Period Actual(At) Ft Tt

1 12 11 2
2 17 12.8 1.92
3 20 15.176 2.1024
4 19 17.82272 2.320128
5 24 19.9142784 2.22870016
6 21 22.514382848 2.3772618752
7 31 24.11331577856 2.065930297344
8 28 27.1433968607232 2.4515906112717
9 36 29.2759899775959 2.3239916135121
10 32.4799852728864 2.6759930862235

Period Actual(At) Ft Tt
1 70 65 0
2 68 65.5 0.1
3 64.8 65.84 0.148
4 71.7 65.8692 0.12424
5 71.3 66.564096 0.2383712
6 72.8 67.25222048 0.328321856
 FIT
13
14.72
17.2784
20.142848
22.14297856
24.8916447232
26.179246075904
29.5949874719949
31.599981591108
35.1559783591099

FIT
65
65.6
65.988
65.99344
66.8024672
67.580542336
S.No Actual At Aplha Ft Absolute Errors
1 180 0.1 175 5
2 168 0.1 175.5 7.5
3 159 0.1 174.75 15.75
4 175 0.1 173.175 1.82499999999996
5 190 0.1 173.3575 16.6425
6 205 0.1 175.0218 29.9782499999999
7 180 0.1 178.0196 1.98042499999994
8 182 0.1 178.2176 3.78238249999995
9 0.1 178.5959
Summations
82.4585574999998

MAD 10.3073196875
MSE 190.817488108678
MAPE 5.59397454724111
Absolute errors2 For MAPE
25 2.77777777777778
56.25 4.46428571428571
248.062500000001 9.90566037735851
3.33062499999985 1.04285714285712
276.972806249999 8.75921052631577
898.695473062497 14.6235365853658
3.92208318062476 1.10023611111108
14.3064173763059 2.07823214285712

Summations
1526.53990486943 44.7517963779289
Independent Varialbe (x) Dependent Varialbe(y) XY X2
1 74 74 1
2 79 158 4
3 80 240 9
4 90 360 16
5 105 525 25
6 142 852 36
7 122 854 49

3063 140

n 7
Average X 4
Average Y 98.8571428571429
Average X^2 16

b 10.5357142857143
a 56.7142857142857
Independent Varialbe (x) Dependent Varialbe(y) XY X2
1 2 2 1
3 3 9 9
4 2.5 10 16
2 2 4 4
1 2 2 1
7 3.5 24.5 49

51.5 80

n 6
Average X 3
Average Y 2.5
Average X^2 9

b 0.25
a 1.75
Seasons Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4

Winter 1400 1200 1000 900

Spring 1500 1400 1600 1500
Summer 100 2100 2000 1900
Autumn 600 750 650 500

Average Demand for every season 1193.75

Demand for Year 5 5600

Average demand for Year 5 1400
1400
1400
1400

Seasons Year1 Year2 Year3

Winter 73 65 89
Spring 104 82 146
Summer 168 124 205
Autumn 74 52 98

Average Demand for every season 106.6667

Demand for Year 5 5600
Average demand for Year 5 1400
1400
1400
1400
Average Demand For every year in each Seasons Average Demand for every season

1125 1193.75
1500 1193.75
1525 1193.75
625 1193.75
4775

Average Demand For every year in each Seasons Average Demand for every season

75.67 106.67
110.67 106.67
165.67 106.67
74.67 106.67
426.67
Seasonal Index Demand in each season in Year 5

0.942 1319.37172774869
1.257 1759.16230366492
1.277 1788.48167539267
0.524 732.984293193717

Seasonal Index Demand in each season in Year 5

0.709 993.093965813568
1.037 1452.45461079341
1.553 2174.3070529046
0.700 979.969375957001