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# Sensitivity: Internal
Cost adjusted
for tax Wtd. Cost
7.3% 4.1%
11.0% 0.5%
6.4% 0.6%
4.6% 1.3%
6.6%
Interest Redempe
Par value Market value rate/Dividend tion value Term Growth rate
10 29 1.2 3%
100 98 9.0% 115 7
1000 1000 7.5% 1,100 5
6.5%
Redemption
value Total CF
-98
9
9
9
9
9
9
115 124
IRR 11.0%
Redemption
value Total CF
-1000
75
75
75
75
1,100 1175
IRR 9.2%
# Sensitivity: Internal
# of shares 1,000,000
M/Price 35
Do 2
g 4.50%
B) No Growth
Ke = Do / Po 5.7%
C) Constant Growth
Ke = D1 / Po + g 10.5%
D1 2.09
D) Variable Growth
Ke = Discount rate at which NPV is zero
Ke 10.5%
PV factor
(Discount PV of
E) Dividends Intrinsic value factor) dividends
1 year 1 2.30 0.905281127 2.08
2 year 2 2.40 0.819533918 1.97
3 year 3 2.35 0.741908589 1.74
4 year 4 2.40 0.671635843 1.61
5 year 5 2.45 42.94 0.608019253 1.49
Total 8.89
# Sensitivity: Internal
PV of
Intrinsic
value
26.11
26.11
# Sensitivity: Internal
Cost
adjusted for
WACC Amount Weight tax
Equity 1,750,000 39.8% 19.5%
P.Stock 1,150,000 26.1% 6.0%
Loan 1,500,000 34.1% 5.6%
Total 4,400,000 100.0%
# Sensitivity: Internal
Wtd. Cost
7.8%
1.6%
1.9%
11.2%
Growth rate
Market Redempe beyond year
value Interest rate tion value Term 5
35 10%
115 9% 100 6
8%
Total CF
(35.0)
3
3.5
3.8
4.2
62.8 Int. value = D1/ (Ke - g)
0.0
Total CF
-115
9
9
9
9
9
109
6%
# Sensitivity: Internal
Scenario Summary
Current Values: Ac1 Sc2
Changing Cells:
$E$10 15% 20% 25%
$E$12 8.0% 8.5% 9.0%
Result Cells:
$H$7 348,754 332,368 315,527
Notes: Current Values column represents values of changing cells at
time Scenario Summary Report was created. Changing cells for each
scenario are highlighted in gray.
# Sensitivity: Internal
Cost 20,000,000
*Registration 0.30%
*Road taxes 50,000
*Adjustable withholding income tax 1.00%
*Down payment %age of cost 15%
Insurance as %age of cost for 5 years 1%
Interest rate 8%
Lease period years 5
Instalment payment Monthly
Lease amount
Cost of vehicle 20,000,000
less: D/payemnt (3,000,000)
Amount leased 17,000,000
Insurance 200,000
Total lease by Bank 17,200,000
# Sensitivity: Internal
Annual Instalement 4,307,851
Monthly instalment 348,754
# Sensitivity: Internal
39 7,114,465 301,324 47,430 348,754 6,813,141
40 6,813,141 303,333 45,421 348,754 6,509,808
41 6,509,808 305,355 43,399 348,754 6,204,453
42 6,204,453 307,391 41,363 348,754 5,897,062
43 5,897,062 309,440 39,314 348,754 5,587,621
44 5,587,621 311,503 37,251 348,754 5,276,118
45 5,276,118 313,580 35,174 348,754 4,962,538
46 4,962,538 315,670 33,084 348,754 4,646,868
47 4,646,868 317,775 30,979 348,754 4,329,093
48 4,329,093 319,893 28,861 348,754 4,009,200
49 4,009,200 322,026 26,728 348,754 3,687,174
50 3,687,174 324,173 24,581 348,754 3,363,001
51 3,363,001 326,334 22,420 348,754 3,036,667
52 3,036,667 328,510 20,244 348,754 2,708,157
