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a r t i c l e i n f o abstract
Article history: This study chiefly deliberates issues regarding capacity allocation for multiple products. When producing
Received 6 March 2009 multiple products, a manufacturer needs to allocate a favorable production quantity to each product
Accepted 18 September 2012 under conditions of uncertain demand since the excess or shortage of a product will in turn cause the loss
Available online 3 October 2012
of profit. The proposed model and the corresponding algorithm in this study are used to find out the
Keywords: optimal capacity allocation under the given probability density function of specific demands and to
Uncertain demand effectively allocate limited capacity to multiple products with an aim to maximize profit. Finally, the
Capacity allocation numerical example suggests that the marginal profit, the inventory holding cost, the shortage cost, the
Production cost loss of excess production, and market demands should be considered in an effort to discover an optimal
Newsvendor problem
capacity allocation with regard to multiple products.
Crown Copyright & 2012 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
1. Introduction quantity, and thereby could develop the ability to convert limited
capacity into a maximum total profit.
Nowadays, a manufacturing system is generally equipped with Reyes (2005) considered the idea that if a manufacturer can
more than one production line when producing multiple products, effectively utilize information regarding market demand, then pro-
which raises the problem of how to effectively allocate limited duction efficiency can be significantly improved as a result of a drop
resources to each production line so as to maximize profits. in inventory levels. In this regard, several studies have concentrated
Specifically, it might be more complicated to determine the optimal on investigating market demand for various products. Vairaktarakis
capacity allocation under conditions of uncertain demand, which (2000) discussed uncertain demand under interval and discrete
raises a well-known newsvendor problem discussed in numerous scenarios, respectively. Abdel-Malek et al. (2004) calculated the
studies. In the last decades, Khouja (1999) reviewed the extensive optimal production quantity for each product with the assumption
contributions to the newsvendor problem. However, most of that the probability density function (pdf) of the demand is uniformly
studies regarding the newsvendor problem mainly focused on the distributed. Hood et al. (2003) utilized stochastic integer program-
classical single-period problem. Qin et al. (2011) also presented a ming to predict the changes in uncertain product demand situations.
review study to the newsvendor problem in supply chain environ- Ji and Shao (2006) proposed the hybrid intelligent algorithm with
ment, and they indicated that the trend of model development is fuzzy demands to decide the wholesale prices of a newspaper for the
toward analyzing the impact of market price, marketing effort, and purpose of maximizing profits. Barahona et al. (2005) identified a
stocking quantity on customer demand. compromise for multiple demand conditions under different scenar-
These studies generally employ the traditional inventory ios via minimization of the expected value of the unmet demands.
model to make decisions on lot sizing and order quantity, which, Zhou et al. (2008) developed a risk decision model to address the
however, consider the production of a single product rather than ordering issue of multiple products through linear programming,
multiple products in relation to capacity allocation. Accordingly, which can meet demands under different risk measures. Kiesmuller
the management should be capable of fully recognizing the et al. (2011) proposed a replenishment policy for an inventory system
production efficiency of each product, namely the relationship with stochastic demand where order quantities are required to have
between production capacity allocation and total production a minimum size. Tang et al. (2012) developed a pricing and ordering
decision model and also assessed the possible yield risk for suppliers
in a supply chain under uncertain demand. The above studies mainly
focused on the problem of uncertainty of product’s demand and how
n
Correspondence to: Department of Information Management, Shu-Te Universit, to meet the demand in order to reduce the loss of shortage cost or
No. 59, Hengshan Road, Yanchao, Kaohsiung County 82445, Taiwan.
holding cost.
Tel.: þ 886 7 6158000x3010; fax: þ886 7 6158000x3099.
E-mail addresses: au4408@mail.au.edu.tw (J.-W. Ho), On the other hand, some researchers have made an effort to
ccfang@mail.stu.edu.tw (C.-C. Fang). obtain optimal production quantity with various methods when
0925-5273/$ - see front matter Crown Copyright & 2012 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2012.09.016
594 J.-W. Ho, C.-C. Fang / Int. J. Production Economics 141 (2013) 593–604
studying situations where manufacturers are producing multiple cost on capacity allocation and the tradeoff between the capacity
products. Abdel-Malek and Montanari (2005) obtained the opti- allocations of two kinds of products are also discussed. Section 5
mal production quantity for each product using the Lagrangian draws conclusions and discusses future work.
