Professional Documents
Culture Documents
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
What’s
As Turkey Buries Dead, ISIS Claims Responsibility
Republicans
News Take Reins
In Congress
Business & Finance
Tensions in GOP
missed 2016 sales targets. B3
Twitter’s China chief has
departed after eight months,
U.S. NEWS
Congress’s Makeup Shifts
BY NATALIE ANDREWS say the party must do more to have a congressional wing that mala Harris of California, who
Changing Chambers
The Congress sworn in on Tuesday will be more diverse than the last,
with the addition of the first Latina senator and first Indian-American
woman to hold a House seat, among others.
Democrat Republican
speak to voters in the middle is largely white when the na- is both the first Indian-Ameri-
The House of Representa- of the country, particularly tion is growing more diverse. can and second African-Ameri-
tives that takes the oath of of- working-class whites, many of Many GOP leaders have said can female senator; Catherine
114th Congress 115th Congress
fice on Tuesday will include its them former Democrats who the party needs to do more to Cortez Masto of Nevada, who AFRICAN-AMERICANS
first Indian-American woman. abandoned the party. reach growing Hispanic and is the first Latina senator; and Senate
The Senate will have a record Rep. Tim Ryan (D., Ohio) Asian-American voter groups, Tammy Duckworth of Illinois, 2 3
number of women, including said that was one reason he as well as African-Americans. the first Thai-American in the
its first Latina. challenged—unsuccessfully— New Republicans in Con- chamber. They bring the num- House of Representatives*
The new Congress reflects Rep. Nancy Pelosi of California gress include several military ber of women to a record 21,
the diversity of America, but for House minority leader. “A veterans, including retired Ma- up from 20 in the last Senate.
also the sharply different lot of our caucus is bicoastal. rine Lt. Gen. Jack Bergman, of Diverse perspectives are im-
makeups of the two parties. States like Ohio don’t have the Michigan, and Brian Mast, a portant when considering leg-
White men will account for combat veteran from Florida. islation, said Pramila Jayapal,
87% of House Republicans, the Mr. Mast lost both legs while a Democrat from Washington, 46 46
same as last session, but only
41% of House Democrats, down
New composition serving in Afghanistan in 2010.
The soon-to-be Florida law-
who will be the first Indian-
American woman in the House. HISPANIC/LATINO AMERICANS
2 percentage points from the reflects challenges maker is of Mexican descent, “It’s not about just the color Senate
previous Congress, according
to figures compiled by the
each party faces to but that isn’t something he
used to connect with Hispanics
of our skin or just how we
look,” she said. “It’s the fact
3 4
Cook Political Report. represent America. during his campaign. that when we chair hearings, House of Representatives*
The racial composition of “If you’re picking any demo- when we listen to testimony,
each party’s congressional graphic that you want to see when we craft legislation, we
wing mirrors the voters who multiply, it would be the de- are doing that with our own
elected it: Some 87% of Repub- kind of representation…that mographic of veterans,” he very personal experiences.”
lican President-elect Donald we need to take the majority said. “When we’re on the bat- The average years of service 31 36
Trump’s votes last year came back,” he told reporters in No- tlefield we’re not looking at for House members in the
from whites, compared with vember as he weighed whether color or gender. I think that’s new Congress is 9.3 years, or ASIAN/INDIAN/PACIFIC ISLANDER AMERICANS
only 55% of Democrat Hillary to challenge Mrs. Pelosi. what you want in Congress.” 4.6 terms, and the average for Senate
Clinton’s votes. “We’re coming into a Con- For the first time, the Sen- Senate members is 10.1 years. 1 3
That leaves each party with gress in which the white work- ate freshman class will have The average age for a repre- House of Representatives*
challenges. The Democratic ing class completely left Dem- more women than men. Of the sentative is 57.8 years, and a
membership of Congress is ra- ocrats,” said Josh Huder, seven new senators, four are Senator’s average age is 61.8
cially diverse and largely met- senior fellow at the Govern- women, all of them Democrats. years, according to the Con- 13 15
ropolitan, holding districts in ment Affairs Institute at In addition to former New gressional Research Service. Note: Members can be, and are, classified in more than one category.
and around cities and on the Georgetown University. Hampshire Gov. Maggie Has- —Allison Kite *Including nonvoting members of the House
two coasts. Some Democrats Republicans, for their part, san, the women include Ka- contributed to this article. Source: Congressional Research Service THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
on an array of policy fronts. Mr. cans could use the law to re-
U.S. WATCH
dent ethics oversight of their ac-
tions,” House Minority Leader
Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.) said in a
Lizards Lounge on a Winning Ride
statement Monday night.
Democrats created the Office CHICAGO OHIO
of Congressional Ethics in March
2008, after they took control of Off-Duty Officer Search Resumes for
Congress in 2007, saying they Fatally Shoots Man Small Plane, Family
wanted to make the ethics pro-
cess more transparent. If the of- Chicago police said an off- A bag that washed ashore
fice believes it has found viola- duty officer fatally shot an un- near a private harbor was con-
tions, its job is to recommend a armed man during an argument firmed as coming from a small
formal investigation by the tra- on the city’s Northwest Side. plane that disappeared over Lake
ditional House Ethics Commit- Superintendent Eddie Johnson Erie near Cleveland, authorities
tee. said the officer shot the man said Monday as they resumed a
Lawmakers who found them- several times during a “verbal al- search for the aircraft.
ROBYN BECK/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
selves under review by the Of- tercation” shortly after 9 a.m. The Cessna 525 Citation de-
fice of Congressional Ethics crit- Monday in the Belmont Gardens parted from Burke Lakefront Air-
icized the office for being too neighborhood. He said the two port late Thursday. John T. Flem-
aggressive. men knew each other from a re- ing, chief executive of a
Under Mr. Goodlatte’s mea- cent confrontation. Columbus-based beverage distri-
sure, the Ethics Committee Police said the 57-year-old of- bution company, was piloting. His
would be able to direct the office ficer was visiting an acquaintance wife, Sue, their two teenage
to stop any of its investigations in the area at the time of the sons, Jack and Andrew, and two
into possible lawmaker miscon- shooting. Neither the name of neighbors were also aboard.
duct. the officer nor that of the shoot- The plane, which was headed
A spokeswoman for the office ing victim has been released. to Ohio State University Airport,
declined to comment Monday Mr. Johnson said he has suddenly lost altitude about 2
night. “more questions than I have an- miles out, according to a flight-
Mr. Goodlatte said in a state- swers at this time” about the tracking service.
ment that the office “has a seri- A NEW LEAF FOR A NEW YEAR: Cal Poly Universities’ ‘A New Leaf’ float won the Founders’ award shooting. The incident marks the —Associated Press
ous and important role in the at the 128th Rose Parade on Monday. The parade took place on Jan. 2 this year because of a long second time in the first two
House, and this amendment tradition of never holding the event on a Sunday. days of 2017 that a Chicago po- TEXAS
does nothing to impede their lice officer shot someone.
work.” —Associated Press Riverbed Fossil Find
Excites Scientists
CORRECTIONS AMPLIFICATIONS
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL (USPS 664-880)
(Eastern Edition ISSN 0099-9660) (Central Edition ISSN 1092-0935) A fossil found in limestone
(Western Edition ISSN 0193-2241) along a remote South Texas riv-
Editorial and publication headquarters: 1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y. 10036
Published daily except Sundays and general legal holidays. erbed appears to be that of an
Periodicals postage paid at New York, N.Y., and other mailing offices. Tesla Motors Inc. was mis- before the inauguration may acterized Mr. Obama’s ad- ichthyosaur, which swam in
POSTMASTER: Send address changes to The Wall Street Journal, 200 Burnett Rd., Chicopee, MA 01020. spelled as Telsa in the year- be unusual, though, because dress as unusual, but failed to oceans 90 million years ago, ac-
All Advertising published in The Wall Street Journal is subject to the applicable rate card, copies
of which are available from the Advertising Services Department, Dow Jones & Co. Inc., 1155
end news quiz Friday in the he is considering a farewell explain why. cording to paleontologists.
Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y. 10036. The Journal reserves the right not to accept an Business & Finance section. that goes beyond the typical The discovery, made two years
advertiser’s order. Only publication of an advertisement shall constitute final acceptance of the addresses in both scope and Frederic Fekkai no longer ago in Del Rio by a geologist
advertiser’s order.
Letters to the Editor: Fax: 212-416-2891; email: wsj.ltrs@wsj.com Departing presidents have intensity, people familiar with owns a line of hair salons. A working for the Texas Railroad
given farewell addresses in the discussions said. In some Private Properties article in Commission, went largely unno-
NEED ASSISTANCE WITH YOUR SUBSCRIPTION? the final weeks of their terms. editions Saturday, a U.S. News Mansion on Friday incorrectly ticed until a photo of the fossil
CONTACT CUSTOMER SUPPORT. President Barack Obama’s fi- article about tensions in the said he owned salons in sev- appeared on the cover of the
By web: customercenter.wsj.com nal major address the week White House transition char- eral U.S. cities. commission’s 2016 annual report.
By email: wsjsupport@wsj.com It was found on private land
By phone: 1-800-JOURNAL (1-800-568-7625) in the Eagle Ford formation.
Readers can alert The Wall Street Journal to any errors in news articles by emailing wsjcontact@wsj.com
Or by live chat at wsj.com/livechat or by calling 888-410-2667. —Associated Press
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | A3
U.S. NEWS
Mr. Kong, 67 years old, lived their homes. About 500 addi- Carolina gunman Dylann Roof
for four months in the Hale tional units for the homeless is mentally competent, clearing
Mauliola Housing Navigation were built or renovated, proj- the way for the sentencing
Service Center, a temporary ects that could have taken phase of his death-penalty trial
housing community created by a year longer without the dec- to begin on Wednesday.
Honolulu officials to address laration, said Mr. Morishige. After a daylong hearing in
its swelling homeless popula- The Hale Mauliola center, U.S. District Court in Charles-
tion. where Mr. Kong lived and ton, Judge Richard Gergel ruled
The use of the old shipping where the average length of that Mr. Roof remains compe-
container shows the unconven- stay is 62 days, was fast- tent to stand trial and act as
tional steps Hawaii is taking to tracked and later expanded his own lawyer in the next por-
address its homelessness through an emergency declara- tion of his trial.
rate—the highest per capita in Oren Elliott Kong lived for several months at the Hale Mauliola Housing Navigation Service Center tion. While Mr. Kong lived in a A Charleston jury found Mr.
the nation, according to fed- in Honolulu, among the new efforts in Hawaii to reduce the rising homeless population. tight 49-square-foot space with Roof guilty on Dec. 15 in the ra-
eral data—but some advocates just a small cot, the landscaped cially motivated killing of nine
worry some of the state’s ac- spurring a debate. Some ob- end up on the streets,” said The state budgeted $19 mil- complex has a recreation cen- black worshipers gathered for
tions could ultimately make it servers aren’t in favor of using Sheila Beckham, chief execu- lion on homeless services in ter, a shuttle service, a bike- Bible study at Emanuel African
harder for the state to house emergency declarations for tive of Waikiki Health, which the 2016 fiscal year that share program and full-time se- Methodist Episcopal Church in
its needy residents. such a complex issue as home- operates the Next Step shelter ended June 30. The governor’s curity guards. The homes are June 2015. In the second phase
Hawaii’s homeless popula- lessness. And shelter providers in Honolulu, and estimates it emergency declarations freed equipped with solar panels and of the trial, the same jury will
tion increased by nearly 36% say the new regulations, re- will lose 100 beds. up another $7.5 million. The supplied with donated toiletries decide whether Mr. Roof, who
since 2010, amid a surge in the quiring more personal space Scott Morishige, the state’s state has budgeted $30 million from the hotel industry. is 22 years old and white,
cost of living, even as the for homeless individuals in homeless coordinator, said the for homeless services in 2017. Mr. Kong, a retired welder should face the death penalty
number of homeless people shelters, and more toilets and state is reviewing proposals Despite that, the state’s who lives off Social Security, or life in prison.
overall has declined nation- showers, would result from shelters and couldn’t homeless population in- said he started living out of his Death-penalty expert David
wide. The crisis has gotten so in hundreds of fewer beds. speculate about how many creased 4% between 2015 and car in February when his land- Bruck represented Mr. Roof
bad that Democratic Gov. Da- Eight shelter providers re- beds would be available after- 2016 to nearly 8,000 people, lord evicted the tenants in his during the first part of his trial,
vid Ige has repeatedly declared cently estimated that they ward. according to an annual Janu- prior property, and he couldn’t but Mr. Roof has decided to be
a state of emergency—a step would collectively drop from Shelter providers should ary survey. More than half of find another apartment. his own lawyer in the penalty
usually reserved for natural di- 1,841 shelter beds to 1,179 beds “be able to meet minimum that population slept on the The stay in the shipping phase and recently told the
sasters—which allows state of- under the new requirements, standards required by the streets, according to the fed- container helped turn his life court he won’t be calling wit-
ficials to bypass regular union said Kimo K. Carvalho, director law,” Mr. Morishige said. “We eral data. around, he said. He has since nesses or offering evidence on
and contract rules in providing of community relations for the are really trying to build a Mr. Morishige said those moved to an apartment. Before his mental condition. Typically,
shelter. Institute for Human Services, housing-focused system aimed numbers don’t reflect the an outreach worker helped a defense lawyer would discuss
But those moves, as well as which manages the Hale Mau- at moving people to perma- state’s progress since the start him get into the shelter, he a defendant’s state of mind and
Hawaii’s new criteria for all liola center. nent housing as quickly as pos- of 2016. Though the homeless said, “I didn’t know how I was personality in trying to per-
state-funded shelters, are “A lot of people are going to sible.’’ population increased again, going to live.” suade a jury to choose life over
the death penalty.
Judge Gergel ruled Mr. Roof
Trump administration. comment. Lee has set aside $7.5 million tional witnesses and hundreds
Mayors in Los Angeles, The Democratic-controlled in grants to groups that pro- more exhibits—raises in espe-
Chicago and San Francisco state Legislature in California vide immigration-related ser- cially stark fashion the ques-
have said they would estab- will consider a bill in early vices in the city. tion of whether the defendant
lish special funds to provide 2017 that would provide for But Mr. Lee rebuffed a $5 is actually unable to defend
attorneys for such immi- the legal defense of immigrants million plan by the city’s pub- himself,” Mr. Bruck and his col-
grants. Critics say the mea- and could cost the state be- lic defender to hire 10 attor- leagues wrote in a motion filed
sures are an inappropriate tween $10 million and $80 mil- neys and seven support staff, on Thursday.
use of taxpayer dollars. lion annually. said Jeff Adachi, the public de- In a written ruling Monday
The moves intensify a loom- Pro-immigration activists demonstrated on Dec. 20 in Los Angeles, A spokeswoman for the fender. evening, Judge Gergel said a
ing standoff over immigration a ‘sanctuary city’ that won’t help officials deport illegal migrants. bill’s author said details are Mr. Adachi said the mayor’s court-appointed psychiatrist re-
between Democratic strong- still being worked out. aides expressed concern that evaluated Mr. Roof in two ses-
holds and President-elect Don- immigrants unless they have system provides,” Los Angeles In New York, Democratic San Francisco could be tar- sions over New Year’s weekend
ald Trump. Mr. Trump has said committed a serious crime. Mayor Eric Garcetti said, an- Gov. Andrew Cuomo has said geted by the Trump admin- and concluded that he re-
he would block federal funding “People who have built nouncing the creation of a $10 he would also create a state- istration if it provided the de- mained competent. The judge
for “sanctuary cities,” which their lives in America have million immigrant legal de- wide fund “to ensure all immi- fense directly. The mayor’s said the serious nature of the
refrain from helping federal of- rights, and they deserve all of fense fund in December. grants, regardless of status, office didn’t respond to re- proceedings had warranted the
ficials deport undocumented the protections that our legal Defendants in criminal have access to representa- quests to comment. re-evaluation.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A4 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 P W L C 10 11 12 H T G K B F A M 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 O I X X ***** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
The Method in Trump’s Messaging Habits chip with the new president.
He is seeking to control
the agenda. Early-morning
tweets have a way of estab-
lishing what everyone else
will talk about that day. They
also have had a way of up-
CAPITAL JOURNAL staging the man who still
GERALD F. SEIB happens to be the president,
Barack Obama, annoying the
White House and potentially
I
it method or madness? S creating confusion abroad
That is the question about who really is in charge.
perplexing the world as Thus did Mr. Trump tweet
President-elect Donald that the U.S. should veto a
Trump continues his unorth- United Nations Security
odox campaign-season com- Council resolution condemn-
munications habits. He ing Israeli settlements on the
tweets, apparently randomly. West Bank before that reso-
He wades into subjects that lution was even formally de-
he could eas- bated, and that the U.S.
ily avoid. He should be prepared to en-
RUSSIA
NICHOLAS KAMM/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
2016
MOST WATCHED.
MOST TRUSTED.
Source: Nielsen, Live+SD, 2016 (12/28/15-12/25/16), tops all of basic cable with Total Day (M-Su 6a-6a) and Prime (M-Su 8-11p), P2+ (000).
Subject to qualifications which will be made available upon request.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A6 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
Islamic State Claims Istanbul Shootings
Extremist group says carried out by Kurdish insur-
gents, have killed more than
it targeted Turkey to 300 people over the past year.
retaliate for military The two biggest of the three
opposition parties in parlia-
campaign in Syria ment called on the government
to account for security failures
Islamic State claimed re- in the wake of the New Year’s
sponsibility Monday for a New attack, charging the adminis-
Year’s attack on an upscale Is- tration with failing to fulfill its
tanbul nightclub that killed at responsibilities as some law-
least 39 people, saying it tar- makers called for the cabinet’s
geted Turkey in retaliation for resignation.
military operations against the The public response to the
extremist group in neighbor- attack was a display of unity,
ing Syria. with celebrities, politicians and
popular media outlets condemn-
By Maria Abi-Habib in ing the attack and calling for
Beirut and Emre Peker solidarity. Yet some people also
in Istanbul took to social media to condemn
KABUL—Russia is hindering
and stability in Afghanistan,
may be part of a broader effort
to counteract U.S. influence in
In Baghdad
the removal of one of Afghani-
stan’s most notorious warlords
the Central Asian nation.
“For the Russians, it’s just
Are Its Doing
from a United Nations sanc- putting their foot down,” a for- BY GHASSAN ADNAN
tions list, Afghan and Western eign diplomat said. “I haven’t AND BEN KESLING
officials said Monday, a move seen any good reason for it.”
that could complicate efforts to Under the accord, Mr. Hek- Islamic State claimed a
implement a peace deal seen matyar was to be included in spate of bombings in Baghdad
AREF KARIMI/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
as a model for a similar ac- government decisions and that Iraqi officials said had
cords with the Taliban and members of Hezb-e Islami killed at least 28 people, days
other insurgent groups. were to be integrated into Af- after the Iraqi army and allied
The U.S. and the North At- ghanistan’s military and gov- forces renewed their offensive
lantic Treaty Organization ernment ministries. The group to retake the group’s strong-
hailed the agreement reached was also to receive unspecified hold in Mosul.
in September between the Af- compensation for what is de- The terror group on Monday
ghan government and Hezb-e scribed in the accord as previ- claimed responsibility for three
Islami, an Islamist political ously unfair exclusion from Af- blasts in the Iraqi capital, two
and militant group led by Gul- ghanistan’s government. at hospitals and a third in Sadr
buddin Hekmatyar as a hope- A spokesman for Afghan City, a predominantly Shiite
ful sign in efforts to end President Ashraf Ghani said Muslim neighborhood that is a
bloodshed in Afghanistan. Monday that all countries frequent target of its attacks.
Under terms of the deal, the should cooperate to build In the Sadr City attack, day
Afghan government asked the Moscow is delaying the removal of sanctions on Gulbuddin Hekmatyar, seen on signs held by a supporter. peace and “support intra-Af- laborers gathered around a ve-
U.N. in December to take Mr. ghan peace talks and the peace hicle in front of a market be-
Hekmatyar off its list of those up to six months to provide U.N. officials didn’t respond the far more powerful Taliban deal with Hezb-e Islami.” fore it was detonated, thinking
subject to international sanc- reasoning for its opposition. to requests to comment. who are weary of fighting to Hezb-e Islami spokesman the driver was looking to hire
tions for ties to al Qaeda. Russian Foreign Ministry Hezb-e Islami currently has unseat the Kabul government. Hameed Azizi urged the Afghan people, officials said.
During the 10-day period spokeswoman Maria Zakharova little military and political in- Some of the officials said government to put pressure on Two additional unclaimed
for member states to respond, on Monday said Moscow had put fluence in Afghanistan, but Af- they believe Russia’s move, the U.N. and foreign govern- bombings also rocked the city,
Russia said it needed more the delisting on hold but hadn’t ghan and U.S. officials view the disclosed as it was hosting a ments to remove Mr. Hekmatyar officials said. The five explo-
time to consider the request. blocked it. She didn’t explain accord as a template for peace meeting last week in Moscow from the sanctions list and pro- sions wounded 49 people, they
According to U.N. rules, it has why Russia needed more time. agreements with members of of representatives from China ceed with the peace deal. added.
Total
Dozens of gated communities court ruled last week that the 4 80
From oil
sit mostly empty. They were president had acted legally
built during the first half of this when he appointed his daugh- 3 60
decade for a middle class that ter Isabel chief executive of the
never materialized and a for- state oil company Sonangol,
eign elite that largely packed up the centerpiece of an economy 2 40
and left when a dizzying oil- that derives 96% of its exports
price boom went bust in 2014. from the sale of crude. 1 20
In glitzy shopping malls, The president’s daughter
stores struggle to stock their presides over a business em- 0 0
shelves, as a free-falling local pire, while her brother Filom-
currency and dollar shortages eno heads Angola’s sovereign- 2012 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16* ’17† 2012 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16** ’17**
batter imports. wealth fund. *Revised budget †Budget proposal **Estimates
Now, in its worst economic “There is a lot of discontent Fisherwoman Maria Antonia Jorge struggles to pay her sons’ tuition. Sources: Eaglestone Securities (tax); IMF (debt) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
crisis since emerging from with dos Santos and above all
civil war in 2002, Angola is his family,” said Filomeno Vie- peacetime performance on re- owes. In April, the government struction companies have ever, Mr. dos Santos’s rule has
gearing up for its first leader- ira Lopes, an economist and se- cord—a disaster for a country entered bailout negotiations stopped the beginnings of a taken a turn for the worse.
ship change in 37 years follow- nior member of the Democratic whose population of 26 million with the IMF and abandoned middle class. Angola’s cur- Maria Antonia Jorge, presi-
ing the announcement in De- Bloc, a small opposition party. is growing 3.2% annually. them three months later. Since rency, the kwanza, has dropped dent of a cooperative of fish-
cember that José Eduardo dos A closer look at Luanda’s Meanwhile, government then, the central bank has used to an official rate of 165 to the erwomen, has sent two sons to
Santos won’t seek another sparkling skyline, with its un- debt has jumped to 78% of 18% of its foreign-currency re- dollar from around 97 in 2014. university with her earnings
term as president in elections finished skyscrapers, reveals gross domestic product, ac- serves to keep some imports On the black market, a dollar from selling salted sardines
scheduled for August. how sharply the country’s cording to IMF estimates, flowing into the country. fetches about 485 kwanza. and mackerel.
