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Jason Gay
The Year’s Best 2015 Highlight
And Worst Ads Reel
BUSINESS & TECH. | B1 SPORTS | B8
* * * * MONDAY, DECEMBER 28, 2015 ~ VOL. CCLXVI NO. 151 WSJ.com HHHH $3.00
Last week: DJIA 17552.17 À 423.62 2.55% NASDAQ 5048.49 À 2.5% STOXX 600 366.28 À 1.4% 10-YR. TREASURY g 13/32 , yield 2.241% OIL $38.10 À $2.04 EURO $1.0965 YEN 120.42
titerror law, but dropped a E-commerce has Adults seeking stress-relief grab coloring
provision requiring tech- created a booming
nology firms to turn over business in returns books; pencil supply-and-demand
encryption codes. A7 for companies that
collect, process and
Beijing detained China
often resell piles of BY JAMES R. HAGERTY for a while, but they are part of
Telecom’s head in a probe of
unwanted gifts and AND JEFFREY A. TRACHTENBERG the electronic-device world,
state-owned firms as part of
other rejected with its upsetting emails and
a graft crackdown. A7
merchandise. This While returning a book to Facebook rants. So, seeking sol-
Poland is taking a more holiday season, the public library in Dormont, ace in a scary
GETTY IMAGES
confrontational stance with nearly a quarter of Pa., recently, Anastasia Mustian world, some adults are heading
the EU as the migration e-commerce sales spotted a flier promoting a new back to kindergarten.
crisis stokes tensions. A8 are expected to be activity there: BYOB coloring- Bill Sannwald, manager of
returned. B1 book parties. She snapped a the North Park Branch of the
Died: Ellsworth Kelly, 92,
picture of the flier and texted it San Diego library, began notic-
abstract painter and sculptor.
to several friends. ing earlier this year
On the ap- that when parents
CONTENTS Media & Mktg........ B4
Bookshelf................. A11
Business News.. B1-7
Crossword................. B6
Opinion............... A11-13
Sports.......................... B8
Technology............... B6
Currency Moves Pack Less Punch pointed evening,
Ms. Mustian
grabbed her coat,
brought their chil-
dren to craft ses-
sions, they weren’t
Global Finance........ C3 U.S. News............. A2-4 BY PAUL HANNON that way, and now a growing heading in very divergent di- snatched up a bot- just watching the
Heard on Street.... C6 Weather..................... B6 body of evidence suggests why: rections, possibly taking the tle of Cabernet children smear glue
Moving the Mkt.... C2 World News....... A6-9
As various central banks A shift in trade dynamics is value of their currencies along Sauvignon and told and glitter into
loosened monetary policy this blunting the impact of a weak with them. her teenage daughter she was sticky messes. “They were say-
> year, some economists pre- local currency. When a country loosens its heading out to color. “My ing, ‘Well, let me make a little
dicted another cycle of beggar- This could be all the more monetary policy, interest rates daughter was like, ‘Really? Col- something too,’ ” Mr. Sannwald
thy-neighbor currency wars, in relevant now, when the mone- fall and investors tend to pull oring?’ ” Ms. Mustian said. said. One mom twisted pipe
which countries race each tary policies of the world’s their money out in search of Yoga, Zumba and CrossFit cleaners into bug shapes. “I
other to become the cheapest most powerful central banks— higher yields elsewhere, push- weren’t enough to calm us could tell she was really proud
s Copyright 2015 Dow Jones &
Company. All Rights Reserved exporter. the Federal Reserve and the ing down the currency’s value. down. Angry Birds and Candy of it,” he said.
But it hasn’t panned out European Central Bank—are Please see TRADE page A2 Crush Saga may have helped Please see COLOR page A6
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A2 | Monday, December 28, 2015 * **** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
Freakish Weather’s Toll
Still Rising Across the U.S.
BY DAN FROSCH The storms triggered wide- tional Weather Service showed
spread airline cancellations, the Texas storm system pro-
A cluster of deadly torna- with Dallas-area airports and duced six tornadoes, which
does in North Texas was the others in Texas the worst hit. were notable for their intensity
latest in a succession of freak- The tracking site FlightAware during this time of year.
ish winter-weather events over registered more than 5,900 The system was still creating
the Christmas holiday that led flight delays and 1,536 cancella- blizzard conditions across the
to at least 43 deaths in parts of tions nationwide by late Sun- Texas panhandle and battering
the nation. day night—expected to be one parts of Texas and Oklahoma
The tornadoes on Saturday of the busiest travel days of the with rain, said Greg Carbin,
night killed 11 people, injured year with as many as 2.3 mil- warning coordinator for the
dozens and caused severe dam- lion passengers traveling at the National Weather Service’s
age spread out over a wide area Storm Prediction Center.
outside of Dallas, officials said. The storm system—still
Texas Gov. Greg Abbott on Sun-
Tornadoes in Texas powerful—was moving east and
day made disaster declarations claim 11 lives; flight northeast and was expected to
JERONIMO NISA/THE DECATUR DAILY/ASSOCIATED PRESS, MARK LAMBIE/THE EL PASO TIMES/ASSOCIATED PRESS
for four counties. diminish in severity by Monday
In the Midwest, 13 people
delays mount for after causing icing in many
died in flooding, the Associated holiday travelers states.
Press reported, while the death In Garland, Texas, a city of
toll linked to severe weather in about 235,000 some 20 miles
the Southeast rose to 19 on end of the holiday break. from Dallas, a tornado on Sat-
Sunday. American Airlines Group urday killed eight people and
Meanwhile, a snowstorm ac- Inc., whose main hubs are in left a large swath of damage,
companied by plunging temper- Dallas-Ft. Worth and Chicago, authorities there said.
atures was expected to leave up said it had canceled around 100 “We literally have structures
to 16 inches of snow in west flights out of the Texas airport. that don’t exist any more,” said
Texas and much of New Mexico Southwest Airlines Co., which Officer Joe Harn, a spokesman
through Sunday evening, ac- also has a large Texas opera- for the Garland Police Depart-
cording to National Weather tion, faced delays on almost ment. “We’ve had bad storms
Service meteorologist Brendon 1,000 flights, the tracking site in North Texas before, but this
Rubin-Oster in College Park, added. is one of the worst ones. I’ve
Md. Initial analysis from the Na- never seen this sort of devasta-
tion.”
In a rural portion of Collin
County, also in North Texas,
three people were confirmed
dead due to the same storm
system, said Lt. Chris Havey, of
the Collin County Sheriff’s Of-
fice.
Lt. Havey said that all three
were believed to have been in-
side structures when they were
killed, and added that one of
the deceased was an infant. Au- Snowstorms, tornadoes and flooding hit parts of the U.S. over the Christmas holiday. Top, a flooded
thorities were still searching street in Courtland, Ala., on Saturday. Above, heavy snowfall covered El Paso, Texas, on Sunday.
damaged structures for victims.
The full extent of damage in ditions improve,” the governor completely submerged. flooding.
Texas isn’t yet known, though added. In southern Missouri, six The death toll in the South-
it stretched from south of Dal- In Illinois, three adults and people died in flooding, accord- east tied to severe weather
las to northeast of the city. two children died in flooding ing to Pulaski County Sheriff reached 19 on Sunday when Al-
In New Mexico, Gov. Susana Saturday night after trying to Ronald Long, and one person abama authorities found the
Martinez declared a state of cross a flooded road in a car, was missing. Sheriff Long said body of a man whose vehicle
emergency due to the snow- according to Marion County that they died while trying to was swept away while trying to
storm and called out the Na- Coroner Troy Cannon. Heavy drive their vehicles across cross a bridge.
tional Guard. rains had left a nearby creek standing water. “The rivers are Heavy downpours have
“We have a lot of resources swollen with water and moving still rising, there’s a lot of dam- thrashed the southeastern U.S.
on the ground to clear our swiftly. According to the coro- age. We are seeing record since Wednesday, bringing re-
roads, as well as conduct ner’s office, the car drove into flooding down here,” he said. cord rain in some areas.
search-and-rescue operations. I several feet of water and was In Greene County, Mo., au- —Doug Cameron
ask New Mexicans to please swept downstream, where it thorities said two fatalities and the Associated Press
stay off the roads until the con- became stuck and eventually there were associated with the contributed to this article.
©T&CO. 2015
U.S. NEWS
DREW ANTHONY SMITH/GETTY IMAGES
A CLASSIC REINVENTED
Jason Moseley, right, and Phil Neumann joined others at a Dec. 12 pro-gun march close to the University of Texas campus in Austin.
Chicago Police Draw More Scrutiny NetJets is a Berkshire Hathaway company. Aircraft are managed and
BY DAN FROSCH then called the police. She de- operated by NetJets Aviation, Inc. NetJets is a registered service mark.
scribed her son as a successful ©2015 NetJets IP, LLC. All rights reserved.
The day after a double fatal college student who had strug-
shooting by Chicago police, the gled with issues at times but
family of a 55-year-old black wasn’t angry or violent.
woman who was mistakenly A spokesman for Northern
shot and killed in the incident Illinois University in DeKalb
demanded answers from said that Mr. LeGrier was a
Mayor Rahm Emanuel and the sophomore at the school ma-
city’s police department. joring in engineering.
Police said Bettie R. Jones “Something needs to be
was accidentally shot and done. Seven times my son was
killed early Saturday by an of- shot,” Ms. Cooksey said. “He
©D.YURMAN 2015
faces a growing chorus of calls Police spokesman Anthony lieved her son had gotten in a LeGrier’s death was due to
for increased accountability Guglielmi said the shooting oc- dispute with his father, who multiple gunshot wounds.
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A4 | Monday, December 28, 2015 P W L C 10 11 12 H T G K B F A M 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 O I X X THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
than 500 was cut to 30. –10 off too cheaply and that the
Today most employees ad- city doesn’t have enough fire-
minister contracts for essential –20 fighters under its contract with
services such as policing and a nearby township.
street cleaning that have been One resident of Pontiac—
transferred to other districts or –30 which is 52% African-American,
privatized. 27% white and 17% Hispanic—
Instead, Ms. Waterman called Mr. Sobota, who is white,
–40
tapped three interns from Oak- a “plantation overseer.” Mr. So-
land University in Rochester, FY’04 ’06 ’08 ’10 ’12 ’14 bota said the criticism doesn’t
Mich. The students produced a *Unaudited Note: Fiscal year ends June 30 faze him.
newsletter that was mailed to Source: City of Pontiac, Mich. Ms. Waterman, an ophthal-
Pontiac’s 25,000 homes. “Those Pontiac Mayor Deirdre Waterman is running the city of 60,000 with the help of college interns. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. mologist who earns $100,000 a
jobs would have been done by year as mayor, said she is fo-
city employees—if I had city scale back. But the severe prob- tiac’s board has four members rate was 10.7% in September. 2011 to 2013, takes credit for the cused on attracting new busi-
employees to do that,” said Ms. lems in some Michigan munici- who hold finance-related posi- Many residents moved away recovery and yet says it is still nesses and cleaning up blight.
Waterman, who works out of a palities—already hard hit by tions in local, county and state and property values declined, not time for business as usual in There are up to 1,000 vacant
nearly vacant City Hall. the decline of the auto indus- government. leaving abandoned houses, Pontiac. “I financially fixed the lots within the 20-square-mile
The internship program with try—forced cuts that struck at Pontiac, which once had bloated expenses and sharply city big-time,” said Mr. Schim- city. She backs a proposal to
the university has given the the heart of government. 85,000 residents and played lower revenue. The city had mel who still wields power as an tear down the desolate Silver-
mayor a de facto staff, and the Detroit declared the largest host to the Detroit Lions in the three emergency managers be- advisory board member. “We dome and redevelop the site.
students some real-world expe- municipal bankruptcy in U.S. Silverdome, has endured trouble tween 2009 and 2013. The last don’t feel that we’re comfort- In the city’s newsletter, an
rience. But it also points to ten- history in 2013 and emerged common across the Rust Belt. In one appointed Joseph Sobota able leaving right now.” article by journalism major An-
sions among the mayor and from reorganization last year. addition to the Lions moving to as city administrator and he Today, Pontiac has a surplus thony Spak describes how va-
City Council, who have no party Emergency Manager Kevyn Orr Ford Field in Detroit, Pontiac runs Pontiac on a daily basis. of $10.8 million, or about 30% cant lots have been turned into
affiliations, and state-appoin- returned the reins of govern- lost a total of nearly 3,000 jobs State officials are weighing of its roughly $32 million bud- areas where people can gather.
tees in this economically recov- ment to the mayor and City when General Motors shut a whether to completely hand get, its third straight surplus. “It’s nice to be a part of some-
ering city where elected offi- Council soon after. But Pontiac truck-assembly plant in 1994 back power to the city. “I’m Revenues are rising as more thing where you see the city
cials still have little control and five other Michigan munici- and another in 2009. Today, ready to go back to home rule,” residents are paying property changing, see it growing and
over daily functions. palities still are overseen by many residents still work at Ms. Waterman said. taxes and the city has pushed becoming a place where people
The financial crisis has transition advisory boards ap- other GM sites or for the county Louis Schimmel, who served to collect delinquent income aren’t afraid to hang out,” he
forced cities nationwide to pointed by the governor. Pon- or a hospital. Pontiac’s jobless as emergency manager from taxes, officials said. said in an interview.
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A6 | Monday, December 28, 2015 * **** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
those for children. Popular top- Jenna Gaydos, who works a certain one,” Ms. Levin said. airport to serve that number of
ics include animals, fish, flowers for a commercial real-estate What happens when adults passengers in one calendar
and mandala spiritual symbols. firm in Chicago, received an tire of coloring? Little, Brown & year.
Michael O’Mara Books Ltd., a “Enchanted Forest” book and Co., a publishing division of Ha- The passenger earning the
British publisher, says it got the 64 Crayola markers as a wed- chette Book Group, thinks it has distinction is Larry Kendrick of
ball rolling. “A staffer said how ding shower gift this year. the answer. In January, it plans Gulfport, Miss., who will receive
embarrassed she was to see her The 27-year-old prefers to sit to bring out the first two books a Nissan Altima, two free Delta
mother coloring and getting alone at home when she colors, in a series of connect-the-dot Air Lines round-trip plane tickets
enormous enjoyment,” says Mi- sometimes while listening to titles for grown-ups. and a $500 gift card.
chael O’Mara, founder and classical music. Before the ad- “A lot of people think that’s Hartsfield-Jackson general
chairman. “We thought, ‘Why vent of adult coloring books, where this will go,” said Carina manager Miguel Southwell says
not have a stab producing a she occasionally bought the Guiterman, an assistant editor. the airport had a 5% increase in
coloring book aimed at Beverly Piacquadio, left, and Louella Pikras, who have been friends children’s variety but found “We haven’t seen the end of passenger count this year.
adults?’ ” since high school, color pictures at a library in Dormont, Pa. them too simple. creative expression.” —Associated Press
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * Monday, December 28, 2015 | A7
WORLD NEWS
Argentina Resets Approach to Vital Data
New president moves
Competing Prices
to revamp a national Argentine mathematician Graciela Bevacqua was censured because
statistics agency long her inflation estimates differed from the Kirchner administration’s.
How they compare:
seen as unreliable 6%
BY RYAN DUBE
5
BUENOS AIRES—Mathema-
tician Graciela Bevacqua still 4
recalls the humiliation she felt
when she was forced from her 3
job at Argentina’s statistics
agency for refusing to doctor 2
MARCOS BRINDICCI/REUTERS
Pope Urges Aid for Thousands in Paraguay Flee Region’s Worst Floods in Years
Cuban Migrants
BY FRANCIS X. ROCCA visiting the two countries in
tandem last September.
ROME—Pope Francis voiced Cuban migrants fear im-
concern for Cuban migrants proving relations will mean
stranded in Central America the end of a special half-cen-
while trying to reach the U.S., tury-old provision in U.S. law
and he called for governments that gives them privileged
in the region to bring about a consideration for asylum and
“timely solution to this hu- permanent U.S. residency.
manitarian drama.” Pope Francis has empha-
The pope made his re- sized his concern for the
marks Sunday to a crowd in plight of migrants around the
St. Peter’s Square, after lead- world. In September, he called
ing them in reciting on every Catholic parish in Eu-
the noon Angelus prayer. rope to help alleviate the con-
“My thoughts turn in this tinent’s migration crisis by
moment to the many Cuban sheltering one family fleeing
migrants who find themselves poverty or war.
JORGE SAENZ/ASSOCIATED PRESS
Sunday on the website of the Senior figures at China’s en- ment, is intended to help pre- able to operate in China. groups have also expressed
Central Commission for Disci- The commission didn’t pro- ergy sector have been snared vent terror attacks, according Still, the broad wording that concern over a sweeping na-
pline Inspection, the Commu- vide further details. A tele- in the probes. Other state- to Chinese authorities. tech companies must provide tional security law, passed in
nist Party’s top anticorruption phone message left at the dominated industries affected It contains much of the lan- “technical means of support” July, that the government says
agency. The phrase is the communications office of by the investigations include guage in a draft version that to China’s government for is needed to counter emerging
agency’s byword for corrup- China Telecom’s Hong Kong the banking and auto indus- U.S. officials, business groups counterterrorism work has threats but that critics say
tion allegations. offices wasn’t answered. The tries. and rights advocates criticized prompted concern among may be used to quash dissent
The statement said Mr. company said Sunday that its The probes have added un- as having an overly broad defi- some U.S. tech firms, accord- and exclude foreign invest-
Chang, 58 years old, was for- operations remain normal. certainty to the top offices of nition of terrorism. They also ing to a person familiar with ment.
merly the chairman of the Calls to the executive of- China’s state-run companies, said that the draft version, the matter. In May, China’s parliament
country’s second-largest mo- fices of China Unicom weren’t where executives are usually which was released a year ago, The counterterrorism law is also published a draft of a new
bile operator, China Unicom answered Sunday. Mr. Chang Communist Party functionaries would impose onerous require- part of a series of new pieces law that seeks to tighten con-
Ltd. He assumed the top post couldn’t be reached to com- that Beijing often rotates from ments on companies dealing of legislation that many ex- trols on foreign nongovern-
at China Telecom in August. ment. one state firm to the next. with proprietary commercial perts say are designed to mental groups.
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A8 | Monday, December 28, 2015 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
WORLD NEWS
RAMADI Kurds
Continued from Page One
Daesh,” said Brig. Gen. Ahmed
Secure
al-Bilawi, a commander of the
Anbar Emergency Police Unit,
using another name for Is-
Hold Over
lamic State. “It’s very clear
that Daesh is going down, hav-
ing lost battles in Beiji, Sinjar
Syria Dam
and now Ramadi.” BY SAM DAGHER
As Iraqi troops closed in
Saturday on the compound BEIRUT—U.S.-backed Kurd-
where the last militants were ish militias and their allies
holding out, Islamic State re- battled Sunday to consolidate
leased a rare audio recording their hold over a strategic dam
AHMAD AL-RUBAYE/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
Erbil
all Iraqis. Iraqis proved chine gun and grenade launch- of Raqqa.
RD
through the Ramadi fight that ing positions in Ramadi in the province, 60 miles west of the Deir Ezzour Both places are under Is-
TAN
Ti
they are united, Sunnis and past few days. Iraqi capital Baghdad IRAQ lamic State control and Raqqa
gr
is
Shiite.” “Our air coalition is proud Beiji is the de facto capital of its
R.
SYRIA Oct. 20
Sunday marked the first to support brave Iraqi troops Majority religion: Sunni E u p h ra self-proclaimed caliphate.
te Tikrit
time that Iraqi troops were as they defeat ISIL in Ramadi,” Muslim Neighboring Turkey, which
s
IRAN
able to penetrate the former said Brett McGurk, the U.S. en- considers the YPG a terrorist
R.
government compound in a voy to the coalition. “Support Strategic importance: The organization and an offshoot
five-day offensive to reclaim will continue until all areas city’s proximity to Baghdad Ramadi Baghdad of Kurdish separatists it has
the city center. Fewer than are liberated.” and status as provincial capital been battling for decades in
200 Islamic State fighters Jon Alterman, director of Turkey. Turkey had previously
were believed to be left there the Center for International Symbolic importance: warned it would retaliate
50 miles
before they fled. and Strategic Studies’s Middle Retaking Ramadi is a boost for against any crossing of the Eu-
By late in the day, Islamic East program, said the gains Iraq’s battered military ahead 50 km phrates by the Syrian Kurds,
State militants were fleeing to in Ramadi show that U.S. and of efforts to drive Islamic *As of Dec. 21 Source: Institute for the Study of War THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
who already control most of
Ramadi’s eastern suburbs Iraqi forces are improving co- State from its base in Mosul Syria’s northern border with
along with their families and ordination. Turkey.
civilian hostages they had “The U.S. brings things to And retaking Ramadi their targets, Col. Warren said. Having surprised Islamic The Turks have been under
been using as human shields, a this fight in terms of intelli- doesn’t guarantee a broader The training focused on ap- State fighters once, Iraqi pressure from Washington and
security official said. gence, in terms of tactics, in victory over Islamic State. plying air and land attacks in troops did it again. its European allies to do more
But progress remained slow terms of integrating what hap- “In principle, it’s fairly hard concert—and it paid off on the Instead of pushing north to fight Islamic State. Turkish
as Iraqi troops picked their pens on the ground and what for ISIL to feel good about its battlefield. straight into the government officials on Sunday said they
way through cratered city happens in the air, and the position. It’s not as if it can “What really distinguished center as the insurgents ex- were closely monitoring devel-
streets and booby-trapped Iraqis are learning to operate hold these cities against the the Ramadi fight was the high- pected, they outflanked them opments on the ground in
buildings left behind by more in that environment,” Mr. Iraqi army with American air level coordination among all by heading west, occupying a northern Syria, suggesting
than a month of almost con- Alterman said. power and other coalition air forces on the fight—I mean the nearby neighborhood called possible prior coordination
tinuous fighting, military offi- While earlier this year, U.S. power,” Mr. O’Hanlon said. air force, artillery and coalition al-Houz, said Col. Ibrahim. with the U.S.
cials said. officials said they hoped Iraqi “But the sheer quantitative forces,” said Col. Mohamed The evasive maneuver al- The U.S. military said Sun-
The Iraqi military credited forces would mount an offen- requirement for the remaining Ibrahim, a spokesman for the lowed Iraqi troops to isolate day that it conducted several
its success in Ramadi to a sive to take back Mosul in the task is roughly five times of federal police and a member of hundreds of Islamic State airstrikes against Islamic State
fresh round of American train- spring, those plans were side- what’s just been done, and it Iraq’s joint operations com- holdouts in the government targets near Manbej and
ing and new weapons supplies. lined once the militant group took a year to rebuild the Iraqi mand, which coordinates with district. Raqqa, where the Kurds and
Over the past year, American- made gains in Anbar province army to the point where they the U.S.-led coalition. For Iraqi troops, Islamic their allies have been pressing
led coalition forces have and Ramadi fell in May. could do just Ramadi plus a The benefit of the training State’s reliance on booby traps ahead with their latest offen-
trained some 15,000 Iraqi The relatively slow pace of couple of smaller places.” was most obvious on the first and land mines smacked of sive against Islamic State.
troops with a focus on basic progress for the Iraqi forces Still the troops on the day of battle Tuesday, when cowardice. Elsewhere in Syria, rebel
military skills and coordinat- this year calls into question ground in Ramadi are display- Iraqi army engineers laid pon- “Daesh was not fighting us groups supported by Turkey,
ing air, artillery and ground whether they can retake Mosul ing a newfound confidence, toon bridges across the Eu- like real men, Daesh was only Qatar and Saudi Arabia came
forces, said Col. Steve Warren, next year, said Michael O’Han- bolstered by an order last phrates River—imitating a ma- leaving IEDs and booby traps,” under increased pressure from
the Pentagon spokesman. lon, a senior fellow at the summer for some 2,000 AT-4, neuver they had been taught said Brig. Gen. Bilawi. regime forces backed by Iran
“The coalition congratu- Brookings Institution. shoulder-fired, antitank rock- only weeks before. “This gave us unbelievable and Russia.
lates the Iraqi security forces “I think it will happen,” he ets from the U.S. “The enemy never thought confidence in our capabilities Russian warplanes pounded
for their continued success said. “In practice it could take The combination of new we would do it this way,” Col. and helped a lot in winning rebel positions on Sunday
against ISIL in Ramadi,” said the better part of 2016 or the training and equipment pre- Ibrahim said. the fight in Ramadi.” around Damascus and in the
Col. Warren, using an acronym whole part to be able to have vented about 90% of truck “The enemy couldn’t con- —Felicia Schwartz and Ben southern province of Daraa,
for Islamic State. the capacity for the Iraqi army bombs, a crucial Islamic State tain their surprise and fell in Kesling contributed to this according to opposition activ-
He said the U.S.-led coali- to do it.” weapon, from ever reaching complete confusion.” article. ists and Syrian state media.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | A9
WORLD NEWS
World
Watch InJapan,EthicsLessonsSpurDebate
Plan for new curriculum is part of conservatives’ push to restore principles they say were lost after WWII
BY MITSURU OBE In one rural mountain-
Words to Live By ringed elementary school in
ISRAEL TOKYO—Japan is prepar- Emperor Meiji, below, issued the Imperial Rescript on Education in 1890 to address a perceived loss of Ome City, a recent ethics
ing to reintroduce the teach- class concerned “how to bet-
Nonprofits Pressed to ing of traditional Japanese
traditional virtues in Japan due to the country's Westernization; his precepts are a basis for new
ter understand each other.”
education guidelines.
Declare Foreign Funds ethics in schools, as the na- Mika Hakamada, the teacher,
An Israeli ministerial commit- tion’s conservatives seek to asked a class of sixth-grad-
tee passed legislation that restore the values they say
1 Be filial to your parents
ers to imagine a group of
would require local nonprofits to were rooted out during the 2 Be affectionate to your brothers and sisters students angrily yelling at
disclose whether they are U.S. occupation after World 3 Be harmonious as husbands and wives them from across a river.
funded primarily by foreign War II. “How would you respond?
countries, drawing criticism from The education initiative is 4 Trust and be trusted by your friends Yell back? Ignore? Or ask
left-wing peace activists. part of an effort by Prime 5 Bear yourself in modesty and moderation them what they are saying?”
