Professional Documents
Culture Documents
JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted
digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about
JSTOR, please contact support@jstor.org.
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at
http://about.jstor.org/terms
American Economic Association is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to
Journal of Economic Literature
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
Selected Abstracts 1493
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
1494 Journal of Economic Literature
industry. The machines for these two industries larges the factual scope of the theory by add-
are produced jointly by the capital goods sec- ing prematurely discarded products to the
tor. In a balanced growth trading situation the analysis. The present paper seeks to prove that
country with the higher savings ratio will have, obsolescence is limited to submarginal factors
i) the lower interest rate, ii) the higher wage, but cannot cover the disadvantaged but still
iii) the shorter machine life spans, and iv) will employed factors. This is shown by examining
export the capital intensive good. Surprisingly, the export policies of leading less developed
an increase in the price of the labor intensive countries. By introducing the distinction be-
good will not necessarily raise the real wage. tween imperialist and poverty systems, the pol-
Int. Econ. Rev., Feb. 1972, 13(1), pp. 148-59 icies of economic nationalism seek to diminish
(English). the negative impacts of imported technology
by fighting the imperialist system, but reduce
RAO, V. S.-Tariffs and welfare of factor own-
economic disadvantages of low priced products
ers: A normative extension of the Stolper- by negotiating long term contracts with im-
Samuelson theorem
porting countries. Rev. Soc. Econ., March
This paper analyzes the effect of tariffs on 1972, 30(1), pp. 141-52 (English). Indiana
the welfare of factor owners within the frame- University, U.S.A.
work of a two-class, two-sector model of inter-
national trade. Given that the allowable income 420 TRADE RELATIONS; COMMERCIAL
reallocation is limited only to distributing the POLICY; ECONOMIC INTEGRATION
tariff revenue according to some fixed formula,
421 Trade Relations
a necessary and sufficient condition for an
AULT, D.-The determinants of world steel ex-
economy to attain a Pareto-superior equilib-
rium by changing the tariff rate is obtained. ports: An empirical study
Further, a diagrammatic representation of this The purpose of this paper is to examine the
condition is given. J. Int. Econ., Nov. 1971, impact of differences in technology upon the
1(4), pp. 401-15 (English). University of trading patterns of those products produced by
Western Ontario, Canada. industries characterized by process innovations.
A model is developed which is based upon
SCHITTKO, U. K.-A note on economic expan- three theories: the Doctrine of Comparative
sion and international trade Costs, the Scale Economies Thesis, and the
The note gives: (a) A different set of defini- Posner Technological Gap Theory. The steel
tions of "ultra-pro-trade-biased growth, "pro- industry was used as the vehicle for the empiri-
trade-biased growth," etc., which allows a bet- cal test of the model because it is characterized
ter economic interpretation of Johnsons' find- by internal and external economies of scale and
ings and supplies some additional extensions process, rather than product, innovations. The
which carry it beyond Johnson. (b) A state- results of the empirical test indicate that differ-
ment of conditions for "Immiserizing Growth" ences in technology are important to the deter-
in terms of modern welfare analysis rather than mination of trading patterns of steel products.
with production possibility and indifference Adoption of the latest innovations by the steel
curves, correcting a deficient statement made industry of the ith country can offset any disad-
by Bhagwati. Especially, it is not needed to vantages that the steel industry may have with
formulate the results in elasticity terms. Jahr. respect to unit production costs using older
Nationalkon. Statist., Sept. 1971, 186(1), pp. production techniques. Rev. Econ. Statist.,
29-38 (English). Lehrstuhl fur Statistik der Feb. 1972, 54(1), pp. 38-46 (English).
Universitat Augsburg.