multipliers, Leibniz rule and Kuhn–Tucker conditions. Gerchak
et al. (2002) explored capacity planning under uncertain demand 2. Model for optimizing capacity allocations
conditions with nonlinear production costs. Chung et al. (2008)
developed a multi-product model to study how to improve the In general, it might be burdensome for the management of a
quality of production decisions for the preseason stage by using manufacturer to determine the production quantities of each
reactive production in response to a firm’s limited capacity. product as a result of corresponding uncertain demands, yet they
However, these decisions were made without contemplating the could reasonably evaluate the probability distribution, the expec-
probable depreciation of the products. Thus, Mostard and Teunter tation, or the standard deviation concerning the demands accord-
(2006) once deliberated the maximization of expected profit for ing to their past experience with selling similar products. In this
fashionable commodities since such commodities possess the study, the demands of the multiple products concerned are
property of high return rates within a profitable selling season. considered to be mutually independent, and it is assumed that
However, they focused their discussion on fashionable products parts of the products will be depreciated after the current selling
and therefore neglected the employment of multiple products, season. Furthermore, given finite capacity, a rise in the production
thus reducing the practicability of their model. quantity of one product might lead to a drop in the production
Öner and Bilgic- (2008) analyzed the effects of co-production on quantity of other products, and the resultant profit structure
the production planning of multiple products with an assumption could be changed as well. Consequently, management should
of no demand substitution among different products. However, due consider not only the influence of each production quantity on the
to finite capacity, the substitution effect among the multiple total profit, but also the substitution effect of a change in the
products might exist in the capacity allocation problem. Kuyumcu production quantity of certain products and accordingly, should
and Popescu (2006) investigated an optimization model to manage be able, as a result, to convert limited capacity into an optimal
multiple products by considering the substitution effects for capa- production capacity strategy with considerations of the marginal
city allocations. Mieghem and Rudi (2002) introduced a model profit, inventory holding costs, shortage costs, and the loss of
concerning the newsvendor networks to investigate capacity man- excess production for multiple products, all of which are illu-
agement for multiple products with consideration of the substitu- strated in Fig. 1.
tion effect. As a result, it would be necessary to discuss the effects of The production quantity is, in general, positively correlated to
multiple product substitutions when applying the proposed model the input capacity and thereby turns out to demonstrate a linear
to the capacity allocation issue. relationship, yet certain products may yield increasing returns
The objective of this study is to convert a limited capacity into resulting from economies of scale. In this regard, the linear and
an optimal production strategy for multiple products in order to power law production functions are widely discussed in past
maximize profits. The rest of this paper is organized as follows: research and are respectively expressed as
Section 2 develops the model by probing into the production and
profit functions. Section 3 gives the algorithm to obtain the Q i ðai Þ ¼ di ai x0 ð1Þ
optimal capacity allocation concerning the multiple products. and
In Section 4, the proposed model is applied to a numerical
example. Furthermore, the impact of variations of production Q i ðai Þ ¼ ai ðai x0 Þbi ð2Þ
Q1 (α1 ) Q2 (α 2 ) Q3 (α 3 ) Qn −1 (α n −1 ) Qn (α n )
Production
function of
Product i α1 α2 α3 … … … … … … α n −1 αn
Maximize the profit under considerations of the marginal profit, inventory holding
cost, shortage cost, and loss of excess production for Product i, i =1,2,… ,n
Probability
distribution of f1 ( D1 ) f 2 ( D2 ) f 3 ( D3 ) f n −1 ( Dn −1 ) f n ( Dn )
the demand of …………………
Product i
Fig. 1. The conversion from limited capacity to an optimal production capacity strategy.
J.-W. Ho, C.-C. Fang / Int. J. Production Economics 141 (2013) 593–604 595
where Qi(ai) is the production quantity of Product i; x0 is the total expected marginal profit (MPi), the evaluation results on different
capacity; ai is the ratio of input capacity of Product i to x0; di is the pdfs will be demonstrated as follows, respectively:
input–output coefficient of Product i under a linear production
function; and ai, bi are respectively the scale and shape factors of (1). If the demand pdf is a uniform distribution, Eq. (6) can be
Product i under a power law production function. However, in directly simplified and rewritten as
consideration of the possible inventory due to products not sold ( )
2UBi Q i ðai ÞLBi 2
in the last production period, the production planning of each MPi ¼ ðP i C pi Þ Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð7Þ
2ðUBi LBi Þ
production period should take account of its inventory in the
beginning; thus, Eqs. (1) and (2) are respectively rewritten as
(2). If the demand pdf is an exponential or a gamma distribution,
Q i ðai Þ ¼ Ii þ di ai x0 ð3Þ
according to Properties 1, 4, and 7 from Appendix B, namely,
lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 0, lim Di F i ðDi Þ ¼ 0, and lim Oi ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di ,
Di -UBi Di -LBi Di -LBi
and
Eq. (6) can be simplified and rewritten as
Q i ðai Þ ¼ Ii þ ai ðai x0 Þbi ð4Þ MPi ¼ ðP i C pi Þ Ei ½Di Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð8Þ
where Ei[Di] denotes the average demand of Product i.
where Ii denotes the inventory of Product i at the beginning of (3). If the demand pdf is a normal distribution, according to
each production period. Furthermore, since the demand type of Properties 8 and 11 from Appendix B, namely,
each product essentially affects the capacity allocation of multiple
lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 1=2 and lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di =2, Eq.