Whether the change will economy has plummeted. In the from just 41% when oil prices It is a far cry from the fast- Still, the announcement that Today, the 45-year-old Ms.
bring fresh remedies to the streets below, ordinary citizens plummeted in 2014. charging economy that enabled Mr. dos Santos won’t run for Jorge worries that her boys
southern African country’s wrestle with 41% inflation and Little is known about where Angola to buy huge stakes in president again surprised may never graduate because
economic woes is open to chronic shortages of staples. or from whom the government Portugal’s banking and energy many. In the capital Luanda, the rising cost of salt and de-
question. The ruling Popular The International Monetary is borrowing—let alone at what sectors over the past decade banners still celebrate his Au- clining demand for her fish
Movement for the Liberation Fund expects that Angola’s rate—so analysts warn about and help its former colonial gust re-election as leader of the mean she is straining to pay
of Angola, or MPLA, has economy will have zero growth the difficulty of predicting its ruler avoid bankruptcy. MPLA, with 99.6% of the vote. her sons’ tuition. “There is
tapped João Lourenço, the in 2016, marking its worst ability to pay back what it Now, layoffs at oil and con- For many Angolans, how- this fear,” she said.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | A7
WORLD NEWS
Israel Lawmakers
Plan to Push
Annexation Bill
BY RORY JONES West Bank are subject to mili-
tary law, but if the territory
WORLD WATCH
SOMALIA INDONESIA VENEZUELA
Suicide Bomber Fire on Ferry Leaves
Kills Three at Airport At Least 23 Dead
Federal Bond Issue
Raises $5 Billion a different kind
A suicide bomber detonated
an explosives-laden vehicle at a
security checkpoint near Mogadi-
shu’s international airport Mon-
day, killing at least three people,
At least 23 people were killed
and 17 others were missing after
a ferry caught fire off the coast
of Indonesia’s capital Sunday, of-
ficials said.
Venezuela raised $5 billion by
selling bonds to state-run Banco
de Venezuela, a finance ministry
official said Monday, as the gov-
ernment grapples with a punish-
of hero
AS THE SON AND GRANDSON OF VETERANS,
a Somali police officer said. The vessel was carrying more ing economic crisis and mounting
Capt. Mohamed Hussein said than 230 people from Jakarta’s default concerns.
I KNOW THOSE WHO SERVE ARE HEROES.
the bomb detonated as security port of Muara Angke to Tidung, The securities, which carry a Military caregivers, who care for our wounded
forces were searching cars at the a resort island in the Kepulauan coupon of 6.5% and mature in veterans at home, are heroes too.
checkpoint, a few hundred yards Seribu chain, when it caught fire, 2036, were sold on Dec. 29 in
from the main base of the Afri- the officials said. a private transaction, Venezu-
If you are a military caregiver, access helpful
can Union peacekeeping mission. An official from the disaster ela’s first sovereign-bond issu-
The checkpoint is close to management agency said the ance since 2011, the official resources and connect with other caregivers at:
United Nations offices and the fire gutted about half of the said. The sale is being man-
Peace Hotel, which is often fre- ship. He said about 22 injured aged by a subsidiary of China’s HiddenHeroes.org
quented by foreigners and officials. victims were taken to hospitals. Haitong Securities Co., the offi-
A second blast and heavy gunfire A search for those still miss- cial said.
could be heard shortly afterward. ing was under way involving The bond sale caught many The Elizabeth Dole Foundation’s Hidden Heroes initiative
The al Qaeda-linked Islamic about 10 ships, the agency by surprise, especially lawmakers increases support for America’s 5.5 million military caregivers.
extremist group al-Shabaab said. who decried that it was never
quickly claimed responsibility for Witnesses told local television submitted to the National As-
the attack through its radio arm, that the fire broke out about 15 sembly, which by law is sup-
Andalus. Despite being ousted minutes after the ship left posed to authorize any public-
from most of its key strongholds Muara Angke. The cause of the debt transactions.
across large parts of south and blaze was’t clear. Some passen- Part of the funds, the official
central Somalia, the homegrown gers told local media that they said, were destined to settle
group continues to wage deadly first saw smoke coming from debts that President Nicolás Ma-
attacks across the country. the ferry’s engine. duro’s administration has accrued
The assaults have threatened Ferry accidents are common with importers of food and med-
the country’s attempts to rebuild in Indonesia, the world’s largest icine. Those basics have become
from decades of chaos. archipelagic nation. scarce in Venezuela.
—Associated Press —Associated Press —Mayela Armas
YOSHIO TSUNODA/AFLO/ZUMA PRESS
Ryan Phillippe,
Hidden Heroes Ambassador
ROYAL OPENING: Japanese Emperor Akihito, with Empress Michiko, addressed well-wishers during the
annual New Year’s Greetings at the Imperial Palace in Tokyo on Monday. Some 96,000 people attended.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A8 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
Officials in Seoul said Dan- wrongdoing and added that The two arrests come as two or three years away from
ish authorities on Sunday had his job now was to prevent an South Korea’s Constitutional threatening the U.S. homeland.
arrested Chung Yoo-ra, the 20- extradition to South Korea. Court deliberates the fate of Mr. Kim didn’t make any
year-old daughter of Choi The detention of Ms. Chung Ms. Park, who lawmakers in reference to the recent U.S.
Soon-sil, Ms. Park’s close followed the arrest over the December voted overwhelm- presidential election or to
friend and the suspected bene- weekend of Moon Hyung-pyo, ingly to impeach. The court President-elect Donald Trump.
ficiary of an alleged influence- the head of South Korea’s Na- has until early June to decide On Monday, Mr. Trump
peddling scheme that has en- tional Pension Service, in rela- whether Ms. Park remains in tweeted “North Korea just stated
snared the country’s best- tion to allegations that the office. that it is in the final stages of
known conglomerates as well government-run pension fund, —Charles Duxbury developing a nuclear weapon ca-
as President Park. the world’s third-largest, cast in Stockholm pable of reaching parts of the
Chung Yoo-ra after a court hearing Monday in Aalborg, Denmark. Prosecutors have accused a critical vote to approve a contributed to this article. U.S. It won’t happen!”
RENT
Continued from Page One
on high-end properties.
Now, though, the number of
upscale apartments coming
onto the market appear to be
outpacing the number of rent-
ers able to move into them:
More than 50,000 new units
were rented by tenants in the
MARTY PAOLETTA
“Massive amounts of
highly sensitive client
data traveling online,
24 hours a day.
And I sleep like a baby
at night.”
David Wilner / COO
FRONTEO USA, Inc.
Client since 2012
Visit enterprise.spectrum.com/hello
or call 866-298-9002
©2017 Charter Communications. All Rights Reserved. Not all products, pricing and services are available in all areas. Pricing and actual speeds
may vary. Restrictions may apply. Subject to change without notice. All trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A8B | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 NY THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Every child
deserves to wake
up with hope.
For about the same amount you spend
buying coffee every morning, you can
provide an entire year’s tuition for a girl
in Kenya, giving her the education she
needs to improve her and her family’s
livelihood. Sponsor a girl today and help
her achieve a better tomorrow.
EAST AFRICA
CHILDREN’S HOPE
EastAfricaChildrensHope.org
From Donald Trump’s presidency to preparation for Britain’s departure from the EU
and new assertiveness by Russia and China, 2017 promises to be a year of
transformation. Here are some people and events to watch in the new year.
l Jan. 17-20: World Eco- 50, which starts the l June 15: China
nomic Forum, Davos, departure from the EU gathers leaders of
Switzerland dozens of nations
l May 7: France’s deci- for summit on its in-
l Jan. 24: Italy’s constitu- sive presidential
AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
frastructure pro-
tional court expected to runoff between gram for Asia,
rule on challenges to top two first- Africa and Eu-
electoral law, which could round vote get- rope
spur decisions on new ters, which
election after December polls show will l Sept. 17: De-
resignation of Prime Min- likely include cision on
ister Matteo Renzi National Front 2024 Summer
leader Marine Le Olympic Games
l Feb. 15: Election for gov- Pen venue among
ernor of Jakarta, a test of Los Ange-
Indonesia’s democracy l May 19: les, Paris
that pits hard-line Isla- Iran’s presi- and Buda-
mists against the Chris- dential pest
Donald Trump’s inauguration portends major shifts in Washington, with Congress and the White House in GOP control. tian governor election,
where divi- l Late Sep-
l Jan. 1: New York City l March 5: China’s legisla- sions over tember:
opened Second Avenue ture opens annual ses- nuclear deal German
subway line, first pro- sion, a prelude to once- will come to elections
posed in 1920 every-five-year a head over determine
Communist Party Con- Hassan Rou- fate of
l Jan. 3: 115th Congress
TRUMP TO TAKE OFFICE; FED convenes in Washing-
gress this fall where
President Xi Jinping will
hani’s ex-
pected bid
Chancellor
Angela
PERFORMS A BALANCING ACT ton under GOP control seek to further cement
his power
for a second Chinese President Xi
term
Merkel
Donald Trump’s inauguration will set off l Jan. 20: Donald Trump seeks to seal his power. Oct. 25: Ar-
l
far-reaching change in Washington, as his takes office as 45th l March 15: Dutch election l May 26-27: gentina
U.S. president starts string of votes in Summit of leaders of G-7 midterm elections test
nominees face Senate hearings and a Re-
l Jan. 25-27: House and which nationalist and anti- countries, in Sicily, will fo- support for austerity
publican-led Congress begins to consider immigration parties pose cus on Africa and migra- measures under Presi-
his agenda of tax cuts, deregulation and a Senate Republicans
GARY CAMERON/REUTERS
hold joint policy re- serious challenges to tion dent Mauricio Macri
rethinking of health care and immigration. treat, Philadelphia mainstream incumbents
l June 7: Date by which l Nov 19: Leftist coalition
Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve aims to
Tóibín, Paula Hawkins of won advance praise. ger Woods mounts a come-
“The Girl on the Train” fame New York’s Museum of back after injuries took him
and Elizabeth Strout, writer Modern Art plans to look back off the golf circuit. And some
of “Olive Kitteridge.” George at the work of architect Frank Americans will witness a rare
Saunders’s “Lincoln in the Lloyd Wright through a new total eclipse of the sun.
IN DEPTH
Toronto’s Royal Ontario bones inside several steel gan in a tank of formaldehyde feet for the blue-whale exhibit.
Museum dispatched a team to shipping containers for two because no available equip- It will include an 80-foot skel-
retrieve whale parts for an ex- years, the fastest way to clean ment was big enough for the eton of one of the Newfound-
hibit on the endangered spe- the bones without damaging job. land whales and the whale
cies set to open in March 2017. them with chemicals or other Next the heart was shipped heart after plastination is
It would take them more than A deceased blue whale washed up on a beach in Newfoundland. cleaners. The process was de- in a custom-made tank to Ger- completed later in 2017. Re-
two gruesome years to harvest layed because of a local supply many, where a laboratory re- stored to its full size, the
and preserve the world’s big- the job and remove the car- Mark Engstrom, deputy di- problem. placed the heart’s fluids with heart is nearly the size of a
gest body parts. cass. rector of the museum’s collec- “We had to wait nearly silicone polymers, a technique Smart car.
“The whole thing was a With no time to ship equip- tions, said the freezie repre- three months for the manure. known as plastination, before Mr. Engstrom was part of
great idea, but no one has ever ment to the remote Newfound- sents an advance in Our cows out here can’t be the organ’s museum debut. the team tasked with cutting
done anything this big before,” land towns, researchers were preservation that makes it rushed,” Mr. May said. Oliver Haddrath, a research bones out of the whales in
said Ms. Miller, a researcher forced to improvise. possible for museums to move The blue whale’s deep technician at the museum, and 2014. After his first day of op-
with the museum who previ- Once inside the Rocky Har- beyond prehistoric bones to ocean habitat is inaccessible, other specialists analyzed a erating on Lollipop, the more
ously conducted postmortems bour whale, it took hours of stage lifelike exhibits about and timely necropsies are vir- few dozen vials of tissue from decomposed of the two
on small mammals such as cutting away meat and dislo- the evolution, autonomy and tually impossible because the the Newfoundland whales to whales, he realized it would be
mice. cating ribs so Ms. Miller and bodily functions of poorly un- behemoths, typically weighing plot the first completed ge- impossible to scrub its scent
Upon arriving in the towns three co-workers could push derstood animals. close to 100 tons, tend to sink nome sequence of blue whales. off his skin.
of Trout River and Rocky Har- its glutinous, 400-pound heart When the seaside operation to the ocean floor after death. Mr. Haddrath said the nearly Local restaurants were
bour, a small group of re- onto the only available recep- was completed, the whale On the rare occasions when finished blueprint will yield happy to feed the scientists as
searchers and a veterinarian tacle big enough to hold the parts were trucked to the they wash ashore, their bodies more precise information long as they waited outside for
found themselves in troubled, organ: a neon green dumpster Trenton, Ontario, headquar- are often decomposed. about the population and its bagged dinners that were
foul-smelling waters. The bag. ters of Research Casting Inter- “Dead whales are usually adaptability. handed through a window. He
Trout River whale, nicknamed A front-end loader later national Ltd., which special- blubber-wrapped buckets of The blue whale is so elusive had an industrial cleaner
Lollipop by locals, was so mal- hoisted the bag into an indus- izes in repairing and soup by the time they wash that even basic facts are a shipped to his hotel to tempo-
odorous that when it was trial freezer, a rectangular cof- assembling dinosaur skeletons ashore. These whales were a matter of guesswork. Their rarily mask the scent of dead
towed to a nearby boat slip for fin that prompted some staff- for museums around the gift,” said Paul Nader, a Vir- ranks are believed to have whale in his rented car.
dismantling, the crew was ers to dub the chilled organ a world. The whales posed a ginia-based veterinary anat- shrunk from more than “I doubt that car was
given only one week to finish “whale freezie.” unique challenge because, un- omy specialist who assisted 250,000 before commercial rented again,” he said.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * NY Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | A10A
Pundit and Pitchman Could Bring a Trump Twist to Race for Mayor
BY MIKE VILENSKY run as a Democrat. After years low-income riders.
of being a registered Republi- Raised in a blue-collar
Private eye Bo Dietl intends can, he registered with both Queens neighborhood by Ital-
to run for New York City the Democratic and Indepen- ian and German immigrants,
mayor as a Democrat, but he dence parties, which is barred he is now a Manhattan man-
may give Mayor Bill de Blasio and, in effect, canceled both about-town who makes ap-
a taste of right-wing populism. registrations. pearances at Harlem’s exclu-
One of five declared candi- As a result, he wasn’t regis- sive restaurant Rao’s and the
dates for the Democratic nom- tered as a Democrat by the Upper East Side mainstay
ination, including Mr. de Bla- October deadline for the 2017 Neary’s.
sio, Mr. Dietl has no clear primary, according to a At 66 years old, he said he
constituency in the Sept. 12 spokeswoman for the city’s can do 66 push-ups, but “I
primary in a city where Don- elections board. don’t feel like doing them
PETER FOLEY FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
ald Trump lost four of the five A Dietl campaign adviser, right now.”
boroughs and the mayor plans attorney Howard Kleinhendler, Mr. Dietl provided security
to frame his re-election cam- said registering with the Inde- for the General Motors build-
paign in part as a fight against pendence Party was a mistake, ing on Fifth Avenue when Mr.
the Republican president- and Mr. Dietl’s team is fight- Trump owned it in the late
elect. ing the city to get him on the 1990s. He is a member of Mr.
Still, said GOP strategist Democratic ballot. Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in
Jessica Proud, “he might be If the city doesn’t agree, Palm Beach, Fla., and a note
the guy people are talking Mr. Dietl would need approval from Mr. Trump praising Mr.
about in a bar.” from Democratic county lead- Dietl’s security services is
Mr. Trump didn’t comment ers to run in the party pri- posted on the Dietl firm’s
about Mr. Dietl’s candidacy. mary, and “he has a better website.
A former New York City po- Bo Dietl, at his office in Midtown Manhattan, touts his experience as a former city police detective. chance of getting struck by The crime-fighting person-
lice detective, Mr. Dietl is per- lightning on a sunny day,” said ality said he admires Hillary
haps best known for his televi- Martin Scorsese films, includ- “Maybe I don’t have a college Mr. de Blasio has been posi- Frank Seddio, the leader of the Clinton but decided during the
sion punditry defending police ing “Goodfellas.” His security degree,” he said, “but I have a tioning himself as a voice Brooklyn Democrats. presidential campaign, “I’m
officers against criticisms and company, Beau Dietl & Associ- doctorate of the streets.” against some of Mr. Trump’s One afternoon at his office gonna bank on crazy Donald.”
championing surveillance of ates, has done work for the A spokesman for Mr. de policies and gave a speech in Midtown, wearing a gun in One selling point for his
Muslim communities to fight New York Republican party and Blasio said: “Under Mayor de about protecting the city from a hip holster, Mr. Dietl said he candidacy, Mr. Dietl said, is
terrorism. actor Robert De Niro. Blasio, crime just hit another the president-elect’s initia- feels like a liberal because he that he would have a good re-
He also has had a turn in Mr. Dietl is framing himself all-time low…We are happy to tives. Mr. Trump has called supports gay rights and abor- lationship with the new presi-
commercials for the fast-food as a friend to police officers match that record against Mr. de Blasio “incompetent.” tion rights and is pushing to dent: “If I have to cry, I can
chain Arby’s and cameo roles in who will keep the city safe. anyone.” Mr. Dietl may not get to subsidize subway fares for cry to Donald.”
“A must see!”
— Broadway World
Mocktails, Anyone?
Bars Retool Menus
For Sobering Month
BY CHARLES PASSY Dry January amplifies a tra-
ditionally slower month for
For a handful of New York New York bars, since the cold
drinking establishments, Janu- weather discourages many
ary is turning into mocktail would-be customers from leav-
month. ing home, said Ivy Mix, Ley-
With a number of patrons enda’s co-owner and head bar-
swearing off alcohol for the tender.
first month of the year as part Jeff Isaacson, director of
BY KATE KING who suffered from emphy- hen’s “Hallelujah.” The pro- “It’s not as widespread and
sema, had improved consider- gram’s volunteer instructor, common-knowledge as I’d like
TEANECK, N. J.—The group ably after taking up the instru- Jeff Bernstein, said the har- for it to be, but it’s definitely
gathered around a conference ment. Playing music together monica is ideal for amateur getting there,” she said.
table at Holy Name Medical also nurtures a sense of com- musicians with lung condi- Weekly group lessons and
Center and flipped through munity among the patients. tions because it is portable, five to 10 minutes of daily
binders until they found the “A lot of the benefit is so- easy to learn and, unlike other practice can help chronic lung
music for Chloe Fernandez’s cial,” Ms. Shnorhokian said. wind instruments, makes patients strengthen their dia-
favorite song. Taking deep Chloe has primary ciliary sound when the player both phragm muscles and improve
breaths, they raised their har- dyskinesia, a rare genetic disor- inhales and exhales. stamina, Ms. Williams said.
monicas to their lips and blew der that leaves her frequently COPD, which encompasses COPD causes air pockets to be-
the first notes of Beethoven’s short of breath and prone to emphysema, chronic bronchitis come trapped in the lungs, and
“Ode to Joy.” serious lung infections. Playing and serious asthma, affects playing the harmonica helps
Chloe, 9 years old, of Ridge- the harmonica over the past 6.4% of Americans and was the patients develop the pursed-
wood, N.J., is one of the youn- year, along with her other med- third-leading cause of death in lip breathing technique used
gest participants in the hospi- ical treatments and regular the U.S. in 2014, according to to fully exhale. “Using that
tal’s “Harmonicare” weekly swimming, has helped improve the Centers for Disease Control particular instrument seems
classes. The year-old program Chloe’s lung function and re- and Prevention. Smokers are at ideal,” she said.
PETER J. SMITH FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
provides free harmonica in- duced her hospital stays, said a higher risk of developing Teaneck resident Iris
struction to people suffering her mother, Leslie Mota. COPD, but it also can be caused Charms, who has had COPD
from chronic obstructive pul- “I’ve seen the difference,” by air pollutants, respiratory in- for 10 years, said she breathes
monary disease, or COPD, and Ms. Mota said. “She’ll carry this fections and genetic conditions. easier while climbing the
other lung ailments. thing everywhere and it drives Stephanie Williams, direc- stairs after just five Harmoni-
“We don’t judge when me crazy. At home, in the car, tor of community programs care classes.
somebody messes up,” said she’s playing it all the time.” for the national nonprofit “I’m learning songs that I
Chloe. “It’s supportive.” At one class late last year, COPD Foundation, said the know and I practice a lot at
Karine Shnorhokian, a nurse 13 attendees worked through a harmonica’s long-term bene- home with my 2½ year-old
manager at Holy Name Medical set list that included “Piano fits aren’t yet clear, but the in- grandson,” said Ms. Charms,
Center, said she got the idea Man,” “You Are My Sunshine,” strument is becoming an in- 83. “It gives you more confi-
for “Harmonicare” after hear- “When the Saints Go Marching creasingly popular extension dence in yourself. Generally it
Denis Keane of Bottle & Bine with the Kylee Says So mocktail. ing that her friend’s mother, In” and the late Leonard Co- of pulmonary rehabilitation. makes you feel stronger.”
better
About 200 state investigators
and staffers are being assigned
to spread the word about New
York’s recent minimum wage in-
crease—and to make sure busi-
nesses comply.
Gov. Andrew Cuomo an-
PETER J. SMITH FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
to give...
nounced the task force Monday.
The minimum wage was pre-
viously $9 an hour statewide un-
til Saturday. Now, it varies by lo-
cation and size of business, from
$9.70 an hour in much of the
state to $11 an hour in New York
City businesses with 11 or more
workers.
The Democratic governor and
the state Legislature agreed in
March to raise the minimum wage
to $15 an hour statewide by 2021. FATAL FIRST: New York City’s first shooting death of 2017 happened Monday in Ozone Park, Queens.
Mr. Cuomo said the task force
initially will work to inform em- The governor nixed the mea- system,” said Donna Lieberman, cording to officials.
ployers and workers about the sure Saturday night. executive director of the New Dekota Locklear of Lumber-
increase, but over time, the He said he supports having York Civil Liberties Union. ton, N.C., was pulled over around
group will focus more on com- the state pay to improve criminal The legislation followed a 2 a.m. Sunday on Manhattan’s
plaints and enforcement. defense for the indigent. But he 2014 settlement between the Upper West Side after he rolled
—Associated Press said the legislation went too far Cuomo administration and the past a DWI checkpoint.
and included hundreds of millions NYCLU requiring better indigent The 18-year-old was hand-
NEW YORK of dollars for legal services in defense services in Suffolk, cuffed and placed in the back of
The MySuit Gift Card family court and other settings. Washington, Ontario, Onondaga a police car with no partition. Of-
Costs to Defend Poor Mr. Cuomo said he would and Schuyler counties. ficials said he crawled into the
Shirts | Pants | Suits Stay With Counties work with lawmakers on a new —Associated Press front seat and drove off, traveling
plan this year. But public defend- about 13 miles north. Police
New York Gov. Andrew ers and other supporters of the UPPER WEST SIDE tracked the vehicle and found the
Cuomo has vetoed a proposal to legislation said the governor had suspect nearby at about 4 a.m.
have the state pay for public de- spurned legislation that would Teen Drives Away Mr. Locklear was arrested on
custom clothing for the knowing man fenders. His decision means that have helped ensure New Yorkers In Police Cruiser charges of grand larceny, aggra-
at least for now, individual coun- have equal access to justice. vated drunken driving and at-
ties will largely keep footing the “He has rejected a ground- A teenager arrested for tempted assault of a police officer.
madison @ 45th St • wall street • philadelphia • mysuit.com
bill for defending poor people ac- breaking and bipartisan fix to our drunken driving tried to make a He was awaiting arraignment.
cused of crimes. deeply flawed public defense getaway—in a police cruiser, ac- —Associated Press
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | A11
LIFE&ARTS
BONDS: ON RELATIONSHIPS
Is Therapy
Working
For You?
