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Fundamental Analysis of Selected

Public and Private Sector Banks in India


Amanjot Kaur Sodhi
Simran Waraich

Abstract help them to take informed investment decisions.


Fundamental analysis studies the various financial, With the help of fundamental analysis, investors can
economic and industrial parameters that influence the track the past performance, recent changes and future
risk-return of securities and helps in investment prospects of the banking sector. This research paper
decision making. Banking companies have a strong analyses the fundamentals of selected banking
shareholding foothold in the Indian economy and the companies using independent financial parameters.
stock markets. Fundamental analysis can help the
shareholders by providing relevant information in Keywords: Profit Margins, Return on Equity, Price
terms of profitability and growth which can, in turn, Earnings Ratio, Dividend per Share

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32 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
Introduction challenged to raise the required capital to comply with
The development of any economy depends on the the Basel III requirements. For long, banks were
development of the financial sector of that economy. comfortable that competition would only come from
The Banking industry is the key component of the similar entities and that the Reserve Bank of India was
financial system which provides financial assistance ensuring the least number of banks entered the
not only to the industrial sector but also to the market to compete with them. But as it happens in any
agriculture and household sectors. Banks are the business, technological innovation and the regulator's
credit creators. The Indian Banking industry has delay in waking up to developments have allowed a
contributed to the economic growth of the country. new set of companies to play the role of financial
This sector has undergone significant developments intermediaries with a different name (The Economic
and investments in the recent past. Reserve Bank of Times).
India is the central bank of the country; it regulates the
banking industry in India and ensures monetary Banks can issue long term bonds, without maintaining
stability in the economy. Banks are segregated into statutory reserves as per RBI's decision, to raise funds
different groups such as scheduled and unscheduled for infrastructure and for affordable housing which will
commercial banks, public sector banks, private banks, enhance their ability to lend money, thereby enabling
foreign banks and cooperative banks. The Banking them to mitigate the asset-liability mismatch. (Dun &
industry is a valuable contributor to the GDP, works Bradstreet)
under a regulated environment and has government
support. Technological advancements have changed This paper deals with public sector and private sector
the way banking is done. A wide network of financial banks in India. Because of increasing competition in
services increases the welfare and productivity in the the banking sector, private sector and foreign banks
economy. It provides the opportunity to the public to are trying their best to improve their performance. So
build savings, make investments, avail credit and there is a need to study the fundamentals and
provides safety against income shocks and efficiency of public sector banks.
emergencies.
Fundamental analysis will examine the key financial
However, the Indian Banking industry is facing ratios of banks and help in identifying the value of
formidable challenges. Increasing competition, stocks of these banks to identify investment
increasing level of Non-performing Assets (NPAs) and opportunities.
deteriorating asset quality have become major areas
of concern for the entire banking industry, and by Review of Literature
extension, the Indian economy. The vicious cycle of Dr. Virender Koundal (2012) concludes that
economic slowdown, corporate earnings slowdown, commercial banks in India get favourable effects
increase in NPAs, increase in the proportion of because of the various reforms. Even though the
restructured assets and depressed profitability of the overall profitability has also improved, the major
Banking sector, has led to a situation where banks, benefit is taken by the private sector banks and foreign
particularly Public Sector Banks (PSBs), will be severely banks whereas public sector banks are still lagging