The bill, promoted by the Minister Shinzo Abe and his she asked. A discussion fol-
right-wing Jewish Home party allies to push policies meant
6 Extend your benevolence to all
lowed, as she urged the stu-
and Justice Minister Ayelet to cast Japan as a stronger, 7 Devote yourself to learning and gain an occupation dents, “Don’t try to give
Shaked, received the expected prouder and forward-looking 8 Acquire knowledge and develop your talent pleasing answers. Be hon-
approval of the Israeli parlia- country, one less apologetic est.”
ment’s Ministerial Committee for for its history. That new as- 9 Improve your character Opinion polls indicate a
Legislation. That clears it for de- sertiveness has sometimes 10 Work to promote public good solid majority of Japanese
bate and voting in parliament. provoked Japan’s neighbors support the idea of general
11 Respect the constitution and observe the law
The bill would require non- and riled Japanese who say ethics education, with re-
profits that get more than half the popular leader is rolling 12 Should emergency arise, offer yourselves courageously spondents citing youth vio-
of their funding from foreign back the liberal values that to the state lence and the need for stu-
countries to disclose that fact. have kept Japan free, safe dents to develop more
Opponents see the bill as an at- and prosperous. Photo: Newscom THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. empathy for others as rea-
tempt by the political right to si- The dispute has flared sons. The polls didn’t ad-
lence left-wing critics who prefer over official visits to a con- The 1890 Imperial Re- dress patriotism or respect
to pursue peace with the Pales- troversial shrine honoring script on Education and pre- Black Marks for authority.
tinians. Many nonprofits that ad- the nation’s war dead, in- war ethics education are the Conservatives want to address violence and truancy in the education Driving Mr. Abe’s efforts
vocate peace receive funding cluding convicted class-A bases for the new guidelines, system with a new ethics curriculum. to cast Japan in a more posi-
from foreign countries. war criminals, and the gov- which publishers are now in- tive light are the running
—Asa Fitch ernment’s reinterpretation of corporating into textbooks. Number of violent acts by Middle-school students who disputes over wartime his-
the constitution to give the The books will be used in students in elementary missed 30 or more days of tory with neighboring China
SPAIN military more freedom to new ethics classes to be school* school a year** and South Korea, which has
fight and operate overseas. taught in elementary and 12,000 120,000 led to “soul-searching over
Secessionist Leader’s On the education front, middle school starting in the national identity,” said
Fate Left Unresolved conservatives and liberals 2018 after a period of public 10,000 100,000 Shiro Takahashi, an educa-
A small, far-left Catalan party have rumbled over revisions comment and government tion professor at Meisei Uni-
8,000 80,000
wound up deadlocked in an in- to history textbooks and approval. versity and an influential
ternal vote Sunday over whether mandatory singing of the na- Mr. Abe’s initiative is wel- 6,000 60,000 voice among conservatives.
to give secessionist leader Artur tional anthem in schools. comed by many Japanese Atsuko Tsuruta, a retired
Mas the margin of support he The new teaching initia- who see a link between the 4,000 40,000 professor of education at the
needs to be re-elected as the tive stems from the conser- Western emphasis on per- University of the Sacred
Catalonia region’s president. vative view that Japanese sonal freedom and a moral 2,000 20,000 Heart in Tokyo, views the
The Popular Unity Candidacy, people—especially youth— decay they say is afflicting shift as a step backward. She
or CUP, was thrust into the role hold their country and its the country’s youth, as seen 0 0 recalls, with little affection,
of kingmaker after September’s history in low regard due to in rising cases of bullying, FY1997 2000 2010 FY1991 2000 2010 when Japanese schools em-
regional election. The main se- too much focus in schools on juvenile delinquency and *Private-school students not included before 2006. Violent acts include vandalism and physical
phasized respect for author-
cessionist ticket ended up need- Japan’s wartime aggressions. classroom disorder. violence against other people **Mental-health problems are the most commonly cited causes ity and rules, with large
ing the backing of at least some To counter that, Mr. Abe’s “Teachers and students of absenteeism, followed by bullying, trouble with friends and family problems. signs in schools that stated,
of the CUP’s 10 legislators to re- government this year set ed- have become equals, result- Note: Fiscal years begin April 1 and end March 31. “Obedience.”
elect Mr. Mas. ucation guidelines that en- ing in loss of authority in Source: Ministry of education THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Ms. Tsuruta rejected the
CUP leaders said they would courage patriotism and es- the classroom,” said Shigeki notion that classrooms have
attempt to resolve the impasse pouse love of Japan’s Kaizuka, professor at also stoking fears. The Japan said. The union contends become too chaotic. “That’s
at a political council on Jan. 2. history, traditions and cul- Musashino University and a Teachers’ Union opposes the that rather than focusing on what democracy means. De-
The Catalan parliament has until ture, including the ancient leading advocate of ethics new curriculum, saying that teaching people to love the mocracy is a messy thing,”
Jan. 9 to install a leader; other- Shinto religion, as well as education. “The classroom evaluating students on tradi- country, the government she said. “It is arrogant for
wise, Mr. Mas would by law the importance of obeying has been reduced to a jungle, tional ethics is akin to forc- should concentrate its ef- adults to think children
need to call new regional elec- rules, being kind and exert- creating room for bullying.” ing values on students, a forts on making Japan de- should be spared from deal-
tions. —Matt Moffett ing self-control. But the new curriculum is spokesman, Hiroaki Akaike, serving of that love, he said. ing with confusion.”
Photo credit: F. Martin Ramin, The Wall Street Journal, Styling by Anne Cardenas
OFFER
EXCLUSIVE TO MEMBERS
OPINION
The Obamanet Overreach BOOKSHELF | By Edward Kosner
For the
first 20
years of
century ago for railroads and
the telephone monopoly.
The three-judge appeals
now known as Obamanet.
This pressure included a
video by President Obama and
“effectively severs the tie be-
tween federal law and admin-
istrative policy, thus under-
Myths That
the Inter-
net, en-
trepre-
panel included David Tatel, a
Clinton appointee whose legal
opinions blocked the FCC’s
organized demonstrations out-
side the home of Tom
Wheeler, the FCC chairman.
mining important democratic
and constitutional values.”
Judges are hard to predict,
Changed America
INFORMATION n e u r s earlier Internet regulations. Mr. Wheeler sent an email to so there is no guarantee that
AGE were free
to focus
During the oral argument, he
demanded to know why the
his staff, later obtained by a
congressional committee, ex-
the appeals court, when it
rules, will have the courage of
Alex Haley
By L. Gordon
on their agency in February suddenly pressing shock over strong- Judge Tatel’s conviction that By Robert J. Norrell
Crovitz
c o m - opted to regulate the Internet arming by the White House. A agencies must operate inde- (St. Martin’s, 251 pages, $26.99)
A
p u t e r as a utility instead of pursuing page-one article in The Wall pendently. But by overturning
code that changed everyone’s the lighter regulatory approach Street Journal detailed how the Obamanet regulations, lex Haley was once a commanding figure in American
life. Now regulators are forc- the agency had called its “blue- administration staffers dic- judges would protect both the popular culture, but his name is now in eclipse. He
ing technologists to cope with print.” tated policy to the agency. law and the Internet. sold six million copies each of “The Autobiography of
a different kind of code—the Judge Tatel tried asking the This month the FCC sent Malcolm X” and “Roots,” his epic of slavery and black sur-
legal system. Unlike the disci- FCC’s lawyer this key question letters to T-Mobile, AT&T and vival in America. Eighty million people watched individual
plined operation of digital three times: Judges weigh a make- Comcast demanding that they episodes of the 1977 TV miniseries of the book he called “a
software, the legal code de- “The commission even called or-break case against appear before agency staff by saga.” But his career ended in charges that “Roots” was
pends on human willingness to it the ‘blueprint’ offered by the Jan. 15 to justify new pricing both fraudulent and plagiarized—a neat trick—and his repu-
obey its rules. D.C. Circuit. That’s the commis- heavy Web regulation. plans. These offer cost-con- tation never recovered.
This month the federal ap- sion’s word, not mine. And so scious consumers data pro- More than two decades after his death at 70 in 1992, Ha-
peals court in Washington what, how do you describe the grams with unlimited, so-called ley is the subject of a sympathetic and mostly clear-eyed bi-
heard make-or-break argu- commission’s reasons for aban- This political interference is “zero rating,” access to selected ography by Robert J. Norrell, a professor at the University
ments against new regulations doning that approach. What’s clear abuse by the executive services such as video and of Tennessee. The book doesn’t dispel the cloud hanging
micromanaging the Internet. the policy explanation for that branch. The independent regu- music. Net neutrality absolut- over Haley, but it does por-
The rules issued earlier this decision?” latory agencies created during ists oppose these plans even tray him as an earnest,
year for the first time gave When Judge Tatel got no the New Deal have a precarious though the offerings create striving writer who over-
bureaucrats power to block answer, he tried again: “What constitutionality even without more consumer choice. paid his dues as an African-
new Internet products, ser- changed [the commission’s] a president dictating orders. Only last month, Mr. American freelancer desper-
vices, pricing and technologies. mind? It couldn’t have been The Constitution says only Wheeler praised as “innova- ate to break into the big
These regulations violate changed circumstances, right? Congress can make laws. The tive” the T-Mobile pricing plan time. In the darkest days, he
the bipartisan congressional The circumstances are all separation-of-powers justifica- his agency now challenges. He papered a wall of his base-
consensus retained since the essentially the same. What is tion for “independent” agen- even chided critics for predict- ment flat with rejection let-
Clinton administration to keep the crispest answer?” cies’ issuing rules assumes that ing that innovators would have ters, the most encouraging a
the Internet free of regulation. After another evasive an- apolitical experts run agencies to plead, “Mother, may I?” with postcard from an editor that
Ever since the Telecommunica- swer, Judge Tatel said, “It without pressure from the the FCC. The agency now de- said: “Nice try.”
tions Act of 1996, congressional couldn’t have been changed White House, and that they mands that companies beg for He ultimately triumphed, but
policy has been to “preserve facts. Right? It had to be a dif- craft careful factual records be- regulatory approval. Republican the final judgment on Haley de-
the vibrant and competitive ferent perception of what was fore regulating. With Obama- FCC commissioner Ajit Pai said pends on how generous one
free market” for the Internet happening. What was that?” net, the FCC failed these tests. the agency should not “haul in wants to be. The charitable view
“unfettered by federal or state And finally: “What drove the Judge Tatel himself warned companies left and right,” is that he was a flawed artist—an
regulation.” commission?” against politicized agencies in warning that “the era of per- industrious but scattered writer; a tax
Federal judges are now de- Everyone in the courtroom a speech on administrative law missionless innovation is over.” debtor and failed husband; a perpetual toothache for book
ciding what to do about the knew why the FCC’s lawyer published in 2009 in the The appeals court will rule editors and publishers—who somehow produced two of the
Obama administration’s scheme wouldn’t answer with the Harvard Environmental Law on the case in early 2016. most acclaimed and top-selling books of the second half of
to get around Congress by truth: What “drove” the Review. “It looks for all the Invalidating Obamanet would the 20th century. The contrary view is that he was a charla-
pressuring the supposedly in- agency was the politically world like agencies choose uphold the understanding tan who invented much of the text of “Roots.” The incisive
dependent Federal Communi- motivated demand by the their policy first and then later shared by Silicon Valley and black critic Stanley Crouch damned Haley as “a ruthless
cations Commission to fetter Obama White House that the seem to defend its legality,” he Congress that innovation, not hustler” and his book as “a hoax.” The press scourge Philip
the Internet through regula- agency submit the Internet to wrote. That “entirely back- regulation, drives the success Nobile called him a “literary rogue.”
tions designed more than a the heavy-handed regulations wards” approach, he added, of the Internet. Alex Haley was an unlikely rogue, much less a best-sell-
ing writer. As Mr. Norrell notes, Haley’s own roots were
atypical for Southern blacks in the early decades of the
What Trump Doesn’t Know About Mexicans 20th century: His father, Simon Haley, and his mother, born
Bertha Palmer, were both college graduates, and his father
had a graduate degree in agriculture from Cornell. His
D o n a l d 1990 and more than doubled to number of illegal Mexicans in return home are likely more grandfather, Will Palmer, was a prosperous lumber mer-
Trump’s rants 9.4 million in 2000.” By that the U.S. shot up to 6.9 million complex. As Mr. Alba writes, chant in Henning, Tenn., where Alex was raised. There was
against Mexi- time they constituted almost in 2007 from 4.5 million in “Mexico’s improving economic miscegenation on both sides of the family. Alex’s paternal
can migrants 30% of this country’s immi- 2000. Then the Great Reces- stability, modest growth (in great-grandfather was a Confederate colonel named James
have helped grant population. The Pew Re- sion hit, the job market tanked, per capita terms), and ongo- Jackson. Family lore had it that his maternal great-great-
rocket him to search Center’s Ana González- the labor flow ebbed and some ing social improvements” grandmother, Kizzy, had been raped by her slave master.
AMERICAS the top of na- Barrera estimated that seven one million Mexican migrants have also had an effect.
tional polls in years later the Mexican-born returned home between 2009 Border enforcement is a less
By Mary Haley produced two of the top-selling books
the race for population (legal and illegal) in and 2014—more than the num- convincing reason for the net
Anastasia
the Republican the U.S. was 12.8 million. ber of Mexicans coming here. outflow of Mexicans, since the of the second half of the 20th century.
O’Grady
presidential It wasn’t only Mexicans who immigration of Central Ameri-
nomination. came in big numbers to the cans to the U.S. remains Was he a flawed artist or a ruthless hustler?
What an inconvenient fact it U.S. in those years—by 2013 For years, more have robust. Cato Institute immigra-
must be that Mexicans are now immigrants made up more been leaving the tion policy analyst Alex Now-
leaving the U.S. in greater num- than 13% of the U.S. popula- rasteh believes that the liberal- An indifferent high-school student, Haley joined the
bers than they are arriving. tion, according to a recent Pew U.S. than arriving. ization of Mexico’s migration Coast Guard in 1939 as a mess attendant—the only rank
Significant Mexican migra- Research Center report, up policy—at the behest of Repub- available to black enlistees—and wound up two decades
tion to the U.S. dates back at from 5.4% in 1960. But Mexi- licans who complained that later as its first chief journalist, promoting the service with
least to a Bracero program, cans, the largest group, had The result, says Ms. Mexico dealt harshly with its articles and dealing with the press on rescues and other
launched in 1942, to match the become a lightning rod for a González-Barrera, is that “the own migrants while demanding Coast Guard actions. He left the service to become a maga-
supply of Mexican agricultural nativist backlash as the U.S. net flow from Mexico to the generosity from the U.S.—has zine writer, eventually conducting long interviews for Play-
labor to U.S. demand during economy sputtered. U.S. is now negative, as return made it easier for Central boy. One of his subjects was the charismatic black national-
harvest time. The arrangement One common charge is that migration of Mexican nation- Americans to pass through ist Malcolm X, who enlisted Haley to write his
made it legal for Mexican migrants come to the U.S. to als and their children is now Mexico and get to the U.S. autobiography as he was breaking away from Elijah Muham-
workers to cross the border to sponge off the welfare state. higher than migration of Mex- border. mad’s Nation of Islam. The book took years to finish. Fore-
work and return home at the But the data are clear that icans heading to the U.S.” She Mr. Trump may need a new shadowing the furor over “Roots,” the “Autobiography,”
end of the season. work drives Mexican migra- estimates that there were bête noire. The Census Bureau which finally appeared in September 1965, included a num-
The U.S. terminated the pro- tion. Beginning in the late 140,000 fewer Mexicans living reported in 2013 that immi- ber of dubious details and outright fictions about Malcolm
gram in 1964 under pressure 1970s, an excess of labor in in the U.S. in 2014 compared gration from China and India and soft-pedaled his anti-Semitism and dealings with neo-
from organized labor. But Con- Mexico due to recurring mone- with 2009. was higher than from Mexico. Nazis and the Ku Klux Klan. The “Autobiography,” Mr. Norell
gress could not repeal the laws tary and economic crises, and a According to a national “The new prominence of Asian observes gingerly at one point, must be “understood as the
of economics. Opportunities for high birthrate, met a strong household survey by the Mexi- migration,” Muzaffar Chishti creation of its subject’s life, not a factual recounting of it.”
work and higher wages in the demand for labor in the U.S. can government in 2014, 25% and Faye Hipsman of the The book became a huge best seller, propelled by Mal-
U.S. continued to be a draw, The U.S. construction and of those who came since 2009 Migration Policy Institute colm X’s assassination by Black Muslims earlier in the year.
and Mexicans continued to mi- home-building boom in the and left by 2014 said that they wrote in May, “may herald a This gave Haley standing to pursue a project he had been
grate north. But as the risks of 1990s and early 2000s is a had not been able to find work significant and long-term tran- mulling for years—reconstructing the story of his family
crossing the border increased, notable phase. Without formal in the U.S. A greater number sition in the demographics of traced back to an ancestor known as “The African,” who had
they tended to stay longer. market mechanisms allowing (40%) said the main reason future U.S. immigration.” been brought in chains to America in the 18th century. Ha-
In a paper for the Migration bidders and suppliers to engage was to reunite with family. Mexicans are still the larg- ley had heard the tale as a boy sitting on the front porch
Policy Institute, economist in legal transactions, under- Among all Mexicans who re- est immigrant group. But if with his Palmer aunts in Henning. He determined not simply
Francisco Alba found that the ground networks matched em- turned during that period, 61% the trend continues, Mr. to flesh out the story as a folkloric novel but to report it as
number of Mexican immigrants ployers to employees. said it was either to reunite Trump won’t have so many of Truman Capote claimed to have done in “In Cold Blood.”
in the U.S. “doubled from 2.2 Pew’s Ana González-Barrera with family or start a family. them to kick around anymore. From snatches of West African language his aunts had
million in 1980 to 4.5 million in recently estimated that the Yet the reasons Mexicans Write to O’Grady@wsj.com. used, Haley persuaded himself that “The African” had been
named Kunta Kinte and that he had been seized by British
slavers from his edenic village on the Gambia River. Book
‘God Does Not Play Dice’ contract in hand, Haley in May 1968 steamed up the river
to meet Kunta Kinte’s village historian—the griot—who
confirmed the story that the writer had assembled and
By Robbert Dijkgraaf permanent twilight zone of across the room, you might As modern life relies increas- added all sorts of fascinating detail. This was “the money
I
hint, hope and certainty. think, “What an amazing co- ingly on big data, we’ll have to shot” in Haley’s decade of obsessive reporting and dilatory
t was the perfect holiday It’s a matter of statistics. The incidence!” But it could simply be on the watch for the look- writing that would make him rich, famous and ultimately a
surprise. On Dec. 15 the blip in the data might be an be a byproduct of a rather large elsewhere effect. Probability literary outcast.
latest results from the aberration. There is a chance of probability. How many places will lead us to say more often: After excruciating delays and distractions (and substan-
Large Hadron Collider at CERN 1 in 10,000 that CERN’s possible do you frequent (restaurants, What an amazing coincidence! tial rewriting by one of his old Playboy editors), “Roots”
in Switzerland were announced, new particle is a fluke—and, in museums, theaters, airports)? Some of these occurrences will was published as nonfiction in 1976. It caused a sensation
after early rumors had physi- this branch of science, those And how many people do you lead to new discoveries; others that only grew the next year, when ABC televised its eight-
cists buzzing. A signal in the know (friends, colleagues, will simply reflect how fre- part miniseries. The book and the TV shows, Mr. Norrell
data suggests a discovery that family, celebrities)? You’re quently we are looking else- rightly observes, “shifted mass culture to a new understand-
no one predicted: a possible Or does he? A possible bound to run into someone, where. ing of slavery and the black family.”
new particle several times somewhere. It isn’t as if you In the next six months, a Alas, “Roots” began to unravel almost at once. A Times of
heavier than the Higgs boson. new physics discovery. had predicted meeting this new series of experiments at London writer ventured back up the river and reported that
If confirmed, such a particle specific person in that precise CERN will confirm or deny the the griot had been prepped to tell Haley what he wanted to
could turn the current theoreti- restaurant. finding. Scientists will rerun the hear—and that he was an entertainer, not an authentic
cal models upside-down. Papers odds are too high. The norm for The challenges in discover- collisions many more times. As griot, anyway. Two authors sued Haley for plagiarism of
have already appeared, sug- the verification of a new parti- ing a new particle work in a the amount of data from the their similar books, and he had to cough up more than $2.5
gesting possible connections to cle is “five sigma”—a departure similar way. At CERN, protons collider increases, the outcomes million in today’s money to settle one case and pay the law-
the mysterious “dark matter” in from the mean of more than are collided at high speed a bil- can be compared more pre- yers. Then the academics piled on—establishing that Haley’s
the universe, or positing a new five standard deviations. That lion times a second. The debris cisely with the predicted curve. vaunted documentary and genealogical research was riddled
“supersymmetry” relating par- means a result is only accepted is analyzed in two huge detec- If the unexpected bump sticks, with errors and contradicted his claims.
ticles and forces. when there is a chance of 1 in tors and compared against a it could mean the discovery of a Haley staged a dignified retreat. “I was just trying to give
Is this a discovery? We’re 3.5 million that it is merely predicted curve calculated ac- new particle—and a future visit my people a myth to live by,” he took to saying. He could
not sure. Einstein once said, coincidental. In other words, a cording to scientists’ current to Stockholm for a lucky few. Or have avoided all the grief if he and his publishers had sim-
“God does not play dice,” to discovery requires a certainty understanding. What we have not. For the moment, physicists ply labeled the book what it was—a historical novel valid in
express his intuitive dislike of of 99.99997%. now is an unexpected bump, are condemned to sit at the its essential narrative but informed by the imagination. But
the fundamental role of chance Why is the bar so high? Be- where the data jumps off the table of the Great Gambler. then, of course, “Roots” would never have achieved the
in quantum physics. But parti- cause of the “look-elsewhere ef- curve. But given the amount of mythic stature it still enjoys today.
cle accelerators are the casinos fect.” For instance, if you walk data being crunched, there are Mr. Dijkgraaf is the director
of science, and particle physi- into a restaurant and suddenly bound to be statistical anoma- of the Institute for Advanced Mr. Kosner is the former editor of Newsweek, New York,
cists, like gamblers, live in a recognize an old friend eating lies, somewhere, sometime. Study in Princeton, N.J. Esquire and the New York Daily News.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A12 | Monday, December 28, 2015 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
The Internet Tax Hostage Minimum Wages and the Total U.S. Economy
R
ecently we told you that Congress was online that did not exist off-line. It is a simple It is fascinating that an economics income scale) is neither the only nor
finally preparing to make permanent and effective policy that is consistent with the professor like David Neumark would probably ideal equilibrium. One can
analyze an economic policy from a imagine higher minimum wages low-
the Internet Tax Freedom Act and its letter and spirit of the Commerce Clause. narrow perspective and not consider ering the number of people drawing
ban on email and Internet ac- Anderson was one of many broad, long-term impacts (“The Evi- supplementary income from federal
cess taxes. It seems we mis- Alexander intervenes tax collectors who warned at dence Is Piling Up That Higher Mini- programs (Medicaid, disability, hous-
judged the tenacity of the In- to stop a Senate vote the time that the law would mum Wages Kill Jobs,” op-ed, Dec. ing, food and health-insurance subsi-
ternet taxers in the Senate. devastate state and local gov- 16). He reports that a 10% increase in dies), thus lowering government ex-
Sen. Lamar Alexander (R., on a permanent ban. ernment revenues. State and the minimum wage is expected to re- penditures, and lowering the
Tenn.) is leading the Senate local revenues have since sult in a 1% to 2% drop in employment justification for high marginal taxes.
dead-enders who are once surged more than 25%, ad- of low-skilled workers earning the Lower marginal taxes in turn help ex-
again holding hostage the popular ban on Inter- justed for inflation. One of the reasons that minimum wage. Assuming that his pand the economy, increase GDP, wage
net-only taxes. The House has passed a perma- state and local governments are awash in reve- worst case scenario is this 2% loss of growth and offset many, if not all, of
jobs in this low-wage group, let’s con- the jobs lost to higher minimum
nent ban several times, most recently as part nues—roughly $2.3 trillion per year—is that
sider the immediate effects. Out of wages.
of a larger customs bill. But Mr. Alexander and they disproportionately plunder communica- 100 workers two would lose their jobs A higher minimum wage and lower
friends are blocking Senate action until Con- tions services. as a layoff and be eligible for unem- marginal income tax in conjunction is
gress also votes on a more controversial mea- Last month the Tax Foundation noted that ployment compensation. The other 98 a policy which might do just that.
sure to give state and local governments more this year‘s increases “in federal, state, and local of these 100 workers would get raises ERIC HAGEMANN
authority to force out-of-state merchants to col- fees drove the national average wireless tax and of 10%. The net increase in wages for Los Angeles
lect online sales taxes. fee burden to its highest level ever—nearly 18 the entire group will be 7.8%, without
Sen. Alexander tells us that his opposition percent of the average U.S. wireless customer’s including the unemployment compen- After reading Mr. Neumark’s piece
to the Internet Tax Freedom Act is a “simple bill.” The foundation added that this is “almost sation for those laid off. Surely Mr. about the job-killing effects of mini-
matter of federalism,” and that it’s “none of two and one half times higher than the general Neumark would agree that a policy mum-wage hikes, I was left with the
Washington’s business” whether states and lo- sales tax rate imposed on most other taxable change causing a wage increase over feeling that if the same standards
7.8% for a significant group would be were applied to economics as to cli-
calities want to apply new taxes online. The goods and services.” Wireline phone service is
positive for society and a significant mate change, the science would be
Senator is mis-defining federalism to justify similarly taxed. economic stimulus for the geographic settled.
more taxing. Many state and local telecom taxes would be area affected. Whether new jobs are ROBERT WILSON
The Internet is the quintessential instrument applied to Internet access without the federal created by this amount of economic Ayer, Mass.
of interstate commerce, and under the U.S. Con- ban. Yet Mr. Alexander, who has fought for over stimulus is probably one of the rea-
stitution it is Washington’s business whether a decade to increase taxes on the Internet, sons why economic research has dif- The difficulty in sorting out mini-
state and local governments impair such com- claims to be unaware that communications are ferent outcomes related to increases mum-wage-raise results may stem
merce. One of the reasons the Founders aban- taxed more heavily than other goods and ser- in the minimum wage. from labor as investment rather than
doned the Articles of Confederation in favor of vices. He also says he doesn’t know if states WILLIAM PEASEconsumption. Certainly one consumes
the Constitution was to prevent local jurisdic- would reduce other taxes if they were given Columbus, Ohio less as costs rise. But maybe the labor
tions from placing unbearable tax and regula- more power to tax the Internet and that he price imbalance is settled in a two-
Mr. Neumark’s recap of economic step process. First, the owner at-
tory burdens on commerce crossing their bor- would not urge his state of Tennessee to make research that reconfirms the deleteri- tempts to justify the higher wage by
ders. such offsetting cuts. ous effect of minimum-wage hikes on reorganizing the work environment to
“An unrestrained intercourse between the Sen. Alexander also says the ban on taxing jobs was welcome, but do we seri- make employees more productive.