53 2,708,157 330,700 18,054 348,754 2,377,458
54 2,377,458 332,904 15,850 348,754 2,044,553
55 2,044,553 335,124 13,630 348,754 1,709,430
56 1,709,430 337,358 11,396 348,754 1,372,072
57 1,372,072 339,607 9,147 348,754 1,032,465
58 1,032,465 341,871 6,883 348,754 690,594
59 690,594 344,150 4,604 348,754 346,444
60 346,444 346,444 2,310 348,754 0
# Sensitivity: Internal
PV function Present value
Annual payment 10
No.of years 8 Yearly Discount factor
Discount rate 9% Payment
1 Year 1 10
2 Year 2 10
3 Year 3 10
4 Year 4 10
5 Year 5 10
6 Year 6 10
7 Year 7 10
8 Year 8 10
NPV function
# Sensitivity: Internal
$55.35
$55.35 8.7%
$106.37
Compound
factor FV
1.71382426878 17.13824
1.586874322944 15.86874
1.4693280768 14.69328
1.36048896 13.60489
1.259712 12.59712
1.1664 11.664
1.08 10.8
1 10
Total 106.3663
# Sensitivity: Internal
Tax rate 30%
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
PBT (4,000) 3,000 2,500 2,800
Tax rate 0% 30% 30% 30%
Tax - 900 750 840
Profit after tax (4,000) 2,100 1,750 1,960
# Sensitivity: Internal
Year 5 Year 6
3,000 (1,500)
30% 0%
900 -
2,100 (1,500)
Year 5 Year 6
3,000 1,500
30% 20%
900 300
2,100 1,200
Year 5 Year 6
3,000 1,500
30% 20%
900 300
2,100 1,200
# Sensitivity: Internal
Quantity ordered 1800
Total units
ordered 1600
Chargable
Balance units Units Slab units Price per unit Cost
1600 1000 1000 1.0 1,000
600 500 500 0.9 450
100 0 100 0.8 80
Total cost 1,530
# Sensitivity: Internal
0.25 0.5 0.75 1
5% Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
# Sensitivity: Internal
1.25 1.5
Year 5 Year 6
-3000 2500
0.94083481 0.9294286
(2,823) 2,324
PVs
(95.00)
4.25
4.01
3.78
3.57
3.37
3.18
3.00
2.84
2.68
64.31
0.00
# Sensitivity: Internal
Dep schedule 0 1
Ini cost 62,000
Dep rate 33.33%
Depreation 20,665
Acc De 20,665
NBV 41,335
0 1
1 Cost (60,000)
Installation (2,000)
Working capital (5,000)
Initaial CF (67,000)
Periodic
Savings 20,000
Add. Dep (20,665)
Net increase in profit (665)
Tax 38% 253
Net profit after tax (412)
Add Dep 20,665
2 Net operating CF 20,253
3 Working Capital
Net Cashflow (67,000) 20,253
NPV 12% (456)
# Sensitivity: Internal
2 3 4 5
2 3 4 5
5,000
22,872 15,889 14,146 17,400
# Sensitivity: Internal
1) Cashflows
2) No irrelevant cost
3) Incremental costs and benefits
4) Seggregation of Cashflows (Initial, Periodic, Terminal)
3)
# Sensitivity: Internal
s (Initial, Periodic, Terminal)
Initial CF
Operating CF
Savings 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000 100,000
Old depreciation 34,560 34,560 17,280 - -
New Dep 96,000 153,600 92,160 55,296 55,296
Incremental dep (61,440) (119,040) (74,880) (55,296) (55,296)
Terminal CF
Salvage value of new machine
Tax on Salvage value
Net Terminal CF
Cashflow for the Project (403,440) 84,576 107,616 89,952 82,118 82,118
# Sensitivity: Internal
Year 6 Year 7 Year 8
40,000
