Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Versions:
August 10, 2018 Correction to question S4.1, S4.3, S4.4, and S4.5.
September 17, 2018 Added 72 questions from the 2016 and 2017 multiple choice MLC exams.
Corrected solutions to questions 6.15 and 9.7.
October 13, 2018 Corrected rendering of certain symbols that appeared incorrectly in October 1
version. Correction to questions 4.21, 6.4, 6.7, 6.27, 6.32, 7.7, 7.29, 7.30, 10.18,
S2.1, and S4.1.
February 6, 2019 Questions 4.5, 5.3, 5.5, and 5.8 were previously misclassified so they were
renumbered to move them to the correct chapter.
March 6, 2019 Clarified solutions for questions S4.3, S4.4, and S4.5.
July 31, 2019 Questions 6.6 and 6.17 were previously misclassified so they were renumbered
to move them to the correct chapter. Also, correct minor typos in solution to
8.8.
Answer C is false. If the purchaser of a single premium immediate annuity has higher mortality than
expected, this reduces the number of payments that will be paid. Therefore, the Actuarial Present Value
will be less and the insurance company will benefit. Therefore, single premium life annuities do not
need to be underwritten.
A Life insurance is typically underwritten to prevent adverse selection as higher mortality than
expected will result in the Actuarial Present Value of the benefits being higher than expected.
B In some cases such as direct marketed products for low face amounts, there may be very limited
underwriting. The actuary would assume that mortality will be higher than normal, but the expenses
related to selling the business will be low and partially offset the extra mortality.
D If the insured’s occupation or hobby is hazardous, then the insured life may be rated.
E If the purchaser of the pure endowment has higher mortality than expected, this reduces the
number of endowments that will be paid. Therefore, the Actuarial Present Value will be less and the
insurance company will benefit. Therefore, pure endowments do not need to be underwritten.
Question 1.2
Answer E
Insurers have an increased interest in combining savings and insurance products so Item E is false.
d 1 1 1 1 1
Then t log S0 (t ) , and 65 110.
dt 4 t 180 4 65
3
e106 t p106 , since 4 p106 0
t 1
1/4
106 t
1
S0 (106 t ) 1/4
110 4t
p106 1/4
S0 (106) 4
t
106
1
110
i 4
1
e105 t p105
4 0.25
1 0.25
2 0.25 3 0.25 2.4786
i 1
This is a mixed distribution for the population, since the vaccine will apply to all once available.
S = # of survivors
Available?
(A) Pr( A) 2 p| A E ( S A) Var ( S A) E ( S 2 A)
Yes 0.2 0.9702 97,020 2,891 9,412,883,291
No 0.8 0.9604 96,040 3,803 9,223,685,403
E(S ) E(S 2 )
96,236 9,261,524,981
Var (S ) 157,285
SD(S ) 397
E(S | No), Var (S | No) and E(S 2 | No) are just binomial, n 100,000; p(success) = 0.9604
d d B c x ct 1
f x t S x t e ln c
dt dt
B x t
c c 1 B x t
e ln c
c c ln c
ln c
B x t
c c 1
e ln c
Bc x t
0.00027
ln 1.1
1.1x 1.1t 1
0.00027 1.1 x t
e
0.00027
50 10
ln 1.1
1.150 1.110 1
f50 (10) 0.00027 1.1 e 0.04839
Alternative Solution:
f x (t ) t px x t
Then we can use the formulas given for Makeham with A 0, B 0.00027 and c 1.1
t x
2
1
10000 10000 t x
2
t 10 p0
e75:10 p75 dt where t px
tx
for 0 t 100 x
x2 10000 x 2
t 0 t
x p0
1
10000
t 10
1 2 t3
4375t 75t 8.21
4375 3 t 0
Question # 2.5
Answer: B
Question # 2.6
Answer: C
d 1 d x
x lnS0 x ln 1
dx 3 d x 60
1
1 x 1
1
180 60 3 60 x
Question # 2.7
Answer: B
30 50 220 3
2
1
1
S0 30 S0 50 250 100 250 4
q30
S0 30 30 220
20
1
250 250
440 375 65 13
0.1477
440 440 88
Question # 2.8
Answer: C
Suppose that there were M males and 3M females initially. After 20 years, there are expected to be
Me30 and 3Me20 survivors, respectively. At that time we have:
1
3Me20 85 85 17 9 10
30
e10 e 0.938
Me 15 45 9 17
Under constant force over each year of age, lx k (lx )1 k (lx 1 ) k for x an integer and 0 k 1.
Question # 3.2
Answer: D
1 1
e[65] p [65]dt p [65] p 66 dt p [65] p 66 e 67
0 t 0 t
1
Note that because deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of age,
0 t
px dt 1 0.5qx .
Question # 3.4
Answer: B
Let S* denote the normal distribution with mean 848.24 and standard deviation 25.853. Since S is
discrete and integer-valued, for any integer s,
s 0.5 848.24
For this probability to be at least 90%, we must have 1.282
25.853
s 815.6
Using UDD
0.4
l 64
l 63.4 l 63 l 630.6 l 640.4
l 63
66, 666 0.6 55,555 0.4
61,977.2
l 65.9 l 650.1 l 660.9 44, 444 0.1 33,333 0.9
34,305.9
61,977.2 34,305.9
3.4 2.5
q 60
99.999
0.276716 (b)
Question # 3.6
Answer: D
p [61] 0.90,
2 p [61] 0.9(0.88) 0.792,
3 p [61] 0.792(0.86) 0.68112
3
e[61]:3 k p[61] 0.9 0.792 0.68112 2.37312
k 1
1 p [50] p [50]1 p 52
0.9
/ 1 q [50]
0.4
1 1 0.0050 1 0.00631 0.0080
0.9
/ 1 0.0050 0.4
0.01642
Question # 3.8
Answer: B
99, 033.9
25 p 20 45
0.99034
20 100, 000.0
91, 082.4
25 p 45 70
0.91971
45 99, 033.9
The expected number of survivors from the sons is 1980.68 with variance 19.133.
The expected number of survivors from fathers is 1839.42 with variance 147.687.
Question # 3.10
Answer: C
L0 75 and L1 (75)(0.75)
Thereafter, Lk Lk 1 0.75 35 0.75 75 0.75k 35 0.75 0.752 ...0.75k 1
R0 25 and R1 (25)(0.5)
Thereafter, Rk Rk 1 0.50 15 0.50 25 0.50k 15 0.50 0.502 ...0.50k 1
At the end of year 5, the number of left-handed members is expected to be 89.5752, and the number of
right-handed members is expected to be 14.8435.
89.5752
0.8578
89.5752 14.8438
0.5
q 2 q50 2 p50
2.5 50 q
0.5 52 0.02 0.98 0.04 0.0298
2
Question # 3.12
Answer: C
0.5
65
64
64
64 [61] [60]1
0.5
4016 5737 5737
5737 8654 9600
= 0.05466
Question # 3.13
Answer: B
é e60 ù
e[58]+2 = p[58]+2 (1+ e61) = p[58]+2 ê1+ -1ú
ë p60 û
1
An alternative way to obtain the mean is E[ Z ] 2 A40:20 20| A40 . Had the problem asked
for the evaluation of the second moment, a formula is
E[ Z 2 ] (22 ) 2 A40:20
1
(v2 )20 20 p40 2 A60
Question # 4.2
Answer: D
Half-year PV of Benefit
1 300,000v 0.5
(300,000)(1.09) 1 275, 229 PV 277,000
2 330,000v1 (330,000)(1.09)2 277,754 if and only if (x)
dies in the 2nd
3 360,000v1.5 (360,000)(1.09)3 277,986 or 3rd half years.
4 390,000v2 (390,000)(1.09)4 276, 286
0.5 p x 1 0.5 p x 1.5 (0.77) 0.5 0.8775 Then the probability of dying in the 2nd or 3rd half-years is
0.5 p x 1 0.5 p x 0.5 p x 1 0.5 p x 1 (0.9165)(0.0835) (0.84)(0.1225) 0.1794
0.01 0.99
A60:3 q60v (1 q60 )v 3 0.86545
q 601 1.05 1.05 3 0.017 when v = 1/1.05.