products, the management should fully recognize the demand Di -UBi Di -LBi
type before determining the capacity allocation. For instance, the (6) can be simplified and rewritten as
most frequently used demand functions are Uniform, Exponential,
E ½D þ Q i ðai Þ
Gamma, and Normal density functions, where the corresponding MPi ¼ ðP i C pi Þ i i Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð9Þ
2
parameters can be made available through well-done market
research. Similarly, the other demand functions could be applied
to the proposed model in this study so as to carry out the capacity
allocation. Shortage of a product is incurred when the production quan-
Four aspects considered in evaluating the sales profit during tity cannot meet the market demand, resulting in certain oppor-
the current selling season in the proposed model are as follows: tunity costs, such as the loss of customers’ goodwill and the cost
(1) the expected marginal profit of the product, (2) the expected of delayed revenue, which must be considered to affect the
opportunity cost due to shortage of the product, (3) the expected expected product profits. Accordingly, the expected opportunity
inventory holding cost due to excess production and (4) the loss cost due to the shortage of the product for each product within
of revenue due to the drop in the market demand for the product. each production period can be calculated as follows:
Firstly, the expected marginal profit of each product within each Z UBi
production period is expressed as follows: OC i ¼ C bi ðDi Q i ðai ÞÞf i ðDi ÞdDi ð10Þ
Q i ðai Þ
Z Q i ðai Þ Z UBi
MPi ¼ ðPi C pi ÞDi f i ðDi ÞdDi þ ðP i C pi ÞQ i ðai Þf i ðDi ÞdDi ð5Þ where Cbi is the opportunity cost due to the shortage of Product i.
LBi Q i ðai Þ Eq. (10) can be integrated and arranged as
Z UBi Z UBi
where Di is the demand quantity of Product i; f i ðdÞ is the pdf of OC i ¼ C bi Di f i ðDi ÞdDi Q i ðai Þf i ðDi ÞdDi
Q i ðai Þ Q i ðai Þ
the demand of Product i; LBi and UBi are respectively the lower
and upper limits of f i ðdÞ; Pi is the selling price per unit of Product ¼ C bi lim Di F i ðDi ÞQ i ðai ÞF i ðQ i ðai ÞÞ lim Oi ðDi Þ þ Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ
i and Cpi is the cost per unit of Product i. Accordingly, Eq. (5) can Di -UBi Di -UBi
Eq. (11) can be simplified and rewritten as 1=2, and lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di =2, Eq. (16) can be
Di -LBi
OC i ¼ C bi Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð13Þ simplified and rewritten as
þ Q i ðai ÞEi ½Di
(3). If the demand pdf is a normal distribution, according to HC i þ DLi ¼ C hi þ C pi Si þ Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð19Þ
2
Properties 8 and 10 from Appendix B, namely, lim F i ðDi Þ ¼
Di -UBi
1=2 and lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di =2, Eq. (11) can be
Di -UBi
simplified and rewritten as When producing multiple products, it is crucial to deliberate
how to effectively allocate limited capacity to each product in
E ½D Q i ðai Þ
OC i ¼ C bi i i þ Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð14Þ order to maximize profits. For instance, provided that a firm plans
2
to produce n kinds of products, the optimal capacity allocation of
such multiple products can be deliberated according to Eqs. (6),
Inventory holding costs might be incurred due to an improper (11) and (16), which is mathematically presented as follows:
estimation of the demand during the current period. On the other
hand, the inventory concerning fashionable commodities will incur a X
n
MaxpðaÞ ¼ pða1 , a2 ,. . ., an Þ ¼ ðMP i OC i HC i DLi Þ
loss of revenue due to the drop in market demand during the next i¼1
period. Accordingly, the expected inventory holding costs and the loss ð20Þ
subject to a1 þ a2 þ þ an ¼ 1
of revenue due to the drop in the market demand for the fashionable
1 Z ai Z0; i ¼ 1,. . .,n
commodities can be modeled as
Z Q i ðai Þ where p(a) is the firm’s expected profit function for the multiple
HC i þ DLi ¼ C hi ðQ i ðai ÞDi Þf i ðDi ÞdDi products, which is continuous and differentiable at ai. Before
LBi
Z Q i ðai Þ discovering the ai which can maximize the objective function
þ
þ C pi Si ðQ i ðai ÞDi Þf i ðDi ÞdDi ð15Þ p(a), it is required to perform the convexity test and to identify
LBi
only one (a1,a2,y,an) maximizing p(a), which could be proved by
where Ch is the inventory holding cost per unit, Si is the market price Proposition 1.
for the next period of Product I, and [Cpi Si] þ , i.e. Max (0,Cpi Si),
signifies the loss of revenue due to the drop in the market demand for Proposition 1. For the p(a) which is continuous and differentiable
Product i on the condition that Si is lower than Cpi. Moreover, Eq. (15) with respect to a ¼{a1,a2,...,an}, p(a) is a concave function, and there
can be integrated and set as exists a unique root an ¼ a1 n , a2 n ,:::, an n maximizing p(a) if all the
( Z Z ) production functions Q i ðdÞ are increasing, and all the products’
þ Q i ðai Þ Q i ðai Þ
HC i þ DLi ¼ C hi þ C pi Si Q i ða i Þ f i ðDi ÞdDi Di f i ðDi ÞdDi marginal profits (Pi Cpi) are positive.