(16,000)
24,000
# Sensitivity: Internal
P&L
Revenue 15%
Costs 8%
Depreciation
Profits
Balance sheet
Assets
Cash
A/R 10%
Inventory 5%
Prepayments
Fixed assets
Total Assets
A/P 10%
Equity
CF Statement
1) Take the difference yoy
2) Rearrange
3) Adjustments
iii) A/R
# Sensitivity: Internal
Inventory
Prepayments
A/P
Change in Cash
Opening cash
Closing Cash
# Sensitivity: Internal
Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4
12,000 15,000 17,000 19,550 22,483
10,000 10,000 11,000 11,880 12,830
4,000 4,000 4,000 4,500
2,000 1,000 2,000 3,670 5,152
# Sensitivity: Internal
0 (500) (50) (44) (48)
- (450) - - 250
(0) 1,000 100 88 95
- (40,000) - - (5,000)
50,000 - - - (20,000)
# Sensitivity: Internal
Supporting Schedules
Asset 1 Year1 Year2 Year3 Year4 Year5 Year6 Year7 Year8 Year9
Cost 40,000
Dep 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,000
Acc. Dep 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,000 20,000 24,000 28,000 32,000 36,000
NBV 36,000 32,000 28,000 24,000 20,000 16,000 12,000 8,000 4,000
Asset 2
Cost 5000
Dep 500 500 500 500 500 500
Acc. Dep 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
NBV 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000
Total
Cost 40,000 - - 5,000 - - - - -
Dep 4,000 4,000 4,000 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500 4,500
Acc. Dep 4,000 8,000 12,000 16,500 21,000 25,500 30,000 34,500 39,000
NBV 36,000 32,000 28,000 28,500 24,000 19,500 15,000 10,500 6,000
# Sensitivity: Internal
Year10 Year11 Year12 Year13 Year14
4,000
40,000
-
- - - -
4,500 500 500 500
43,500 4,000 4,500 5,000
1,500 1,000 500 -
# Sensitivity: Internal
1 Return =Closing price/Opening price - 1
2 Risk Measured by Std Deviation of return
3 Portfolio Purpose is to reduce risk
Coefficient of Correlation =
〖𝐶𝑂𝑉〗 _(𝑎,𝑏)
Return of portfolio /(𝛿_(𝑎 ) 𝛿_𝑏 )
Wtd. Sum of Returns of individual investments
=√(𝑊_𝑎^2 𝛿_𝑎^2+𝑊_𝑏^2
Risk of portfolio
𝛿_𝑏^2+ 〖 2 𝑊_𝑎 𝑊_𝑏 𝐶𝑂𝑉 〗 _(𝑎,𝑏) )
VARa
# Sensitivity: Internal
Weights
A
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Weights Returns 70%
A 0% 3.0% 0.00% 80%
B 100% 1.2% 1.17% 90%
Weighted return 1.17% 100%
VARb COVa,b
0.00122027332 -0.0003767518
0.03493241069
# Sensitivity: Internal
Returns Rp Risk p
Chart Title
B A B 3.50%
100% 0.0296448 0.011667 1.17% 0.034932
3.00%
90% 0.0296448 0.011667 1.35% 0.03053
80% 0.0296448 0.011667 1.53% 0.0265762.50%
70% 0.0296448 0.011667 1.71% 0.023299
2.00%
60% 0.0296448 0.011667 1.89% 0.021021
50% 0.0296448 0.011667 2.07% 0.0200821.50%
40% 0.0296448 0.011667 2.25% 0.020666
1.00%
30% 0.0296448 0.011667 2.43% 0.022656
20% 0.0296448 0.011667 2.60% 0.0257270.50%
10% 0.0296448 0.011667 2.78% 0.029545
0.00%
0% 0.0296448 0.011667 2.96% 0.033857 0.018 0.02 0.022 0.024 0.026 0.028 0.03 0.032 0.034 0.036
# Sensitivity: Internal
0.03 0.032 0.034 0.036
# Sensitivity: Internal