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74
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Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
75 INTRODUCTION
76 Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems have been shown to attract riders and provide clear
77 benefits to the public by improving mobility and the environment (1, 2). In highly populated
78 areas, BRT systems have seen a high demand. Consequently, they operate day and night;
79 sometimes exceeding axle load limits due to high passenger ridership. To allow the operation of
80 these vehicles, total vehicle weight or axle weight exception policies are often established by
81 transit and transportation authorities (3, 4). The contribution of overweight BRT buses to
82 pavement deterioration is influenced by many factors such as: the number of buses
83 operating on a specific route, the axle loading characteristics of the buses, and the existing
84 pavement condition (3). Transportation agencies should consider the extra pavement damage
85 exerted by overweight buses when assessing the design life of their road networks and for
86 estimating the associated cost of pavement maintenance from such vehicles.
87 Load Equivalency Factors (LEFs) are routinely employed to characterize the effects of
88 traffic on pavement structures. When using LEF, the pavement damage from different load and
89 wheel configurations are converted to the damage under an equivalent single axle standard load
90 (5). For example, in the ASSHTO 1993 guide, the traffic mix is transformed into an equivalent
91 single axle load (ESAL) through the use of LEFs. In recent years, the mechanistic-empirical
92 (ME) analysis has provided a more realistic and rational way to characterize pavement
93 deterioration from traffic and environmental factors. However, the accurate estimation of
94 pavement damage requires the use of ME performance models calibrated to local materials,
95 traffic, and environmental conditions (6, 7). For instance, the use of locally calibrated
96 performance models to the polymer-modified asphalt mixtures specified for Nevada pavements
97 is necessary in order to estimate pavement damage under BRT buses (6).
98 The overall objectives of this paper are: a) to determine the ME-based LEFs for the
99 different BRT buses operating in Northern and Southern Nevada locations; and b) to assess the
100 influence of the variation in both, pavement temperature and BRT axles’ loadings based on the
101 ridership data, on the LEF values. The methodology presented in this study is based on rutting
102 and fatigue performance models that have been calibrated to local conditions for the polymer-
103 modified asphalt mixtures typically used in Nevada. To accomplish the objectives of this study,
104 pavement responses corresponding to moving BRT buses and given climatic conditions were
105 obtained using the 3-D Move Analysis software version 2.1 (8). Taking advantage of the 3D-
106 Move capabilities relative to asphalt viscoelastic characterization, consideration of non-uniform
107 surface loading areas, and complex axle configuration (such as those encountered in BRT buses),
108 representative LEFs for specific BRT vehicles were determined.
109 To consider the interaction between pavement temperature and BRT axle in the
110 assessment of pavement damage, LEFs were calculated considering seasonal-hourly distributions
111 of pavement temperatures and axle loading due to passenger ridership. Multiple LEFs were
112 determined as a result of the various combinations of both factors. This study evaluated how the
113 ridership and pavement temperature variability influence the calculation of LEFs using ME
114 methodologies. In addition, LEFs were determined for axle loading representing the Gross Axle
115 Weight Rating (GAWR), and average (AVG) ridership in conjunction with the effective
116 pavement temperatures (Teff) for asphalt rutting and fatigue cracking.
117 BACKGROUND
118 Overweight buses operating on high frequency routes are known to contribute to the
119 overall pavement deterioration. In 2014, The American Public Transportation Association
120 (APTA) published a study that analyzed design and operational changes that have modified the
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Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
121 weight of buses (3). The study reported that transit systems are having difficulties in complying
122 with Federal and State axle weight policies given new environmental and passenger accessibility
123 regulations that resulted in the increase of bus curb weights. In addition, some bus models
124 exceed axle limits even without any passengers on board (3). Consequently, these vehicles are
125 allowed to operate under exemption policies. The State of Nevada specifies that the maximum
126 weight on any single and tandem axles do not exceed 20,000 and 34,000 pounds, respectively.