LBi LBi
( Z )
þ Q i ðai Þ Proof. Assuming that R denotes a set defined on the n-dimen-
¼ C hi þ C pi Si Q i ðai Þ F i ðQ i ðai ÞÞ lim F i ðDi Þ Di f i ðDi ÞdDi
Di -LBi LBi sional Euclidean space, and aAR, p(a) would be concave down-
ward on the condition that the corresponding Hessian matrix is
þ
¼ C hi þ C pi Si Q i ðai Þ F i ðQ i ðai ÞÞ lim F i ðDi Þ negatively semi-definite, where the matrix is expressed as
Di -LB
Q i ðai ÞF i ðQ i ðai ÞÞ lim Di F i ðDi ÞOi ðQ ðai ÞÞ þ lim Oi ðDi Þ 2 @2 pðaÞ @2 pðaÞ @2 pðaÞ
3
Di -LBi Di -LBi @a1 2 @a1 @a2 ::: @a1 @an
6 2 7
þ 6 @ pðaÞ @2 pðaÞ @2 pðaÞ7
HC i þ DLi ¼ C hi þ C pi Si Q i ðai Þ lim F i ðDi Þ þ lim Di F i ðDi Þ 6 ::: 7
Di -LBi Di -LBi HðpðaÞÞ ¼ 6 @a2 @a1 @a2 2 @a2 @an7 ð21Þ
6 ::: ::: ::: ::: 7
4 2 2 2
5
@ pðaÞ @ pðaÞ @ pðaÞ
þ Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ lim Oi ðDi Þ ð16Þ @an @a1 @an @a2 ::: @an 2
Di -LBi
Similarly, due to the fact that different pdfs would influence where
the evaluation results of the holding cost and the loss of revenue
@2 pðaÞ
(HCi þDLi), the evaluation results on different pdfs will be demon- ¼0 ð22Þ
@ai @aj i a j
strated as follows, respectively:
and
(1). If the demand pdf is a uniform distribution, Eq. (16) can be
directly simplified and rewritten as
@2 pðai Þ þ
þ LBi ðLBi 2Q i ðai ÞÞ ¼ P i C pi þ C bi þC hi þ C pi Si f i ðQ i ðai ÞÞQ 0i ðai Þ
HC i þ DLi ¼ C hi þ C pi Si þ Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð17Þ @ai 2
2ðUBi LBi Þ
þ 00
þ F i ðQ i ðai ÞÞQ 00i ðai Þ C hi þ C pi Si Q i ðai Þ o0 ð23Þ
(2). If the demand pdf is an exponential or a gamma distribution,
according to Properties 2, 4, and 7 from Appendix B, namely,
lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 1, lim Di F i ðDi Þ ¼ 0, and lim Oi ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di , According to Eq. (22), since the off-diagonal elements of the
Di -LBi Di -LBi Di -LBi
Hessian matrix are zero, H(p(a)) can be signified as
Eq. (16) can be simplified and rewritten as h2 2 2
i
þ diag @@apða2 Þ , @@apða2 Þ ,:::, @@apnða2 Þ . It can be seen in Eq. (23) that Q i ðdÞ is
1 2
HC i þ DLi ¼ C hi þ C pi Si Q i ðai ÞEi ½Di þ Oi ðQ i ðai ÞÞ ð18Þ
strictly increasing with respect to ai, Q 0i ðdÞ 40 and Q 00i ðdÞ Z 0,
where Q 0i ðdÞ and Q 00i dÞ respectively represent the first and second
(3). If the demand pdf is a normal distribution, according to derivatives of Q i ðdÞ. Additionally, f i ðdÞ Z 0, (Pi Cpi), Cbi, Chi, and
Properties 9 and 11 from Appendix B, namely, lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ @2 pðai Þ
Di -LBi [Cpi Si] þ are positive. As a result, @ai 2
o 0. Furthermore, the
J.-W. Ho, C.-C. Fang / Int. J. Production Economics 141 (2013) 593–604 597
0.2 400000
3. Solution procedures
300000
200000
To derive an optimal solution, the Generalized Reduced Gradient
Method (Lasdon et al., 1978) is used and amended to the algorithm 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
concerning the nonlinear model with constraints, which can obtain
α1
the optimal solution by randomly picking a feasible solution. Fig. 2
gives a contour map which illustrates the process of searching for Fig. 2. Contour map searching for the optimal solution for an objective function.
the optimal solution for an objective function with an initial feasible
solution.
