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Journal of Politics, Culture, and Society
While most writers who analyze the reformist and radical changes
which occurred in Chile during the late 1960s and early 1970s focus
on party Congressional struggles, presidential politics, and person?
alities, and electoral processes and institutional forces, the major
driving force that erupted and pushed through the most significant
changes were the social movements. The massive urban squatter
movements, the peasant land occupations, and the unauthorized
strikes pressured the Christian Democrats toward accepting or
legalizing changes already underway. Moreover, when the regime
faltered or failed to respond to the movements from below, its
support declined and the political initiative shifted to the left. The
electoral victory of Allende and the parliamentary left were bene
fitted enormously?in fact were made possible?by the massive
popular upsurge of the 1960s, and the ultimate success of their ascent
to power was the opposition's fear of a massive popular insurrec?
tion.1 The most important changes in property relations, social
organization, and political representation took place because of the
mass movements: the land occupations hastened the agrarian
reform; the factory takeovers vastly expanded the social sector of the
economy; the industrial and municipal mobilizations led to the
formation of workers' and popular governing councils (cinturones
industriales, comandos comunales). Even the Socialist Government
frequently lagged behind the movements. At best they legalized
what was already accomplished and at worst they resisted the
movements or tried to subordinate them to the existing institutional
order.
Social scientists and journalists, focusing as they have on the
institutional order, the electoral system, and its persona, have
greatly distorted the dynamics of Chilean political developments,
mistakenly attributing praise or blame to the political class, a
mistake the Pinochet dictatorship did not make when it launched
the full fury of its attack at precisely the structure, leaders, and
collective consciousness of the popular movements. Between 1965
1973 the political class at best weakly refracted the dynamic struggle
and profound changes which were initiated and consumated from
below and outside of the established institutions and "rules of the
game."
The most far-reaching changes in Peru took place during the late
1960s and early 1970s under the Velasco military regime. In large
part, its agrarian reform and nationalist policies were a response to
the massive agrarian movements unleashed from the late 1950s to
the middle 1960s. Many members of the military who were involved
in the counterinsurgency campaign were deeply influenced by, and
fearful of, the mass peasant movements, and undertook their
reforms in order to head-off a more radical transformation.2 The
movements in the squatter settlements?the extensive self-organized
barriadas?forced the regime to try to develop its own counter
1. My interview with the Minister of Justice of the outgoing Frei regime confirmed
this view.
2. As one general told me at the time, "We recognized the justice of their cause, we
only differed in the way in which the agrarian reform was being carried out. We
wanted it to take place within the constitutional order [sic]."
would retain its power and prerogatives within both the military
domain and the civilian regime. The military regime's primary
concern upon coming to power was to establish a new economic
model based on a "free-market" dogma. Essentially, this meant the
elimination of state regulations of financial flows, lowering or
elimination of tariff barriers, an open door to foreign investment,
and the free convertability of local currency into dollars. The result
of this model was an economy heavily based on foreign financing
and the creation of a stratum of Latin American capitalists whose
profits were increasingly invested abroad. This economic model,
and the international linkages between local and overseas financial
institutions and investors that it entailed, was maintained and even
extended by the civilian electoral regimes. The maintenance of the
international linkages included the electoral regime's assumption of
the debt, the continuance of debt payments, and provision of
guarantees to foreign capital. In other words, the military-civilian
pact was designed to defuse mass discontent and channel it into an
electoral arena which would operate within the socioeconomic
framework and military institutions of the past. This transition
combined regime changes and structural continuities.
The second conception of a democratic transition flowed from the
activities of the social movements. The economic crisis and social
polarization interacted with the long-term structural factors to
detonate popular antidictatorial movements. The transitional pro?
cess, seen through the eyes of the movement activists, envisioned a
series of comprehensive changes: public investment instead of
private speculation; social welfare over debt payments; prosecution
of military criminals and the democratic restructuring of the
military; redistribution of land and income in place of the neoliberal
practices of concentrating capital and landownership. The popular
movements envisioned this transition as a rupture with the neo?
liberal model of the military dictatorship, not its continuity through
an electoral regime.
While the military regimes were weakening, the social movements
had yet to gain the strength to project an alternative. As a result,
with the exception of Nicaragua, the outcome was an elite-pacted
transition. This process of transition from the military dictatorship
to electoral regimes basically has three stages.
The first involves the ascendancy of the electoral elite political
class, the temporary subordination of the social movements to the
electoral machinery, power-sharing between the military, the civil?
ian regime, and the economic elites. The sociopolitical movements
that make possible the transition do not benefit. The political class
flow out as profits for overseas banks; negative growth rates and
declining living standards undermine much of the salaried middle
class. Mass disaffection spreads the length and breadth of the
continent?leading to general strikes and the strengthening of
popular movements in their opposition to the regime.