TRAVEL
NANDO PELUSI
USING HOUSEPLANTS
TO SAY ‘WELCOME HOME’
makes a nice subtle complement
BY CHERYL LU-LIEN TAN
ROLANDO DIAZ FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL (2)
NEIL KRUG
judgment and gut to see if your emotions
and behaviors are getting stronger. If
‘Migration’ is the new album by Simon Green, known by his stage name Bonobo, and features Nicole Miglis, Michael Milosh, Nick Murphy and more. they ask the right questions at the right
time and a light bulb goes off, that is
when you start to trust them.
‘MIGRATION“ (Ninja Tune) is added that he had no historical and string sections. unavailable to sing it.
Simon Green’s sixth studio al- connection to Los Angeles, which After the tour for “The North On ”Migration” there is a How long should therapy go on?
bum under the Bonobo name he finds the antithesis of what Borders,” he moved to California sense of a journey, of emotional Therapy can be very short—a dozen ses-
and his first since “The North he called “the hyper-social envi- and developed compositions he ebbs and flows ranging from sions can significantly improve on self-
Borders.” Supporting that 2013 ronment on the road,” and New began while traveling, using Able- sorrow to excitement. In “Sec- defeating habits and emotional vulnera-
album, he and his 12-piece band York, his prior base, which he ton and other digital workstations ond Sun,” piano, guitar and deli- bilities like depression and anxiety.
played some 175 shows in the saw as hectic, stressful and in to explore sounds and textures. cate chiming keyboards are sur- However, some habits and thinking styles
U.S., Canada, Australia and conflict with the kind of music He utilized a series of complex al- rounded by a wash of go very deep and may require more time.
across Europe. On “Migration,” he wanted to make. gorithms he created to generate atmospherics until the brass and When you feel stronger and like how you
out Jan. 13, Mr. Green explores Mr. Green was born in Brigh- random loops—he called them strings enter. In “7th Sevens,” respond to the world and other people,
what returning home means to ton, England. His debut disc, “An- “harmonic generative music”— dance percussion jumps on top you can end it. You can always go back
someone who leads such a no- imal Magic,” re- that serve as foun- of what sounds like static and for booster sessions.
madic existence, even if home is leased in the States dations and spring- then Mr. Green adds alluring
an unfamiliar place. in 2001, introduced boards. For the chords on keys. The album con- Should clients follow their therapist on
The new album blends elec- a promising pro- album opener and cludes with “Figures,” in which social media or ask personal questions?
tronica, African-influenced poly- ducer of down- title track of “Mi- a string quartet that had set up I’m happy to share my personal foibles
rhythms, piano, brass, harp and a tempo music who gration,” Mr. Green in his living room accompanies and answer questions about my life. I
string quartet. Guest vocalists in- played several in- asked pianist and clattering percussion that even- can understand some curiosity and don’t
clude Nicole Miglis of Hundred struments and had Los Angeles neigh- tually fades away, allowing the see any harm in humanizing the thera-
Waters, Michael Milosh of the a taste for jazz and bor Jon Hopkins to strings to soar and then glide to pist. If you’re curious, look your thera-
duo Rhye, Nick Murphy (formerly R&B. “Days to improvise solos to a comfortable landing, as if a pist up. It’s natural.
known as Chet Faker) and the Come” (2006) and the loops. That track metaphor for Mr. Green’s hope
members of Innov Gnawa, a “Black Sands” has a gentle gran- for living in his new setting. Is my therapist looking me up?
Brooklyn-based group that per- (2010) expanded his sound pal- deur that foretells what follows. Mr. Green and his ensemble They might be, but that could be a good
forms a form of traditional Mo- ette with contributions by horns, As in the past, Mr. Green chose will tour behind “Migration” be- thing if it informs the work. The impor-
roccan trance music. Despite its drums and strings, while Mr. his vocalists with care. On “Sur- ginning Feb. 15 in Hamburg, Ger- tant thing is that they are honest with
ambitious scope, “Migration” is a Green played keyboards, guitars, face,” Ms. Miglis’s voice oscillates many, with a month-long North you about it if you ask.
tranquil, contemplative recording vibraphone and, notably, an up- to dart between beats, while on American tour to start on April
that projects a feeling of misty right bass that gave him a signa- “Bambro Koyo Ganda” the contri- 24 in Toronto. (See bonobomu- How can clients know if they have a good
melancholy. ture sound on the bottom. “The butions of Innov Gnawa help Mr. sic.com for dates and locations.) working alliance?
When we spoke by phone North Borders” nods toward Afri- Green create a style of North Afri- He’ll use a five-piece band that It should feel like you’re both working to
shortly before Christmas, the can music with the sounds of can electronica. Set against the will likely give the music a sense solve the same problem. If you feel like
40-year-old Mr. Green said he is percussion instruments like the melodic thump of the bass and of intimacy appropriate for an you come out of it with the power to
still acclimating to his new kalimba, also known as a thumb warmed by brass, Mr. Milosh’s album that ultimately speaks to make changes within you, the alliance is
home in the Echo Park neighbor- piano, and the xylophone-like soft, sweet vocal is essential to the comforts of home. working.
hood of Los Angeles. balafon. As the 2014 album “The the romantic character of “Break
“When you’re traveling, it’s North Borders Tour—Live” dem- Apart.” So ideal is Mr. Milosh’s Mr. Fusilli is the Journal’s rock Write to Elizabeth Bernstein at
easy to ignore your situation. onstrates, Mr. Green’s music blos- contribution that it was surpris- and pop music critic. Email him elizabeth.bernstein@wsj.com or follow
But once the dust settles, it somed with the support of on- ing to learn Mr. Green wrote the at jfusilli@wsj.com and follow her on Facebook, Twitter and Instagram
catches up with you,” he said. He stage musicians, including horn song for Damon Albarn, who was him on Twitter @wsjrock. at EBernsteinWSJ.
An Engraver’s
Many Muses
Jennifer Bower finds inspiration in ‘Star Wars,’ a
family heirloom and the Michigan landscape
Pendry’s minibars feature products from Australia’s Vittoria Coffee and some local purveyors. The
minibars are automated and charge guests automatically when they remove an item.
SPORTS
NFL | Jason Gay
defenders, who had enrolled early depth chart and walk-ons who vol- 12 to mimic Florida State quarter-
at Alabama and was still new to unteer to be tackling dummies. back Deondre Francois. He just
campus. There was no amount of innovation showed up. And it was up to Clem-
Then Jalen Hurts took the field that could make practice players son’s defense to stop him.
and left the entire team slack-jawed. better than the other team’s real They tightened their shoulder
“We didn’t really know what his tal- players. pads and prepared for a quarter-
ent-set was,” said Alabama defen- But this season, with Alabama back with enough zip to throw past
sive back Anthony Averett. “But we chasing its fifth national champion- was doing spread quickly in college was in the camp that believed it was them and enough speed to run
knew as soon as the first play.” ship in eight years, the school that football. As it turned out, the Crim- a brilliant idea. The quality of scout- around them. Boyd ran so much in
was already better than everybody son Tide had checked with the team players was an issue that ran- practice that he was tired after a
else figured out how to practice Southeastern Conference and kled Clemson, too, and Swinney had few series. He even studied Bar-
better than everybody else, too. NCAA, and it was legal for players already stumbled on a makeshift so- rett’s tendencies to give Clemson
Last year’s title game Saban has reimagined his scout to practice with their former col- lution. The quarterback on the Ti- the best possible impersonation.
helped reinvent the way team since the breakout perfor- lege teams. Saban had found an- gers’ scout team this season was “He did a lot of things on his feet
mance last season of Hurts, who other loophole to exploit. someone who is paid millions of dol- that Coach Venables can’t really
college-football teams hadn’t been eligible to play a single It wasn’t long before other lars to do something else: defensive do,” said Clemson lineman Carlos
use their scout teams. game for Alabama. Now, in key po- coaches scrambled to catch up. Ohio coordinator Brent Venables. Watkins.
sitions like quarterback and running State coach Urban Meyer was There were several reasons Ven- Boyd playing Barrett clearly paid
back, Alabama uses practice clones stunned to learn about Saban’s idea ables took on this extra responsibil- off. Ohio State’s offense was anemic
who don’t play for Alabama—at at a news conference, but he imme- ity. For one thing, “nobody can tell in a 31-0 rout on Saturday night—
Alabama and Clemson are back least not anymore. Because they’re diately took his phone out of his me no,” he said. But he also found it the first time any Urban Meyer
in next week’s College Football Play- Alabama alumni. pocket and started thinking about difficult to get a scout-team guy to team had ever been shut out. The
off national championship in a re- When he needed someone to play which of his former players he do exactly what he wanted. He de- Buckeyes didn’t even get close to
match of last year’s title game that star Louisiana State star running might call. Meyer invited ex-Ohio cided it was easier to do it himself. scoring. They weren’t inside the 20-
the Crimson Tide won, 45-40. Sa- back Leonard Fournette, for exam- State linebackers and wide receivers After all, Venables studies the film yard line all night.
ban again needs someone new to ple, Saban called on Trent Richard- to practice with the Buckeyes before and scripts the defense, which Boyd live-tweeted the win from
play Watson in practice. But Hurts son, who won two championships their semifinal against Clemson. means he understands exactly how afar with some friends and steak.
can’t do it anymore. The guy who with Alabama and was the third pick Some coaches weren’t so keen. “I to stress the Clemson defense—even But he wasn’t surprised. What hap-
played Clemson’s quarterback last in the 2012 Draft before he crashed think it’s absolutely ludicrous,” if he played linebacker in college. pened was exactly what he ex-
season is Alabama’s quarterback out of the NFL. The real Fournette Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly said. “I’m actually pretty precise,” Ve- pected—which is why he didn’t go to
this season. ran for a season-low 35 yards in that “Doesn’t sound like college football nables said. “I just can’t throw it the game. “I tried to find any logical
The ascension of Hurts under- game—a 10-0 win for Alabama. to me.” more than 20 yards.” way that Ohio State could beat
scores a radical shift in college foot- The word about what Alabama Clemson coach Dabo Swinney But one day last month, while Clemson,” he said, “and I couldn’t.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | A15
OPINION
The Luck of the Donald BOOKSHELF | By Shai Held
“Everything in
life is luck.”
The words are
the industry from another
coal-killing regulation.
Harry Reid. In 2013 the
The Most
attributed to
Donald Trump
and they con-
tinue to make
then-Senate majority leader
was determined to stop the
then-Republican minority
from blocking Obama nomi-
Overrated Virtue
MAIN
STREET regular ap-
pearances in
nees. So he pushed through
what the New York Times
Against Empathy
By William
the press not- called “the most fundamental By Paul Bloom
McGurn
withstanding alteration of its rules in more (Ecco, 285 pages, $26.99)
E
that the presi- than a generation.” Under the
dent-elect long ago declared it Reid rules, President Obama mpathy is having a moment. The primatologist Frans
GETTY IMAGES
fake news. “I never made this needed only a simple majority de Waal has heralded our time as an “age of empa-
ridiculous statement,” he to get his nominees through, thy,” which he sees as the key ingredient for a kinder,
tweeted in 2014, in language not the 60 votes to stop a GOP more just society. The linguist-cum-political advocate
that sounds much closer to the filibuster. George Lakoff insists that “behind every progressive policy
spirit of @realDonaldTrump. Plainly this made it easier lies a single moral value: empathy.” And advocating for
Even so, it takes nothing on climate change to fossil fu- beginning of this presidential for President Obama. But what he calls “global empathic consciousness,” the social
away from Mr. Trump’s stun- els, immigration and trans- race Mr. Trump raised fears President Trump will enjoy theorist Jeremy Rifkin maintains that only “global empa-
ning Nov. 8 victory to note gender bathrooms, the admin- about how pro-Israel he would the same advantage in a Con- thy” can prevent “global collapse.”
that he enters the Oval Office istration has relied principally be when he said he’d be “neu- gress where his party already Paul Bloom, a professor of psychology at Yale, will have
a very lucky president. For on executive authority to im- tral” between the Israelis and has a majority in both houses. none of it. Not only is empathy a “poor moral guide,” he ar-
notwithstanding the formida- pose the Obama agenda. Palestinians. Now he’s a hero Ted Cruz. When Justice An- gues in his provocative book, “Against Empathy: The Case
ble challenges ahead—a dan- But as this editorial page simply for not insulting and tonin Scalia died in February, for Rational Compassion,” but it is actually “morally corro-
gerous world in which Ameri- has noted, what can be done demeaning the elected choice the Texas senator ran an ad sive.” He calls upon individuals of all political persuasions to
can leadership has been by the pen can be undone by of the Israeli people the way highlighting the importance of “join hands and work together in the fight against empathy.”
diminished, an anemic domes- the pen. By relying on execu- Mr. Obama has. the Supreme Court on issues What justifies this all-out assault on an ostensible vir-
tic economy that has led re- tive power instead of the hard Sally Jewell. Throughout from the Second Amendment tue? In a metaphor he returns to time and again, Mr.
cord numbers of Americans to work of persuading Congress the election Mr. Trump made to religious liberty, highlight- Bloom suggests that empathy, which he defines as “the act
give up hope of finding work, to pass legislation, Mr. Obama coal miners his special cause, ing a clip from an old inter- of feeling what you believe other people feel—experiencing
has set Mr. Trump up for promising to restore mining view in which Mr. Trump what they experience,” is like a spotlight. A spotlight can
some wonderful photo-ops as jobs killed by Obama-era regu- called himself “very pro- direct attention and assistance to where it is needed, but
Ironically, Trump’s the new president uses his lations. Interior Secretary choice” and concluding “we its focus is necessarily narrow. Thus empathy always fo-
own executive authority to Jewell is apparently hard at cannot trust Donald Trump cuses exclusively on what is
opponents have set undo large chunks of the work making it easier for Mr. with these decisions.” captured by its glow.
him up for some Obama legacy. Trump to show he’s making In May Mr. Trump re- While we concentrate on
John Kerry. Put it this way: good on his promise. The ve- sponded by releasing a list of the few whose suffering has
major successes. If you wanted to make Mr. hicle is an 11th-hour rule that jurists broadly in the Scalia become salient for us, we for-
Trump an instant hero to Is- would give federal regulators tradition. Now he can claim a get the many others who also
rael, what would you do? The more power to deny coal-min- mandate because he had re- need our help. Worse, since it
to name two—the curious pol- answer is you’d have America ing permits. leased these names. So once is easier to empathize with
itics of the moment has set abstain from a U.N. Security Here’s the gift: The rule again, Mr. Trump’s critics—in those who are similar to us,
him up for some bigly suc- Council resolution condemn- goes into effect a day before this case constitutional con- empathy all too often reflects
cesses early on. The irony is ing the Jewish state—and Mr. Trump is sworn in as servatives—have set him up to our biases. “Intellectually, a
that it is not so much Mr. then have the secretary of president. That leaves 60 leg- make good on one of his most white American might believe
Trump’s friends as his ene- state give a speech like the islative days for Congress to important campaign promises. that a black person matters just
mies who have put him in this one he just delivered knocking stop it from going into effect Right now the punditry is as much as a white person, but
lucky position. the coalition government of under the Congressional Re- chattering on about how Mr. he or she will typically find it a
The list is long. So let’s Benjamin Netanyahu as the view Act. Already Senate Ma- Obama is using his remaining lot easier to empathize with the
start from the top: “most right-wing in Israeli jority Leader Mitch McCon- time in office to box Mr. plight of the latter than the former,”
Barack Obama. Remember history.” nell has promised that Trump in. Maybe. But so far Mr. Bloom writes. Thus, “empathy distorts
President Obama’s vow that Whatever Mr. Kerry Republicans will use that act Mr. Trump has been blessed our moral judgments in pretty much the same
he wasn’t going to wait for thought he was doing, his out- to kill the regulation. Which by his enemies’ bad judgment. way that prejudice does.” Try as we may, Mr. Bloom insists,
Congress to act? Well, he the-door slap at Israel is of a will likely end with a nice And nothing they are now we are simply incapable of empathizing with more than a
didn’t. And it wasn’t just exec- piece with the booing that the ceremony with Mr. Trump doing suggests his luck—or handful of people at a time because we have limited emo-
utive orders. On everything mention of Jerusalem re- surrounded by grateful coal their bad judgment—is going tional capacity; accordingly, empathy necessarily constricts
from the nuclear deal with ceived at the 2012 Democratic miners as he announces how to change. our vision and entrenches our prejudices.
Iran and the Paris agreement National Convention. At the he and his party have saved Write to mcgurn@wsj.com. Empathy is also innumerate. As many studies have dem-
onstrated, if you show someone a picture of an individual
starving child, she will likely open her wallet. But if you tell
What Does Trump Know About Russia? her about hundreds of faceless, nameless children in need in
some far away place, she will remain unmoved. “If our con-
cern is driven by thoughts of the suffering of specific indi-
Donald Trump they now seem prepared un- fancies himself a better deal- shrugged off Mr. Obama’s ac- viduals,” Mr. Bloom writes, “then it sets up a perverse situa-
says “I know critically to accept President maker. Maybe he hopes Mr. tions against Russia last week tion in which the suffering of one can matter more than the
things that Obama’s conclusion that “the Putin will see him as a kin- by saying “we ought to get on suffering of a thousand.”
other people highest levels of the Russian dred spirit: Big hombre, in- with our lives,” it’s worth What, then, is the proper alternative to all this empathy-
don’t know.” government” had directed stinctive nationalist, zero use wondering whether the presi- induced immorality? Championing the role of “deliberative
He says: “I “data theft and disclosure ac- for liberals and their pieties. dent-elect isn’t committing reasoning” in everyday life, Mr. Bloom argues that “we
know a lot tivities” to influence the elec- Mr. Trump is likely to be the same sin. should strive to use our heads rather than our hearts.” Hu-
GLOBAL
about hack- tion? Why are we supposed to disappointed in these hopes: There’s something else man goodness depends, he says, on an “escape from empa-
VIEW
ing.” And: believe, as ironclad certain- Michael Flynn, his soon-to-be worth wondering about. thy” and a turn towards rules and principles which alone
By Bret
“Hacking is a ties, the judgment of intelli- national security adviser, has It isn’t a secret that the make fairness possible and will lead to a far greater allevia-
Stephens
very hard gence officials who recently described Russia as a key Trump Organization has long tion of suffering. Mr. Bloom does see a place—albeit a lim-
thing to failed to anticipate the rise of member of “an international been entwined with Russian ited one—for emotions in the moral life. He advocates for
prove.” And: “It could be Islamic State? alliance of evil countries” business interests: “Russians compassion, which he insists is “a more diffuse concern for
someone else.” If these are the reasons for make up a pretty dispropor- the fates of others” than empathy. Because such concern is
He says he will tell us what Mr. Trump’s skepticism, so tionate cross-section of our less intensely focused, it can presumably be more widely di-
he knows “on Tuesday or much the better: “Intelli- The president-elect assets,” Donald Trump Jr. told rected and more thoughtfully applied.
Wednesday.” gence,” as Daniel Patrick Moy- a real-estate conference in
Let’s hope so. The presi- nihan used to say, “is not to has his doubts about 2008. It isn’t a secret that Mr.
dent-elect has taken it upon be confused with intelli- Russian hacking. Trump’s campaign was curi- Empathy, Bloom argues, entrenches our
himself to be skeptic-in-chief gence.” But perhaps there are ously studded by figures with prejudices and is ‘morally corrosive.’ But is
when it comes to the U.S. in- less creditable reasons. What are his motives? deep business ties to Russian
telligence community’s con- Long before there was any or pro-Russian figures, includ- reason any more reliable as a moral guide?
tention that the Russian re- hint of Russian meddling in ing Paul Manafort, Rick Gates
gime hacked U.S. computer the election, Mr. Trump had against which the U.S. is at and Carter Page. It isn’t a se-
networks in an effort to swing made no secret of his admira- war. And Mr. Putin’s idea of a cret that businessmen from It is fine and good to argue for a greater emphasis on
the election to Mr. Trump. It’s tion for Vladimir Putin. tough leader probably looks Russia and other former So- reason in moral decision-making—a long line of distin-
entirely possible to believe In 2007 Mr. Trump told more like a Spetsnaz com- viet states have been major guished philosophers past and present would agree—but
that the basis for his skepti- Larry King that the Russian mando than a former beauty investors in marquee projects one wonders whether it is really fair to assail empathy as
cism is sound and prudent. president is “doing a great job pageant impresario. such as the Trump Soho in ferociously as Mr. Bloom does. He writes that “the prob-
Then again, what if it isn’t? in rebuilding the image of Rus- However Mr. Trump’s over- New York and the Trump ho- lems we face as a society and as individuals . . . are often
The benefit-of-the-doubt sia and also rebuilding Russia tures to Moscow work out, tel in Toronto. due to too much [empathy].” Really? More than bigotry,
case comes in three letters: period.” In 2015 he called Mr. they raise the possibility that All this has been the sub- bias or entrenched hatreds? And there is something down-
WMD. As Mr. Trump noted Putin “a man so highly re- his desire for a better rela- ject of fascinating if inconclu- right bizarre about Mr. Bloom’s insistence that “we should
Saturday, “If you look at the spected within his own coun- tionship is shaping his atti- sive reporting, most recently aspire to a world in which a politician appealing to some-
weapons of mass destruction, try and beyond.” Last week, he tude toward the intelligence. by James Henry in the Ameri- one’s empathy would be seen in the same way as one ap-
that was a disaster and they tweeted that Mr. Putin was This is the same approach the can Interest. Peter Schweizer, pealing to people’s racist bias.”
were wrong,” referring to the “very smart!” for not respond- Obama administration ad- the author of “Clinton Cash,” Empathy can indeed limit and distort our moral vision,
intelligence consensus that ing in kind to Mr. Obama’s ex- opted in its first term. Hoping also recently warned that he but Mr. Bloom fails to seriously engage with the fact that
Iraq had a robust and active pulsion of 35 Russian embassy to smooth Senate ratification sees parallels between the reason can also be marshaled for nefarious ends. Gesturing
WMD program at the time of officials. of the 2010 New Start arms- Clinton Foundation and the towards troubling research on how Nazi doctors “used their
the 2003 invasion. He added: The most innocent reading control treaty, it played down Trump Organization. intelligence to talk themselves into doing terrible things,”
“And so I want them to be of these comments is that Mr. information showing that If Mr. Trump wants to dis- he acknowledges that those doctors “would have been bet-
sure. I think it’s unfair if they Trump is seeking to flatter his Russia was violating the 1987 pel the nagging suspicion that ter off listening to their hearts.” Mr. Bloom opens this door
don’t know.” Russian counterpart into a co- Intermediate-range Nuclear his views on Russia are driven but refuses to walk through it. If emotions can sometimes
Fair enough. The media operative relationship, much Forces Treaty. by less-than-honest motives, serve as a corrective to wayward reason, then why the glo-
spent the better part of a de- as George W. Bush and Mr. This is called politicizing he can begin by telling us rification of the latter and the unrelenting suspicion of the
cade swearing they wouldn’t Obama sought to do in the intelligence, and it’s reprehen- what he knows about his Rus- former? Neither reason nor emotion guarantees moral
be fooled again by intelligence early days of their presiden- sible whether done in the ser- sia ties that the rest of us still goodness.
assessments the way they cies. Maybe he thinks he’ll get vice of starting a war or pass- don’t. Mr. Bloom is undoubtedly right that empathy alone
were before 2003. So why do a better result because he ing a treaty. Since Mr. Trump Write bstephens@wsj.com. makes for bad policy: While it can motivate us to care, we
need reason to help us design and implement policies
aimed at reducing suffering. And I am extremely sympa-
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
The FDA’s Rigged Drug Committees Steadfast Refusal to Negotiate in Good Faith
A
mong the Republican priorities in 2017 FDA’s review also relied on a chart to con- In reaction to William A. Galston’s never was a “State of Palestine.” Fol-
should be dismantling a culture of bu- vince the panel that boys on the drug over time Dec. 28 Politics & Ideas “Trump lowing the defeat of these armies, the
Could Be Even More Wrong on Is- Arab League summit in Khartoum in
reaucratic control at the Food and Drug walked no better than patients who were not
rael”: 1967 produced the three no’s—no
Administration that poisons treated. But we’ve reviewed Here’s a two-state solution: How peace, no recognition, no negotiations
innovation and costs lives. A case study in how compelling evidence that about we carve out a chunk of terri- with Israel. From that day to this, the
Here’s an idea: Update part of the agency gets the someone manipulated the x- tory here in the U.S. for ISIS? Oh, leadership of Palestine has steadfastly
the approval process that was axis in later years to make the that makes us uncomfortable? So refused to negotiate in good faith. Af-
patient zero for distorting data advice it wants to hear. results look more damning for why does the West try to jam that ter Israel unilaterally ceded Gaza to
on a drug for Duchenne muscu- Exondys. This contentious vi- same idea down Israel’s throat? Cre- the Palestinian Authority in 2005,
lar dystrophy. sual was treated as gospel. ate a country out of your country for Hamas was elected and proceeded to
We’ve reported on the drama over eteplirsen, Supportive experts were relegated to the your sworn enemies. destroy the industry left by the Israe-
which FDA approved in September and is now public hearing portion of the meeting for brief What’s even more illogical to me, lis, throw the Palestinian Authority
marketed as Exondys 51 by Sarepta Therapeutics. comments. Pediatric neurologists, the geneticist the only reason there’s a debate leadership from rooftops of high
about settlements is because Arab buildings, and embark on a campaign
Midlevel bureaucrats have since disparaged the who discovered the gene for Duchenne, clinical
coalitions from all sides twice—1967 of firing rockets randomly at Israeli ci-
therapy in public, and some insurers are denying researchers and others had to move fast through and 1973—tried to wipe Israel out vilians and building tunnels to attack
coverage. Much of the confusion results from an slides and data. The FDA’s lead reviewer, an eye and failed so badly that they lost and kidnap other Israelis.