States themselves will advance the trade of email and Internet access is a special-interest ously have to keep convincing the de- Then the owner realizes he or she
each by an interchange of their respective pro- benefit akin to the “wind production tax credit.” niers of basic economic principles needs fewer of the now more produc-
ductions,” wrote Alexander Hamilton in Feder- Some special interest. Internet users make up that raising the cost of anything (that tive employees.
alist 11. “The veins of commerce in every part 85% of the U.S. population, and since when is is not addictive or critical for sur- One need only contrast the lower-
will be replenished, and will acquire additional the failure to tax something the same as an af- vival) reduces demand for that good tech McDonald’s I worked in 40 years
motion and vigor from a free circulation of the firmative tax subsidy? By that logic, every time or service? Do we really not have ago with many more employees and a
commodities of every part.” Uncle Sam fails to tax something it is a special- enough common sense, logic, elemen- far simpler menu to see the relentless
tary understanding of human behavior employment decline in a minimum-
Following Hamilton, Congress first passed interest giveaway.
and evidence to declare that an in- wage-forced, more productive work
the Internet Tax Freedom Act in 1998 because If Mr. Alexander and his chief running mates, verse cost-demand (or price-demand) environment.
America’s 9,600 taxing jurisdictions pose a Illinois Democrat Dick Durbin and Nevada’s relationship is settled economics? MARK MAISONNEUVE
mortal threat to this engine of innovation. At Harry Reid, want to fight for a separate vote on TED PETERSON Berkley, Mich.
a House hearing in 1997, Wade Anderson, an of- whether states can tax out of state online mer- Richmond, Va.
ficial with the Texas Comptroller of Public Ac- chants, go right ahead. They can win or lose on Greece has the highest minimum
counts, revealed the state’s longstanding inten- the merits, but they’re holding this other tax Our current equilibrium (high mar- wage in the world—enough said.
tion to tax email and he claimed that any online ban hostage because they fear that they can ginal taxes to support a welfare state ANDREW BLEKE
transaction routed through a server in Texas only win if they trade their sales tax increase for many people at the bottom of the Atlanta
would be taxable there. bill for the Internet tax ban. This is why Ameri-
Given the packet-switched architecture of cans hate Washington.
the Internet, and the fact that any communica- The taxers shouldn’t hold hostage the Inter-
tion can bounce through a multitude of states net Tax Freedom Act that has broad bipartisan How to Chill Government Corrupt Influences
and localities, Congress decided to ban taxes on support and that represents a sensible effort to Kimberley Strassel’s Dec. 18 Poto- state agencies. A similar process for
email and Internet access as well as multiple act exactly as the Founders intended to protect mac Watch “The Obama Secrets Re- instant messaging and government
and discriminatory taxes. In other words, state interstate commerce from the predations of pa- gime” points out the merit of Con- phone metadata should also be pur-
and local politicians could not place burdens rochial politicians. gress banning private email use for sued. This would be a costly endeavor,
the IRS, but laments that Congress but I’d happily pay more taxes for this
did not go far enough by banning all program.
Your Temperature May Vary federal employees from using private
email for business purposes. I argue
Ms. Strassel rightly focuses on
classified information security but
I
t wouldn’t be a family holiday conversation caused multiple deaths. Meanwhile, the U.S. that Ms. Strassel’s proposal also falls misses a bigger issue. All politicians
short. I would love to see Congress re- say things to get elected. Unfortu-
without some chatter about the weather. eastern seaboard enjoys record warmth. That quire that all government entities that nately, they often act contrary to
A year ago it was the cold in the American means a potentially bad winter for New England receive federal funding be prohibited their constituents’ desires once in of-
Midwest and Northeast ski resorts, even as cities like from using private email for any busi- fice. They pursue cronyism, graft,
brought by frequent visits A strong El Niño Boston save money on snow ness done in an official capacity. Con- special favors, regulatory overreach,
from the “polar vortex,” and explains the unusual removal. The rains are espe- gress should require that all govern- political oppression and various other
this year it’s the anomalous cially good news for parched ment business emails should emanate forms of corruption. Imagine the chill
variability caused by an espe- winter weather. California as the West and the from or be sent to a “.gov” domain on external corruptive influences if
cially strong Pacific El Niño. Sierra Nevada mountains are email address. It should back up the every communication with the gov-
That’s the term for unusu- seeing snowfalls that will help requirement with civil and criminal ernment was archived. Secrecy allows
ally warm temperatures in the tropical regions counter the multiyear drought. penalties against offenders. bad behavior. The government knows
The government should then retain this, which is why encryption debates
of the Pacific ocean related to trade winds. An Everything in America is politicized these
.gov communications in a central re- are raging in Silicon Valley and why
El Niño occurs every few years, with the 1997 days, including the weather. The El Niño effect pository for legal discovery when metadata collection was pursued. It
version the most powerful on record. is cited as proof of global warming that requires needed. With centralized archiving, would be a rare action of government
The result is the strange weather you’ve handing over more economic control to govern- access roles and retention schedules accountability if every message to and
been reading about—or living through. Torren- ments. The more humbling lesson is that could be standardized for uniform from a congressional .gov address
tial rains have hit South America and in the past weather varies in ways human beings still can’t availability in legal proceedings. Cen- was available for Freedom of Informa-
several days, tornadoes attributable in part to predict, much less control. This El Niño, both tralized record retention would also tion inquiry.
El Niño have ravaged the Southern U.S. and its benefits and destruction, shall also pass. keep the cost burden out of local and I would expect a higher level of ac-
countability and civility in all govern-
mental affairs from local to federal
Cuomo’s Education Retreat Time to Let the ‘Small Fry’
Become the ‘Smart Money’
levels. This leadership needs to start
with a courageous Congress that is
T
willing to bind itself now and in the
he latest federal education reform sends tests. Some teachers urged parents to opt out Responding to my Dec. 14 letter future and bring all government enti-
more power back to states and local dis- of state tests to undermine the new ratings. One (“Help the Small and Nimble Get a ties to a new standard of transparency.
tricts, but that poses risks to the extent in five students skipped testing this April. State Start Going Public”), Sheldon Saitlin JEFF MILANOWSKI
they are captured by teachers education officials claimed claims “small-fry” investors would Oakland, Calif.
unions. Witness New York, A case study in how civil disobedience was highest only ever be offered the opportunity
where Governor Andrew unions undermine among upper-crust communi- of a lifetime if “the smart money is
Cuomo is retreating on ties and low-scoring kids—i.e., sitting it out” (“There’s a Reason EPA Private Emails Violate
teacher accountability. teacher accountability. affluent parents disillusioned Smart Money Takes a Pass,” Dec. 19).
Advisory Committee Act
In a bid to snag Race to the by the grade deflation. Yet there is no reason why, under lib-
Top funds in 2010, New York Mr. Cuomo sought to temper eralized equity crowdfunding rules, In regard to your Dec. 19 editorial
growing firms could not raise money “The EPA’s Secret Staff”: The intimate
adopted Common Core standards and required the testing tantrum by anointing a 15-member from both ordinary and wealthy “so- involvement of outside environmental-
that 20% of teacher evaluations be based on task force to review Common Core standards and phisticated” investors, just as Star- ists in developing the details of the
student scores on state tests and another 20% tests. The council issued a 51-page report recom- bucks and Home Depot did before EPA’s Clean Power Plan through pri-
on local objective measures of student learning. mending more teacher, parent and student input Sarbanes-Oxley made going public so vate emails to and from Michael Goo
Student scores on the tougher new tests in devising new tests and standards. In practice, expensive. would seem to violate both the spirit
plunged. Proficiency dropped to 31% in reading this will likely mean dumbing-down tests to en- Having the general public as a and the letter of the Federal Advisory
and math in 2013 from 69% and 82%, respec- sure that more students pass. source of funding can help entrepre- Committee Act, which requires that all
tively, in 2009. The Governor’s school counselors also pro- neurial firms negotiate better deals “meetings” with nongovernmental ad-
Yet even as student measures plunged, local posed a moratorium on test-based teacher eval- with venture capitalists and potential visers be open to the public. At the
school districts in cahoots with the unions uations through the 2018-19 school year, which acquirers. This is what happened same time it should also be noted that
when the technology startup Oculus the Dick Cheney energy task force un-
rigged evaluations to ensure that nearly all conveniently goes past his potential re-election
Rift proved its worth by raising $2 der the George Bush clearly violated
teachers got good marks. One tactic: Unions col- campaign. So teachers will get a four-year for- million in a crowdfunding campaign. the same law by developing detailed
lectively bargained for easier local tests to be bearance from accountability, which could in Seeing the firm’s popularity, Face- policy recommendations in extensive
part of their evaluations. Lo, 96% of teachers time become de facto permanent—like Mr. book bought it for $2 billion in 2014. private, basically “secret,” meetings
statewide were rated “effective” or “highly effec- Cuomo’s “temporary” ban on shale oil drilling But given the morass of regula- with a long list of oil-industry repre-
tive” last year while only about a third of stu- and millionaire’s tax. tions holding back equity crowdfund- sentatives, the contents of which re-
dents passed state reading and math tests. Mr. Cuomo started as a promising voice of ing, all Oculus funders got out of the mained unavailable to the public.
Mr. Cuomo responded in January with a call centrist reform in a state that desperately deal were T-shirts, posters and fancy JOHN STERLING
for more stringent evaluations. And this year’s needs it, but in his second term he has moved headsets. It’s time to let the “small Asheville, N.C.
budget agreement required that state test left with his $15 minimum wage and fracking fries” become the “smart money” by
scores account for half of teacher evaluations ban. His about-face on accountability doesn’t updating the onerous, unnecessary Letters intended for publication should
rules that hinder their ability to pros- be addressed to: The Editor, 1211 Avenue
and linked tenure to the new ratings. Tenured bode well for the rest of his education agenda,
per through startup investing. It’s a of the Americas, New York, NY 10036,
teachers with at least two consecutive “ineffec- and it shows why teachers union chief Randi matter of simple egalitarian justice. or emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
tive” ratings could be fired. Weingarten (a task force member) went along JOHN BERLAU include your city and state. All letters
The unions took revenge by fueling a public with the federal devolution of testing power to Senior Fellow are subject to editing, and unpublished
outcry against over testing, though their collec- the states. She thinks she can own many of Competitive Enterprise Institute letters can be neither acknowledged nor
returned.
tive-bargaining had encouraged more (if easier) them politically. Washington
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | A13
OPINION
L
ong the target of progres-
sives looking to increase
profit per employee by 38%.
That makes those jobs less valu-
able to the company and creates an
We’re Cutting
the minimum wage, Wal-
Mart announced earlier
this year that the company
incentive to eliminate positions. Not
surprisingly, the Congressional Bud-
get Office found that increasing the
Carbon Here
would increase its base wage to $9 minimum wage to $9 an hour would
an hour in April and $10 an hour by cost the economy about 100,000 jobs. By Allysia Finley
E
February 2016. How’s that working At $10.10 an hour, these employee
out so far? would make $4,446 more a year, arlier this month California
In November Wal-Mart announced decreasing profit per employee by Gov. Jerry Brown promised to
a 10% decline in earnings per share, 71%. At this level, the CBO found that cut greenhouse-gas emissions to
for the fiscal year’s third quarter. the economy would lose about 80% below 1990 levels by 2050. This
Higher wages were “by far the big- 500,000 jobs. goal will be nearly impossible to
gest driver of the decline in consoli- At $12 an hour, the employee achieve with California’s current popu-
dated operating income,” as CEO would make $7,410 more a year lation, projected to grow by 30% over
Doug McMillon put it in the earnings resulting in a loss per employee of the next 35 years to 50 million. So
conference call. In October Wal-Mart $1,110, eliminating the employee’s ecovangelists are trying to block any
predicted a 6%-12% decline next year entire contribution to the company’s economic development that could help
GETTY IMAGES
in earnings per share—despite the success. At $15 an hour, the employee support more people.
company’s plan to reduce the number would make $14,290 more a year, The Newhall Ranch project in north
of shares in a $20 billion buyback. resulting in a loss per employee of Los Angeles County, which aims to
Wal-Mart’s hourly wage increases $7,990. provide housing for nearly 60,000
accounted for “approximately 75%” There is no CBO estimate for the people as well as tens of thousands of
of the reduction, according to CFO day in 25 years when the company Fortune 500 as a proxy for the retail job losses if the government makes jobs at stores, schools and recreational
Charles Holley. predicted the earnings-per-share dip. industry. That is more than 20 compa- entry-level labor so expensive that centers, is the most recent target.
The stock is still more than 10% down. nies, including Wal-Mart, Target, companies actually lose money by
So at what point do minimum- McDonald’s, Starbucks and Walgreens. having such employees on staff. The
The per-employee profit at wage increases force employers to The total adds up to $36.4 billion potential harm seems self-evident. The Newhall Ranch project
Apple is $407,000. For big eliminate jobs and reduce growth, in annual profit (about $3 billion less Both these averages and Wal-
hurting the working-class Americans profit than Apple alone), 5.8 million Mart’s experience indicate that retail near Los Angeles is green
retailers, it’s $6,300. No the policy intended to help? employees (about 60 times as many businesses would be unable to absorb but not green enough for
wonder Wal-Mart feels the The answer varies by company and as Apple employs) and annual profit such labor-cost increases absent dra-
industry. For example, Apple is the per employee of $6,300 (1.5% of matic price increases or severe cost- the antidevelopment crowd.
pinch of its pay increase. most profitable company on the For- Apple’s profit per employee). cutting. With low inflation and the
tune 500. With $39.5 billion in annual How would a minimum-wage in- economy growing at an annual aver-
profit and about 97,000 employees, crease affect the retail industry? age of about 2.2%, dramatic price With energy-efficient lighting, com-
Plummeting earnings wasn’t the Apple’s annual profit per employee is According to the Bureau of Labor increases are unrealistic. Most busi- prehensive recycling, bike trails and
plan, and presumably management $407,000. This is the amount Apple’s Statistics, the average hours worked nesses would turn to slashing costs, drought-tolerant landscaping, the
took other steps it assumed would employees contribute to the success a week in the retail trade sector is and hardest hit would be the most 12,000-acre planned community would
prevent the decline. The lesson is of the business, on average. 31.5. Assuming an employee earns vulnerable among the working class. be a green Levittown. But the pro-
that America’s largest private em- Apple could absorb a minimum- the current minimum wage of $7.25 With the percentage of people posed development—one of the
ployer—known for its ability to con- wage increase easily. Its employees an hour and works only 30 hours a working or actively looking for work biggest in state history—has been
trol costs and operate efficiently— are typically highly compensated and week, an increase to $9 an hour hovering at lows not observed since under siege from its inception in 1994
lost profit because the company thus not many workers would be would result in an annual wage the 1970s, does it make sense to use by environmental activists.
couldn’t offset a wage increase to $9 affected. Second, each employee pro- increase of $2,730. the force of law to drive up the cost The California Supreme Court
an hour by increasing prices, auto- duces a hefty amount of profit for the Generally, highly compensated em- of employing working-class Ameri- recently rejected Newhall’s final envi-
mating tasks or scheduling employ- company, on average. ployees contribute more to a com- cans? Instead of creating a living ronmental-impact report. The court’s
ees more efficiently. The situation is far different for pany’s success than minimum-wage wage, the fight for dramatic mini- legally nebulous decision could delay
Unlike the government, Wal-Mart America’s retail businesses, where a employees, who are often less experi- mum-wage increases could leave construction for years—and cast a
can’t survive if it isn’t profitable. minimum-wage increase would be enced and entry-level workers. But millions with no wage at all. pall over future development.
When profits decline, companies must most deleterious. Combine every even assuming that minimum-wage Newhall’s report, which the Depart-
react—or shareholders will. Wal- retailer, restaurant, supermarket and employees contribute $6,300 on aver- Mr. Puzder is the chief executive ment of Fish and Wildlife approved in
Mart’s stock suffered its worst single retail pharmacy company in the age to a business’ success, an increase officer of CKE Restaurants. 2010, was more than 5,000 pages, with
hundreds of pages dedicated to analyz-
ing its greenhouse-gas emissions as
Fishermen on the Hook to Pay for Their Own Regulators required by recent regulatory amend-
ments to the 1970 California Environ-
mental Quality Act (CEQA). The state
By David Goethel back, and recording our expenses home around $300 per trip. That’s stated NOAA “has chosen an inter- wildlife agency projected that Newhall
F
down to how much we spent on not a lot, but it’s enough to make a pretation of the FY15 report lan- would reduce greenhouse-gas emis-
ew professions are as signifi- lunch. living. Adding $710 in new costs guage that is inconsistent with con- sions 31% by 2020 relative to the
cant to New England’s econ- The program is unnecessary given means I’ll lose money on every mon- gressional intent, and consequently, California Air Resources Board’s 2008
omy and history as fishing. Yet the heavy regulation that exists. And itored trip. that very high [at-sea monitoring] “baseline” model. This was a larger
the ranks of groundfish fishermen last month NOAA informed us that, The same will be true across the costs will soon unreasonably burden reduction than the 29% cut that the
have dwindled so much that we’re beginning on Jan. 1, groundfish fish- entire industry, which NOAA itself already struggling members of the board has mandated statewide.
now an endangered species. The ermen must pay an estimated $710 a acknowledges. A June 2015 report by fishing industry in the Northeast.” The report also included measures
causes are many—but the one now day when a monitor is present. That the agency’s Northeast Fisheries The courts are the industry’s last for the developer to restore habitat for
threatening us with extinction is the fee covers the monitors’ training, Science Center estimated a $710 a chance. This month, along with the species potentially affected by the
federal government. Along with one day at-sea monitoring fee would Northeast Fishery Sector 13, I filed a development, such as the coast horned
other plaintiff, I’m suing the Na- render 59% of New England ground- federal lawsuit—Goethel v. Pritzker. lizard and Townsend’s big-eared bat.
tional Oceanic and Atmospheric My daily catch brings about fishermen unprofitable. Our claim: Neither NOAA nor its sub- U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service officials
Administration to stop it from sink- The puzzling question is why sidiary, the National Marine Fisheries would move any unarmored three-
ing New England’s groundfish indus- $1,500. I take home $300. groundfishermen must cover these Service, has the authority to charge spine stickleback—a tiny fish pro-
try for good. The feds want me to pay costs. Congress has appropriated groundfishermen for at-sea monitors. tected under state and federal law—
Groundfish include cod, haddock funds for the at-sea monitoring pro- Even if Congress had granted this out of harm’s way.
and 11 other common bottom-dwell- $710 for ‘monitored’ trips. gram, and as a Senate Appropriations authority, they would have had to fol- No matter. The Center for Biologi-
ing species. After years of dwindling Committee report noted in June, low the process called for in the cal Diversity, along with other local
stocks, in 2012 the U.S. Department “Since fiscal year 2012, the Commit- Administrative Procedure Act and green groups, sued to block the
of Commerce issued a disaster decla- mileage to and from the fisherman’s tee has directed [the National Marine other statutes—which they haven’t. development, arguing that the state
ration for groundfish territory off boat, supervisor salaries, data Fisheries Service] to provide ade- Groundfish fishing has been syn- wildlife agency’s methodology for
the coast of New England. Over the processes and all other administra- quate funding for at-sea and dock- onymous with the region for 400 analyzing its greenhouse-gas emis-
past four years my cod quota—my tive costs. It also covers a set profit side monitoring for all fisheries with years, yet NOAA will force the indus- sions was flawed. They also con-
bread and butter—plummeted from margin for the three companies pro- approved catch share management try to go belly up. Surely we tended that the stickleback conserva-
60,000 pounds to 3,700 this year. I viding the monitors. What those plans,” i.e., the sector system in shouldn’t be relegated to the history tion plan violated California’s
caught my limit in four days in June. margins are, neither NOAA nor the which I fish. NOAA instead spent books by this overzealous federal prohibition against “taking” and “live
Shifting ocean patterns have cer- companies have disclosed. this money on other projects. agency. transplanting” legally protected spe-
tainly contributed to our struggles, Groundfishermen are not big, A bipartisan group of senators, cies—although state law allows “regu-
but regulators are a separate anchor commercial operations that can including Susan Collins (R., Maine) Mr. Goethel is a groundfish fisher- lated taking” of threatened species.
altogether. Groundfish fishermen are absorb these costs. On a typical day and Elizabeth Warren (D., Mass.), man out of Hampton, N.H. He is California’s Second District Court
organized into a patchwork of 15 I catch about $1,500 worth of fish. highlighted this troubling fact in represented by Cause of Action, a of Appeal rejected all of the lawsuit’s
sectors, i.e., government-designed After covering all of my boat’s April. Writing to the assistant ad- government watchdog group based dubious claims, but a 5-2 majority of
cooperative organizations. We oper- expenses and paying my crew, I take ministrator of NOAA Fisheries, they in Washington, D.C. the state Supreme Court sided with
ate under at least seven overlapping the obstructionists. The majority nit-
federal and state entities and pro- picked the report’s methodology, con-
grams, all of which have their own
regulatory nets.
As if warrantless searches from
Subsidiaries in Europe? Playbook, Please jecturing that perhaps a greater than
31% reduction in greenhouse emis-
sions from new projects might be
the Coast Guard, catch inspections By Douglas Holtz-Eakin is a crucial internal-strategy docu- strategy behind a new product needed to meet the 29% statewide
S
upon returning to port, and satellite ment, laying out how the team in- launch or strategic acquisition? The mandate because it could be harder
tracking weren’t enough, at-sea uppose a group of friends agree tends to compete. master file would be a year-by-year to achieve efficiencies from older,
monitors also accompany us on to organize a new football Yet this is what the Organization guide to these company plans. already-constructed developments.
roughly one in five randomly selected league. It would make sense for for Economic Cooperation and Devel- The BEPS agreement is a done There was no scientific evidence in
fishing trips. They are hired by three them to write rules governing the opment wants: to force successful deal. By the end of 2017, U.S. firms the court record to support this
for-profit companies—one of which gameplay, the finances of the league, global companies, including U.S. will have to start handing over their hypothesis, which was floated by the
is led by the former NOAA official and the process for drafting and multinationals, to hand over their playbooks to the governments of as state attorney general’s office.
who designed the monitor program. trading players. “playbooks” to foreign governments. many as 34 OECD member countries, The court suggested ways to revise
They follow us around and take notes But what about a rule that re- The OECD will get away with it unless depending on how many implement the report but emphasized that it can-
on everything we do. That includes quires each team to hand over its Congress or the White House acts to BEPS rules. So far six—including not “guarantee that any of these ap-
measuring our nets, measuring fish playbook to the league? No team protect U.S. companies’ secrets. Australia, Spain and Portugal—have proaches will be found to satisfy
we bring in and those we throw would want to do that. The playbook This alarming situation is the re- initiated or enacted the rule requir- CEQA’s demands as to any particular
sult of the OECD’s fight against Base ing submission of master files. project.” In dissent, Justice Ming Chin
Erosion and Profit Shifting—the term Nothing could be more valuable to said that the majority “is permitting
it uses for when companies shift a U.S. company’s competitors than the project opponents to relitigate
PUBLISHED SINCE 1889 BY DOW JONES & COMPANY profits and assets world-wide to the information in its master file. But some already decided issues.” He
minimize their tax bills. There is a the master file isn’t subject to any noted that “delay the project long
Rupert Murdoch Robert Thomson
Executive Chairman, News Corp Chief Executive Officer, News Corp complex international BEPS agree- confidentiality safeguards beyond enough and it has to meet new targets,
Gerard Baker William Lewis ment, including rules for sharing and those a foreign government decides and then perhaps new targets after
Editor in Chief Chief Executive Officer and Publisher disclosing a wide range of corporate to provide. A foreign government that. All this is a recipe for paralysis.”
