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Full-length paper
Abstract
The Resource Curse explains the negative correlation between on the one hand the share of
natural resources in a country’s total export and on the other hand that country’s Gross
Domestic Product, purchasing power and human development. One of the cornerstones of
development is democracy and this paper attempts to explore the influence of natural
resources on a country’s democracy. Using data from various countries (including Suriname),
a strong negative correlation (R = 0.54) was found between the share of natural resources in
total exports and the level of democracy. The explanation for this was found in corruption
within governments and private companies, emerging conflicts, influence by vested interests,
NGOs straying away from their originally intended path, all induced by the aim of various
actors to capitalize on the exploitation of natural resources. Another reason for this correlation
can be found in the lack of Government efficiency and effectiveness due to insufficient
regulation, transparency, communication, etc. It appears that resource-rich countries are more
in the need of checks and balances than resource-scarce countries, but have paradoxically
fewer of them.
Correspondence to: Daniël A. Lachman. Applied Intellect, Leiding 11A, Paramaribo, Suriname. Tel: 597 323281. E-mail:
danny_lachman@yahoo.com
Available on-line March 29, 2010
25000
Switzerland
U.S.
Germany Canada
Purchase Power Parity (US $)
20000
Japan Sweden
France
U.K.
Singapore
15000
160
140
Human Development Index
Pakistan
120
India
Bolivia
100
Turkey Suriname Equador
80 Brazil Colombia
Malaysia
60 Russia Venezuela
Mexico
40 Lithuania Costa Rica
Korea Singapore R = 0.53 Argentina Chile
20 Germany U.K. U.S. France
Ireland Canada
Japan
0 Sweden
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
power and capacity between the developing country become more protective of their natural resources
and the multinational, explaining the unbalanced nature when prices for these raw materials increase (Collier,
of these contracts (Narlikar, 2001; Kwa, 2002). 2009). This has resulted in number of countries, such
as Venezuela, Bolivia and Russia, making attempts to
Lifting the curse turn the tide and to earn more from the exploitation of
Fortunately, there are some signs that some natural resources 4). This is achieved by either
countries now try to dispel the infamous Resource nationalizing assets of multinationals or by pressuring
Curse. As indicated in the beginning of this section, it multinational companies to offer (more) stake in their
can be expected that market prices for natural resources operations (Collier, 2009).
will increase in the long run. Apparently, nations
120
Pakistan Russia
100 Venezuela
Turkey Equador
Singapore
Democracy Index
80 Bolivia
Malaysia
R = 0.54
Mexico Colombia
60
Suriname
Argentina
40 Lithuania Brazil
Korea Chile
India Costa Rica
France
20 Japan U.K. U.S.
Germany Canada
Ireland
Switzerland Sweden
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
The impact on democracy officials are not willing to improve policies bend on
transparency and accountability, since this will refrain
This section explores a barely touched topic in them from further profiting from bribery. This is an
literature, namely the extent to which the possession by important issue as corruption is a significant
developing countries of abundant (high-value) natural determinant of policy quality (Pellegrini and Gerlagh,
resources negatively influences one of the cornerstones 2005).
of development, viz. democracy. This actually sounds Abovementioned effects are harmful for
paradoxically as it is generally believed that sufficient developing countries in particular, since the average
financial resources are required to manage and sustain income is relative low and people are therefore more
a proper democracy. Natural resources might then be a easily susceptible to corruption practice as a way to
good means to obtain these financial resources. increase the living standards, sustain their way of
However, reality suggests otherwise; Figure 3 living or simply to meet their basic needs.
depicts the level of material democracy for several To summarize, developing countries rich in natural
countries against the share of natural resources in their resources invite (unintended or not) corruption which
exports. In this graph, a low value for the democracy in turn negatively impacts democratic principles such
index indicates a sound material democracy as equality, transparency and accountability, since the
(Economist Intelligence Unit 2009), and as the graph level of democracy is partly dependent on the level of
shows, there appears to be a strong relation corruption (Tavits, 2007).