127 However, exemptions on these limitations are provided for public mass transportation vehicles
128 (4). For instance, the Regional Transportation Commission (RTC) of Southern Nevada has a
129 waiver for the operation of Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) on state owned local streets (5). Similarly,
130 the Northern Nevada RTC introduced in 2009 a BRT express service that also exceeded the State
131 imposed limits (9). When running at high ridership, some BRT buses’ single axle load can be
132 well above 20,000 lbs. While the benefits provided by BRT and other public transit systems are
133 not in discussion, the responsible transportation agencies should be aware and should be able to
134 evaluate the pavement damage exerted by these vehicles.
135 To evaluate the impact of traffic damage on pavement sections, empirical and
136 mechanistic-empirical (ME) deterioration models are often utilized; usually accounting for the
137 damage of a particular axle configuration compared to that of a standard one. A review of the
138 literature showed few recent studies that have estimated the impact of buses on pavements.
139 Many studies used empirical methodologies to account for damage. A project conducted in the
140 State of New Jersey in 2002 estimated the impact of buses on the local pavement network (10).
141 The study showed that buses can cause significant damage on pavements and the maintenance
142 costs associated to the buses in New Jersey account for about 2.4% of the overall maintenance
143 expenses. This study employed ESALs to measure the impact of buses on the pavement
144 infrastructure. In a different study, pavement damage from transit buses and motor coaches was
145 studied (11). The study estimated pavement damage in terms of ESALs weighted by Vehicle
146 Miles Travelled (VMT). The pavement damage from different buses was compared to the
147 damage exerted by a five-axle tractor semitrailer truck. It was found that overweight buses can
148 inflict 9 to 19 percent more damage than the used reference truck.
149 ME analysis is a rational way to characterize pavement deterioration. In ME analysis,
150 fundamental pavement responses at critical locations within the pavement structure are
151 determined for repeated traffic loading assuming, typically, a multilayer linear elastic approach.
152 The next step is to relate pavement responses to pavement performance (i.e., distresses) via
153 empirical models. ME models have been used recently to obtain load equivalencies. In 2010, a
154 ME-based methodology was developed to predict pavement deterioration and to estimate
155 damage costs for heavy vehicles in Texas (12). In this study a finite element software was
156 implemented to calculate pavement responses. The responses were used with distress models to
157 predict the pavement performance under a heavy vehicle which was then compared to the
158 pavement performance under a standard truck. In a similar study in Texas, a methodology to
159 determine load equivalencies for heavy axle configurations using ME procedures on flexible
160 pavements was undertaken (13). One of the objectives of this study was to develop load
161 equivalencies for Oversize-Overweight (OS-OW) vehicles based on equivalent damage. The
162 study used the AASHTOWare PavementME software to conduct the associated pavement
163 analysis. Equivalency factors corresponding to asphalt rutting, asphalt fatigue, and pavement
164 roughness for different axle types were developed. The total vehicle LEF was calculated as the
165 summation of the LEFs caused by each axle individually for each distress criteria.
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Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
166 Both ME studies mentioned in this section used nationally calibrated distress models in
167 their pavement analysis. While these studies offer valuable information, their direct
168 implementation to non-conventional asphalt mixtures, such as those constructed with polymer-
169 modified asphalt mixtures in Nevada is questionable and needs to be addressed.
170 To obtain reliable performance predictions, ME distress models need to be calibrated to
171 local materials, traffic, and climatic conditions (6, 7). As part of a separate research effort, the
172 asphalt rutting and bottom-up fatigue cracking distress models implemented in this study were
173 calibrated to Northern and Southern Nevada’s conditions for materials, traffic, and climate (6).
174 The pavement response evaluation should consider the moving nature of the loading, different
175 axle configurations including widebase tires, and asphalt layer temperatures. As noted before,
176 the pavement responses were determined using the 3D-Move Analysis software. Several research
177 studies have validated the use of 3D-Move by comparing 3D-Move calculated pavement
178 responses against responses measured in the field (14).