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Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India 33
behind on various financial parameters. various types of advances. He also examined the
differences in various aspects of working results of
Seema Malik (2014) has analyzed the effect of public sector and private sector banks in comparison
technology on transformation of banking in India and to foreign banks.
also studied the benefits and challenges of changing
banking trends. Technology and financial innovations Nishit V. Davda (2012) has studied and examined the
have led to tremendous improvement in banking economic performance and sustainability of six major
services and operations over the past decade. Survival, banks in the private banking sector - ICICI, HDFC,
growth and profitability of banks depend upon the AXIS, INDUSIND, ING VYSYA and KOTAK. The study
organizational effectiveness and operational efficiency attempts to analyze the profitability position of the
in today's competitive scenario where customers' sample banking companies for a period of 10 years
needs are changing everyday and technology is from 2002 to 2011. The study reveals that HDFC has
touching new highs. performed better in terms of Earning per Share than
ICICI, AXIS, KOTAK, INDUSIND BANK and ING VYSYA
Sana Samreen (2014) has analyzed the overall banking during the last ten years i.e. 2002 to 2011. The study
industry with the help of Porter's five forces model. also reveals that after KOTAK Bank, HDFC Bank has
The study also concentrated on the various performed better in terms of Net Profit margin than
developments, challenges and opportunities in the the remaining banks. On the other hand, among all the
banking industry. The author emphasized upon the six banks, ICICI has achieved the highest yield in terms
need to act both decisively and quickly to build an of Return on Assets as compared to the remaining
enabling, rather than a limiting, banking sector in selected banks.
India.
Indian Brand Equity Foundation (2015) has studied
Malaya Ranjan Mohapatra, Avizeet Lenka, Subrat that Indian banks are focusing on adopting an
Kumar Pradhan (2015) have analyzed the operational integrated approach to risk management. Banks have
efficiency of commercial banks in India and challenges already embraced the international banking
faced by public sector banks. The parameters supervision accord of Basel II. According to RBI,
considered for study are labour productivity, branch majority of the banks already meet with the capital
expansion and profitability ratios. The study concluded requirements of Basel III, which has a deadline of
that internal management and employee efficiency of March 31, 2019. Most of the banks have put in place
foreign banks are far better than other sectors of the framework for asset-liability match, credit and
commercial banks. Public sector banks are lagging derivatives risk management. As per their report,
behind in various financial parameters. rising incomes are expected to increase the need for
banking services in rural areas which will positively
Karan Walia (2012) has examined the impact of affect the growth of the banking sector. The RBI has
reforms on credit deposit ratio, credit to GDP ratio, relaxed its branch licensing policy which emphasized
investment in government securities, share of the need to focus on spreading the reach of banking
business of public sector banks and proportion of services to the un-banked population of India.

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34 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
Amit Kumar Dwivedi, D. Kumara Charyulu (2011) Das and Ghose (2006) used non-parametric DEA to
determine the impact of various market and estimate the efficiency of Indian commercial banks in
regulatory initiatives on efficiency improvements of the post-reform period, 1992-2002.
Indian banks. They concluded that reform process has
shifted the focus, of public sector dominated banking Omprakash K. Gupta1, Yogesh Doshit and Aneesh
system, from social banking to a more efficient and Chinubhai (2007) analyzed the performance of the
profit oriented industry. The infusion of private equity Indian banking sector in two stages. Non-parametric
capital has led to shareholders' challenges and frontier methodology DEA and TOBIT model have
bureaucratic decision making. The emphasis in been used to construct productive inputs. The outputs
banking has shifted from traditional banking to are measured in monetary value and efficiency scores
technology based banking. have been determined for the period 1999-2003. The
study shows that private banks and other nationalized
M. Vassiloglou and D. Giokas (1990) present a banks follow State Bank of India in terms of efficiency
systematic application of Data Environment Analysis which is measured in terms of capital adequacy.
(DEA) carried out at the Commercial Bank of Greece in
assessing the relative efficiency of bank branches. R. K. Uppal (2011) examined the efficiency of all the
After a description of the model and the data, the bank groups in the post- banking sector reforms era for
results of the analysis are discussed, and a note is the time period between 1999 and 2006. The main
made of certain aspects of the follow-up analysis. implication of this study is that although public sector
banks have improved their financial position, they still
S. S. Rajan, K. L. N. Reddy and V. Pandit (2011) attempt need to make many changes. On the basis of some
to examine technical efficiency and productivity important parameters of efficiency, the paper
performance of Indian scheduled commercial banks, concludes that among the Indian banks, efficiency of
for the period 1979-2008. They model a multiple new private sector banks is quite high, but foreign
output/multiple input technology production frontier banks have an edge over new private sector banks.
using semi-parametric estimation methods.
Mariappan (2005-06) analyzed that the IT revolution
Bhattacharya et. al (1997), in their study, examined has brought a stunning change in the business
the productivity efficiency of 70 Indian commercial environment, with the maximum impact on the
banks during 1986 to 1991. Using Data Evolvement banking and finance sector; as a result, the banking
Analysis (DEA), their study concludes that public sector sports a new look today.
sector banks have been the most efficient followed by
the foreign and the private banks. Singla (2008) examined the profitability position of the
selected sixteen banks from the banker index for a
Sathye (2003), using DEA to estimate efficiency, found period of six years (2001-06). The study reveals that
that private banks are less efficient than public and the profitability position was reasonable during the
foreign banks. period of study when compared with the previous
years. Strong capital position and balance sheet place

