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www.platts.com EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN


[OIL ]

Volume 45 / Issue 3 / January 4, 2013

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European products ($/mt) ICE futures
Code Mid Change Code Mid Change
Platts ICE 1630 London assessments* (PGA page 703)
Mediterranean cargoes (PGA page 1114)
Gasoil Low Sulfur Gasoil
FOB Med (Italy) CIF Med (Genova/Lavera)

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Jan AARIN00 928.00 Jan AAGL001 951.50
Naphtha* PAAAI00 899.75–900.25 900.000 -12.250 PAAAH00 921.00–921.50 921.250 -12.750 Feb AARIO00 930.25 Feb AAGL002 951.50
Prem Unl 10ppm AAWZA00 990.00–990.50 990.250 -12.000 AAWZB00 1004.00–1004.50 1004.250 -12.250
Mar AARIP00 928.75 Mar AAGL003 952.25

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Jet AAIDL00 983.00–983.50 983.250 -5.500 AAZBN00 1008.25–1008.75 1008.500 -6.000
10ppm ULSD AAWYY00 938.75–939.25 939.000 -8.250 AAWYZ00 955.50–956.00 955.750 -8.500 Brent Brent NX
Gasoil 0.1% AAVJI00 921.00–921.50 921.250 -7.000 AAVJJ00 940.00–940.50 940.250 -7.000 Feb AAYES00 111.28 Feb AAXZL00 111.23
Fuel Oil 1.0% PUAAK00 629.25–629.75 629.500 +10.750 PUAAJ00 643.75–644.25 644.000 +10.250 Mar AAYET00 110.04 Mar AAXZM00 110.08

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Fuel oil 3.5% PUAAZ00 592.50–593.00 592.750 -2.250 PUAAY00 607.00–607.50 607.250 -2.750
Apr AAXZY00 109.16 Apr AAXZN00 109.20
Jet FOB Med premium AAIDN00 10.50/11.00 10.750 +0.250
May AAYAM00 108.45 May AAYAP00 108.49

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*Naphtha FOB Med is basis East Med
*Platts ICE assessments reflect the closing value of the ICE contracts at
Northwest Europe cargoes (PGA page 1110) precisely 16:30 London time.

FOB NWE CIF NWE/Basis ARA ICE gasoil settlements (PGA page 702)
Naphtha (Feb) PAAAJ00 918.25–918.75 918.500 -10.750
Gasoil Low Sulfur Gasoil
Naphtha PAAAL00 931.25–931.75 931.500 -12.750
Gasoline 10ppm AAXFQ00 999.25–999.75 999.500 +3.250 Jan AAQSG00 928.50 Jan AAGS001 951.50

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Jet PJAAV00 994.00–994.50 994.250 -6.000 PJAAU00 1009.75–1010.25 1010.000 -6.000 Feb AAQSH00 930.75 Feb AAGS002 951.50
ULSD 10 ppm AAVBF00 929.50–930.00 929.750 -8.000 AAVBG00 950.00–950.50 950.250 -8.000 Mar AAQSI00 929.25 Mar AAGS003 951.00
Diesel 10ppm NWE AAWZD00 932.50–933.00 932.750 -8.250 AAWZC00 953.75–954.25 954.000 -8.000 Apr AAQSJ00 926.00 Apr AAGS004 947.25
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Diesel 10 ppm UK AAVBH00 956.00–956.50 956.250 -8.000 May AAQSK00 922.00 May AAGS005 943.75
Gasoil 0.1% AAYWR00 911.50–912.00 911.750 -7.000 AAYWS00 934.25–934.75 934.500 -7.000 Jun AAQSL00 918.00 Jun AAGS006 940.00
Fuel oil 1.0% PUAAM00 617.75–618.25 618.000 -3.750 PUAAL00 631.00–631.50 631.250 +3.500
Expiry AAQSM00 NA*
Fuel oil 3.5% PUABB00 580.50–581.00 580.750 -1.750 PUABA00 596.50–597.00 596.750 -1.750
Straight run 0.5-0.7% PKABA00 707.00–708.00 707.500 -7.000 *Value at 12:00 London time will only appear on day of expiry
VGO 0.5-0.6% AAHMX00 770.00–771.00 770.500 -7.000 AAHMZ00 773.00–774.00 773.500 -7.000 ICE gasoil GWAVE (Previous day’s values) (PGA page 702)
VGO 2% max AAHNB00 750.50–751.50 751.000 -7.000 AAHND00 753.50–754.50 754.000 -7.000
Jan PXAAJ00 935.00 Feb PXAAK00 936.50
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Northwest Europe barges (PGA page 1112)