Rebecca Blumenstein; Matthew J. Murray, Deputy DOW JONES MANAGEMENT:
information, ostensibly to curb inap- could hand the information over to Green activists have long sought to
Editors in Chief; Almar Latour, Executive Editor Anna Sedgley, Chief Financial Officer; propriate tax avoidance. any competitor or use it to develop a block new development—and Califor-
DEPUTY MANAGING EDITORS: Mark H. Jackson, General Counsel; For instance, beginning next year new one. And the file could be nia housing costs are the highest in
Ashley Huston, Chief Communications Officer;
Michael W. Miller, Senior Deputy; Thorold Barker,
Paul Meller, Chief Technology Officer;
the BEPS rules require U.S.-head- hacked. the country due to the mismatch
Europe; Paul Beckett, Asia; Christine Glancey,
News Operations and Talent; Neal Lipschutz, Mark Musgrave, Chief Human Resources Officer; quartered companies that have for- Before the U.S. has anything more between supply and demand. The
Ethics and Standards; Alex Martin, Enterprise; Katie Vanneck-Smith, Chief Customer Officer eign subsidiaries to maintain a “mas- to do with the BEPS project, policy median house price in the Los Angeles
Ann Podd, Global Production; Andrew Regal, OPERATING EXECUTIVES: ter file” that provides an overview of makers in this country need to make metro area is $507,000 compared with
Global Head of Video; Gabriella Stern, Strategic Edwin A. Finn, Jr., Barron’s; Edward Roussel,
Initiatives; Jessica Yu, Global Head of Visuals
the company’s business, the global sure that American companies are $210,000 in Dallas, $290,000 in Miami,
Innovation; Ingrid Verschuren, Data Strategy;
Paul A. Gigot, Editor of the Editorial Page; Suzi Watford, Marketing; allocation of its activities and in- not forced to give up sensitive and $388,000 in Washington, D.C., and
Daniel Henninger, Deputy Editor, Editorial Page Professional Information Business, Sales: come, and its overall transfer pricing proprietary business information to $412,000 in New York.
Nancy McNeill, Global; William Ashworth, policies—a complete picture of its other countries—and that any infor- Housing costs have helped to drive
WALL STREET JOURNAL MANAGEMENT:
Americas; Florence Lefevre, Europe; Tomasz
Trevor Fellows, Head of Global Sales;
Rustowski, Asia global operations, profit drivers, sup- mation they do provide is protected middle- and low-income residents out
Chris Collins, Advertising; Christina Komporlis,
Circulation; Jason P. Conti, Legal;
ply chains, intangibles and financing. by strict confidentiality safeguards. of the state. Newhall Ranch appears to
Joseph B. Vincent, Operations; Larry L. Hoffman, In effect, the master file is a U.S. be one more human sacrifice on the al-
Production multinational’s playbook. Research Mr. Holtz-Eakin is president of the tar of the greater environmental good.
EDITORIAL AND CORPORATE HEADQUARTERS: plans to develop new intangible American Action Forum and a former
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, N.Y., 10036 assets? The design and development director (2003-05), of the Congres- Ms. Finley is an editorial writer for
Telephone 1-800-DOWJONES
of advanced products? The financing sional Budget Office. the Journal.
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A14 | Monday, December 28, 2015 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
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CITY NEWS A16, A17 | PROPERTY A18 | ARTS & ENTERTAINMENT A19 | SPORTS A20
Jets stay in playoff hunt with big win SPORTS | A20 CITY NEWS | A17
WSJ.com/NY * * * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | A15
Sewage Overflow
Pollutes Hudson,
Vexes New Jersey
BY KATE KING permits require system opera-
tors to develop long-term plans
The Hudson River is much to reduce overflows, a years-
cleaner than it used to be, but long task that has already been
antiquated infrastructure still completed for 790 of the 859
contaminates the waters be- permits. New Jersey’s sewer-
tween New York City and New system operators are just now
Jersey with untreated sewage starting work on long-term
and storm water during heavy mitigation plans.
rainfalls. This past summer the state
A kayak trip can be a hard Department of Environmental
sell for Noelle Thurlow, who Protection began issuing per-
runs a small water-sports busi- mits that require treatment
ness off Pier 13 in Hoboken. plants to reduce overflows.
PETER J. SMITH FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
23 billion
helps measure pollution levels
as a volunteer for the environ-
mental nonprofit The River
Project. Estimated gallons of untreated
Two homeless New Yorkers camp outside Penn Station. The city is increasing its efforts to move the chronically homeless into shelters. After rainstorms, the water wastewater released annually
off Pier 13 tests positive for el- from 213 places in New Jersey.
43°
TODAY’S
Weather
Real Feel
Big Sound Bumps Up
9 a.m. 26°
HIGH
5 p.m. 30°
Record High
New Year’s Eve Bash
65° (2008) BY ANDY BATTAGLIA speaker cabinets looming at
the edge of the bumper-car
SOME SUN, Sunrise/Sunset Nicky Siano knows a good track at Eldorado Auto Sk-
COLDER 7:19 a.m./4:36 p.m. throbbing bass tone when he ooter, home to laser-lit bum-
hears one. The DJ and party per cars and an arcade filled
Tuesday’s High impresario has been behind with Skee-Ball and assorted
the controls of some serious carnival games.
48° sound systems, running the Built on location after the
CLAUDIO PAPAPIETRO FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
CITY NEWS
NEW JERSEY
Greater Two Are Shot Dead
Fog Clips New York City Skyline
New York At Party in Paterson
Two men were shot and
Watch killed early Sunday at a party in
a warehouse in Paterson, au-
thorities said.
Police said they responded to
a report of shots fired at a ware-
house on First Avenue and found
NEW YORK two dead—Fernando Irby, 24
years old, and Kashif Belfield, 26.
Artist Ellsworth Kelly No arrests have been made,
Dies at Home at 92 police said.
The American artist Ellsworth —Derek Kravitz
Kelly, whose exuberantly colored
abstractions hang in major muse- BROOKLYN
SEWERS
Minimalist Design - No Red Leica Logo
New Leatherette Body Covering
Protection, said New Jersey
has eliminated 68 overflow dis-
steps on their own. The North
Hudson Sewerage Authority,
Water Woes
charge locations in the past 20 which treats the wastewater New Jersey
$6,996 (Lens not included) years and is aggressively ad- for Hoboken, Weehawken,
PRICE REFLECTS 12% INSTANT SAVINGS Continued from page A15 dressing the remaining 213. West New York and Union City, 21 municipalities with
sewage authority is building a Every long-term plan will this year finished replacing a combined sewer systems
4-mile-long, 18-foot-wide un- cost millions of dollars to com- stretch of sewers on a street in
LEICA BINOCULARS ON SALE derground tunnel as part of a plete, depending on the size of Hoboken that dated to the Civil 213 combined sewer
$2 billion effort to reduce the system, and the state has War era and were made of overflow discharge points
sewer overflows, state environ- earmarked $15 million in low- wood, said Executive Director across the state
Willoughby’s Is The Place To Buy Your Leica mental officials said. The tunnel interest loan assistance, Mr. Richard Wolff.
will store more than 40 million Kennedy said. Once the plans The sewer authority has 23 billion gallons of
gallons of additional wastewa- started investing in overflow untreated sewer water
ter during heavy rain, greatly mitigation projects such as a 2- released per year
reducing overflow into the Con-
‘Anytime there’s a mile sewer separation in Hobo-
www.willoughbys.com necticut River, officials said. heavy rainfall, the ken, Mr. Wolff said. The agency U.S.
NYC’s Oldest Photographic Emporium -Established 1898 For some environmentalists, has boosted its typical funding
298 Fifth Avenue, NY, NY 10001 New Jersey’s efforts fall short.
water quality is for overflow reduction projects 772 municipalities with
OPEN 7 DAYS A WEEK
(corner of 5th Ave. & 31st St.) “It’s a plan to come up with a poor’ in the Hudson. from $20 million to $50 million combined sewer systems
212.564.1600 plan,” Jeff Tittel, director of in its five-year, $74 million cap-
NYC Department of Consumer Affairs #0906861
New Jersey Sierra Club, said of ital budget, he said. 9,350 combined sewer
the state’s process. “It allows are complete, cities and towns Hoboken Mayor Dawn Zim- overflow discharge points
these communities to keep al- will start building the infra- mer said her administration is across the country
CHARLES P. ROGERS BEDS DIRECT lowing raw sewage to flow into
our waterways for at least an-
structure to reduce sewer
overflows, he said.
building rain gardens, green
roofs and other projects that 850 billion gallons in
Year End Clearance on every bed & mattress. other five years, if not longer.” In anticipation of the new she hopes will keep storm wa- untreated sewer water
Daniel Kennedy, assistant state regulations, some New ter out of the sewer system released per year
IN-STORE & ONLINE - This week take an extra 10-20% off already
commissioner of the state De- Jersey cities, towns and sewer- and, in turn, keep raw sewage Source: U.S. and New Jersey environmental
reduced prices on every bed, every mattress, everything - PLUS - officials
partment of Environmental system operators have taken out of the Hudson River.
FREE DELIVERY on orders of $299 or more. Here are a few examples:
CITY NEWS
BY KATE KING divided than ever,” Mr. Tomp- police unit, called the Critical chael Bloomberg smack dab on Kirk said. “Our model at Alliance is joining with Twit-
kins said. “This choice rein- Response Command, and the lips. Global Citizen is not about ter for the first time to show-
The special guest at Thurs- forces the idea that we are all stepped-up police presence at This year’s New Year’s fes- charity, it’s not about giving. case tweets from New Year’s
day’s New Year’s Eve celebra- citizens of the world to- this year’s Macy’s Thanksgiv- tivities won’t be the first time It’s about getting people to Eve celebrations from around
tion in Times Square is hoping gether.” ing Day Parade and the Dec. 2 Mr. Evans of Global Citizen use their voice to affect the world, Mr. Tompkins said.
to ring in a new era of social On Sunday, workers on the tree-lighting ceremony at uses a city landmark as the change.” As the clock strikes midnight
and environmental activism at roof of One Times Square in- Rockefeller Center. backdrop for his international Mr. Evans, a native of Mel- in each time zone, celebratory
this year’s ball drop. stalled the final triangular The new counterterrorism activism. bourne, Australia, who now tweets with the hashtag
Hugh Evans, co-founder and panels on the New Year’s Eve unit, equipped with long-range Mr. Evans, 32 years old, lives on the Upper West Side, #NewYearsEve are scheduled
chief executive of the antipov- ball. weapons and heavy-duty vests, started Global Citizen in 2012 wasn’t available for comment to be broadcast on screens in
erty group Global Citizen, is Organizers said they are was first deployed, with 110 with a now-annual music festi- Sunday. Times Square, he said.
scheduled to join New York working with law-enforcement officers, in the days after 130 val in Central Park, which asks Michael Carey, executive di- The New Year’s Eve festivi-
City Mayor Bill de Blasio in authorities to ensure security people were killed on Nov. 13 concertgoers to perform anti- rector of the Mayor’s Office of ties are slated to feature musi-
pressing the Waterford crystal at this year’s event. No spe- in terrorist attacks in Paris. poverty activism, such as sign- Citywide Event Coordination cal performances by country
button that starts the count- cific threats against the city The unit, which is expected to ing online petitions or email- and Management, said city of- singer Carrie Underwood, pop
down to 2016, organizers said have been deemed credible, grow to about 560 officers, is ing elected officials, to get ficials have worked success- singers Daya and Demi Lovato,
this weekend. police said Sunday. expected to be in full force by admission tickets. fully with Global Citizen to or- Latin boy band CNCO and rap-
Tim Tompkins, president of The NYPD has increased pa- the New Year’s Eve celebra- Global Citizen plans to use ganize the annual Central Park per Wiz Khalifa. British singer
the Times Square Alliance, a trols and beefed up its coun- tions in Times Square. the Times Square stage to pro- concerts and thought the head Jessie J is to sing John Len-
nonprofit that helps produce terterrorism resources “out of Since the 1990s, special mote a set of goals advanced of the group was a good non’s “Imagine” just before
the New Year’s Eve festivities, an abundance of caution” in guests have been invited to by the United Nations that in- choice to be the guest of the ball drops.
said organizers chose Mr. Ev- recent weeks following terror- join the mayor as part of the clude eliminating poverty, re- honor at this year’s New The Times Square Alliance
ans because of his organiza- ists attacks in Paris in Novem- symbolic pressing of a button ducing inequality and address- Year’s Eve event. expects 750,000 to 1 million
tion’s “commitment to making ber and San Bernardino, Calif., to begin the ball’s descent. ing climate change, said “They reflect this mayor’s attendees Thursday. As of Sun-
the world a better place and earlier this month, said Ste- Previous guests have included Andrew Kirk, a spokesman for vision of income inequality,” day, the National Weather Ser-
their message of inclusion,” phen Davis, a department Bill and Hillary Clinton, Mu- Global Citizen. said Mr. Carey, referring to vice was forecasting a cloudy
“It’s particularly appropri- spokesman. hammad Ali and Lady Gaga. At “It’s an opportunity for Global Citizen and the mayor’s night with a low of 36 degrees.
ate because this is a year Officials have pointed to the the 2011-12 celebration, Lady people to remember that they effort to combat inequality. —Derek Kravitz
where the world has felt more role of a new counterterrorism Gaga kissed then-Mayor Mi- can do something in 2016,” Mr. This year, the Times Square contributed to this article.
YOU
Photography by Craig LaCourt
CAN MAKE A
DIFFERENCE TODAY!
With 39 community center locations across the Greater New York area,
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©2015 Dow Jones & Co. Inc. All rights reserved. 3DJ2757 SALVATIONARMYNY.ORG
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A18 | Monday, December 28, 2015 * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
PROPERTY MONDAY
Goldmans Put Aside Differences to Strengthen Business
In 2002, Lloyd Goldman
realized that friction be-
tween him and his two older
sisters was holding back
their family’s real-estate
business.
At the time, the company
had all the appearances of
success. It
DYNASTIES owned
PETER scores of
GRANT properties
and was de-
veloper
Larry Silverstein’s partner in
The 2015 ‘Radio City Christmas Spectacular’ will end its seven-week run next weekend. The big draw of the 90-minute show are
the Rockettes, which every year perform ‘Parade of the Wooden Soldiers,’ above, choreographed by the group’s founder, Russell Markert.
The Rockettes are famous for their synchronized high kicks. The dancers range in height from 5 feet 6 inches to 5 feet 10½ inches. The tap routine ‘Rag Dolls’ debuted in 1940 and returned in 2014.
The ‘Living Nativity’ number, with ‘Parade of the Wooden Soldiers,’ dates to the original 1933 show. Santa Claus, played by Charles Edward Hall, waits in the wings. His entrance is greeted with cheers.
on a white horse.
“He came in after we per-
formed and it blew everybody’s
mind,” Ms. Fleming said.
For those like Gordon Lee,
owner of the bumper-car ride
since taking it over from the
Fitlin family, the setting for the
New Year’s party will likely
channel some of the spirit of
such storied party nights of
yore.
“The Eldorado at one point,”
The bumper-car space and control booth at Brooklyn’s Eldorado he said, “was the disco palace
Auto Skooter, which will host a New Year’s Eve celebration. of Coney Island.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A20 | Monday, December 28, 2015 * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
SPORTS
Patriots Open a Playoff Door for Jets
Postseason hopes
alive and well after
New England botches
coin toss in overtime
BY STU WOO
winning five straight games Al Toon 1988 93 Belichick after the game: “I
against an escalating series of Laveranues Coles 2006 91 thought that was the best
enemies. On Sunday, it was Laveranues Coles 2002 89
thing to do.”
Belichick and quarterback Tom One possibility: If the Patri-
Keyshawn Johnson 1999 89
Brady. But next Sunday might ots had forced a three-and-
be the biggest of them all: Ryan, Richie Anderson 2000 88 out, they could have received a
now head coach of the 7-8 Buf- Al Toon 1986 85 punt near midfield that would
falo Bills, who will relish his op- Wayne Chrebet 1996 84 have set them up for the
portunity to ruin the postsea- Keyshawn Johnson 1998 83 game-winning field goal. But
son hopes of the team that fired Jerricho Cotchery 2007 82 on the second play of the Jets’
him 12 months ago. drive, Enunwa atoned for his
Jerricho Cotchery 2006 82
“For some reason, I knew it earlier drop by taking a short
was going to come down to Rob Moore 1994 78 pass up the left sideline for 48
this last game versus Rex. It’s Mickey Shuler 1985 76 yards. Fitzpatrick then lobbed
just fate,” said Jets linebacker Wayne Chrebet 1998 75 a pass to Eric Decker in the
Calvin Pace. “They’re not re- George Sauer 1967 75 right side of the end zone for
ally playing for a playoff spot, Eric Decker 2014 74 the game-winning score, send-
but I know Rex is going to Santana Moss 2003 74 ing the Jets sprinting onto the
have those guys ready to go field in celebration.
Al Toon 1991 74
and fired up.” The game-winner marked
Source: Football Reference *through Week 16
Even if they don’t reach the Patriots captain Matthew Slater appears confused after he chose to kick off before overtime. the eighth game in which
playoffs, the Jets might already Decker and Marshall both
have done enough in 2015 to half on Sunday, besides Fitz- over and, on a third-and-11, Jets kicker Randy Bullock pass clanked off the hands of caught touchdowns, a new NFL
render this season a success un- patrick’s 2-yard touchdown floated a pass that Marshall tacked on a 49-yard field goal receiver Quincy Enunwa at the record for teammates. Mar-
der their two new leaders, gen- pass to Marshall after the two- hauled in between two defend- early in the fourth, but the of- New England 20, costing the shall also passed Al Toon for
eral manager Mike Maccagnan minute warning that gave the ers for a 33-yard touchdown. fense sputtered from there. The Jets at least a shot at the game- the most receptions in a single
and head coach Todd Bowles. Jets a 10-3 halftime lead. The score gave the Jets a Jets’ defense held until the fi- winning field goal. season in Jets history.
The latter got his squad back The Patriots (12-3) began 17-3 third-quarter lead—one nal minutes, when Brady twice Before overtime, Belichick “The last five weeks,
into playoff contention after the third quarter by driving to they almost immediately gave converted on fourth down, in- instructed captain Matthew they’ve all been kind of do-or-
dressing them down following the New York 40, where Brady right back. After a Patriots cluding finding Gronkowski for Slater that the Patriots wanted die games for us, and so that’s
the Houston loss. The former lofted a pass to his All-Pro field goal, Fitzpatrick fumbled a 26-yard catch on fourth- to kick off should they win the kind of how we’ve approached
acquired the three big stars in tight end, Rob Gronkowski. But at his own 16-yard line on a and-9. Brady then threw to a coin toss. The Patriots won the each one,” Fitzpatrick said.
Sunday’s game: Fitzpatrick, re- the pass was behind hit by Jabaal Sheard. Line- wide-open James White to tie toss and Slater did as in- “We didn’t have much room
ceiver Brandon Marshall, and Gronkowski, and it sailed into backer Jamie Collins scooped the score at 20. structed, giving the Jets the for error and so we’ve got to
cornerback Darrelle Revis. the hands of Revis, who re- up the loose ball and ran into Fitzpatrick got the ball with ball. The only confusion was get the next one to get in and
Neither Fitzpatrick nor turned the interception to the the end zone to cut the Jets’ 1:55 left and led the Jets to mid- whether the Patriots also got that’s how we’ll view it. This is
Brady did much in the first New York 39. Fitzpatrick took lead to 17-13. field, but his deep third-down to choose which side to defend, a fun run.”
© 2015 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved. * * * ** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | B1
selling season is just begin- clude basic safety equipment pany is considering adding air
ning for Michael Ringelsten. in their vehicles even when bags as standard equipment
Mr. Ringelsten runs a mas- governments don’t require it. on certain models and option
sive operation outside of Chi- Four American consumer- packages, he said.
cago in which he buys truck- advocacy groups, including Light-vehicle sales in Mex-
loads of returned Consumer Reports and Public ico have increased 19%
merchandise, sorts through Citizen, have sent a letter to through November, making it
the items and rapidly resells GM Chief Executive Mary among the fastest-growing
most of them over the Inter- Barra calling on the company emerging markets for autos.
net at bargain-bin prices. to make air bags a standard GM, which is No. 2 in sales
“It is crazy how many re- feature globally. At least one there after Nissan Motor Co.,
turns come in during the two Many returned goods are sent to third-party firms instead of the retailers that originally sold them. of those groups said the com- sells that country’s most pop-
to three months after Christ- pany hasn’t responded. ular passenger car, the Chev-
mas,” says the owner of Shore- Depot Inc. To handle the surge The underbelly of e-com- gretted buying. This holiday “Auto safety cannot only be rolet Aveo, but offers air bags
wood Liquidators Inc., a 91- in post-holiday returns, Mr. merce is a booming business season, goods with an original for citizens living in wealthy only as an option, which many
person business that operates Ringelsten, 38 years old, said in which little-known compa- retail value of $19.4 billion— countries,” the U.S. consumer buyers choose to go without.
two warehouses packed with all of his employees work Sat- nies collect, process and often nearly one-quarter of e-com- groups wrote in their letter to Latin America’s indepen-
returned merchandise from re- urdays and add an hour to resell piles of unwanted gifts, merce sales—are expected to GM’s Ms. Barra. “Yet GM’s dent New Car Assessment Pro-
tailers including Amazon.com their usual eight-hour daily flawed merchandise and other be returned, according to practice of providing some gram recently assigned the
Inc., Groupon Inc. and Home shifts for two months. items that shoppers simply re- Please see RETURNS page B7 consumers with the best Please see AIRBAGS page B2
YOUTUBE (2)
Arby’s ads featuring insults that comedian Jon Stewart, above left, lobbed at the fast-food chain on ‘The Daily Show’ in August generated buzz. Arby’s attributed some of its 12% same-stores sales
growth that month to the spots. Above right, a TV ad showed Seattle Seahawk Richard Sherman ordering Domino’s pizza via Twitter. The spot introduced the pizza emoji, which became popular.
BY SUZANNE VRANICA tool AdBlock Plus, up about 23% sode. (Fox owner 21st Century Fox companies managed to get their paid off for the fast-food chain.
from the same period a year ago, was until mid-2013 part of the same messages to stand out. The ads generated 70,000 mentions
Consumers have long bemoaned according to parent company Eyeo. company as Wall Street Journal Here are our choices for some of of Arby’s on social media during
the onslaught of advertising they Even TV watchers, who years ago owner News Corp.) the best and worst advertising of two days, and about 90% of the
see every day. But in 2015, market- turned to DVRs to help them skip Meanwhile, more publishers 2015: comments were positive, the com-
ers were ads, found new ways to make it even pushed so-called native ads, which pany said.
confronted easier to bypass commercials. TiVo, are designed to blend in with a THE BEST Arby’s had 12% same-stores
with anti-ad- for example, introduced Bolt, a new site’s editorial look. sales growth in August and attri-
vertising device that allows viewers to skip In a nod to the many people who Frenemies buted some of the sales lift to the
sentiment entire commercial breaks with the skip YouTube ads after the first five Marketer: Arby’s Restaurant buzz from the marketing effort.
that seemed push of a single button. seconds, Geico created what they Group Inc.
to skyrocket. The assault on the $183 billion called an “unskippable” pre-roll ad. Agency: Fallon Turning Lemons to Lemonade
Ad-block- U.S. ad business has forced market- In the first five seconds, a family The Pitch: Arby’s aired two ads Marketer: Unicef Sweden
ing software ers, media companies and publishers is sitting around a dining table as during Jon Stewart’s final episodes Agency: Edelman Deportivo
went main- to find new ways to make sure ads the mom says, “Don’t thank me, as host of “The Daily Show” in Au- The Pitch: Unicef circumvented
stream and helped consumers are seen. thank the savings” with the word gust. One spot featured a montage ad blockers by placing “unblock-
avoid some of the $60 billion Fox.com, for example, gave view- “Geico” flashing on the screen. A of the on-air insults that Mr. Stew- able ads” on the website of Swed-
worth of digital ads that appeared ers of “MasterChef Junior” the op- voice-over intones: “You can’t skip art had thrown at Arby’s, to the ish newspaper Dagens Nyheter. Us-
on the Web this year. tion of skipping 10 minutes of ads if this Geico ad because it’s already tune of “Thank You for Being a ers who visited the site with ad
In October, 13.2 million people in they agreed to watch one 60-second over.” Friend.” blocking enabled were greeted with
the U.S. used popular ad-blocking interactive ad at the start of the epi- Despite the roadblocks, some Feedback: Having thick skin Please see ADS page B4
outbreak before launching kitchen before shipping them but it will will vacuum up even more
an advertising and social-me- to restaurants, and expanding be wild and cash, while many other com-
dia campaign to woo back food-handling training for res- fun, in a panies will see their valua-
customers. That incident, taurant workers. way that tions get slashed.
which sickened 53 people in Ms. Gillott Bowe and others KEYWORDS tech has This isn’t a bad thing. In
nine states, along with others say Chipotle needs to do CHRISTOPHER struggled fact, it is a great thing: the
involving E. coli and norovi- something bolder to MIMS to be for markets at work. If there is a
rus, has slammed the chain’s The Mexican grill has been hit with foodborne disease outbreaks. start winning back consumers. some time. flaw in this system it is that
sales and its stock. “They need to paint a clear the market for shares in pre-
Efforts to emerge from its whose DNA fingerprint dif- Chipotle’s ability to start re- picture of what they’re do- Prediction 1: IPO startups is relatively il-
problems suffered a setback fered from that of the earlier building consumer trust in its ing,” Ms. Gillott Bowe said. There will be blood liquid and there is limited in-
last week when the CDC dis- cases, leading the CDC to treat brand, said marketing experts. “Something that would go If you think the so-far mi- formation available about the
closed five more E. coli cases the five as a separate out- “They’re in a weird limbo over well is if they made nor adjustment in the valua- true performance and poten-
in three additional states tied break. The source of contami- spot,” said Eden Gillott Bowe, their own video and popped tions of private tech compa- tial of these companies.
to Chipotle restaurants. The nation in both groups hasn’t president of Santa Monica, Ca- it up on YouTube showing nies has brought them in line If the analysts with the
CDC said the latest cases in- yet been identified. lif.-based crisis management just how safe their food pro- with reality, I have some hot unenviable task of seeing
volved an E. coli infection That reversal constrains firm Gillott Communications Please see TRUST page B2 pre-IPO shares in online re- Please see MIMS page B6
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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B2 | Monday, December 28, 2015 * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
A
Abaxis ....................... A10
Adaptimmune
...................................A10
F
O
Optoro ......................... B7
P
Aerospace Deals Come Down to Wire
Facebook......................C6 BY DOUG CAMERON nium and other long-lead
Therapeutics ............. C3 AND ROBERT WALL parts for a later batch of the
Foothills Running Paramount Pictures....B4
Aerion..........................B3
.....................................B7
planes.