(1 q60 )v 2 (1 q60 )v 3 0.99 0.99
2
1.05 1.05 3
The primes indicate calculations at 4.5% interest.
Question # 4.4
Answer: A
Var ( Z ) E ( Z 2 ) E ( Z ) 2
E ( Z ) E (1 0.2T )(1 0.2T ) 2 E (1 0.2T ) 1
40 1 1 40 1
40 0 1 0.2t
fT (t )dt dt
0 (1 0.2t )
1 1 40 1
ln (1 0.2t ) 0 ln(9) 0.27465
40 0.2 8
E ( Z ) E{(1 0.2T ) [(1 0.2T ) ] } E[(1 0.2T ) 2 ]
2 2 2 2
40
40 1 1 1 1
fT (t )
0 (1 0.2t ) 2
40 0.2 (1 0.2t ) 0
1 1 1
1 0.11111
8 9 9
Var ( Z ) 0.11111 (0.27465) 2 0.03568
Question 4.5 was misclassified and therefore was moved to Question 8.26.
Question # 4.6
Answer: B
Improvement
Time Age q xSULT qx
factor
0 70 0.010413 100.00% 0.010413
1 71 0.011670 95.00% 0.011087
2 72 0.013081 90.25% 0.011806
v 1/1.05 0.952381
Question # 4.7
Answer: C
SULT
Let A51 designate A51 using the Standard Ultimate Life Table at 5%.
1
APV (insurance) 1000 q 50 p 50 A51
SULT
1.04
1
1000 0.001209 1 0.001209 0.19780
1.04
191.12
Question # 4.9
Answer: D
A35 A35:15
1 A35:151 A50
0.32 0.25 0.14 A50
0.07
A50 0.50
0.14
Question # 4.10
Answer: D
x x 10 x 20 x 30
E [ Z ] 10 E x A x 10 20 E x A x 20 2 30 E x A x 30
15,000
2
Var Z 2 1000 2 Ax : n Ax : n
2
A 1000 A
2
1000
2 2
2
A1x : n 2 1 1 A x 1n
x:n x:n
1000 A
2 2
1000 A1x : n 1000 A x :1n 1000 A1x : n
2 2 2 2 2 2 1
xn
2(1000) A A
2 1
x:n
1
xn
1000
2 2
(1000) 2 2 Ax1: n Ax1: n 22
A x :1n 1000 A x :1n
1000 A
2
1000 A x1: n (2) 1000 A x1: n 1
xn
V Z 1 (1000) 1000 2 A x : n1 1000 A 1000 A
2 2
1 1
xn x: n
Question # 4.12
Answer: C
where Cov Z 1 , Z 2 E Z 1 Z 2 E Z 1 E Z 2 (1.65)(10.75)
0
2 2
A65 v3 2 p 65 q 65 2
payment year 3
Lives 2 years Die year 3
v4 3 p65 q 653
payment year 4
Lives 3 years Die year 4
3
1
(0.92)(0.9)(0.12)
1.04
4
1
(0.92)(0.9)(0.88)(0.14)
1.04
The actuarial present value of this insurance is therefore 2000 0.176 352 .
Question # 4.14
Answer: E
l85 61,184.9
Out of 400 lives initially, we expect 400 25 p60 400 400 253.26 survivors
l60 96, 634.1
The standard deviation of the number of survivors is 400 25 p60 1 25 p60 9.639
To ensure 86% funding, using the normal distribution table, we plan for
253.26 1.08 9.639 263.67
25
1
The initial fund must therefore be F (264)(5000) 389,800.
1.05
E Z bt vt t px x t dt e0.02t e 0.06t e 0.04t 0.04 dt
0 0
0.04 1
0.04 e0.08t dt
0 0.08 2
b v e e 0.04e dt 0.04 1
t 2
E Z 2 t px x t dt 0.04 t 0.12 t 0.04
0.12 3
0 t 0
2
1 1 1
Var Z 0.0833
3 2 12
Question # 4.16
Answer: D
1
where: v
1.04
l48 m l48 m 1
0.5 and 0.5.
l48 l48
Based on the SULT and l48 (0.5) (98,783.9)(0.5) 49,391.95 , we have m 40 since
So: APV 5000 A48 500040 E48 A88 5000 A48 5000 20 E48 20 E68 A88
5000 0.17330 5000 0.35370 (0.20343) 0.72349 1126.79
Question # 4.18
Answer: A
p
1,000,000e-0.05 p where p is the solution to 2
0.4t 2 dt 0.10 .
p
p t 1 1 1
2
0.4t dt 0.4 0.4 0.10
2
1 2 2 p
p4
Ming Ming
q 0.8q SULT 0.0261264 p 0.9738736
80 80 80
Ming
100, 000 A 59, 051
80
Question # 4.20
Answer: B
(1 0.57) 1
50
0.10
(1 i ) (1 i) 25
0.43
(1 i )25 4.3 i 0.06
0.10
The earlier the death (before year 30), the larger the loss. Since we are looking for the 95th percentile of
the present value of benefits random variable, we must find the time at which 5% of the insureds have
died. The present value of the death benefit for that insured is what is being asked for.
So, the time is between ages 65 and 66, i.e. time 20 and time 21.
100,000e20.8893(0.05) 35,188
Question # 4.22
Answer: C
d Ia
40 : t t p v t
Ia 40 : t s
t
s p40 v ds
s
0 t 40
dt
At t 10.5,
10.5 10.5 E40 10.5 10 p40 0.5 p50v10.5
10.5 10 E40 0.5 p50v 0.5
10.5 0.60920 (1 0.5 0.001209)(0.975900073)
6.239
1 e e
0.6
0.7 1
0.06 0.07
14.6139
1 e 0.06T
Y E (Y ) 14.6139
0.06
T 34.90
Pr[Y E (Y )] Pr(T 34.90) e 34.90(0.01) 0.705
Question # 5.2
Answer: B
A x:1n n E x
Ax Ax1:n n E x Ax n
0.3 A1x:n (0.35)(0.4) A1x:n 0.16
A x:n A x1:n n E x 0.16 0.35 0.51
1 Ax:n 1 0.51
a x:n 10.29
d (0.05 /1.05)
a x:n a x :n 1 n E x 10.29 0.65 9.64
Question # 5.3
Question 5.3 was misclassified and therefore was moved to Question 9.14.
1
e 40 50 So receive K for 50 years guaranteed and for life thereafter.
50 1 e50 1 e50(0.01)
a 50 e t 39.35
0 0.01
1 1
50| a40 50 E40 a4050 e ( )50 e1.5 7.44
0.03
10, 000
K 213.7
39.35 7.44
Question # 5.5
Question 5.5 was misclassified and therefore was moved to Question 6.51.
Question # 5.6
Answer: D
Ax Ax
2 2
1 Ax 0.22 0.45 2
E[Yi ] a x 11.55 Var[Yi ] 7.7175
0.05 /1.05
2
d d2
100
Then Y Y
i 1
i is the present value of the aggregate payments.
F 1155 F 1155
Pr[Y F ] Pr Z 0.95 1.645
771.75 771.75
F 1155 1.645 771.75 1200.699
Question # 5.7
(m 1)
(2)
a 35:30 a 35:30
2m
1 v 30 30 p35
1 A35:30 1 A35:30
1 30 E35
a 35:30
d d
1 A35 30 E35 A65 30 E35
d
30
Since 30 E 35 v 30 p 35 0.2722, then
1 A35 v 30 30 p 35 A65 v 30 30 p 35
a 35:30
d
1 (0.188 (0.2722)(0.498)) 0.2722
(0.04 / 1.04)
17.5592
(2) 1
a 35:30 17.5592 (1 0.2722) 17.38
4
(2)
1000 a 35:30 1000 17.38 17,380
Question # 5.8
Question 5.8 was misclassified and therefore was moved to Question 9.15.
