Date Lesson Comments Kavleen’s Version

Jan 16/17 Messy Data (KS) / Radians (DB) Messy Data (KS) / Radians (DB)

20/21 Spreadsheet / FA1 Radians with arc length and area of

sector and Segment (KS)

22/23 Trig Models y=a sin(bx-c) + d Trig Models y=a sin(bx-c) + d

Day 1 24/27 Trig Models 27 - Deadline Trig Models

for Data 3pm

29/30 FA2 Statistics Basics 4.1

31/3 Statistics Basics 4.1 Data Presentation 4.2

Feb 4/5 SA1 (Modelling) SA1 (Modelling Data)

Day 1 6/7 Statistics Basics 4.1 Measures Centrality / Dispersion 4.3

10/11 Data Presentation 4.2 Measures Centrality / Dispersion 4.3

12/13 Data Presentation 4.2 13 - SA2 Bivariate Analysis 4.4

Submission
Deadline

14 Measures Centrality / Dispersion 17-21:

4.3 Residence Trip Spearman’s rank correlation
coefficient, r and Non linear
regression which we have already
done during functions.

4.10

24/25 Measures Centrality / Dispersion Probability Basics 4.5/

4.3 Venn,Probability Laws 4.6

26/27 Measures Centrality / Dispersion FA3 Conditional probability and

4.3 independent events

Day 1 28/2 Bivariate Analysis 4.4 Discrete RVs 4.7

Mar 3/4 Bivariate Analysis 4.4 FA4 Binomial Distribution 4.8

5/9 Probability Basics 4.5 6 - PTM

Poisson distribution, its mean
and variance AH.L 4.17

11/12 Probability Basics 4.5 10-Holiday, Normal Distribution 4.9

14-22 Spring
Break FA5

Day 1 13/23 Venn,Probability Laws 4.6 Normal Distribution 4.9

24/26 Venn,Probability Laws 4.6 25-Holiday Linear Transformation or expected

algebra AHL 4.14/4.15 for discrete
 and continuous variables.

27/30 Venn,Probability Laws 4.6 FA6 Unbiased Estimators AHL 4.14

31/1 Discrete RVs 4.7 Unbiased Estimators AHL 4.14

Day 1 2/3 SA3 Probability Central limit theorem AHL 4.15

Apr 6/7 Discrete RVs 4.7 Confidence interval AHL 4.16

8/9 Binomial Distribution 4.8 10-Holiday Confidence interval AHL4.16

13/14 Binomial Distribution 4.8 Hypothesis testing 4.11

D1 15/16 Normal Distribution 4.9 Hypothesis testing 4.11

17/20 Normal Distribution 4.9 T-test 4.18

21/22 Spearmans Rank 4.10 T-test-AHL 4.18

23/24 Spearmans Rank 4.10 Chi sq 4.11

D1 27/28 Hypoth/Chi/t Tests 4.11 Chi sq 4.11

29/30 Hypoth/Chi/t Tests 4.11 Test for proportion binomial and

Poisson AHL 4.18

May 4/5 Survey Methods, Reliability and Matrices AHL 1.14

Validity test 4.12

6/7 Non-linear Regression and Least Matrices AHL 1.14

Squares methods 4.13

D1 8/11 Transformation of RVs and Matrices AHL 1.14

Expectation Algebra 4.14

12/13 Linear combination of Normal RVs Matrices AHL 1.14

4.15

14/15 Confidence Intervals of Means 4.16

18/19 Poisson distribution 4.17

D1 20/21 EOY Exams EOY Exams

22/25 EOY Exams EOY Exams

26/27 EOY Exams EOY Exams

28/29 EOY Exams EOY Exams

D1 1/2 IA Prep IA Prep

Jun 3/4 IA Prep IA Prep

5/8 Critical Values and Regions 4.18 Transition Matrices 4.19

9 Transition Matrices 4.19 Transition Matrices 4.19

Topic Content Guidance, clarification and syllabus links

S4.1 Concepts of population, sample, random sample, discrete This is designed to cover the key questions that students
and continuous data. should ask when they see a data set/analysis.

S4.1 Reliability of data sources and bias in sampling. Dealing with missing data, errors in the recording of
data.

S4.1 Interpretation of outliers. Outlier is defined as a data item which is more than 1.5 ×
interquartile range (IQR) from the nearest quartile.
Awareness that, in context, some outliers are a valid
part of the sample but some outlying data items may be
an error in the sample.
Link to: box and whisker diagrams (SL4.2) and measures
of dispersion (SL4.3).

S4.1 Sampling techniques and their effectiveness. Simple random, convenience, systematic, quota and
stratified sampling methods.

S4.2 Presentation of data (discrete and continuous): frequency Class intervals will be given as inequalities, without gaps.
distributions (tables).