GRUBEL, H. G. AND LLOYD, P. J.-The empiri-
SCHWEIIZER, A. International economy and cal measurement of intra-industry trade
economic systems This paper measures and partly explains the
The critique of Michael Hudson's theory of phenomenon that countries simultaneously ex-
the obsolescent factor in international trade en- port and import products of many important
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
Selected Abstracts 1495
industries. A statistical measure of average in- It is found that creation effects do have some
tra-industry trade is applied first to Australian importance. Since the test is limited to an
trade at all levels of aggregation in the Stan- "open" network, some leakage may occur
dard International Trade Classification. Intra- which makes the identification of these effects
industry trade is significant even at the 7-digit difficult (one estimate out of three is statisti-
level. When the trade of major OECD coun- cally significant). For this reason, projections
tries at the 3-digit level is examined, one-half to 1975 are based upon the reduced form of
of their total trade is found to be intra-industry the model which corresponds precisely to a
trade. Some of it is due to border trade, or in- gravity model of the classical kind. Rev. Econ.
tra-industry specialization or joint production Politique, Jan.-Feb. 1972, 82(1), pp. 80-106
unmatched by complementarity of demand. (French). CEPREMAP and C.N.R.S.
Econ. Rec., Dec. 1971, 47(120), pp. 494-517
422 Commercial Policy
(English). University of Pennsylvania and
Australian National University. GREEN, J. R.-The question of collective ratio-
nality in Professor Gale's model of trade im-
MARSTON, R.-Income effects and delivery balance
lags in British import demand: 1955-67
Professor Gale has introduced a model of in-
This paper discusses the specification and es- ternational trade over time in which there are
timation of import demand functions for the two equilibria, one of which is a state of perma-
United Kingdom. Import functions for five nent trade imbalance. This paper explores the
commodity groups are estimated for the 13 properties of this model further. Particular at-
year period prior to the 1967 devaluation. A tention is paid to the possibility that one coun-
distinction is made between long run and cycli- try in the unbalanced equlibrium might im-
cal income effects, the concept of an income prove its welfre by collective action. Two po-
elasticity being revised accordingly. Both the tential policies for this are studied. J. Iht.
Koyck lag and a more general lag form are es- Econ., Feb. 1972, 2(1), pp. 39-56 (English).
timated for each commodity group; the results Harvard University.
from consistent estimation of the Koyck lag
confirm the short lags estimated with the more KIRKPATRICK, C. H.-The measurement of the
general lag form. The disaggregation into com- effective protection of Indian industry
modity groups, the reinterpretation of income 1964-65
effects, and the alternative specification of lag This paper provides estimates of the effec-
forms all contribute to a fresh interpretation of tive rate of protection of 39 industrial sectors
import demand in this period. J. Int. Econ., of the Indian economy in 1964-65. The results
Nov. 1971, 1(4), pp. 375-99 (English). Massa- obtained indicate an escalation of effective pro-
chusetts Institute of Technology. tection rates as between investment and inter-
mediate goods, and consumption goods. There
PHAN, D.-L.-Les echanges exterieurs en 1975
is also considerable divergence between the
entre les six, le Royaume-Uni et les Etats-
nominal and effective rates of protection for
Unis d'apres un modele gravitationnel (For-
particular sectors. The conclusion drawn is that
eign trade in 1975 between the E.E.C. coun-
the effect of the tariff structure during this pe-
tries, the United Kingdom and the United riod was to encourage consumption-good pro-
States according to a gravity model)
duction despite the declared intention of giving
The purpose of this paper is twofold: 1) to priority to domestic production of intermediate
test the influence of third countries in the de- and investment goods. Bull. Econ. Res., Nov.
termination of bilateral trade flows by use of a 1971, 23(2), pp. 141-48 (English). University
modified version of the usual gravity model, of Manchester.