Question # 5.9
Answer: C
a x:n 1 vp xax 1:n 1 1 1 k vpx ax 1:n 1 1 1 k ax:n 1
Therefore, we have
a[ x ]:n 1 21.167
k 1 1 0.015
ax : n 1 20.854
The probability that the sum of the undiscounted payments will exceed the expected present value is
the probability that at least 17 payments will be made. This will occur if (55) survives to age 71. The
probability is therefore:
90,134.0
16 p55 71
0.92118
55 97,846.2
Question # 5.11
Answer: A
S
a45 1 vp45
S SULT
a46
1 1 1 1
45
( 45t 0.05) dt
( 45
t ) dt (0.05) dt
98,957.6 0.05
S SULT SULT
t dt
S
p45 e 0
e 0
e 0
e 0
p45
SULT
e 0.05 e 0.9504966
99, 033.9
S
a45 1 vp45 a46 1 (1.05) 1 (0.9504966)(17.6706) 17.00
S SULT
100a45
S
1700
The death benefit in the first year is 1000 P . The death benefit in the second year is 1000 2P .
1000 A80:2
1
Solving for P we obtain P .
a 80:2 ( IA) 80:2
1
0.967342
a 80:2 1 p 80 v 1 1.93917
1.03
0.032658 (0.967342)(0.036607)
1000 A80:21 1000 vq 80 v 2 p 80 q 81 1000 65.08552
1.03 1.03 2
0.032658 (0.967342)(0.036607)
( IA) 80:2
1 vq 80 2v 2 p 80 q 81 (2) 0.09846
1.03 1.03 2
65.08552
P 35.36 D
1.93917 0.09846
Question # 6.2
Answer: E
20 E 45 a 65
Let C be the annual contribution, then C
a 45:20
Let K 65 be the curtate future lifetime of (65). The required probability is
Ca45:20 20 E 45 a 65 a45:20
Pr
E
20 45
aK 1 Pr
65
a 45:20 20 E45 65 65
aK 1 Pr a 65 aK 1 Pr 13.5498 aK 1
65
Pr aK
65 1
13.5498 Pr K 65 1 21 1 21 p65 1
l86
l65
1
57, 656.7
94,579.7
0.390
Let X i be the present value of a life annuity of 1/12 per month on life i for i 1, 2,..., 200.
200
Let S X i be the present value of all the annuity payments.
i 1
(12)
(12) 1 A62 1 0.4075
E[ X i ] a62 (12)
10.19267
d 0.05813
2
2 12 12
A62 A62 0.2105 (0.4075)2
Var X i 13.15255
2
d
12 (0.05813)2
E[ S ] (200)(180)(10.19267) 366,936.12
Var ( S ) (200)(180) 2 (13.15255) 85, 228,524
378, 771.45
So 1893.86
200
Question # 6.5
Answer: D
Let k be the policy year, so that the mortality rate during that year is q30 k 1 . The objective is to
determine the smallest value of k such that
v k 1 k 1 p30 (1000 P30 ) v k k 1 p30 q30 k 1 (1000)
P30 vq30 k 1
0.07698 q29 k
19.3834 1.05
q29 k 0.00417
29 k 61 k 32
Question 6.6 was misclassified and therefore was moved to Question 8.27.
Question # 6.7
Answer: C
There are four ways to approach this problem. In all cases, let π denote the net premium.
The first approach is an intuitive result. The key is that in addition to the pure endowment, there is a
benefit equal in value to a temporary interest only annuity due with annual payment π. However, if the
insured survives the 20 years, the value of the annuity is not received.
a 40:20 100, 000 20 E40 a 40:20 20 p40 a 20 5%
The second approach is also intuitive. If you set an equation of value at the end of 20 years, the present
value of benefits is 100,000 for all the people who are alive at that time. The people who have died
have had their premiums returned with interest. Therefore, the premiums plus interest that the
company has are only the premiums for those alive at the end of 20 years. The people who are alive
have paid 20 premiums. Therefore s20 100, 000 .
The third approach uses random variables to derive the expected present value of the return of
premium benefit. Let K be the curtate future lifetime of (40). The present value random variable is then
s v K 1 , K 20
Y K 1
0, K 20
a , K 20
K 1
0, K 20
a 0, K 20
K 1 .
a20 a20 , K 20
The first term is the random variable that corresponds to a 20-year temporary annuity. The second term
is the random variable that corresponds to a payment with a present value of a20 contingent on
surviving 20 years. The expected present value is then a 40:20 20 p40 a 20 .
The fourth approach takes the most steps.
Question # 6.8
Answer: B
a 60:10 7.9555
a 60:20 12.3816
a 50:10 8.0550
1
A50:20 A50:20 20 E 50 0.38844 0.34824 0.04020
a 50:20 12.8428
APV of Premiums = APV Death Benefit + APV Commission and Taxes + APV Maintenance
Ga 50:10 100, 000 A50:20
1 0.12Ga 50:10 0.3G 25a 50:20 50
8.0550G 4020 1.2666G 371.07
6.7883G 4391.07
G 646.86
0.975 0.975 p x 1
a x:3 1 2.727
1.06 (1.06)2
p x 1 0.93
Actuarial PV of the benefit =
0.025 0.975(1 0.93) 0.975(0.93) q x 2
152.85 1, 000
1.06 (1.06)2 (1.06)3
q x 2 0.09 px 2 0.91
Question # 6.11
Answer: C
For calculating P
a 50 1 A50 / d 15.981
P A50 / a 50 0.02411
1,020 in the solution is the 1,000 death benefit plus the 20 death benefit claim expense.
A x 1 da x 1 d (12.0) 0.320755
Ga x 1, 020 A x 0.65G 0.10Ga x 8 2a x
1, 020 Ax 8 2a x 1, 020(0.320755) 8 2(12.0)
G 35.38622
a x 0.65 0.10a x 12.0 0.65 0.10(12.0)
Let Z v K x 1 denote the present value random variable for a whole life insurance of 1 on (x).
Let Y aK 1 denote the present value random variable for a life annuity-due of 1 on (x).
x
Question # 6.13
Answer: D
If T45 10.5 , then K 45 10 and K 45 1 11.
K 45 1
0 L 10, 000v G (1 0.10)a K G (0.80 0.10) 10, 000v 11 0.9Ga 11 0.7G
45 1
where
a 40:10 10 E 40 a 50:10 0.60920 8.0550 4.9071
10
There are several other ways to write the right hand side of the first equation.
Question # 6.15
Answer: B
3
Woolhouse: W
a x(4) 3.4611 3.0861
8
UDD
a x(4) (4)a x (4)
UDD: 1.00019(3.4611) 0.38272
3.0790
1000(0.83518)
P (W ) 270.63
3.0861
1000(0.83518)
P (UDD ) 271.25
3.0790
P (UDD ) 271.25
1.0023
P (W ) 270.63
1 2,143 1
P30:20 d 0.05 a 30:20 14
a 30:20 100, 000 a 30:20
Ga 30:20 100, 000 A30:20 (200 50a 30:20 ) (0.33G 0.06G a 30:20 )
12.83 G 30,900
G 2408
Question # 6.17
Question 6.17 was misclassified and therefore was moved to Question 7.45.