Also, the proposed algorithm is stated as follows:
Start
Step 1:
Redefine the objective function and the constraints as follows:
Min Z ðaÞ ¼ pðaÞ
Set initial feasible solution
Subject to : Y ðaÞ ¼ 1ða1 þ a2 þ þ an Þ ¼ 0
α ( 0) = {α1( 0) , α 2( 0) ,..., α n( 0 )
{
ai Z 0; i ¼ 1,. . .,n
Categorize the decision variables into the independent k=1
variables {a1, a2,...,an 1} and the dependent variable.
Step 2: Set α ( k ) = α ( 0 )
Determine the number of the maximal iteration.
Set initial iteration counter k¼1.
n o
Randomly pick a feasible solution að0Þ ¼ að0Þ ð0Þ ð0Þ
1 , a2 ,:::, an .
Let a(k) ¼ a(0). Calculate Gri( k ) , i = 1..n
Step 3:
Compute direction Gr ði kÞ , i ¼ 1,. . .N,
8
@pðaðkÞ Þ @pðaðkÞ Þ
>
>
> @ai if i ¼ 1,. . .,n1 Solve for θ ( k ) and satisfy the equality
< @an
ðkÞ ðkÞ
constraints
Gr i ¼ Xp a
n1
>
>
>
@pðaðkÞ Þ
ðn1Þ @an if i ¼ n α i( k +1) = α i( k ) + θ ( k ) Gri( k ) , i = 1..n ,
: @ai
and check α i( ) ≥ 0, i = 1..n k=k+1
i¼1 k +1
þ
where @p@ðaai i Þ ¼ P i C pi þ C bi þ C hi þ C pi Si ( k +1) ( k +1) ( k +1)
α1 + α2 + ... + α n −1 = 0
þ 0
F i ðQ i ðai ÞÞQ i 0 ðai Þ C hi þ C pi Si Q i ðai Þ.
Step 4:
Solve for y(k) by minimizing the objective function in direction
Gr ði kÞ while satisfying the equality constraints ( ) ) − Z (α ( ) ) < ε
Z α(
k k +1 No
supporting the capacity allocation decision in practice. Fig. 3 gives where the three production functions are all linear. Assume that
the flow chart showing the acquisition of the optimal solution of each production line operates 8 h/day, and the total capacity
a* and p(a*), which is presented as follows: within the production period (90 days) is 21,600 h. Furthermore,
Products 1, 2, and 3 are produced at rates of 30, 14, and 24 units/h,
respectively. However, the inventories of Products 1 and 2 during
the current production period in the beginning are 1200 and 200,
4. Application respectively, since both products fail to attain the predetermined
sales units. Moreover, the market prices of Products 1, 2, and 3 are
In this section, the proposed model is applied to a numerical respectively $80, $225, and $140; the production costs per unit of
example. In addition, the impact of variations of production cost Products 1, 2, and 3 are respectively $60, $180, and $120; the
on capacity allocation and the tradeoff between the capacity inventory holding costs per unit of Products 1, 2, and 3 are
allocations for two kinds of products are also discussed. respectively $2.25, $4.625, and $3.5, and the shortage costs per
unit of Products 1, 2, and 3 are respectively $6.75, $16.5, and
$11.25. Since the three products are not fashionable commodities,
4.1. Numerical example
there will be no loss of revenue due to unsold products during the
current production period. The abovementioned information about
Suppose that a manufacturer intends to produce three kinds of
the three products is listed in Table 1.
electronic products. To avoid a considerable excess or shortage of
By using the proposed model, the optimal production capacity
the products, the managers of the manufacturer conduct market
strategy is a1* ¼33.52%, a2* ¼30.66%, and a3* ¼35.82%. In other
research in order to investigate and meet customer demand for
words, the managers should allocate 724.1, 662.3, and 773.6 h to
the products with an aim to convert limited capacity into an
produce Products 1, 2, and 3, respectively, and the resultant
optimal production capacity strategy. In light of the market
production quantities are 21,722, 9272, and 18,567 units with
research, it is found that the demand distributions for the three
an expected maximum profit of $614,220. From this result, the
electronic products are all approximated to Gamma distribution.
capacity allocations on each product are near to even. Although
Specifically, the expectations and the standard deviations con-
the marginal profit of Product 2 is more than the others, the
cerning the demand for the three products within the production
manufacturer was not willing to allocate more capacity to Product
period (90 days) are as follows: E1[D1] ¼23,600, s1[D1]¼7100,
2 because the expected demand is less and relatively stable. If the
E2[D2]¼8100, s2[D2]¼1860, E3[D3]¼11,600, and s3[D3]¼ 3100
capacity was allocated to Product 2 too much, the manufacturer
(Ei, si, and Di denote the expectation, the standard deviation,
will take a risk of the unsold products. Moreover, the manufac-
and the demand of the ith product, respectively), which can be
turer did not allocate more capacity to Product 1 either due to the
observed in Fig. 4.
uncertainty of the demand even though the expected demand of
As can be seen in Fig. 4, the manufacturer is equipped with
Product 1 is more than the others. Table 2 lists the structures of
three production lines to produce three products, respectively,
the manufacturer’s profits and costs and indicates that Product
2 gives 40% of the total profit under the effect of both the
marginal profit and the production rate. Besides, since the
variance in the market demand of Product 2 is smaller as
compared with that of Products 1 and 3, the profit stemming
Prob. from Product 2 turns out to be steadier than that stemming from
Product 2 Products 1 and 3.