FOB Rotterdam Eurobob swaps ($) NYMEX futures (16:30 London time)
Naphtha PAAAM00 927.25–927.75 927.500 -12.750
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Eurobob AAQZV00 970.00–970.50 970.250 -12.000 1200 NYMEX WTI (PGA page 703)
98 RON gasoline 10 ppm AAKOD00 1015.50–1016.00 1015.750 -12.000
Premium gasoline 10 ppm PGABM00 995.50–996.00 995.750 -12.000 $/barrel $/barrel
Jet PJABA00 1005.00–1005.50 1005.250 -8.000 Feb AASCR00 92.62 Mar AASCS00 93.05
Diesel 10 ppm AAJUS00 948.25–948.75 948.500 -9.000
NYMEX heating oil (PGA page 703)
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Gasoil 50 ppm AAUQC00 944.25–944.75 944.500 -7.250 1000


Gasoil 0.1% AAYWT00 927.25–927.75 927.500 -7.000 ¢/gal ¢/gal
Fuel oil 1.0% PUAAP00 619.00–619.50 619.250 -0.500 Feb AASCT00 300.95 Mar AASCU00 299.42
Fuel oil 3.5% PUABC00 601.25–601.75 601.500 -1.750
Rotterdam bunker 380 CST PUAYW00 605.00–606.00 605.500 +3.000 NYMEX RBOB (unleaded gasoline) (PGA page 703)
VGO 0.5-0.6% AAHNF00 770.00–771.00 770.500 -7.000 800 ¢/gal ¢/gal
VGO 2% max AAHNI00 750.50–751.50 751.000 -7.000 Mar May Jul Sep Nov Jan
MTBE* PHALA00 1376.75–1377.25 1377.000 -13.000 Feb AASCV00 275.76 Mar AASCW00 276.01

*FOB Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp

The McGraw Hill Companies


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

Market Update (PGA page 724) Euro-denominated assessments 16:30 London (€/mt)
Crude futures prices remained slightly bearish Med cargoes (PGA page 1120) Northwest Europe barges (PGA page 1118)

Friday, despite data from the US Energy Information FOB Med CIF Med FOB Rotterdam
(Italy) (Genova/Lavera) Naphtha ABWHF00 711.109
Administration that showed a heavy draw in crude Naphtha* ABWHE00 690.025 ABWHD00 706.318 Eurobob ABWGT00 743.886
stocks in the last week of the year. NYMEX February Prem Unl 10ppm ABWGV00 759.220 ABWGU00 769.953 98 RON gasoline 10 ppm ABWGX00 778.770
Jet ABWGZ00 753.853 AAZBO00 773.212 Premium gasoline 10 ppm AAQCH00 763.436
crude was down 60 cents on the day at a $92.32/ 10ppm ULSD ABWHM00 719.926 ABWHH00 732.769 Jet ABWHC00 770.720

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barrel after an initial period of volatility immediately Gasoil 0.1% ABWGQ00 706.318 ABWGO00 720.885 Diesel 10 ppm AAQCI00 727.210
Fuel Oil 1.0% ABWGH00 482.634 ABWGF00 493.751 Gasoil 50 ppm AAUQF00 724.143
following the EIA’s release that saw the contract spike

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Fuel oil 3.5% ABWGM00 454.458 ABWGK00 465.575 Gasoil 0.1% AAYWY00 711.109
to $93.07/b and drop to a session low of $92.22/b Jet FOB Med premium ABWHA00 8.242 Fuel oil 1.0% ABWGI00 474.776
at 11:34 a.m. EST (1634 GMT), before sliding back *Naphtha FOB Med is basis East Med Fuel oil 3.5% AAQCK00 461.167
Rotterdam bunker 380 CST AAUHE00 464.234
within the 70 cent range that defined morning US Northwest Europe cargoes (PGA page 1116)
trade. Earlier Friday front-month NYMEX crude traded

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FOB NWE CIF NWE/ New York Harbor cargoes 16:30 London (PGA pages 1350 & 1450)
between $91.52 and $93.07/b. US crude stocks fell Basis ARA FOB NY Harbor
Naphtha AAQCE00 714.176 (€ cent/gal)
11.12 million barrels last week to 359.939 million

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Gasoline 10ppm ABWGS00 766.311 Unleaded 87 AAPYV00 215.27
barrels, the EIA reported in its weekly domestic Jet ABWHB00 762.286 AAQCF00 774.362 Unleaded 89 AAPYW00 224.32
fuel stock survey, broadly in line with data released ULSD 10 ppm ABWHO00 715.135 ABWHI00 731.427 Unleaded 93 AAPYX00 237.88
Diesel 10ppm NWE ABWHP00 712.834 ABWHK00 728.552 No. 2 AAPYY00 232.08