which gives full account for the possibility of
trade deviations; 2) to apply the model to pro- MELVIN, J. R.-The effects of tariff preferences
jection of a trade network, with appropriate in Canadian imports: An empirical analysis
qualifications. Although much has been said about prefer-
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
1496 Journal of Economic Literature
ential tariffs, very little empirical evidence on convenience and economic objectives. Accep-
their effects is available. This study uses cross tance of the BTN as a tariff base tends to cre-
sectional data on Canadian imports to test the ate many difficulties for developing countries
hypothesis that British Preferential tariffs have which attempt to use tariff policy as a major
influenced the level of Canadian imports from weapon of economic policy. Although designed
British Preferential countries. Simple linear re- to facilitate the identification and classification
gressions are used to relate import shares to of goods so as to ease costly and time-consum-
tariff variables for a number of commodity ing customs and tariff procedures, the nomen-
classes, and the results are found to be signifi- clature is neither a simple nor an efficient sys-
cant. Tentative predictions on the possible tem to implement in a developing country. Far
effects on Canadian imports from Britain join- from simplifying procedures, the adoption of
ing the EEC are made, and it is estimated that the BTN in a tariff as opposed to an "end-use"
removal of preferences could reduce British ex- system of classification frequently leads to a
ports to Canada by 30 percent. Can. J. Econ., new, more complicated tariff with a revised
Feb. 1972, 5(1), pp. 48-69 (English). The and excessively detailed structure of duty
University of Western Ontario, London, Can- rates. Econ. Rec., Dec. 1971, 47(120), pp. 553-
ada. 67 (English). Cambridge.
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
Selected Abstracts 1497
alent adjustment of the tariff, because of the re de la balance des payements (Anticipa-
interplay of the direct price effect and the sub- tions and disequilibrium in the balance of
stitution effect. 2) Period analysis is an appro- payments)
priate method for the study of the inter-tempo- There used to be an automatic adjustment
ral pattern of the effects of the gradual adjust- process towards equilibrium in the balance of
ment of the tariff. 3) The application of this payments due to the effects of prices, income
method of analysis to actual statistical data is and interest rate, and a possible speculation
demonstrated. Bull. Econ. Res., Nov. 1971, used to exert a stabilizing influence. However,
23(2), pp. 95-105 (English). University of the anticipations of variations in the exchange
York, U.K. rate cause regularly increasing speculative ac-
tivities today (before 15th August 1971), thus
provoking a break-down of the system. Specu-
430 BALANCE OF PAYMENTS;
lation would have a stabilizing effect-if it oc-
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
curred at all-in a system of flexible exchange
431 Balance of Payments; Mechanisms of
rates, provided the limits of fluctuations and
Adjustment; Exchange Rates
variations in the exchange rates and the dates of
DUFFY, M. AND RENTON, A.-An analysis of these variations are fixed in advance. Schweiz.
the U.K. balancing item Z. Volkswirtsch. Statist., March 1972, 108(1),
This paper reports on an attempt to estimate pp. 61-72 (French). University of Geneva,
explanatory relationships for the errors and Switzerland.
omissions item in the United Kingdom balance
of payments accounts. The method is to regress 432 International Monetary Arrangements
the balancing item upon principal components COOPER, R. N.-Comment on the Howle-
extracted from the probable major sources of Moore analysis and proposed modification of
error in the accounts and from the likely deter- Cooper's gliding parity system
minants of unidentified monetary flows. This
This note comments on and elaborates nu-
regression, when re-interpreted in terms of the
merical calculations on the implicit devaluation
balance of payments items, enables the major
of the U.S. dollar that would have taken place
errors to be identified. Int. Econ. Rev., Oct.
during the 1960s if a system of gliding parities
1971, 12(3), pp. 448-64 (English).
based on reserve movements had been in oper-
NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC AND So-
ation, with the dollar retaining a "passive" role
CIAL RESEARCH-The effects of the devalua- as pivot point of the international payments
tion of 1967 on the current balance of pay-
system. It contrasts these results with those that
ments
would have occurred if the dollar had been
treated symmetrically with other currencies,
This is an estimate, made by a team of econ-
and draws attention to some complications in-
omists at the National Institute, London, of the
troduced by such symmetric treatment. J. Int.
effects upon the current balance of payments
Econ., Nov. 1971, 1(4), pp. 437-42 (English).
of the United Kingdom of the sterling devalua-
Yale University.
