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1. INTRODUCTION
* This research was supported by Grant SOC 78-06157 from the National Science Foun-
dation to the Center for Analytic Research in Economics and the Social Sciences at the
University of Pennsylvania.
’ Following Samuelson, the overlapping-generations model is often loosely referred to as the
consumption-loans model. We eschew this usage, since it replaces the structural description
with a description in terms of an attribute of some of the models. In particular, the latter
description might incorrectly suggest that inefficiency in this class of models results only from
imperfections in the borrowing and lending markets.
281
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282 BALASKO AND SHELL
*The general-equilibrium model has been extended to allow for an infinite number of
commodities (cf., e.g., Debreu 191) or an infinite number of consumers (cf., e.g., Aumann [2]).
Our analysis, however, requires the double infinity of commodities and consumers.
3 If individuals lead lifetimes of infinite length, it is mathematically natural to express
budget constraints as continuous linear functionals, not necessarily representable as inner
products of prices and quantities; cf., e.g., Debreu 191. The economic justification of this
maneuver is questionable (cf. Shell [ 19, pp. 1007-lOlO]) and is avoided in our study where,
because of finite lifetimes, only ordinary inner-product budget constraints are needed.
OVERLAPPING GENERATION&I 283
64 t= 0, l,...,
where
x0= x; = (Xi”,...,x(y)EIF?:
+ for t= 0
and
4 In the notation of Cass et al. (61, we begin with the case in which there are at date t, two
age-groups: an older generation, G,+,, born in the preceding period, and a younger
generation, G,, born in the current period. Without loss in generality, we focus on the simplest
population dynamics: G, = {t) for t = 0. I ,...
284 BALASKO AND SHELL
and
The utility functions u,,(.) and z+(., .) are assumed to have strictly positive
first-order partial derivatives (i.e., to be differentiably monotonic) and to be
strictly quasiconcave (i.e., to exhibit diminishing marginal rates of
commodity substitution). Furthermore, the closure of every indifference
surface in R’ (resp. R*‘) is assumed to be contained in the corresponding
strictly positive orthant R’+ + (resp. IRy+ );’ cf. Debreu [ 11, p. 6 11). Each
consumer has strictly positive endowments of the goods during his lifetime
and
0, = (oi, w:“) = (CL+‘,...) oly, ,:+lJ )...) fIL(+y E IRy, for t= 1,2,....
and
Each consumer can buy and sell on both a spot market and on a one-
period futures market at perfectly foreseen prices. (This interpretation is
natural because of the dynamic nature of the problem. From the general
equilibrium viewpoint, however, it is unnecessarily restrictive. The model has
the more general interpretation that the consumer can trade in every period,
but only has tastes for, or endowments of, commodities “during his lifetime.”
In equilibrium, no pure arbitrage profits are available, so he will not gain
from trades for those periods “during which he is not alive.“)
Let p’*’ denote the price of commodity i (i = l,..., I) in period t (t = 1, 2,...).
Denote by p’ the vector ($,l,..., ~‘3’) E IR\ + and by p the price sequence
(p’,p’,...). We choose the normalization p’q’ = 1 and thus restrict attention
to the set S of sequences of present prices, S = {p Ip’*’ = 1 }. Each consumer
’ These regularity assumptions are not essential for our proof of the existence of competitive
equilibrium. The smoothness and positive closure assumptions, however, play important roles
in our study of Pareto-optimality.
OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS,] 285
chooses his lifetime consumption profile rationally, that is, as the solution to
the budget-constrained utility-maximization problem:
maximize uO(xi)
for t = 0,
subject to p’ . x: <p’ - WA= w, I
(2.1)
maximize u,(x:, xi+ ‘)
for t = 1, 2,...,
subject to pt. xi +p’+’ . x:+‘<p’. co:+p’+’ . co:+’ = w, I
fo:sx~+++~~+ for t = 0,
(2.2)
ft:sx~+++q+ for t = 1, 2,... .
Note that the seemingly infinite sums in Definition (2.1) are well defined
since for each coordinate there are only a finite number of nonzero terms.
The associated competitive allocation x E X consists of the lifetime
consumption profiles x, = f,(p, p - cot) for t = 0, l,... .