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Thursday by the US Energy Information Administration Diesel 10 ppm UK ABWHJ00 733.152
ICE February Brent was also lower, down $1.25/b at Gasoil 0.1% ABWGR00 699.034 ABWGP00 716.476

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Fuel oil 1.0% AAQCG00 473.817 ABWGG00 483.976
$110.89/b after spiking to $111.50/b on the EIA Fuel oil 3.5% ABWGN00 445.258 ABWGL00 457.525
European clean product barge freight rates
data release. It is not uncommon for US crude stocks Straight run 0.5-0.7% ABWHG00 542.437
ARA ($/mt) (PGT page 1918)
to tumble sharply moving in to a new year, as refiners Euro/US$ forex rate: 1.3043. Platts Euro denominated European & US product
Rotterdam — Rotterdam TCAEI00 2.50
assessments are based on market values and a Euro/US$ forex rate at 4:30
move to reduce inventories for tax purposes. Over PM local London time. Rotterdam — Flushing TCAEJ00 3.50
Rotterdam — Ghent TCAEK00 4.00
the past five years, crude imports into the US have

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Rotterdam — Antwerp TCAEL00 3.50
fallen in the first half of December before picking Foreign exchange rates (PGA page 1151) Germany ($/mt) (PGT page 1918)
back up in late December and early-January. Crude January 4, 2013 London 16:30 Rotterdam — Duisburg TCAEM00 8.50
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imports fell by 931,000 b/d to 7.094 million b/d Dollar/Swiss franc BCADC00 0.9267 Rotterdam — Cologne TCAEN00 11.75
GB pound/Dollar BCADB00 1.6038 Rotterdam — Karlsruhe TCAEO00 19.00
Analysts polled by Platts predicted a 1 million barrel Antwerp — Duisburg TCAEP00 9.00
Dollar/Yen BCACW00 88.2300
draw in crude stocks. Crude inputs also rose over Euro/Dollar BCADD00 1.3043 Switzerland ($/mt) (PGT page 1918)
the course of the week, the EIA showed, climbing Dollar/Ruble AAUJO00 30.3960 Rotterdam — Basel TCAEQ00 20.50
13,000 b/d to 15.341 million b/d, exacerbating
the effects of the decline in imports. Stocks at The API data showed a gain of 6.71 million barrels, Gasoline (PGA page 1399)
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Cushing, Oklahoma increased by 573,000 barrels to while analysts were anticipating an increase of 1.6
49.75 million barrels, with analysts pointing to the million barrels in distillate stocks. NYMEX February Northwest Europe EBOB gasoline crack swaps were
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temporary closure of the Seaway pipeline during its heating oil was down 2.27 cents to $3.0024/gal still hovering Friday around levels not seen since mid-
recent upgrade as a possible cause for the gain. The after recovering from a near-session low of $2.9989/ October, as Brent futures eased slightly, Platts data
capacity of the Seaway pipeline, which moves crude gal at 11:34 a.m. EST. RBOB, which had been falling showed. “I think it’s more due to crude moving than
oil from storage in Cushing to the US refining complex steadily throughout much of morning US trade, gasoline at the moment,” a gasoline trader said of the
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along the US Gulf Coast, is currently being upgraded continued to slide as the EIA reported a 2.569 million- stable crack swap. The January FOB Rotterdam EBOB
from 150,000 b/d to 400,000 b/d and is expected barrel climb in gasoline stocks over the course of the gasoline crack swap was assessed at $6/barrel,
to reach full capacity some time next week. NYMEX week. NYMEX February RBOB was down 4.38 cents at down slightly from Thursday’s $6.20/b, while February
heating oil fell sharply as the EIA reported a 4.574 $2.7539/gal, recovering moderately from a session was assessed at $6.55/b, also down from Thursday’s
million barrel increase in domestic distillate stocks. low of $2.7447/gal at 11.34 a.m. $6.80/b. NWE EBOB gasoline barges were valued at

Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 2


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

a $3.50/mt premium to the February FOB Rotterdam Subscriber notes (PGA page 1500)

EBOB gasoline outright swap at $970.25/mt. In the


Mediterranean, the market was still experiencing ■■ As part of its commitment to maintaining open to calculate the netback formula for FOB NWE 10ppm
dialog with the industry, Platts is hosting an Oil diesel (Le Havre) is $8.89/mt. The Worldscale flat rate
additional demand for Red Sea cargoes due to a
Technical Workshop on January 23 in Rotterdam. This used to calculate the netback formula for the FOB ULSD
20-day shutdown at Saudi Arabia’s PetroRabigh
workshop will focus on barge and cargo logistics in the 10ppm diesel (ARA) is $8.66/mt. The Worldscale flat rate
refining and petrochemicals complex. “I still feel like Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp region, including the used to calculate the netback formula for the CIF 10ppm

