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“ The father of the rational expectations in economics”
* September, 27 1930 - October 23, 2005
- Went to Carnegie Mellon University
- 1954 Won Alexander Henderson Award
- 1961 published his theory “Rational Expectations and the Theory of
Price Movements.”
- This theory states that in many economic situations the outcome
depends partly of what people expect to happen.
* Example: The price of a stock or bond, depends partly on what
prospective buyers and sellers believe it will be in the future.
- The theory is based on the assumption that people behave rationally.
- ( Maximize their utility)
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• Born July 26, 1933 in the United States.
• Won the 2006 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences
• Did a demonstration of the Golden Rule savings rate which consisted
on how much to spend on present consumption rather than save and
invest for future generations.
• Argued that labor market equilibrium is independent of the rate of
inflation, therefore there is no long-run tradeoff between
unemployment and inflation.
• Started a program with Calvo and John Taylor to rebuild Keynesian
economics with rational expectations by employing sticky wages and
prices.
• Created a new non-monetary theory of employment in which business
asset values drive the natural rate.
• Published a book called “Rewarding Work” about the causes and
cures of the joblessness and low wages among disadvantaged
workers.
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* Most influential socialist thinker that emerged during the 19th
century.
* His ideas where largely ignored by scholars in his own lifetime, but
he gained acceptance in the socialist movement after his death in
1883.
* His original ideas have been modified.
* Revolutionary communist who’s work inspired the
foundation of many communist regimes.
* Marx criticized utopian socialist, arguing that their preferred small
scale socialistic communities would be bound to poverty, and that
only a large change in the economic system can bring about real
change.
* Engels's book, The Condition of the Working Class in England in
1884, led Marx to conceive that the modern working class is the
most progressive force for revolution.
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* Born in November 18, 1914 and died in March 4, 1975.
* Focused his work on the years the Britain had high unemployment
and stable/falling wages.
* Designed and built the MONIAC hydraulic economic computer in
1949.
* On 1958 he published his work of unemployment and inflation on
the Phillips Curve.
* He made other contributions on stabilization policy.
* Inspired Paul Samuelson and Robert Solow.
* In 1969 he had a stroke and returned to New Zealand to teach.
* He died in New Zealand.
* http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Phillips_(economist)
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• Australian- Hungarian American Economist and politiccal scientist.
• Born in 1883 and attended University of Vienna.
• It is thought that he was influenced by the Nazis.
• He popularized the term “Creative destruction”
• Became an economist professor in Harvard.
• Australian minister of France
• President of Bidermann Bank
• His views were unlike those of Keynesianism
• President of Econonometric Society (1940-41)
• Tried to intergrate sociological understanding to his theories.
• Claimed to have 3 goals in life:
1.Become the best economist in the world.
2.Best horseman in Austria
3.Best lover in Vienna.
* “Nobel Prize” in Economics for explaining the patterns of international
trade and geographical concentration of wealth.
* Known of International Economics (trade theory, economic geography,
international finance, liquidity traps, and currency crisis).
* Influenced by Keynes
* Favors Free Trade
* Applies New Keynesian theory but has criticized its lack of predictive
power (households and firms have rational expectations, assumes
there is Imperfect competition in price and wage setting/explain why
sticky)
* Politically: liberal
* Professor of Economics and International Affairs at Princeton and a
Centenary professor at London School of Economics
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* 1881-1973; Austria-Hungarian; University of Vienna
* Considered the father of the Austrian School of Economics
* Ideas:
* Unrestricted laissez-faire: expansion of free markets, division of
labor, private capital investment
* Socialism would be disastrous became absence of private
ownership of goods prevents rational pricing
* Mises Business Cycle Theory
* Self-interest drives the economy
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* A steady growth in the money supply
* Avoid inflation and deflation
* Monetary policy
* Inflation is stable only at NRU
Keyne’s flaws
• Time lag
• Crowding out
– Investment is crowded out when AD is increased and interest
rate increased
Monetary Policy Rule
• Money supply has a direct relationship to the price level
• MV = PY (M – money supply, V – velocity, P – aggregate price level,
Y – Real GDP)
* Earned Ph.D at the Tepper School of Business of Carnegie Mellon
University.
* Was a co-recipient of the 2004 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economics.
* Currently the Henry Professor of Economics at the University of
California, Santa Barbara.
* His main areas of teaching are: business cycles, monetary and fiscal
policy and labor economics.
* He is a Research Associate for the Federal Reserve Banks of Dallas,
Cleveland,and St.Louis
* He’s a Senior Research Fellow at the IC2 Institute at the University of
Texas.
* Contributions:
* Real Business Cycle Theory: macroeconomic models in which
business cycle fluctuations to a large extent can be accounted for by
real shocks.
* Time consistency in economic policy
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•Born November 11th, 1915 (age 96)
•Field: Monetarism
•Contributions: analysis of money and analysis of banking
•She is more technical, does research, finds data, providing
essential economical information.
•Best known for her collaboration with Milton Friedman on “A
monetary history of the United States, 1867-1960.” In this book it
is noted the importance of monetary policy.
•Paul Krugman said she is “one of the world’s greatest monetary
scholars.”
•She’s past president of the Western Economic Association
•Changed minds over financial regulation as she emphasized
that price level stability is essential for financial system stability
•Economist at the National Bureau of Economic Research
(NBER), which is the largest economics research organization.
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Born: September 15 1937
Won a Nobel prize in economics in 1995
Top ten economist in the research paper
Challenged the Keynesian macroeconomic theory
CONTRIBUTIONS:
Lucas Critique is an apparent relationship between inflation and unemployment could
changed in response to changes in economic policy.
Lucas Paradox: Capital does not flow from developed countries to developing
countries.
Debt-Deflation Theory:
During deflation lenders win and borrowers lose
Borrowers cut their spending sharply because their debt burden increased, but
lenders do no increase their spending sharply because the value of their loans
increase
Overall consumption decreases. Aggregate demand shifts to the right and lowers
GDP
Fisher equation: real interest rate = nominal interest rate – inflation
•Animal spirits: Giving money to the people won’t have the expected effects
all the time. Subjective behavior and consumer decisions control the turns in
the business cycle.