179 Pavement LEFs has been usually calculated for a single average loading and climatic
180 conditions. However, a rational methodology that accounts for the influence of moving loads
181 and the variability in both temperature and ridership needs to be explored. This study accounted
182 for the variability in the ridership and the fluctuation of temperature within a day and different
183 seasons of the year when calculating pavement damage and associated LEF values.
http://www.stripmap.org/public-transportation- http://www.transitunlimited.org/RTC_Transit_
in-las-vegas/ Strip_%26_Downtown_Express
260 respectively. The determination of εr and εt allowed for the determination of LEFs using the
261 locally calibrated performance models. Two types of analyses, an extended and a simplified
262 analysis were implemented in this research study. In the case of the extended analysis, pavement
263 responses from multiple pavement analyses based on seasonal distributions of hourly pavement
264 temperatures at different levels of axle loading representing the variability in ridership were
265 considered for each BRT bus. In the simplified analysis, instead of using pavement temperature
266 and ridership history, pavement responses from a single combination of Teff analysis
267 temperature in conjunction with either the AVG or the GAWR axle loadings were used.
268 Additional descriptions of the two analyses along with the experimental plan are presented in the
269 subsequent sections.
270 Extended Analysis
271 The objective of the extended analysis was to capture the influence of the variation in both,
272 pavement temperature and BRT axles’ loadings based on the ridership data in the calculation of
273 LEFs. Multiple pavement analyses were needed to obtain the pavement responses required for
274 the performance models used in this study (i.e., rutting and fatigue models); one for each
275 combination of ridership loading and temperature. However, an hour by hour analysis would
276 require an extensive effort, which is not practical. Instead, normal distributions and the
277 cumulative difference delineation (CDD) method were implemented to determine representative
278 ranges for pavement temperature and ridership values (18). The step-by-step procedure to
279 determine the LEFs using the extended analysis can be summarized as follows.
280
281 Step 1: Pavement temperature history predictions and ridership distribution data for a single year
282 were divided into four seasons and grouped by hour. Figure 2 shows, as an example, the hourly
283 temperature and ridership yearly distributions for the Double Decker bus per season in Las
284 Vegas; in which the boxplots represent the expected range of pavement temperatures or
285 passengers per bus at each hour of the day. The subdivision of the annual distributions into
286 seasons allowed for the calculation of seasonal LEFs for each BRT bus.
287 The TEMPS estimated temperatures for the studied locations showed that pavement
288 temperatures smoothly fluctuates throughout the day, increasing in the afternoon hours and
289 decreasing as the evening approaches, with the hourly pavement temperature profiles resembling
290 normal probability distributions. On the other hand, it was noted that the ridership hourly
291 seasonal distributions appear consistent among seasons, but they presented a high variability and
292 did not follow a smooth trend as observed with the seasonal temperature profiles. Similar
293 analyses were performed for the remaining BRT buses. However, for brevity only the Double
294 Decker bus case is presented in this paper.
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
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Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
Spring Spring
Pavement Temperature, °F
130 140
120 120
Summer Summer
Pavement Temperature, °F
140 140
passenger per Bus
130 120
120 100
110 80
100 60
90 40
80 20
70 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Hour Hour
Fall Fall
Pavement Temperature, °F
130 140
Passengers per Bus
120 120
110
100 100
90 80
80 60
70
40
60
50 20
40 0
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Hour Hour
304 FIGURE 2 Pavement temperature at 0.25 in below the pavement surface and ridership
305 hourly seasonal profiles for the Double Decker bus in Las Vegas.
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Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
306 Step 2: Normal distributions were produced from the hourly seasonal pavement temperature
307 boxplots. Each distribution was divided into five segments containing 20% of the area under the
308 normal distribution curve. The percentiles corresponding to the mid-point of the area segments
309 (10th, 30th, 50th, 70th, and 90th) were calculated. Thus, five temperatures were obtained and used
310 to represent each hour. Due to the high variability within the ridership data profiles, they were
311 not represented by normal distributions. Instead, the median and the corresponding 25th and 75th
312 percentiles were used to represent the ridership spectra. Figure 3 shows both profiles
313 superimposed where the dash-continuous lines represent the five temperature percentiles and the
314 vertical segments indicate the hourly ridership ranges.