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there is cargo demand from the Mediterranean for the importance of performance in the Platts MOC process, diesel UK is $2.51/mt.
east. I think the additional demand is 2-3 cargoes Platts nomination procedures, rights and obligations in

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that we are seeing enquiry for,” a second trader said. ■■ Effective January 2, 2013 the Worldscale flat rate
chains, compensation, alternate delivery solutions and
used to calculate the netback formula for CIF Med pre-
At the same time, the market tightness could ease demurrage issues and is aimed at inviting feedback from
mium gasoline 10ppm is $8.02/mt. Comments please to
slightly, a third trader said. “Demand is still holding, traders and operators as well as other market partici-
europe_products with a CC to pricegroup@platts.com
but we are seeing more barrels from the central Med, pants. The Platts panel will comprise of Simon Thorne,

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the Turkish Med and we expect some in the Spanish Tim Worledge, Benno Spencer and Chris Vowden. ■■ Effective January 1, 2013, Platts has removed a range
side as well.” Register now to reserve your free place: of biofuel assessments from European Marketscan. The

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http://marketing2012.platts.com/content/OLEM201301_ Platts MTBE assessment (code PHALA00) will continue
RotterdamOilTechnicalWorkshop to be published in European Marketscan. From 2013
Gasoline deals (PGA page 5) forward, the only Platts publication to carry biofuels is

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■■ Effective January 4, 2013 and following a revised
Platts Biofuelscan. The codes affected are: Fuel grade eth-
Gasoline MOC deals: PREM UNL: ARGOSSU-Statoil at Rotterdam port tariff issued by Worldscale, the port fee cal-
anol codes AAWUQ00, AAYDT00, AAVLD00, AAYDS00;

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$1000/mt MW; Trafigura-Spectron-Statoil at $998/mt culation within the cross NWE fuel oil freight rate is amend-
Biodiesel FAME -10 codes AAWGY00, AAWGH00; FAME
MW Gasoline cargo MOC deals: NWE CARGO: Statoil- ed to $0.93/mt. The Worldscale flat rate used to calculate the
0 codes AAXQL00, AAWGI00; Soy Methyl Ester (SME)
netback formula for FOB NWE 3.5% fuel oil will be $8.78/
Greenergy at $1007/mt for January 15-19 codes AAUCB00, AAWGJ00; Rapeseed Methyl Ester
mt. Comments please to europe_products@platts.com, CC
(RME) codes AAUCA00, AAWGK00.
to pricegroup@platts.com.
Naphtha (PGA page 1398) ■■ ICE has released a document covering Frequently

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■■ Effective January 4, 2013 and following a revised
Asked Questions regarding the transition from swaps
The European naphtha market weakened Friday with Rotterdam port tariff issued by Worldscale, the port
to futures effective October 15, 2012. The document is
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fee calculation within the Jet NWE-Med freight rate is
Platts assessing CIF Northwest European cargoes at available at www.theice.com/publicdocs/Platts_Swaps_
amended to $1.15/mt. Comments please to
$931.50/mt, $12.75/mt lower on the day, while the to_Futures_FAQ.pdf. The move by ICE to convert swaps
europe_products@platts.com, CC to pricegroup@platts.com.
January/February spread for naphtha was assessed into futures has raised questions over whether the
at minus $11.00/mt--down $2/mt on the day. During ■■ Effective January 4, 2013 and following a revised change has also affected the nomenclature of Platts
the Platts Market on Close assessment process, four Rotterdam port tariff issued by Worldscale, the port fee assessments. The nomenclature of Platts assessments in
trades were concluded, all of them with Vitol as the calculation within the NWE-Med freight rate is amended to all its publications remains the same and there are no
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$0.95/mt. Comments please to europe_products@platts.com, changes envisioned as a result of the ICE move. Platts
seller and three of them with Trafigura as buyer. BP
CC to pricegroup@platts.com. methodologies are also unaffected by ICE changes. For
also bought a cargo from the Geneva-based trading
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more information about our methodology please access