Question # 6.18
Answer: D
P 30, 000 20
a 40 PA40:20
1
P 30, 000 20
a 40 / 1 A40:20
1
30, 000(5.46429) / (1 0.0146346) 166,363
d
(2.15467)(0.05108 0.18931 2 )
(2.15467)(0.015242)
0.033
Question # 6.20
Answer: B
EPV(premiums) = EPV(benefits)
P 1 vp x v 2 2 p x P vq x 2v 2 p x q x 1 10000 v 3 2 p x q x 2
0.9 0.9 0.88 0.1 2 0.9 0.12 0.9 0.88 0.15
P 1 2 P 2 10000
1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.04 3
2.5976P 0.29588P 1056.13
P 459
Question # 6.21
Answer: C
1000 A75:15
1
P a 75:15 1000 A75:15
1
15 P A75:151 P a 75:15 15 A75:151
1
A75:15 A75:15 A75:151 0.7 0.11 0.59
1 A75:15
a 75:15 (1 0.7) / 0.04 7.5
d
590
So P 100.85
7.5 15(0.11)
15,536.99
12
12.6431
12 1228.891
102.41
Question # 6.23
Answer: D
FAx 30 30a x G 0.6 0.10a x:30 0.10a x:15
FA x 30 30a x
G
a x:30 0.6 0.1a x:30 0.1a x:15
FA x 30 30(15.3926)
14.0145 0.6 0.1(14.0145) 0.1(10.1329)
FA x 491.78
10.9998
FA x 491.78 FA x
44.71
10.9998 10.9998 10.9998
h 44.71
Question # 6.25
Answer: C
Therefore,
753.17
P 180.03
4.1835
Question # 6.27
Answer: D
EPV(Premiums) EPV(Benefits)
EPV(Premiums) 3P a x 2 P 20 E x a x 20
3P 1
2P e
20( )
1
3P 1
0.09
2 Pe 1.8 1
0.09
29.66 P
EPV(Benefits) 1,000,000 Ax 500,000 20 Ex Ax 20
1,000,000
500,000e
20( )
1,000,000 0.03
0.09 500,000e 1.8 0.03
0.09
305,783.5
29.66 P 305,783.5
305,783.5
P
29.66
P 10,309.62
121.06 5 5(4.5410)
G 35.73
0.15 0.95(4.5410)
Question # 6.29
Answer: B
2
0.95 2.338
Var L0 100
0.04 /1.04
A A
2
x x
2
2
0.95 2.338
2
0.04
100 0.17 1 16.50
0.04 /1.04 1.04
908.1414
Question # 6.31
Answer: D
35
A35 1 e35
e A70 0.063421 0.146257 0.209679
1 A35 1 0.209679
a 35 15.80642
0.05
A35 0.209679
P35 0.0132654
a 35 15.80642
The annual net premium for this policy is therefore 100,000 0.0132654 1,326.54
Assuming UDD
0.05 0.05
100, 000 1 9.19
ln 1.05 1.05
57,632.62
57, 632.62
P 550.43
104.7039
The probability that the endowment payment will be made for a given contract is:
15 15
p x exp 0.02t dt
0
15
exp 0.01t 2
0
exp 0.01(15) 2
0.1054
1,942,329, 000
Then, using the normal approximation, the approximate probability that the aggregate losses exceed
50,000 is
50, 000 0
P 0 L 50, 000 P Z P( Z 1.13) 0.13
1,942,329, 000
Question # 6.34
Answer: A
so that
Question # 6.36
Answer: B
where
0.04
A x1:20
1 e 20( )
0.12 1 e 20(0.12)
0.3031
1 e 20( ) 1 e 20(0.12)
a x:20 7.5774
0.12
0.3031
R 4500 100,000 500
7.5774
so
Question # 6.38
Answer: B
0.192
0.05
A 1 0.172
0.04879 x:n
A 1x:n 0.019516
1.05
a x:n (1 0.019516 0.172) 16.978
0.05
Therefore, we have
1000 0.192
P 11.31
16.978
98,576.4
Issued at age 40: 10, 000 10 p40 10, 000 9923.30
99,338.3
41,841.1
10, 000 10 p80 10, 000 5530.35
Issued at age 80: 75, 657.2
The total number of lives after ten years is therefore: 9923.30 5530.35 15, 453.65
Let P be the annual net premium at x+1. Also, let A*y be the expected present value for the special
insurance described in the problem issued to ( y) .
We are given
110
1 v 0.95 7 1.03v 0.05
Ax*1 1000 0.8141032
1.03v 0.95
Thus, we have
1000 0.8141032
P 116.3005
7
Question # 6.41
Answer: B
Then:
The policy is fully discrete, so all cash flows occur at the start or end of a year.
There is a loss if death occurs in year 1 or year 2, otherwise the policy was profitable.
Question # 6.43
Answer: C
200,000 A30:10
1 4 4a30:10
G
0.85a30:5 0.20
200, 000 A30:10
1 200, 000 A30:10 10 E30
200,000(0.61447 0.61152) 590
590 4 4 8.0961
G 171.07
0.85 4.5431 0.20
Pa50:10 P I A 50:10
1
10 E50 A60
0.05
A60 1 da60 1 15 0.285714
1.05
P a50:10 I A 50:10
1
10 E50 A60
100 P 2.18
560 T 560
L0 100,000vT 560aT 100,000 e
Since L0 is a decreasing function of T , the 75th percentile of L0 is L0 (t) where t is such that
Pr[T35 > t] = 0.75 .
35t
0.75
35
t (80 35) s
80 s s 81 (1 s ) 80
Question # 6.46
Answer: E
a55 a55:10 v10 10 p55 a65 v10 10 p55 a65 12.2758 7.4575 4.8183
300 P 208.12
G 66,383.54
Question # 6.48
Answer: A
0.95
P 1 5
5, 463.32 P 3,195.12
1.06
Question # 6.49
Answer: C
(12) i (12)
Ga40:20 100, 000 A40 200 0.04Ga40:20
(12)
a40:20 (12)a40:20 (1 20 E40 ) (12)
1.00020 12.9935 (1 0.36663) 0.46651 12.700625
(100, 000)(1.02480)(0.12106)+200
G 1033.92
0.96 12.700625
G/12 = 86.16
A35 96.53
1, 000 P 1, 000 5.0878
a35 18.9728
Question # 6.51
Answer: D
Pa 62:10 50, 000 a 62 a 62:10 P ( IA) 62:10
1
10
where ( IA) 62:10
1
11A62:10
1 A
k 1
1
62: k
11(0.091) 0.4891 0.5119
So P
50, 000 a 62 a 62:10 50, 000(12.2758 7.4574) 34, 687
a 62:10 ( IA)62:10
1 7.4574 0.5119
Question # 7.1
Answer: C
0V 0
2V 2000
Year 1: V P 1 i q 2000 V p
0 x 1 x 1V
P(1.1) 0.15(2000 1V ) 0.85( 1V )
1.1P 300 1V
Year 2: V P 1 i q
1 x 1 (2000 2V ) px 1 (2000)
(1.1P 300 P)(1.1) 0.165(2000 2000) 0.835(2000)
2.31P 330 2330
2330 330
P 1152
2.31
i (4) 0.08 means an interest rate of j 0.02 per quarter. This problem can be done with
two quarterly recursions or a single calculation.
898 800
[10.25V ](1.02) (1000)
898 [ V ](1.02) 109.13
V 713.31 10.25
10.5
800 0.8909
898
10.25 V 730.02
Using a single step, 10.25V is the EPV of cash flows through time 10.75 plus 0.5 E80.25 times
the EPV of cash flows thereafter (that is, 10.75V ).
G 1.02 47.20
Question # 7.5
Answer: A
Actual Deaths = 6
d
(t V ) G E S 9.6 V ( ) where G, E , S and are evaluated at t 9.6 and
dt t 9.6
d
(t V ) 450 (0.02)(450) (106, 000 200)(0.01) 9.6 V (0.01 0.05) 621 0.069.6 V
dt t 9.6
d
9.6 V 9.8 V 0.2 (t V ) 126.68 (0.2)[621 0.069.6 V ] 250.88 0.0129.6 V
dt t 9.6
250.88
9.6 V 247.91
1.012
Question # 7.7
Answer: E
4.5V v 0.5 0.5 p x 4.5 5V v 0.5 0.5 q x 4.5 b, where b 10, 000 is the death benefit during year 5
0.5 q x4 0.5(0.04561)
0.5 q x 4.5 0.02334
1 0.5 q x 4 1 0.5(0.04561)
0.5 p x 4.5 0.97666
( 4V P) (1.03) q x 4b
5 V
p x4
(1, 405.08 647.46) (1.03) 0.04561(10, 000)
5 V 1, 737.25
0.95439
0.5
4.5V (1.03) (0.97666) (1, 737.25) (1.03) 0.5 (0.02334) (10, 000)
1, 671.81 229.98 1,902
*
Let 0 L be the present value of future loss at issue for one policy.