April show trial known as an advisory committee doctor, talked for about an hour. territory to the victor. Under exactly Now the U.N. is telling Israel that it
meeting. A process that is supposed to provide The nonprofit Jett Foundation collected data what Geneva protocol is the winner must give up land gained in a defen-
independent advice to the FDA instead became on falls, fatigue and other outcomes that the required to give the loser a country? sive war, which would be a first in
a venue to mislead a panel of nonexperts—and panel more or less ignored. These patient mea- To cap the absurdity, the Palestinian human history. It is telling Israel that
the public—about the drug’s efficacy. sures will be invaluable as rare diseases become state—which does not exist—is a it must give up the Jewish Quarter of
Advisory committees exist so FDA can solicit better understood. FDA has the legal authority voting member of the U.N. Security Jerusalem, where Jews have lived
expert counsel, but the agency stacks panels with to incorporate patient data in decisions, but the Council. If the Palestinians want a continuously for the last 1,000 years.
state so badly, how about the losers It is telling Israel that it must turn its
allies whose career currency is prestige and gov- bureaucracy never does.
of the wars get together and provide entire eastern border into another
ernment funding. Such committees usually vote At the end of the day, panelists vote on ap- some territory? If that’s not accept- Gaza experience. In short, it is telling
the way FDA wants—and then the agency tends proval questions, and even here FDA tilts the out- able, the West should shut keep Israel that it must commit suicide.
to follow the recommendation. On eteplirsen, the come. The agency’s guidance says questions quiet and stop trying to govern Is- The real question is why the U.S.
panel voted 6-7 against accelerated approval af- should have “minimal qualifiers” so as not to con- rael from abroad. should continue to provide billions of
ter a critical FDA review, which was later over- fuse the committee. So let’s look at one of the TIM QUAST dollars to the U.N., an organization
ruled by agency management in a rare exception questions FDA asked the panel to ponder: Denver that stands by while hundreds of
amid unusual public scrutiny. “Do the clinical results of the single histori- thousands of civilians are slaugh-
The 13-member committee that checked out cally-controlled study (Study 201/202) provide In 1967, Egypt, Syria and Jordan at- tered and millions are displaced in
eteplirsen included: a psychiatrist, a stroke doc- substantial evidence (i.e., evidence from ade- tacked Israel with the stated intent of Syria, choosing instead to relent-
tor and several others with no experience in quate and well-controlled studies or evidence destroying the fledgling state and lessly attack the only democracy and
eliminating all the Jews. These armies America’s only ally in the Middle
Duchenne. The agency seldom invites true ex- from a single highly persuasive adequate and
were defeated and the land now called East.
perts because anyone who has ever talked to a well-controlled study that is accompanied by in- the “occupied territories” was ceded BILL EMERSON
drug company is deemed financially conflicted. dependent findings that substantiate efficacy) by Jordan. Just to be clear, there West Palm Beach, Fla.
In rare diseases like Duchenne, that problem is that eteplirsen is effective for the treatment of
more pronounced because the pool of experts DMD?”
can be so limited. Are you still reading? The obfuscation led
Yet meet Caleb Alexander, chairman of the one committee member who voted no, Bruce
committee. Dr. Alexander invited speakers at the Ovbiagele, to deliver this insight: “Based on all
I Threatened to Resign; I Should’ve Done It
meeting to state organizations they represent. that I heard, the drug definitely works, but the “Starr’s Baylor Exit Followed Hid- matter of conscience.
He read this statement at least a dozen times but question was framed differently.” Imagine den Turmoil” (Sports, Dec. 24) is a The moral of the still-unfolding
neglected to mention his own conflict of inter- hearing this if you are the parent of a Duchenne decidedly mixed report on my six- story is threefold: Executives need,
year stewardship at Baylor Univer- more likely than not, to bring in
est: Dr. Alexander has received a large FDA boy.
sity. With all respect, the report is their own executive team; have a
grant, information that is available online. The If FDA is going to run these committees woefully incomplete. Until June 2016, clear understanding with the govern-
conceit is that folks like Dr. Alexander are less merely to achieve a predetermined outcome, in every year of my service, the ing board of what’s expected; and
motivated by pecuniary interests than someone then let’s skip the exercise. Drug sponsors Board of Regents’ leadership gave me should leave, voluntarily, when, as
who has consulted for a company. Dr. Alexander should at least be allowed to object to candidates a highly favorable review and gener- FDR once wrote, “our minds do not
voted against approval. for the panel and be granted time to refute the ously granted, each year, an increas- go along together.” Over the years, I
Sarepta was barely allowed to defend itself at agency’s contentions, as Joseph Gulfo, executive ingly large bonus. In the wake of the threatened on three separate occa-
the meeting, which allowed agency distortions director of the Lewis Center for Healthcare Inno- consultant’s 2013 draft report trum- sions to resign. In each instance, I
to appear as fact. One example: FDA’s documents vation and Technology, has suggested. The pan- peted in the piece, I was promoted to was talked out of it. Of all my mis-
for Sarepta claim that patients “commonly main- els should also include several members who chancellor (simultaneously continu- takes, that was, in retrospect, my
ing to serve as president) and given biggest.
tain ambulation to older ages than is often real- have treated the disease.
a two-year extension on my contract. The good news: For the past six
ized, to 18 years or perhaps even older.” Yet the These changes would return advisory com- Several senior administrators (who I years, Baylor has reached new
same materials for a Duchenne drug reviewed mittee meetings to their original purpose as an had inherited) departed thereafter; heights in every respect (strength
fewer than six months earlier say that “by age outside check on FDA bias or groupthink. If Don- one was fired by the chairman of the of faculty, students, athletics, fund-
10-14, patients become wheel chair bound.” This ald Trump is serious about making government board after warnings of gross insub- raising, diversity and global en-
looks like an attempt to make Sarepta’s clinical accountable to the people who pay for it, FDA is ordination. Equally telling, simulta- gagement), anointed each year by
results look less significant. a prime candidate for reform. neously with my being dismissed as the Chronicle of Higher Education
president in 2016, the board an- as a “Great College to Work For.” It
nounced that I would remain as still is.
Shooting Down North Korea’s Missiles chancellor. In short order, and in sor-
row, I resigned from that post as a
KENNETH W. STARR
Waco, Texas
K
im Jong Un announced Sunday that ful test could provide the North with valuable
North Korea is about to test an intercon- data to work the problem.
tinental ballistic missile that can reach The U.S. has ship-based missile defenses in Wind and Solar Can’t Replace Coal and Gas
the U.S. mainland. If he pro- the region, and intercepting Another truth that climateers trillions of dollars and sacrifice land
ceeds with the test, the U.S. Kim wants the ability the test would have the dual can’t handle (“Climateers Can’t Han- area equivalent to the size of the
should shoot it down. to make U.S. cities purpose of slowing Kim’s nu- dle the Truth” by Holman Jenkins states of Indiana or Kentucky.
The test itself is not a shock. clear progress and demon- Jr., Business World, Dec. 28) is that But the job of meeting full-time
Four previous tests of the Tae- his nuclear hostages. strating an effective deterrent. wind and solar can replace coal and demand on this road is only half
podong-2 missile were dis- Kim may figure the U.S. won’t natural gas for electricity generation. done. Wind turbines only generate
guised as satellite launches, take such action as it prepares America’s economy demands full- electricity about half the time. The
and two of them succeeded in putting objects to inaugurate a new President and South Korea time electricity. Wind and solar only sun only shines about half the time.
generate part-time electricity. It’s a So wind and solar must generate at
into orbit over the U.S. The news here is that the is riven by an impeachment trial of President
long, expensive and land-sacrificing least twice as much electricity when
young dictator is so confident of becoming a full Park Geun-hye. But the U.S. right to self defense road to full-time wind and solar the wind blows and the sun shines.
nuclear power that he has dispensed with the fig provides ample justification, and U.N. Security electricity. The additional 306,000 MW of elec-
leaf of a space program. Council resolutions ban the North from pursuing After the billions already spent and tricity must be time-shifted—stored
This is one more sign that Kim is racing to the its missile program. substantial subsidies that continue, and then withdrawn—to meet later
finish line of full nuclear-weapons capability. Even the defensive use of force carries risks wind and solar generated only 25,000 demand when wind isn’t blowing and
Thae Yong Ho, the No. 2 in the North Korean Em- that Kim would retaliate, but the larger risk is megawatts (MW) of electricity in sun isn’t shining.
bassy in London until he defected, warned last letting a man as reckless as Kim gain the means 2015, or about 6% of U.S. demand. Utility-scale storage for hun-
week that Kim wants to deploy nuclear-armed to hold American cities hostage. Kim evidently Coal and natural gas generated dreds of thousands of megawatts
missiles by the end of 2017. believes that once the North has a credible abil- 306,000 MW, or about 66% of U.S. de- doesn’t exist and must be invented.
mand. Increasing 25,000 to 306,000 Thus the road gets longer in time
The North already has the technology to ity to destroy Seattle or Chicago, the U.S. will
will take decades, billions or perhaps and still more expensive. After fac-
launch a nuclear weapon against South Korea have no choice other than to accept it as a nor- ing this truth, climateers need to
and Japan. But hurdles remain to deploying an mal nuclear state. The Obama Administration, come up with a better answer to
ICBM with a nuclear warhead. Chief among them in consultation with President-elect Donald Trump Should Reciprocate full-time electricity than wind
is a re-entry vehicle capable of withstanding ex- Trump, can demonstrate its bipartisan resolve farms and solar parks.
tremes of temperature and vibration. A success- to thwart that plan. To Abe With TPP Support GEORGE F. STEEG
Shinzo Abe deserves to be com- Potomac Falls, Va.
mended for his commitment to a col-
Murder and Policing in Chicago laborative approach to security in East
Asia (“A Friend for Trump in Asia,”
CORRECTION
P
resident Obama plans a farewell speech investigation by the Justice Department. Review & Outlook, Dec. 28). Your edi-
torial is correct to say that the Trump Snap Inc. is aiming for a valuation of
next week in Chicago, and perhaps he’ll The American Civil Liberties Union has also
administration will find a friend with as much as $25 billion in an initial pub-
notice that while he’s been in Washing- targeted Chicago police, and the department in his leadership. What remains to be de- lic offering. A Dec. 31 editorial, “Where
ton his hometown has become August 2015 agreed to track termined is if Mr. Trump will recipro- Are the IPOs?,” mistakenly said the
the nation’s murder capital As cops retreat under investigatory stops and pat- cate this friendship. Shinzo Abe de- company hopes to raise $25 billion.
and largest gang war zone. political pressure, downs to avert a lawsuit. Offi- clared that the Trans-Pacific
Worth reflecting on is the cers must submit detailed two- Partnership is “meaningless” without
city’s upswell in violence last homicides rise 57%. page reports for each stop, the U.S. An excellent act of reciprocity Pepper ...
year that followed political which a former federal judge would be for Mr. Trump to support
protests against law enforce- and ACLU review for bias. the TPP. Passing this agreement would
And Salt
ment and a pullback in policing. Former Chicago Police Superintendent Garry solidify America’s longstanding com- THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
The Chicago Police Department reported 762 McCarthy told CBS’s “60 Minutes” this weekend mitment to open markets in Asia
while boosting the competitiveness of
homicides in 2016, the most in two decades and that the increase in paperwork has taken time
American exporters. During the nego-
more than in the cities of New York and Los An- away from proactive policing and made officers tiation process, both Japan and the
geles combined. The 57% increase was the big- more reluctant to stop suspicious individuals. Ac- U.S. had to compromise to make the
gest spike in 60 years. Shootings jumped 46% cording to CBS, the number of stops declined deal work. Mr. Trump should ensure
to 3,550, with most occurring in poor and minor- from 49,257 in August 2015 to 8,859 a year later that America and Japan remain long-
ity neighborhoods on the South and West sides. while arrests fell by a third to 6,900. While cur- standing friends by asking Congress to
Police have blamed gang activity, as most vic- rent Superintendent Eddie Johnson denied that pass the TPP.
tims had previously been identified for their police were retreating, he noted at a press confer- BEN RICHMOND
gang ties or past arrests. ence this weekend that anger at police has “em- Portland, Ore.
But gangs aren’t new, and another culprit is boldened” criminals. He also blamed lax enforce-
an increase in caution among police who have ment of Chicago’s strict antigun laws. Letters intended for publication should
come under widespread political attack. Street All of this suggests that the demonization of be addressed to: The Editor, 1211 Avenue
of the Americas, New York, NY 10036,
demonstrations followed the November 2015 re- cops has contributed to Chicago’s surge of vio- or emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
lease of a video capturing the killing of 17-year lence, with the principal victims being young include your city and state. All letters
old Laquan McDonald, who was shot 16 times minorities, many of them innocent bystanders. are subject to editing, and unpublished
by a white officer. The officer will stand trial for Perhaps the President could include an elegy for letters can be neither acknowledged nor “Just be aware, once you go
returned.
first-degree murder while police remain under these black lives in his farewell. upright there’s no going back.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | A17
OPINION
A
of presidential leadership. he was stalked by the shadow of
fter his surprise win in Consider Franklin Delano Roose- 9/11 and the invasion of Iraq. Barack
the presidential election velt, who relished the sport of poli- Obama has been tormented by ISIS,
of 1860, Abraham Lincoln tics and who in turn was loved by Benghazi, rising health costs and
gathered a coterie of re- the American people for his joyful Syria.
porters and enthused, grin and his reassuring fireside It is hard not to be impressed by
“Well boys, your troubles are over chats. FDR discovered the unrelent- President-elect Trump’s enthusiasm,
now; mine have only just begun.” ing toll of presidential decision-mak- his seemingly endless can-do spirit
Lincoln didn’t realize how pre- ing when, in the autumn of 1937, the and charisma, and his connection
scient he was, or the challenges he New York Stock Exchange plum- with the heartland’s working man.
would face. meted nearly 40%, its worst day Mr. Trump is getting down to busi-
In response to his assuming of- since 1929. ness with the same irrepressible
fice, most of the South seceded from FDR’s confidence deserted him as spirit and boldness that he has run
the Union. Then the crisis at Fort the economy lost a breathtaking his companies. He is clearly looking
Sumter escalated, threatening to en- four million jobs, leaving Roosevelt’s ahead.
gulf the nation. Lincoln’s cabinet ve- team to bemoan the “depression But Mr. Trump would do well to
hemently favored diplomacy and within a depression.” Usually the look back toward these teachings
evacuating Fort Sumter. But Lincoln, nimblest of leaders, Roosevelt unex- from history too. In doing so, he will
only weeks into his presidency, pectedly equivocated. He was ac- also realize that he is the steward of
cused of treading water, and even the precious fabric of American de-
loyalists rued that FDR “doesn’t mocracy and only one link—a tem-
The president-elect know which way to turn.” porary one at that—in the chain of
In time Roosevelt was able to presidents elected to watch over the
will soon learn stem the economic bloodbath, but nation. Like his predecessors, he will
how little control he only to be confronted by the Nazi realize that humility matters, for he
menace overrunning Europe. Out- will not easily be able to navigate
has over his agenda. wardly, Roosevelt was resolute in the next great crisis looming around
waging World War II. Privately, he the corner. Whether surrounded by
suffered. “I am walking on eggs,” he his team or his tightly knit family
made a pivotal decision, declaring bemoaned. One night at dinner in members, in the final analysis he
that he would “reprovision” the em- 1940 Roosevelt collapsed, a worri- will be rendering his decisions in
GETTY IMAGES
battled Fort Sumter, an action that some incident covered up by the near total isolation.
effectively launched the Civil War. White House. Lincoln once commented that
Lincoln never imagined the war By 1944, as Allied forces readied there was no glory in the presi-
would continue for four terrible their epic D-Day invasion of Nor- dency, only “ashes and blood.” Tru-
years. mandy, Roosevelt’s health was so Inaugural ceremonies for Abraham Lincoln, March 4, 1861. man once said of Dwight Eisen-
Here, in history, lies a warning precarious that doctors gave him hower, “Poor Ike . . . he’ll sit here
for Donald Trump. The president- only a year to live. Sickly and fever- confidence, Mr. Trump will also dis- summit with Nikita Khrushchev as and he’ll say, ‘Do this! Do that!’ And
elect, who has no formal political ish, he was forced to spend a month cover that little is simple about gov- well as in the Bay of Pigs fiasco, nothing will happen.” And even
experience, will soon be buffeted by convalescing in South Carolina. This erning. The presidency is more often prompting the near-disastrous Cu- George Washington, so renowned for
the hard truths that each of our did not stop him from rushing back characterized by the unanticipated, ban missile crisis. Lyndon Johnson, his composure, quivered during his
presidents, including hallowed ones to Washington on the eve of the in- not the anticipated. Just as often, it as capable a politician as there ever address to the Senate after ner-
like Lincoln, invariably discover the vasion and speaking to the American loses its way. has been, harbored altruistic vi- vously improvising in his first inau-
hard way. The first is that whatever people. He knew that only the presi- Recent history powerfully tells sions with his Great Society, only to guration.
his agenda may be before taking of- dent could guide the nation at such a the tale. Harry Truman learned the be undone by the crucible of Viet- Two hundred twenty-eight years
fice, the problems he will confront pivotal time. His doctors were right, burdens within hours of assuming nam. Richard Nixon, so sure-footed later, as Mr. Trump will learn soon
will almost inevitably differ from and Roosevelt died in April 1945. the presidency, when he was faced in foreign policy, was forced to re- enough, little has changed.
what he planned for. The second is Here, then, are the prerequisites with the questions of whether and sign. Jimmy Carter watched hap-
that however involved his advisers, of the presidency. Despite the capa- how to use the atomic bomb—a lessly as the Soviets marched into Mr. Winik, historian-in-residence
however enthusiastic his supporters, ble inner circle he is assembling, weapon that Truman hadn’t even Afghanistan and the Iranians held at the Council on Foreign Relations,
or however gregarious he himself and his innate political skills, Mr. known existed. America hostage for 444 days. And is the author of “1944: FDR and the
may be, tumult is inherent in gov- Trump will learn that the presi- A youthful, slightly cocky John F. George W. Bush, having campaigned Year That Changed History” (Simon
erning. He will never be able to dency is a forlorn place. For all his Kennedy blundered in his ill-fated on a platform of humility in world & Schuster, 2015).
C
laws for businesses that operate in gible” and effects on employment take steps to educate other cities that imum wage.
all it a New Year’s Day massa- multiple jurisdictions, a problem that were “not likely to be significant.” are considering their own wage man- Mr. Puzder’s department could use
cre for the entry-level job mar- will likely worsen over the next four Yet there is much evidence to the dates on the true consequences. The that exact approach when a city or
ket: As 2017 dawned, the mini- years. Labor groups, frustrated by contrary. Start with the first two cit- current Labor Department under Sec- county is considering a new mandate.
mum wage went up in 19 states and the Republican Congress, will no ies to implement minimum wages, retary Tom Perez has been an enthu- The Labor Department’s experts
more than 20 cities or counties. In doubt intensify their push for city which were studied by Aaron Yelowitz siastic booster of local minimum- could testify at local hearings to ex-
California alone, 12 cities raised their and county minimum wages instead. of the University of Kentucky, with re- wage campaigns. Mr. Trump’s plain the policy’s probable effect on
starting pay requirement, some to as But the quality of local debate, at search support from my organization. nominee to lead the department, res- labor markets, employment, poverty
high as $13 an hour, compared with least on this matter, isn’t always taurant CEO Andy Puzder, is rightly rates and wages.