company. Vitol’s selling follows huge buying through ■■ Effective January 2, 2013, the Worldscale flat rate
Platts.com or contact the various commodity sectors
December 2012, when the company bought a total used to calculate the netback formulas for FOB Med
including oil@platts.com and pricegroup@platts.com.
of 52 cargoes during the MOC process. Cracks for 0.1% gasoil is $10.69/mt. For FOB NWE 0.1% gasoil the
naphtha also came under pressure once again to Worldscale flat rate net back is $9.56/mt. Comments ■■ Effective January 2, 2014 and following industry
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please to europe_products@platts.com with a CC to feedback to a previous subscriber note, Platts will cal-
minus $6.10/barrel for January and to minus $6.30/b
pricegroup@platts.com. culate the CIF Mediterranean naphtha assessment by
for February, while crude oil futures fell for a second
only applying the freight value between Alexandria
day in a row. According to market sources, the main ■■ Effective January 2, 2013, the Worldscale flat rate
and Lavera to the FOB Med naphtha assessment. This
element driving the naphtha complex lower is the used to calculate the netback formula for FOB Med
freight value will be calculated using the Platts cross
attractiveness of LPG, largely due to the unseasonable 10ppm diesel is $9.41/mt. The Worldscale flat rate used
Med clean tanker assessment for 27,500 mt naphtha

Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 3


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

mild temperatures in Europe. “Most of end-users Subscriber notes (cont.) (PGA page 1500)

that could switch to propane cracking did already,”


commented a petrochemical player. However, he thinks cargoes only. Currently the CIF Med naphtha assess- density, 420 CST viscosity, 80 ppm aluminium/silicon,
ment is calculated by applying the freight value between 6% asphaltenes and 120 ppm vanadium. All other spec-
that high operating rates in refineries will help support
Alexandria and Lavera plus an allowance of $3/mt for ifications remain unchanged from the current specifi-
the price of naphtha. “I would not read to much into it
port costs. Platts proposes to remove the port costs from cation reflected. Platts will continue to consider other
as it was a very quiet week and we will have a clearer the calculation of this assessment. Please send feedback merchantable LSFO specifications in its assessment

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picture next week when everybody is back at work,” and questions to europe_products@platts.com with a cc process, and normalize to the updated specifications.
said a trader. A lot of market players were indeed to pricegroup@platts.com Please send comments to europe_products@platts.com

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just coming back from holidays after Christmas and with a cc to pricegroup@platts.com.
■■ Following feedback to its proposal published on June
the New Year, with the main financial news this week
27, 2012, Platts has discontinued its FOB NWE Premium ■■ In preparation for a change to the benchmark
being the deal to avoid a fiscal cliff in the US. Another
Gasoline Non-Oxy and Regular Unleaded Non-Oxy assess- Singapore FOB gasoil assessment, the Gasoil Reg 0.5%
point debated in the market was the arbitrage to

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ments as planned. The assessments will be suspended assessment was renamed Gasoil on January 3, 2012.
send cargoes from Europe to Asia which could open, with effect from January 2, 2013. Platts proposed to dis- The renamed Gasoil assessment will continue to reflect
said traders. “If levels for naphtha drop in Europe,

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continue the assessment because the quality reflected in the same underlying methodology and quality speci-
more cargoes are going to be committed to Asia and the two assessments no longer reflects an actively traded fications, including a sulfur content of 0.5% sulfur,
the US,” said a trader at a petrochemical end-user. or supplied grade in northwest Europe. Please send ques- all through calendar year 2012. The specification will

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However other sources were less sure there were tions and feedback to europe_products@platts.com with a change to 500 ppm sulfur on January 2, 2013. This
would be a huge glut of fresh material heading from CC to pricegroup@platts.com. name change has now also been made in the Platts

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Europe to Asia in the immediate future. European Marketscan.
■■ Effective January 2, 2013, Platts is reflecting an
updated specification in all European cracked LSFO
cargoes in response to changes in supply and demand
Correction
Naphtha deals (PGA page 5)
patterns in the European low sulfur fuel oil market. ■■ Please note that Platts January 3 cargo assessments
No deals reported. Under its revised specifications, Platts assessments will for high sulfur fuel oil FOB Med (Italy) and CIF Med