(regression-coefficient = 0.54) between a country’s
democracy index and the share of natural resources in Government efficiency and effectiveness
its exports. In other words, the more natural resources a Most raw materials follow cyclical price trends
country possesses, the more likely it will be that that on world markets. This implies for developing
particular country experiences a relative low level of countries dependent on natural resources that their
democracy 5). income fluctuates with commodity prices. This makes
it hard for these countries to support their institutions
Corruption that form the stronghold of their democracy (Salman,
Natural resource exploiting firms are not only 2007). Furthermore, fluctuations of commodity prices
valued based on their management practices and make it difficult for the electorate to determine whether
production output, but in large part also on their the Government makes sound decisions. When
possession of concession rights. These firms often have commodity prices are high, the Government receives
many shareholders. The golden rule for these more income and is often tempted to execute so-called
companies: maximizing shareholder profit on the short “white elephant” projects. Even if the Government
term which in reality does not always coincide with spills a lot of the financial resources (in particular with
best management practices, which generally tend to regard to corruption, as explained previously), it can
have a longer term view. Resource exploiting firms still meet the needs of the people (since it has sufficient
therefore put a lot of effort into gaining possession of income), who in turn create a positive image of their
concession rights. History has shown that this often Government. This image-building accelerates when
leads to a situation where the multi-billion dollar firm Government has the financial means to use the media
buys off a number of governmental people, or utilize to influence the electorate, as is the case in Venezuela
8)
elites 6), in order to obtain exploitation rights (Chang, (Garcia-Guadilla, 2005). On the other hand, during
2008). times of low commodity prices the Government might
As a matter of fact, less than a decade ago take sound decisions and use their limited resources in
expenses made to bribe foreign governments were tax- an efficient and effective manner, but can not get the
deductible for French companies. When these practices electorate on its side, since it can not meet the needs of
often occur, this ultimately results in a situation where the people (Salman, 2007).
a government official expects to receive some sort of Earlier in this article, the problem of government
payment when granting a step forward in the process of officials, deliberately stagnating policy improvements
obtaining concession rights (Collier, 2009) 7). to safeguard illegal payments, was discussed.
Another danger of an abundance of resources is However, this phenomenon can also occur at a higher
the fact that public sector employees often “reserve” level of the reigning political party or parties. Since the
exploitation / concession rights for family members or Government is the recipent of lucrative bribes from
friends, knowing they can get a portion of the profits actors in resource exploitation, it is bent to do anything
(Sankatsing, 2008). This can even escalate to the level to stay in power after the next election; losing elections
of political parties, where the ruling party grants simply means losing profit. On their way to the
permissions only to their main (financial) contributors elections, Government expenditures are even spent on
(more on this when the issue of elites is discussed) or campaigns of the ruling political party, and vice versa,
members (Garcia-Guadilla, 2005). This distorts the political party is willing to finance to Government’s
democracy in a significant way, since people vote for a expenditures, such as white-elephant projects, to win
party knowing that they can get a share of the profit, over the electorate (Collier 2009). Once in power, the
and therefore do not judge the political party on their political party now turns to corruption to gain their
actual performance. Another result of the two above- return on the “investments” done towards the elections.
mentioned corruption practices is that government The more profound result of this situation is that
Governments are merely interested in the cliché The second form of selective development is
“winning the next election” and have therefore a short- actually the mirror image of the first one discussed, and
term vision, rather than formulating long-term deals with the situation where resource-rich regions
strategies in order to tackle deeply rooted issues. supply resource-scarce regions in a country, while
The electorate’s view on Government efficiency marginal income of the exploitation flows back to the
and effectiveness with regards to expenditures is also inhabitants of resource-rich regions. Usually, the only
clouded when state-owned resource exploiting firms benefits for local communities near resource
(which can make enormous profits when commodity exploitation are low-wage job opportunities 11), and
prices are high) finance these expenditures 9). In community projects financed by the exploiting firms.
developing countries, these firms are often one of the This form of selective development also results in
few employers left that can afford to offer sound labor neglect of the needs and demands of the inhabitants of
conditions (such as decent salaries, free health care, resource-rich regions (Larson, Anne M., Pacheco,
pension plans etc.). Because of these conditions, but Pablo, Toni Fabiano, e.a. 2007).
also due to the fact that top positions in these state-
owned firms are often politically taken, top Influence of elites
management is left with little choice to meet the Since elites have been able to secure far-reaching
demands of the Government for financial aid (Garcia- possibilities of influence on political processes, they
Guadilla, 2005). These transfers are usually kept secret have the power to deafen the Government to the voices
from the public, who therefore can not make a sound of society (Garcia-Guadilla, 2005). One of the ways
judgment regarding the Government’s expenditure they are able to do this is through their financial
efficiency and effectiveness. contributions to political parties; it is therefore more a
Decentralization of governing power is seen as rule than an exception that political parties are
one of the most important processes to improve undemocratic (Sankatsing, 2008).
