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Nr.crt An Prod.

Real (Yx) Yx-Ym (Yx-Ym)^2 Ym P60%- P60%+ P80%-


1 2008 3883 -116.1 13479.21 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
2 2009 2128 -1871.1 3501015.21 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
3 2010 2497 -1502.1 2256304.41 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
4 2011 4057 57.9 3352.41 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
5 2012 2879 -1120.1 1254624.01 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
6 2013 4592 592.9 351530.41 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
7 2014 4237 237.9 56596.41 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
8 2015 5119 1119.9 1254176.01 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
9 2016 5049 1049.9 1102290.01 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
10 2017 5550 1550.9 2405290.81 3999.1 3673.87 4324.33 3489.93
12198658.9 Suma patratelor abaterilor(SPA)
12198658.9

1.Media Ym 3999.1

2.Abaterea standard a sirului(deviatia standard) 1164.21928538 kg/ha


St.Dev=sqrt(Sum(Ymx-Ym)^2/(n-1)) 1164.21928538
St.Dev=sqrt(SPA/(n-1))

n=nr.valori 10
n-1 Gradele de libert 9

3.Abaterea medie patratica(eroarea standard) 368.158463769


Es=sqrt(sum(Yx-Ym)^2/(n*(n-1))) 3857554.65235
Es=sqrt(SPA/(n*(n-1)))

4.Coeficientul de variatie c% 29.1120323417 variatie mare


c%=st.dev/Ym*100
<10%=variat9ia mica
10,1%-20%=variatia medie
>20,1%= var mare si f mare(>30,1%)

5.Limitele de incredere pentru diferite grade de risc

Ym(-/+)Es*tp

tp=probabilitate de transgresiune(GL&risc)
formula Excel=TINV(P;Gl) tp
P90% R10% 0.1 1.833113 3324.224 4673.976
P80% R20% 0.2 1.383029 3489.926 4508.274
P60% R40% 0.4 0.883404 3673.867 4324.333
6.Semnificatia mediei
FS*** Ym(+/-) St.dev*0,5 54.50% 30 3416.99 4581.21 3
DS** Ym(+/-) st dev 68.27% 70 2834.881 5163.319 7
S* Ym (+/-) stdev*2 100 1670.661 6327.539 10
P80%+ P90%- P90%+
6000
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98
5000
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98
4000
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98 Prod. Real (Yx)
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98 Ym
P60%-
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98 P60%+
3000
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98 P80%-
4508.27 3324.22 4673.98 P80%+
2000 P90%-
P90%+

1000

0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
od. Real (Yx)

0%-
0%+
0%-
0%+
0%-
0%+
Nr.crt An Prod. Real (Yx) Yx-Ym (Yx-Ym)^2 Ym P60%- P60%+ P80%-
1 2006 4189 -567.1667 321678 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
2 2007 696 -4060.167 16484953 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
3 2008 3763 -993.1667 986380 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
4 2009 3923 -833.1667 694166.7 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
5 2010 4957 200.8333 40334.03 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
6 2011 5290 533.8333 284978 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
7 2012 3258 -1498.167 2244503 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
8 2013 6274 1517.833 2303818 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
9 2014 6475 1718.833 2954388 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
10 2015 5338 581.8333 338530 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
11 2016 5193 436.8333 190823.4 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
12 2017 7718 2961.833 8772457 1799.419 4301.375 5210.959 4047.936
35617010
1 media ym 4756.166666667

2 abaterea standard a sirului 1799.419

numar valori 12
gl 11

3 abaterea medie patratica 519.4476

4 coeficient de variatie 37.8334 variatie foarte mare

5 limitele de incredere pentru diferite grade de risc


tp
P90% R10% 0.1 1.795885 3823.299 5689.035
P80% R20% 0.2 1.36343 4047.936 5464.397
P60% R40% 0.4 0.87553 4301.375 5210.959

6 semnificatia mediei
FS*** Ym(+/-) St.dev*0,5 54.50% 3856.457 5655.876 6
DS** Ym(+/-) st dev 68.27% 2956.747 6555.586 10
S* Ym (+/-) stdev*2 1157.328 8355.005 11
P80%+ P90%- P90%+
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035
9000
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035 8000
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035 7000
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035 Prod. Real (Yx)
6000 Ym
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035
P60%-
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035 5000 P60%+
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035 P80%-
4000
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035 5464.39730165045
5464.397 3823.299 5689.035 3000 P80%+
P90%-
2000 P90%+
1000

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Prod. Real (Yx)
Ym
P60%-
P60%+
P80%-
5464.39730165045
P80%+
P90%-
P90%+

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