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VK Sharma)
There is no shortage of fertilisers, pesticides in the market
There is uncertain demand due to covid-19 as to what and how much product will sell
Fertiliser is sold on Govt restrictions Urea is under movement control DAP and phosphate
fertilisers are having control over subsidy
There is problem on both sides: supply and sales due to covid led problems
Collection process is disturbed due to challenges in banking segment
Distributor has been the sole distributor of Chambal fertilisers
Fertiliser business is not on credit for distributor and is currently through channel financing
Urea 45Kg – Rs 266.50/bag
The country is still not self-sufficient in fertilisers
There has been no problem on financial dealings with distributors
Due to channel financing distributors are at a loss as against earlier model
There has been no pressure to replace DAP but their profit share is less
DAP market share is increasing brown DAP is doing good and popular amongst farmers
There has been no mandate from Chambal to sell any new products in bulk fertilisers
through distributors
In Rajasthan there is competition from Mosaic India Ltd and IFFCO in DAP
In urea there is no major competition to Chambal with around 70%
In fertilisers there will be moderate growth and Chambal is expected to increase its market
share from KRIBHCO, IFFCO etc
In other segments the market will be struggling except fertilisers
Farmers are struggling financially as they have not received the payment from previous crop
and will invest only in essentials
Going with the anti China segment Around 35-40% of import demand is from China prices
are expected to increase
If Monsoon is good fertilisers will gain overall otherwise it will be flat for others
Govt support is not up to mark for customers
Situation in rural areas is similar to urban areas wrt Covid-19
Currently there is not much overlap in Zuari products and Chambal is not pushing their
products
Weedicides and Herbicides are expected to grow
Input costs wil increase due to anti-china stance
Seeds and fertilisers being essential will be in demand. Overall industry is expected to be flat
Labour is not the problem at the moment for farmers due to migration of workers
If the 27 molecules are banned the it will result in overall loss of Rs11500-2000 crs to govt
and increase cost by 5-10%
Sowing has been impacted by the locust attack the overall impact will be in the range of 5-
15% but can be offset if Kharif season goes well
Contract farming in its current form is not feasible as there are limited buyers
In the current scenario Coromandel and Chambal fertilisers have done decent Business due
to stocking
The drop in pesticides market will be mostly offset by herbicides and weedicides