COMSATS Institute of Information Technology (CIIT)

Islamabad Campus
Assignment No 2
Program: BSB-VI-A Instructor: Abdul Wakeel
Subject: Statistics and Probability Theory Due Date: April 22, 2019

Q.No.1: A track star runs two races on a certain day. The probability that he wins the first race
is 0.7; the probability that he wins the second race is 0.6. Also whether or not he wins one race
is independent of whether or not he wins the other race. Find the
probability that

(a) he wins at least one race. [4]

(b) he wins exactly one race. [3]
(c) he wins neither race. [3]

Q.No.2: Binary digits 0 and 1 are transmitted over a communication channel. If a 1 is sent, it will
be received as a 1 with probability 0.95 and as a 0 with probability 0.05; if a 0 is sent, it will be
received as a 0 with probability 0.99 and as a 1 with probability 0.01. If the probability that a 0 is
sent is the same as the probability that a 1 is sent, what is

(a) the conditional probability that a 1 was sent given that a 1 was received? [5]
(b) the conditional probability that a 0 was sent given that a 0 was received? [5]

Q.No.3: Let P(A) = P(B) = 2/3 and P(A and B) = 2/5, Find the following:

(a) P(AC).
(b) P(AC and BC).
(c) P(B and AC).
(d) P(A or BC).

Q.No.4: (Different from Question 1.) A track star runs two races on a certain day. The
probability that he wins the first race is 0.7; the probability that he wins the second
race is 0.6; and the probability that he wins both races is 0.5. Find the probability
that

(a) he wins at least one race.

(b) he wins exactly one race.
(c) he wins neither race.
Q.No.5: It is known from experience that in a certain industry 60 percent of all labor-management
disputes are over wages, 15 percent are over working conditions, and 25 percent are over fringe
issues. Also, 45 percent of the disputes over wages are resolved without strikes, 70 percent of
the disputes over working conditions are resolved without strikes, and 40 percent of the disputes
over fringe issues are resolved without strikes. What is the probability that a labor-management
dispute in this industry will be resolved?
without a strike? (Hint: Apply the law of total probability.)

Q.No.6: In a certain region of the country it is known from past experience that the probability of selecting
an adult over 40 years of age with cancer is 0.05. If the probability of a doctor correctly diagnosing a
person with cancer as having the disease is 0.78 and the probability of incorrectly diagnosing a person
without cancer as having the disease is 0.06, what is the probability that an adult over 40 years of age is
diagnosed as having cancer?