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Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India 35
banks in a better position. Research Methodology
The present study attempts to evaluate the
P. Hanumantha Rao & Sudhendu Dutta (2014) performance of selected public and private sector
attempted to study the fundamentals of the banking banks in India. It examines and compares the various
sector in India. He considered operating profit margin, aspects of performance of selected public and private
net profit margin, return on equity, earnings per share, sector banks in India. Secondary data has been used
price earnings ratio, dividend per share and dividend for the purpose of this study. To analyze the
payout ratio for a period of six years from 2006 to 2012 fundamentals of the top five banks, three in the public
for three major banks. sector and two in the private sector have been taken as
samples. State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, Punjab
Subbaroo (2007) concluded in his paper that the National Bank, HDFC and ICICI have been taken as
Indian banking system has undergone a samples for the purpose of this study. The variables
t ra n s fo r m a t i o n f ro m d o m e s t i c b a n k i n g t o which are considered for analyzing the profitability are
international banking. Major trends that change the net profit margin, operating profit margin, return on
banking industry world over are consolidation of equity, earnings per share, dividend per share, price
p l aye rs t h ro u g h m e rge rs a n d a c q u i s i t i o n s , earnings ratio and dividend payout ratio. The variables
globalization of players, development of new are studied over a period of five years starting from
technology, universal banking and human resource in 2010-11 to 2014-15. The Porter's Five Forces Model
banking, profitability, rural banking and risk has been used to analyze the banking industry.
management. Stringent prudential capital adequacy
norms under Basel I and II, and the free trade The data has been collected from various sources such
agreements are big challenges before the banking as Statistical Tables relating to Banks in India, Trends
sector in India. The technological innovations in and Progress of Banks in India, RBI Monthly Bulletin
banking pose another big challenge. published by RBI, IBA Bulletins published by IBA, and
annual reports of banks. Following were the major
Objectives of the study sources of data for this study:
Fundamental analysis of public and private sector 1. Statistical Tables Relating to Banks in India for
banks in India has been done with the objective of various years published by the Reserve Bank of
analyzing the profitability position of the selected India, Mumbai and moneycontrol.com.
banks which is helpful in taking investment decisions. 2. Performance Highlights of Public Sector Banks,
Indian Banks' Association, Mumbai.

Hypotheses of Study 3. Annual Reports of the selected banks.

H0 : There is no significant difference between the 4. Various journals, bulletins, periodicals and

selected variables of selected banks. newspapers devoted to the subject of banking in

H1 : There is a significant difference between the India.

selected variables of selected banks.


Quantitative Techniques used for the Study
A research design is a plan according to which

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36 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
observations are made and data is assembled. The Where = standard deviation,
present study is analytical in nature. Various statistical = Actual Mean of Series,
techniques have been used in the present study to X- = Deviations of the Items from the Mean,
provide analytical results of the data. The following N = Sample Size
methods have been used to analyze the data:
c) ANOVA - Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a

A. Tabular Analysis - On the basis of the data/ technique to test for the significance of the difference

information collected from the various sources, between more than two sample means and to make

tabulation analysis is used to make the study more inferences about whether our samples are drawn from

meaningful. The use of tables is made whenever the populations having the same mean. The “analysis

needed and necessary for clarity of thought, and easy of variance” procedure or “F-test” is used in such

understanding. problems where we want to test for the significance of


the difference among more than two sample means.

