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Bearish Signals 10
Currency 1 USD = 23,255.81 VND
Ongoing Bearish Parameters 11
May 07 close VND208,800.0
Vinacafe Bien Hoa Board of Directors 12
Ave Daily Volume 793 shares
Tax & Dividend 13
52-Week Range 150,242.13 - 216,700.00
Financials Q4 2019, FY 2019, Past 10 Years 13
Dividend Yield 11.5% 29
News archives (May 2019 - Feb 2020)
Sector Beverages Peer Group Analysis & Ranking 30
Shares Outstanding 26,580,000 Index 34
Market Cap VND5,549.9 billion [USD238.6 Glossary 36
million]
Note also:
Fig 2: Financials Summary: Section Headers and Figures are mapped as Bookmarks in the PDF
menu (left, top)
Sales were down 9.8% from USD147.7 million in FY2018 to
USD133.2 million in FY2019.
Net profit was up 6.4% from USD27.5 million in FY2018 to
USD29.3 million in FY2019.
Year ended Dec FY2019 FY2018 FY2017
Sales (USD M) 133.2 147.7 147.7
Pretax (USD M) 34 33.4 33.4
Net (USD M) 29.3 27.5 27.5
EPS (VND) 24,076
Corporate Profile
Fig 3: Activities
Vinacafe Bien Hoa JSC processes food. The Company produces roasted coffee, instant coffee and breakfast cereals.
Fig 7: Dividends
August 10 2019 Record date for 2018 cash dividend
On August 09, 2019 the Hochiminh Stock Exchange issued Announcement No.1056/TB-SGDHCM about
the record date of Vinacafe Bien Hoa Joint - Stock Company. as follows:
Source: FPT Securities
www.BuySellSignals.com Page 2
Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Bullish Signals
Fig 8: Rank in the top 24% by Relative Valuation in the Vietnam market
Description Value Rank
Dividend Yield % 11.5% In Top 24%
Uptrend
Today's Volatility:
The 3.6% discount to 12-month high of VND216,700.0 against the 39.0% premium to 12-month low of VND150,242.13 suggests the
stock continues to push for new highs.
Undervaluation
Dividend Yield > Bond Yield:
The dividend yield of 11.49% is 3.78 times the triple-A bond yield
of 3.04%. The times factor of 3.78 is above the benchmark
factor of 0.67 times set by Benjamin Graham.
(All figures in %)
Dividend Yield 11.49
Bond Yield 3.04
Spread 8.46
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
turnover [sales/assets] of 1.4 times leverage factor [total assets/shareholders' equity] of 1.5.Also, this has improved from
45.4% last year.
ROE (%) Profit Margin (%) Asset Turnover Equity Multiplier
Current Year 47.0 21.8 1.4 1.5
Previous Year 45.4 18.4 1.5 1.6
Fig 10: Annualised Period-based Total Shareholder Returns [TSR %]: The
Best Periods with TSR > 15.3%
TSR % 1 yr 3 yrs 5 yrs
VCF.HOSE 48.8 35.3 15.4
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Fig 11: Present Value of VND1000 Invested in the Past [3 Mo, 1 Yr, 3 Yrs];
The Best Periods with PVVND1000 > 1,043
PVVND1,000 3 mo ago 1 yr ago 3 yrs ago
VCF.HOSE VND1,044 VND1,488 VND2,502
Beverages sector VND1,036 VND1,075 VND1,024
VN Index VND849 VND832 VND1,106
Fig 12: The Best Periods [3 Mo, 1 Yr, 3 Yrs] with Price Change % > 4.3
3-Year price change of 67.5% for Vinacafe Bien Hoa outperformed the change of 10.6% in the VN index for a relative price
change of 56.9%.
Price Change % Quarter Year 3 Years
Vinacafe Bien Hoa 4.4 31.3 67.5
Beverages sector 3.6 3.7 2.4
VN index -15.3 -16.9 10.6
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Fig 14: Created Market Value [CMV] past 2 yrs of VND1,240.9 billion
(US$53.4 million)
• Market Capitalization has increased by VND1,283.8 billion
from VND4,266.1 billion to VND5,549.9 billion in the last 2
years. This increase comprises cumulative retained
earnings (RETE) of VND42.9 billion and Created Market
Value of VND1,240.9 billion. The Created Market Value
multiple, defined by the change in MCap for every VND1
of retained earnings is exemplary at VND29.91.