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reflect the following qualities: EU-qualified, 1.00% (Genova/Lavera) should read $594.75-595.25/mt
sulfur, 0.991 kg/l density, 380 CST viscosity, 60 ppm (PUAAZ00) and $609.75-610.25/mt (PUAAY00), respec-
Jet (PGA page 1497)
PD
aluminium/silicon, 7% asphaltenes, 30 degrees Celsius tively. These assessments appear in Platts European
pour point, 65 degrees Celsius flash point, 15% CCR, Marketscan, Platts Bunkerwire, Platts Global Alert page
Premiums ended the week Friday with a reversal of
0.1% ash, 0.5% water, 150 ppm vanadium, 9650 kcal/ 1420, and in the Platts price database under the code
the recent trend, as cargo premiums saw their first
kg NCV, 0.1% TSP. This represents a change from the PUAAZ00 and PUAAY00.
rise of 2013. Platts assessed the CIF Northwest previous Platts assessment specifications of 0.995 kg/l
Europe cargo market at an outright price of $1,010/
mt or a premium of $82/mt versus the front-month
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gasoil contract. Barge premiums did not share the said, referring to the way in which premiums have in kerosene demand. In the Platts Market on Close
same support though, as the impact of refining responded to the vagaries of supply over recent assessment process, BP withdrew its cargo offer on
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capacity and poor storage economics continued to months. Key to that was the increased reliance on the Venus R, basis Le Havre for 14-18 delivery, to sell
unleash oil into a market where demand remained imports secured from arbitrage flows--with the Persian to Morgan Stanley’s bid on the same dates and into
stubbornly elusive. The barge premium eased by 75 Gulf the most significant supply point, and loss of the same location at the average of Platts plus $2/
cents to be assessed at plus $77.25/mt, according European refining capacity the counterpoint to that mt pricing the average of January 7-31. On barges,
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to Platts data. Market sources looked to familiar supply. “Sure, there are a few arrivals now, but Morgan Stanley was also a buyer, lifting an offer
trends keeping the complex in check Friday. “The there’s not much coming behind that,” the trader said from Statoil at January plus $76/mt for delivery on
market has rolled on from where it left off last year- of that incremental supply, with Europe likely to still 9-13 dates. That saw the spread between barges and
-one minute you think there’s enough jet around, have to price up to ensure flows continued to arrive- cargoes widen further, as barges sank to a $4.75/mt
the next minute there isn’t enough,” one trader -particularly with the full bite of winter still to be felt discount to cargoes.

Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 4


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

Jet deals (PGA page 5)


FOB Rotterdam 0.1% gasoil barge differential to the front n Gasoil 50ppm barge MOC deals: AST-STR at Jan plus
Jet MOC cargo deals: BP-Morgan Stanley 27kt at CCM month ICE 0.1% gasoil was assessed at minus $0.50, 16, 2 kt, FOB ARA, 12-16 Jan (MW).
PLUS 2 pxg 7 - 31 Jan 2013, Balance at Feb ICEGO a day-on-day rise of $0.25/mt, Platts data showed.
plus 78, for 30kt +/- 10% s/option, EU Qualified Jet A1 The unseasonably warm weather was also affecting Diesel (PGA page 1498)
Defstan 91-91 latest issue, JFSCLI latest issue (current the 50 ppm gasoil market, due to its use as a heating
at bill of lading) with possible exception of electrical oil in Germany. “The main point is the warmer weather The premium for diesel barges loading in Rotterdam over

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conductivity (Stadis to be provided on board in drums), which is not supporting the 50 ppm demand...it’s 9 C the front-month ICE 0.1% gasoil futures contract was
standard Platt’s nomination details, with minimum BP, in Germany today, and it’s forecast to get even better in down from Thursday, being assessed as $1.75/mt lower

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Shell, Exxon approvals, ISPS compliant, f/p cargo s/ next 10 days,” a trader said. “The end-user is not keen at $20.50/mt Friday. “There are some offers, but on the
option, 14 - 29 Jan 2013 (laycan to be narrowed to 5 to buy given the current 50 ppm outright price, and the other side demand is not that great either,” one trader said
days at the time of the deal), CIF Basis CIM Le Havre inland supply is enough to suffice the demand.” Low of thin trading activity in the ULSD barge market. In the
+ full NWE C/P. Subject to acceptance of Venus R. Jet 50 ppm gasoil outright values can trigger buying activity Northwest European cargo market there continued to be

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MOC barge deal summary: Statoil-Morgan Stanley at Jan in the German market, such as that seen in July 2012 available cargoes originating from the Baltic region. During
+$76/mt 2kt FARAG 09-13/1 when outright values fell to 18-month low of $829/mt the Platts Market on Close assessment process there were

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and triggered end users in Germany to come out and buy two cargo offers basis Le Havre. Both cargoes, one from
Jet Index (PGA page 115) around 2.8 million tonnes of 50 ppm over July according Vitol and one from Stasco were offered on prompt delivery

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January 3, 2013 Index $/mt to German agency MVW. However a FOB Amsterdam- dates of January 14-18. Despite the absence of US and
Europe & CIS PJECI00 346.92 PJECI09 1014.63
Rotterdam-Antwerp 50 ppm barge value of $944.50/mt Asia arbitrage cargoes premiums premium remained