B. Descriptive Analysis – Statistical methods such as The term one-factor analysis of variance refers to the

mean, standard deviation and one-way ANOVA were fact that a single variable or factor of interest is

worked out to study the nature and distribution of controlled and its effect on the elementary units is

different variables. All statistical calculations have observed. In other words, in one-way classification,

been made by the use of Microsoft Excel and Statistical the data is classified according to only one criterion.

Package for Social Science (SPSS) version 20. A brief The basic procedure is to derive two different

description of all the tools used and the formulae is estimates of population variance from the data, then

given as under: calculate a statistic from the ratio of these two


estimates ('between groups' and 'within groups'

a) Arithmetic Mean - Mean has been used to find the variance). The F ratio is the ratio of 'between-groups'

average of various items. The Arithmetic mean has variance to 'within-groups' variance. A significant F

been obtained by adding together all the observations value indicates that the population means are

and dividing the total by the number of observations. probably not equal. Before ANOVA was conducted, it

Suppose X1, X2, X3---------------------Xn are the values of was ensured that the necessary assumptions were

a variable X, then met. The two assumptions of concern were population


normality and homogeneity of variance.

Where: = Arithmetic Mean of a variable, ∑X =


summation of the values, N = total no. of observations
b) Standard Deviation - Standard deviation measures
the absolute dispersion or variability from the mean
values. A small standard deviation implies a high
degree of uniformity or homogeneity in the
distribution or vice versa. The equation for standard
deviation is:

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Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India 37
Table 1 - Operating Profit Margin (OPM)

SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

2014-15 11.45 13.62 13.89 18.7 16.7

2013-14 10.92 13.28 16.56 17.28 15.26

2012-13 13.52 16.1 16.73 14.9 13.33

2011-12 17.11 18.31 18.4 15.57 10.16

2010-11 12.9 20.17 21.11 19.5 11.4

Average 13.18 16.296 17.338 17.19 13.37

S.D. 2.178 2.65931 2.37569 1.76027 2.40198


Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Throughout the analysis process, significance tests Data Analysis


were used to decide whether to accept or reject the Operating Profit Margin (OPM) - The operating profit
hypotheses concerning the sample data that has been margin is a type of profitability ratio known as a margin
collected. The confidence level was taken as 95% (or ratio. The information with which to calculate the
5% level of significance). operating profit margin comes from a company's
income. Operating Profit Margin = Operating Income /
Sales Revenue

Table 2 - One Way ANOVA for OPM

Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit

Between Groups 83.92042 4 20.98011 3.187037 0.035317 2.866081

Within Groups 131.659 20 6.58295

Total 215.5794 24

The operating profit margin gives the business owner a H01: There is no significant difference between the
lot of important information about the firm's operating profit margin of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and
profitability, particularly with regard to cost control. It ICICI Bank. As the calculated value 3.187037 is greater
shows how much cash is thrown off after most of the than the critical value 2.866081402 at 5% level of
expenses are met. Table 1 shows that the average significance, the null hypothesis is rejected. Hence,
OPM of PNB is the highest among all the five banks, there is a significant difference between the operating
followed by HDFC and Bank of Baroda. PNB is the most profit margin of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.
efficient in controlling the cost of its operations. From
table 1, it can be clearly seen that OPM of Bank of Net Profit Margin (NPM) - The net profit margin, also
Baroda shows the highest degree of variability (highest known as net margin, indicates how much net income
standard deviation of 2.65931). a company makes with total sales achieved. A higher

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38 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
net profit margin means that a company is more deductions, such as sales allowances. The formula is:
efficient at converting sales into actual profit. The net Net Profit Margin = (Net profits / Net sales) x 100
sales part of the equation is gross sales minus all sales

Table 3 - Net Profit Margin (NPM)


SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

2014-15 8.59 7.17 5.88 21.07 18.24

2013-14 7.03 10.46 6.99 17.28 17.96

2012-13 10.39 11.54 10.29 16.04 17.19

2011-12 9.68 16.87 13.4 15.88 15.75

2010-11 7.58 19.38 16.42 16.18 15.79

Average 8.654 13.084 10.596 17.29 16.986

S.D. 1.2539 4.43211 3.92731 1.95301 1.0508


Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Table 4 - One Way ANOVA for NPM


Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit

Between Groups 292.2393 4 73.05983 7.032067 0.001051 2.866081

Within Groups 207.7905 20 10.38952

Total 500.0298 24

From Table 3, it can be seen that HDFC has earned the Return on Equity (ROE) - Return on equity measures a
highest NPM of Rs 17.29 for every Rs.100 among all corporation's profitability by revealing how much
the five banks. HDFC is closely followed by ICICI. Bank profit a company generates with the money
of Baroda has the highest degree of variability in NPM shareholders have invested. ROE is expressed as a
with a standard deviation of 4.43211. percentage. Return on Equity = Net Income /
Shareholder's Equity
H02: There is no significant difference between the net
profit margin of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.
As the calculated value 7.032067 is greater than the
critical value 2.866081 at 5% level of significance, the
null hypothesis is rejected. Hence, there is a significant
difference between the net profit margin of SBI, BOB,
PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.

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Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India 39
Table 5 - Return on Equity (ROE)

SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

2014-15 10.62 9.21 8.48 19.37 14.55

2013-14 10.03 13.8 10.17 21.28 14.02

2012-13 15.43 15.68 16.48 20.34 13.1

2011-12 15.72 21.72 21.05 18.69 11.2

2010-11 12.62 24.3 24.45 16.75 9.66

Average 12.884 16.942 16.126 19.286 12.506

S.D. 2.36075 5.4446 6.12528 1.54146 1.82364


Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Table 6 - One Way ANOVA for ROE

Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit

Between Groups 163.0031 4 40.75078 2.078125 0.121779 2.866081

Within Groups 392.188 20 19.6094

Total 555.1911 24

The return on equity of the selected banks is shown in the null hypothesis is accepted. Hence, there is no
Table 5. It can be clearly seen that HDFC Bank scores significant difference between the return on equity of
highest in average ROE at 19.286% followed by Bank of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.
Baroda at 16.942% and Punjab National Bank at
16.126%. At the same time, HDFC Bank scores lowest Earnings per share (EPS) – Earnings per share is the
in terms of ROE variability with a standard deviation of portion of a company's profit that is allocated to each
1.54146. It can also be noted that ROE of Bank of outstanding share of common stock, serving as an
Baroda and Punjab National Bank have increased over indicator of the company's profitability. It is often
the last five years. considered to be one of the most important variables
in determining a stock's value. Higher the EPS, higher
H03: There is no significant difference between the is the profitability of the company. EPS is calculated as:
return on equity of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI EPS = net income / average outstanding common
Bank. As the calculated value 2.078125 is lower than shares
the critical value 2.866081 at 5% level of significance,

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40 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
Table 7 - Earnings per Share (EPS)

SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

2014-15 17.55 15.37 16.51 40.76 19.28

2013-14 145.88 105.75 92.32 35.34 84.95

2012-13 206.2 106.37 134.31 28.27 72.17

2011-12 174.46 121.79 144 22.02 56.09

2010-11 116.07 108.33 139.94 84.4 44.73

Average 132.032 91.522 105.416 42.158 55.444

S.D. 64.5813 38.5245 48.1483 22.051 22.6866


Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Table 8 - One Way ANOVA for EPS

Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit

Between Groups 26899.29 4 6724.823 2.997448 0.043321 2.866081

Within Groups 44870.32 20 2243.516

Total 71769.61 24

Table 7 shows the earnings per share of the selected As the calculated value 2.997448 is higher than the
banks. It can be seen that SBI tops in terms of EPS with critical value 2.866081 at 5% level of significance, the
a highest average value of Rs.132.032. HDFC stands null hypothesis is rejected. Hence, there is a significant
lowest with an average EPS of Rs. 42.158. Also the difference between the earnings per share of SBI,
degree of variability of EPS is lowest in case of HDFC BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.
bank with a standard deviation of 22.051.
Price Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio) - The price-to-
H04: There is no significant difference between the earnings ratio (P/E) is a valuation method used to
earnings per share of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI compare a company's current share price to its per-
Bank. share earnings. The P/E ratio, is an equity valuation
multiple. Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) = Market value
per share / Earnings per Share (EPS)