Winter Spring
120 80 110 110
Pavement Temperature, °F
Pavement Temperature, °F
Passengers per Bus
100
Summer Fall
Pavement Temperature, °F
120 140 120 110
Pavement Temperature, °F
130 100
Passengers per Bus
100 100
120 90
80 80
110 80
60 60
100 70
40 40 60
90
20 80 20 50
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23
Hour Hour
315 FIGURE 3 Seasonal profiles after descriptive statistical analysis. (Dashed lines from
316 bottom to top represent hourly 10th, 30th, 50th, 70th, and 90th pavement temperature
317 percentiles; vertical lines represent the 25th and 75th ridership percentiles)
318 Step 3: The CDD analysis was used to determine representative ranges for pavement
319 temperature and ridership values based on the homogeneity of temperature and ridership data for
320 24 hours of the day (horizontal axis in figures 2 and 3). This approach is typically used in
321 pavement design to mathematically divide responses or measurements into smaller and more
322 manageable sets of values; all based on the between-unit variability (18). When considering
323 each of the five temperatures and the three ridership percentiles, presented in figure 3, the
324 approach revealed variation in pavement temperature and ridership responses, and found range
325 of boundary points at which the cumulative mean of the responses were considerably different.
326 The boundaries were determined by calculating the difference between the total area developed
327 from the overall range of values and average areas of the response curve at any distance. It was
328 found that temperature profiles for a given day in a season can be divided into four periods,
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Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
329 representing the morning, afternoon, evening and night temperatures. In the case of the ridership,
330 profiles shown in figure 3 were represented by two values, one representing the morning and one
331 for the combined afternoon and evening. As a result, the 24 hours were represented using only a
332 set of three mathematically representative temperatures and two ridership values for each axle of
333 a given BRT bus. Accordingly, the experimental plan shown in Table 2 was generated for the
334 Double Decker bus. In this case, a total of 240 pavement analyses (60 for each season) were
335 undertaken for the determination of the seasonal LEFs of the various Double Decker bus axles.
336 Similar experimental plans were developed for the other evaluated BRT buses and an overall
337 total of 2,880 pavement analyses were completed for the extended analysis in this study.
338
339 TABLE 2 Double Decker Experimental Plan
Analysis Period
Period 1: Period 2: Period 3:
Analysis Pav. Period 4: Night
Axles Season Morning Afternoon Evening
Method Temp
Axle Loads due to Ridership
25th 50th 75th 25th 50th 75th 25th 50th 75th 25th 50th 75th
Front, 10th
Winter
Drive, 30th
Extended Spring 15 Different 15 Different 15 Different 15 Different
and 50th
Analysis Summer Combinations Combinations Combinations Combinations
Rear 70th
Fall
Axles
90th
Front,
1 Combination (Average Ridership Loading)
Drive, Rutting, and
Simplified
and Fatigue Effective
Analysis
Rear Temperatures 1 Combination (GAWR)
Axles
340
341 Simplified Analysis
342 As mentioned before, the simplified analysis consisted of obtaining the pavement
343 responses for Teff under the BRT axles loaded to either the AVG or the GAWR loading level.
344 Equations 1 and 2 were used to calculate rutting and fatigue Teff, respectively (17). The
345 calculated Rutting Teff values of 110°F and 97°F were found for Las Vegas and Reno,
346 respectively. Likewise, the calculated fatigue Teff for Las Vegas and Reno were 97°F and 69°F,
347 respectively. The experimental plan for the determination of LEFs in accordance with the
348 simplified analysis is presented in Table 2.