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MidEast & Africa PJMEA00 372.74 PJMEA09 984.81
Global PJGLO00 350.78 PJGLO09 1011.31 was not low enough to stimulate buying demand. The 50 relative suppressed, sources said. The Mediterranean
ppm differential was assessed at $16.50/mt over the region continued to price above NWE, with demand into
front month ICE 0.1% gasoil futures contract, unchanged Italy and Turkey supporting premiums, sources said. The
Gasoil (PGA page 1499)
over the day Platts data showed. In the 50 ppm barge spread between the CIF NWE cargo premium and the CIF
MOC process Vitol bit to January plus $17/mt for Med cargo premium was $5.50/mt Friday, Platts data

F
The January futures contract was trading at a $2.50/ front window loading, while an offer by Argos Supply shows. During the MOC process Gunvor had two cargoes
mt discount to its February counterpart in the European Trading at January plus $16/mt for mid-window loading which demonstrated a lower premium on the day, while
PD
afternoon trading session before ending the day at was lifted by STR. AST re-offered at plus $17. The there were bids from OMV and Stasco showing demand
1630 London time at a $2.25/mt discount, compared Mediterranean 0.1% gasoil market retained is strength basis Turkey and from Trafigura demonstrating buying
with a $1.75/mt discount at the same time Thursday as North African demand supported differentials, and interest basis Italy. “Italy is becoming more of a regular
and from a flat structure December 27. Traders said traders noted a lack on on specification prompt cargoes. short. There has been a lot of refinery closures which
fundamentals were unchanged from Thursday, with low The combination of Algeria, Libya and Egypt buying has means now there is always interest in Fiumincino and
regional demand, stable export demand and healthy seed the CIF cargo differential reach its highest premium Falconara for example,” one trader said.
rt

flows from the Baltics. “It’s still same flows leaving the since October 24 when it was assessed at $12.50/
region South America, West Africa and North Africa,” a mt. The CIF Med 0.1% gasoil differential was assessed
pe

trader added. While any demand in the Benelux, French at $12.25/mt above the front-month ICE 0.1% gasoil
or Swiss region was put down to standard contractual futures contract. PLATTS OIL IS ON TWITTER
volumes rather than incremental demand to cover
increased consumption, as temperatures remained FOR UP-TO-THE-MINUTE OIL NEWS
Ex

Gasoil deals (PGA page 5)


warmer than typical for January. In the 0.1% gasoil barge AND INFORMATION FROM PLATTS
Platts Market on Close assessment process Vitol hit n Gasoil 0.1% barge MOC deals: VSA- Mercuria , 2kt Follow us on twitter.com/PlattsOil
a bid by Mercuria at January minus $1/mt for loading for 9-13 Jan 0.1 bgs FOB ARA at Jan minus 1; Gunvor-
January 9-13, a rebid by Mercuria at the same level was Mercuria bid 2kt for 9-13 Jan 0.1 bgs FOB ARA at Jan
then hit by Gunvor before the close of the window. The minus 1.

Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 5


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

Diesel deals (PGA page 5)


NWE LSFO cargoes fell a second day against equivalent n LSFO cargo MOC deals: 1) LSFO: CARGO: VITOL-BP
Diesel MOC barge trades: AST-Vitol Jan + 20 ARA, 9-13 front-month swaps to a discount of minus $5.25/ NWE Crg FOB bss Antwerp January 24-28, 1% FOB
Jan, 2kt; Statoil-Vitol Jan + 20 AR, 9-13 Jan, 2kt; AST-BP mt, from minus $4.00/mt the previous day. This NWE cargoes +$0.00 for 25000 mt. EU qualified.
Jan + 20 ARA, 9-13 Jan, 2kt. was based on a trade in the Platts Market on Close 25kt main volume pricing Jan 5-31. Optol pricing basis
assessment process in which Vitol’s aggressive offer of bl+3 days as per main volume differential.
Fuel oil (PGA page 1599)
a 25,000--30,000 mt FOB Antwerp LSFO cargo of Platts Spec - 1.00s / 0.991 / 280cst / 30pp / 65 min fp /

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new specification, except for 280 CST viscosity and 6 9650 NCV / 60 alu+sili / 120 van / 0.5 water / 15 ccr
The high sulfur fuel oil market firmed for a third asphaltenes, was lifted by BP, pricing on the remainder / 6 asphaltenes / 0.1 TSP&TSE&TSA / 0.10 ash / 2

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straight session Friday following gains in Singapore, of FOB NWE 1% assessments flat. OW’s CIF NWE offer h2s / oil to contain no ULO / rest as per rmg
sources said. FOB Rotterdam 3.5% barges were was less aggressive Friday, allowing CIF NWE numbers
assessed at a $1/mt premium to the February to recover against FOB. LSFO barges were less active, n HSFO cargo MOC deal summary: none
swap, up $0.75/mt day-on-day. There were reports with no trades in the MOC process.