involvement of the public. It decreases the time A striking example is the group of large estate
required for reaching a decision (and the time required owners in the North-Eastern part of Brazil, who in
to have plans implemented) and thus increases reality rule over all other people through their influence
efficiency. Unfortunately, resource-rich developing on local government. They are able to expose
countries are more likely to refrain from employees to harsh and severe labor conditions with
decentralization processes, as it means that relatively minimal payment, without any complaints from local
high-placed Government officials give power (for governmental offices or Non-Governmental
instance, to grant concessions and exploitation rights) Organizations, such as labor unions.
to local levels, and can not receive bribes 10) (Berg- Maybe even more important, apart from
Schlosser and Kersting, 2003). influencing political processes, elites are also able to
put their mark on the judiciary; their influence has
Selective development of regions penetrated to such an extent that elites can influence
Obviously, natural resources are not evenly the judicial system to ensure that any verdict will not
distributed across a country, but tend to be more be disadvantageous to them, which is a breach of the
concentrated in certain regions. This usually leads to Trias Politica and democracy (Berg-Schlosser and
one of the following two situations. The first situation Kersting, 2003).
is where the Government focuses on the resource-rich Because of their international network, elites
part of the country; political parties are influenced in often also play an important role in settling disputes
choosing and developing their strategies by the between resource exploiting firms (usually
resource gap between regions in the country. At first, multinationals) and local populations. However, it
this might seem plausible, but not all inhabitants live in appears that elites do this more in the favor of the firms
or near such areas. Since the resources at hand for the themselves (Salman, 2007). This can often also be seen
Government are finite, areas poor in natural resources in their role as negotiators with multinationals
receive little attention for development compared to regarding exploitation contracts. Though the elites, as
areas that have abundant resources. The Government negotiators, are on the payroll of the Government, it
simply deems it uneconomical to meet the often happens that they are bribed in various ways,
requirements of the inhabitants of resource-scarce from offering large sums of money to securing a job
regions. Over time, this policy widens the gap between position for themselves or their offspring in the
resource-rich and resource-scarce areas. This exploiting firm. This frequently leads to deals which
simultaneously induces migration to the richer parts of are very favorable for the firm, but not as much for the
the country, not only further widening the gap, but also Government, or more importantly, the local population
creating tensions in crowded becoming regions with (Salman, 2007; Writers, 2009a).
regards to housing, jobs, health care etc. This
phenomenon of attention focused solely on resource- Effects of globalization
rich regions neglects portions of a country’s The phenomenon that is known as
population, and is called in this paper “selective “globalization” globally intertwines societies at all
development”. It occurs primarily in countries where levels, through improvement of information handling
the overall level of development is relatively low and and affordable and improving transportation
where the resource exploitation industry is in relative (Friedman, 2007). Multinationals can therefore
infant stages of development (Carbone, 2003). penetrate deeper and easier into societies of developing
- anti-corruption laws, with proper definition of income from the metals export is the result of the fact that 25
responsibilities and accountabilities; of the largest mining companies operating there do not have
- transparency standards; to pay any royalties to the government of Peru. This is the
- prevention of conflict of interests; result of contracts signed in the nineties which were actually
unfavorable for Peru.
- securing land owning rights of indigenous people; 4)
President Hugo Chavez obligated foreign oil companies to
- defining long-term strategies for the entire country, sign new contracts and to form a joint venture with the
complete with planning, scheduling, roles and Venezuelan oil company PDVSA. This resulted in an
responsibilities; enormous increase of income for Venezuela. In 2006, Bolivia
- demanding a minimum rate of return when the exhibited a similar effort in nationalizing all oil and gas
Government invests in projects; fields. These attempts to regain control of natural resources
- putting all efforts in place to have (foreign and are not unique to Latin-America. Russia voided a contract
domestic) subject experts on the Government side at with the powerful Shell Company regarding the Sachalin II -
the negotiation table etc. project, even though Shell had already invested several
billions of dollars in the project.