$7.25 for the federal minimum. what it should be. When left-leaning more skeptical. Critics may complain that these
These local measures—the product city or county councils choose to The Trump administration Having run a food-service com- reports have their own biases, but
of labor-backed advocacy campaigns study the expected result of raising pany, Mr. Puzder understands, better the methodology used by the Con-
such as the “Fight for $15”—are still the minimum wage, the answer is of- should show local officials than most, the effect of a mandated gressional Budget Office was hardly
a relatively new phenomenon. “Living ten a foregone conclusion in service the research proving that labor cost. In an interview with Hugh one-sided. Although its economists
wage” requirements for city contrac- of a political goal. Hewitt this past April, he pointed to estimated that raising the federal
tors or recipients of local tax breaks Take Los Angeles, where a mea- minimum wages cost jobs. a summary, published by the Federal minimum to $10.10 would cost about
have existed since at least 1994. But sure signed in 2015 by Mayor Eric Reserve Bank of San Francisco, of the a half-million jobs, they also said
the first broadly applicable city mini- Garcetti will take the city’s minimum best minimum-wage research. That such a move would lift nearly one
mum wage wasn’t enacted until 2003, wage to $15 by 2020. Two years ago In a 2005 paper, Mr. Yelowitz wrote report showed clear negative effects million people out of poverty.
when Santa Fe, N.M., passed a law when the mayor began pushing his that after the Santa Fe wage bump, on employment: for instance, a drop If local politicians consider that
setting the starting hourly wage at original proposal of $13.25, one of his the likelihood of unemployment of 1%-2% among workers ages 16 to sort of trade-off a worthy one for
$8.50, a 65% increase over the then- deputies sent an email to Ken Jacobs, among less-educated workers jumped 19 for each 10% rise in the minimum their own city or county, they could
prevailing $5.15. Later that year, vot- a sympathetic researcher at the Uni- by more than eight percentage points. wage. consider the Labor Department’s tes-
ers in San Francisco followed suit, versity of California-Berkeley. “We A 2012 study by Mr. Yelowitz of San Explaining this research is clearly timony and duly pass a higher mini-
approving a minimum wage of $8.50 need to demonstrate clearly how this Francisco showed that each $1 in- within the mandate of the Labor De- mum wage. At least they would be
for their town. will help labor and the economy in crease in the city’s compensation partment, whose mission statement doing so with eyes wide open to the
Today, more than 30 cities and general,” the mayor’s office wrote. floor increased the likelihood of un- includes a pledge to “advance oppor- unintended consequences.
municipalities—including Chicago, (My organization, the Employment employment among younger workers tunities for profitable employment.”
much of Los Angeles County, and Policies Institute, obtained these by 4.5 percentage points. In other An appropriate framework already Mr. Saltsman is research director
both Maryland counties adjacent to emails via a public-records request.) words, the increased minimum wage exists. In 2014 the Congressional at the Employment Policies Institute,
Washington, D.C.—have their own The Berkeley team responded by had precisely the result that Econ 101 Budget Office reviewed 60 studies which receives support from restau-
separate minimum-wage requirements. writing a favorable report predicting would predict. and developed a methodology to rants, foundations and individuals.
A
would be detained pending deporta- tivity of the case.) By all accounts members of the armed forces. ernment’s own rhetoric much better.
ndrew Brunson was elated tion from the country. Norine was re- Pastor Brunson loves Turks and Tur- Now even evangelical pastors are At an anti-coup rally in August,
when Turkey’s Interior Minis- leased after two weeks, but her hus- key. He raised his children in the secret Gülenists. Prime Minister Binali Yildirim de-
try summoned him on Oct. 7 in band was held in the immigration- country, and the Brunsons have had Pastor Brunson’s treatment is also nounced Turkey’s enemies as a “cru-
the coastal city of Izmir. The minis- detention facility for another two “zero issues for 23 years,” their law- symptomatic of growing Christian saders’ army.”
try, the American pastor imagined, months, including two days in soli- yer says. persecution in Turkey. “Turkish Presi- Then there are cases like Pastor
was granting him and his wife, tary confinement. He was initially Yet overnight on Dec. 8 the pastor dent Erdogan sees anti-Christian con- Brunson’s. A court on Thursday denied
Norine, permanent-resident status denied access to legal counsel, and was transferred to a counterterror spiracy theories as an effective strat- his appeal against imprisonment. So
after they’d spent more than two de- two U.S. consular visits didn’t take center, brought before a judge the egy for galvanizing popular support far his is the most serious, but author-
cades preaching the gospel in Turkey. place until after he’d already spent a next day and charged with “member- ities have also expelled a number of
Instead they were arrested and de- month in the facility. ship in an armed terrorist organiza- evangelical missionaries in recent
tained for unspecified reasons. “What’s been frustrating is that no tion.” To this day the limited case An evangelical minister months and shuttered a Protestant
So began a Turkish nightmare the information has been given at any documentation provided to the family church in Antakya for offering “unau-
couple is living to this day. time,” a lawyer for the Brunsons told doesn’t specify which “terror” organi- gets caught in Erdogan’s thorized” Bible courses.
Turkish immigration authorities me in a phone interview. (The lawyer zation the pastor supposedly joined. expanding dragnet after “The idea that Mr. Brunson’s ar-
Court proceedings revealed, however, rest was related to his religious af-
that the Turks may have pegged Pas- July’s coup attempt. filiation is ludicrous,” a senior Turk-
tor Brunson as a Gülenist. ish official told me. “There are
PUBLISHED SINCE 1889 BY DOW JONES & COMPANY Fethullah Gülen is a Pennsylvania- hundreds of thousands of Christians
based imam whom President Recep for his one-man rule,” says Aykan Er- in Turkey who freely exercise their
Rupert Murdoch Robert Thomson
Executive Chairman, News Corp Chief Executive Officer, News Corp Tayyip Erdogan accuses of master- demir, a former member of the Turk- religion.” He added: “It’s absolutely
Gerard Baker William Lewis minding July’s failed coup. For years ish Parliament and a senior fellow at crucial to avoid stereotypes and fo-
Editor in Chief Chief Executive Officer and Publisher Mr. Gülen’s followers worked hand-in- the Washington-based Foundation for cus on the fact that Turkey has
Rebecca Blumenstein, Matthew J. Murray DOW JONES MANAGEMENT:
hand with Mr. Erdogan’s Justice and Defense of Democracies. taken unprecedented steps in recent
Deputy Editors in Chief Ashley Huston, Chief Communications Officer; Development Party to purge the coun- A pro-government columnist in years to promote cultural diversity,
DEPUTY MANAGING EDITORS: Paul Meller, Chief Technology Officer; try’s secular establishment. The rela- July claimed that Mr. Gülen’s mother including religious diversity.”
Mark Musgrave, Chief People Officer;
Michael W. Miller, Senior Deputy;
Edward Roussel, Chief Innovation Officer;
tionship soured in 2013, however, and is Jewish and his father an Arme- Promoting diversity and upholding
Thorold Barker, Europe; Paul Beckett, Asia;
Christine Glancey, Operations; Jennifer J. Hicks, Anna Sedgley, Chief Financial Officer; a power struggle ensued between the nian. Mr. Gülen himself “is a member basic rights aren’t the same thing.
Digital; Neal Lipschutz, Standards; Katie Vanneck-Smith, Chief Customer Officer rival Islamist camps. of the Vatican Council” who “uses Turkey under Mr. Erdogan is fast
Alex Martin, News; Ann Podd, Initiatives;
OPERATING EXECUTIVES:
Most observers in Turkey, includ- the methods of the Jesuit Order that coming to resemble the neighboring
Andrew Regal, Video; Matthew Rose, Enterprise;
Stephen Wisnefski, Professional News; Jason P. Conti, General Counsel; ing members of the opposition, be- captured the Vatican.” Another col- Islamic Republic of Iran. The differ-
Jessica Yu, Visuals Nancy McNeill, Corporate Sales; lieve Gülenists were behind the at- umnist the same month asked ence is that Ankara is a NATO ally of
Steve Grycuk, Customer Service;
Paul A. Gigot, Editor of the Editorial Page; Jonathan Wright, International;
tempted putsch this summer. But whether Gülenists might be hiding the U.S. that shows little respect for
Daniel Henninger, Deputy Editor, Editorial Page DJ Media Group: “Gülen” plays the role of Goldstein in “in churches.” Still another tabloid Washington. Perhaps the Trump ad-
WALL STREET JOURNAL MANAGEMENT: Almar Latour, Publisher; Kenneth Breen, Mr. Erdogan’s personal “1984”—the doctored photographs to suggest Mr. ministration can restore the relation-
Trevor Fellows, Head of Global Sales; Commercial; Edwin A. Finn, Jr., Barron’s;
Suzi Watford, Marketing and Circulation; Professional Information Business:
devious traitor who lurks behind ev- Gülen is a Roman Catholic prelate. ship to its proper balance. Mean-
Joseph B. Vincent, Operations; Christopher Lloyd, Head; ery doner-kebob stand and behind Mr. Erdogan’s defenders insist the while, say a prayer for an American
Larry L. Hoffman, Production Ingrid Verschuren, Deputy Head every tragedy. Under the pretext of president has no say over what’s pastor in an Izmir prison cell.
EDITORIAL AND CORPORATE HEADQUARTERS: rooting out Gülenists, the govern- printed in the papers. But that’s hard
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y., 10036 ment has jailed or fired tens of thou- to believe in a country where the Mr. Ahmari is a Journal editorial
Telephone 1-800-DOWJONES
sands of police officers, prosecutors, state has banned at least 120 news writer in London.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A18 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Advanced
Springs +
Memory
Foam
Last Week: S&P 2238.83 g 1.10% S&P FIN g 1.41% S&P IT g 1.45% DJ TRANS g 1.60% WSJ $ IDX g 0.39% LIBOR 3M 0.998 NIKKEI 19114.37 g 1.61% See more at WSJMarkets.com
INSIDE Today’sChallenge:ThinkLikeaFuturist
As Deutsche Bank’s most
visible executive during his co-
CEO tenure, Mr. Jain came un-
der fire for missing cost-cut-
I
n 2004, Ford Motor ting targets and regulatory and
Co.’s resident futurist, legal woes, some of which still
Sheryl Connelly, led a haunt the bank. The pressure
team that imagined what intensified in the weeks before
would happen if an economic Mr. Jain resigned in June 2015.
shock and a rapid increase in (Mr. Fitschen remains at
the price of Deutsche Bank working with
gasoline led key clients and executives.)
to a crash Mr. Jain continued as a
in automo- part-time adviser to Deutsche
FRANKLY, tive sales.
With the
Bank through the end of 2015
and has been considering op-
SWISS PREFER KEYWORDS 2008 eco- tions since then, according to
MELISSA GOLDEN FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
A
Activision....................B9
Allergan.......................B7
Hamilton Insurance
H
Group.......................R12
Hilton Worldwide
Pfizer...........................B7
Praxair.........................B7
Q
Auto Makers Are Forced to Retool
American International Qualcomm...................B7 BY MIKE COLIAS
Group.......................R12 Holdings..................A11
R
Apple......................B4,B9 HSBC Holdings............B8
Hyatt Hotels.............A11 Relational Investors...R5 Solid December sales are
AT&T............................B7
Autodesk...................R12 Hyundai Motor............B3 Reynolds American.....B7 expected to nudge 2016 to a
I
Royal Ontario Museum second straight record for
B ...................................A10 the U.S. light-vehicle market,
Bank of America.........R1 Iridium Communications
S but factory workers in towns
BGC Partners..............B1 .....................................B1
SAC Capital Advisors such as Lordstown, Ohio,
Blackstone Group.....A10 J
Brevan Howard Asset
...................................R12 aren’t dancing in the streets.
J.P. Morgan Chase.R1,R5 SAC Capital Advisors...... Demand for small and
Management...........R12
British American
K Sachem Head Capital midsize passenger cars has
Management...........R12
Tobacco ..................... B7 Kia Motors..................B3 collapsed amid a sustained
Kloeckner.....................B1 Sakai Display Products
C .....................................B4
run of cheap
Kraft Heinz ................. B3 THE WEEK fuel, pushing
Cantor Fitzgerald........B1 Sharp...........................B4
Casablanca Capital ..... R5
L Snap-On ...................... B2 AHEAD buyers to grav-
CDK Global................R12 Linde............................B7 Space Exploration itate toward
Cempra ........................ B9 M Technologies.............B1 sport utilities,
Chesapeake Energy .... R5 Morgan Stanley..........R1 Stamford Harbor Capital crossover wagons and pick-
China LNG Group........B3 ...................................R12 ups. While selling an increas-
N
BUSINESS NEWS
Hyundai,
Kia Face
Vermont Drug Law Faces Limits
Law requires firms to The industry has lobbied
Pricing Power
Another justify big price jumps, A new Vermont law required several drug makers to submit information explaining why they raised
but first report only prices for prescription drugs. Here is a selection of the drugs and company comments.
against state pricing propos-
als. The Pharmaceutical Re-
search and Manufacturers of
The Korean auto group has café instant coffee—that have back decades—Nestlé made its cord at Fresenius—before be-
reported sluggish sales in long been its mainstay. first health-care-nutrition in- coming CEO, he was chief
China as local manufacturers, PepsiCo Inc., General Mills vestment in 1986—but it has financial officer of its medical-
armed with cheaper but im- Inc., Kraft Heinz Co. and oth- gained more prominence in re- care business—also could help
proved models, rapidly gained ers have pumped money into cent years. Nestlé win over investors long
ground against foreign brands. creating healthier products, or In 2010, Nestlé promised to accustomed to poor communi-
In the U.S., Hyundai’s sec- reformulating existing ones to “be a pioneer in the new in- cation by management and
ond-largest market, top execu- Ulf Mark Schneider, who previously headed German health-care make them less bad for you, dustry that we are helping to thin margins.
tive Dave Zuchowski resigned giant Fresenius, will be overseeing Nestlé’s health-science push. with mixed results. So has shape in the space between a Nestlé recently warned it
in December after the com- fast-moving consumer-goods would miss its own sales-
pany’s sales underperformed company and a pharma com- growth target for the fourth
industry growth there. What’s in the Mix pany.” It created a separate straight year.
At home, Hyundai’s sales Nestlé is making a big push in health science, where pharmaceuticals and foods meet, but it is a relatively health-science division the fol- The company’s earnings-be-
were hurt by a workers’ strike small part of its overall revenue so far. lowing year and since has fore-interest-and-tax margin is
from July to September that made a series of acquisitions forecast to rise by just 0.57
led to billions of dollars in lost 2015 revenue: 88.79 billion Swiss francs aimed at beefing it up. But so percentage point between fis-
production. For 2017, Hyundai far, these haven’t delivered cal 2016 and 2018, compared
aims to sell 5.08 million vehi- Powdered and Nutrition and Milk products Prepared Pet care Confec- Water significant sales increases. with estimates of 4.58% for
cles world-wide, while Kia liquid beverages health and ice cream dishes and tionery In 2015, Nestlé health-science Kraft Heinz, 2.43% for Monde-
plans to sell 3.17 million cars. science cooking aids revenue was about two billion lez International Inc. and
But analysts said the goals will 21.7% 16.7% 16.5% 14.2% 12.9% 10% 8% Swiss francs ($1.96 billion), or 1.56% for Kellogg Co., accord-
be tough to achieve. “There’s just 2.25% of overall revenue. ing to Jefferies LLC. Investors
hardly any easy market for Health science estimate 2.3%* The unit absorbed Nestlé’s prior hope this will change under
them this year…Hyundai aims health-care-nutrition business, Mr. Schneider, who at Frese-
too high,” said Nomura analyst *Nestlé doesn't officially break out health-science revenue but provided an estimate. 100 Swiss francs = $97.25 which had sales of 1.6 billion nius was known for his deal
Angela Hong. Source: the company THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. francs in 2009, but is distinct making and cost-cutting.
BUSINESS WATCH
CHINA LNG GROUP ergy company said. in late 2015 because of a con-
The company said final terms tract dispute.
Venture Is Expected and conditions haven’t yet been The current Fox News deal
With Logistics Firm concluded with Chu Kong Ship- was set to expire at midnight
ping related to the LNG busi- Dec. 31.
China LNG Group Ltd. said nesses. 21st Century Fox and Wall
Friday it planned to cooperate —Chester Yung Street Journal parent News Corp
with logistics company Chu Kong share common ownership.
Shipping Enterprises (Group) Co. COMCAST Terms of the roughly four-
on businesses related to liquefied year pact weren’t disclosed, but
natural gas. Cable Giant Reaches people familiar with the matter
Hong Kong-listed China LNG Pact With Fox News said Comcast’s monthly carriage
plans to build liquefied-natural- fee for Fox News will exceed
gas refueling docks and stations, Cable giant Comcast Corp. has $1.50 per-subscriber initially,
as well as LNG storage facilities, reached an agreement to continue with annual increases. According
in passenger and cargo terminals carriage of Fox News Channel, the to consulting firm SNL Kagan,
JESSE D. GARRABRANT/NBAE/GETTY IMAGES
of Chu Kong Shipping at the two companies said, averting a Fox News trails only ESPN, TNT
Pearl River Delta, the company blackout that would have left mil- and Disney Channel in subscrip-
said in a written statement. lions of viewers without access to tion fees.
China LNG also intends to the network. Fox Business Network, a sis-
provide financing services to As part of the deal, Comcast ter channel of Fox News, isn’t
Chu Kong Shipping for purchas- and Fox News parent 21st Cen- part of this agreement as its
ing LNG vessels and vehicles, tury Fox have also come to contract with Comcast hasn’t ex-
the company said. Also, the fi- terms on a new distribution pired yet.
nancing services will be used agreement for Fox’s YES re- Besides Fox News and YES,
for transforming its existing oil- gional sports network, which is the deal covers 12 other Fox-
using vessels and vehicles so home to the New York Yankees. owned regional sports channels.
they use LNG instead, the en- Comcast stopped carrying YES —Joe Flint Comcast stopped carrying the YES sports network in late 2015 because of a contract dispute.
B4 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
35K
possible—and more safely. act on a test road in Virginia. will be deciding how to com- buses and can adjust red and ing clients.
Transit planners say these Ohio last month said it municate with cars as an ar- green signals to help buses Her appointment sparked
so-called smart roads will un- would spend $15 million to in- ray of auto makers and tech stay on schedule. controversy because of her
lock bigger benefits from self- stall smart-road technology companies independently de- Highway researchers say previous employment links to
driving cars, including fewer Number of traffic fatalities in the along 35 miles of Route 33, a velop autonomous-driving their biggest hurdle is ensur- China’s military. Critics on so-
accidents, faster trips and fuel U.S. each year. state road from outside Co- technology. No common stan- ing they have technology that cial media said her tweets ap-
savings. lumbus to the state’s Trans- dard has been established for can work. peared to reflect lack of famil-
So far, the technology is be- portation Research Center in how a new generation of Road connections to cars iarity with Twitter and a
ing built into just a few miles East Liberty. smartcars will receive infor- have mostly used dedicated willingness to cooperate with
of highway in a handful of State transit authorities “The innovators will be the mation from smart roads—or short-range communications, China’s state-controlled media.
states, even as smartcars hit say they may make up some ones that work this out,” says how they will handle alerts or DSRC, a wireless link com- There weren’t signs of a
the roads. Uber Technologies ground if the incoming ad- Bryan Thomas, a spokesman once they get them. monly used in transportation broader shift in Twitter’s
Inc. is testing a small fleet in ministration of Donald Trump for the National Highway Traf- “What we have is a chicken- systems to manage stoplights China strategy or renewed ef-
Pittsburgh and the company’s fulfills promises to increase fic Safety Administration. and-egg problem,” says Utah and tolling. But researchers forts to bring its social net-
Otto business in October deliv- infrastructure spending. With Car companies say their transportation systems pro- say the industry may settle on work back to the country. Ms.
ered a load of Budweiser beer many states struggling to self-driving vehicles will be gram director Blaine Leonard, cellular-data systems used for Chen wrote that Twitter re-
with a self-driving truck. Sili- cover basic highway mainte- safer than automobiles driven who is chairman of a national smartphones or Wi-Fi if the mains committed to the China
con Valley trucking-software nance, planners say billions by people and help reduce the committee on connected cars technology can handle infor- market.
maker Peloton Technology of federal dollars likely would nation’s roughly 35,000 annual and roads run under the Amer- mation reliably and rapidly. A spokeswoman for the San
Inc. wants to deploy autono- be needed to wire the na- traffic fatalities. ican Association of State High- “Today’s biggest expense is Francisco-based company con-
mous truck convoys this year. tion’s more than 4 million Planners say smart roads can way and Transportation. “Cars not hardware but software,” firmed Ms. Chen’s departure.
“This transition is hap- miles of paved roads and generate fuel savings by having right now don’t have anything says Mr. Leonard. “There’s no —Newley Purnell
pening a lot quicker than we 250,000 intersections. cars drive at steady speeds, on them to talk to. Most of the Apple Store for this technology.” contributed to this article.
ADVERTISEMENT
Legal Notices
Foxconn Plans to Build China Flat-Panel Factory
BY EVA DOU Mr. Gou made a pointed
To advertise: 800-366-3975 or WSJ.com/classifieds comparison with India, which
Foxconn Technology Group has hopes to become a center
CLASS ACTIONS founder Terry Gou unveiled for iPhone production, saying
plans to build an $8.8 billion it isn’t a “manufacturing
television flat-panel factory in power country” like China.
Guangzhou, China, depicting Foxconn’s founder has in
the region as an “investment the past played governments
treasure land” amid calls to off each other as he sought
move tech manufacturing to better investment terms, hold-
! "#$ % &''(
$ )% &'%)
the U.S. ing talks with different coun-
TYRONE SIU/REUTERS
$
The new factory will make tries or municipalities but only
advanced liquid-crystal dis- investing in the end in one.
plays with technology from The $8.8 billion (61 billion
Sharp Corp., the Japanese yuan) investment to build the
electronics brand acquired this factory will be made by Sakai
! "
#
year by Foxconn. Foxconn founder Terry Gou praised China’s factory environment. Display Products Corp., which
$ %
$ &'(" )
$*
% )
$
$ In a speech announcing the is mostly owned by Mr. Gou
+
,
$ --*
"
% "
deal, Mr. Gou praised the man- Donald Trump to impose 45% ficials said they were consider- personally. Sharp owns a mi-
$
./
01
.
2"%3
.$ # #
ufacturing environment in tariffs on goods made in China ing increasing their nority stake in Sakai. Mr. Gou
%
China, where the Taiwanese- as a means to encourage more investments in the U.S., but Mr. has sometimes taken on risk-
4
0
$
#
"% 5
based company makes Apple manufacturing in the U.S. Gou’s remarks suggest Foxconn ier investments for Foxconn
#
$
6 $
#
#
6
Inc.’s iPhones and other prod- Mr. Gou didn’t directly refer remains committed to manu- under his personal portfolio,
$
6
ucts. His comments came amid to Mr. Trump or his tariff pro- facturing in China, where it has saying that it was safer for
calls by U.S. President-elect posals. Previously, Foxconn of- most of its assembly lines. Foxconn shareholders.
7 &
"%
$
$
0
MIMS
.
8
#0 9 :;
0 9 :9 /
# $
turism that surprised me is preplanned bus routes. But as showed me that one reason
#
/
#
that practitioners don’t think we picked apart our assump- the future is so confounding
0
.
#
#
much about technological tions, it became clear that the is that, aside from the fact
change. At least not at first. predictable nature of most that anything can happen,
Continued from page B1 They start with all the other commutes would mean not those unexpected events rap-
# 2
)3 " $
International Business Ma- factors that drive change, dynamic bus routes, but ones idly compound on one an-
0
/ $
$
chines Corp., as well as gov- from wealth distribution and that were simply better in- other. This leads to second-,
$ 0 0
$
4$
$
$
# )
#0
'
ernment agencies and espe- education to demography, formed by data about where third- and nth-order effects
)
0$ .