Product 3 Table 2
The structures of the manufacturer’s profits and costs.
Table 1
The information about the three products.
Expectation and standard deviation of the demand distribution E1[D1] ¼23,600, E2[D2]¼ 8100, E3[D3] ¼ 16,600, s1[D1] ¼7100, s2[D2] ¼1860, s3[D3]¼ 3100
Capacity x0 ¼21,600 h
Production rate d1 ¼30, d2 ¼ 14, d3 ¼ 24
Inventory in the beginning I1 ¼1200, I2 ¼ 200, I3 ¼ 0
Market price P1 ¼80, P2 ¼ 225, P3¼ 140
Salvage value of the market price of the unsold products S1 ¼ $80, S2 ¼$225, S3 ¼$140
Production cost per unit Cp1 ¼$60, Cp2 ¼ $180, Cp3 ¼ $120
Inventory holding cost per unit Ch1 ¼$2.25, Ch2 ¼$4.625, Ch3 ¼$3.5
Shortage cost per unit Cb1 ¼$6.75, Cb2 ¼$16.5, Cb3 ¼ $11.25
J.-W. Ho, C.-C. Fang / Int. J. Production Economics 141 (2013) 593–604 599
4.2. Impact of variations of the production cost on the capacity capacity strategy to obtain the expected maximum profit. Accord-
allocation ingly, in light of the previous numerical example, Fig. 5 shows the
impacts of the production costs’ variations ranging from –50% to
Sometimes the price of the material or the parts will be so þ50% on the capacity allocations regarding the three products,
changeable as to affect the production cost and the resultant and Table 3 shows the impacts of the production costs’ variations
marginal profit. In such cases, it is crucial to deliberate whether ranging from –50% to þ 50% on the capacity allocations and the
the change in the production cost will affect the profit structure, expected profits regarding the three products.
and if this is the case, managers will need to adjust the production In general, as far as a manufacturer is concerned, with a rise in
the production cost of a product, the corresponding production
quantity will be reduced, i.e. the less capacity is allocated to this
product. However, it is noteworthy to observe which product
capacity should be substituted for such reduced capacity. As can
Product1 Product2 Product3 be seen in Fig. 5, when the production cost of Product 1 rises, the
0.7 manufacturer should allocate less production quantity to Product
Capacity
0.6
1 and allocate more production quantity to Product 3. Similarly,
0.5
as the production cost of Product 3 rises, the manufacturer should
0.4
0.3 allocate less production quantity to Product 3 and allocate more
0.2 production quantity to Product 1. The results suggest that the
0.1 substitution effect exists between Products 1 and 3. However, it is
0 found that the capacity allocated to Product 2 will not vary
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% greatly while changing the production costs of Product 1 or 3,
C p1
which might be due to a smaller demand variance for Product 2,
resulting in a lower probability of a situation leading to inventory
Product1 Product2 Product3
0.6 excesses or shortages. In other words, the substitution effect does
Capacity
0.5 not tend to exist in a product with a smaller demand variance.
0.4 In this regard, a manufacturer should pay more attention to the
0.3
product with a larger demand variance since while changing the
0.2
production cost of such a product, the optimal capacity allocation
1
0.1
would vary more as compared with a product with a smaller
demand variance.
0
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% +10% +20% +30% +40% +50%
C p2
Table 4
Product1 Product2 Product3 The information about Products 1 and 2.
0.6
Capacity
0.5 Expectation and standard E[D1] ¼ 24,000, E[D2] ¼ 24,000, s[D1] ¼2400,
0.4 deviation s[D2] ¼6000
0.3 of the demand distribution
Capacity x0 ¼ 21,600 h
0.2
Production rate d1 ¼ 21, d2 ¼ 2121
0.1 Inventory in the beginning I1 ¼ 0, I2 ¼0
0 Market price P1 ¼ 90, P2 ¼110
-50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% +10% +20% +30% +40% +50% Production cost per unit Cp1 ¼ $70, Cp2 ¼$70
Cp3 Inventory holding cost per Ch1 ¼ $3, Ch2 ¼$3
unit
Fig. 5. The impacts of the production costs’ variations ranging from –50% to þ50% Shortage cost per unit Cb1 ¼ $10, Cb2 ¼ $10
on the capacity allocations regarding the three products.