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Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India 41
Table 9 - Price Earnings Ratio (P/E Ratio)

SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

2014-15 11.73 8.96 7.69 26.05 15.06

2013-14 9.41 6.1 7.32 22.73 17.33

2012-13 13.22 6.23 4.93 42.72 12.23

2011-12 8.92 5.92 6.25 24.62 13.44

2010-11 24.01 7.92 8.41 26.73 21.18

Average 13.458 7.026 6.92 28.57 15.848

S.D. 5.50213 1.20448 1.21507 7.20648 3.16657


Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Table 10 - One Way ANOVA for P/E Ratio

Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit

Between Groups 1570.465 4 392.6161 16.50322 4.00795E-06 2.866081

Within Groups 475.8055 20 23.79027

Total 2046.27 24

From Table 9, it can be seen that HDFC Bank ranks As the calculated value 16.50322 is higher than the
highest among the selected banks with an average P/E critical value 2.866081 at 5% level of significance, the
Ratio of 28.57 and Bank of Baroda stands the lowest. At null hypothesis is rejected. Hence, there is a significant
the same time, Bank of Baroda has the least degree of difference between the price earnings ratio of SBI,
variability in terms of P/E Ratio with a standard BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.
deviation of 1.20448 indicating a greater stability.
Dividend Per Share (DPS) - Dividend per share (DPS) is
H05: There is no significant difference between the the total dividends paid out over an entire year
price earnings ratio of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and (including interim dividends but not including special
ICICI Bank. dividends) divided by the number of outstanding
ordinary shares issued. It is the amount of dividends
that the shareholders receive on a per-share basis.
Dividend per share can be calculated using the
formula- DPS = Dividends/ No. of outstanding shares

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42 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
Table 11 - Dividend per Share (DPS)

SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

2014-15 3.5 3.2 3.3 8 5

2013-14 30 21.5 10 6.85 23

2012-13 41.5 21.5 27 5.5 20

2011-12 35 17 22 4.3 16.5

2010-11 30 16.5 22 16.5 14

Average 28 15.94 16.86 8.23 15.7

S.D. 12.9576 6.71673 8.79309 4.31852 6.16117


Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Table 12 - One Way ANOVA for DPS

Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit

Between Groups 1003.658 4 250.9144 2.892865 0.048553 2.866081

Within Groups 1734.712 20 86.7356

Total 2738.37 24

Table 11 shows the dividend per share given by the Dividend Payout Ratio (D/P Ratio) - The dividend
selected banking companies. It can be seen that SBI payout ratio measures the percentage of net income
has declared the highest amount of dividend per share that is distributed to shareholders in the form of
with an average of Rs.28 over the last five years. And dividends during the year. This ratio shows the portion
with a standard deviation of 12.9576 SBI stands at the of profits the company decides to keep aside to fund
most stable position in terms of dividend per share. the operations and the portion of profits that is given
to its shareholders. The dividend payout formula is
H06: There is no significant difference between the calculated by dividing total dividend by the net income
dividend per share of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI of the company.
Bank. As the calculated value 2.892865 is higher than
the critical value 2.866081 at 5% level of significance, Dividend Payout Ratio = Dividend per share (DPS) /
the null hypothesis is rejected. Hence, there is a Earnings per share (EPS)
significant difference between the dividend per share
of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.

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Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India 43
Table 13 - Dividend Payout Ratio (D/P Ratio)

SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

2014-15 19.51 21.42 20.51 19.62 25.93

2013-14 20.56 20.33 10.83 19.38 27.07

2012-13 20.12 23.64 23.51 19.46 27.71

2011-12 20.06 13.86 15.27 19.52 29.41

2010-11 25.84 15.23 15.72 19.55 31.3

Average 21.218 18.896 17.168 19.506 28.284

S.D. 2.33494 3.73452 4.41043 0.08139 1.88195


Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Table 14 - One Way ANOVA for D/P Ratio

