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with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to The Journal of Politics
PETER RANIS
State University of New York at Stony Brook
[ 798 ]
mentalism, that is, of not going too fast and too far afield from
tried formulas nor violating abruptly that which has been achieved.
Vast sectors of Latin America's politically socialized3 groups ap-
pear to have reached a level of cooperative and mutual political
bargaining regarding some of the hitherto most deeply-divisive social
issues. Institutionally, few groups in Latin America would opt for
implanting a dictatorially-conceived totalitarian political structure.
Bonapartist Fascism of the Peron variety has been largely discred-
ited, as have the harshness and dislocations of the Castro-led ex-
periment. The nineteenth-century version of unencumbered capitalism
is as out-of-style with Latin America's political culture as is an
all-controlling state supervision over every aspect of the domestic
market. Complete disengagement from U. S. investments and U. S.
political interests is considered unrealistic today, but so also is the
acceptance of an unchecked flow of U. S. investment and U. S.
assistance. The Church-State issue has been reasonably interred.
Although the Church is recognized symbolically as part of the
nation's official personality and accepted as an influential partner
in political socialization within essentially private sectors of politi-
cal life, its public force has been relegated to a perceptibly smaller
role. This is exemplified by the positions taken by Christian Demo-
cratic parties, both in and out of power.
Centralism versus decentralism, the federal-unitary struggle that
for so long immersed many Latin American nations in tragic in-
ternal conflicts, has also been resolved. The acknowledged winner
in every case has been the central government which has acted
moderately and reasonably enough to avoid secessionist movements
or extreme domestic discontent. Certainly in the federal systems of
Mexico, Brazil, Venezuela, and Argentina, a bargain among un-
equal powers has been forged which has not deterred the increas-
ing control and competence exercised by national governments. Ad-
vocates of complete parcelization of land are as infrequent as those
who would leave the nation's natural resources in the control
'It is difficult to say just who makes up these groups but there are some
helpful statistics: voter turnout figures are given in the Statistical Abstract of
Latin America (Los Angeles) and there are various county electoral analyses
by the Institute for the Comparative Study of Political Systems (Washington,
D. C.); urbanization indices are provided by United Nations Demographic
Yearbook; figures for total work force in the industrial sector are included in
United Nations Statistical Yearbook. There are many economic indices surveys
published by the Economic Commission for Latin America (New York).
A duality of parties does not always exist, but almost always there
is a duality of tendencies. Every policy implies a choice between two
kinds of solution, the so-called compromise solutions lean one way or
the other. This is equivalent to saying that the center does not exist
in politics. There may well be a center party but there is no center
tendency, no center doctrine.7 [Italics mine.]
7Maurice Duverger, Political Parties (New York: John Wiley, 1963), p. 215.
A MOBILITY/PERCEPTION SCHEME
FIGURE I
Isolator
Mobility
Resistor
Aggregat or
parties are competing for what they feel is the center of the
political spectrum-the aggregator-innovator box-where., it is like
ly now and increasingly so in the future, the bulk of the votes are.
The tendency to merge toward the "power centers" appears to be
just as strong in a multi-party system as in a two-party system.
MEXICO
Principal foci of the PAN [the major opposition party] attack are the
anti-clerical provisions of the Constitution and the extension of state
capitalism into the traditionally private sectors. Today's panistas in-
clude the abolengo, old established families whose wealth and position
have been reduced or threatened, certain of the nouveaux riches who
aspire to greater places, many of the upwardly mobile middle class
who "never quite made it," and an uncertain base of peasants and
artisans whose susceptibility to clerical propaganda has placed them
within the PAN ranks.13
FIGURE II
Mexico
Isolator
Mobility
/ y | \ ~~~~~Resi stor
Aggregator
/ | ~~~~PRII\
24Ibid., p. 661.
VENEZUELA
FIGuRE. III
Venezuela
Isolator
/MIR\ \
Mobility
Resistor
Aggregator
/ I CoP~~~AD \
URD
COLOMBIA
FIGURE IV
_Colomb a
Isolator
Mobility
Resistor
I \ \ \ Aggregator
Liberals \
/ I+(~~~~MRL) \ \
/.S onservatives
(ANAPO)
Perception
to break up given the need for one of the parties to take a more
innovative position before popular discontent brings in the military
or before a third party co-opts the aggregator-innovator role.24
Until such an "opening toward the center occurs," probably
by the slightly more innovative-inclined Liberals, Colombia remains
in the unique situation of having basic cooperation between two
parent bodies while their own factions are pulling and tugging
so that the parent parties can be pulled apart from a non-inno-
vative aggregation. It is really a question of which party will make
the innovative move toward ending a preservator political front.
PERU
FIGUREF V
Peru
IsolatQr
Mobility
Resistor
/ " / | \ \ Aggregator
Percent ion
Apristas move toward closer ties with the AP and Christian Demo-
crats, the Odriistas may be forced into a resistor-preservator posi-
tion. Odriista intransigence may be responsible for the fact that
the post-1963 Aprista-0driista Alliance has not been based on a
BRAZIL
26Frederick B. Pike, "The Old and the New APRA in Peru: Myth and
Reality," Inter-American Economic Affairs, Vol. 18, No. 2 (Autumn, 1964),
pp. 3045.
'7This was brought out by Belafinde's top-level meeting with both Haya
de la Torre and Manuel Odria to discuss Peru's inflationary spiral and lagging
exports in the Fall of 1967.
'2See the assessment of the Peruvian Christian Democrats in Edward J.
Williams, Latin American Christian Democratic Parties (Knoxville: University
of Tennessee Press, 1967), pp. 209-214.