Table 3
The impacts of the production costs’ variations ranging from –50% to þ 50% on the capacity allocations and the expected profits regarding the three products.
Cp1 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% þ10% þ20% þ30% þ40% þ50%
Product 1 59.37% 58.34% 57.14% 55.68% 53.86% 33.52% 28.15% 22.27% 19.33% 17.87% 16.95%
Product 2 36.94% 36.94% 36.94% 36.94% 36.94% 30.66% 33.37% 36.40% 37.94% 38.71% 39.20%
Product 3 3.69% 4.72% 5.92% 7.38% 9.20% 35.82% 38.49% 41.33% 42.73% 43.42% 43.85%
Profit $1,246,523 $1,111,535 $977,634 $845,229 $715,000 $614,220 $572,396 $554,824 $548,505 $545,129 $542,861
Cp2 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% þ10% þ20% þ30% þ40% þ50%
Product 1 51.42% 51.42% 51.42% 51.42% 51.42% 33.52% 52.65% 52.65% 52.65% 52.65% 52.65%
Product 2 41.53% 40.98% 40.32% 39.51% 38.45% 30.66% 4.99% 4.99% 4.99% 4.99% 4.99%
Product 3 7.05% 7.60% 8.26% 9.07% 10.13% 35.82% 42.37% 42.37% 42.37% 42.37% 42.37%
Profit $1,288,283 $1,146,052 $1,004,487 $863,878 $724,751 $614,220 $575,976 $575,976 $575,976 $575,976 $575,976
Cp3 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% þ10% þ20% þ30% þ40% þ50%
Product 1 59.37% 58.34% 57.14% 55.68% 53.86% 33.52% 28.15% 22.27% 19.33% 17.87% 16.95%
Product 2 36.94% 36.94% 36.94% 36.94% 36.94% 30.66% 33.37% 36.40% 37.94% 38.71% 39.20%
Product 3 3.69% 4.72% 5.92% 7.38% 9.20% 35.82% 38.49% 41.33% 42.73% 43.42% 43.85%
Profit $1,519,127 $1,324,298 $1,131,911 $945,673 $769,875 $614,220 $588,220 $588,220 $588,220 $588,219 $588,219
600 J.-W. Ho, C.-C. Fang / Int. J. Production Economics 141 (2013) 593–604
5. Conclusion
Appendix A
1. The expressions of f i ðdÞ, F i ðdÞ, and Oi ðdÞ with respect to the uniform distribution:
Z Z
1 Di Di 2
f i ðDi Þ ¼ F ðD Þ ¼ f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ O ðD Þ ¼ F i ðDi ÞdDi ¼
UBi LBi i i UBi LBi i i 2ðUBi LBi Þ
2. The expressions of f i ðdÞ, F i ðdÞ, and Oi ðdÞ with respect to the exponential distribution:
Z Z
f i ðDi Þ ¼ li eli Di F i ðDi Þ ¼ f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ eli Di Oi ðDi Þ ¼ F i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ 1=li eli Di
3. The expressions of f i ðdÞ, F i ðdÞ, and Oi ðdÞ with respect to the gamma distribution:
Z
Di yi 1 eDi =gi Gðyi ,Di =gi Þ
f i ðDi Þ ¼ F i ðDi Þ ¼ f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼
Gðyi Þgi y i Gðyi Þ
Z
1
Oi ðDi Þ ¼ F i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ Gðyi Þ gi Gð1þ yi ,Di =gi ÞDi Gðyi ,Di =gi Þ
R1 R1
where Gðyi Þ ¼ 0 t yi 1 et dt, Gðyi ,Di =gi Þ ¼ Di =g t yi 1 et dt
i
4. The expressions of f i ðdÞ, F i ðdÞ, and Oi ðdÞ with respect to the normal distribution:
pffiffi Z Z Di Ei ½Di =pffiffi2si ½Di
1 2 1 2
f i ðDi Þ ¼ pffiffiffiffiffiffi eðDi Ei ½Di = 2si ½Di Þ F i ðDi Þ ¼ f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ pffiffiffiffi eDi dDi
2psi ½Di 0sffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi p 0 1
Z Z Di Ei ½Di =pffiffi2si ½Di
1 @ 2si ½Di 2 ðDi Ei ½Di =pffiffi2si ½Di Þ2 2 Di 2
Oi ðDi Þ ¼ F i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ e þ ðDi Ei ½Di Þ pffiffiffiffi e dDi A
2 p p 0
Appendix B
Proof.