Source of Variation SS df MS F P-value F crit

Between Groups 372.2311 4 93.05777 8.779279 0.000292 2.866081

Within Groups 211.9941 20 10.59971

Total 584.2252 24

Table 13 shows the dividend payout ratio of the significance, the null hypothesis is rejected. Hence,
selected banks. ICICI has the highest D/P ratio of there is a significant difference between the dividend
28.284 followed by SBI at 21.218. Punjab National payout ratio of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and ICICI Bank.
Bank has a tighter D/P ratio of 17.168. This shows that
ICICI is returning more money to its shareholders Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) - The
whereas Punjab National Bank is retaining its earnings. Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is the mean
HDFC stands the most stable in terms of D/P ratio with annual growth rate of an investment over a specified
least standard deviation of all the other selected period of time longer than one year. It is a business and
banks. investing specific term for the geometric progression
ratio that provides a constant rate of return over the
H07: There is no significant difference between the time period. It is particularly useful to compare growth
dividend payout ratio of SBI, BOB, PNB, HDFC and rates from different data sets such as revenue growth
ICICI Bank. As the calculated value 8.779279 is higher of companies in the same industry.
than the critical value 2.866081 at 5% level of

1
Ending Value Number of Years
CAGR = –1
Beginning Value

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44 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
From Table 15 below, it can be noticed that CAGR in Baroda. Punjab National Bank has the lowest CAGR in
Operating Profit Margin is highest for ICICI Bank. Net Profit Margin, Return on Equity and Earnings per
CAGR in P/E Ratio and D/P Ratio is highest for Bank of Share. CAGR in Dividend per Share is negative for all
the banks.

Table 15 - Compound Annual Growth Rate

SBI BOB PNB HDFC ICICI

OPM -2.36 -7.55 -8.03 -0.83 7.94

NPM 2.53 -18.03 -18.57 5.42 2.93

ROE -3.39 -17.64 -19.09 2.95 8.54

EPS -31.47 -32.33 -34.78 -13.55 -15.49

P/E Ratio -13.35 2.5 -1.77 -0.51 -6.59

DPS -34.93 -27.97 -31.57 -13.48 -18.61

D/P Ratio -5.46 7.06 5.46 0.07 -3.69

Source: Authors' compilation from Bank Markets Performance, http://moneycontrol.com

Porter's Five Forces Model Indian banking industry. The major suppliers of capital
Bargaining Power of Buyer- In the banking industry, are customer deposits, financial institutes and loans.
customers have a high bargaining power as there are a
large number of banks available to provide the same Competitive Rivalry – The Banking industry is facing a
services and customers can easily switch from one high competition because of presence of public banks,
bank to another. As the growth of loans is declining, private banks, foreign banks, co-operative banks and
banks have to attract more and more customers as well regional rural banks. Further, a rise in mobile
as high profile customers by providing them better commerce, emergence of cheaper internet access and
facilities at a low cost. The internet has greatly increasing mobile penetration provided by different
increased the power of the consumer in the banking service providers has increased the intensity of
industry. It has greatly increased the ease and reduced competition. Banks must attempt to lure clients away
the cost for consumers to compare the prices of from competitor banks. They do this by offering lower
opening/holding accounts as well as the rates offered financing, higher rates, investment services, and
at various banks. greater conveniences than their rivals. Banks need to
provide the best and speedy services to retain and
Bargaining Power Of Supplier - Because of regulatory expand customers.
standards of RBI, the banking industry has low
bargaining power. Banks have to meet numerous Availability of Substitutes – Plenty of substitutes are
regulatory standards stipulated by RBI. No other available in the banking industry such as NBFCs,
business has had as much regulatory protection as the mutual funds, government securities and T-bills. There

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Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India 45
is also the threat of payment method substitutes and 3. The research paper studies the performance of
loans are relatively high for the industry. For example, only five banks. The analysis can be further done
electronics sellers, jewellers, car dealers, and many on the basis of categorization of the banking
more sellers tend to offer preferred financing on "big industry into public sector, private sector and
ticket" items to the customers. Often, these non- foreign banks.
banking companies offer lower interest rates on 4. This study is based on the analysis of secondary
payments than the consumer would otherwise get data. The result and conclusion of this study might
from a traditional bank loan. not be accurate due to reliability of the secondary
data and limitation on the variables selected and
Threat of new entrants – Threat of new entrants is the time span considered.
very low in the banking industry because of RBI 5. This study mainly focuses on selected independent
regulation. Besides, it is difficult to wean customers variables, which may not completely represent the
away from existing banks, which have already built financial analysis.
their credibility with them.