Question # 7.9
Answer: E
Gross premium = G
2000 2000
Ga 45 2000 A45 1 20 0.5 10 a 45 0.20G 0.05Ga 45
1000 1000
22 11
There are two ways to proceed. The first is to calculate the expense-augmented reserve and the net
premium reserve and take the difference.
The second is to calculate the expense reserve directly based on the pattern of expenses. The first step
is to determine the expense premium.
The expense reserve is the expected present value of future expenses less future expense premiums,
that is,
[0.05G 0.5(2000 /1000) 10]a55 14.14a55 1.582(16.0599) 25
There is a shortcut with the second approach based on recognizing that expenses that are level
throughout create no expense reserve (the level expense premium equals the actual expenses).
Therefore, the expense reserve in this case is created entirely from the extra first year expenses. They
occur only at issue so the expected present value is 0.20(31.16)+1.0(2000/1000)+20 = 28.232. The
expense premium for those expenses is then 28.232/17.8162 = 1.585 and the expense reserve is the
present value of future non-level expenses (0) less the present value of those future expense premiums,
which is 1.585(16.0599) = 25 for a reserve of –25.
q xNS q xNS
1 1 e
0.1
0.095
Then the annual premium for the non-smoker policies is P NS , where
P NS 1 vp xNS 100, 000vq xNS 100, 000v 2 p xNSq xNS1 30, 000v 2 p xNS p xNS1
100, 000(0.926) (0.095) 100, 000(0.857) (0.905) (0.095) 30, 000(0.857) (0.905) 2
P NS
1 (0.926) (0.905)
P NS 20, 251
Question # 7.11
Answer: D
V 1107
10
(0 35.168)(1.05) (1000)(0.007289)
V
1 29.86
1 0.007289
Question # 7.13
Answer: A
Where
1
A55:10 A55:10 10 E 55 0.61813 0.59342 0.02471
A55:101 10 E 55 0.59342
a 55:10 8.0192
a (12)
55:10
(12)a 55:10 (12) 1 10 E 55
1.00020(8.0192) 0.46651(1 0.59342) 7.8311
P g 977.60 (given)
Question # 7.15
Answer: B
K 45 1
L 10, 000v Pa K 10, 000v 11 Pa11
45 1
10 10
L A v T 0.10a T 1 v T
6 6
2
10
Var[ LA ] 1 Var[vT ] 0.455 Var[vT ] 0.06398
6
16 16
L B 2v T 0.16a T 2 v T
6 6
2 2
16 16
Var[ LB ] 2 Var[vT ] 2 (0.06398) 1.39
6 6
Question # 7.17
Answer: E
Question # 7.18
Answer: A
This first solution recognizes that the full preliminary term reserve at the end of year 10 for a 30 year
endowment insurance on (40) is the same as the net premium reserve at the end of year 9 for a 29 year
endowment insurance on (41). Then, using superscripts of FPT for full preliminary term reserve and NLP
for net premium reserve to distinguish the reserves, we have
Alternatively, working from the definition of full preliminary term reserves as having 1V FPT 0 and the
discussion of modified reserves in the Notation and Terminology Study Note, let be the valuation
premium in year 1 and be the valuation premium thereafter. Then (with some of the values taken
from above),
1000vq40 0.5019
APV (valuation premiums) APV (benefits)
1 E40 (a41:29 ) 1000 A40:30
0.5019 0.95188(15.6640) 242.37
242.37 0.5019
16.22
14.9102
Where
No cash flow beginning of year, the one item earning interest is the reserve at the end of the previous
year
Gain due to interest = (reserves at the beginning of year)(actual interest – anticipated interest)
1000(8929.18)(0.04 0.03) 89292 .
Question # 7.20
Answer: A
Question # 7.21
Answer: E
V 1 i
0.4
15.6 0.4 px 15.6 V 0.4 qx 15.6 100
16
V 50.91
15.6
Question # 7.22
Answer: D
APV future benefits 1000 0.04v 0.05 0.96v 2 0.96 0.95 (0.06 0.94 0.683)v 3 630.25
APV future premiums 130(1 0.96v) 248.56
E[ 3 L] 630.25 248.56 381.69
2
p 2
V 10 L 1 d A x 10 A x 10
2
V 11 L p 2
2
A x 11 A x 11
2
1
d
Ax 10 vqx 10 vp x 10 Ax 11
1 1
(0.90703) 2 (0.02067) (0.90703) 2 (1 0.02067)(0.52536) 0.50969
2
Ax 10 v 2 q x 10 v 2 p x 10 2 A x 11
(0.90703)(0.02067) (0.90703)(1 0.02067)(0.30783) 0.29219
Var k L (0.29219) (0.50969) 2 0.03241
1.018
Var k 1 L (0.30783) (0.52536) 2 0.03183
Question # 7.24
Answer: A
V Ax 1 Px a x 1 1 da x 1 Px a x 1
1 x
1 Px d a x 1 1 a x 1 a
x
a x 1 1Vx a x 1
Using the equivalence principle, 0.90Ga 40 0.40G 100, 000 A40 300
The gross premium reserve after the first year and immediately after the second premium and
associated expenses are paid is
12,665 0.90(765.2347)(17.3403)
723
Question # 7.26
Answer: C
722 24, 496 1 W 1212 60 1.08 0.004736 150, 000 0.995264 26, 261
722 852.8121 1308.96W
852.8121 722
Solving W, W 10%
1308.96
We assume that we have assets equal to reserves at the beginning of the year. We collect premiums,
earn interest, and pay the claims which gives us the assets at the end of the year:
Actual total reserve at the end of the year = (980 7)(27.77) 27,020.21
Since there is no gain or loss that means that the assets must equal the reserves, so:
Question # 7.28
Answer: A
1
9V 1000 1 a64 10 A64:1 a64:1
1 94,579.7 1
1000 13.5498 10 1021.46 0.005288 1021.46
1.05 95, 082.5 1.05
11,866
Question # 7.30
Answer: C
2 2
P1 1.25(1.06)
V L 0 #1 B1 2
A x A 20.55
2
x 8
0.06
2
A x Ax2 20.55
d
2 20.55
A x Ax2 2
0.0227
1.25(1.06)
8
0.06
2 2
1.875(1.06) 1.875(1.06)
V L0 # 2 12
0.06
2
A x A 12
2
x
0.06
0.0227 46.24
We have Present Value of Modified Premiums = Present Value of level net premiums
vqx a25:20 1 P 20 E25 a45:20 Pa25:40
Question # 7.32
Answer: C
A50 0.18931
P n 1, 000, 000 1, 000, 000 11,119.86
a50 17.0245
A551
100,000 A58 100,000 a58
a551
0.24 1 0.27
100,000 0.27
1 0.24 d
d
3947.37
Question # 7.34
Answer: D
61,437.50
P 28,542.39
2.1525
V
505 220 30 1.05 10,000q53 666.2807
4
1 q53
The easiest way to calculate the profit is to calculate the assets at the end of the period using actual
experience and the reserves at the end of the period using the reserve assumptions. The difference is
the profit.