349 𝑇𝑒𝑓𝑓_𝑅𝑢𝑡 = 14.62 − 3.361𝐿𝑛(𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑞) − 10.940 (𝑧) + 1.121 (𝑀𝐴𝐴𝑇) + 1.718 (𝜎𝑀𝐴𝐴𝑇) −
350 0.431(𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑) + 0.333(𝑆𝑢𝑛𝑠ℎ𝑖𝑛𝑒) + 0.08 (𝑅𝑎𝑖𝑛) (1)
351 𝑇𝑒𝑓𝑓_𝐹𝑎𝑡 = −13.95 − 2.332(𝐹𝑟𝑒𝑞)0.5 + 1.006 (𝑀𝐴𝐴𝑇) + 0.876(𝜎𝑀𝐴𝐴𝑇) − 1.186(𝑊𝑖𝑛𝑑) +
352 0.549(𝑆𝑢𝑛𝑠ℎ𝑖𝑛𝑒) + 0.071 (𝑅𝑎𝑖𝑛) (2)
353 Where,
354 z = critical depth, inch
355 Freq = loading frequency, Hz
356 MAAT = mean annual air temperature, °F
357 σMMAT = standard deviation of the mean monthly air temperature
358 Rain = annual cumulative rainfall depth, inches
359 Sunshine = mean annual percentage sunshine (%)
360 Wind = mean annual wind speed (mph)
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Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
361 Performance Models
362 Once determined (either following the extended or simplified analysis procedure), the
363 critical pavement responses were used in the locally calibrated rutting and fatigue performance
364 models shown in Equations 3 and 4, respectively, so that the number of load repetitions to failure
365 can be calculated (6, 19).
366
𝜀𝑝
367 = 𝐵𝑟1 10𝑘1𝐵𝑟1 𝑇 𝑘2𝐵𝑟2 𝑁𝑟 𝑘3𝐵𝑟3 (3)
𝜀𝑟
368
369 Where,
370 𝜀𝑝 = plastic strain (in/in): 0.25 inches is used in this study in all cases
371 𝜀𝑟 = resilient strain (in/in)
372 T = layer temperature (°F)
373 𝑁𝑟 = Number of load repetitions to rutting failure
374 𝐾1 , 𝐾2 , 𝐾3 , = −2.9708, 1.7435, 0.3547 (Las Vegas); -3.2605, 2.0055, 0.3161 (Reno)
375 𝐵𝑟1 , 𝐵𝑟2 , 𝐵𝑟3 = 0.10451, 1.0, 1.0 (Las Vegas); 0.16981, 1.0, 0.9 (Reno)
376
1 𝑘2 𝐵𝑓2 1 𝑘3 𝐵𝑓3
377 𝑁𝑓 = 𝐵𝑓1 𝐾1 (𝜀 ) (𝐸 ) (4)
𝑡
378
379 Where,
380 𝑁𝑓 = Number of load repetitions to fatigue failure
381 𝜀𝑡 = tensile strain (in/in)
382 𝐾1 , 𝐾2 , 𝐾3 , = 214.18, 5.0284, 2.3072 (Las Vegas); 30.08, 5.0537, 2.8904 (Reno)
383 𝐵𝑟1 , 𝐵𝑟2 , 𝐵𝑟3 = 0.005, 1.0, 1.0 (Las Vegas); 50, 1.0, 1.0 (Reno)
384
385 The LEFs for each of the BRT axles were determined using the mathematical expression
386 shown in equation 5, in which 𝑁18 represents the number of repetitions to rutting or fatigue
387 failure due to the 18-kip standard axle (single axle dual tires), and 𝑁𝐵 represents the number of
388 repetitions to rutting or fatigue failure due to the actual bus axle. A rut depth of 0.5 inch was
389 used as the rutting failure criterion for the asphalt concrete (AC) layer. The combined BRT bus
390 LEF is obtained by adding the LEFs of all the axles in a bus:
391
𝑁18
392 𝐿𝐸𝐹 = (5)
𝑁𝐵
12
LEF
8
5.43 4.95 4.42 5.78
4.33 3.94 3.86 4.11 3.78 4.71 4.31 4.37 4.46 4.41 4.06 4.73 4.19 4.06 3.71 4.03 4.17 4.01
4 3.14 3.73
0
Spring
Spring
Spring
Spring
GAWR
Summer
Summer
Summer
Summer
GAWR
AVG
GAWR
Winter
AVG
Winter
AVG
GAWR
Winter
AVG
Winter
Fall
Fall
Fall
Fall
Simp. Extended Simp. Extended Simp. Extended Simp. Extended
Double Decker (LV) Irisbus (LV) New Flyer (LV) New Flyer (Reno)
(a)
20
17.82 Fatigue Steering Drive Rear
16 14.97 14.32