tion of 1967. The method is to find for each
item a good explanation of past behavior to
HOWLE, E. AND MOORE, C. F. J.-Richard
predict what would have happened in the ab-
Cooper's gliding parities: A proposed modi-
sence of devaluation. The conclusions are that
fication
the price elasticities for goods are low, and that
the greater part of an "effect" of the order of A sliding-peg system of exchange-rate ad-
$1,000 million could be attributed to invisibles. justment must have a limited rate of slide to
Econ. J., March 1972, 82(325s), pp. 442-64 minimize problems with capital flows and in-
(English). National Institute of Economic and terest rate adjustments. If adjustment needs
Social Research, London. of given countries are to be accommodated
within such a system, the required rate of
SCHWARTZ, J.-J.-Anticipations et desequilib- slide can be minimized only if adjustments are
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
1498 Journal of Economic Literature
Cooper has proposed a variant of the sliding- 441 International Investment and
peg system in which this criterion cannot be Capital Markets
met. Also, evidence indicates the U.S. could HATTI, N.-Growth of private foreign invest-
not maintain payments equilibrium within ments in India 1948-1960
Cooper's plan. A modification is suggested to
To place the status of foreign investments in
overcome these difficulties. J. Int. Econ., Nov.
India in a historical perspective, their growth
1971, 1(4), pp. 429-36 (English). University
over the years will have to be studied carefully.
of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Such a study of the trends in the growth of pri-
vate foreign capital during 1948-1960, based
HUNTER, J. S. H.-The role of exchange rates on both countrywise and industrywise classifi-
in the adjustment international payments cation, is attempted in the essay with a view to
This article contains an evaluation of a recent focus attention on some of the major trends in
IMF Report on exchange rate flexibility. private foreign capital inflow into India. The
There is agreement with the Executive Direc- essay deals with estimates, sectors and classifi-
tors that i) inflation is a prime cause of persis- cation of the investments and Indo-foreign col-
tent balance of payments disequilibria; ii) laborations, attempting to bring out various
there is a continued need for international co- trends such as, the steady increase of foreign
operation in exchange rate policy; and iii) capital inflow into the manufacturing sector
needed changes in exchange rates have been and the paradox of a continuously increasing
unduly delayed in the past. With regard to volume of private foreign capital co-existing
(iii) it seems that proposals for allowing ex- with a net outflow of funds on the private for-
change rates to vary without the Fund's con- eign capital account. Economy and History,
currence are incompatible with the notion that 1970, 13, pp. 54-80.
exchange rate adjustments should only be im-
MENDELSON, M.-The Eurobond and capital
plemented when there is evidence of a funda-
mental disequilibrium Z. ges. Staatswiss., Oct. market integration
1971, 127(4), pp. 597-608 (English). The Uni- The Eurobond market brings together finan-
versity of New England, Armidale, N.S.W. cial interests from many countries. The conflu-
ence of yields that might result is inhibited by:
various governmental measures, e.g., subsidies,
MAKIN, J.-On the success of the reserve cur-
queing privileges, the IET and foreign direct
rency system in the crisis zone
investment regulations; and operational inade-
The dynamics of a dollar/gold reserve cur- quacies, e.g., the need to permit participation
rency system are examined. A continued rise of
in new issues by many banks with little place-
dollar claims outstanding relative to the U.S. ment power, clearing difficulties, and the par-
gold stock is shown to be a necessary condition tially consequent limitations of the secondary
for the gold exchange standard to be dynami- market. Self regulation through the Association
cally stable. This condition holds for a system of International Bond Dealers should help over-
where interest on dollars is treated as a policy come a number of operational shortcomings.
variable to offset an excess demand for gold, as The market has survived the international mon-
well as for a market system with a single mar- etary turmoil and has clearly improved the
ket for dollar assets along with a market where
world's financial framework. J. Finance, March
an expected return on gold is reflected. The
1972, 27(1), pp. 110-26 (English). University
condition for stability is reversed where there of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pa.