Alternatively, we can calculate the profit by source of profit. For example, if we calculated the gain by
source calculation, done in the order of interest, expense, and mortality, the profit for policy year 4 is
68,730.37
Question # 7.36
Answer: B
e
P
38.7 0.992
0.75G 187 10 159.72
1.03
G 212.97
d
V tV Pt et ( S t Et tV ) x t
t
dt
At t 30.5,
V 6500
30.5
Question # 7.38
Answer: E
A45
g
(0.95 8.0751) 1
80 10 17.8162 8.0751
f 50.80
(0.95 8.0751) 1
Answer: D
Question # 7.40
Answer: C
75 0.07 75 80.25
2 2
P A
On a unit basis, Var ( L0 ) 1 2 A45 ( A45 ) 2 1 45 2 A45 ( A45 ) 2
d da45
2
da 1 da45 2 2
A45 ( A45 ) 2
45
45
A ( A45 ) 2
da45 (da) 2
0.03463 0.151612
2
0.016178038
0.05
17.8162
1.05
Question # 7.42
Answer: D
At issue, present value of benefits must equal present value of premium, so:
1000 A45 Pa45 W 20 E45 a65
W 24.33447
a 11.4
V10 2, 290 B 1 x 10 B 1 B 9,968.24
ax 14.8
Gax 25 5ax B Ax
0.04
Ax 1 dax 1 14.8 0.430769231
1.04
G 14.8 25 5 14.8 9,968.24 0.430769231
G 296.82
0.04
Ax 10 1 dax 10 1 11.4 0.561538462
1.04
10V 9,968.24 0.561538462 5 11.4 296.82 11.4
g
10V g 2, 270.80
Alternatively, the expense net premium is based on the extra expenses in year 1, so
10 V e 0 1.68919(11.4) 19.26
Question # 7.44
Answer: E
Expense load at x 2 P
e
23.64 (0.08G 5) Pe
Pe 58.08
Question # 8.1
Answer: B
Because it is impossible to return to state 0, t p000 and t p000 are the same, so
1
0.03(2t )
1 2 1
0.015 0.03(2 ) dt 0.015t
0 0j
t
ds
ln 2
j 1 0 s 0
1 p000 1 p000 e
e
e 0
1 p10 0.5 p10 0.5 0.5 p10 01 02 0.5 p11 10 0.5 p12 20
0.03 0.5[0.03(0.02) 0.92(0.06) 0] 0.0573
Question # 8.3
Answer: D
00 l51( ) 90,365
p 50 ( ) 0.90365
l50 100, 000
03 (3) ( )
p 50 d 50 /l50
0
p 50
00
1 p 50
1100/100,000
(3) q50
q51 (3) 1 p50
(3) 1 p 50
00 00
1 p 50 1 0.90365 1 0.90365
0.0115
ln(1 0.0115)
90,365 (1 80, 000 / 90,365) 984
ln(80, 000 / 90,365)
d 51(1) l51( ) l52( ) d 51(2) d 51(3) 90,365 80, 000 8200 984 1181
01 (1) ( )
p 51 d 51 /l51
0 00 1181/90,365
p 51 1 p 51
q51(1) 1 p51(1) 1 p 51
00
1 p 00
51 1 80, 000 / 90,365 180,000/90,365
0.0138
Note: This solution uses multi-state notation for dependent probabilities. There is
alternative notation for these when the context is strictly multiple decrement, as it is here.
There are four career paths Joe could follow. Each has probability of the form:
p35 ( p36 )( p37 )(transition probability 1)(transition probability 2)
where the survival probabilities depend on each year’s employment type. For example, the first entry
below corresponds to Joe being an actuary for all three years.
Question # 8.6
Answer: E
The present value of costs for the new portfolio is (0.9)317 + (0.1)759 = 361.2. The increase is
(361.2/317) – 1 = 0.14, or 14%.
Question # 8.8
Answer: B
0.05
Prob( H D in 2 months) (0.75 0.2 0.05) 0.20 0.1275
1
You could do more extensive matrix multiplication and also obtain the probability that it is H after 2 or it
is S after 2, but those aren’t needed.
10
P( D 4) (0.1275) 4 (1 0.1275) 6 0.0245
4
Let A denote Alive, which is equivalent to not Dead. It is also equivalent to Healthy or Disabled. Let H
denote Healthy. The conditional probability is:
P( H and A) P( H )
P( H A) ,
P( A) P( H ) P(Disabled)
Where
0 ds
10 10
0
01 02
(0.05) ds
00
P( H ) 10 p e e e 0.5 0.607
And
0
u 10
u
01
10 02 ds 12 ds
P(Disabled) 10 p e 01
e
01
du
0
10
e 0.05u (0.02)e 0.05u 0.5 du
0
10
(0.02)e 0.5 du
0
Then
P( H ) 0.607
P( H A) 0.83
P( H ) P(Disabled) 0.607 0.121
Question # 8.10
Answer: A
EPV , through time n, g (t )dt , where g (t ) 10, 000 t p x00 x02t t p x01 12
x t e
n
t
dt
0
g (3) 10, 000 0.2405 0.05 0.05 3 0.4174 0.15 0.01 3 2 e 30.02 1, 400
x exp 0 x s x s ds
p11 15 10 12
15
15
exp (0.10 0.05) ds
0
exp[ 15(0.15)]
exp[2.25] 0.1054
Question # 8.12
Answer: D
945 895
APV(premium) P 1 v v2 2.711791P
1000 1000
20 25 895
APV(benefits) 100 v v2 v3 81.4858
1000 1000 1000
81.4858
P 30.05
2.711791
895 30 895 30
Note: The term v 3 is the sum of v 3 for death benefits and v3 for maturity
1000 1000 1000
benefits.
By U.D.D.:
1
0.2 q x(2) qx(2) 1 qx(1)
2
1
qx(2) 1 0.1 0.95 qx(2)
2
qx(2) 0.2105
p x( ) px(1) px(2) (0.90)(1 0.2105) 0.71055
q x(1) q x( ) q x(2) 1 p x( ) q (2)
1 0.71055 0.2 0.08945
Question # 8.14
Answer: C
Path Probability
S S S S 0.216
S S C S 0.012
S C S S 0.012
S C C S 0.010
Total across all paths: 0.250
Question # 8.15
Answer: D
Intuitively:
(A) A lower interest rate increases premium, but a higher recovery rate decreases premium,
because there are lower projected benefits and more policyholders paying premiums.
(B) A lower death rate of healthy lives more pay premium lower premium
(C) A higher death rate of sick lives fewer benefits lower premium
14
exp
0 u
0
01
1
0
02 ds 01 exp 12 ds du
14
e 0.05u (0.02) e 0.11du
0
14
(0.02) e 0.11 e 0.05u du
0
0.02 0.11
0.05
e 1 e0.7
0.18
The limits of the outer integral are 0 to 14 because you must be disabled by 64 if you are to have been
disabled for at least one year by 65.
Question # 8.17
Answer: C
Sick t 1 0.025
Sick t 2 (0.95)(0.025) (0.025)(0.6) 0.03875
Sick t 3 (0.95)(0.95)(0.025) (0.95)(0.025)(0.6) (0.025)(0.6)(0.6)
(0.025)(0.3)(0.025) 0.046
The probability that Johnny will not have any accidents in the next year is:
0 s
1
01
s02 ds
00
p 1 e , where
1 0.6483164 0.3516836 .
Question # 8.19
Answer: A
The probability of being fully functional after two years for a single television is:
0.82
0.82 0.10 0.08 0.60 (0.82)(0.82) (0.10)(0.60) (0.08)(0.00) 0.7324
0.00
The number of the five televisions being fully functional has a binomial distribution with parameters of
n 5 and p 0.7324. The probability that there will be exactly two televisions that are fully
functioning is therefore:
5
(0.7324) 1 0.7324 (10)(0.53641)(0.019163) 0.10279
2 3
2
5
Probability t p 00 01 5t p11dt
0
5 5
e 0.06t 0.05e0.08(5t ) dt e 0.06t 0.05e0.40e0.08t dt
0 0
0.05 0.10
e 1 0.1762
5
e 0.40 (0.05) e0.02t dt e 0.40
0
0.02
Question # 8.21
Answer: C
5 5
5 p x t p x x t 5t p x dt e
01
( 03 ) t 12
13 )
01 00 11
01e (5t )( dt
0 0
5 5
e (0.010.02)t (0.01)e (5t )(0.300.40) dt e (0.03)t (0.01)e (5t )(0.7) dt
0 0
5 e 1 0.67(5)
(0.01)e3.5 e0.67t dt (0.01)e 3.5 0.01239568
0
0.67
Time 1: 0.9
Probability of a Healthy life at time 0 is Sick at time 1 and then Healthy at:
Time 1: 0.05
Probability of a Healthy life at time zero is Sick at time 1 and then Sick at:
APV (Sick):
5000(0.05e 1.50.04 0.075e 2.50.04 ) 574.755165
(1)
2 53 q q53(1) p53( ) q54(1)
4625
q54(1) q54( ) q54(2) (1 p54( ) ) q54(2) 1 0.040 0.035
5000
(1)
2 53 q 0.025 0.945 0.035 0.058
Question # 8.24
Answer: A
Question # 8.25
Answer: B
(1) (t ) (t )
If q40 increases by 0.01, then the change in ℓ 41 = -0.01ℓ 40 .