1
lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ lim eli Di ¼ lim 0
Di -1 Di -1 Di -1 eli Di
R1 R1
‘Gðyi Þ ¼ 0 t yi 1 et dt and Gðyi ,Di =gi Þ ¼ Di =gi t yi 1 et dt
R1 R1
yi 1 et dt lim t yi 1 et dt R1
D =g t D -1 Di =gi t yi 1 et dt 0
‘ lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ lim R i1 i y 1 ¼ i R 1 y 1 R1
1 R1 0
Di -1 Di -1
0 t
i et dt 0 t
i et dt 0 t yi 1 et dt 0 t yi 1 et dt
Property 2. Based on Property 1, given the exponential or gamma demand pdf, lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 1 .
Di -0
Proof.
Z 1
_ f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ lim F i ðDi Þ lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 1 ) lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 1ð_ lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 0Þ
0 Di -1 Di -0 Di -0 Di -1
Proof.
Di
lim Di F i ðDi Þ ¼ lim Di eli Di ¼ lim 0 ð_ lim eli Di c lim Di Þ
Di -1 Di -1 Di -1 eli Di Di -1 Di -1
602 J.-W. Ho, C.-C. Fang / Int. J. Production Economics 141 (2013) 593–604
Proof.
Property 5. Based on Properties 3 and 4, given the exponential or gamma demand pdf, lim Oi ðDi Þ þ lim Oi ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di
Di -1 Di -0
Proof.
R1
_ 0 Di f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ Ei ½Di
Z 1 Z 1Z
‘ Di f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ lim Di F i ðDi Þ lim Di F i ðDi Þ f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ Ei ½Di
Di -1 Di -0
0 0
) lim Di F i ðDi Þ lim Di F i ðDi Þ lim Oi ðDi Þ lim Oi ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di
Di -1 Di -0 Di -1 Di -0
According to Properties 3 and 4, we have lim Di F i ðDi Þ lim Di F i ðDi Þ ¼ 0
Di -1 Di -0
Proof.
R1 R1
_Gð1þ yi ,Di =gi Þ ¼ Di =g t yi et dt and Gðyi ,Di =gi Þ ¼ Di =g t yi 1 et dt
i i
R R R1 R 1 y 1 t
gi D1i =gi tyi et dt Di D1i =gi tyi 1 et dt Di Di =g t yi 1 et dt Di =gi t
i e dt
¼ lim lim 0 i
lim
Di -1 Gðyi Þ Gðyi Þ Di -1 Gðyi Þ Di -1 Gðyi ÞDi 1
Property 7. Based on Properties 5 and 6, given the exponential or gamma demand pdf, lim Oi ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di .
Di -0
lim Oi ðDi Þ ¼ 0
Di -1
Proof. pffiffi
Z Di Ei ½Di = 2si ½Di Z 1
1 2 1 2
lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ lim pffiffiffiffi eDi dDi lim pffiffiffiffi eDi dDi
Di -1 Di -1 p 0 Di -1 p 0
Z 1 pffiffiffiffi
2 p
_ eDi dDi ¼
0 2
pffiffiffiffi
1 p 1
‘ lim F i ðDi Þ pffiffiffiffi ¼
Di -1 p 2 2
1
Property 9. Given the normal demand pdf, lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ .
Di -1 2
Proof.
Z 1
_ f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ lim F i ðDi Þ lim F i ðDi Þ ¼ 1
1 Di -1 Di -1
1
According to Property 8, we have lim F i ðDi Þ ¼
Di -1 2
1
‘ lim F i ðDi Þ ¼
Di -1 2
E ½D
Property 10. Given the normal demand pdf, lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ i i .
Di -1 2
Proof.
lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ
Di -1
qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
pffiffi
si ½Di 2 ðDi Ei ½Di = 2si ½Di Þ2 R Di Ei ½Di =pffiffi2si ½Di D 2 R Di Ei ½Di =pffiffi2si ½Di D 2
¼ lim e þ ð D i E i ½D i Þ p1ffiffiffi e i dDi D i p1ffiffiffi e i dDi
Di -1 2p p 0 p 0
qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi pffiffi pffiffi
2
si ½Di ðDi Ei ½Di = 2si ½Di Þ 2 R D 2 s 2
Epi ½D E ½D = ½D
¼ lim e2p
ffiffiffii i i i 0
i i
eDi dD i
Di -1 p
Ei ½Di
Property 11. Given the normal demand pdf, lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ .
Di -1 2
Proof.
R1
‘ 1 Di f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ Ei ½Di
R1 R
‘ lim Di F i ðDi Þ lim Di F i ðDi Þ 1 f i ðDi ÞdDi ¼ Ei ½Di
Di -1 Di -1
¼ lim Di F i ðDi Þ lim Di F i ðDi Þ lim Oi ðDi Þ lim Oi ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di
Di -1 Di -1 Di -1 Di -1
According to Property 10, we have lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½D
2
i
Di -1
‘ Ei ½Di
þ lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½Di
2Di -1
‘ lim Oi ðDi ÞDi F i ðDi Þ ¼ Ei ½D
2
i
Di -1
604 J.-W. Ho, C.-C. Fang / Int. J. Production Economics 141 (2013) 593–604
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