12 10.34 11.61
LEF
10.13 10.98
9.63 9.06 9.28
8.92
7.55 7.87 7.59 8.60 8.02
8 6.73 7.02
5.85
5.04 5.32 5.10 5.33
4.14
4
0
Spring
GAWR
Spring
Spring
Spring
GAWR
AVG
Summer
AVG
Summer
GAWR
AVG
Summer
GAWR
AVG
Summer
Winter
Winter
Winter
Winter
Fall
Fall
Fall
Fall
Simp. Extended Simp. Extended Simp. Extended Simp. Extended
Double Decker (LV) Irisbus (LV) New Flyer (LV) New Flyer (Reno)
(b)
18 60%
Percent Contribution to
Combined BRT LEF
16 50%
14 40%
12 30%
Fatigue LEF
10 20%
Double Decker
8 10%
6 Irisbus (LV)
New Flyer (LV)
0%
4
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
3.5
2.80
3.0 2.37 2.39
2.5 2.02 2.18 2.02
2.0 1.36
1.24 1.17 1.31 1.13 1.19
1.5 1.06 1.06 1.01 0.99
1.0 0.40 0.28 0.41 0.28 0.36
0.5
0.0
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Fatigue
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
Rutting
GAWR AVG AVG GAWR AVG AVG GAWR AVG AVG GAWR AVG AVG
Simp. Ext. Simp. Ext. Simp. Ext. Simp. Ext.
Double Decker (LV) Iris Bus (LV) New Flyer (LV) New Flyer (Reno)
505
506 FIGURE 5 Estimated ESALs after 10 years for various BRT buses.
507 CONCLUSSIONS
508 This study evaluated the impact of BRT buses operating in Northern and Southern
509 Nevada on asphalt pavement using extended and simplified methodologies. Both methods
510 modeled all axles present in the buses and obtained pavement responses from the 3D-Move
511 Analysis software. The critical responses were then used to compare the performance of the
512 BRT bus axles with that of a standard axle trough the implementation of calibrated performance
513 models. The subdivision of the annual distributions into seasons allowed for the calculation of
514 seasonal LEFs for each BRT bus. Combined bus LEFs were obtained by summing the individual
515 bus axles’ LEFs. The interaction between pavement temperatures and axle loading due to
516 ridership changes during different periods of the year was evaluated. LEFs for seasonal, AVG
517 ridership and GAWR with overweight conditions were calculated. From the results of this study,
518 the following can be summarized:
519 1. Steering axles on the BRT buses can significantly contribute to pavement damage. When
520 running with high number of passengers, the LEFs from the steering axles can be close to
521 50% of the entire combined BRT bus LEF.
522 2. BRT buses can significantly contribute to the deterioration of asphalt pavements; more
523 importantly when they run at overweight conditions irrespective of the time of the year.
17
Hajj, Batioja-Alvarez, Siddharthan
524 Significantly higher LEFs were obtained when BRT buses run on axle loadings close to the
525 GAWR or overweight conditions.
526 3. Fatigue cracking was the most dominant distress at both Northern and Southern Nevada
527 locations. For a given pavement structure, more fatigue damage is anticipated under the
528 passage of a specific BRT bus.
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