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CHAPTER 9
Inventory Policy Decisions
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 2
Definition: Inventories are stockpiles of raw materials,
supplies, components, etc., found in warehouses,
yards, transport carriers, retail outlets, etc.
Having inventories available can cost between 20% to 40% of their value
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 per year (Inventory Carrying Cost). 3
APPRAISAL OF INVENTORIES
Reasons for holding inventories:
• Reduce Costs
• Encourage economies of production by allowing larger, longer
production runs.
• Fosters economies in purchasing and transportation.
• Forward buying involves purchasing additional product quantities at
lower current prices rather than at higher anticipated future prices.
• Buffer: Inventories are frequently used at many points in the SC to buffer
the effects of variability and, thereby, help to smooth operations.
• Production stops: Labor strikes, natural disasters, surges in demand,
and delays in supplies are the types of contingencies against which
inventories can afford some protection.
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 4
TYPES OF INVENTORIES
• Pipeline inventory.
• These are inventories in transit between echelons of the supply channel.
• Similarly, work-in-process inventories between manufacturing operations can be considered
as puipeline inventories.
• Speculative inventory
• Raw materials such as copper, gold, and silver are purchased as much for price speculation
as they are to meet operating requirements.
• Regular or cycle stock
• These are the inventories necessary to meet the average demand during the time between
successive replenishments. The amount of cycle stock is dependent on production lot sizes,
shipment quantities, storage space limitations, etc.
• Safety stock
• Inventory may be created as a buffer against the variability in demand for the inventory and in
replenishment lead time.
• Safety stock, is in addition to the regular stock that is needed to meet average demand.
• Obsolete, Dead, or Shrinkage stock
• Some of the inventory deteriorates, becomes out of date, or is lost or stolen when held for a
time. Such inventory is referred to as obsolete, dead, or shrinkage stock.
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 5
Pull-inventory philosophy
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 7
Product Availability
Service Level (Fill Rate) for One Item
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 8
Service Level (Fill Rate)
For many items
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 9
Relevant Costs of Inventory
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 10
Procurement Costs
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 11
Carrying Costs
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 12
Out-of-Stock Costs
Where:
Order cost/Machine Setup cost = S
Demand per annum = D
Carrying cost of inventory per unit = I
Average unit Cost /Value per unit = C
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 14
EXAMPLE:
An industrial machine tool manufacturer supplies parts from its inventory. For a particular part, the
annual demand is expected to be 750 units. Machine setup costs are R50, carrying costs are 25%
of unit value per year, and the part is valued at R35 each.
_______________ ________
Q = (2 x 750 x 50) = 75 000
√ (0.25 x 35) √ 8.75
_________
Q = √ 8 571,43 = 92.58 or 93 units
NOTE: The answer is in units and must thus be rounded off to a whole number !!!
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 15
ORDERS PLACED PER YEAR: N = D
Q
750
= 93 = 8.06 or 8 orders
Suppose that it takes 1.5 weeks to set up production and make the parts = LT.
d = 750 units per year / 52 weeks = 14.42 units per week.
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 16
ANNUAL ORDER COST OC: = SxD = 50 x 750
Q 93
= R 403.23
TOTAL ANNUAL COST: TC = CAPITAL COST + ORDER COST + INV. CARRYING COST
= CD + S x D + (IxCxQ)
Q 2
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 17
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 18
19
EXAMPLE
The annual demand for an item is 28500 and the value of each item
is R750. The lead time from the manufacturers is 1.3 weeks. The
inventory carrying cost is 26% of unit value, while the ordering cost
is R600.
Determine:
• EOQ
• Orders placed per year
• Time between orders
• Reorder point
• Annual ordering cost
• Annual inventory carrying cost
• Total cost
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 20
DATA ANNUAL DEMAND D 28500
CARRY COST P UNIT I 26%
ANSWER COST/VALUE P UNIT delivered
ORDER COST
C
S
R
R
750.00
600.00
LEAD TIME LT 1.3 WEEKS
CALCULTIONS:
Q √(2 x D x S)
(I x C)
Q = 419 UNITS
N= 68 TIMES
OC = R 40 832
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 21
ECONOMIC ORDERING QUANTITY WITH QUANTITY DISCOUNT
A supplier is offering quantity discount rates to the company you work for. In your capacity as
purchasing manager, decide on the most economic quantity to buy from the supplier, given the
following information:
________________________
Q1 = √ (2 x 5500 x 11) / (0.21 x 6.50)
= 298 units
• This quantity is Feasible (Within < 500 unit criteria at R6.50)
________________________
Q2 = √ (2 x 5500 x 11) / (0.21x 5.30)
= 330 units
This quantity is Rejected (Not within > 500 unit criteria at R5.30)
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 22
NOW DECIDE IF Q 1 (298 UNITS) OR THE MAXIMUM
ORDER (500 UNITS) SHOULD BE PLACED.
Formula: Where:
DS ICQ Order cost/Machine Setup cost = S
Demand per annum = D
Total Cost (TC) = CD + Q + 2 Carrying cost of inventory per unit = I
Average unit Cost /Value per unit = C
= R 36 156.41
= R 29 549.25
It is thus more cost beneficial to order 500 units.