At the electoral level the neoliberal electoral regime faces another
crisis everywhere. Social mobilization and mass protests in Brazil
led to the defeat of President Sarney's candidates in all major and
many secondary cities during the municipal elections of 1988.
Alfonsin's Radical Party was defeated by the Peronists in the
gubernatorial elections and were roundly defeated in the national
elections in May 1989. The electoral results are only surface mani?
festations of the underlying social processes; at a deeper level, the
decline in the liberal regimes leads to polarization of Latin American
society.
From the Right the military is reactivated as a major political
actor. "Death squads" closely linked to the military have emerged in
Colombia to disarticulate and destroy the autonomous civic move?
ments in order to rechannel politics into the two-party system.
Guatemala and El Salvador are dubbed "death squad democracies"
because political assasinations now take place under an electoral
regime, most of the killings directed at unarmed movement activists.
A state of siege exists in most parts of Peru, as President Garcia
relies more and more on the military to contain the discontent
resulting from failures of social-democratic experiments and ad?
verse impact of his later neoliberal policies. Sixteen thousand
deaths, mostly state-induced killings of rural activists, is the count
in Peru. In Brazil, Sarney relies more and more on the military to
control popular protest, leading to violent attacks and occasional
murders of striking industrial workers (eg., in the steel worker's
strike of 1988). In Argentina, the Alfonsin regime moved from
absolving the military of criminal actions to capitulating to them. In
December 1988, the Minister of Defense went so far as to praise the
military's dirty war and murder of 30,000 Argentines as a necessary
defense against subversion. In late January, Alfonsin established a
National Security Council to oversee internal security, thus opening
the door for the potential return of military power.
The failure of the liberal electoral regimes has led to the militariza?
tion of politics, sponsored and promoted by civilian governments.
The political counterpart of this failure has been the militarization
of control over the renewed activism of the social movements.
In addition to the right turn within the existing electoral regime,
the extreme right at the margins of the regimes is gaining strength
for the radical left suggest that a decisive confrontation may soon be
approaching. Peru's political class is sitting on a time bomb with
shrinking political space within which to maneuver. Politics is
drifting toward militarization and civil war: the cities are increas?
ingly occupied by the rural poor, refugees from poverty and militari?
zation; and the upper classes fortify themselves in the shrinking
enclaves of San Isidro, Monterrico, Miraflores, pressing for decisive
military action. And, of course, the larger questions remain: Can the
left ever unify behind a coherent program? Can it merge with the
social movements and meet the challenge from the armed right? Will
the left political class's electoral ambitions and international ties to
foundations and social democracy be stronger than their links to the
radicalized social movements?
Central America, particularly in El Salvador, Nicaragua, and
Guatemala, was the epicenter of movement mobilization during the
late 1970s and early 1980s. Throughout the 1970s, and despite severe
repression, the movements grew in scope, breadth, and intensity. In
Nicaragua, the urban insurrections paved the way for the Sandi?
nista movements, integration of women, barrio, and civic move?
ments. Without the movements, the bourgeois and Communist
parties were incapable of mounting any pressure to overthrow
Somoza. Only the movements with their flexible format, face-to-face
organization, and grassroots structure could sustain and even
intensify their activity in the face of the genocidal policies of the
U.S.-backed Somoza regime. The success of the Sandinistas was
possible precisely because they were able to fuse their goals and
actions with those of the movements, thereby providing itself with a
claim to state power.
In El Salvador, the dense network of peasant and urban organi?
zation included the greater part of the economically active popula?
tion. Christian base communities, neighborhood associations,
unemployed youth movements, trade unions, teachers' unions, and
entire villages and regions were organized into institutions of
popular power. In contrast to Nicaragua, however, massive U.S.
military intervention in the form of military missions, billions of
dollars in aid, and, above all, the organization of state terror,
decimated the social movements: between 60,000 and 70,000 move?
ment activists, sympathizers, or supporters were executed in a
period of 10 years.
Eight years after these blood purges, the social movements have
reemerged to challenge the electoral political class and their military
police allies. The resilency of the social movements is given to them
by the deep popular roots of their democratic experience in the 1970s
Conclusion
liberal regimes have shattered any residual hold which worn out
rhetoric might have had on the democratic practice of popular
movements.
The deep contradictions between the concentration and central?
ization of financial and export capital and the declining incomes
and increasing precariousness of the working class have exploded
the consensual politics that the postmodernist ideologues postulate
as the realist conception of democratic consolidation. In retrospect,
the decline of the electoral regimes is precisely the responsibility of
the postmodernist ideologues who willfully accepted the subordina?
tion of the electoral process to a pact with the departing military,
who accepted the debt obligations and the neoliberal export model,
and thus provoked the deep socioeconomic fissures that have
agitated society from top to bottom.