Pfizer.........................A10
Airbus Group...............B2 The aerospace and de- Commercial aerospace in-
G R fense industry is one of the vestors are also looking for a
Amazon.com...........C1,C2
General Motors...........B1 few sectors to consistently boost in sentiment after
Anglo American Renesas Electronics
throw up end-of-year sur- months of concerns about
Goldman Sachs Group .....................................B6
..................................... C6 prises as companies look to aircraft oversupply and weak
Australian Pacific Coal ..................................... C6 S meet or exceed prior com- emerging markets denting
Google..........................C2 mitments, and 2015 is no ex- record order backlogs.
..................................... C6 Samsung Group..........B6 ception. For Airbus and Boeing,
B I Shorewood Liquidators The tussle between Air- the annual battle to secure
Bank of America.........C6 Infineon Technologies .....................................B1 bus Group SE the most orders is already
.....................................B6 THE WEEK and Boeing Co. over, with the European
Bay City Capital..........C3 Sime Darby..................C3
AHEAD has a history plane maker comfortably
Boeing....................B2,B3 J Spike Aerospace.........B3 of making last- ahead after garnering more
B-Stock Solutions.......B7 J.P. Morgan Chase......C6 T minute aircraft than 1,000.
orders, with the European However, Boeing on
C Juno Therapeutics Telsey Advisory Group plane maker last year pulling Christmas Eve said it booked
China Telecom ............ A7 ..................................... C3 .....................................B2 out deals for more than 450 orders for 166 commercial
China Unicom..............A7 M Theranos..................... A1 jets in December alone to jets in the past week, taking
Treasury Wine Estates
overtake its rival, an unprec- its year-to-date total to 743
Chipotle Mexican Grill MedVenture Associates edented haul seldom seen and within a whisker of its
.....................................B1 ...................................A10 .....................................B3 even at air shows. target of matching deals for
Citigroup.................C1,C6 Merus Labs 21st Century Fox........B4 Overseas defense deals new aircraft with planned
City Sports..................B7 International.............C3 U also often come down to the deliveries this year, a bench-
wire, and landmark contracts mark investors had believed
CMA CGM....................B3 N UBS Group...................C6 signed in the final days of was out of reach just weeks
Consolidated Pastoral the year can count for more earlier.
Netflix..........................C2 V
..................................... C3 than just bragging rights. For Airbus, it is deliveries
Nike.............................B7 Valeant Pharmaceuticals Some countries’ defense that remain most closely
D Nissan Motor..............B1 International.............B6 budgets also reset at year- watched in the final weeks of
Draper Fisher Jurvetson Novartis .................... A10 Viacom.........................B4 end, and the lack of a final the year. Last year it left it
signature can push back to Dec. 22 to deliver the first
PIERRE-PAUL PARISEAU
lard, a longtime sector ana- over the first couple by year-
Bloomberg, Michael....C6 Fabian, Matt................C1 P lyst at RBC Capital. end, with Deutsche Luf-
Boies, David..............A10 Forese, Jamie..............C1 Padilla, Alejandro García
Big-spending Middle East thansa AG poised to get the
Brodziak, Stephan ...... B2
nations have become in- first. Indian budget airline
Furas, Alejandro..........B2 ..................................... C1 creasingly important for U.S. Indigo last week said its first
C H Pavlik, Robert..............C2 contractors in countering wouldn’t arrive by the
Callahan, Don..............C6 Pearson, Michael........B6 flat or declining Pentagon in- promised Dec. 30 delivery
Haque, Nooman .......... C3 vestment spending, and tic of securing big deals investor conference in early date, owing to “industrial is-
Campbell-White, Poddar, Tushar............C5
Holmes, Elizabeth......A1 overseas deals tend to be from Saudi Arabia and the December. sues” it didn’t specify.
Annette...................A10 Pugsley, Ray ............... B7
J concentrated in the fourth Pentagon. The planned sale is being Airbus, which last year
Campion, Andrew quarter. Saudi Arabia plans to brokered by the Pentagon, shipped 629 planes and had
R
.....................................B7 Jacob, Mike.................B3 Last year, Raytheon Co. fi- spend $11.25 billion—spread and Lockheed said last promised a larger number
Ricci, Kenn .................. B3 nally landed a $2.4 billion out over a number of con- week that it remained this year, had more than 73
Carlson, Chad..............C2 Jethmalani, Arun........C5
Jones, Bettie R...........A3 S order from Qatar for its Pa- tracts—buying four of Lock- hopeful the two sides can to hand over this month to
Carnot, Lionel..............C3
triot missile defense system heed’s littoral combat ships reach an agreement. The meet that objective. Airbus
Corbat, Michael...........C1 M Shelton, Brian.............B7 on Dec. 22. In 2011, the U.S. to replace its eastern fleet company is also close to last December delivered 75
D Marton, Simon............B3
Spiotto, James............C2 signed a $29.4 billion deal in what would be one of the completing a multiyear deal planes.
T on Dec. 24 in Riyadh to sell largest-ever overseas de- that could be worth almost Airbus Chief Executive
Damodaran, Aswath Marxuach, Sergio........C2 84 new Boeing-made F-15 fense orders. The sale $6 billion to supply another Tom Enders earlier this
..................................... C5 McGuire, Ray...............C6 Tsurumaru, Tetsuya....B6 fighters to Saudi Arabia, an- would help counter the Pen- 83 of its C-130J military month said one target that
nouncing it five days later. tagon’s plan to reduce its transport aircraft to the probably won’t be met is de-
Within 24 hours, Lockheed own planned purchase of a U.S. Air Force. livering 15 A350 long-range
23%
week in a symbolic gesture to for delivering consistently
show customers that it is do- poor results since the group
ing everything it can, and then began testing cars in 2010.
Percentage drop of Chipotle “open the doors and welcome “Chevrolet has consistently
shares since news of the first them back.” performed badly in our tests
outbreak was reported. “They can’t control what over the last five years in high
the CDC does and when they selling models,” he said.
do it,” Ms. Warner said. Chi- Latin NCAP, which tests the
In December 2006, reports potle also should provide version of a car model with
began to surface of people be- continuous updates on the the most basic safety equip-
coming ill with E. coli that progress it is making to re- ment available, ranks GM be-
health authorities linked to vamp its food safety proto- low all other auto makers on
Yum Brands Inc.’s Taco Bell cols, she said. “They have to safety except for some Chinese
chain. More than 70 people take action.” brands.
ended up getting sick. No one Chipotle temporar- GM installs air bags in ev-
died. Health authorities ini- ily closed all 43 restaurants in ery Aveo and other vehicles
tially suspected green onions Seattle and Portland, Ore., af- exported to the U.S. and other
as the cause, but eventually ter the first E. coli cases in the markets that require them, ac-
pinpointed shredded lettuce. outbreak there, even though cording to Stephan Brodziak, a
Same-store sales at Taco Bell only 11 restaurants in the area vehicle-safety expert at Poder
fell 5% in the fourth quarter of were implicated. The company del Consumidor, a consumer-
2006, but recovered soon af- tested more than 3,000 sam- advocacy group based in Mex-
ter. ples of food, none of which ico City.
A decade later, though, so- found E. coli, and fully re- About 80% of Mexican-
cial media helps spread bad stocked the restaurants before made light vehicles are ex-
news more quickly—and keep reopening them. It also tem- ported, mostly to the U.S. In-
the commentary going. porarily closed and sanitized a stalling two air bags in a
The negative publicity and restaurant in Boston in De- vehicle costs manufacturers
ALEXANDER ZEMLIANICHENKO JR./BLOOMBERG
the lack of a resolution led cember after it was hit by no- about $100, Mr. Brodziak said.
some Wall Street analysts last rovirus. Mr. Furas said other manu-
week to lower their sales and Chipotle said none of the facturers have added air bags
earnings estimates for Chi- ingredients that are in res- as standard equipment after
potle, saying the impact is taurants now were there a failing Latin NCAP’s crash test.
likely to affect sales well into month ago, when the latest E. He pointed to Nissan, which
the new year. Earlier this coli illnesses occurred. stopped offering its Tiida and
month, Chipotle said it ex- “While there was benefit to Sentra sedans without air bags
pects fourth-quarter earnings closing the restaurants in in Mexico after both models
per share of between $2.45 Washington and Oregon at received zero stars from the
and $2.85—sharply below the that time, there is not that organization.
$4.06 analysts expected—and same kind of benefit today,” —Dudley Althaus
projected same-store sales the spokesman said. In Mexico, General Motors offers air bags on its best-selling Chevrolet Aveo only as an option. contributed to this article.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * * * Monday, December 28, 2015 | B3
BUSINESS NEWS
maneuver on either end of the $100-plus range a bottle, Some observers are skeptical. bottle Private Reserve Caber-
ship, which rises so high out rather than popular but “Beringer is fundamentally net Sauvignon.
of the water that he can’t see cheaper wines such as its $6 a a commercial, mass-market In the series, dubbed “Bet-
the vessel’s sides, or two sim- bottle White Zinfandel. Trea- brand,” said Daniel Mueller, an ter Beckons,” ad company J.
ulated tugboats assisting with sury is the world’s eighth-larg- analyst at investment-research Walter Thompson Co. teamed
the turn. Relying on his view A pilot boat races to pick up a port captain in Los Angeles. est wine producer by volume, firm Morningstar. While in- the winemaker with Murad
of the channel as well as maps according to data provider Eu- vesting in the label is positive, Osmann, a Russian photogra-
and measurements displayed have a few feet to maneuver in A spokeswoman for the U.S. romonitor International. it will be a “long slog” build- pher with 3.7 million Insta-
on screens spanning the some port channels; stacked- Coast Guard, which tracks ma- The wine producer has ing up its image, he said. gram followers, for an initial
bridge, he gives orders to the up megaships come within rine accidents, said such inci- also ditched marketing sta- Beringer, best known for its six photographs. Mr. Osmann’s
ship’s crew. After half an hour, inches of scraping the bottom dents tend to be more preva- ples, such as close-ups of mass-market offerings, suffers photographs feature his wife,
the ship is facing back toward of the Bayonne Bridge, which lent in harbors than at sea bottles against stately vine- from a lingering hangover in Nataly Osmann, in front of
the San Francisco Bay and the connects New Jersey and New because of the confined yard backdrops, instead the U.S. after the company in such scenes as the New York
simulator powers down. York, on their way into New- spaces. spending millions of dollars 2013 was forced to destroy City skyline.
Mr. Carlson and his team ark’s terminals. An accident Earlier this month, a bar pi- on a campaign for its thousands of gallons of wine “With digital, you know
were practicing ahead of the could cause hundreds of mil- lot had just ceded navigation Beringer brand featuring that had passed its drink-by immediately if people are en-
arrival of the Benjamin Frank- lions of dollars in damage to a to a departing container ship’s postcard-style images date, after overestimating de- gaged,” said Simon Marton,
lin, a container ship owned by ship and its cargo, or trigger captain and was disembarking launched first on Instagram. mand for its lower-priced Treasury’s chief marketing
an epic port-traffic jam. from the vessel outside the The Instagram-led cam- wines. That cost it about 150 officer. The first photo gar-
The San Francisco Bar Pilots San Francisco Bay when a paign is Beringer’s first major million Australian dollars, or nered 200,000 “likes” on Mr.
‘As the ships get earned more than $450,000 in swell hit the ship, jostling the U.S. ad campaign in five years, roughly US$109 million. Osmann’s Instagram feed in
bigger and bigger, net income last year, paid from cargo and sending a dozen elevating social media along- The Australian wine pro- its first two weeks, said Mr.
an average of $4,700 in fees containers into the water. side traditional advertising ducer in 2014 fended off two Marton.
the responsibility is from each ship. This year, the pi- With larger ships, the in-
on us,’ a pilot says. lots lobbied California’s state creased surface area magnifies
Legislature to be able to in- the effects of wind in the bay,
crease rates, but the bill was op- making the vessels difficult to
French shipping line CMA posed by shippers and carriers steer. Two pilots are required
CGM SA. The 1,306-foot-long and it stalled in the state Senate. to navigate ships longer than
ship, capable of carrying about The pilots’ fees are based 1,150 feet under the Golden
18,000 20-foot containers, is on vessel tonnage, so as ships Gate Bridge, through the bay
the largest ever to call on a get larger pilots are earning and into Oakland’s port.
U.S. port, with scheduled stops more, explained Mike Jacob, To date, the San Francisco
in Los Angeles on Dec. 26 and general counsel for the Pacific Bar Pilots have brought ships
Oakland on Thursday. Merchant Shippers Associa- as long as 1,204-feet into berth,
As a harbor pilot—or bar pi- tion, which represents the pay- but to get ships of 1,300 feet or
lot, as they are known in San ers. “We have absolutely no more they’re starting with this
Francisco—Mr. Carlson boards problem paying them more for simulation. “As the ships get
a ship to guide it through the larger ships,” because there is bigger and bigger, the respon-
final miles at the end of its of- greater skill needed and more sibility is on us,” said George
ten globe-spanning journey, a risk associated with moving Livingstone, a longtime bar pi-
job that has become more chal- those ships through the port, lot. “And that burden goes up.”
lenging as ships have gotten he said. “The question is
TREASURY WINE ESTATES LTD
Moore. $200 million-plus production ticket sales remained strong leased by Time Warner Inc.’s
Overall, U.S. and Canadian very profitable and, more im- this weekend, led by the U.K., Warner Bros. but financed by
movie theaters sold $300 mil- portant for Disney, re-estab- Germany and Australia. Alcon Entertainment, the $105
lion of tickets, according to lishing “Star Wars” as a major Grosses remain very good, million production opened to a
Rentrak, easily besting the global franchise. though not as tremendous, in weak $10.2 million. It made its
prior Christmas record of The all-time biggest domes- developing markets such as debut earlier in China, how-
$269 million set six years ago tic gross, $749.8 million for di- Latin America and Russia. ever, where it is has grossed
Colgate’s Super Bowl spot will remind consumers to save water. when the holiday also fell on a rector James Cameron’s 2009 Among other releases, $40 million.
the publicity it received, Edel- “Today” show and “Ellen.” call seeing the message, more
man said. While Domino’s won’t say than 60% said they did some-
how many customers use the thing to make their homes safer.
Blackout Fake Out emoji, it did say that more
Marketer: General Motors than 50% of U.S. orders are Unwanted Innuendo
Co. placed digitally. Marketer: Bloomingdale’s
Agency: Commonwealth/ The Pitch: Bloomingdale’s
McCann Virtual Pitch ran a print ad in its holiday
The Pitch: Just before the Marketer: Mini Cooper catalog that featured a woman
start of the Super Bowl, view- Agency: Unit9 laughing with her head turned A Super Bowl ad for Nationwide Insurance featured a boy listing all the things he wouldn’t get to do
ers saw a shot of the stadium The Pitch: The car maker as a young man looks her way. because he died in a home accident. The ad generated mostly negative social media comments, but
with an announcer talking created two virtual reality vid- The text read: “Spike Your Nationwide said many people took action to make their homes safer.
about the game. Then the eos that were part of the Best Friend’s Eggnog When
screen went dark, fooling launch of the New York Times’ They’re Not Looking.” morning sickness. affixed to bottles as part of a Feedback: As of Dec. 14,
some viewers into thinking the new VR app. One 360-degree Feedback: Some inter- The Feedback: The Food marketing campaign to pro- DraftKings spent $155.3 mil-
game had been knocked off video titled “Backwater” was preted the ad as encouraging and Drug Administration sent mote the beer as the beverage lion on TV ads that aired
the air. Seconds later, a ques- centered on a couple involved date rape. There were more a warning letter to Duchesnay to drink during exciting nights 46,066 times since the start of
tion appeared: “What would in a diamond heist and driving than 15,000 comments on so- Inc., saying the post was “false out. One label read: “The per- the year, while FanDuel shelled
you do if your TV went out?” a Mini Cooper. cial media channels during the or misleading in that it pres- fect beer for removing ‘no’ out about $144.8 million on
The point of the ad was to Feedback: Mini Cooper, week the ad appeared. About ents efficacy claims for Dicle- from your vocabulary for the TV ads that ran 32,127 times,
demonstrate that the Chevro- which is a unit of BMW, said 50% were negative and only gis, but fails to communicate night.” according to estimates from
let Colorado truck is equipped the videos have been viewed 5% were positive, said Net- any risk information associ- Feedback: The label ad-tracker iSpot.
with built-in 4G LTE Wi-Fi, more than 4 million times. worked Insights. The luxury ated with its use and it omits sparked a firestorm on social The ad binge generated
which could help people The day the VR videos went department store chain owned material facts.” media where consumers plenty of consumer complaints
stream the game. live, visits to the brand’s web- by Macy’s Inc. apologized, say- Ms. Kardashian’s post was voiced their objections to a on social media about seeing
Feedback: The ad gener- site were up more than 500% ing it was “inappropriate and pulled, and several weeks later phrase that many said encour- the ads too frequently. John
ated plenty of buzz, including from the average number of in poor taste.” she, with the help of Duch- aged date rape. Bud Light Oliver, host of HBO’s “Last
positive tweets from celebri- visits the site had during 2015, esnay, published another post stopped producing the label Week Tonight,” said it has
ties such as singer Josh the company said. Misleading Star Power that included the limitation of and apologized for the cam- been impossible to avoid them
Groban. Marketer: Duchesnay USA use and important safety in- paign. because they aired every 90
Traffic to Chevrolet Colo- The Pitch: Kim Kardashian formation for the drug, rather seconds on national TV.
rado’s website increased by THE WORST praised a morning-sickness than just a link to the safety Fantasy Overload “Television advertising has
1,100% after the ad ran and drug to her millions of follow- information. Marketer: DraftKings Inc. served us well in introducing
traffic to Chevy’s site rose Super Bowl Downer ers on Instagram. “OMG. Have “As always, our intent was and FanDuel Inc. DraftKings to new players and
400%, the ad agency said. Marketer: Nationwide Mu- you heard about this?” she to follow all FDA guidelines The Pitch: Daily fantasy- informing current players of
About 71,000 site visitors re- tual Insurance said in a post. “It’s been stud- around social media,” the sports operators DraftKings innovations in our game offer-
searched the vehicle. Agency: Ogilvy & Mather ied and there was no in- company said in a statement. and FanDuel launched massive ings,” DraftKings said in a
The Pitch: A Super Bowl ad, creased risk to the baby. I’m ad campaigns this year. Draft- statement. FanDuel declined to
Easy Order intended to promote child so excited and happy with my Mislabeled Kings ads, for example, were comment.
Marketer: Domino’s Pizza safety, showed a boy listing all results.” Marketer: Anheuser-Busch voiced by actor Edward Nor- In recent months, the daily
Inc. the things he would never get In her post, Ms. Kardashian InBev ton and showed football fans fantasy operators have battled
Agency: Crispin Porter + to do—ride a bike, travel the said she was “partnering” with Agency: BBDO obsessing about making their with some states in court
Bogusky world, get married—because Duchesnay USA to raise The Pitch: Bud Light issued fantasy league picks and cele- about whether their games
The Pitch: Domino’s rolled he died in an accident at home. awareness about treating 140 different labels that were brating their wins. qualify as illegal gambling.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | B5
Source: Nielsen. A18-49(000), L+3. CY’15 t-d (11/29/15), Prime (M-Su 8p-11p). #1 Destination and Show: Original Broadcast and Cable Programs, excl sports, specials and repeats.
#1 Talk Show: TD vs. all Broadcast and Cable Talk Shows, excl repeats. Top 4 Launches: ’93-‘15 (blended Live/LSD number prior to ‘07), Cable series premiere telecast only.
#1 Social Program: among Unique Twitter Authors and Twitter Impressions on Broadcast and Cable series, excl sports and specials. Top 50: Cable telecasts, excl sports, specials and < 5 min of programming.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
B6 | Monday, December 28, 2015 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MIMS
can ask for crystal balls to sooner or later when they
predict anything they wish. wear the headsets. You are
The tricky thing about big going to try a game in VR
data is that you never know and want to stay there for
Continued from page B1 what factors will be predictive hours—but, depending on
through the smoke and mir- of a desired outcome. But if how sensitive you are, you
rors of slide decks and new your business isn’t employing might not be able to do that.
money from nontraditional data scientists, you might Unfortunately, that is likely
investors manage to do their want to ask yourself if you to be the state of VR for the
job, a whole bunch of big- can afford to get eaten by foreseeable future.
name startups are going to competitors who are.
take a haircut. Prediction 5:
But that is just the begin- Prediction 4: Tech predictions are worth
ning. Some startups could You are going to develop what you pay for them
cease to exist in their current a love/hate relationship
MARIO ANZUONI/REUTERS
state in 2016. Whole sectors with virtual reality This year I almost wrote a
are ripe for flameouts and column about how all the
consolidation, like food deliv- Just in time for the holi- graphs that analysts publish
ery or financial technology. days, Samsung Electronics about the future market for X
The lesson of the last tech Co. released the first pretty or the likely outcome of Y are
bubble is that creative de- good, relatively affordable, generally wrong in hindsight.
struction isn’t just for incum- consumer-grade VR system— Technology is a game of un-
bents; the volume of friendly Samsung has released the first consumer-grade virtual-reality system this year: the Gear VR. the Gear VR. Unfortunately, predictable disjunctions rather
fire in the advance of the it only works with Samsung than straight-line growth or de-
“new” new economy is sub- Chief Executive Mark Zucker- mand the kind of influence good risk, and they are the phones, but a raft of other celeration. So keep that in mind
stantial. From the wreckage berg once said, one of his that can only be achieved reason weather forecasting is devices are coming to market the next time a confident nu-
of these startups will come goals is to create the world’s when you’re buying ink—or better than ever. As the code in early 2016, from Oculus, merical prediction comes
the warm bodies and hard- greatest newspaper. And pixels—by the barrel. behind these algorithms and HTC Corp. and others. Even across your screen.
earned lessons that build the who’s going to provide the the knowledge required to if you aren’t an early That said, given how bull-
next tech giant. content for it? How about Prediction 3: Predicting use them diffuses, we are adopter, you probably know ish I am about data analytics
Jeff Bezos’s Washington Post the future will become fast entering a world in someone who is, which as a competitive advantage,
Prediction 2: and Jack Ma’s South China embarrassingly easy which the only barrier to di- means 2016 is the year many who am I to argue with Mi-
Some other tech titan Morning Post? vining usable predictions of us will have our first expe- chael Dell when he says big
will buy a media property There have been so many Prediction algorithms—the about the behavior of many rience with VR. data will be the next “trillion
acquisitions in media this fruits of big data—have be- parts of a business—from its Let’s not mince words: VR dollar” industry? He didn’t of-
It is a common myth that year that the pickings are come so ubiquitous that we inner workings to the behav- is awesome. It is also very fer a timetable, so we don’t
the builders of tech fortunes getting slim, but the same take them for granted. They ior of customers—is gather- likely to be nauseating or at have to figure out the x-axis
want to replace traditional egos that drive CEOs to con- are how the most sophisti- ing the right kind of data. least a little disorienting, an on that graph until his predic-
media. As Facebook Inc. quer whole industries de- cated lenders know you are a This doesn’t mean CEOs effect that hits most folks tion is a foregone conclusion.
and look forward to him return- SAMSUNG GROUP ($622 million) worth of shares in tronics Corp. abruptly resigned news release, without offering
Business ing to work when he is feeling
better,” she said.
Affiliate to Sell Stock Samsung C&T by the end of
February, as advised by the anti-
Friday six months after he
took the post, a move that
further details.
The 61-year-old Mr. Endo, a
Watch Ms. Little declined to provide
further comment.
In Accord With Rules
South Korea’s largest con-
trust agency, a spokeswoman for
Samsung Group said. She added
comes as the company’s princi-
pal shareholder considers stra-
former executive at the Japan
units of International Business
Mr. Pearson, 56, is a former glomerate Samsung Group said that Samsung SDI’s stake in tegic options. Machines Corp. and Oracle Corp.,
McKinsey & Co. consultant who affiliate Samsung SDI Co. will Samsung C&T had inadvertently Renesas said Takao Endo ex- had just become CEO of Rene-
was the architect behind work to unload a 2.6% stake in risen recently following a merger pressed his desire to resign for sas in June.
Valeant’s turnaround from a de facto holding company Sam- between Samsung C&T and an- “personal reasons.” Mr. Endo will A government-backed fund
VALEANT PHARMACEUTICALS troubled small drugmaker. sung C&T Corp. to abide by the other Samsung affiliate, where remain on the board until the called Innovation Network Corp.
Since taking Valeant’s helm in country’s latest regulations on Samsung SDI held a minor stake. general shareholders’ meeting of Japan owns nearly 70% of Re-
CEO Hospitalized 2008, Mr. Pearson used dozens cross-shareholdings. Details on how or to whom the set for June. nesas. The Wall Street Journal
For Pneumonia of acquisitions to expand the The country’s Fair Trade Com- stakes will be sold have yet to be At a board meeting Friday, di- reported in November that the
Michael Pearson, chief execu- business. mission, in a statement Sunday, decided. A spokesman for Sam- rectors promoted the chief oper- fund was reviewing strategic op-
tive of Valeant Pharmaceuticals Yet Mr. Pearson’s tactics also recommended that Samsung sung SDI reiterated comments by ating officer, Tetsuya Tsurumaru, tions for Renesas including selling
International Inc., is in a hospital drew criticism, especially the SDI sell its extra stake in Sam- the group’s spokeswoman. to the chief executive post, the some or nearly all of its shares.
receiving treatment for severe drastic cuts he made to newly sung C&T, saying that the stake- —Min-Jeong Lee company said. Mr. Tsurumaru, 61, The Journal also reported
pneumonia, the company said acquired companies, his light in- holding would be viewed as a vi- is a former executive of Hitachi that German chip maker Infin-
Friday. vestment in drug research and olation of the country’s rules on RENESAS ELECTRONICS Ltd., a Renesas shareholder. eon Technologies AG had ex-
Mr. Pearson was recently ad- the major price increases taken cross-share ownership after a “Under this new management pressed interest in investing in
mitted to a hospital for the se- on drugs. grace period.
