Professional Documents
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Question and
Answer Book
Write your full examination number,
your contact ID and your name on a
double-sided card, which must be
attached to this booklet here.
3c FBSM
17 November 2003
Monday late afternoon
INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
Read this page before you look at the questions
You are allowed two hours to answer this question paper. All questions are compulsory.
Answer the ONE question in section A (this has 25 sub-questions and is on pages 2 – 12)
You are advised to spend 10 minutes reading through the paper before starting to answer the questions.
You should spend no more than 55 minutes on answering the ONE question in section A, which has 25
sub-questions.
You should spend no more than 55 minutes on answering the THREE questions in section B.
Hand this entire booklet to the invigilators at the end of the examination. You are NOT permitted to leave
the examination hall with this booklet.
TURN OVER
Each of the sub-questions numbered from 1.1 to 1.25 inclusive, given below, has only ONE correct
answer.
REQUIRED:
Place a circle "O" around the letter A, B, C or D that gives the correct answer to each sub-question.
If you wish to change your mind about an answer, block out your first answer completely and then circle
another letter. You will NOT receive marks if more than one letter is circled.
Please note that you will NOT receive marks for any workings to these sub-questions. Sufficient space
has been provided for you to do your workings where these sub-questions require them.
Question One
1.1 A large department store wishes to carry out a survey by issuing a questionnaire to a sample of 100 of
its 2,000 account holders. The sample is to be selected as follows:
Each customer will be allocated a number from 1 to 2000. A table of random numbers from 1 to 20 will
then be used to select the first member of the sample. Every succeeding 20th member of the
population of account holders will then be selected.
Yearly Sales
8000
7000
6000
5000 Factory C
$000
4000 Factory B
3000 Factory A
2000
1000
0
2000 2001 2002
A a Histogram.
D an Ogive.
TURN OVER
Which of the following equations best represents the above scatter diagram:
A Y = 2X + 3 B Y = 3X + 2 C Y = 3X - 2 D Y = 2 - 3X
1.5 A customer paid $230 for a television which had been reduced by 15%. The original price of the
television before the price reduction was closest to
1.7 Since 1995, the average annual salaries for a group of workers have been index-linked to prices. The
table below shows the price index since 1997:
(1995 = 100)
Year 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
Price Index 112 118 122 125 127 130
If the average salaries were $30,000 in 1997, then the average salaries of the workers in 2002 would have
been closest to
A $31,800. B $33,600. C $34,821. D $36,000.
TURN OVER
A relatives quantity index, to the nearest whole number, for the year 2002, with 2001 as the base year, will
be
1.9 The sum, S, of the first n terms of a geometric series with first term a and common ratio r, is given by
the formula:
a(r n − 1)
S=
(r − 1)
The sum of the first 8 terms of a geometric series with common ratio 3 is 19,680.
The first term of this series is
A 7 B 6 C 5 D 4
1.10 The probability that a randomly selected purchaser is male and aged 50 or under is
1.11 If the selected purchaser is female, the probability that she is aged 25 to 50 is
1.12 The following table shows the number of cars of a particular model sold by a dealer over the last five
weeks:
Week 1 2 3 4 5
Cars sold 8 3 7 9 4
The expected number of cars of this model to be sold in the year (50 weeks) is
TURN OVER
In order to break even, between premiums taken in and claims paid out, the company should set the annual
premium for each policy at
The following data are to be used to answer questions 1.14 to 1.16 below.
Flights arriving at an airport are subject to delays. The length of the delays is normally
distributed with a mean of 20 minutes and a standard deviation of 8 minutes.
1.14 The probability that a flight will be delayed by less than 10 minutes is nearest to
1.15 The probability that a flight will be delayed by between 15 and 25 minutes is nearest to
1.17 Using a 4-point centred moving average, the trend component of the demand (000 units) for Quarter 4
of the year 2000 will be closest to
1.18 If an additive model is assumed, and the seasonal components of the demand for quarters 2,3 and 4
are -88, 30 and 66 respectively, the seasonal component of the demand (000 units) for Quarter 1 will
be
1.19 A small manufacturing company owns two machines, A and B. Machine A is valued at $15,000 ± 10%,
and machine B is valued at $25,000 ± 5%.
The maximum percentage error in the combined value of the two machines is closest to
A 7⋅0% B 7⋅5% C 10⋅0% D 15⋅0%
TURN OVER
The following data are to be used to answer questions 1.21 and 1.22 below.
$20,000 is invested at an interest rate of 4%, which is compounded annually.
1.21 After 10 years, the investment will have a value, to the nearest $, of
1.24 If the annual rate of interest is 4⋅75%, the amount (to the nearest $) that should be invested now in
order to receive $5,000 per annum in perpetuity, with receipts starting one year from now, is
TURN OVER
End of Section A
TURN OVER
IMPORTANT
MARKS ARE AWARDED FOR COMPLETING THE SHADED BOXES WITH THE CORRECT
ANSWER WHERE A MARK IS INDICATED IN THE RIGHT-HAND COLUMN.
THERE ARE NO MARKS FOR COMPLETING THE MISSING FIGURES WHERE NO MARK IS
INDICATED, BUT COMPLETING THESE WILL HELP YOU OBTAIN THE CORRECT ANSWERS.
DO NOT WRITE IN THE MARGINS NOR IN THE COLUMNS FOR USE BY MARKERS.
Question Two
Because of an increasing population, the executive committee of a local community centre is planning to
build an extension to its main building. In order to fund this building project, the centre will need to have
$300,000 available at the beginning of January 2005.
To achieve this, the centre intends to make 8 equal quarterly instalments of $X into a sinking fund which
pays a quarterly compound interest rate of 1%. The first of the instalments was paid at the beginning of April
2003.
Note:
The sum of the first n terms of a geometric series with first term A and common ratio R, is:
A(R n − 1)
Sn =
(R − 1)
The executive committee has estimated that the project will take one year to complete, and will be ready for
use in January 2006. The increased cash flows that will be generated by the centre’s extended facilities and
fundraising activities during the construction period have been estimated to be $50,000 for each of the first
five years, and then $30,000 for each of the next five years.
Do not write in these
columns below
maximum of 20 words 2
Airport Catering Ltd provides catering services at airports throughout Europe. Each month, the Sales
Manager is required to produce a statistical report that summarises the company’s performance.
The table below shows October's sales figures ($000) at 50 of its branches:
Sales
($000) Frequency
Less than 30 3
30 < 60 5
60 < 90 7
90 < 120 9
120 < 150 11
150 < 180 8
180 < 210 5
210 < 240 2
Total 50
maximum of 30 words 2
(d) Use the following axes to draw an ogive for October’s sales figures:
SALES($000)
3
sub-total: 5
Each year, a large company, which manufactures domestic electrical appliances, pays its employees an
annual bonus. The Company Accountant wishes to assess the effect of the previous year’s bonus on the
company’s output for the following year.
Data relating to bonus paid (as a percentage of annual salary) and total output (tens of thousands of units
sold) over an 8-year period are given in the following table:
30
Output (0,000 units)
25
20
15
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Bonus (%)
2
Comment on the relationship shown by your scatter diagram in the
(b) shaded box below.
maximum of 20 words 2
Sub-total: 4
TURN OVER
maximum of 20 words 3
Sub-total: 7
maximum of 20 words 2
(g) Another similar manufacturing company has found that the coefficient
of determination between Bonus and Output is 0⋅86. Explain what this
means.
maximum of 20 words 2
FBSM
Business Mathematics