S4.2 Histograms. Frequency histograms with equal class intervals.

Cumulative frequency; cumulative frequency graphs; use Not required: Frequency density histograms.
to find median, quartiles, percentiles, range and
interquartile range (IQR).

S4.2 Production and understanding of box and whisker Use of box and whisker diagrams to compare two
diagrams. distributions, using symmetry, median, interquartile
range or range. Outliers should be indicated with a cross.
Determining whether the data may be normally
distributed by consideration of the symmetry of the box
and whiskers.

S4.3 Measures of central tendency (mean, median and mode). Calculation of mean using formula and technology.
Estimation of mean from grouped data. Students should use mid-interval values to estimate the
mean of grouped data.

S4.3 Modal class. For equal class intervals only.

S4.3 Measures of dispersion (interquartile range, standard Calculation of standard deviation and variance of the
deviation and variance). sample using only technology, however hand
calculations may enhance understanding.
Variance is the square of the standard deviation.

S4.3 Effect of constant changes on the original data. Examples: If three is subtracted from the data items,
then the mean is decreased by three, but the standard
deviation is unchanged.
If all the data items are doubled, the mean is doubled
and the standard deviation is also doubled.

S4.3 Quartiles of discrete data. Using technology. Awareness that different methods for
finding quartiles exist and therefore the values obtained
using technology and by hand may differ.
Topic Content
S4.4 Linear correlation of bivariate data.
Pearson’s product-moment correlation coefficient, r.
S4.4 Scatter diagrams; lines of best fit, by eye, passing through
the mean point.
S4.4 Equation of the regression line of y on x.
Use of the equation of the regression line for prediction
purposes.
Interpret the meaning of the parameters, a and b, in a
linear regression y=ax+b.
S4.5 Concepts of trial, outcome, equally likely outcomes,
relative frequency, sample space (U) and event.
The probability of an event A is P(A)=n(A)n(U).
The complementary events A and A′ (not A).
S4.5 Expected number of occurrences.
S4.6 Use of Venn diagrams, tree diagrams, sample space
diagrams and tables of outcomes to calculate
probabilities.
S4.6 Combined events: P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B).
Mutually exclusive events: P(A∩B)=0.
S4.6 Conditional probability: P(A|B)=P(A∩B)/P(B).
S4.6 Independent events: P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B).
Guidance, clarification and syllabus links
Technology should be used to calculate r. However,
hand calculations of r may enhance understanding.
Critical values of r will be given where appropriate.
Students should be aware that Pearson’s product
moment correlation coefficient (r) is only meaningful for
linear relationships.
Positive, zero, negative; strong, weak, no correlation.
Students should be able to make the distinction
between correlation and causation and know that
correlation does not imply causation.
Technology should be used to find the equation.
Students should be aware:
•
of the dangers of extrapolation
•
that they cannot always reliably make a prediction of x
from a value of y, when using a yon x line.
Sample spaces can be represented in many ways, for
example as a table or a list.
Experiments using coins, dice, cards and so on, can
enhance understanding of the distinction between
experimental (relative frequency) and theoretical
probability.
Simulations may be used to enhance this topic.
Example: If there are 128 students in a class and the
probability of being absent is 0.1, the expected number
of absent students is 12.8.
The non-exclusivity of “or”.
An alternate form of this is:
PA∩B)=P(B)P(A|B).
Problems can be solved with the aid of a Venn diagram,
tree diagram, sample space diagram or table of
outcomes without explicit use of formulae.
Probabilities with and without replacement.
Topic Content Guidance, clarification and syllabus links

S4.7 Concept of discrete random variables and their probability Probability distributions will be given in the following
distributions. ways:
Expected value (mean), EX for discrete data.
Applications.

E(X)=0 indicates a fair game where X represents the gain

of a player.

S4.8 Binomial distribution. Situations where the binomial distribution is an

Mean and variance of the binomial distribution.
appropriate model.
In examinations, binomial probabilities should be found
using available technology.
Not required: Formal proof of mean and variance.
Link to: expected number of occurrences (SL4.5).

S4.9 The normal distribution and curve.
Properties of the normal distribution.
Diagrammatic representation.
Awareness of the natural occurrence of the normal
distribution.
Students should be aware that approximately 68% of the
data lies between μ±σ, 95% lies between μ±2σ and
99.7% of the data lies between μ±3σ.

S4.9 Normal probability calculations. Probabilities and values of the variable must be found
using technology.

S4.9 Inverse normal calculations For inverse normal calculations mean and standard
deviation will be given.
This does not involve transformation to the standardized
normal variable z.

LEFT FOR NEXT YEAR

From Number and Algebra:

From Statistics and probability

From Geometry and Trig

And FULL CALCULUS.