CEO Steps Down structure, we will seek further Renesas but that talks had been
vere case of pneumonia, Valeant The New York Times reported Samsung SDI, a battery-mak- After Six Months expansion of our business and held up by Japanese concerns
spokeswoman Laurie Little said. Mr. Pearson’s illness earlier. ing unit, will sell 5 million shares, The chief executive of semi- enhancement of corporate about technology leaking abroad.
“We wish him a speedy recovery —Jonathan D. Rockoff or 727.5 billion Korean won conductor maker Renesas Elec- value,” the company said in a —Peter Landers
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | B7
SMALL BUSINESS
10-20%
recent quarter underscore the three months,” Mr. Pugsley second life,” said Ryan Kelly, a
effort: business on Nike.com said. “That causes heartburn for vice president of strategy at
rose 50% for the period ended us because people don’t realize Genco, a FedEx Corp. business
Nov. 30, while all direct sales how the product cycles work, that handles returns for many Share of its original price a
jumped 26%. It is part of a and people say, ‘if they can get U.S. retailers. He says there is returned item is expected to
larger endeavor by the com- it, why can’t you get it?’” strong demand for some cate- fetch when sold to liquidators.
pany for direct sales to grow Nike, too, has more work to gories, such as children’s toys,
faster than wholesale. By Nike is making a fresh push to increase its direct sales. do on the logistics front. sporting goods, housewares
2020, Nike projects the seg- Inventories for the most re- and consumer electronics. The company has an ex-
ment will more than double to cent quarter rose 11%, largely Unprocessed returns from tended holiday returns period
$16 billion and account for a Ready to Play driven by an 8% rise in whole- retailers traditionally are sold that allows shoppers making
third of revenue, up from Share of merchandise that comes from Nike, the largest single vendor sale products. On an earnings in truckloads, normally be- purchases between Nov. 1 and
roughly a fifth today. for each of the three biggest publicly traded U.S. athletic retailers. call with analysts last week, tween 10 and 100 trucks at a Christmas to return items
“In this day and age, with executives said Nike’s new time, fetching between about through Jan. 10, versus a usual
all the athletic brands doing Finish Line North American distribution 10 cents and 20 cents on the two-week window for returns.
direct to consumer on their 65% (2010) 73% (2015) center, opened in Memphis in dollar, according to Optoro Mr. Ringelsten’s Shorewood
t
own websites, if customers June, isn’t fully online yet. CEO Tobin Moore. Most of Liquidators is a buyer of
Foot Locker
ever start to view your store As Nike continues to ex- those goods end up in pawn- Groupon’s returns. Back in
68% (’09) 73% (2014)
t
as just a place where they go pand its direct sales and clear shops, dollar stores and flea Shorewood, Ill., Mr. Rin-
and pick up an item, like they Dick's Sporting Goods excess inventory, Chief Finan- markets. gelsten’s employees sort
go to the grocery store to pick Source: the companies cial Officer Andrew Campion But retailers have been try- through returned merchandise
13% (’09) 19% (’14) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
up a loaf of bread, your value cautioned that margins may ing different strategies to get from multiple retailers, exam-
in the equation is diminished,” suffer in the short term. more bang for their returned ining items as varied as ping-
said Brian Shelton, the gear have to work harder to his store never stocked. Some analysts are question- buck. Washington, D.C.-based pong tables, jewelry, bicycles
founder and owner of Foot- hold on to their customer Ray Pugsley, co-owner of ing whether Nike’s growth will Optoro helps companies resell and vintage auto parts and
hills Running Co., a specialty base. the Potomac River Running come at the expense of other returned items online and listing many of them for sale
store in Cookeville, Tenn. Mr. Shelton sees the com- chain in the Washington, D.C., retailers. finds other ways to stem in online auctions on eBay or
It doesn’t help these spe- petition creeping up around area, said as Nike ramps up its City Sports Inc., the Bos- losses, which it says can help the company’s own website.
cialty retailers that athletic him, so he has cut back on or- direct-sales business, he is ton-based sportswear chain lift recovery rates to between He also has people dedi-
gear is now everywhere. The dering athletic apparel after seeing other brands in the targeted at urban profession- 40 cents and 70 cents on the cated to packing and shipping
so-called athleisure movement visits to the local TJ Maxx sportswear industry, such as als, failed to find a buyer in its dollar. more than a thousand pack-
of wearing sporty clothes for showed the store “packed to Brooks and Saucony, attempt chapter 11 bankruptcy pro- B-Stock Solutions Inc., a ages daily.
non-sport activities means the gills” with $30 running to follow suit. ceedings. The chain cited in- returns-logistic provider, helps “To make money in this
sportswear has moved beyond shirts. Sometimes, he said, “They’ll tell us with a creased competition in the retailers including Wal-Mart business it is a volume game.
athletic retail to fashion bou- he’ll spot his regular custom- straight face that online sales athletic retail market as Stores Inc. and Home Depot If we can make 10% profit we
tiques and department stores. ers, wearing models of run- really doesn’t do that much among the factors that led to sell returns in smaller vol- are jumping up and down,”
Traditional sellers of sports ning shoes in colors he knows volume and it is to increase its demise. umes, typically by the pallet- Mr. Ringelsten says.
SPORTS
The Year of Ronda, the Royals and a Horse
Greetings my friends, I sport. I get panicky before I
hope you’re not currently buy gum at a gumball ma-
feet up in a crowded ER af- chine.
ter a wipeout on your shiny
new holiday hoverboard FIFA and IAAF Are Just
(how those hoverthings are So FIFA and IAAF. I really
legal, and I still am not al- don’t know where to begin
lowed to walk into the post on this one. FIFA is a mess,
office with my but you pretty much knew
shirt off, is a that all along, and, after a
frustrating mys- season of police round-ups in
tery). a Zurich hotel that sound like
Anyway, you scenes from a Wes Anderson
know what time movie, soccer’s governing
JASON it is: lazy year- agency has stepped in and
GAY end list time! banned fearless leader Sepp
Lazy listing sea- Blatter for eight years. Prob-
son begins earlier lem solved! Kidding, of
than ever—pre-Halloween, it course: This will play out in
seems, rolled out even be- courtrooms for years as FIFA
fore the tinsel and the Ma- trudges forward with terrible
riah Carey Christmas yodels, ideas like a 2022 World Cup
as the listers scroll out their in Qatar. Meanwhile, track
top films, TV, books and and field’s overseeing body,
loud, tiny restaurants a mor- the IAAF (International Asso-
tal like I won’t be able book ciation of Athletics Federa-
a table at until 2079. tions) gave FIFA a run for the
Ignition Delay
Feeling the Heat For Cheap Fuel
ASSOCIATED PRESS
HEARD ON
El Niño has farmers under pressure COMMODITIES | C3 THE STREET | C6
© 2015 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | C1
Last Week: DJIA 17552.17 À 423.62 2.47% S&P 2060.99 À 2.76% NASDAQ 5048.49 À 2.55% 10–YR. TREAS. g 13/32, yield 2.241% OIL $38.10 À $2.04 EURO $1.0965 YEN 120.42
Market forces that this year’s disappointing per- stocks rose last week, the S&P sharply around the Federal Performance for the S&P 500 between Nov. 20 and year-end
formance—including low 500 is on track to decline in Reserve’s decision to raise 20%
have weighed on U.S. commodity prices, sluggish the period between Nov. 20 short-term interest rates for
15
shares are likely to global growth, shrinking cor- and the end of the year for the the first time in nine years.
porate profits and a stronger first time since 2002. Since Energy stocks led the broader 10
persist into next year U.S. dollar— 1995, there have been only market higher in light holiday
ABREAST OF could persist three times the index has trading last week as oil prices 5
BY CORRIE DRIEBUSCH THE MARKET in 2016. fallen during that period. recovered slightly, but the S&P
AND DAN STRUMPF Investors The S&P 500 has fallen 500’s energy sector is still 0
have long 0.9% so far this month in down 8% this month and U.S.
–5 –1.2%
It has been a bumpy end to counted on a rally around the choppy trade. A tumble in crude is off about 8.5%.
a lackluster year for U.S. holidays to give a lift into commodities prices hit junk “From the end of November 1995 ’97 ’99 ’01 ’03 ’05 ’07 ’09 ’11 ’13 ’15
stocks. year-end, and stock markets bonds and energy shares, and into December a lot of people Note: 2015 figure is through Dec. 23
Many of the forces behind traditionally deliver. While stocks rose but then fell Please see STOCKS page C2 Source: FactSet THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
est offering, and Cofina bonds ity of the island’s effort to nego-
soon became the biggest chunk tiate competing legal claims on
of Puerto Rico’s debt outstand- its dwindling cash and the na-
ing.
$4 billion
Now, as the struggling com-
monwealth redirects money in-
tended for some debt to pay
bonds with better legal protec- Amount of Cofina
tions, some analysts are pre- bonds sold as
dicting it will soon target Co- zero-coupon securities
fina bonds to avoid defaulting
on its constitutionally protected
Even CEO Michael Corbat won’t have his own door under the new floor plan. ‘You’re going to be forced to bump into people,’ he says. general-obligation debt. Such a tionwide breadth of creditor ex-
move would spark a showdown posure to the fiscal crisis on the
0.1% so far in 2015, while the positions tied to junk bonds or vestors can go down signifi- mance stems from a confluence many energy-related companies,
Dow Jones Industrial Average commodities that in other cantly. of strong gains from a few of that helps,” said Mr. Pavlik.
is down 1.5%. The total return years they might have kept, Chad Carlson, director of the largest components in the As long as the price of oil
for the S&P 500, which in- for fear the pain could get research at Balasa Dinverno index, including Amazon.com remains near multiyear lows,
cludes dividend payments, is even worse, money managers Foltz, a wealth-management and Netflix, along with the in- the Nasdaq may continue to
2.4%. In the same period last and traders said. firm based in Itasca, Ill., said dex’s lack of significant expo- outperform other broad-based
year, the S&P had risen 13% Other investors looked for as stock-market losses deep- sure to the beleaguered energy indexes going forward, some
and its total return was 15%. ways to eke out returns. Risk- Janet Yellen’s Fed raised rates. ened, he saw more opportuni- sector. analysts say.
“People are more anxious,” ier exchange-traded funds that ties for tax-loss selling. He “Some of the big Nasdaq The Nasdaq hasn’t been
said Ian Winer, director of eq- use borrowed money to in- cline have been on the rise. said he traded more than names—Amazon, Google and without its share of setbacks in
uity trading at Wedbush Secu- crease the size of bets at- Short interest rose to a four- usual this December as a re- Netflix—those stocks have 2015. In August, the index tum-
rities. “This year there is more tracted more money. Investors year high of 3.1% as of Dec. 22, sult. powered the market forward bled 13% from its late-July
notable underperformance, have poured $7.3 billion into according to data provider “We’re trying to make lem- this year,” said Robert Pavlik, high, as shares of biotechnol-
and therefore we’re going to leveraged exchange-traded Markit. onade out of lemons,” he said. chief market strategist at Bos- ogy companies sold off sharply.
get increased volatility and funds so far this year, the big- Short sellers borrow stock Steve Dudash, president of ton Private Wealth LLC. “Peo- And the price increase of
volume this December than gest amount since 2008 and and sell it, betting the stock’s IHT Wealth Management in ple were looking for growth in some of the year’s biggest
normal.” almost four times as much as price will fall, bringing the op- Chicago, said it has been the a very low-growth economy.” gainers is keeping some inves-
Through Dec. 23, there have last year, according to FactSet. portunity to buy the shares busiest December he has ever Technology companies are tors away.
been 10 moves of 1% or more Bets on the market’s de- back at a lower price for re- seen as a financial adviser. one of the top-performing sec- “It is difficult for us to in-
In addition to selling cer- tors in the S&P 500, rising 5.1% vest in Amazon and Netflix”
tain stocks for tax-advantage for the year to date. Shares of because of their stock prices,
Fright to the Finish purposes, he was also getting Netflix are up 140%, while said Peter Tuz, president and
The S&P 500 has experienced more big moves than in recent Decembers. And investors are increasingly into the market to buy up portfolio manager at Char-
betting that stocks will fall in the future. some stocks that have been lottesville, Va.-based invest-
beaten up, including energy ment firm Chase Investment
Number of moves of 1% or more Average short interest majors such as BP PLC and Counsel. “They’re so expensive.
for S&P 500 in December of each year for S&P 500 companies*
KEVIN HAGEN FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
PUERTO
85
ture. The setup allows the is- lion. Municipal Market Analyt- tangling legal claims between
suer to avoid interest payments ics puts the figure closer to general-obligation and Cofina
until the debt matures much $17.5 billion, saying the bonds debt is likely to result in delay
later. increase in value as time goes and uncertainty. Puerto Rico’s
Continued from the prior page Some analysts say that by. power authority reached a con-
ings at the end of September, structure enabled the island to In 40 years, when the last sensus restructuring deal with
according to data from invest- dodge hard choices, piling a zero-coupon bonds mature, the creditors last week after more The number of days in 2015 that both the
ment researcher Morningstar long-term financial problem full payment to bondholders is than a year of talks.
Inc. Many creditors own gen- atop Puerto Rico’s immediate scheduled to be about $25 bil- “Gridlock will be compli- S&P 500 and U.S. crude prices have
eral-obligation debt, too. Bond crisis. lion—about one-quarter of the cated, time consuming, expen- closed lower
insurers also back billions of “This is a classic example of money borrowed through Co- sive, uncertain and result in less
dollars of Cofina debt, along how Puerto Rico got into this fina and two-thirds of the for investors rather than more,”
with other Puerto Rico bonds. mess,” said Sergio Marxuach, amount owed, that research said James Spiotto, managing
About $4 billion of the Co-
fina debt was sold as zero-cou-
public-policy director at the
Center for a New Economy, a
firm found.
Some say negotiations ulti-
director at the municipal-bond
consulting firm Chapman Stra-
Oil, Stocks Fall Together
pon bonds, which function like think tank in San Juan. mately will, and should, ensue tegic Advisors, which consults Oil and stocks may pull off a thus the rest of equities outside
savings bonds. Investors buy Those zero-coupon bonds over the Cofina bonds, as un- on financial restructuring. rare feat in the last week of the oil sector. But rising oil
the debt for less than face value make it hard to say exactly how 2015. The S&P 500 and the prices also tend to signal strong
and receive no interest pay- much Puerto Rico owes Cofina benchmark Nymex contract for economic growth, which is good
ments—instead collecting a investors, which the island says Currencies crude oil have both closed down for stocks.
larger amount when the bonds in different disclosures is either on 85 out of 248 trading ses- It is possible, though, that it
mature, often decades in the fu- $15.2 billion or $16.6 bil- U.S.-dollar foreign-exchange rates in late New York trading sions so far this year. If both is all random. A paper by the
US$vs, US$vs,
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleve-
MONEYBEAT
Thurs YTDchg Thurs YTDchg
Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) Country/currency in US$ per US$ (%) land found no conclusive link be-
Americas Vietnam dong .00004436 22541 5.4 tween the two assets and noted
Argentina peso .0756 13.2310 56.3 Europe close down in any one of the that they move in opposite di-
Brazil real .2530 3.9530 48.8 Czech Rep. koruna .04057 24.651 7.8 last four trading sessions, it rections as often as they move
Canada dollar .7235 1.3822 18.9 Denmark krone .1469 6.8066 10.6 would be the most in any year in tandem.
Chile peso .001428 700.20 15.4 Euro area euro 1.0965 .9120 10.3 since at least 1984, according to Here’s the twist, though:
Colombia peso .0003143 3181.38 33.9 Hungary forint .003465 288.56 10.3
data from The Wall Street Jour- That paper was from 2008.
Ecuador US dollar 1 1 unch Iceland krona .007744 129.14 1.2
Mexico peso .0580 17.2455 17.0 Norway krone .1149 8.7006 16.8 nal’s statistics group. Since the financial crisis, with
Peru new sol .2950 3.390 13.6 Poland zloty .2586 3.8663 9.1 As it is, the 85 days in 2015 the world’s central banks all
Uruguay peso .03355 29.8100 24.2 Russia ruble .01422 70.300 16.1 match the number of joint down pushing investors out on the risk
Venezuela b. fuerte .158590 6.3056 0.2 Sweden krona .1191 8.3937 7.5 days from 2012. In fact, the curve, the correlation between
Asia-Pacific Switzerland franc 1.0133 .9869 –0.7 numbers have been consistently the two has gotten stronger.
Turkey lira .3426 2.9185 25.0
Australian dollar .7264 1.3767 12.5 high in recent years, ranging The average number of days
Ukraine hryvnia .0435 22.9805 45.3
China yuan .1543 6.4801 4.4 from a low of 64 days in 2013 both oil and stocks closed down
UK pound 1.4911 .6706 4.5
Hong Kong dollar .1290 7.7516 unch
Middle East/Africa to a high of 85 in 2012. The av- for the 10 years before the fi-
India rupee .01516 65.947 4.6
MARTINEZ MONSIVAIS/ASSOCIATED PRESS
Indonesia rupiah .0000733 13635 9.7 Bahrain dinar 2.6497 .3774 0.1 erage since 2008 has been 74 nancial crisis was 53.
Japan yen .008304 120.42 0.6 Egypt pound .1277 7.8328 9.5 days. This year, the S&P 500 —Paul Vigna
Kazakhstan tenge .003031 329.94 80.4 Israel shekel .2575 3.8841 –0.3 has closed down 52% of the
Macau pataca
Malaysia ringgit
.1254 7.9738
.2329 4.2930
–0.2
22.5
Kuwait dinar
Oman sul rial
3.2966 .3033
2.5950 .3854
3.6
0.1
trading days. Oil has closed ONLINE
down 56% of the days.
New Zealand dollar .6811 1.4682 14.4 Qatar rial .2748 3.639 –0.1
4.0 unch
The relationship between oil For more
WSJ
Pakistan rupee .00954 104.850 Saudi Arabia riyal .2664 3.7532
Philippines peso .0212 47.133 5.4 South Africa rand .0655 15.2758 32.2 and stocks is complicated. MoneyBeat blog
Singapore dollar .7116 1.4053 6.0 What’s good for oil bulls— posts, go to
South Korea won .0008547 1170.03 7.0 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD%Chg namely, higher prices—tends to .COM blogs.wsj.com/
Sri Lanka rupee .0069560 143.76 9.6 WSJ Dollar Index 89.69 –0.28–0.31 8.03 be bad for the economy, and MoneyBeat
Taiwan dollar .03051 32.775 3.6 Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group
Thailand baht .02772 36.070 9.6
Gov. Alejandro García Padilla calls Puerto Rico’s debts unpayable.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | C3
GLOBAL FINANCE
El Niño Bedevils Farmers Europe Biotech Draws
From cattle to coffee, weather patterns world-wide. Dak Lak province in Vietnam come down to a bit of luck. A
U.S. Venture Capital
After a third year of now have access to irrigation. newer variety of tree planted BY DENISE ROLAND For example, Adaptimmune
the effects of the drought in some parts of Aus- Earlier this year, the govern- over the past several years is Therapeutics PLC of Oxford,
weather pattern are tralia, drovers are using the ment pledged to improve and better able to withstand drier LONDON—U.S. venture-capi- England, and Seattle-based
farmland march to add some expand the current systems. conditions. tal firms are increasingly look- Juno Therapeutics Inc. are
deep and widespread weight to their cattle before Any progress would add to Yet even with these trees ing to invest in European bio- both developing treatments in
arriving at feedlots, where a World Bank program started and other measures to miti- technology companies, regaining a hot new area of cancer re-
BY LUCY CRAYMER they are fattened before last year to provide irrigation gate drought, Malaysian con- momentum that was shaken af- search known as immuno-on-
slaughter. Consolidated Pasto- and drainage to around glomerate Sime Darby Bhd. ter the global recession. cology. Both floated on Nasdaq
HONG KONG—Two thou- ral trucked a small proportion 206,000 acres of agricultural expects its yield to fall 8% to In a small but growing in the past year, with Adap-
sand of Troy Setter’s dark- of its 375,000-cattle herd from land by 2020. It has completed 10%, primarily in Indonesia, in number of European deals this timmune fetching an initial
haired cattle have been trek- western Queensland state around 14% of this so far. the 12 months through June 30 year, U.S. investors have public valuation of $1.2 billion,
king along centuries-old paths south to Goondiwindi where “Thanks to the good irriga- because of El Niño, according played a role. The number of around two-thirds of the $1.9
through isolated Australian they are being walked through tion systems that have been to a company spokeswoman. venture-capital rounds in Eu- billion reached by Juno, whose
farmland, chomping on grass the lush Narrabri region. The developed over the last 20 Many farmers are unable to rope involving at least one U.S. clinical programs are further
and roadside vegetation to fat- stock will then either be re- years and the fairly good man- do anything to prevent plants fund climbed from a low of along. Yet in the private fund-
ten up before slaughter. turned to the ranch if the agement of the irrigation, wilting before harvest or crops five in 2011 to 21 in 2014, ac- ing rounds preceding their
The migration recalls a by- drought ends or shipped to farmers have been able to failing throughout the region. cording to data analyzed by floats, Adaptimmune managed
gone era, but this is no nostal- feedlots in Indonesia. manage through the recent dry The Food and Agriculture Or- The Wall Street Journal from to raise only 40% of the
gic trip. The most severe El Drier conditions have also conditions,” said Cuong Hung ganization of the United Na- venture-capital database Ven- amount raised by Juno: $135
Niño in nearly two decades has challenged Asia’s coffee grow- Pham, who oversees various tions already expects global tureSource. Last year’s total, million, compared with $335
parched eastern Australia, ers, but preparation has paid irrigation projects for the rice production to contract in through November, came to 17. million.
leaving cattle short of feed. off. In Vietnam, irrigation sys- World Bank in Vietnam. 2015 due to the weather and it Those figures suggest a One investor emblematic of
The company Mr. Setter tems gradually installed since Even with these systems in could fall further depending on steady increase of U.S. venture the change is French-born Lio-
runs as chief executive, Con- the 1990s have helped farmers place, the Vietnam Coffee-Co- El Niño’s impact over the com- capital coming into Europe
solidated Pastoral Co., has offset the effects of weak rain- coa Association said it expects ing months. The Australian over the past five years, in
embraced an age-old ranching fall over most of 2015, said Au- output to fall 10% over the government had to downgrade contrast with the preceding
Private fundraisings
tradition to overcome some of relia Britsch, an analyst at BMI year to Oct. 1, partly because expectations of a bumper decade when investments from for European biotech
the business disruptions El Research in Singapore. of dry weather. wheat crop after a lack of rain- across the pond fluctuated
Niño is causing. Other farmers About one-quarter of the 1.1 For some oil-palm growers fall in the weeks before har- from year to year.
companies tend to be
are benefiting from past prep- million acres of coffee trees in in Indonesia, meanwhile, it has vest hit yields. One draw of Europe is that lower than stateside.
arations for dry spells or sim- its biotech companies typically
ple luck, but, broadly, crop fetch lower valuations than
yields are down, including rice, their stateside counterparts at nel Carnot, who arrived in San
the region’s staple food. the point of entry for a VC, yet Francisco just as the city’s
Since May, El Niño has command similar prices at venture-capital scene was on
brought high temperatures and exit—typically an acquisition the cusp of revival in 2005 but
lower-than-normal rainfall to by a large pharmaceutical quickly turned his attention to
eastern Australia, Southeast company. That situation cre- the Old World.
Asia and India. The drier con- ates “an arbitrage you can Within months of joining
ditions make it more costly work naturally,” said Nooman Bay City Capital LLC, he and a
and time-consuming to pro- Haque, director at Silicon Val- colleague launched themselves
duce many agricultural prod- ley Bank. into an effort to scope out in-
ucts, a factor that has driven In the U.S., strong momen- vestment opportunities in Eu-
up prices in the latter half of tum in biotech stock prices rope. The pair spent years
2015. Futures of agricultural has trickled down to increase tirelessly crossing the Atlantic,
PETER PARKS/AGENCE FRANCE-PRESSE/GETTY IMAGES
commodities have risen since the valuations that can be building relationships and
June, with Malaysian palm oil achieved in private funding knowledge. In 2010, they fi-
up 9.6% and raw sugar 25% rounds for younger companies. nally took the plunge, colead-
higher. In Europe, there are fewer ing a €21.7 million ($23 mil-
Other regions have bene- specialist health-care investors lion) round for Merus NV, a
fited from the weather system. and the public markets are Dutch biotech developing new
In South America and the U.S., more subdued: The average cancer therapies.
El Niño has brought ideal con- market capitalization of a pub- It was a combination of
ditions to the region, support- licly listed biotech company in “top-quality innovation” with
ing bumper grain crops. the U.S. is $2.1 billion, com- a “venture environment eager
El Niño occurs when winds pared with $900 million in Eu- for deep-pocketed American
in the equatorial Pacific slow rope, Mr. Haque said. co-investors” that convinced
down or reverse direction. That, in turn, means private Mr. Carnot of Europe’s signifi-
That warms water over a vast fundraisings for European bio- cant investment opportunities,
area, which can upend normal El Niño has parched farmland across Australia, driving up prices for some agricultural products. techs tend to be lower. he said.