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
The stock is thinly traded. Liquidity has improved from 83 Days Untraded five years ago to 40 days in the past year.
Fig 21: Growth > 42% for Revenue and Net Profit:
• Revenue growth and Net Profit margin are positive and have seen consecutive rises in recent quarters. [All figures in %]
Qtr-ended Revenue Growth Net Profit Growth Net Profit Margin
Dec 19 [Q4 vs Q3] 42.4 70 24.2
Sep 19 [Q3 vs Q2] 0.2 -0.7 20.1
Fig 23: Satisfies 5 out of 9 criteria of Joseph Piotroski [pass mark 5]:
• Positive net income.
• Positive operating cashflow.
• Return on Assets improvement [from 28.7% to 30.5%].
• Improvement in current ratio from 1.9 to 2.1.
• Improvement in gross margin [from 24.3% to 27.9%].
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Bearish Signals
Fig 27: Rank in the bottom 19% by Relative Valuation in the Vietnam
market
Description Value Rank
Price to Sales 1.8 In Bottom 19%
Price to Book Value 3.9 In Bottom 1%
Overvaluation
MCap/Total Assets:
• Tobin's Q Ratio, defined as MCap divided by Total Assets, is 2.5. Compared with the rest of the market the stock is
overvalued and ranks in the bottom 3% of stocks by value of Q Ratio.
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
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Includes Q4/2019 Financials
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Compared with the previous corresponding period [PCP; Q4/2018], year-over-year [y.o.y.] Revenue was down 6.8% and Net
Profit was up 26.5%.
Quarter-ended 31 Dec [Q4/2019] 31 Dec [Q4/2018]
EPS, Hao 7,847
PCP growth in EPS % -1.9
Revenue, VND billion 1,087 1,167
Revenue, $US million 47.0 50.4
PCP growth in Revenue % -6.8 -2.5
Net Profit, VND billion 264 209
Net Profit, $US million 11.4 9.0
PCP growth in Net Profit % 26.5 -1.9
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Goodwill 17,438
TOTAL ASSETS 2,225,329
OWNER'S EQUITY
LIABILITIES 783,258
Short -term liabilities 778,142
Short-term trade accounts payable 295,275
Short-term advances from 1,433
customers
Taxes and other payables to state 82,164
authorities
Payable to employees
Short-term acrrued expenses 27,622
Short-term inter-company payables
Construction contract progress payments due to suppliers
Short-term unearned revenue
Other short-term payables 5,208
Short-term borrowings and financial 345,407
leases
Provision for short-term liabilities
Bonus and welfare fund 21,032
Price stabilization fund
Government bonds
Long-term liabilities 5,116
Long-term trade payables
Long-term advances from customers
Long-term acrrued expenses
Inter-company payables on business capital
Long-term inter-company payables
Long-term unearned revenue
Other long-term liabilities 279
Long-term borrowings and financial leases
Convertible bonds
Preferred stock (Debts)
Deferred income tax liabilities
Provision for long-term liabilities 4,837
Fund for technology development
Provision for severance allowances
OWNER'S EQUITY 1,442,071
Owner's equity 1,442,071
Owner's capital 265,791
Common stock with voting right 265,791
www.BuySellSignals.com Page 17
Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Preferred stock
Share premium 29,974
Convertible bond option
Other capital of owners
Treasury shares
Assets revaluation differences
Foreign exchange differences
Investment and development fund 213,511
Fund to support corporate restructuring
Other funds from owner's equity
Undistributed earnings after tax 943,677
Accumulated retained earning at 262,857
the end of the previous period
Undistributed earnings in this period 680,820
Reserves for investment in construction
Minority's interest -10,882
Financial reserves
Other resources and funds
Subsidized not-for-profit funds
Funds invested in fixed assets
MINORITY'S INTEREST
TOTAL OWNER'S EQUITY AND 2,225,329
LIABILITIES
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Allocation of goodwill
Adjustments for
Operating profit before changes in 151,059
working capital
(Increase)/decrease in receivables -22,016
(Increase)/decrease in inventories -28,613
Increase/(decrease) in payables -252,621
(other than interest corporate
income tax)
(Increase)/decrease in prepaid 921
expenses