FIGURE VI
Isolator
IMbility
Resistor
/ { | l \ \ \ Aggregator
/ PT8-- - _PS \
Perception
CHILE
FIGuRE VII
Chile
Isolator
1Mobility
Resistor
Aggregator
Perception
p. 88, notes that the Communists have now moved closer to a position in
support of President Frei. The Socialists have shown the greater resistance
(see Ernst Halperin, Nationalism and Communism in Chile, 1965). It is also
noteworthy that the Communist Party (and not the Socialists) condemned
the Havana solidarity conference.
"Federico G. Gil and Charles J. Parrish, The Chilean Presidential Election
of September 4, 1964: An Analysis (Washington, D. C.: Institute for The
Comparative Study of Political Systems, 1965), p. 19. Anibal Pinto states that
the Radical Party refused to consider important fiscal and land reforms in
the post-war period and became more and more the prisoner of its traditional
wing and its commitment to the largest landowners. This eventually under-
mined the Popular Front. Chile: Una Economia Dificil (Mexico: Fondo de
Cultura Econ6mica, 1964), pp. 172-177.
"5Gil and Parrish, p. 19.
the statement. Shortly thereafter the leaders of the three parties held
a series of meetings, as a result of which both the Liberal and Con-
servative parties gave their official support to Frei.36 [Emphasis mine.]
In the post-1966 period, all the major parties have been at-
tempting to readjust policies and assuage internal dissatisfactions.
The fluidity and flexibility of the Chilean party system has never
been more apparent. Indeed a formidable alliance may be devel-
oping to challenge the aggregator-innovator position of the Christian
Democrats. Despite occasional inter-party difficulties, the Socialists
and Communists will probably continue to aggregate. FRAP, under
moderate Communist or Socialist leadership, is consciously attempt-
ing to innovate its perceptions. The Radical Party, despite its ag-
gregative tradition,37 still retains a preservator mentality that ap-
pears likely to restrict it in any long term innovative alliance
whether with the government or rejector groups.
ARGENTINA
"Ibid., p. 36.
"Michael Francis and Eldon Lanning see the Radical Party as having
enough flexibility to coalesce with the FRAP in order to challenge the Christian
Democrats in the 1970 presidential elections. "Chile's 1967 Municipal Elections,"
Inter-American Economic Affairs, Vol. 21, No. 2 (Autumn 1967), p. 36.
FIGURE VIII
Are~t in;a
Isolator
Argentin
Social ts
j / Mobil ty_
emocratic Resistor
socialists
UDELPA
regressive
democrats
/ N I conservatives
Aggregator
SUMMARY
from this political power center which accounts for party coalitions
as parties vie for power within a multi-partism situation.
Parties give indication of moving toward the center as they
seek to approach political influence and enjoy greater expectation
of being awarded power. The more influential parties tend not to
be narrowly based, ideology appears to be playing an ever-declin-
ing role, and parties are sharply aware of the political facts of
life.39 Furthermore, an increasing number of sectors of the polit-
ical community are becoming less and less tolerant of any sort
of "ideological flamboyancy."40
Because of the flux of Latin American party systems, the
direction in which parties move vis-a-vis other parties bears par-
ticular observation. Ideological classifications are not true indica-
tors of the ability of a party to compromise. Some examples are
in order: in Argentina the Peronistas were willing to compromise
and the Socialists were not, yet within ideological typologies both
might be lumped as leftists. In Chile the FRAP is defined as
"left wing," yet it is moving toward innovation-an ingredient much
less visible under an ideological categorization. In Peru, the
Apristas are momentarily undergoing doctrinal change. Thus, an
understanding-of where the party has been and where it is going
is needed. It is necessary to distinguish among parties hitherto
often banded together because of a similar "ideology."
What has been discussed here is the degree to which certain
parties are able to reject ideological rigidity, thereby gaining greater
mobility and interaction with other parties. Said another way,
the more strongly the "nondoctrinal element"41 in the party
emerges to the forefront, the greater is the possibility that the
party will be able to aggregate and innovate. Views that the
"Our country examples may put in question Lipset's estimation about the
importance of ideology in developing countries. See Seymour M. Lipset,
Political Man: The Social Basis of Politics (New York: Doubleday, 1960),
pp. 454-456. Nor is it certain that the LaPalombara-Weiner theory of narrowly-
based, highly ideological parties, not easily inclined to the give and take of
political interaction, holds true in many Latin American countries. See
LaPalombara and Weiner, op. cit.
"?Charles W. Anderson, "Central American Political Parties: A Functional
Approach," Western Political Quarterly, Vol. 15, No. 1 (March, 1962), p. 136.
'1 Neil A. McDonald, The Study of Political Parties (New York: Random
House, 1955), p. 32.
"2Scott, for instance, lists two examples. PRI and Uruguay's Colorados and
Blancos. See Scott, op. cit. p. 336. One could add to his list such parties as the
various Christian Democratic parties of Chile, Venezuela and Peru, the Accion
Democratica of Venezuela, the Accion Popular and Apristas of Peru, the
Peronistas and MID of Argentina, and more.
"George Blanksten, "Politics of Latin America," in Almond and Coleman,
op. cit., pp. 482-483.
"One of Duverger's key exceptions to his general rule is that multi-party
systems do not preclude the development of one or two-party dominance and the
possible stabilization implied in such a political system. Duverger, op. cit.,
pp. 314-315.
"In An Economic Theory of Democracy (New York: Harper and Row,
1957), Anthony Downs hypothesizes that political parties are interested in
gaining office per se, not in promoting a better or ideal society. These parties
employ varying ideologies in order to maximize their vote potential. Dr.
Downs, agreeing with Neil McDonald, explains that the attempt within
parties to "modernize" will cause a conflict between those adherents to former
ideological dictates and those members whose prime concern is to win elections.
See pp. 96-113.