These efforts will also diminish the negative 5)
The concept of democracy can be divided into formal and
influence of the elite on democracy in the presence of material democracy (Breeveld, 2009). Formal democracy
abundant resources (Menke, 2003). refers to the extent to which institutes, structures, and
A country that takes this approach to exploit its instruments exist to support and exercise democracy.
natural resources is Botswana (Lehrer, 2009). The Material democracy goes one step further and represents the
country used to be a clear example of the Resource extent to which these institutes, structures and instruments
Curse, because of disadvantageous mining contracts. function correctly. Democracy is used in this paper in the
Fortunately, it broke open the contracts, and sense of material democracy.
6)
renegotiated after hiring international experts. Elites are here defined as groups of people who are able to
deliberately exert significant influence on society
Furthermore, it adopted a law which obliges the
(Schalkwijk, 2003). They often have gathered their
Government to have a minimum rate of return on the influential power from an international network they are part
investments it does (Collier, 2009). These checks of (Schuster, 2003)
marked the escape from the Curse. 7)
In Nigeria, government officials are often asked the
Another example of checks that are deemed question “How much?”, since it is well-known that it has
crucial for proper functioning of democratic become custom that a large portion of the Government
institutions can be found in the oil industry, namely the request (illegal) payment for a performed service.
8)
fact that the so-called hydrocarbons-law is seen by In the case of Venezuela, the leftist regime led by Hugo
many as an indicator of political stability (Writers, Chavez used the media on a large scale not only to influence
the electorate, but also to spread a positive image of his
2009). regime outside the Venezuelan borders through the
With regard to the Surinamese context, as figures foundation of TeleSur, a region-wide broadcasting television
1, 2 and 3 have shown, Suriname is also subjected to channel.
the Resource Curse. Checks and balances therefore 9)
In this regard, the president of Venezuela, Hugo Chavez,
need to be put into place to lift the Curse in order to changed the complete top management of the state-owned
guarantee a sustainable path to the future. Venezuelan oil company PDVSA. This led to a number of
strikes which the Government hoped to halt by firing
protesting employees. This effort failed hopelessly,
Notes paralyzing the firm and leading Venezuela into a serious –
1) albeit short – crisis in 2002 – 2003.
Of course, there is a handful number of countries, apart 10)
Of course, bribery can still exist, but now at a lower
from the mentioned examples as Australia and Canada, Government level, viz. the local level.
which have fared well through the use of natural resources, 11)
Because of the low level of development in the resource-
such as the countries in the Middle East. Some of these rich areas, the inhabitants of these areas often do not have the
countries have even been able to earn billions of dollars for a education or experience to get well-paid jobs in the resource
relative small number of inhabitants. However, these exploiting firms.
countries experience a very low level of democracy; literally, 12)
Regime change does therefore not automatically mean that
authoritarian rule is the norm rather than the exception here. efforts will be taken to put a halt to corruption practices.
Therefore development in these countries is not a society 13)
Some claim that this was the root cause of the slaughter in
induced and endorsed process, but rather the project of a Darfur between Africans and Arabs (Welzer, 2009)
small elite group imposed upon the people.
2)
In the early seventies of the previous century, during the
Oil Crisis, the Netherlands capitalized greatly on their huge References
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Ahmadali, Basharat 2009. Democratie, Decentralisatie en
rocketed, increasing the demand for the Dutch currency
lokaal bestuur. Lecture provided at the Institute of
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other Dutch exports too expensive for foreign consumers Berg-Schlosser, Dirk and Kersting Norbert eds. 2003. Poverty
(Collier, 2009). and Democracy, self-help and political participation in
3)
One of the most striking examples in this regard is the case third world cities. Zed Books, London
of Peru: the country is Latin-America’s top producer of tin, Bohman, James 2006. Democracy, solidarity and global
lead, zinc, silver, gold among other metals, and there are exclusion. In: Philosophy Social Criticism. Vol.: 32,
several large multinationals active in the mining industry Issue: 809, Sage Publications, London
Breeveld, Hans 2009. Democratie, Participatie en
there. However, the income from these activities amounts to
Besluitvorming in Politieke Partijen. Lecture provided at
only 60 % of the export (and Peru doesn’t really have any the Institute of Graduate Studies and Research, 27
other significant industry) and the GDP is still very low, May, Paramaribo
which can be seen from the striking poverty in Peru. The low