286 BALASKO AND SHELL
y yt = \’ XI
I 7
and
ut(y,) > u,(x,) with at least one strict inequality for t = 0, I,... .
x y&x 1’
t t
Y, = x, except for a finite number of t,
and
u,(y,) > u,(x,) with at least one strict inequality for t = 0, l,... .
2: y, = 1‘
i ,yf’
t I
Y, = Xf for every t > t’,
and
fA(P’Y P’ .W~)+f~(p’,p2,p’.w:+p2.w:)=w~+o:,
f XP’, P2. P1 * 4 + P2 .W:)+f:(p2,p3,p2.w:+p3.W:)=O:+W:,
.. . (3.2)
f:-,(p*-‘, p’, p*-’ * 0::; + p’ * w:-l)
+ f i(p’, p*+ l, p’ * Co;+ p*+ l * 0;+1> = co-, + 0;.
3.4. LEMMA. There are vectors 01’ E IR’ and p” E I?’ (s = 1,2,...) with the
property that for every t-equilibrium p = (p’,p’,..., p’, p*+‘,...) E S,
O<aS<pS<pS<+cO, (3.5)
for s = l,..., t + 1. These bounds are independent of the truncation t.
Furthermore, if p = (PI,.,., p”,...) E S is a Walrasian equilibrium (for the
i&ite system (2.2)), then the bounds (3.5) holdfor s = 1, 2,... .
Proof The proof is by induction on consumer s = 0, l,..., t. Consider
first the implications of the market behavior of consumer 0. Define the
gradient grad uO(xO)E R’ and the normalized gradient
grad,u&J = grad
u,tx,>
au&x;*1*
288 BALASKO AND SHELL
s* = (p = (p’,..., p’,...) E s 1
0 < a’< p’</?’ < +a3 for t = 1, 2,...},
where at and /?’ are the bounds defined in Lemma (3.4).
Next we define W(t) the set of t-equilibrium price sequences in S*.
3.8. LEMMA.
3.9. LEMMA. TV(t) is nonempty and compact in the product topology for
1= 1, 2,... .
ProoJ (a) Nonemptiness. Complete the system (3.2) by the equation
f:+‘(p’, pf+‘, pt. mf + p’+’ . m;+‘) = ,;+I*
6 In an unpublished paper [ 151, Okuno and Zilcha have examined the question of existence
of equilibrium. They restrict attention to a model with a very particular monetary policy and
do not distinguish between monetary and nonmonetary equilibria. They also adopt a stronger
assumption of resource-relatedness than is normally used.
OVERLAPPING GENERATION&I 291
where zftt ’ E (0, wit’ + wit i), then each Walrasian equilibrium
(Definition (2.3)) can be found as the limit of a truncated economy for some
positive sequence(z:“}.
hypothesis, this is colinear with pt. Therefore, p’ and p” are colinear in R’.
p” = Apt for someJ. > 0. Define p’+’ = $‘+‘/A. Clearly the vector (p’, p*,...,
pf, p’+ ‘) supports (x,, xi ,..., xt) in fFt+I . The proof by induction is completed
by observing that x,, is supported in JYO by any p’ colinear with grad u,(x,). If
we let p’ E S’ = (p’ E R’ 1p’g’ = 1/ be the (unique) normalized vector
supporting x,, in gO, then we have defined the (unique) p E S which supports
the WPO allocation x.
(b) Let x = (x,, x1 ,..., x, ,... ) be supported by a price sequencep =
(P’, p*,..., p’,...). Clearly, x, =f,(p, p . x,). Assume that x is not WPO. Then
by Lemma (2.2), there exists y = (y,,, y, ,..., y, ,...) E X with y, =x, for
t>some t’, C, y, = Et xt and ar(yt) > u,(x,) with at least one strict
inequality. Then p . yt > p . x, (since xt =f,(p, p . x,)) and there is strict
inequality of ut(yt) > ut(x,) for some t. Therefore,
t=t,-1 1=1,-l
p * ” y, > p * 1 x,3
t=o I=0
’ That the converse is false can be established by any one of a host of examples drawn from
the existing literature. There are regular examples (in, e.g., [8. 12, 17)) in which competitive
equilibrium allocations are not PO. By Proposition (4.4), we can interpret these as examples
of WPO allocations which are not PO.