( ) (3)
The change in d 41(3) 0.01 q
40 41 0.01 15,000 0.10 15
It should be obvious that this is a minimum rather than a maximum; you could prove it by noting that
the second derivative = 0.2848 > 0.
Note: the result does not depend on v. If you carry v symbolically through all steps, all instances cancel.
Question # 8.27
Answer: A
2 p 80 2 p 90 2 p 80:90 3 p 80 3 p 90 3 p 80:90
[(0.9)(0.8) (0.6)(0.5) (0.9)(0.8)(0.6)(0.5)]
[(0.9)(0.8)(0.7) (0.6)(0.5)(0.4) (0.9)(0.8)(0.7)(0.6)(0.5)(0.4)]
(0.72 0.30 0.216) (0.504 0.12 0.06048)
0.804 0.56352
0.24048
Question # 9.2
Answer: E
where a 65 65
a 65 a 65:65
100, 000 A65 R 1.3a 65 0.3a 65:65
A65 0.35477
1, 000, 000 100, 000 A65
R a65 13.5498
1.3a 65 0.3a 65:65
a 65:65 11.6831
964,523
R 68,358
14.10981
Question # 9.3
Answer: A
10
10
02
p 65:60 t
00
p 65:60 02 10 t p 6522 t :60 t dt
0
10
e 0.01t (0.005)e 0.008(10t ) dt
0
10
0.005e 0.08 e 0.002t dt
0
1 e0.02
0.005e 0.08 0.0457
0.002
APV(insurance) 1000 e 0.05t t p xy00 03 dt
0
1000(0.005) e 0.05t e 0.045t dt
0
(0.005)
1000 52.63158
0.095
Question # 9.5
Answer: D
P
10, 000 vq 30:30 v12 q 30:30
1 vp 30:30
q30:30 (q30 ) 2 0.0016
p30:30 1 q 30:30 1 0.0016 0.9984
1
q30:30 2 q30:30 q30:30 ( 2 q30 ) 2 0.0016 [0.04 0.96(0.06)]2 0.0016 0.00793
0.0016 0.00793
APV of Benefits 10, 000 87.17
1.05 1.05 2
87.17
P 44.68
0.9984
1
1.05
Question # 9.6
Answer: C
e 0
01 02
00
10 p 30:30
0.006 0.014 0.00071.07530t dt
10
e 0
e 0
30t
Note: The above is what candidates would have needed to do in Spring 2015. Candidates could have
solved the integral even without recognizing the distribution as Makeham. In LTAM, solving the integral
without recognition is still valid, but if candidates recognize it as Makeham they could plug into the
formula given in the tables.
Question # 9.8
Answer: B
APV(Premiums) APV(Benefits)
APV(Benefits) 60, 000a45 45 3Pa45 45
where a45|45 a 45 a45:45
17.8162 16.8122
1.0040
APV(Premiums) Pa45:45
P(16.8122) 60, 000(1.0040) 3P(1.004)
P 4365
Question # 9.9
Answer: B
t
p 50 1 , 0 t 50
50
t
t p 55 e 0.04t , t 0
t 0.04t
1 e , 0 t 50
t p 50:55 Pr(T50:55 t ) 50
0, t 50
where T50:55 min(T50 , T55 ) is the time until the first death.
0.05T 50:55
L 100e 60 0 e 0.05T50:55 0.6 T50:55 20 ln(0.6)
Question # 9.11
Answer: A
1
100, 000 A50:60:10 100, 000 A50:10
1 1
A60:10 A50:60:10
1
100, 000 0.01461 0.04252 0.05636 77.00
where
1
A50:10 A50:10 10 E50 0.61643 0.60182 0.01461
1
A60:10 A60:10 10 E 60 0.62116 0.57864 0.04252
1
A50:60:10 A 50:60 (1.05)10 10 E 50 10 E 60 A60:70
0.32048 (1.628895)(0.60182)(0.57864)(0.46562) 0.05636
2
l
35 E40:40 75 (1.05) 35 0.13337
l40
8.0649 P (1,000,000)(0.13337)(8.2085)
P 135,745
Question # 9.13
Answer: B
The benefit is 6,000 per year to each of them while they are alive, but while they are both alive they
must, between them, return 2,000 since the benefit is only 10,000.
2 10
2 6, 000 0.59342 13.5498 2, 000 0.59342 1.05 11.6831
83, 085.56
83, 085.56
P 10, 474.60
7.9321
Question # 9.15
Answer: B
a50:60 1 20 E50 80
a70:80 1
60
75, 657.2
13.2699 0.34824 6.7208
96, 634.1
11.4375
Note that the factor of 0.85 is based on an interpretation of the 5% reduction as producing a factor of 1
– 3(0.05) = 0.85. The Notation and Terminology Study Note states that this is the method to be used.
Question # 10.2
Answer: E
Defined Benefit:
0.015 Final Average Earnings Years of Service
0.015 50, 000 1.05 19 1.05 18 1.05 17 / 3 20 36,128 per year
APV at 65 of Defined Benefit = 36,128a65 36,1268(10.0) 361, 280.
Therefore,
361, 280 X %(2, 653, 298)
X % 0.136
X 13.6
Question # 10.4
Answer: C
1 (1.04) (1.04) 29
Annual pension at age 65 45, 000 (0.02)(30)
30
(1.04) 30 1
45, 000(0.02) 50, 476.44
0.04
Question # 10.5
Answer: E
APV at age 65
(12)
(19, 218.39) 10 a 55 19, 218.39(1.04) 10 10 p55 a65
(12)
69,735.01
Replacement Ratio 54.13%
128,834.41
Question # 10.7
Answer: C
Once Glenn starts drawing he gets 48,000 more per year. It takes him 336,000 / 48,000 7 years to
catch up to Fred.
Retirement Age 63 64 65
Years of
33 34 35
Service (K)
v K 20 0.414964 0.387817 0.362446
Probability of Retirement 0.4 (0.6)(0.2) (0.6)(0.8)(1.0)
Benefit (33)(12)(25) (34)(12)(25) (35)(12)(25)
Annuity Factor 12 11.5 11
Benefit Reduction Factor 0.856 0.928 1.0
Contribution to Actuarial Present
16,879.56 5,065.87 20,094.01
Value of Retirement Benefit
Question # 10.9
Answer: C
Let S35 be Colton’s starting salary which is the annual salary from age 35 to age 36.
S35 S35
1 1.025 1.025 2
1.025 29 1.025 29 1.025 28 1.025 25
30 5
0.02 30 R% 30
1.025 30 1 1.025 5 1
0.02 6( R%) 1.025 25
0.025 0.025
0.02 1.025 30 1
R% 1.025 25 0.1501727 1.5%
6 1.025 5 1
Let S35 be the employee’s starting salary which is the annual salary from age 35 to age 36.
1
B 30 0.015 S 35 2.322 0.087 S 35
12
0.096
1.107
0.087
Under the Traditional Unit Credit cost method the actuarial accrued liability (AAL) is the actuarial
present value of the accrued benefit on the valuation date.
FAS is the average of the salaries in the years 2013, 2014, and 2015, which is 35,000 x (1.032 + 1.033 +
1.034)/3 = 38,257. Therefore
2785
We know that:
Ct Normal Cost for year t to t 1 and tV is the Actuarial Accrued Liability at time t
If you do not understand the above numbers, you can look at the solution to Number 10.11 for more
details.