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C4 | Monday, December 28, 2015 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Index New to the Market
Last Year ago Last Year ago
17552.17 s 423.62, or 2.47% last week Trailing P/E ratio * 16.76 16.85 2060.99 s 55.44, or 2.76% last week Trailing P/E ratio * 22.95 19.48 Public Offerings of Stock
High, low, open and close for each of P/E estimate * 16.18 15.71 High, low, open and close for each of P/E estimate * 17.47 17.15
the past 52 weeks Dividend yield 2.53 2.16 the past 52 weeks Dividend yield 2.14 1.92 IPOs in the U.S. Market
All-time high 18312.39, 05/19/15 All-time high: 2130.82, 05/21/15
None expected this week
Monday's open Friday's close 65-day moving average % Chg From % Chg From
Friday's close Monday's open 16000 1900 Company SYMBOL Thur3s Offer 1st-day Company SYMBOL Thur3s Offer 1st-day
t
IPO date/Offer price close ($) price close IPO date/Offer price close ($) price close
Yirendai 9.50 –5.0 4.4 Mimecast 9.87 –1.3 –2.3
Week's low YRD Dec. 18/$10.00 MIME Nov. 19/$10.00
15500 1850
Atlassian 28.21 34.3 1.5 Square 12.60 40.0 –3.6
Bars measure the point change from Monday's open TEAM Dec. 10/$21.00 SQ Nov. 19/$9.00
15000 1800
Axsome Thera 8.67 –3.7 –0.8 Instructure 22.64 41.5 25.8
D J F M A M J J A S O N D D J F M A M J J A S O N D
AXSM Nov. 19/$9.00 INST Nov. 13/$16.00
Primary Duluth Hldgs 14.47 20.6 6.0 Mesoblast 6.51 –18.6 –19.7
NYSE weekly volume, in billions of shares market Composite
t
t
WSJ
Five month n.q. n.q. 0.04 0.01
quotes are available on Canada 2.70 2.70 3.00 2.70
Asia-Pacific DJ Asia-Pacific TSM 1381.49 1.17 1269.58 • 1619.39 –3.1
WSJ.com. Track most- Japan 1.475 1.475 1.475 1.475
Six month n.q. n.q. 0.06 0.02
Australia S&P/ASX 200 5207.60 1.98 4909.6 • 5982.7 –3.8
.COM active stocks, new Libor
China Shanghai Composite 3612.49 0.94 2927.29 • 5166.35 11.7
highs/lows, mutual
Policy Rates
One month 0.42190 0.36000 0.42190 0.16625
Hong Kong Hang Seng 22138.13 1.76 20556.60 • 28442.75 –6.2
funds and ETFs.
Euro zone 0.05
0.50
0.05
0.50
0.05
0.50
0.05
0.50
Three month 0.60310 0.53250 0.60310 0.25110
India S&P BSE Sensex 25838.71 1.25 24893.81 • 29681.77 –6.0 Switzerland
Britain 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.50
Six month 0.82730 0.76990 0.82750 0.35390
Japan Nikkei Stock Avg 18789.69 –1.04 16795.96 • 20868.03 7.7 Plus, get deeper money-flows data and Australia 2.00 2.00 2.50 2.00
One year 1.14750 1.08350 1.14750 0.60990
Singapore Straits Times 2877.62 0.87 2787.94 • 3539.95 –14.5 email delivery of key stock-market
Euro Libor
South Korea Kospi 1990.65 0.78 1829.81 • 2173.41 3.9 data. Overnight repurchase
One month -0.204 -0.199 0.012 -0.206
Taiwan Weighted 8324.36 0.81 7410.34 • 9973.12 –10.6 All are available free at
U.S. 0.34 0.24 0.41 0.07
Three month -0.127 -0.123 0.059 -0.129
Source: SIX Financial Information;WSJ Market Data Group WSJMarkets.com U.S. government rates Six month -0.038 -0.030 0.146 -0.058
One year 0.059 0.058 0.296 0.031
Discount
Consumer Rates and Returns to Investor Benchmark Yields and Rates 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.75 Euro interbank offered rate (Euribor)
One month -0.201 -0.198 0.025 -0.201
U.S. consumer rates Selected rates Treasury yield curve Forex Race Federal funds Three month -0.131 -0.133 0.080 -0.133
Effective rate 0.3600 0.3800 0.3800 0.0600 Six month -0.040 -0.041 0.173 -0.051
A consumer rate against its 30-year mortgage, Rate Yield to maturity of current bills, Yen, euro vs. dollar; dollar vs. One year 0.060 0.059 0.328 0.039
High 0.5600 0.5900 0.5900 0.2500
benchmark over the past year notes and bonds major U.S. trading partners Low 0.2700 0.2900 0.3000 0.0100
Bankrate.com avg†: 4.06% Value 52-Week
20% Bid 0.3200 0.3500 0.3500 0.0000 Latest Traded High Low
California Home Lending 3.75% 5.00% Offer 0.5000 0.3800 0.5200 0.0500
4.00% 15 DTCC GCF Repo Index
t Rancho Santa Margari, CA 866-724-7769
4.00 10 WSJ Dollar index
s Treasury bill auction Treasury 0.539 105.400 0.539 0.059
30-year fixed-rate RockBottom Mortgage 3.75% 5 MBS 0.556 83.300 0.670 0.075
3.00 4 weeks 0.195 0.205 0.235 0.000
mortgage Des Plaines, IL 855-219-4661 3.00 0 13 weeks 0.250 0.280 0.280 0.000 Open Implied
Sterling Home Mortgage 3.75% –5 s 26 weeks 0.515 0.585 0.585 0.065 Settle Change Interest Rate
t 2.00 Yen
2.00
10-year Treasury Palatine, IL 888-234-2440 –10 DTCC GCF Repo Index Futures
note yield 1.00 Thursday 1.00 –15 Secondary market
3.88%
t
Woodland Hills, CA 866-411-3621 –20 Fannie Mae Treasury Jan 99.565 unch. 9208 0.435
0.00 0.00 –25
Garden State Home Loans 3.88%
30-year mortgage yields Treasury Feb 99.565 -0.005 5464 0.435
J FMAM J J A S O N D 1 3 6 1 2 3 5 710 30
Cherry Hill, NJ 2015 30 days 3.593 3.555 3.750 3.024
2015 (609) 216-7912 month(s) years Weekly survey
60 days 3.631 3.591 3.788 3.080
Yield/Rate (%) 52-Week Range (%) 3-yr chg maturity Latest Week ago Year ago
Interest rate Last (l)Week ago Low 0 2 4 6 8 High (pct pts) Sources: Ryan ALM; Tullett Prebon; WSJ Market Data Group Other short-term rates
Week 52-Week
Freddie Mac
Federal-funds rate target 0.25-0.5 0.25-0.5 0.00 l 0.50 0.25
Prime rate* 3.50 3.50 3.25 l 3.50 0.25
Corporate Borrowing Rates and Yields Latest ago high low 30-year fixed
15-year fixed
3.96
3.22
3.97
3.22
3.83
3.10
Libor, 3-month 0.60 0.53 0.25 l 0.60 0.29 Spread +/- Treasurys, Call money Five-year ARM 3.06 3.03 3.01
Yield (%) in basis pts, 52-wk Range Total Return
Money market, annual yield 0.27 0.26 0.25 l 0.44 -0.24 2.25 2.25 2.25 2.00 One-year ARM 2.68 2.67 2.39
Bond total return index Last Wk ago Last Low High 52-wk 3-yr
Five-year CD, annual yield 1.39 1.38 1.37 l 1.53 0.03
10-yr Treasury, Ryan ALM 2.241 2.236 2.16 1.44 Notes on data:
30-year mortgage, fixed† 4.06 3.99 3.71 l 4.22 0.47
DJ Corporate 3.414 3.425 0.69 2.05 U.S. prime rate is effective December 17, 2015.
15-year mortgage, fixed† 3.30 3.22 2.94 l 3.42 0.33
Aggregate, Barclays Capital 2.580 2.570 58 42 61 1.03 1.50 Discount rate is effective December 17, 2015.
Jumbo mortgages, $417,000-plus† 4.52 4.49 4.00 l 4.97 0.40 U.S. prime rate is the base rate on corporate loans posted by at least 70% of the 10 largest U.S. banks;
High Yield 100, Merrill Lynch 7.843 7.800 611 374 636 -5.338 1.308
Five-year adj mortgage (ARM)† 3.55 3.55 3.14 l 4.00 0.50 Other prime rates aren’t directly comparable; lending practices vary widely by location;
Fixed-Rate MBS, Barclays 2.800 2.770 30 13 44 1.67 2.01 DTCC GCF Repo Index is Depository Trust & Clearing Corp.'s weighted average for overnight trades in
New-car loan, 48-month 3.22 3.21 2.71 l 3.33 0.40
Muni Master, Merrill 1.760 1.783 4 -10 7 3.253 2.835 applicable CUSIPs. Value traded is in billions of U.S. dollars.
HELOC, $30,000 4.59 4.54 4.24 l 4.71 -0.05 Futures on the DTCC GCF Repo Index are traded on NYSE Liffe US.
Bankrate.com rates based on survey of over 4,800 online banks. *Base rate posted by 70% of the nation's largest EMBI Global, J.P. Morgan 6.711 6.674 450 359 483 1.073 -0.027
Sources: Federal Reserve; Bureau of Labor Statistics; DTCC; SIX Financial Information;
banks.† Excludes closing costs.
Sources: SIX Financial Information; WSJ Market Data Group; Bankrate.com Sources: J.P. Morgan; Ryan ALM; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Barclays Capital; Merrill Lynch General Electric Capital Corp.; Tullett Prebon Information, Ltd.
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Monday, December 28, 2015 | C5
Legal Notices
India Forecasts Lack Accuracy To advertise: 800-366-3975 or WSJ.com/classifieds
BANKRUPTCIES
BY SHEFALI ANAND history. “If the Sensex went up Group Inc. said the Nifty
last year, then on the back of would touch 9500 and UBS
(+ ) 7 : ) ,( # A 0& @ @(
1+ ( )1 ) + # A CB" "0 + "CB& ( +,+
It’s that time of the year, that, everybody will be pre- Group AG predicted that it , -2 * ,- 5) + (2 ( F2( !% !" 3!" $%'$"*
when analysts make predic- dicting a higher number” and would be at 9600 by now. The
!"! #$%& :; :9;< - ,* 2 @( 7 ( 1(- 5)(6 7 21
#'()*
+,((+& (2
tions about how Indian stocks vice versa, said Arun Jeth- Nifty closed at 7861.05 on
- 7 5)(6 )+(6 ( 2 ++ 7 >A
-2* - ( >@)(6 E @
A @
A ///?
* ,*
will perform next year. But, malani, managing director of Thursday, some 17% to 20%
) 5) )+(6 >A-2* -: 2-, ()(6 *, #& *
2,)(6 + -,((6 )2(2 ()(6 6(( , 1())
with their dismal track record ValueNotes Strategic Intelli- lower than the forecasts.
'-)* ./ 0/ 1 2(+ + + + (
>A-2* -: @( 4445%*#5'#)!'" #50!1
0 5,( (6 ,* 2(-+ 7, (, (, @(-
from last year, should they gence Pvt. Ltd., a Pune-based Goldman Sachs remains ( #2))2(1)* 3 !"#4& 2,,2+ 2 * 5)(6 1)-* 7- (2 -2, 7 +F-+ +
(( 7 )(7 -+ 2 7 () 7 8(+ + #
bother? market-research firm. “What bullish, though it is lowering 3
$%&"'( )* !+4&
5,( (6 * 2(-+ (6
+ 2, 0. 0/ DD ( (* > (6) <
After Indian markets rose they’re trying to do is impos- its expectations, now saying 0 ( 7 (2)- , + (2)-+(6 9) +
(2)- , 1()) : ; - <-
(2+ %* < ( (* < #+,(+
& '
000 ? @
A
//C ) #00& .0B .!.! ;
30% in 2014 and investors sible.” the market will be closer to )( 2 = ,* 2 )(1(* ( )
>))
92(6 9 >; 0/.? $-* ()) ( @
A
/B /C/
#00& C C./B + (6
%)7 < $)( ' +,( >)A G
were expecting big reforms in Between their optimistic 9000 at the end of next year. ++(( * * ,* 1(@ (2)- , + >(+
%)7 < 99
$8 =
$9 9 ./ 2A7))
9)I @
A
/0 ) #00& B. "C// ; #00& B. "C/
+(6 92+- + (2)-+(6 >(++(6 92+- 9) +
!
"
"
#
the economy, analysts were forecasts and the market’s “We estimate India to deliver (2)- , + )+ ;(( @(- 26 1( (
( 2 2 )6 @( ) 7- +(6( 7
bullish going into 2015. All weak performance, investment 13% in dollar terms, the high- DD@@@+)(22,D)(D,D9)76 1, "
0/ 5)+ #&
2 : 7+) ; (+(52( -, )(1(* (
#?C&H )(1(* )+(6 #C/0&H )(1(* $+( #/"??&H )(1(*
major global brokerage firms banks such as Citigroup Inc., est in Asia,” said Tushar Pod-
#A !!0& # ( ,* ,++
,+(5+ 3
,$%4&0 + #&
#B.&H $ ((-( ,(2 #B0"&H $ ((-(
predicted the market would Bank of America Merrill dar, Goldman’s India econo-
#A
() #BC?!&H $ (2(6 #!?&H 0 = 1 9+-2
( #CC!B&H . * G()) 9+-2( #C?C&H
972 E@*
!!& @(2 @ 1(+ 1, 0/ 0/ # ( ,* 7-
rise 15% to 20% this year. Lynch, Deutsche Bank AG and mist, at a recent news ,++ ,+(5+ 3-#),!#'" $ .% 4&
9 #!00&H
972 E@* #.!.!&H
,+ 9+-2(
#0C/&H > 7 $ 9+-2( #?!/&H >)2A %( (),
However, with just a few Morgan Stanley missed their briefing. Spokesmen for Gold- .
(6 2(+ 25,( 7 9) # 3!%/".$ -!%
$"-%04& @()) )+ 7 ) $(2) %() 8(+
#BC"&H >)2A(+ 9+-2( #"/.C&H > 9( 9+-2(
#!!!?&H >(2A $(
2<-((( #.!/&H >())( (), #/??"&H
trading days left, India’s S&P targets by more than 20%. The man Sachs, Citigroup, >A-2* '-+6 ( -, BC 8(+ >A-2* - > 9+-2( #!!./&H > 1(2(6 #"?!&H 5
7 - ((2 7 @
A >@)(6 E @
A
///?
BSE Sensex is down 6%, while firms had expected the Sensex Deutsche Bank and UBS de- 6((6 /// , #91()(6 (,& -* 0/B
9+-2( #CC0"&H ( 9+-2( #".!&H (9 #"??/&H
(2 >2 $+( #"B0&H )(77 + $+( #C/B&H 7 (1
? 9-- + 7 >A-2* - ++ 2, C
the Nifty 50, the other major to be between 32500 and clined to comment on their 0/ #A ?/ + ?& # 3-#),!#'" $ .% "+"4 +
(), #./?B&H '
2<-((( #C!&H 9+-2(
#C"/.&H (( ) #"B&H 6)( >A7 $+( #00?/&H
index, is down 5.1%. 33000 by the end of this year, Nifty predictions. 3!,-)- $ -!%
"!)+'"# "+"4 2(1)*& (2)- ,
+ 2( )+ ,() #2))2(1)* 3!,-)- $ -!% $ "-$,#4& 1
-2 (), #."&H E(
2<-((( #BB0&H E 9( 9+-2
( #".&H E-(+ (( (), #/.&H , $-(2
Critics say the market is and it closed ahead of Christ- Market analysts said that 1+ 7 )(2(( 7 1 22 F2 9) #.CC.&H , 9-)((6 #.CB0&H -,,2A 9+ 9(
9-- 9) ) > E + ' ()+ 1
too complex and driven by too mas on Thursday at 25838.71. more than the index target, 9)
#!"B0&H - G()) 9+-2( #!.!&H - G()) 9+-2(
#../&H 9+-2( #.?/&H '=' 9F2 #".0&H 'E
E
B )+ 7 )(, 6( 7 2, C 0/ #
many variables for people to Spokesmen for Citigroup, they focus on providing guid- 2+ )(+ * - ( (2)- , +& (
2<-((( #!00&H 7 >(+
2<-((( #.BC&H 6 9+
$+( #C!C&H $+A 9-)((6 #!.B&H $+A + $-(2
predict with any kind of accu- Bank of America and Deutsche ance about the trends that will ) ()+ 1 9) @()) 2(1 )(2(( 92A6
)(2(( 92A6 (2)-+ ,6 (6 )) 7, # 3
$,,! 4&
#!.0&H $+1( $ #/B?B&H $)1( 9+-2( #"B.B&H $>
9+-2( #??CC&H $2 7 6( 9+-2( #C//0&H $(
racy. “These market-timing Bank declined to comment on play out in the market. + 1(6 (-2( ( 7 -2 )(, @)) 2( 7 2, $+( #C.C&H $(2) 9+-2( #//&H $ %
9) + (2)- , + )+ )(2(( ,()
forecasts make for great news their Sensex predictions. Some “Targets are tools, not the C ++)( - 2,)+ >)) ( ?// , #91()(6
+7-) (, 9+-2( #/?0B&H $1( 9+-2( #!"B/&H (7
2<-((( #!/B&H 6 $+( #./"!&H - 7 ( %)+
(,& '-* 0/ 0/B # 3! -%0 $+,-%4&
* 7()-
stories but they are com- of these firms revised their endgame,” said Ridham Desai, 7))@ 1(6 (-2( (2)-++ @( >)) - )*
9+-2( #0.00&H 9(
2<-((( #"C?C&H 9,
2<-((
( #B."&H 92, 9+-2( #/B!&H )(1 $( $-(2
pletely and totally useless in Sensex targets downward dur- head of Indian equity research 2,)+ >)) ( ( ")-1+ * (6 +)( ,* +(<-)(7*
>)) !' $" %)!'"$0+ ! "$+ 2 1! -%0 -%# "') -!%# )$"3',,* $%+
#"/B&H )(1 )2(* $-(2 #CB!&H )(1(* 1),
#0!B&H )(1(* (), (2 #!/"0&H )(1(* (), (2
investing,” said Aswath Damo- ing the year. at Morgan Stanley. “Our job is "1-4 2 -#),!#'" $ .% 3!" 1! -%05 #""!.&H )(1(* (), (2 #00C&H )(1(* (), #?B?&H )
" 9-- 9) )
G + %! ()+ 1
daran, a finance professor at Some firms also had a tar- really to provide a framework 9)
(1(* (6 #"!!.&H )(1(* +( )+(6 #"!0&H )(1(* '2A
#BB&H )(1(* $+( ((-( #/0B?&H )(1(* $+(
! % )!%%) -!% 4- 2 )!%/".$ -!% !3 2
,$% 2 !"# $" #&6
New York University. get for the Nifty index. Citi- to investors so that they can -%0 $(("!1$, !3 )" $-% ",$## -%),'+-%0 ",$## !3 )" $-% %!%+ !"
(), #C?&H )(1(* $-(2 E- #!?/&H )(1(* 9+-2(
#C"!&H )(1(* 6- #....&H )(1(* #!/??&H )
The predictions also show a group and Deutsche Bank pre- build the right portfolio to % - -# 2$ 4-,, )!. 33) -1 $%+ -%+-%0 !% 2 33) -1 $ -%
$))!"+$%) 4- 2 2 ".# !3 2
,$% $%+ 2 !%/".$ -!% "+"5 2#
(1(* A* +
( )+(6 #!"0&H )(1(* #/00C&H 1)
9+-2( #0!&H $
2<-((( #!?/B&H $
2<-(((
typical investor bias of putting dicted 9850 and 9936, outperform the market,” he ",$## $" +#)"-+ -% + $-, -% 7 !3 2
,$% $%+ 7 !3 #!"/&H $
2<-((( #!B&H $
2<-((( #?!!C&H
2 -#),!#'" $ .% 5
too much weight on recent respectively. Goldman Sachs said. /
- ,* ) 2-* ;2-* 22 -;(+
$
2<-((( J #??/&H $
2<-((( #!.0&H $
2<-(
(( #!B?/&H $
2<-((( #CC?C&H $
2<-(((
) A -, F2 7 9)
7- #C?!&H $
2<-((( J #//!&H $
2<-((( J #0B&H
+()+ + <-)(5+ ( 2( 7 9) 6))* A $
2<-((( J #?00B&H $
2<-((( J #!B?&H $
-, )) ;2-* 22 -;(+ ) -) @( 2(
Closed-End Funds | WSJ.com/funds
2<-((( J #!/&H $
2<-((( J #"&H $ >I
5+ (), #"B.B&H $ ,2- (), #B/0?&H $ (),
F2( (7 * 25,( 7 9) (2)-+(6 F2( #?B?&H $ 2-,( #C!!&H $ (), #//00&H $
-,( F2( 7 * ;2-* 22 -;(+ ) 2 (), #?BB&H $ 2 (), #/0.&H $ (), 1)
Listed are the 300 largest closed-end funds as 52 wk Prem12 Mo ,- #& ( @((6H #& , + ++ 7 F2(6 *
measured by assets. , #.BC&H $ (), 9 #BB0&H $ 2 (), #B/?&H
Prem Ttl Fund (SYM) NAV Close /Disc Yld + - 7 )(, 7 -2 *H #2& @( (2-) $ ())6 (), #..!&H $ % (), #0&H $
Closed-end funds sell a limited number of shares and Fund (SYM) NAV Close /Disc Ret (* ( + - 7 * F2(H + #+& 5)+ @( >A-2*
invest the proceeds in securities. Unlike open-end Dreyfus Mun Bd Infr Fd DMB 13.87 12.39 -10.7 6.1 - + 1+ 7))@(6 ( #! 2$ 2* $" ")-1+ %! ,$ "
()
#!/&H $ '2A #/"&H $ G(+ (),
funds, closed-ends generally do not buy their shares Calamos Conv Hi Inco Fd CHY 11.65 11.02 -5.4 -14.6 Dreyfus Strat Muni Bond DSM 8.62 8.04 -6.7 6.2 #0C/"&H $ I- (), #//C&H $ ( (), #/?!&H $
2$% 899 (5.5
"1$-,-%0 $# "% -. !% $%'$"* :; :9;< #& 1, (), #!C/&H $ 2-)- (), #0!B&H $ -
back from investors who wish to cash in their holdings. 10.98 10.26 -6.6 -14.1
Instead, fund shares trade on a stock exchange.
Calamos CHI Dreyfus Strategic Munis LEO 8.86 8.51 -4.0 6.1 2D )(1(* ( !0?0 >1)* >)1+ -( .// >1)* ()) (), #B?"&H $ , + '-)( (), #!/!&H $ 2(-
World Equity Funds Eaton Vance Mun Bd Fd EIM 14.09 12.86 -8.7 6.0 )(7( !/0/ #
, %()
+* 1( + ) E(&H #& 2 (), #C"?&H $ )2 (), #0&H $ ,( (),
a-The NAV and market price are ex dividend. b-The 2-) ' * 000 ? @
A @
A
NAV is fully diluted. c-NAV is as of Thursday’s close. d- Alpine Tot Dyn Div AOD 9.30 7.73 -16.9 -3.6 Eaton Vance Mun Income EVN 13.18 13.42 +1.8 6.6 //C #
(2+ %* > (6) + ( (*& +
#C!&H $ (,) 9+-2( #!!B&H $ -A* (),
#""!"&H $ * E+ E() (), #.B"&H $ %> (), #//0&H
NAV is as of Wednesday’s close. e-NAV assumes rights Calamos Glbl Dyn Inc CHW 8.51 7.22 -15.2 -8.7 EV National Municipal Opp EOT 22.70 21.31 -6.1 4.7 + $-))( (2 = , 9 ./ 2A7)) 9)I @
A @ 6- (6() #C"&H 6- E, #?"0&H 6-)(7 #.??0&H
offering is fully subscribed. f-Rights offering in process.
g-Rights offering announced. h-Lipper data has been Cdn Genl Inv CGI 24.83 18.25 -26.5 NA Invesco Adv Mun Incm II VKI 12.61 11.57 -8.2 6.8
A //0 #
(6
%)7 $)( ' +,( + >)A G %)7&H 7 1 9+-2( #B/&H 2-, (), #CC.B&H )-
#2& 752 7 8(+ - - ((2 7 @
A 0/
adjusted for rights offering. j-Rights offering has China Fund CHN 17.83 15.39 -13.7 -6.2 Invesco Mun Incm Opps Tr OIA 7.61 7.27 -4.5 5.5 (2A -( //B @
A
//? #
- E)+ +
9+-2( #C.!"&H ,( 9( 9+-2( #!"&H @ %(
expired, but Lipper data not yet adjusted. l-NAV as of Clough Glbl Eqty Fd GLQ 14.55 12.88 -11.5 -3.6 Invesco Mun Opportunity VMO 14.09 13.06 -7.3 6.4 A&H #+& 2-) 9) 9 G1-6 A++
9+-2( #.C&H * ; #./?.&H * 1),
previous day. o-Tender offer in process. v-NAV is #/BCC&H (6 %7 9+-2( #""&H 6 #B0&H
converted at the commercial Rand rate. w-Convertible
Clough Global Opp Fd GLO 12.46 10.55 -15.3 -5.1 Invesco Municipal Trust VKQ 14.02 12.71 -9.3 6.4
) $6 = ), 9 ? (, <- @
A @
A //.B 2
,6 9+-2( #/0.&H -+( $2+( #C."&H
Note-NAV (not market) conversion value. y-NAV and EtnVncTxAdvGblDiv ETG 17.15 15.66 -8.7 2.3 Invesco Qlty Mun Inco IQI 13.90 12.59 -9.4 6.2 #
- + )6&H #& 2-) 9) 9 -,, 1 9+-2( #!0&H @ 9+-2( #BC/C&H
(2) 7 ((- = ))( 9 %2A (1 -( 0"//
market price are in Canadian dollars. NA signifies that EatonVance TxAdv Opport ETO 23.34 21.84 -6.4 -4.8 Invesco Inv Grade Muni VGM 14.53 13.26 -8.7 6.7 (26 ))(( B/B/ .C. #
$(2)
,&H #7& 2-)
))* #!!"/&H ( 7 9) + 9+-2( #BB."&H
the information is not available or not applicable. NS Gabelli Glbl Multimedia GGT 8.42 7.55 -10.3 -19.3 Invesco Value Mun Incm Tr IIM 16.53 16.03 -3.0 5.4 -2A-2A $-(2 #"C.&H -2A-2A 9-)((6 #.!B/&H %(6
signifies fund not in existence of entire period. +(: ,,( 6- 6) = 6) 9 9 9)I -( ... E() (), #!B.!&H
-, 2 #BB!&H K 9( ( #!"&
12 month yield is computed by dividing income GDL Fund GDL 11.98 10.09 -15.8 4.9 MainStay DefinedTerm MMD 19.49 18.39 -5.6 6.3 @
A @
A /! #
) 6- + A @)+&H #6& H )2( 7 : 2 +<- ( !0?0 >1)* >)1+
dividends paid (during the previous twelve months for India Fund IFN 27.19 23.70 -12.8 -5.9 MFS Munl Inco MFM 7.40 6.78 -8.4 5.8 + #& )) ( ( ( 1 5)+ <- 7 (2 -- -( .// >1)* ())
!/0
periods ending at month-end or during the previous >A-2* -) 0//0 ( : 2 2
Japan Sml Cap JOF 11.35 10.26 -9.6 24.1 NuvAMTFreeMuniIncm NEA 15.09 13.60 -9.9 5.9
0
()(I+ , @( +5+ ( 1 ,(6 6(1
fifty-two weeks for periods ending at any time other
* *: F2( -,( 7 ( ;2-* 22 -; , ( 9)
than month-end) by the latest month-end market price Korea Fund KF 36.32 32.48 -10.6 -2.7 NuvDivAdvMuniIncm NVG 16.28 14.40 -11.5 5.3
adjusted for capital gains distributions. Mexico Fund MXF 16.85 NA -12.6 Nuveen Div Fnd NAD 15.63 14.35 -8.2 6.1
Source: Lipper MS China a Shr Fd CAF 32.40 28.35 -12.5 53.2 Nuveen Div Fnd 2 NXZ 15.95 13.98 -12.4 5.9 BANKRUPTCIES
Thursday, December 24, 2015 MS India Invest IIF 28.90 25.25 -12.6 -4.7 Nuveen Div Adv NZF 15.99 14.16 -11.4 5.6
52 wk New Germany Fund GF 17.10 15.37 -10.1 8.1 Nuveen Enhncd Mun Val Fd NEV 15.61 15.65 +0.3 6.2
Prem Ttl Swiss Helvetia SWZ 12.33 10.64 -13.7 -0.0 Nuveen Intermed Dur Mun NID 13.75 12.71 -7.6 5.4
Fund (SYM) NAV Close /Disc Ret Templeton Dragon TDF 20.85 17.80 -14.6 -4.6 Nuveen Invest Qual Muni NQM 16.16 15.26 -5.6 6.4
General Equity Funds Voya Infr Indls & Matls IDE 14.73 12.74 -13.5 -15.6 NuveenMuniAdvantageFd NMA 15.48 13.77 -11.0 5.9
Wells Fargo Gl Div Opp EOD 6.87 5.85 -14.8 -13.3 NuveenMuniIncoOpp Fd NMZ 13.68 13.78 +0.7 6.6
Adams Divers Equity Fd ADX 15.15 12.89 -14.9 -0.4 L
Boulder Grwth & Inco BIF 9.84 7.72 -21.5 -13.0 Prem12 Mo Nuveen Muni Mkt Opp NMO 15.41 13.69 -11.2 5.8
L !