< ! " # $" %&' ()* cially the Department of politics, the environment and and how often people actually that can seem completely be-
+,(-
7 "%
% &
-
=
+>=: &
Defense, all employ futurists. media. This makes sense: No need mass transit. yond the realm of plausibil-
%? '
/ @ABCA % %& 9A9:<ABCA "
#
$
) 0
0
0 Futurism is also an academic one would have predicted the ity until they happen. Hence
0
"% $
0
$
discipline taught at dozens of rise of Airbnb Inc. by focus- the impossibility of predict-
0
0
#
$ 1
universities around the world. ing simply on the capabilities ing financial crises, wars and
1
$
$
$
In the current moment, of smartphones and the wire-
Futurists can help technological revolutions.
. . $
$
6 # '
$
$
$ 5
&
. $
with political and economic less internet. lend us the ability to But at least futurists can
uncertainty combining with Another surprise: Futurists help lend us a sort of mental
.
rapid technological change, are relentlessly critical of
think through easily flexibility, as well as the abil-
" $
5
0
$
/ $
/ '&
“it’s clear we’re not going to their own assumptions. Once dismissed trends. ity to think through trends
01#&! '& #/ / $ # " #* '& 23## " 4 "' ' " / $ make it through this as pas- you’re done coming up with that are otherwise easily dis-
# "5
/ $
$
! %' %&' ()* sengers,” says Scott Smith, a wild-eyed notions about what missed. For example, my
+,(- $
$
0 /
!0
0
/ $
futurist for 20 years and cre- changes might arise as a re- time with Ms. Webb and Ms.
ator of the educational re- sult of various forces, you Good futurists, even though Connelly convinced me that
6
source How To Future. tear apart your own work. their work is as much art as the rise of drones might
D
0E
%
&
4
$6
/
# $
0 #
I recently spent a day fu- When Ms. Webb and I set- science, attempt to make it some day lead to height reg-
/ $
0E
$
! %'
' )* turing with Amy Webb, tled on the future of self-driv- rigorously quantifiable. ulations on buildings, and
+,(-
!0
0
0E
whose book “The Signals Are ing bus transit, we at first “We use aggressive compu- that the graying of America
Talking” is a good introduc- imagined that the group tation to try to ask what dif- and the fraying of our sup-
" $
$
# $
$
tion to the topic. We decided transport services proposed ference do things in the lon- port networks could lead to
$
0 0
0$
% @<F
&
#0
to examine the future of self- by Lyft Inc. and Uber Tech- ger term make to our choices social acceptance of euthana-
!0
$ "#' 2' 7/' / ' " / $ # " 3 driving vehicles. nologies Inc. today might be today,” says Robert Lempert, sia. And also, of course, that
"! 3" #3 5
The first thing about fu- the death of bus stops and a principal researcher at Rand this could affect car sales.
Corp., a policy think tank. Futuring is no longer just
'
--% G
& %
That could mean anything for futurists, says Ms. Webb.
(
%-- +
0
8 G
G )
/ ( G --% ADVERTISEMENT
" $
0
from modeling all the eco- Like the ability to make a
0$ $
$ $
$
$
/
nomic and environmental fac- budget, or think critically, it
5
#
)
9=H
) 2 AAAA3
$6 0
)
/ :
6
The Mart
To advertise: 800-366-3975 or WSJ.com/classifieds
tors affecting the construc-
tion of a new reservoir or
is a skill that anyone who has
to make long-range decisions
<
<
5
/
aqueduct, to whether Con- should, and can, acquire. Do-
5
#
@
# 4
$6 /
# gress should agree to reinsure ing it at the scale required by
0
!0
.
BUSINESS FOR SALE TRAVEL the companies selling terror- a corporation might require
6 ism insurance. weeks of effort by a team of
One thing all the futurists people, but for individuals it
) ,
#
I talked to had in common can be much simpler.
PRINTING COMPANY FOR SALE
8 55 "
' +)* +,(-
A >
&#
BUSINESS NEWS
Tortoise MLP Fund NTG 20.10 19.09 -5.0 21.0 Source: WSJ Market Data Group Effective rate 0.5900 0.6800 0.6900 0.2400 Euro interbank offered rate (Euribor)
Data delayed due to holiday. Three month 0.99789 0.99706 0.99817 0.61170
High 0.8125 0.8125 0.8125 0.5600
Six month 1.31767 1.31656 1.32267 0.84225 One month -0.368 -0.369 -0.205 -0.374
Low 0.4000 0.5000 0.6500 0.0800
One year 1.68567 1.68956 1.69956 1.11560 Three month -0.319 -0.317 -0.131 -0.319
0.4000 0.6600 0.6600 0.0800
Bonds | WSJ.com/bonds Euro Libor
Bid
Offer 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.2500
Six month
One year
-0.221
-0.082
-0.217
-0.082
-0.040
0.060
-0.221
-0.082
One month -0.378 -0.380 -0.208 -0.386 Treasury bill auction
Global Government Bonds: Mapping Yields Three month -0.336 -0.334 -0.129 -0.337
4 weeks 0.485 0.490 0.490 0.160 Latest
Value
Traded
52-Week
High Low
Yields and spreads over or under U.S. Treasurys on benchmark two-year and 10-year government bonds in Six month -0.227 -0.227 -0.039 -0.227
13 weeks 0.555 0.515 0.555 0.215
selected other countries; arrows indicate whether the yield rose(s) or fell (t) in the latest session One year -0.086 -0.086 0.057 -0.086 DTCC GCF Repo Index
26 weeks 0.660 0.645 0.660 0.340
Country/ Yield (%) Spread Under/Over U.S. Treasurys, in basis points Treasury 0.471 91.280 1.266 0.244
Euro interbank offered rate (Euribor) Secondary market MBS 0.584 35.050 1.328 0.257
Coupon (%) Maturity, in years Latest(l) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Previous Month ago Year ago Latest Prev Year ago
One month -0.368 -0.369 -0.210 -0.374
1.250 U.S. 2 1.206 l 1.206 1.100 1.060 Fannie Mae Open Implied
Three month -0.318 -0.317 -0.132 -0.319
2.000 10 2.445 l 2.445 2.387 2.269 Six month -0.220 -0.217 -0.041 -0.221 30-year mortgage yields
Settle Change Interest Rate
3.250 Australia 2 1.834 l 1.834 1.816 2.030 62.8 62.8 97.0 One year -0.083 -0.082 0.059 -0.083 30 days 3.680 3.763 3.828 2.806 DTCC GCF Repo Index Futures
4.750 10 2.765 l 2.765 2.869 2.825 32.0 32.0 55.5 60 days 3.713 3.798 3.862 2.832 Treasury Dec 99.566 0.026 5762 0.434
December 30, 2016 99.425 0.045 3782 0.575
1.000 France 2 -0.693 s l -0.704 -0.687 -0.302 -190.0 -191.0 -136.1 Treasury Jan
Other short-term rates Treasury Feb 99.405 0.020 4990 0.595
0.250 10 0.658 t l 0.688 0.716 0.994 -178.8 -175.8 -127.5 Inflation
0.000 Germany 2 -0.791 t l -0.786 -0.729 -0.339 -199.7 -199.2 -139.8 Nov. index Chg From (%) Week 52-Week Notes on data:
level Oct. '16 Nov. '15 Latest ago high low U.S. prime rate is effective December 15, 2016.
0.000 10 0.185 t l 0.207 0.282 0.632 -226.1 -223.8 -163.8 Discount rate is effective December 15, 2016.
0.250 Italy 2 -0.182 s l -0.187 0.059 0.075 -138.8 -139.3 -98.5 U.S. consumer price index Call money U.S. prime rate is the base rate on corporate
2.50 2.50 2.50 2.25 loans posted by at least 70% of the 10 largest
1.250 10 1.731 t l 1.822 1.911 1.596 -71.4 -62.3 -67.3 All items 241.353 –0.16 1.7 U.S. banks; Other prime rates aren’t directly
Core 249.227 0.004 2.1 comparable; lending practices vary widely by
0.100 Japan 2 -0.182 l -0.182 -0.177 -0.011 -138.9 -138.9 -107.0 Commercial paper location; DTCC GCF Repo Index is Depository
0.100 10 0.042 l 0.042 0.040 0.265 -240.3 -240.3 -200.4 International rates 30 to 270 days n.q. ... ... ... Trust & Clearing Corp.'s weighted average for
overnight trades in applicable CUSIPs. Value
0.250 Spain 2 -0.336 t l -0.307 -0.150 0.006 -154.3 -151.3 -105.4 Week 52-Week Commercial paper (AA financial) traded is in billions of U.S. dollars. Futures on the
1.300 10 1.320 t l 1.399 1.555 1.767 -112.6 -104.7 -50.3 Latest ago High Low 90 days 0.87 0.95 1.03 0.45 DTCC GCF Repo Index are traded on NYSE Liffe
US.
1.250 U.K. 2 0.053 l 0.053 0.071 0.639 -115.4 -115.4 -42.1 Sources: Federal Reserve; Bureau of Labor
Prime rates Euro commercial paper
2.000 10 1.096 s l 1.091 1.238 1.958 -134.9 -135.4 -31.2 U.S. 3.75 3.75 3.75 3.50 30 day n.q. n.q. -0.08 -0.14
Statistics; DTCC; SIX Financial Information;
General Electric Capital Corp.; Tullett Prebon
Source: Tullett Prebon Canada 2.70 2.70 2.70 2.70 Two month n.q. n.q. n.q. n.q. Information, Ltd.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
B6 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Index New to the Market
Last Year ago Last Year ago
19762.60 t 171.21, or 0.86% last week Trailing P/E ratio * 21.56 16.52 2238.83 t 24.96, or 1.10% last week Trailing P/E ratio * 24.82 22.95 Public Offerings of Stock
High, low, open and close for each of P/E estimate * 18.59 16.10 High, low, open and close for each of P/E estimate * 18.92 17.44
the past 52 weeks Dividend yield 2.42 2.55 the past 52 weeks Dividend yield 2.07 2.14 IPOs in the U.S. Market
All-time high 19974.62, 12/20/16 All-time high: 2271.72, 12/13/16 None expected this week
17800 2075
IPO Scorecard
Week's high Performance of IPOs, most-recent listed first
17100 2000 % Chg From % Chg From
DOWN UP 200-day moving average Company SYMBOL Friday3s Offer 1st-day Company SYMBOL Friday3s Offer 1st-day
t
Monday's open Friday's close IPO date/Offer price close ($) price close IPO date/Offer price close ($) price close
16400 1925 trivago 11.75 6.8 –0.8 SenesTech 8.15 1.9 –0.1
Friday's close Monday's open
t
Financial Flashback
30
20 The Wall Street Journal, Jan. 3, 2009 Sources: WSJ Market Data Group; FactSet Research Systems
WSJ
Fund (SYM) NAV Close /Disc Ret
Australia S&P/ASX 200 5665.80 0.67 4765.3 • 5699.1 7.0 quotes are available on BlackRock Municipal Trust BFK 14.11 13.84 -1.9 6.4
General Equity Funds
China Shanghai Composite 3103.64 –0.21 2655.66 • 3539.18 –12.3 WSJ.com. Track most- BlackRockMuni BLE 14.80 14.54 -1.8 6.4
BlackRockMuni Tr BYM 14.90 13.89 -6.8 5.9
Specialized Equity Funds
Hong Kong Hang Seng 22000.56 1.97 18319.58 • 24099.70 0.4 .COM active stocks, new BlkRk MuniAssets Fd MUA 13.84 13.47 -2.7 5.3
Corsair Opportunity:A NA NA NA NS
Griffin Inst Access RE:M NA NA NA NS
India S&P BSE Sensex 26626.46 2.25 22951.83 • 29045.28 1.9 highs/lows, mutual BlkRk Munienhanced MEN 11.76 11.27 -4.2 6.3 NexPointRlEstStrat;A NA NA NA NS
Japan Nikkei Stock Avg 19114.37 –1.61 14952.02 • 19494.53 0.4 funds and ETFs. BlkRk MuniHldgs Inv MFL 14.56 14.18 -2.6 6.2 NexPointRlEstStrat;C NA NA NA NS
Singapore Straits Times 2880.76 0.34 2532.70 • 2960.78 –0.1
Plus, get deeper money-flows data and
BlkRk MuniHldgs Qlty II MUE 13.99 13.49 -3.6 6.1
BlkRk MuniHldgs MHD 16.67 16.18 -2.9 6.3
NexPointRlEstStrat;Z NA NA NA NS
26.83 NA NA 5.3
South Korea Kospi 2026.46 –0.46 1835.28 • 2068.72 3.3
email delivery of key stock-market data. BlkRk MuniVest MVF 9.58 9.61 +0.3 6.3
SharesPost 100
Tot Inc+ RE:A 29.02 NA NA 6.0
Taiwan Weighted 9253.50 1.93 7664.01 • 9392.68 11.0 BlkRk MuniVest II MVT 15.08 15.24 +1.1 6.4 Tot Inc+ RE:C 28.45 NA NA 5.2
All are available free at BlkRk MuniYield MYD 14.56 14.14 -2.9 6.4 Tot Inc+ RE:I 29.29 NA NA 6.3
Source: SIX Financial Information;WSJ Market Data Group BlkRk MuniYld Quality MQY 15.47 14.72 -4.8 6.2 Versus Cap MMgr RE Inc:F 27.41 NA NA 6.6
WSJMarkets.com
BlkRk MuniYld Qlty II MQT 13.61 12.81 -5.9 6.0 Versus Cap MMgr RE Inc:I 27.48 NA NA 6.9
BlRkMunyldQltyIII MYI 14.21 13.65 -3.9 6.3 Wildermuth Endwmnt Str 11.74 NA NA 10.6
Consumer Rates and Returns to Investor Benchmark Yields and Rates Deutsche Mun Income Tr KTF 12.57 13.12 +4.4 6.5 Wildermuth Endwmnt S:C 11.66 NA NA NS
Income Preferred Stock Funds
Dreyfus Mun Bd Infr Fd DMB 13.45 12.24 -9.0 6.0
U.S. consumer rates Selected rates Treasury yield curve Forex Race Dreyfus Municipal Income DMF 9.21 8.63 -6.3 6.0 MultiStrat Gro & Inc:A 15.62 NA NA 7.0
Dreyfus Strat Muni Bond DSM 8.23 8.04 -2.3 6.1 MultiStrat Gro & Inc:C 15.38 NA NA 6.2
A consumer rate against its 5-year CDs Yield to maturity of current bills, Yen, euro vs. dollar; dollar vs. MultiStrat Gro & Inc:I 15.78 NA NA 7.8
Dreyfus Strategic Munis LEO 8.45 8.40 -0.6 6.2
benchmark over the past year notes and bonds major U.S. trading partners Eaton Vance Mun Bd Fd EIM 13.46 12.41 -7.8 5.7 MultiStrat Gro & Inc:L 15.46 NA NA 6.4
Bankrate.com avg†: 1.22% Eaton Vance Mun Income EVN 13.02 12.55 -3.6 6.3
Convertible Sec's. Funds
Calmos Dyn Conv and Inc CCD NA 17.53 NA NA
Capital One 360 2.00% 5.00% 18% EV National Municipal Opp EOT 21.69 20.80 -4.1 4.9
World Equity Funds
Five-year CD yields 1.50% Glen Allen, VA 800-289-1992 Invesco Adv Mun Incm II VKI 11.92 11.18 -6.2 6.9 BMO LGM Front ME 8.92 NA NA 9.9
t 4.00 Invesco Mun Incm Opps Tr OIA 7.37 7.17 -2.7 5.4
Salem Five 2.00% 12 Prem12 Mo
Invesco Mun Opportunity VMO 13.31 12.74 -4.3 6.8
1.00 s Fund (SYM) NAV Close /Disc Yld
Salem, MA 888-662-5500 3.00 Yen Euro
s
Invesco Municipal Trust VKQ 13.29 12.26 -7.8 6.5
Federal-funds 6 U.S. Mortgage Bond Funds
Invesco Qlty Mun Inco IQI 13.28 12.40 -6.6 6.1
target rate 0.50 Third Federal Savings and Loan 2.00% Invesco Inv Grade Muni VGM 13.78 12.75 -7.5 6.7 Vertical Capital Income 12.27 NA NA 2.9
Friday 2.00
t
hind-the-scenes consulting busi- person familiar with his role. checking account to your sav-
ness, Patomak Global Partners Mr. Atkins and Mr. Hensarling ings account after every pay-
LLC, in the garage of his subur- briefly overlapped on a panel check? Do you need to boost
ban Washington home in 2009 that monitored the 2008 Trou- your contribution to your
after he stepped down as a Re- bled Asset Relief Program, the 401(k) or eat out only two
publican member of the Securi- bailout mechanism for trou- times a week instead of three?
ties and Exchange Commission. bled banks. He has testified Where will you invest the
Since then, he has prepared four times before the House
private-equity firms for com- Paul Atkins is a candidate for a top post in the new administration, either at the SEC or Fed. committee since 2011.
pliance exams, devised strate- Mr. Atkins’s tenure as an SEC
gies for mutual funds to resist grasp of securities laws, made lation of businesses such as pri- nese affiliates of the Big Four commissioner from 2002 to
Above all, your
government curbs on risk tak- him a fitting choice to head the vate-equity firms, hedge funds accounting firms, which had re- 2008 reinforced his conserva- financial resolutions
ing and helped Chinese ac- part of Mr. Trump’s transition and broker-dealers. Many of his fused to cooperate with a series tive credentials. He was known
counting firms avert a ban on team responsible for digging company’s consultants previ- of SEC accounting-fraud probes. for opposing rules that he felt
need to be specific
doing business in the U.S., ac- into financial agencies. Mr. At- ously worked at the SEC, Com- (The firms argued that Chinese weren’t justified by economic and realistic.
cording to the people familiar kins, 58 years old, is also a lead- modity Futures Trading Com- law prevented them from shar- analysis, a concern he carried
with the matter. Patomak’s ing candidate for a top post in mission or Fed. ing documents the SEC sought.) into his consulting business.
other clients have included the the Trump administration, ei- Patomak’s clients include Mr. Atkins tried to convince an While Patomak and other
U.S. Chamber of Commerce ther to run the SEC or become firms that have run afoul of gov- SEC administrative judge that consultants benefited from the money? If you’re not sure
and Fidelity Investments, the the Federal Reserve’s point man ernment rules and need supervi- he shouldn’t permanently ban regulatory expansion that fol- where to invest, then whom do
people said. on banking oversight. sion to get their compliance sys- the firms from auditing compa- lowed the 2008 financial crisis, you know who can help?
Patomak—named for an old Such an appointment would tems back in order. Mr. Atkins nies listed on U.S. exchanges, as it also could profit from changes
spelling of the Potomac River mark a shift for Mr. Trump, was appointed by a U.S. district the SEC had proposed. that occur during a Republican Seek Support
bordering Washington—also who so far has stocked his ex- judge in October to monitor The Chinese audit firms later administration. The SEC has It can be difficult to keep
sells its expertise to the govern- ecutive branch largely with Deutsche Bank AG, which was agreed to pay $500,000 each to been looking at outsourcing ex- resolutions because you are
ment, monitoring financial com- people who have run big com- sued by regulators for repeat- settle the SEC’s claims and co- ams of thousands of investment making a change from the sta-
panies that commit to upgrade panies but lack any govern- edly failing to report derivatives operate with the agency in the advisers to firms such as Pato- tus quo, says Maggie Baker, a
their compliance systems. Even ment experience. Mr. Atkins, trades as required under the future. mak and could complete that Wynnewood, Pa., psychologist.
so, Mr. Atkins remains a critic of on the other hand, built a busi- 2010 Dodd-Frank law. Even though compliance proposal under a GOP chairman. For example, she says, it might
regulation, attacking Democrats ness around navigating Wash- In other cases, Patomak has work helps to pay the bills at The proposal was championed seem easier to hold on to a
he says believe they can direct ington’s nooks and crannies. aided businesses feuding with Mr. Atkins’s firm, people who by Daniel Gallagher, who now poor-performing stock than it
the invisible hand of the market. Mr. Atkins launched Patomak the government. In 2013, Mr. At- have worked with him say his serves as Patomak’s president, is to keep your resolution to
His libertarian political views, as the Obama administration kins testified in Washington as passion remains public policy when he was a Republican SEC reallocate those funds (even
combined with his technical ramped up oversight and regu- an expert witness for the Chi- and fighting to restrain the gov- commissioner from 2011 to 2015. though waiting to sell the
shares might hurt your fi-
nances in the long run).
After Slower Year, Deal Prospects Set to Brighten Seek support from a “reso-
lution buddy,” says Ms. Baker,
who often helps clients who
overspend or take on too
BY DANA MATTIOLI agreed to buy Time Warner campaign trail took aim at the much debt. This person might
Inc. for about $85 billion, in Strong Showing proposed AT&T-Time Warner be a spouse, friend, financial
After a turbulent year for the year’s largest deal. The an- While merger volume dipped from 2015’s record level, 2016 was still deal. What’s more, job cuts are planner or other trusted per-
mergers and acquisitions, nouncement followed by a day one of the busiest ever for deal-making. often a big part of the ratio- son with whom you can share
some deal makers are giddy British American Tobacco nale for a merger and Mr. your resolutions.
about 2017’s prospects. PLC’s $47 billion bid for the $5 trillion $3.67 trillion Trump has shown a strong in-
M&A had a big year in 2016, stake of Reynolds American M&A deals announced globally clination to push back against Cut Yourself Some Slack
4
despite resistance from Wash- Inc. it didn’t already own. moves by companies that re- If you break your resolu-
ington on antitrust and other Less than a week later, chip 3 duce employment in the U.S. tions (say, by taking an expen-
grounds, showing how strong maker Qualcomm Inc. agreed Even if the government sive vacation when you said
the urge to consolidate is after to pay roughly $39 billion for 2 doesn’t stand in the way, other you would take a lower-budget
a prolonged period of sluggish NXP Semiconductors NV. factors could—like a sharper- one), consider what happened.
growth. With the Trump ad- More recently, industrial-gas 1 than-expected rise in interest You may have succumbed to
ministration and a Republican- giants Praxair Inc. and Linde rates, which would increase peer pressure or decided a
led Congress now expected to AG on Dec. 20 said that they 0 the cost of funding deals. A nice vacation was a greater
broadly ease regulation, would merge in a deal that 1995 2000 ’05 ’10 ’15 pickup in growth could also priority than saving for retire-
merger activity could get a big would create a company val- take away one major catalyst ment. If so, understand the
additional boost, deal mak- ued at $67 billion. The number of large deals was also down from a record in 2015, for deal-making, and give potential consequences of
ers say. “I haven’t seen a set of fac- but remains elevated. companies more of an incen- your decision.