Ct 657
Under the Projected Unit Credit cost method, the actuarial liability is the actuarial present value of the
accrued benefit. The accrued benefit is equal to the projected benefit at the decrement date multiplied
by service as of the valuation date and by the accrual rate.
The actuarial liability is the actuarial present value (as of the valuation date) of the projected benefit and
is given by
(r ) ( )
Actuarial Liability (Projected Benefit) a65 q65 6535 p35 v30
(9286)(11.0)(1.00)(0.95)30 (1.04)30
6760
We know that:
If you do not understand the above numbers, you can look at the solution to Number 10.13 for more
details.
Ct 1352
00
C35 v1 p60 36 V 35 V
Since the pension plan has only a retirement benefit at Normal Retirement, under PUC:
00
35 V accrual rate 35 v R R p60 APV of retirement benefit
00 00 36
v1 p60 36 V accrual rate 36 v R R p60 APV of retirement benefit 35 V
35
00 36 V
C35 v1 p60 36 V 35 V 35 V 35 V 35
35 35
Question # 10.16
Answer: A
By age 65, member would have served total of 35 years in which case, benefit would be
35 0.02 70%. Thus, set it at 60%.
1 l 65 (12)
( )
Replacement ratios
Plan 2:
(Career Average Salary)(Benefit Rate Per Year)(Years of Service)
R
Salary at Retirement
1.0425 1 1 1.0425 1
S0 (0.02)(25) (0.02)
0.04 25 0.04
0.324934
S0 (1.04) 24 (1.04) 24
(1250)(25)
0.32494
S0 (1.04)24
(1250)(25)
S0 37,519
0.32494(1.04) 24
Question # 10.18
Answer: E
At 66, the total retirement fund is 1,500,000 1.08 and is to be used to purchase a quarterly annuity
4
equal to Xa66 so that:
X 125, 769.56
Replacement Ratio 0.50
250, 000 250, 000
12
V (0.02)(10)(150, 000)v 20
0 20 p45 a65 127,157.50
12
V (0.02)(11)(150, 000)v19
1 19 p46 a65
1
V C vp45 1V C
0 0V 12,715.75
10
11
0V
10
Question # 10.20
Answer: D
Question # 10.21
Answer: A
64 (r )
dx
APV Bx
x 0.5 50
v
x 62 50
1477
Question # 10.23
Answer: A
14 (12 )
V0 0.02 YOS 0 S 0 65
(1 i ) a65
51
(138,041)(0.552)(10.60)
= 304,415.7
1.0520
æ 15 ö
( )
Actuarial liability: ç ÷ 304,415.7 = 130,464
è 35 ø
Normal cost under projected unit credit with no benefits paid on next year’s terminations is:
130,464
= 8,697.6
15
Question # 12.1
Answer: E
a 11.6803
1V 70 (10, 000) 1 71 (10, 000) 1 273.14
a70 12.0083
a72 11.3468
2V 70 (10, 000) 1 (10, 000) 1 550.87
a70 12.0083
Expected Profit 273.14 800 1 0.10 1.07 10, 000(0.03) 550.87 1 0.03 0.04 250.35
Question # 12.3
Answer: E
EPV of Premium 250 1 vp 50
EPV of Profit 165 100v 125v 2 p50
165 100v 125v 2 p50
Profit Margin 0.06
250 1 vp50
Question # 12.4
Answer: C
NPV 0 0 550
300
NPV 1 0 1v 550 282.14
1.12
275
NPV 2 NPV 1 2 v 282.14 62.91
1.122
75
NPV 3 NPV 2 3v3 62.91 9.53
1.123
150
NPV 4 NPV 3 4v 4 9.53 85.80
1.124
NPV 4 0 DPP 4
Question # 12.6
Answer: B
3
NPV PreContractExp Prk v k k 1 p55
k 1
NPV PreContractExp
3
StartingRes
k 1
k GPk Ek InvEarn k ExpDeathBenefits k ExpReserveCosts k v k k 1 p55
PreContractExp 100
Pr1 75 20 2.80 10.0 64.35 16.55
Pr2 65 75 20 6.00 15.0 123.13 12.13
Pr3 125 75 20 9.00 21.0 168.00
NPV 100 16.55 1.11 1 12.13 1.12 0.99 168 1.13 0.99 0.985
100 15.05 9.92 123.08
1.89
Question # LM.1
Answer: E
Sˆ (1) 0.8
S (1)(1 S (1) (0.8)(0.2)
V [ S (1)] 0.012652
n 1000
95% CI is approx (0.8 1.96(0.01265)) (0.775,0.825)
Question # LM.3
Answer: D
1 3
Hˆ (1.5) 0.048148
90 81
Question # LM.4
Answer: B
55 42 28 15 4
Sˆ (21) 0.1833
60 48 35 21 10
5 6 7 6 6
V [ S (21)] 0.18332
60 55 48 42 35 28 2115 10 4
0.00607 0.0779 2
Upper 80% Confidence limit is 0.1833+1.282 0.0779
=0.283
28 19 28 19 15
Fˆ (10) 0.47 Fˆ (20) 0.62
100 100
20 12 ˆ 12 10 ˆ
Fˆ (12) F (10) F (20) 0.8(0.47) 0.2(0.62) 0.50
20 10 20 10
Question # LM.6
Answer: C
Question # S1.1
Answer: C
Alice is sick for 5 months from July-November 2018; of this 2 months is eliminated through the waiting
period, giving three months benefit. She is not sick for three months and then sick again for 8 months.
Because the recovery period is less than the off period of the benefit, the payments start again as soon as
she becomes ill the second time, with 8 months of benefit payable. That gives a total of 11 months of
sickness benefit during the two years 2018-2019.
01 01
a50:10
a50 v10 10 p50
00 01
a60 v10 10 p50
01 11
a60
Note that
axij axij for i j Because under either annuity, there is no payment at t 0
a a 1 Because axii includes a payment at t 0 but axii does not
ii
x
ii
x
So
01
a50:10 01
a50 v10 10 p50
00 01
a60 v10 10 p50
01
a6011 1
1.9618 (1.05) 10 (0.83936)(2.6283) (1.05) 10 (0.06554)(10.7144 1)
0.2166
Question # S3.1
Answer: B
Question # S4.2
Answer: D
3 2
Set 2017 to be t 0 . The spline function is C ( x, t ) at bt ct d and the first derivative is
C( x, t ) 3at 2 2bt c . Then
C (35, 0) d 0.037 C (35, 0) (0.037 0.035) 0.002 c
C (35,10) 1000a 100b 10c d 0.015 0.042 1000a 100b
C (35,10) 300a 20b c 0 0.002 300a 20b
a 0.000064 b 0.00106
C (35,5) 125a 25b 5c d 0.0285
Question # S4.3
Answer: D
Question # S4.5
Answer: B
Alternative Solution:
1
First note that ax00 ax01 ax02 ax03 a 25.00 ax03 15.64
Also, we have that
a 03
x t px00 x03t ax33t e t t px01 13 33
x t ax t e
t
t px02 x23t ax33t e t dt
0
1
Note that ax33t since state 3 is an absorbing state – the annuity payable while the life is in
state 3 given that they are already in state 3 is a perpetuity.
So
1
ax03
t px00 x03t e t t px01 13
x t e
t
t px02 x23t e t dt
0
1
Ax03 Ax03 15.64 0.6256
aB (65, t ) 1 vi* p65 vi2* 2 p65 vi3* 3 p65 which is not a function of t
1 i
where i* 1 0.010456
(1.04)(1.03)
aB (63, 2) 1 vi* p63 vi2* 2 p63 vi3* 3 p63 1 vi* p63 vi2* 2 p63 aB (65, 4)
29.01
Question # S6.2
Answer: B
Normal cost (NC) assuming retirement at age 60 is
AVTHB p50 v10 5000(1 j )10 aB (60)
10
31
1 i 1.05
Where aB ( x) ax |i* i* 1 0.0
(1 j )c (1.03)(1.0194)
aB ( x) ex 1