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 23
PUSH INVENTORY CONTROL
A method for pushing quantities into stocking points involves the following
steps:
• Determine through forecasting or other means the requirements for the
period between now and the next expected production run or vendor
purchase.
• Find the current on-hand quantities at each stocking point.
• Establish the stock availability level at each stocking point.
• Calculate total requirements from the forecast plus additional quantities
needed to cover uncertainty in the demand forecast.
• Determine net requirements as the difference between total requirements
and the quantities on hand.
• Apportion the excess over total net requirements to the stocking points
on the basis of the average demand rate, that is, the forecasted demand.
• Sum the net requirements and prorate the excess quantities to find the
amount to be allocated to each stocking point.
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 24
PUSH INVENTORY CONTROL
Example
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 25
Areas under the Standardised Normal Distribution Curve (Z value)
Z1 = 1.28 for 90 %
Z3 = 1.28 for 90 %
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 26
For Z1 = 90 % = 90/100 = 0.9 Look for the closest value to 0.9000 = 0.8997 = Z of 1.28
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 27
Forecast demand + (Z x Forecast deviation) = Total Req.
1 10 000 + ( 1,28 x 2 000 ) = 12 560
2 50 000 + ( 1,65 x 1 500 ) = 52 475
3 70 000 + ( 1,28 x 20 000 ) = 95 600
TOTAL 160 635
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 28
DEPOT Total Stock Net Proration of Allocation
Requirements On Hand Requirements Excess (3) + (4)
(1) (2) (1) - (2) = (3) (4)
1 12 560 5 000
2 52 475 15 000
3 95 600 30 000
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 29
Total requirements - Stock on Hand = Net Req.
12 560 - 5 000 = 7 560
52 475 - 15 000 = 37 475
95 600 - 30 000 = 65 600
110 635
DEPOT Total Stock Net Proration of Allocation
Requirements On Hand Requirements Excess (3) + (4)
(1) (2) (1) - (2) = (3) (4)
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 30
PRORATION OF EXCESS STOCK:
Total current production = 125 000 tons
Total Net requirements = -110 635 tons
Excess to be prorated = 14 365 tons
FORMULA:
Stock point Forecast / Total Forecast) x 100 = % prorated to stock point
(Where total forecast = 10 000 + 50 000 + 70 000 = 130 000)
1 (10 000 / 130 000) x 100 = 8 % or 0.08
2 2 (50 000 / 130 000) x 100 = 38 % or 0.38
3 (70 000 / 130 000) x 100 = 54 % or 0.54
(it is OK to approximate)
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 31
Apply percentages to Total excess stock to be prorated:
1 0.08 x 14 365 = 1 149
2 0.38 x 14 365 = 5 459
3 0.54 x 14 365 = 7 757
14 365
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 32
BASIC PULL INVENTORY CONTROL
Single-Order Quantity Demand
• Pull inventory control gives low inventory levels at stocking points because of
its response to the demand particular to each stocking point.
• Problems exist where the products involved are perishable or the demand for
them is a one-time event.
• Products such as fresh fruits and vegetables, cut flowers, newspapers have a
short shelf life.
• Hotdog buns for a baseball game, and posters for a political campaign, have a
one-time demand level that usually cannot be estimated with certainty.
• Only one order can be placed for these products to meet such demand. We
wish to determine how large the single order should be.
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 33
• To find the most economic order size (Q*), we can make use of marginal
economic analysis.
• That is, Q* is found at the point where the marginal profit on the next unit
sold equals the marginal loss of not selling the next unit.
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 34
where CPn represents the cumulative frequency of selling at least
n units of product. Solving the above expression for CPn, we
have:
CPn = Profit
Profit + Loss
CPn = Profit
Profit + Loss
(5.99 - 2.50)
(5.99 - 2.50) + (2.50 – 0) = 0.583
Z
.00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5319 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6480 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.8340 0.8365 0.8389
1.0 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577 0.8599 0.8621
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 37
Example
A high fashion clothing store estimates that it will sell 250 dresses in the next
month. The demand distribution is normally distributed with a standard
deviation of 25 dresses. The store can sell the dresses for R155 per dress. It
pays R55 per dress for the material used. Any unsold dresses are converted
into T-shirts which are then disposed of at a reduced price of R30 each. Find
the quantity of dresses that will maximise profit.
.00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
Z
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5319 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6480 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.8340 0.8365 0.8389
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 38
.00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
Z
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5319 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6480 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.8340 0.8365 0.8389
1.0 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577 0.8599 0.8621
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 39
CPn = Profit
Profit + Loss
(155 - 55)
(155 - 55) + (55 – 30) = 0.8
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5279 0.5319 0.5359
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443 0.6480 0.6517
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7088 0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.8340 0.8365 0.8389
1.0 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577 0.8599 0.8621
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
LOGISTICS 3 CHAPTER 9 41
LOGISTICS III
CHAPTER 9
END