Indian banking companies are challenged not only in


Conclusion
terms of loan recovery, but also with how to generate This research paper provides insights on the financial

future business. With loans growth at a decade low, performance of the selected banking companies. SBI

there is little choice for banks other than chasing the scores the highest average in terms of Earnings per

retail customer, and laying the foundation to acquire Share. Also, for SBI the CAGR is negative in all the

more when the economic expansion gathers pace. The parameters except for Net Profit Margin. Bank of

boom in digital wallet transactions has been triggered Baroda has positive CAGR in P/E Ratio and D/P Ratio.

by the rise in mobile commerce, emergence of cheaper PNB has performed the best in Operating Profit

internet access and increasing mobile penetration. Margin along with a positive CAGR only in D/P Ratio.

Another big challenge for the banking industry is HDFC bank scores a higher average than others in Net

inadequate capital although the Government of India Profit Margin, Return on Equity and P/E Ratio, and the

is taking the required steps to face this challenge by highest CAGR in Net Profit Margin. ICICI Bank has the

infusing more capital. highest CAGR in Operating Profit Margin and Return
on Equity, and stands as the best performer in D/P

Limitations of the Study Ratio.

1. This research paper studies only the quantitative


aspect of the performance of selected banking The selected public sector banks' Net Profit Margins

companies and does not study the qualitative (NPMs) dropped after 2013 which has impacted their

aspects of performance like business models, core profitability significantly. Given the improvement

competitive advantage, management, corporate in assets, the public sector banks are likely to improve

governance etc. their NPMs. Return on Equity for public sector banks

2. The study is limited to financial data for a period of dropped significantly after 2013. However, it is likely to

5 years from 2010-11 to 2014-15. improve as going forward, public sector banks' credit

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46 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India
provisioning could decline if they are able to control regulations and increase in competition from foreign
the NPA generation rate. Also, continuous decline in banks. The Indian economy is on the brink of a major
G-sec yields and surge in equity markets could offer a transformation, with several policy initiatives set to be
marginally higher treasury income to banks in the implemented shortly. Positive business sentiments,
coming years. The past few years have seen a improved consumer confidence and more controlled
slowdown because of high inflation, depreciation of inflation are likely to boost the country's economic
the rupee and economic slowdown. However, private growth. Greater spending on infrastructure, speedy
sector banks have still performed better than PSBs in implementation of projects and continuation of
terms of growth and profitability. The current year is reforms are expected to provide further impetus to
expected to be a good year for the entire Indian growth. The banking sector is laying greater emphasis
Banking Sector. Although a series of challenges like on providing improved services to their clients and also
deteriorating asset quality in public sector banks, upgrading their technology infrastructure in order to
accompanying financial inclusion and Basel III enhance the customer's overall experience as well as
implementation are all lingering issues, the sector is give banks a competitive edge. The Indian banking
well-cushioned with a stable government focusing on industry is expected to witness better growth
increasing investment in infrastructure, innovation in prospects in 2016 due to the Government's measures
technology and bringing in productive regulatory towards revitalizing the industrial growth in the
policies. Overall, the Indian Banking industry is country. In addition, RBI's new measures may go a long
expected to consolidate in the current year in the wake way in helping the restructuring of the domestic
of future economic growth, changes in banking banking industry.

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Amanjot Kaur Sodhi is Assistant Professor at CBS, Chandigarh Group of Colleges, Mohali. She has done
M.Com and has teaching experience of 14 years. Her area of specialization is Financial Management,
Securities Analysis and Portfolio Management.

Simran Waraich is Assistant Professor at CBS, Chandigarh Group of Colleges, Mohali. She is a
postgraduate in Commerce, pursuing PhD in Strategic Management. She has 8 years of teaching
experience and her area of specialization is Financial Management and Applied Operations Research.

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48 Volume XXVIII January-February 2016 Public and Private Sector Banks in India

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