"
Central Securities CET 19.35 NA -4.2 Fund (SYM) NAV Close /Disc Yld Nuveen Mun Opportunity Fd NIO 15.75 14.10 -10.5 6.2
L #$%& '($$'"
LEGAL
CohSteer Opprtnty Fd FOF 12.36 10.87 -12.1 -10.2 Nuveen Muni Value Fund NUV 10.26 10.12 -1.4 4.0 L ,$ + 55 ;: ;;8
U.S. Mortgage Bond Funds
Cornerstone Strategic CLM 15.15 15.53 +2.5 -2.2 Nuveen Performance Plus NPP 16.28 14.91 -8.4 6.0
BlackRock Income Trust BKT 6.96 6.41 -7.9 6.0
EtnVnc TaxAdvDiv EVT 21.45 19.56 -8.8 2.1 Nuveen Premium Inco Muni NPI 15.58 13.91 -10.7 6.0
Brkfld Mortgage Opp Incm BOI 17.07 14.68 -14.0 10.6
Gabelli Dividend & Incm GDV 21.31 18.58 -12.8 -9.5 Nuveen Prem Inco Muni 2 NPM 15.63 14.27 -8.7 6.2 ) *( + , %%% -&
Brookfield TR Fund HTR 21.99 NA 10.4 Nuveen Prem Inco Muni 4 NPT 14.48 13.34 -7.9 6.2
.
/" ' $ -( .0
Gabelli Equity GAB 5.76 5.36 -7.0 -12.4
NOTICES
Nuveen Mtg Oppy Term Fd JLS 25.11 22.84 -9.0 6.7 Nuveen Premier Muni Inc NPF 15.26 13.55 -11.2 6.2
1 ' 2% -(/" 3$ 210 -&
Genl American Investors GAM 38.16 31.80 -16.7 -6.3 Investment Grade Bond Funds
0
.210/" %% 0$%%& %% 4
HnckJohn TxAdv HTD 22.97 20.55 -10.5 -2.1 Nuveen Quality Income NQU 15.86 13.95 -12.0 5.9 $ .&/" 210 5 6
AllianceBrnstn IncoFd ACG 7.86 7.68 -2.3 5.2 Nuveen Quality Muni Fund NQI 15.25 13.44 -11.9 5.1 $%$& 1% 1$ 1(%' &
Liberty All-Star Equity USA 6.23 5.40 -13.3 -2.4 Blackrock Core Bond Tr BHK 13.97 12.90 -7.7 7.0 01 ' 2% -( $ 071
Royce Micro-Cap RMT 8.73 7.32 -16.2 -14.7 Nuveen Select Quality NQS 15.75 13.99 -11.2 5.8 $- 44 ' *% 4
BlkRk Credit Alloc Incm BTZ 13.81 12.44 -9.9 7.9 PIMCO MuniFd PMF 13.22 15.32 +15.9 6.4
Royce Value Trust RVT 13.80 11.72 -15.1 -11.3 John Hancock Income Secs JHS 14.63 13.46 -8.0 6.5
8$' 2 9:01& 0 4 $$1 4
Source Capital SOR 73.36 66.23 -9.7 -1.4 Pimco Muni Inc II PML 12.36 12.39 +0.2 6.2 %3 .9:01& 0/"
MFS Inc Tr MIN 4.95 4.57 -7.7 10.2 PIMCO Muni Inc III PMX 11.10 11.48 +3.4 6.5 ) 1( ; , 9:01&
Tri-Continental TY 23.64 20.14 -14.8 -2.0 WstAstClymr InfLnkd Fd WIW 12.17 10.37 -14.8 3.7 0 ' $
% &&
Zweig Fund ZF 15.13 13.23 -12.6 -9.5 Pioneer Mun Hi Inc Adv Tr MAV 12.43 13.25 +6.6 7.8 '() *+*) *+() ('* (', !
WstAssetClymr InflLnk Sec WIA 12.47 10.75 -13.8 3.5 Pioneer Mun Hi Incm Tr MHI 13.34 13.05 -2.2 6.9 -''-) +''.) +''+ / 0 1"
Specialized Equity Funds Loan Participation Funds Putnam Tr PMM 7.99 7.30 -8.6 6.0
Adams Natural Rscs Fd PEO 21.25 18.00 -15.3 -20.9 Apollo Sr Fltg Rate Fd AFT 16.93 15.10 -10.8 8.1
"
"
2 /0
AllnzGI NFJ Div Interest NFJ 14.69 12.48 -15.0 -15.6 PutnamMuniOpportunities PMO 13.39 12.15 -9.3 5.9
2 /0
BlackRock FR Incm Strat FRA 14.31 12.95 -9.5 6.2 Wstrn Asset Mngd Muni MMU 14.33 14.07 -1.8 5.0
AlpnGlblPrProp AWP 7.00 5.86 -16.3 -3.8
2 /0 3
Blkrk FltRt InTr BGT 13.80 12.57 -8.9 6.2 WesternAssetMunTrFund MTT 22.55 24.10 +6.9 3.8
4
3
BlkRk Enh Cap Inco CII 15.21 14.35 -5.7 5.8 BlackstoneGSO Strat Cred BGB 15.28 13.66 -10.6 9.0 5
6
2 /10
BlkRk Engy Res Tr BGR 14.38 12.86 -10.6 -31.6 Single State Muni Bond
Blackstone GSO Sr Float BSL 16.02 15.11 -5.7 6.9
17
BlackRock Enh Eq Div Tr BDJ 8.76 7.70 -12.1 -0.2 BlackRock CA Municipal Tr BFZ 15.97 15.89 -0.5 5.5
%7 8
"
Eaton Vance FR Incm Tr EFT 14.03 12.65 -9.8 6.8 BlkRk MuniHldgs CA Qlty MUC 16.01 14.75 -7.9 5.5 5
6
2 /!0 9 3
ADVERTISE
Blackrock Global Trust BOE 14.32 12.75 -11.0 2.6 EatonVnc SrFltRate EFR 13.64 12.48 -8.5 7.4 Blkrck MunHl NJ Qlty MUJ 15.87 14.22 -10.4 6.3 .9$' 1'0 )'/"
BlkRk Health Sci BME 36.29 37.99 +4.7 6.1 1st Tr Sr Fltg Rt Fd II FCT 13.52 12.16 -10.1 7.0 *$- 01$ ' % 1'0 .9$'
BlkRk Intl Grwth&Inco BGY 6.96 6.21 -10.8 -1.3 BlRk MuHldg NY Qlty MHN 15.11 14.49 -4.1 5.8 1'0/" 4 &
Invesco Credit Opps Fund VTA 12.08 10.59 -12.3 8.3 BlkRk MuniYld CA Fd MYC 16.48 15.72 -4.6 5.6
BlackRck Rscs Comm Str Tr BCX 8.51 7.07 -17.0 -21.8
TODAY
9$' 1'0 *' $ 9$'
Invesco Senior Income Tr VVR 4.48 4.06 -9.4 7.7 BlkRk MuniYld CA Quality MCA 16.30 15.49 -5.0 5.8 1'0 )' M <N '1$
BlackRock Science & Tech BST 19.76 17.41 -11.9 6.5 Nuveen Credit Strt Inc Fd JQC 8.90 7.77 -12.7 7.4
BlackRock Utility & Infr BUI 19.49 16.91 -13.2 -11.0 BlkRk MuniYld MI Qlty MIY 15.73 13.77 -12.5 6.3 ( 4 $''$- 1 =0$(
NuvFloatRteInco Fd JFR 10.82 9.94 -8.1 7.2 BlRk Muyld NY Qlty MYN 14.47 13.46 -7.0 5.7
' ''%$ 4 $1$$ $ =0$'
CBREClarionGlblRlEstIncm IGR 9.02 7.56 -16.2 -9.6 Nuv Float Rte Opp Fd JRO 10.76 9.67 -10.1 7.5 ( 4 1($- $' ' $( %1$
Ctr Coast MLP & Infr Fd CEN 10.43 10.64 +2.0 -36.9 Eaton Vance CA Mun Bd EVM 12.91 12.07 -6.5 5.7 ' 1'01 4 01$ $4 O0%$4&$- 9$'
Nuveen Senior Income Fund NSL 6.44 5.75 -10.7 7.3 Invesco CA Value Mun Incm VCV 13.80 13.13 -4.9 6.1 $ (' 4 & $ ''$$ $'
Central Fund Of Canada CEF 11.44 10.37 -9.4 -10.2
Pioneer Floating Rate Tr PHD 12.08 10.77 -10.8 6.4 Invesco PA Value Mun Incm VPV 14.45 12.66 -12.4 6.3 (($%$>' $ 01 ' 2% -
Central GoldTrust GTU 39.03 38.52 -1.3 -4.7
Voya Prime Rate Trust PPR 5.50 5.01 -8.9 6.7 Invesco Inv Grade NY Muni VTN 15.18 14.45 -4.8 5.7
(
ClearBridge Amer Engy CBA 9.05 8.53 -5.7 -41.5 < 5 * %$1$' 44 4
High Yield Bond Funds Nuveen California AMT NKX 16.02 15.19 -5.2 5.8
ClearBridge Engy MLP Fd CEM 15.95 14.99 -6.0 -40.3 & ' 9:01& 0 1'
AllianceBernstein Glbl AWF 12.26 10.89 -11.2 8.6 Nuveen CA Div Fnd NAC 15.93 15.18 -4.7 6.2 0%' 01$ .01$/" 4 &
Clearbridge Engy MLP Opp EMO 13.78 13.09 -5.0 -39.9
Babson Gl Sh Dur Hi Yd BGH 18.35 16.71 -8.9 15.0 NuveenCA 3 NZH 14.78 14.11 -4.5 5.9 4 #0& , ,,, ( *$%$-
Clearbridge Engy MLP TR CTR 13.35 12.34 -7.6 -36.9 % 5$(" 752 7 752 7
BlackRock Corp Hi Yd Fd HYT 11.06 10.02 -9.4 9.5 NuveenMDPremiumIncome NMY 14.80 12.61 -14.8 5.3
Cohen & Steers Infra UTF 22.31 18.98 -14.9 -11.5 5( ' !$-
? 0
John Hancock Finl Opps Fd BTO 26.40 27.44 +3.9 21.6 2 20$ ,, %% 5F ?, *$'
KayneAndersonEngyTRFd KYE 9.90 9.03 -8.8 -64.7 KKR Income Opps Fund KIO 15.86 13.99 -11.8 10.7 Versus Cap MMgr RE Inc:F 26.86 NA NA 7.3 B 9 ="G ' " 9&' %
Kayne Anderson MLP Invt KYN 17.78 17.23 -3.1 -49.7 MFS Charter MCR 8.94 7.72 -13.6 10.2 Versus Cap MMgr RE Inc:I 26.93 NA NA 7.7 3 *0 20$ ;,, D$%($- ;+,
Kayne Andrsn Midstr Engy KMF 13.08 13.27 +1.5 -55.3 MFS Multimkt MMT 6.44 5.54 -14.0 8.9 Wildermuth Endowment Str 10.87 NA NA NS $% 9
%("G 1" %%%
-&
20$ +<, ? , *0 2D %
Macquarie Glbl Infrstrctr MGU 22.93 18.98 -17.2 -19.4 Nuveen Build Am Bd Fd NBB 21.50 20.12 -6.4 6.8 Income Preferred Stock Funds -& % 5 ,+ $1' B$%%"G
NeubergerBermanMLPIncm NML 8.11 8.12 +0.1 -51.1 PIMCO Corporate & Incm PTY NA 13.35 NA 15.9 CLA Strategic Alloc XSAFX 2.66 NA NA NS '" 0% 210 D$' ,, D$
Neubrgr Brm Rl Est Sec Fd NRO 5.66 4.90 -13.4 -0.8 PIMCO Corporate & Incm PCN NA 13.70 NA 12.1 MultiStrat Gro & Inc:A 15.64 NA NA -0.8 ' 90$%'$- ?+ A3' 2 %%
Nuveen Dow 30 Dynamic DIAX 15.85 14.37 -9.3 NA PIMCO HiInco PHK NA 8.52 NA 15.7 MultiStrat Gro & Inc:C 15.52 NA NA -1.5 5@ ?, %$ %0(0"G " 0%
'$ ($% 9: 4 ((1 -
NuvCorEqAlpha JCE 15.02 14.14 -5.9 -1.6 PIMCO Inco Str Fd PFL NA 9.91 NA 12.1 MultiStrat Gro & Inc:I 15.68 NA NA -0.5 4 6 $$
'
( E
Nuveen Engy MLP Fd JMF 12.41 11.28 -9.1 -39.2 Pimco Inco Strat Fd II PFN NA 8.93 NA 12.3 MultiStrat Gro & Inc:L 15.56 NA NA -1.3 D:$
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
ment cut into economic 10 big drop in pump prices has Concurrently, more of the tal of A$50 million.
growth and people opted to been a welcome thing, money other Americans have But getting anything at all
hang onto much of the cash 0 though not for all of them. been saving on gasoline may for a small, high-cost mine in
they were saving at the 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q Those dependent on flow through into spending. a seriously unloved commod-
pump rather than spend it 2014 ’15 the oil industry—drillers, This is partly because they ity is a minor miracle. It is
elsewhere. Source: Commerce Department truckers, oil-field-equipment have had more time to ad- one (admittedly small) step
Now oil prices are falling THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. makers, North Dakota bar- just their spending and in Anglo’s restructuring,
again, with U.S. crude clos- tenders—lost jobs. partly because pump prices whereby it intends to shrink
ing at $38 a barrel on Thurs- drops in energy costs should Combined spending on oil Others experienced re- have been low enough, long from 55 assets to under 25.
day, well below the $59.47 at provide more of an economic and gas wells and mining duced hours and heightened enough, that people no lon- There will need to
which it finished in June. boost. and oil-field machinery in nerves. They probably ad- ger think it is merely a tem- be much, much more to
Gasoline is down, too, with One reason is that the the third quarter was 48% justed spending downward porary relief. come, and quickly, to allevi-
regular averaging $2.03 a cuts in oil and gas industry below its year-earlier levels, quicker, and more deeply, 2016 could be the year the ate concerns over Anglo’s
gallon, and cued by whole- investment spending have according to the Commerce than others adjusted spend- U.S. economy finally steps on business and finances.
sale prices to go even lower. been so deep there isn’t Department. As a result, it ing upward in response to the gas. In which vein, it is notable
This time around, those nearly as much to trim. went from 7.4% to 3.7% of gasoline savings. That may —Justin Lahart that Dartbrook has been
mothballed since 2006. The
mine needs expanding to im-
SIPHIWE SIBEKO/REUTERS
dividends, higher than any sion. As a result, the divi- dends are likely to only move None of this means banks rates will benefit the bottom
other sector. In the third dends of the biggest banks in one direction: higher. are a sure bet, of course. lines of financial institutions.
quarter of this year, finan- may be the safest payouts in Thanks to stress testing, Earnings have been severely Yet with so much uncertainty
cials posted the largest year- the world. There is approxi- bank dividends are a one- disappointing this year, and swirling around the big
over-year dividend-per-share mately zero chance that they way ratchet. shares of many of the big banks, the safety of their
growth, according to FactSet. would have to be cut in any Of the biggest banks, Bank banks have fallen. Only J.P. dividends is a welcome re-
What may be even more realistic economic scenario. of America and Citigroup Morgan Chase’s shares are spite. Anglo American offices
important, however, is the But what about the risk of have the most upside poten- currently up in the year to —John Carney
CITI
new information about the prospects of a company. Insiders are required to report large trades to the SEC
ments. staff would be uncomfortable within two business days. Here’s a look at the biggest individual trades by insiders, based on data received by
Mr. Corbat said he wants to in the new setup and that Thomson Financial on December 25, and year-to-date stock performance of the company
encourage communication could affect how they serve KEY: B: beneficial owner of more than 10% of a security class CB: chairman CEO: chief executive officer CFO: chief financial officer
among employees who typi- clients. CO: chief operating officer D: director DO: director and beneficial owner GC: general counsel H: officer, director and beneficial owner
Continued from page C1 cally might not talk to one an- “When you are in an indus- I: indirect transaction filed through a trust, insider spouse, minor child or other O: officer OD: officer and director P: president UT:
unknown VP: vice president Excludes pure options transactions
spent most of my career in an other and is particularly ex- try that is reluctant to change,
office and I don’t want to cited about a “town square” and you manage a group of
change that now,’” said Mr. area on the ground floor. people who have been success-
Biggest weekly individual trades
Based on reports filed with regulators this past week
Corbat. “But weighing that “You’re going to be forced ful, a new idea can be difficult
against the benefits to the rest to bump into people,” Mr. Cor- to adopt,” Mr. McGuire said. No. of shrs in Price range ($) $ Value
Date(s) Company Symbol Insider Title trans (000s) in transaction (000s) Close ($) Ytd (%)
of the organization, that’s a bat said. “I want people inter- He said Mr. Corbat helped con-
risk we’re comfortable taking.” acting around our business vince him that the new setup
While researchers disagree and ideas.” will help the bank best serve Buyers
about whether open offices Mr. Corbat’s new work- clients, by fostering collabora- Dec. 22 Prospect Capital Corp PSEC J. Barry CEO 1,029 6.86 7,054 7.29 -11.7
foster communication or en- space, which measures about tion and attracting young tal- Dec. 21 J. Barry CEO 1,033 6.77 6,988
courage distraction, Mr. Cor- 360 square feet, won’t have ent. Besides, Mr. McGuire Dec. 17 J. Barry CEO 790 6.74-6.76 5,340
Dec. 18 J. Barry CEO 744 6.70 4,986
bat is in the former camp. He walls or a door. Instead it fea- added, “A lot of people are out
Dec. 16 J. Barry CEO 561 6.59-6.63 3,702
said he was inspired by an- tures glass dividers, about 7 meeting with clients anyway.” Dec. 18 M. Eliasek CO 75 6.74 506
other Salomon alumnus—Mi- feet tall, to provide what the Other financial firms have
Dec. 22-23 Actuant Corp ATU R. Arzbaecher CEO 210 23.34-24.31 4,979 24.77 -9.1
chael Bloomberg, who as New bank calls “seated privacy.” adopted elements of modern
Dec. 22 A. Lampereur CFO 20 23.12 462
York City mayor worked from Other executives get semipri- design, but even banks that
Dec. 17-18 Sears Holdings Corp SHLD E. Lampert CEOI 192 19.27-19.79 3,787 20.79 -30.8
a desk in the middle of City vate spaces of about 180 have incorporated some open
Dec. 16-18 B. Berkowitz BI 94 19.34-20.37 1,859
Hall. square feet. spaces have kept private of-
The wall-less workspace is When Mr. Corbat an- fices for almost all of their se- Dec. 21 Plains Gp Holdings LP PAGP J. Raymond D 424 7.40 3,137 9.89 -61.5
meant to flatten hierarchies, nounced his plans, he made an nior executives. As part of its Dec. 21-23 Lands End Inc LE E. Lampert BI 88 22.65-23.00 2,002 24.24 -55.1
something banks have tradi- offer that most workers con- research, Citigroup toured the Dec. 21 Sunesis Pharmaceuticals Inc SNSS D. Misfeldt DI 1,750 .84 1,470 0.96 -62.5
tionally been built on. Former sidered rhetorical: Anyone New York offices of rivals such Dec. 21-22 EXCO Resources Inc XCO J. Wilder DI 1,310 .86-.94 1,178 1.13 -47.9
Citigroup CEO Sandy Weill had who has a problem with the as UBS Group AG and Gold- Dec. 23 J. Wilder DI 653 1.12 732
a fireplace in his office when design can come talk to me. man Sachs Group Inc., as well Dec. 17-18 J. Wilder DI 630 .90-.95 582
he ran Shearson Loeb Rhoades Ray McGuire, who runs the as Facebook Inc. in Silicon Dec. 23 Capitala Finance Corp CPTA J. Alala CEOI 85 11.60 985 12.30 -31.2
from atop the World Trade firm’s corporate and invest- Valley.
Dec. 17-18 Ascena Retail Group Inc ASNA E. Jaffe CBI 100 9.68-9.72 970 10.13 -19.3
Center. Mr. Corbat’s current ment bank and its army of Only the top three floors at
Park Avenue office, at more highly paid deal makers, actu- Citigroup’s Tribeca headquar-
than 600 square feet, is larger ally took him up on it. Mr. ters will be fully renovated
Sellers
than many Manhattan apart- McGuire said he feared his when the executives move in Dec. 16-18 Equity One Inc EQY E. Ottosson BI 4,830 25.60-25.82 124,572 26.80 5.7
next month. Changes to the Dec. 16-18 C. Katzman CBI 4,830 25.60-25.82 124,572
Dec. 16-18 D. Segal DOI 4,830 25.60-25.82 124,572
rest of the building will be
rolled out over roughly the Dec. 21 Rice Energy Inc RICE K. Peto BI 5,000 7.75 38,750 9.86 -53.0
next four years. When com- Dec. 21 D. Rice DOI 5,000 7.75 38,750
plete, the skyscraper will have Dec. 18 RE/MAX Holdings Inc RMAX D. Liniger CEOI 675 36.00 24,300 37.75 10.2
capacity for about 12,500 em- Dec. 18 G. Liniger DOI 675 36.00 24,300
ployees, up from the current Dec. 18 Iradimed Corp IRMD R. Susi CEOI 1,043 23.28 24,292 26.18 102.9
9,000. Dec. 16 Abbott Laboratories ABT M. White CEO 438 46.00-46.05 20,150 45.10 0.2
The bank says it carefully Dec. 16 Patriot National, Inc PN S. Mariano CEO 2,500 6.99 17,475 8.19 -39.3
considered its employees’ con-
Dec. 16-18 Six Flags Entertainment Corp SIX U. Nabi DI 278 53.50-53.59 14,890 54.63 26.6
cerns. The design—from
Dec. 16-18 R. Jaffer BI 278 53.50-53.59 14,890
white-noise generators
Dec. 17 Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc ALXN L. Bell D 70 186.19-189.73 13,138 189.41 2.4
to walls and ceilings that ab-
sorb sound—is meant to mini- Dec. 22 Alphabet Inc GOOGL L. Page CEO 17 762.24-769.71 12,758 765.84 44.3
mize the distraction of nearby Dec. 23 L. Page CEO 17 758.59-770.64 12,750
Dec. 21 L. Page CEO 17 754.93-765.20 12,676
conversations. Each floor will
have multiple conference Dec. 21 Delta Air Lines Inc DAL E. Bastian P 240 51.02 12,246 52.26 6.2
rooms and small phone rooms Dec. 21 Palo Alto Networks Inc PANW S. Tomlinson CFO 59 178.96-182.60 10,545 178.73 45.8
for private conversations. The * Half the transactions were indirect **Two day transaction
bank is considering “instant p - Pink Sheets
fog” for some of those glass-
walled rooms. Employees have
SASHA MASLOV FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL