Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2.5 Scenarios
SCENARIO PLANNING
Uses a top-down approach
Generates a dominant plan, that is, must implement
the most probable option
Asks “WHAT-IF” questions
o Top management envisions different
scenarios
o Then they derive strategic responses
Consider optimistic and pessimistic futures
Examples:
Three Approaches to Strategize for Competitive Advantage o New laws restrict carbon emissions
o Strategic Planning – a formal, top-down o Demographic shifts
approach o Changing economic conditions
o Technological advances
o Scenario Planning – a formal, top-down
planning approach
AFI FRAMEWORK FOR SCENARIO PLANNING
o Strategy as planned emergence – begins with
a strategic plan, less formal