are two markets for dollar assets (U.S. and
Euro-dollars.) J. Int. Econ., Feb. 1972, 2(1), WEISSKOPF, T. E.-The impact of foreign cap-
pp. 77-86 (English). University of Wisconsin- ital inflow on domestic savings in underdevel-
Milwaukee. oped countries
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms
Selected Abstracts 1499
The objective of this paper is to test the hy- pp. 14-28 (German) . Institut fiir Gesellschafts-
potheses 1) that the level of domestic savings und Wirtschaftswissenschaften Statistische
in underdeveloped countries is related to the Abteilung, Universitat Bonn.
level of net foreign capital inflow as well as the
level of national income, and 2) that the func- SITTIG, J.-Ach, waren alle mensen wijs en
tional dependence of domestic savings on capi- wilden daarbij wel.... Predictie en doels-
tal inflow is significantly negative. An empirical telling als elementen van besIuitvorming
test is first devised and applied to time series (Prediction and purpose as elements of deci-
data for 44 underdeveloped countries in order sion making)
to determine in each case whether a behavioral Decision making is presented as a joint ven-
savings function can actually be identified. ture of management and operations research.
Among the countries for which a savings func- The main contribution of management is the
tion can be identified, the results show that the choice of objectives, whereas operations re-
impact of foreign capital inflow on domestic search is responsible for making good predic-
savings is consistently negative. J. Int. Econ., tions. A critical analysis of decision making is
Feb. 1972, 2(1), pp. 25-38 (English). Harvard given in the case of area bombing (1942). The
University. following special problems in the formulation
of aims are treated: multiplicity of objectives,
and objectives sometimes being imponderable.
500 Administration; Business Finance; De Economist, Sept.-Oct. 1971, 119(5), pp.
Marketing; Accounting 539-55 (Dutch).
510 ADMINISTRATION 512 Managerial Economics
511 Organization and Decision Theory DI FENrzIo, F.-Potere, economia, tecnologia
FEICHTINGER, G.-Ober Lernprozesse mit va- nella grande impresa (Power, economics, and
riabler Transitionsstruktur in Entscheid- technology in the large firm )
ungssituationen bei Ungewissheit (Some This article is divided into two parts. The
learning processes with a variable transition first part stresses the importance of an inter-
structure arising in decision situations under disciplinary approaqh in the social sciences. The
uncertainty) second part shows how this approach may also
The starting point is a decision situation un- be extremely useful in the analysis of the de-
der uncertainty (in the restricted sense) in a cision-making process in a large firm. The large
stationary stochastic environment. It is as- firm is considered here as a social "whole"; its
sumed that the decision maker has initially no problems and behavior are analogous, be it a
information concerning the nature and the pay- private or a public firm, and whatever may be
off-matrix. However, if he is exposed to the the economic system to which it belongs. This
same situation repeatedly, he will try to fill up definition widens the traditional concept of
his ignorance about the world to accomplish a "firm", which is not a simple "economic entity",
decision problem under risk. First some re- but a center of images, messages, elaboration of
marks are given concerning the fields of norma- these messages, and design of future behavior.
tive decision theory and descriptive learning L'industria April-June 1971, 2, pp. 123-35
theory. The one-step transition probabilities are (Italian).
transformed by a linear reinforcement schedule
GRABOWSKI, H. G. AND MUELLER, D. C.-
depending on the pay-off which is realized on
the immediately preceding trial. It is shown Managerial and stockholder welfare models
that such a model with a variable transition of firm expenditures
structure yields an optimal solution in the The determinants of firm expenditures on
following sense: the decision maker with prob- capital equipment, research and development,
ability one to take the Bayes-optimal action. and dividends are explored within a common
Jahr. Nationalokon. Statist., Sept. 1971, 186(1), analytical framework. The major objectives are
This content downloaded from 143.210.133.25 on Fri, 10 Feb 2017 18:36:00 UTC
All use subject to http://about.jstor.org/terms