditional ways of typical auto company draws on an ecosystem
organizing and doing business; they tend to of more than 30 partners across five different
have an orchestrator at the center, with which industries and several countries to make their
all the other participants interact, along with cars connected, electric, and autonomous. The
established hierarchies and structures. auto company acts as orchestrator, organizing
and managing the ecosystem, defining the
Other ecosystems—including many that are strategy, and identifying potential participants.
involved in the early research phase of
R&D—tend to be more dynamic, less reliant For example, Caterpillar’s smart-mining eco-
on a central orchestrator, and more depen- system involves four types of collaboration,
dent on multifaceted interactions among par- with a strong focus on flexible deal structures
ticipants. Various types of glue bind ecosys- such as partnerships and minority invest-
tem participants. Money is one type of glue, ments, along with joint ventures and M&A.
of course, but knowledge, data, skills, and Caterpillar has forged partnerships to improve
community can be equally important. its proprietary industrial IoT platform’s tech-
Michael Spira
Project Leader
BCG Munich
+49 89 231 740
spira.michael@bcg.com
Justin Manly
Partner and Managing Director
BCG Chicago
+1 312 993 3300
manly.justin@bcg.com
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