There were $3.7 trillion of tors that’s been more bullish 50 28 tive to invest in their busi-
takeovers announced globally for M&A activity in some Number of deals announced globally worth $10 billion or more nesses instead, but mergers Plan for Failure
40
in 2016, according to Dealogic. time,” said Peter Weinberg, a have historically increased Since many financial reso-
While that represents a de- veteran banker and co-founder 30 with economic growth. lutions fail because people
cline of roughly 15% from of Perella Weinberg Partners, One driver of merger activ- can’t bring themselves to do
2015’s record of $4.4 trillion, which advised on both the 20 ity in 2016 thrown into doubt something they dislike for an
it still makes 2016 the third- AT&T-Time Warner and by the election is China: Com- extended period, Derek Tharp
most-active year for mergers. Praxair-Linde deals. Mr. Wein- 10 panies there struck $67 billion recommends using “tempta-
In a sign the pace of activ- berg says tax-law changes, to- worth of U.S. takeovers in tion bundling” (or pairing
0
ity may be quickening, Octo- gether with low interest rates 2016, nearly five times the something you don’t like to do
ber ranked as the busiest and increasing CEO confi- 1995 2000 ’05 ’10 ’15 prior high in 2014, according with something you do).
month ever. And while there dence, could push deal-making Source: Dealogic THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. to Dealogic. Given indications For example, if you are
was a decline in the number into record territory in 2017. Mr. Trump may take a con- making a resolution to reduce
megadeals that were 2015’s Another factor bullish deal dollars of previously an- apart due to government scru- frontational approach toward your debt, you might imple-
hallmark—there were 28 advisers are banking on is a nounced tie-ups withdrawn. tiny was Pfizer Inc.’s roughly China, deal makers say that ment a rule that says you can
transactions valued at $10 bil- more accommodating antitrust While not all of them dis- $150 billion proposed deal for activity could slow. only visit your favorite restau-
lion or more in 2016, com- apparatus. solved because of antitrust is- drugmaker Allergan PLC. Even without such pressure, rant after paying down $1,000
pared with 44 the year be- The year just past was the sues, deal makers generally There is no guarantee the China may put on the brakes in debt, says Mr. Tharp, a fi-
fore—in the past few months, biggest-ever in terms of the view the Obama administra- new administration will go as the government is expected nancial planner at Conscious
there have been blockbusters. volume of collapsed deals, tion as tough on takeovers. easier on merger plans, and to impose tighter controls on Capital Inc. in Cedar Rapids,
AT&T Inc. in late October with more than half a trillion Among the deals that fell indeed Donald Trump on the overseas investments. Iowa.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
B8 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
EQUITIES
AHEAD OF THE TAPE | Steven Russolillo
Street’s Strategists
Run as Pack in ‘17
Wall For instance in 2000, the
Street most optimistic strategist
strategists thought the S&P 500 would
are abiding finish the year at 2800. The
by a new most bearish expected
motto these 1400. Neither was correct
days: When as the S&P 500 dropped
in doubt, copy everyone 23% that year, finishing at
else. 879. The gap between the
The turn of the calendar two has narrowed in the
comes at a time when years since. And now, basi-
stocks are sitting near re- cally everyone has similar
cords. The combination of forecasts. “The biggest
stretched valuations and worry is that group-think is
the unknowns about Donald rampant,” Mr. Goepfert
Trump’s first year as presi- said.
dent make 2017 a tough There is a bright side:
KRISZTIAN BOCSI/BLOOMBERG
5%
At the high end is RBC’s
BY GEORGI KANTCHEV U.S. Bank Wealth Management and flirting with the 20000 Index, which measures the dol- Jonathan Golub, who fore-
expect the S&P 500 to rise 7% milestone, as investors banked lar against a basket of 16 cur- casts 2500 by year-end. On
European stock markets after a 9.5% gain last year. In on an improving economy. rencies, rose 0.3%. the other side, David Kostin
rose in thin holiday trading Europe, a weaker euro and Investors also will be keep- The rising dollar was one of at Goldman Sachs Group Analysts’ projected increase in
Monday after data showed the continued easy monetary pol- ing an eye on developments in the top themes for investors Inc. and Bank of America the S&P 500 this year
Continent’s economy ended icy from the European Central China, where a stock-market last year, with the currency Merrill Lynch’s Savita Sub-
last year on a high note. Bank are also expected to sup- slide and the weakening yuan gaining 3.1% in 2016, according ramanian are among sev-
In the first trading session port stock markets. early last year sparked a sell- to the WSJ Dollar Index. Many eral strategists with targets
of 2017, the Stoxx Europe 600 But the big question for Eu- off around the globe. analysts expect the green- of 2300, just a slight rise shooting the market’s ac-
gained 0.5%, with Germany’s rope in 2017 is whether the In data released Sunday, back’s strength to continue from the end of 2016. tual performance. And, on
DAX rising 1% and the French Continent’s fragile economic China’s official manufacturing this year amid predictions of Within the consensus average, the consensus al-
CAC-40 adding 0.4%. The U.S. recovery will be overtaken by purchasing managers index fell higher U.S. interest rates and a forecast is a telling trend: ways has predicted annual
dollar also rose on Monday, ex- populist politics. Antieuro pop- to 51.4 in December from 51.7 stronger U.S. economy. Few strategists are willing gains, missing all five down
tending its rally into the new ulist candidates gained trac- the previous month, indicating A rising dollar, coupled with to deviate much from the years in that stretch. The
year. Most other global tion last year and will face a the world’s second-largest uncertain political outcomes in pack. only time strategists’ fore-
bourses, including New York test at the polls in this year’s economy continued to expand, the eurozone, could drive both The gap between the casts were more accurate
and London, are closed for the elections in France, the Neth- though at a slower rate. currencies to trade at parity most optimistic and pessi- than last year was in 2005,
New Year’s holiday. erlands and Germany. “There is still some room with each other, analysts said. mistic forecasts is just 9%, when they missed the S&P
The eurozone’s manufactur- “Political risks remain ele- for equities on the upside as That could be welcome news the smallest on record dat- 500’s 3% gain by only 0.2
ing sector gained speed in De- vated this year,” said Julian the global economy improves for the Continent, as a weaker ing back to 1999, according percentage points.
cember, posting its best read- Howard, head of multiasset so- but the journey will be long euro could make export-driven to Jason Goepfert, founder Just like predicting the
ing since April 2011, according lutions at GAM. “Europe will and punctuated by pauses and economies such as Germany of Sundial Capital Research. weather, forecasting the
to a survey of purchasing man- grapple with the need for reso- sometimes ugly reversals,” Mr. more competitive. market is often a dubious
agers released Monday. Data lution of the Italian banking Howard said. For emerging markets, how- exercise, not just for Wall
firm IHS Markit said its Pur- crisis and elections in key Government bonds ever, a rising greenback spells Clumped Together Street strategists but other
chasing Managers Index for countries France and Germany, strengthened slightly on Mon- trouble as companies and gov- Difference between strategists’ market soothsayers. A
the eurozone rose to 54.9 in not to mention a growing ter- day, with the yield on the Ger- ernments that have borrowed highest and lowest S&P 500 study by CXO Advisory
December from 53.7 in the pre- rorist threat.” man 10-year bond, which heavily in the U.S. currency year-end price targets Group collected more than
vious month, in line with an Last year, the Stoxx Europe moves inversely to its price, would find their debt more dif- 6,500 forecasts from 68 so-
earlier estimate. A reading 600 finished 1.2% lower, falling to 0.183% and the ficult to service. 100% called market gurus.
above 50 indicates an expan- mostly dragged down by trou- French 10-year government Stocks in the Asia/Pacific re- More were wrong than
sion in activity, and a reading bles at major European banks. bond yield dropping to 0.659%. gion moved higher early Tues- 75 right. And an accuracy rate
below that level a decline. That contrasted with the rally Other major government debt day. Australia’s S&P ASX 200 led as high as 70% was “quite
50
Strategists are broadly bull- in U.S. markets, with the Dow markets were closed Monday. the way, up 1.2%, while South rare,” says Steve LeCompte
ish on global stocks this year Jones Industrial Average log- In currencies, the euro fell Korea’s Kospi and Hong Kong’s of CXO.
25
amid expectations for stronger ging its best performance 0.4% against the dollar to Hang Seng Index each rose 0.5%. Maybe there is a benefit
economic growth. Analysts at since 2013—up 13% last year— $1.0477, while the WSJ Dollar Japanese markets were closed. to following the herd. When
0
the consensus forecast is
2000 ’05 ’10 ’15 wrong, at least everyone
THE TICKER Source: SentimenTrader will be wrong together.
Market events coming this week
Tuesday Previous change in stocks Currencies
Construction spending in billions of cubic feet
Oct., previous up 0.5% Natural gas down 237 U.S.-dollar foreign-exchange rates in late New York trading
US$vs, US$vs,
Nov., expected up 0.5% ISM non-mfg index YTDchg YTDchg
Mon Mon
Nov., previous 57.2 Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%)
ISM mfg. index
Dec., expected 56.8 Americas Vietnam dong .00004392 22771 ...
Nov., previous 53.2
Dec., expected 53.6 Argentina peso .0627 15.9390 0.4 Europe
Earnings expected*
Brazil real .3062 3.2656 0.3 Czech Rep. koruna .03869 25.846 0.6
Estimate/Year Ago($)
Canada dollar .7441 1.3439 –0.02 Denmark krone .1406 7.1109 0.6
Wednesday Constellation Brands Chile peso .001493 669.80 ... Euro area euro 1.0477 .9545 0.4
1.71/1.42
Mort. bankers indexes Colombia peso .0003331 3002.00 .... Hungary forint .003379 295.91 0.6
RPM Intl. 0.61/0.62
Purch., previous n.a. Ecuador US dollar 1 1 unch Iceland krona .008828 113.27 0.3
Walgreens Boots .0482 20.7385 0.02 0.2
Refinan., prev. n.a. Mexico peso Norway krone .1155 8.6582
1.09/1.03 Peru new sol .2980 3.356 0.1 Poland zloty .2369 4.2212 0.8
Total vehicle sales Friday Uruguay peso .03409 29.3300 –0.1 Russia ruble .01632 61.263 ...
Domestically produced, at an Venezuela b. fuerte .100050 9.9951 ... Sweden krona .1094 9.1403 0.4
annual rate
Factory orders Switzerland franc .9768 1.0238 0.5
Oct., previous up 2.7% Asia-Pacific
Nov., previous 17.9 mil. Australian dollar .7185 1.3918 0.2
Turkey lira .2821 3.5446 0.6
Dec., expected 17.7 mil. Nov., expected down 2.3% Ukraine hryvnia .0368 27.1920 0.4
China yuan .1440 6.9451 ...
UK pound 1.2278 .8145 0.5
Nonfarm payrolls Hong Kong dollar .1289 7.7571 0.02
Thursday Nov., previous 178,000 India rupee .01472 67.955 –0.01 Middle East/Africa
Dec., expected 185,000 Indonesia rupiah .0000739 13524 –0.01 Bahrain dinar 2.6522 .3771 –0.03
Initial jobless claims Japan yen .008503 117.61 0.5 Egypt pound .0552 18.1315 –0.01
Previous 265,000 Int’l trade deficit in Kazakhstan tenge .002997 333.69 ... Israel shekel .2593 3.8558 0.2
Expected 260,000 billions Macau pataca .1248 8.0147 1.2 Kuwait dinar 3.2657 .3062 0.2
MICHAEL NAGLE/BLOOMBERG
Oct., previous $42.6 Malaysia ringgit .2229 4.4860 ... Oman sul rial 2.5974 .3850 0.01
Previous change in stocks Nov., expected $44.2 New Zealand dollar .6924 1.4443 0.01 Qatar rial .2764 3.618 –0.6
in millions of barrels Pakistan rupee .00958 104.375 ... Saudi Arabia riyal .2672 3.7427 –0.2
Crude oil up 0.6 Unemployment rate Philippines peso .0202 49.607 ... South Africa rand .0730 13.6926 ...
Gasoline down 1.6 Nov., previous 4.6% Singapore dollar .6892 1.4509 0.2
Distillates down 1.9 Dec., expected 4.7% South Korea won .0008306 1203.93 –0.3 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD%Chg
Sri Lanka rupee .0067367 148.44 ... WSJ Dollar Index 93.26 0.32 0.35 0.35
* FACTSET ESTIMATES EARNINGS-PER-SHARE ESTIMATES DON’T IN-
CLUDE EXTRAORDINARY ITEMS (LOSSES IN PARENTHESES) ADJUSTED Taiwan dollar .03086 32.404 –0.2 Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group
FOR STOCK SPLITNOTE: FORECASTS ARE FROM DOW JONES WEEKLY Thailand baht .02798 35.740 –0.2
SURVEY OF ECONOMISTS Drugstore operator Walgreens Boots Alliance reports results on Thursday.
CREDIT MARKETS
analyst is sticking to his posi- Street Journal on Dec. 20. that cap may be around zero seems to be pricing in a lot of Mr. Major: If you had very
The Analyst tion.
The yield on the 10-year
WSJ: People keep expecting
yields to go up. You’ve been
still in a year’s time.
Think about emerging mar-
positive news, and we don’t
have a great deal of evidence
clear evidence in the data that
productivity was picking up—
Who Sees Treasury note, which moves in
the opposite direction of its
among the most prominent
people saying you don’t quite
kets. Think about China. In the
last few years, China has on at
to base that on. It’s more
hope, I think, than anything
and that could come—and you
had continuing strength in
MARKETS
WSJ’s Daily Shot: The Financial Even as overall U.S. economic data has lately improved, individual Americans face major
challenges. Home ownership for many remains out of reach, as wage growth fails to keep pace
with home prices. Rent and health-care costs also are significantly higher. And while more
State of America in Six Charts Americans are working, productivity remains weak, weighing on pay. –LEV BORODOVSKY
Many Americans have been priced out of the real estate market as
The homeownership rate continued to decline At the same time, rental vacancies fell further as younger weakness in residential construction reduced the inventory of single-
in 2016, hitting its lowest level in decades. Americans became what’s known as ‘generation rent.’ family homes. Home prices are now rising much faster than wages.
HOMEOWNERSHIP RATE, QUARTERLY Shaded areas RENTAL VACANCY RATE, QUARTERLY HOME PRICES AND EARNINGS
indicate U.S. House price index, 1996=100
70% 12% 220
recessions
10 200
68
180
8
66 160
6
140 Average hourly
64
4 earnings index,
120 1996=100
62
2 100
60 0 80
1995 2000 ’10 ’16 1995 2000 ’10 ’16 1995 2000 ’10 ’16
While U.S. inflation remained benign last year, health-care Productivity growth in 2016 was extremely disappointing, driven
costs rose sharply. Part of the reason was an attempt by the mostly by lack of investment. Will the renewed optimism and a
pharmaceutical industry to raise prices before Hillary Clinton, Labor force participation has finally turned the corner as more efficient tax treatment proposed by the Republicans spur
who was expected to win the presidential election, took office. demand for workers and higher wages brought many Americans. capital investment and improve productivity in 2017?
MEDICAL CARE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX, YEAR-OVER-YEAR CHANGE LABOR PARTICIPATION RATE, AGES 25-54 CHANGE IN PRODUCTIVITY, FIVE-YEAR ROLLING PERIOD
6% 85% 20%
5 84
15
4
83
3 10
82
2
5
81
1
0 80 0
1995 2000 ’10 ’16 1995 2000 ’10 ’16 1995 2000 ’10 ’16
WSJ subscribers can get The Daily Shot - a chart-by-chart briefing on markets and economics - to their email each morning. Subscribe at wsj.com/newsletters
Sources: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis; Census Bureau (homeownership, rental vacancy); Federal Housing Finance Agency (home prices, earnings); Bureau of Labor Statistics (medical consumer prices, labor participation) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
The miners are banking on transactions, notes Frances stage company Cempra fell have plenty of material to
a boost in infrastructure 40 Cheung, head of rates for more than 50% Thursday, the work with.
spending, which they believe Infrastructure Asia, excluding Japan, at second-to-last trading day of From Brexit to Donald
would offset the price 20 Société Générale. the year, after the company Trump, the year has offered
declines caused by slowing With money markets in announced the Food and Drug investors lots of surprises.
growth in housing. China is 0 full deleveraging mode now Administration had rejected But for markets, the things
the marginal buyer of every after the U.S. Federal its new drug candidate, the that didn’t happen were just
Real estate
big commodity, but the idea –20 Reserve’s rate increase, bank antibiotic solithromycin. Cem- as important.
that Chinese infrastructure 2007 2010 demand for municipal bonds pra said in a statement that A big one: a recession.
can itself drive prices much could weaken. the FDA wants the company Early in 2016, investors
Note: Figures are three-month moving
beyond recent highs looks averages. That means higher fund- to test the safety of its treat- feared a renewed economic
misplaced. Source: CEIC A man works at a construction ing costs for local govern- ment in a significantly larger downturn, with concerns
There are two main THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. site in Shanghai ments. patient population than it had centering on China. By early
reasons to be skeptical. First, The slowdown in Chinese done before. The FDA also February the S&P 500 was
with the exception of certain likely needs to rise around cause substantial problems real-estate construction next identified deficiencies in the down more than 10% and
categories like power lines, 3% to offset every 1% fall in for infrastructure funding. year is unlikely to be catas- company’s manufacturing pro- bonds were surging. Com-
infrastructure is, on average, real estate to replace lost Most infrastructure in China trophic, and there is little cess that must be corrected modities cracked, with oil
less metal intensive than iron-ore demand. is financed through muni- reason to expect carnage in before the regulators sign off. prices falling below $30 a
offices or homes. Real estate For copper, investment in cipal bonds or so-called local the commodities markets on On Friday, shares of Opko barrel.
accounts for around 20% of the most important type of government financing the scale of 2014 or 2015, Health fell 18% after the com- But from that fear came
fixed-asset investment in infrastructure—electric vehicles (LGFVs), off-bal- particularly if miners hold pany announced disappointing consequences. The commod-
China but nearly 40% of steel power—has also slowed ance-sheet entities cities use the line on further capacity late-stage clinical data for an ity rout extended the period
demand, notes CRU, the sharply since mid-2016. to circumvent restrictions on expansions. investigational human-growth of ultralow inflation. Central
London-based metals Higher coal prices in mid- local borrowing. But by the same token, hormone product. banks in developed markets
consultancy. 2016 pushed down growth in The selloff in Chinese investors shouldn’t count on The Nasdaq Biotechnology became more dovish. The
Although infrastructure grid investment to about 5% government bonds has par- Chinese infrastructure Index shed about 20% in Federal Reserve, which came
accounts for one-quarter of on the year in October and ticularly punished both of spending to push commod- 2016, in a generally solid year into 2016 talking about four
investment, it sucks up only November, down sharply these types of quasi-sover- ities higher, unless the for stocks. Given that perfor- rate increases, raised rates
13% to 14% of Chinese steel from the 40% gains in early eign debt. central government steps in mance, the dual stock melt- only once, in December. The
output. 2016. Demand for official with much more aggressive downs marked a worthy end dollar rally went on hold, po-
In other words, The recent convulsions in municipal bonds, meanwhile, direct stimulus. to the year. tentially supporting emerg-
infrastructure investment China’s bond market could could be dented by the —Nathaniel Taplin ing markets.
Investors, of course, are
forward-looking. Prices are a
Nintendo’s Super Mario Has a Very Short Run on Apple function of competing views
about the future that take
into account the risks
The harsh reality in the mates that “Super Mario the first iPhone launch to get around the underlying cen-
mobile game business is that Run” has generated more Mario on a touch screen. tral case.
many are willing to play, but than $30 million in gross “Pokémon Go” has remained That helps explain the
few are willing to pay. Even revenue, which suggests a top-grossing title six swings in markets. Early in
Mario can’t seem to leap about 3 million players have months after its summer 2016 investors became too
past that obstacle. bought the full game. That is launch. Nintendo is planning pessimistic. In the end, the
Nintendo launched “Super a little over 3% of the esti- mobile versions of its popu- underlying global economy
Mario Run” for Apple de- mated 90 million downloads lar “Fire Emblem” and “Ani- was pretty stable.
vices on Dec. 15. By Christ- of the game. Paying custom- mal Crossing” games. It also But heading into 2017,
KIM KYUNG-HOON/REUTERS
mas, business already ers represented about 2% of started a registration pro- particularly in the U.S., mar-
seemed to be slowing, with King Digital’s monthly cess this week for “Super kets have embraced the re-
the title having lost its No. 1 unique users before the Mario Run” on Android, indi- flation agenda. J.P. Morgan
ranking among top-grossing “Candy Crush” maker was cating that a launch on the Chase noted recently that
games on the App Store. It acquired by Activision last world’s largest smartphone consensus forecasts for
currently ranks as No. 7, put- year, and mobile-game platform is coming within global growth in 2017 had
ting it below even “Clash of maker Zynga showed a simi- the next few months. barely moved since the U.S.
Clans” and “Candy Crush ‘Super Mario Run’ lasted only briefly as the top app download. lar representation in its But investors are also election, while markets had
Saga”—both of which are most recent quarterly re- right to curb their expecta- clearly been more upbeat.
now entering their fifth year. front. Gamers pay $10 one game transactions. sults. tions. Success in mobile Expectations can be self-
The drop-off shouldn’t be time for full access to “Super But Nintendo seems to It is undeniable that Nin- games means appealing to fulfilling. But for markets, a
a complete surprise. Nin- Mario Run.” The majority of have the same challenge as tendo’s popular characters many—and keeping the right lot is riding on what Mr.
tendo chose a business top-grossing mobile games others in getting mobile are a draw in mobile, despite few coming back for more. It Trump does—and doesn’t
model for the game that gen- are free to play and only players to pay up. Market re- the fact that the company is a game Nintendo hasn’t do—starting Jan. 20.
erates most of the money up generate revenue through in- search firm Newzoo esti- waited nearly 10 years after mastered. —Dan Gallagher —Richard Barley
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
B10 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Advancing
the everyday.
We live in a world today where the pace of everything is accelerating. And keeping pace
increasingly means you can’t do it all yourself. Even when it means how you support
the everyday interactions with the people you serve: patients, employees, customers
and citizens.
That’s why most of the Fortune 100, every state in the US and many countries around
the world trust Conduent to deliver a wide range of services to the people they serve.
Our clients depend on us to manage all of these kinds of interactions – and more –
touching millions of people every day.
And while some of these might seem like everyday interactions, to our clients, they’re
critical touchpoints in a relationship. And that makes us a core part of their operations.
©2017 Conduent Business Services, LLC. All Rights Reserved. Conduent™ is a trademark of Conduent Business Services, LLC in the United States and/or other countries.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
YEAR-END Review&Outlook
© 2017 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | R1
Financial shares rallied on hopes that higher rates, lower taxes, fewer constraints and a stronger economy will grow bank profits
BY JOHN CARNEY business boom the Trump ad- ond-best performer in 2016, to economic growth, interest ous regulatory environment. many cases beyond historical
ministration aims to generate. up 20.1%. rates and the steepness of the Less regulation could allow averages.
The dual prospects of a So far, markets are upbeat The KBW Bank Index has yield curve, or the difference banks to boost profits and Shares of five of the six
Donald Trump presidency and on the possibilities, betting risen about 22% since Election between long- and short-term capital returns to sharehold- largest U.S. banks—J.P. Mor-
further interest-rate increases banks will benefit from higher Day, hitting its highest level rates. The bigger the differ- ers. gan Chase & Co., Bank of
lifted banks’ shares in the rates, that other businesses since 2009. That is a dramatic ence, the better it is for banks If there is a problem for America Corp., Wells Fargo &
closing weeks of 2016. This can tolerate them and that reversal for an index of large because they borrow short bank-stock investors, it is that Co., Goldman Sachs Group
year will reveal whether a new less regulation and lower taxes national and regional banks term and lend long term. Ex- shares are priced at levels that Inc. and Morgan Stanley—are
economic order will actually will help the economy overall. that had spent the first 10 pectations for higher rates and suggest the future is already trading at more than 13 times
emerge, and boost banks’ busi- The S&P 500, which plum- months of the year below its a steeper yield curve have here. “While we’re construc- Please see ERA page R2
nesses with it. meted at the start of 2016, year-prior levels and at some been rising since the election, tive on banks, the rapid rise
The outcome is crucial for closed the year up 9.5%. Mean- points hit multiyear lows. while the Federal Reserve has has us nervous,” said Terry
both broader markets and the while, the Dow Jones Indus- The gains reflect investor echoed that by signaling three Gardner, a portfolio strategist Coming Monday
nation’s outlook for growth. trial Average rose 13%. expectations for the broader more interest-rate increases at investment-management The quarterly Investing in
Financial stocks are a big part The jubilation is particu- economy since the firms’ big could be in store in 2017. firm C.J. Lawrence. Funds & ETFs report, with
of the S&P 500, and banks’ larly apparent among financial revenue generators—lending, Another plus for banks: the And soaring share prices year-end performance, will
ability and willingness to lend stocks: Among S&P 500 sec- trading and capital-markets idea that the Trump adminis- have pushed up some valua- appear Jan. 9.
could prove critical to the tors, financials were the sec- activity—are closely correlated tration will usher a less oner- tion measures sharply, in
ANDREW HARRER/BLOOMBERG
S&P Mid Cap 400 20.7
FTSE 100 (U.K.) 19.1
S&P 500 industrials 18.9
Dow Jones Utility Average 18.2
Russian ruble 17.4
Copper 17.4
U.S. High Yield Index 17.1
S&P 500 materials 16.7
A cut in the corporate tax rate to 20% could lift Wells Fargo & Co.’s earnings per share 18% above its 2018 forecast, an analyst says.