294 BALASKO AND SHELL
and
Okuno and Zilcha [ 161 have provided a result close to Proposition (5.3).
Note that (5.3) does not require the convergence of Ctp . xI but does require
x to be bounded from above. If we have CIp . x, < +co, this last
requirement is not necessary. (Proof of assertion: Assume that there is an
allocation y E X such that ul(v,) > uI(xJ with at least one inequality
(t = 0, I,...) and C, y, = C, x t . Multiplying by p yields C1p . yt = CIp . x, <
fco by hypothesis. Obviously, p . ~1~ >p . xt with at least one inequality (for
t = 0, l,...) by the assumption that J’ is Pareto-superior to x, thus
contradicting Ctp . x1 = Ctp . yI < +a~.)
Property B can be interpreted as restricting the long-run real growth rates
of the economy to be nonpositive. Condition P can be interpreted as
implying that the long-run interest rates are positive. Proposition (5.3) is
thus in accord with results in capital theory (cf., e.g., Cass [5]): If the
commodity rates of interest exceed the real rates of growth, then SRPO
allocations are PO.
To establish Propostion (5.3), we first have to prove the next two lemmas.
Proof: Assume that there is somet, > t, such that h,, = 0. Becauseof the
particular structure of generational overlap, the condition 2, h, = 0, splits
into the conditions
f=f,
‘>’ h,=O and x h,= 0.
CT, f>t,
Therefore, the sequence (0 ,..., 0, htO,..., htl, 0 ,...) would be feasible, and
u,(x, + h,) would be no smaller than u,(x,) for t = 0, l,... . Thus, (0,..., 0,
AhI ,..., Ah,, , 0,...) would be Pareto-improving for 0 < A < 1, because of the
stri& quasiconcavity of utility functions. Since the sequence (O,..., 0,
Ah10,...,Ah!, , O,...) has only a finite number of nonzero components, this is a
contradiction to the hypothesis that x is WPO. 1
P‘+‘.h:~:~p’.h:~...~p’.h:=-p’.h~~O,
the inequalities being strict for t > .t,, where t, is defined in Lemma (5.4).
64212313.2
296 BALASKO AND SHELL
Proof: First, h, = (hi, O,...) and u,(x, + h,) > u,(x,) which implies that
p’ . (x: + hi) > p’ . x: and thus pr ehi > 0. This inequality is strict if hh # 0
becauseof the strict quasiconcavity of uO(.).
We next prove that p’+ ’ . hi: 1< pl . h: with strict inequality if h, # 0.
Since u,(x, + h,) > u,(x,), we have p . (x, + h,) > p . x,, hencep . h, > 0, i.e.,
p’.h;+p’+‘. !z:” > 0, and by Lemma (5.4), p’+’ . hi: t < pf . hi. These
inequalities are strict if h, # 0, becauseof the strict quasiconcavity of u,(a).
An argument by induction, aided by Lemma (5.4). completes the proof of
Lemma (5.5). I
Proof of Proposition 5.3. Assume that there is a Pareto-improving
sequence h. Consider t, defined in Lemma (5.4) so that h10# 0. From
Lemma (5.5), we have that
9 See Debreu [ 111, especially pp. 612-613, for the definition of Gaussian curvature and its
role in demand theory; also, see Spivak [20, pp. 7-141.
The role of some maintained uniform “curvature” assumption in characterizations of inter-
temporal efficiency is recognized in Cass’s fundamental paper [5] and later formalized in
Benveniste’s pretty paper [3]. Both [3] and [S] focus on intertemporal consumption efficiency.
Okuno and Zilcha [ 161 apply the Benveniste analysis to the overlapping-generations model. In
none of these three papers, however, is the Gaussian measure of curvature utilized.
OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS, I 297
and the allocation is PO. More generally, if long-run growth rates do not
exceed long-run interest rates, then Pareto-optimality obtains. If, on the other
hand long-run interest rates are bounded below some negative number,
C, l/II ~‘11 converges, and the allocation is not Pareto-optimal. More
generally, if long-run growth rates exceed long-run interest rates, then the
allocation is not Pareto-optimal.
Note that, if conditions (a) through (e) are satisfied, then Proposition (5.6)
implies Proposition (5.3): If lim inf,,, )Ip’II = 0, then l/11pII1 does not tend to
zero and C, VIP’II necessarily diverges.