Changes in available for sale securities
Interest paid -6,858
Corporate income tax paid -17,447
Other receipts from operating activities
Other payments for operating activities
NET CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING -175,574
ACTIVITIES
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Payment for fixed assets -3,461
constructions and other long-term
assets
Receipts from disposal of fixed 132
assets and other long-term assets
Loans purchases of other entities' debt instruments
Receipts from loan repayments sale of other entities' debt instruments
Payments for investment in other entities
Collections on investment in other entities
Dividends interest and profit 2,651
received
Increase/(Decrease) in term deposit
Purchases of minority shares of subsidiaries
Other receipts from investing activities
Other payments for investing activities
NET CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING -679
ACTIVITIES
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Receipts from equity issue and owner's capital contribution
Payment for share repurchases
Proceeds from borrowings 411,192
Principal repayments -342,647
Repayment of financial leases
Dividends paid profits distributed to owners
www.BuySellSignals.com Page 19
Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Unfavourable Changes:
• Total revenue down 9.8% from VND3,434.9b ($US148.1m) to VND3,097.4b ($US133.8m)
• Total revenue to total assets down from 1.5 to 1.4
• Total non-current assets to Total Assets down from 29.1% to 25.8%
• Fixed Assets to Total Assets down from 26.9% to 23.6%
• Total Liabilities to Operating Cash Flow of 1.2 compares favourably with the Joseph Piotroski benchmark of <4
Note:
• EBIT to total assets steady at 35.6%
• Tax expenses to Sales down from 4% to 3.7%
• Current Inventory to Total Assets down from 12.3% to 9.4%
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Three-year record of EBITDA, Operating Profit, Net Profit, ROE, ROA and ROCE
In 2019 Net Profit Margin of 21.8% was above its 3-year Avg of 19.6% (All Figures in %)
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
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Payment for fixed assets constructions and other long-term -10,497 -13,764 Improved 23.7
assets
Receipts from disposal of fixed assets and other long-term 191
assets
Loans purchases of other entities' debt instruments -100,000
Receipts from loan repayments sale of other entities' debt 100,000
instruments
Payments for investment in other entities
Collections on investment in other entities
Dividends interest and profit received 8,848 35,809 Down 75.3
Increase/(Decrease) in term deposit
Purchases of minority shares of subsidiaries
Other receipts from investing activities
Other payments for investing activities
NET CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES -1,458 22,045 Deterioration
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Receipts from equity issue and owner's capital contribution
Payment for share repurchases
Proceeds from borrowings 1,359,632 1,685,424 Down 19.3
Principal repayments -1,356,873 -1,749,938 Improved 22.5
Repayment of financial leases
Dividends paid profits distributed to owners -637,667 -1,752,597 Improved 63.6
Other receipts from financing activities
Other payments for financing activities
NET CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES -634,907 -1,817,111 Improved 65.1
Net cash flows during the period 22,650 -2,300,663 Recovery
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of the period 195,174 2,495,715 Down 92.2
Exchange difference due to re-valuation of ending 565 122 Up 363.1
balances
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period 218,388 195,174 Up 11.9
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Volatility
Quotes from Legends: Volatility
The stock traded between a 52-week low of VND150,242.13 and a high of VND216,700.0. The average daily volatility of 2.5%
places the stock in the 3rd quartile in the market meaning it is mildly volatile.
The last price of VND208,800.0 represents a discount of 8.1% to its 5-year high of VND227,151.03 on Jan 05, 2018 and a premium
of 130.2% to its 5-year low of VND90,721.91 on Jan 21, 2016.