Dow Jones Industrial Average 16.5
ERA
Soybeans 16.2 growth and more-robust trad- promised to roll back the reversed, even if that were
Silver 15.8 ing and investment-banking Dodd-Frank Act, the postcrisis what banks wanted to do. And
Taiwan Weighted 15.6 revenue could push earnings law that dramatically in- there are indications banks
Icelandic krona 15.2 per share for big banks up by creased regulatory oversight aren’t looking for a complete
S&P 500 information technology 13.9 Continued from the prior page 18% over analysts’ pre-election of the U.S. financial system as reversal of regulatory direc-
Amsterdam AEX 13.6 forward earnings estimates, estimates, according to Credit a whole and banks in particu- tion.
South African rand 13.0 compared with averages of be- Suisse bank analysts. lar. In response, lenders have “We don’t need to tear up
IPSA (Chile) 12.8 tween 10 and 12 times over And potential changes to had to increase the amount the rule book,” said Francesca
Soybean oil 12.7 the past 15 years, according to corporate-tax rates could and quality of their capital and Carlesi, head of regulatory af-
FactSet. Citigroup Inc. is the boost bank earnings further, available liquidity, revamp fairs at Deutsche Bank. “We
S&P 500 12.0
only laggard, trading at just even if some may take hits to their trading operations, and need time to digest the rules
S&P/ASX 200 (Australia) 11.8
shy of 12 times forward earn- tax assets on their books gen- extend the duration and stabil- we have.”
Cotton 11.6
ings, although that figure is erated by prior losses. Sanford ity of the debt they use to Academic studies also sug-
Lean hogs 10.6 still up sharply from less than C. Bernstein bank analyst John fund themselves. gest it can take banks several
CAC 40 (France) 8.9 10 times before the election. McDonald recently estimated Many observers have sug- years to adjust to major shifts
Nasdaq Composite 8.9 But valuations may appear that cutting the corporate tax gested that these changes are in regulation. In the short
Gold 8.6 lofty because many analysts rate to 20% from the current responsible in part for the low term, that could actually be a
Coffee 8.2 haven’t yet formally adjusted 35% would raise Wells Fargo’s returns on equity banks have drain on earnings as banks
IPC All-Share (Mexico) 8.1 earnings forecasts in light of earnings per share 18% above reported in recent years. may have to spend more to
U.K. 7-10 Year 7.9 the election. If those climb, the firm’s 2018 forecast. J.P. Those low returns have de- adjust compliance systems
DAX (Germany) 6.9 valuations will look more rea- Morgan’s earnings would rise pressed bank valuations. around new rules.
U.S. Corporate Index 6.1 sonable. by 13%, Bank of America’s by But dramatic changes to the While banks have been the
S&P 500 consumer discretionary 6.0 For example, a combination 12% and Citigroup’s by 10%. regulatory environment—in- come-from-behind underdog
of accelerated share repur- Just how much benefit fur- cluding a possible repeal of stocks of 2016, little of their
Chilean peso 5.8
chases—a possibility if the ther regulatory changes could Dodd-Frank itself—wouldn’t gains are due to anything the
S&P 500 consumer staples 5.4
Trump administration ap- bring is less clear, although in- immediately boost bank prof- firms themselves have done.
Germany 7-10 Year 4.3 points less-stringent banking vestors are betting they will itability. The changes banks In 2017, their fates will also be
Hang Seng (Hong Kong) 4.3 regulators—steeper yield do more good than harm. have made to their operations largely decided by forces out-
Euro Stoxx 4.1 curves, accelerated loan As a candidate, Mr. Trump and funding can’t be instantly side their control.
France 7-10 Year 3.9
FTSE Straits Times (Singapore) 3.8
Australia 7-10 Year 3.6
S&P BSE Sensex (India) 3.5
S&P 500 real estate† 3.4
Kospi Composite (South Korea) 3.3
Canadian dollar 3.0
Japanese yen 2.8
IBEX 35 (Spain) 2.6
Nikkei Stock Average (Japan) 2.4
Indonesian rupiah 2.3
Norwegian krone 2.3
Spain 7-10 Year 2.1
Australia 1-3 Year 1.9
Uruguayan peso 1.9
Peruvian nuevo sol 1.8
Stoxx Europe 600 1.7
Japan 7-10 Year 1.6
Kazakh tenge 1.5
U.K. 1-3 Year 1.5
New Taiwan dollar 1.4
Platinum 1.4
New Zealand dollar 1.3
BEL-20 (Belgium) 1.2
U.S. 7-10 Year 1.1
Italy 7-10 Year 1.0
U.S. 1-3 Year 0.9
SHANNON STAPLETON/REUTERS
EUROPE
–1.3 Hungarian forint breakup.
–1.7 Swiss franc Closing the Gap Stocks in the Euro Stoxx in-
–1.9 Corn After years of underperformance, can European equities start dex trade at a price-to-book
–2.0 Singapore dollar catching up to U.S. stocks in 2017? ratio of 1.67, considerably
–2.2 Swiss Market Continued from the prior page cheaper than the 2.8 ratio of
100%
–2.6 Indian rupee region’s growth. The U.K. gov- S&P 500 their counterparts in the S&P
–2.6 South Korean won ernment aims to begin negoti- Total return on indexes 500 index.
ations to leave the EU, ex- 75 Meanwhile, the eurozone
–2.7 S&P 500 health care
Vietnamese dong
pected to last two years, by economy ended 2016 with solid,
–2.7
the end of March. 50 if unspectacular, growth. The
–2.8 Danish krone
In a poll of credit investors ECB projects eurozone gross
–2.8 Sri Lankan rupee Stoxx
conducted in December by 25 Europe 600 domestic product growth of
–3.1 Czech koruna Bank of America Merrill 1.4% in 2017. The European
–3.1 Bulgarian lev Lynch, 60% said that “a Commission’s economic-senti-
0
–3.1 Euro greater euroskeptic push” was ment index for the bloc in No-
–3.8 Tel Aviv 25 their primary expectation for vember rose to its second-high-
–25
–4.1 Malaysian ringgit European politics in 2017. est level since the sovereign-
Philippine peso Though polling suggests 2012 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 debt crisis, at 106.5; the index’s
–5.5
–6.3 Polish zloty French far-right candidate Ma- Note: Percentage in dollar terms Source: FactSet THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. long-term average is 100.
–6.5 FTSE MIB (Italy) rine Le Pen wouldn’t beat cen- Likewise, business surveys
–6.5 Chinese yuan ter-right candidate François “It would raise the question center-right governments or point to healthy expansion,
–7.3 Swedish krona Fillon in the second round of for markets, can the euro proj- coalitions that could be quite and unemployment has
the presidential vote sched- ect survive? It would be remi- market friendly,” said Philip dropped consistently through
–11.4 Ukrainian hryvnia
uled in May, investors are niscent of the European debt Dicken, head of European eq- 2016 from 10.4% in January to
–12.3 Shanghai Composite
mindful of the risk of a victory crisis,” Mr. Wilson added. uities at Columbia Threadnee- 9.8% in October.
–13.2 Wheat
for an antieuro leader in the Populist candidates also are dle Investments. “If earnings European stocks have
–15.2 Live cattle currency union’s second-big- up for election in Germany growth does come back in, lagged behind their U.S. peers
–16.2 British pound gest economy. Ms. Le Pen has and the Netherlands in 2017. couple that with lower valua- in recent years. While the
–17.0 Mexican peso advocated that France leave But many optimistic investors tions and better politics, and Stoxx 600 Europe index has
–17.2 Turkish lira the eurozone and return to the note that none of the elections you could easily see the flows risen about 70% since the end
–18.5 Argentinian peso franc and has promised a ref- scheduled looks likely to pro- come back in.” of 2011, the S&P 500 has
–18.8 Rough rice erendum on the country’s EU duce a victory for a populist Though populist Donald climbed more than 100%.
–33.8 Cocoa membership. candidate. Bookmakers Betfair Trump’s victory in the U.S. “Europe has been one of
A Le Pen victory is possible, estimate Ms. Le Pen’s chances presidential election in No- the biggest disappointments,
*Included real estate before Sept. 19 sector split †Performance before Sept. 19 was said Andrew Wilson, CEO of of winning the French election vember was followed by a but people got too negative,”
based on the real-estate industry group, the precursor to the new real-estate sector. Goldman Sachs Asset Manage- at 27%. stock-market rally, in Europe said François Savary, chief in-
Note: Total return reflects price change and periodic payments. Shanghai Composite ment in Europe, the Middle “It could be that in nine any positive impact of a popu- vestment officer at Geneva-
and Kospi reflect price change.
East and Africa. “It’s not our months’ time we’re saying we list win on stocks would likely based Prime Partners “I see
Sources: FactSet (indexes, commodities); Tullett Prebon (currencies);
Bloomberg Barclays (bonds) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. central case, but I wouldn’t dodged the worst potential be overshadowed by the re- the scope to outperform the
describe it as a tail-risk event. outcome and ended up with newed risk of the eurozone’s U.S. next year.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, January 3, 2017 | R3
ALWAYS BE
BUYING LOW
.95
3:11 PM
$
7 TRADES
Get a great price for online U.S. equity trades
that’s lower than Schwab, TD Ameritrade, and E*Trade.*
Trade Confirmation:
1,250 shares of CVL FREE iSHARES® & FIDELITY ETFS
We offer you more commission-free** iShares
Commission: and Fidelity ETFs than anyone.
**Free commission offer applies to online purchases of Fidelity ETFs and select iShares ETFs in a Fidelity brokerage account. Fidelity accounts may require minimum balances. The sale of ETFs is subject
to an activity assessment fee (from $0.01 to $0.03 per $1,000 of principal). iShares ETFs and Fidelity ETFs are subject to a short-term trading fee by Fidelity if held less than 30 days. ETFs are subject to
management fees and other expenses.
††
Sell orders are subject to an activity assessment fee (from $0.01 to $0.03 per $1,000 of principal). Trades are limited to online domestic equities and options and must be used within two years. Options trades are limited to 20 contracts per trade. Offer valid for new
and existing Fidelity customers opening or adding net new assets to an eligible Fidelity IRA or brokerage account. Accounts receiving $100,000 or more will receive 500 free trades. Account balance of $100,000 must be maintained for at least nine months; otherwise,
normal commission schedule rates may be retroactively applied to any free trade executions. See Fidelity.com/ATP500free for further details. Fidelity reserves the right to modify these terms and conditions or terminate this offer at any time. Other terms and conditions,
or eligibility criteria may apply.
Screens are for illustrative purposes only.
$7.95 commission applies to online U.S. equity trades in a Fidelity account with a minimum opening balance of $2,500 for Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC retail clients. Sell orders are subject to an activity assessment fee (from $0.01 to $0.03
per $1,000 of principal). Other conditions may apply. See Fidelity.com/commissions for details.
*Commission comparison based on published website commission schedules, as of 10/1/2015, for E*Trade, Schwab, and TD Ameritrade for online U.S. equity trades and for E*Trade customers who make fewer than 1,500 trades per quarter.
See Fidelity.com/compare for details.
†
Other fees and expenses applicable to continued investment are described in the fund’s current prospectus.
Before investing in any mutual fund or exchange-traded fund, you should consider its investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact Fidelity for a prospectus, offering circular or, if available, a summary
prospectus containing this information. Read it carefully.
Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC. © 2016 FMR LLC. All rights reserved. 736002.4.1
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
R4 | Tuesday, January 3, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Nvidia president and CEO Jen-Hsun Huang A propane delivery truck Freeport-McMoRan’s concentrate processing facility Newmont Mining's Carlin gold mine in Nevada A technician at the Applied Materials facility in
in Indonesia Santa Clara, Calif.
Rajiv De Silva, Endo President and CEO First Solar Inc.'s Barilla solar farm in Pecos County, Texas A TripAdvisor mascot Perrigo’s new factory in Yeruham, Israel Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. building in Boston
GLOBAL MARKETS
Whitworth are among the fig- investor father of J.P. Morgan Chase & head and investment strategist 1.0
ures of finance who passed Bonnie Baha, 56, bond-fund Co. CEO James Dimon who helped improve quality of
away in 2016. Mr. Gutfreund, manager and analyst who gave Donald Drapkin, 67, veteran research at Wall Street firms Active (stocks)
86 years old, was the famed early warnings on trouble at Wall Street deal maker and co- Barry Sullivan, 85, 1980s 0.8
former Salomon Brothers CEO Lehman Brothers and MF founder of activist hedge fund CEO who stabilized First Chi-
embroiled in 1991 Treasury- Global Casablanca Capital LP cago Corp. but whose tenure
bond scandal. Mr. Whitworth, Robert H.B. Baldwin, 95, Aubrey McClendon, 56, pio- was marred by problems
60, was the activist invest- Morgan Stanley chairman neer of the U.S. shale boom Jack Treynor, 86, scholar 0.6
ment pioneer who co-founded 1979-83; credited with mod- and embattled former CEO of whose work shaped thinking
Relational Investors LLC. ernizing the firm Chesapeake Energy Corp. about investment risk and Active (bonds)
Here are some others we Richard Cooley, 92, Wells Thomas Perkins, 84, legend- fund managers’ performance 0.4
lost in 2016: Fargo & Co. CEO from 1960s to ary venture capitalist; co- Daniel Tully, 84, CEO of
1980s, known for grooming founder of venture firm Merrill Lynch in the 1990s who
John Angelo, 74, co-founder CEOs of other big banks Kleiner Perkins Caufield & By- helped make the firm one of 0.2 Passive (stocks)
of Angelo Gordon & Co., major Theodore Dimon, 85, vet- ers world’s top investment banks
0 Passive (bonds)
’96 ’98 ’00 ’02 ’04 ’06 ’08 ’10 ’12 ’14 ’16
Source: Morningstar THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Skeptical Investors
Leave Active Funds
Despite Fee Cuts
SHANNON STAPLETON/REUTERS
Alan Howard David Siegel Scott Ferguson Steven A. Cohen Daniel Och
FROM LEFT: PRENSA INTERNACIONAL/ZUMA PRESS; PHILIP MONTGOMERY FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL; PRENSA INTERNACIONAL/ZUMA PRESS; STEVE MARCUS/REUTERS; VIRGINIA MAYO/ASSOCIATED PRESS
For many hedge-fund manag- criminal insider-trading November, bringing its perfor- generation of activist investors. familiar with the firm. But Mr. TWO SIGMA
ers, 2016 was a year to forget. charges. He later struck a mance for the year through No- That is telling of where the in- Ferguson’s CDK sale means he is Two Sigma Investments
Tens of billions of dol- personal civil settlement with vember to 2.8%, according to a dustry is going. fueled up for 2017. LLC has grown into one of the
lars flew out of the industry as securities regulators that person familiar with the matter. Mr. Ferguson, 42 years old, —David Benoit biggest quantitative hedge
investors flagged disappoint- would allow him to run a The $12.7 billion fund is worked under William Ackman funds in the world. The New
ing returns and stubbornly hedge fund again starting roughly at its high-water at Pershing Square Capital York firm had $24 billion in
high fees. New Year’s Day 2018. mark, or the point where in- Management before setting out DANIEL OCH assets under management in
Even hedge-fund stalwarts Mr. Cohen, 60 years old, vestment gains make up for on his own in 2012. Last year, A new year can’t come 2015. That swelled to $38 bil-
now concede the business says he is still ostensibly un- losses and funds can start he took his first board seat, at quickly enough for Daniel Och. lion in 2016 through a combi-
model is in need of a re- decided on a return, but Co- charging performance fees software company Autodesk The 56-year-old founder of nation of performance and in-
think, largely built around hen confidantes point to his again. That is good news for a Inc., in only his third public ac- Och-Ziff Capital Management flows.
three tenets: trading ideas, formation last year of a new fund that recently dropped its tivism fight. Group LLC, the largest pub- Founded by computer scien-
technology and fees. Too many firm, Stamford Harbor Capi- management fee to 0% for That seat came without a licly traded U.S. hedge-fund tist David Siegel and mathema-
firms are doing the same thing tal, across the street from some investors in a bid to at- shareholder vote. After Au- firm, endured a 48% stock tician John Overdeck, Two
with each, skeptics say, mean- SAC’s old offices and run by a plunge in his firm’s shares in Sigma uses computer systems
ing a firm that differentiates longtime SAC deputy. 2016. That came as Och-Ziff to trawl data, make predictions
itself from the pack will stand A Stamford Harbor consul- paid $400 million to settle and trade automatically. Like
out. tant already has begun survey-
Even hedge-fund stalwarts now concede the federal charges that it bribed some other hedge funds, it is
Here are a few hedge-fund ing potential investors about business model is in need of a rethink. African government officials in eager to say it considers itself
managers to watch in the year the fees they would pay for a exchange for business. more a technology company
ahead: new hedge fund, people famil- The firm’s problems are than an investment firm, styling
iar with the matter said. magnified by its outsize reli- itself as the Google Inc. of Wall
If and when Mr. Cohen be- tract more assets. todesk’s chief executive ance on U.S. institutional in- Street.
STEVEN A. COHEN gins to raise money in ear- Macro managers like blasted him, Mr. Ferguson vestors, who have been among In one sign of that ambi-
The coming year looks mor- nest, he is expected to aim Brevan Howard make calls on didn’t fight back. Mr. Ferguson the most active in pulling tious casting, in 2016, it
ibund for new hedge-fund for a record-breaking sum. big-picture market movers like and the new school of activ- their money from hedge funds. joined with American Inter-
launches, with many young —Rob Copeland the economy and politics. If a ists are more into playing po- The firm now oversees $37 national Group Inc. and
traders opting to stay inside Trump presidency spells a lite to get their way. billion overall, down from $45 Hamilton Insurance Group
bigger firms rather than risk a new, sustained regime of mar- Autodesk shares have ral- billion at the start of 2016. Ltd. to provide an automated
flameout on their own. ALAN HOWARD ket volatility, that may spell lied since. Meanwhile, Mr. Fer- Och-Ziff couldn’t find a online system to issue insur-
Because of that, hedge- Alan Howard may have rea- an era of profits for them. guson has been selling down taker in 2016 when it shopped ance policies to small busi-
fund investors are readying son for hope. A strong Novem- —Juliet Chung his first activist bet, on a car- a piece of itself to investment nesses in minutes.
themselves for the once-un- ber on the back of Donald dealer software company CDK firms across Wall Street. In- The firm believes such ef-
likely return of an old favor- Trump’s election victory re- Global Inc., which has more stead, Mr. Och and other top forts will help in recruiting and
ite: the billionaire Steven A. versed what would have been a SCOTT FERGUSON than doubled in value since executives agreed to invest up keeping talent, a person famil-
Cohen. third consecutive year of losses Scott Ferguson of Sachem October 2014. to $500 million in the firm. iar with Two Sigma said. But
Mr. Cohen’s SAC Capital for his Brevan Howard Asset Head Capital Management is Sachem Head told investors More than ever, his fortune is the firm has told clients notch-
Advisors agreed to plead Management LLP’s flagship often mentioned as near the it was up slightly for the year as riding on any comeback. ing strong returns is its priority.
guilty three years ago to fund. The fund gained 5.6% in head of the class for the next of Dec. 15, according to a person —Rob Copeland —Juliet Chung
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
Global markets From their desks less than a mile apart in Washington,
Donald Trump and Janet Yellen will drive global markets
With the 4.6% unemployment rate already at a nine-
year low, how low will it actually go? Over the past Unemployment
in 2017. Mr. Trump’s plan to juice the U.S. economy and roil global trade and Ms. Yellen’s four decades, it was only below 4.0% for one stretch, in 2000. If current trends
efforts to control inflation will hit markets for currencies, stocks and bonds. U.S. persist, the unemployment rate would hit 3.9% in 12 months, according to an
rate increases will suck more money out of China, roiling its financial system. Atlanta Fed model. A rare occurrence, it might not be so outlandish in 2017.
–Alex Frangos –Steven Russolillo
YIELD ON THE 2.5% 10% U.S.
10-YEAR U.S. 8 UNEMPLOYMENT
2.0
Inflation TREASURY
NOTE
6
4
RATE
Commodities
1.5
Higher inflation is on the way. But 2 After a rip-roaring 2016, coal and
the more important factor in many 1.0 0 metal prices are showing signs of
advanced economies is whether wage J F M A M J J A S O N D flagging again in recent weeks. Did mining
2007 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16
inflation rises. In a world with high debt burdens firms take the bait and let capex drift up again
and fractious politics, fatter pay packets could last year? The answer will help determine the
be a decisive factor. trajectory of commodity prices in 2017 and beyond.
–Richard Barley –Nathaniel Taplin
S&P GSCI INDEX
U.S. CONSUMER PRICES, MONTHLY CHANGES
400
0.6%
0.3 350
0
300
–0.3
–0.6
2014 2015 2016
Window 250
J F M A M J J A S O N D
Banks Telecom
Investors are optimistic about financial stocks Expect the government's enforcement of net
in 2017 on hopes for higher interest rates and neutrality rules to be front and center for
less regulation. But lots of good news is HOW MANY YUAN ONE DOLLAR BUYS S&P 500 PHARMACEUTICAL SECTOR internet and telecom companies in 2017.
priced into the sector and plenty can 6.40 yuan 650 The big question is whether the Trump
go wrong. Two risks are losses on 625 administration will try to undo rules
6.60
auto loans and a trade war that passed during the Obama
600
hits global money flows. 6.80 administration that
–Aaron Back Chinese 7.00
575 reclassified broadband
as a utility.
Scale inverted to show the declining yuan. 550
economy J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D Pharma –Miriam
Having gorged themselves on cheap credit all year, Chinese firms are looking Drug pricing drama helped cause pharmaceuticals Gottfried
fatter and happier as the new year begins. But with the crucial real estate stocks to badly trail the market in 2016. Can drug
sector turning and industrial profit growth poised to slow again, will Chinese companies find a way to generate growth without
consumers and exports show up next year to take up the slack? reigniting the ire of the public and regulators?
–Nathaniel Taplin –Charley Grant
Photos: Bao Dandan/Xinhua via Zuma Wire (global markets); Seth Perlman/AP Photo (unemployment); David Ramos/Getty Images (commodities); Michael Bocchieri/Getty Images (telecom); THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.