The basic structurcof the proof of Proposition (5.6) is revealed in the one-
commodity case. Therefore, the next lemmas will be stated in the case I = 1,
and used to prove Proposition (5.6) for that case. The extension to arbitrary
I, which requires Property G, is provided after Lemma (5.10).
Assume I= 1. We then find it more convenient to set -e’ = hi. so that for
feasible h, we can write
1
(W2 + (&t+‘)2Y2< 2Prl’. ((e’>2 + fEt+,)y2 . ((p’)’ + (p*+‘)*p2 .
Hence
5.8. LEMMA. If there exist a positive sequence (q’} and a scalar E’ such
that
(a) {E’} is bounded;
(b) {a’) is bounded,
300 BALASKO AND SHELL
and if Properties B, B’, and C hold, then the sequence h defined bql {E’} is
Pareto-improving upon x.
ProoJ By Property C, there is an upper bound 1/2p of the Gaussian
curvature on the indifference curve passing through xI. It results from the
convexity of preferred sets and from the definition of the upper bound 1/2p
that any circle of radius less than 2p, tangent to the indifference curve at
(xi, x:+ I), and with center on the line perpendicular to the tangent to the
indifference curve, lies entirely above the indifference curve (except, of
course, at xI). Therefore, any point strictly inside the circle r dominates
(from the viewpoint of consumer t) the allocation x, = (xi, xi”). Take r to
be the circle of radius p. The point N = (x: - E’, xi” + E’+ ‘) lies inside r
(see Fig. 5.2), if length MN < length MM” where M” denotes the second
intersection point of r with the line MN. Since MM” = 2p sin 01, where 8, is
the angle formed by MN and the tangent at A4 to I-, this will be ensured if we
have
As before, using the definition of the inner product, #, the above condition
amounts to
a’ < 2p.
FIGURE 5.2
OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS, I 301
2p for every t = 1, 2,... . The above results imply that Ah is then feasible and
Pareto-improving upon x.
For the next lemma, we continue to impose the restriction I= 1.
p’ . &I 1 ‘-,’ 1
&'=-Q \ 7.
Pt ( ,Tl P 1
Convergence of C l/p’ implies that l/p’ +O. hencepl-+ co as t+ tco. We
then have that (p’ . e’)/p’+ 0 and (l/p’) + 0, while
2
St $ijT + $y2 P’((P’)’ f (P’+ 1)2)“*,
1 I
Hence,
Therefore, the boundedness of {a’) implies that the sequence {/3’} defined by
is bounded. The proof of Lemma (5.9) follows immediately from the next
lemma (Lemma (5.10)). I
5.10. LEMMA. Let {p’} and {rf} be positive sequences such that the
sequence (p’} defined by
To establish that 2 l/p’ < +co, it is, therefore, sufficient to show that the
sum
FIGURE 5.3
-.-1 1 1 1 1
‘+P’ -.-
Q’ )(p’)I ()p’))’
FIGURE 5.4
we obtain
and hence
Since h, = (hi, -hi: f), it follows that IIhill > I/h:z \ II. Furthermore,
I/($, p’+ ‘)/I is at least as large as )/ptfl/j. Therefore, the sequencel\h:l :\I’ .
(Ipr+‘j(/# is bounded. Since II!z:ll . IIp’jI > v” + ,.a + q’-‘, we deduce that the
sequence
pt= (v”+“‘+‘7’)2
IIP’+ ’ II 9’
is bounded. We conclude by applying Lemma (5.10). 1
5.11. Remark. One can construct examples of allocations in economies
satisfying the hypothesis of Proposition (5.6) such that 2, l/llp,ll < fao.
Hence, one can construct WPO allocations which are not PO. Begin by
picking an allocation x = (x,1 satisfying Properties B and B’. Then pick a
price sequence{p’} such that 2, l/I/p’II converges. It is then straightforward
OVERLAPPINGGENERATIONS,I 305
to choose demand functions (f,(p, wI)} consistent with Properties C, C’, and
G such that
and
6. CONCLUDING REMARKS
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
We'thank Dave Cass for his thoughtful advice and suggestions, and John Bigelow for his
very useful comments.
REFERENCES