Fig 49: Dividends
August 10 2019 Record date for 2018 cash dividend
On August 09, 2019 the Hochiminh Stock Exchange issued Announcement No.1056/TB-SGDHCM about
the record date of Vinacafe Bien Hoa Joint - Stock Company. as follows:
Source: FPT Securities
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
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Fig 52: Global Peer Group - Total Shareholder Returns [TSR in USD]
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
EBITDA Margin 10.1 25.5 112 82.7 MH3 69.1 TMP 67.9 TVB (83.04)
HAG
Total Debt/Equity (the lower the 0.7x 0.2x 210 0.001x VSA 0.002x PVI 0.003x SPI 11.6x
better) VGP
Premium to 52-Wk Low (%) 22.7 38.98 492 0.9 VGP 1.96 PCT 3.6 NBC 352.8
DNM
Price/Net Tangible Assets 1.6x 3.9x 544 0.1x NHP 0.1x ACM 0.1x ATG
Discount to 52-Wk High (%) 20.1 3.6 688 91.3 SPP 89.7 ROS 89.3 TTB 0.5 SAF
Fig 55: Global Rank [out of 47,425 stocks] and Rank of Vinacafe Bien
Hoa in the Asia Region [out of 23,890 stocks]
Description Value Global Rank In Asia Region
MCap (US$) 238.6M 15,408 8,149
Total Assets (US$) 95.7M 25,163 14,000
Revenue (US$) 133.2M 17,598 10,141
Net Profit (US$) 29.3M 10,110 4,942
Return on Equity % 47.0 617 199
Net Profit Margin % 21.8 5,429 2,479
Price to Book 4.0 30,180 18,649
Yield % 11.3 1,633 580
PV1000 (1Year) USD* 1,488 3,686 1,516
US$* Change (1Year) % 27.5 5,008 2,231
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Fig 56: Rank of Vinacafe Bien Hoa in the VN Index [out of 263 stocks], in
the Total Vietnam Market [out of 854 stocks] and in the Beverages
sector [out of 7 stocks]
Description Value In VN Index In Total Vietnam Market In Beverages sector
Return on Equity % 47.0 4 5 1
Net Profit Margin % 21.8 44 124 1
Price to Book 3.9 250 825 7
Yield % 11.5 41 146 4
PV1000 (1Year) VND 1,488 14 58 1
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
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Research Report: Vinacafe Bien Hoa
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Includes Q4/2019 Financials
Vietnam Edition Thursday, May 07, 2020
Glossary
ADVT: Price/NTA (Fig 26, 27, 30, 55, 56):
Average Daily Volume of shares Traded Closing Share Price/Net Tangible Assets Per Share (times)
Annual Return (Fig 13): Price/Sales:
Dividends Paid In a 12-Month Period/Price at the Beginning of the Share Price/Sales Per Share (times)
Period + Capital Gain or Loss over 1 Year/Price 1 Year Ago (%) Relative Price Change [RPC]:
Capital Gain/Loss from n Years Ago to n-1 Years Ago: Relative price change is price change of stock with respect to
Capital Gain or Loss over 1 Year/Price 1 Year Ago (%) Benchmark Index
Current Ratio (Fig 42): Relative Strength (n-th Period) (Fig 29):
Current Assets/Current Liabiliites (times) Price close today/Price close 'n' periods ago, then ranked by
Debt/Equity (Fig 16): percentile within the entire market.
Net Debt/Net Assets % Return on Assets (Fig 42):
Dividend Yield (Fig 0, 8): Net Profit/Total Assets (%)
Dividend Per Share/Share Price (%) Return on Equity (Shareholders' Funds) (Fig 26, 30, 42, 55, 56):
EBIT Margin (Fig 15): Net Profit/Net Assets (%)
Earnings Before Interest and Tax/Revenue (%) TSR (Fig 10):
Moving Average Price (n periods): Total Shareholder Returns is expressed as an annualized rate of return
Sum of Prices for each Period/Number of Periods for shareholders after allowing for capital appreciation and dividend
PCP (Fig 36): TTM:
Previous Corresponding Period Trailing 12 Months
PVVND1000 (Fig 55, 56, 11): Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) (Fig 18):
Present value of VND1000 invested 1 year/'n' years ago The Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) is the summation of
Price Close/Moving Avg Price: turnover divided by total volume in the same period.
Latest Price/Moving Average Price
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