a
that Gunvor had fixed a VLCC, the D Whale, to VGO (PGA page 1597)
carry straight run fuel oil, and perhaps some high

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Fuel Oil deals (PGA page 5)
sulfur fuel oil, from Southwold to Singapore, for Vacuum gasoil differentials to ICE Brent futures held
loading January 15. Gunvor declined to comment. n HSFO barge MOC deals: 1) Gunvor-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, steady Friday, as limited buying interest in Northwest

a
There were reports that other trading houses were FOB Rdam, FE; 2) Litasco-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, Europe was seen. This might soon turn, sources
investigating arbitrage opportunities to Asia, though FE; 3) Litasco-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 4) noted, as gasoline cracks had shown some strength

Ev
some traders did not feel it attractive enough for the Litasco-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 5) Gunvor-Nioc in the region and beyond. Crude values in both high
time being. “It [the arb] appears to still be shut to $602.5/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 6) Litasco-Vitol $602/ and low sulfur grades in the region remained firm,
me. Arb spreads have narrowed,” a trader said. In mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 7) Mercuria-Chemoil $602/mt, and product margins seeing the inevitable effect
Singapore, the FOB Singapore cash differential to the 2kt, FOB Rdam, BE; 8) Mercuria-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB of some knock-on weakness. “There isn’t a lot of
Mean of Platts Singapore assessment for 380 CST Rdam, FE; 9) BP-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 10) demand out there for VGO at this moment,” said

F
high sulfur fuel oil firmed up to a two-month high. Gunvor-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 11) BP-Vitol one regular seller of the low sulfur market, adding:
Nevertheless, Singapore traders seemed skeptical $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 12) Litasco-Vitol $602/ “Though I’d imagine demand will have to pick up
PD
that the momentum with which the market sentiment mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE; 13) BP-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB if gasoline cracks remain where they are.” Indeed
has shifted would be sustained, amid good supply Rdam, FE; 14) Litasco-Chemoil $601.5/mt, 2kt, FOB gasoline cracks looked better than at the back end
levels. Trade sources estimate that western arbitrage Rdam, BE; 15) Chemoil-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, of 2012, up at a two-and-a-half month high around
volumes amounting to around 5.5 million mt will arrive FE; 16) Litasco-Chemoil $601/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, MW; February Brent plus $6.50/barrel. “Since the fiscal
into the region this month, up from 4.5-5 million mt 17) Koch-Gunvor $601.75/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, BE; 18) cliff was averted we’ve seen an uptick and perhaps it
in December. “Yes, it seems like a big turnaround in BP-Vitol $602/mt, 2kt, FOB Rdam, FE. could rekindle interest in VGO,” a source said.
rt

market sentiment indeed, but I am not sure how much


of it really is rational,” said a Singapore-based trader.
pe

“Yes, the Chinese have been buying, but I don’t think


it’s any unusually incremental volume...they probably
imported slightly more in December than in November,
and for January it may be the same as in December. ] EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN Volume 45 / Issue 3 / January 4, 2013
Editorial: Gasoil: +44-20-7176-6166 Diesel: +44-20-7176-6684 Gasoline: +44-20-7176-6120 Jet: +44-20-7176-6206 Naphtha: +44-20-7176-3144
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Crude: +44-20-7176-6114 Fuel Oil: +44-20-7176-6104 Feedstocks: +44-20-7176-6112


They have already covered their Chinese New year Client services information: North America: 800-PLATTS8 (800-752-8878); direct: +1 212-904-3070, Europe & Middle East: +44-20-7176-6111,
requirements. So I don’t think Chinese buying in Asian Pacific: +65-6530-6430 Latin America: +54-11-4121-4810, E-mail: support@platts.com
Copyright © 2013 The McGraw-Hill Companies. All rights reserved. No portion of this publication may be photocopied, reproduced, retransmitted, put into a compu-
itself is a big factor for the shift in sentiment,” said a ter system or otherwise redistributed without prior written authorization from Platts. Platts is a trademark of The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc.Information has been
trader with a Chinese trading house. In the Northwest obtained from sources believed reliable. However, because of the possibility of human or mechanical error by sources, McGraw-Hill or others, McGraw-Hill does not
guarantee the accuracy, adequacy or completeness of any such information and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from use of
European low sulfur fuel oil market Friday, physical FOB such information. See back of publication invoice for complete terms and conditions.

Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 6


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

VGO deals (PGA page 5)


Asia products
No deals reported. Code Mid Change Code Mid Change
Singapore (PGA page 2002)
FOB Singpore ($/barrel)
North Sea crude (PGA page 1299) Naphtha PAAAP00 104.31–104.35 104.330 -1.050
Gasoline 92 unleaded PGAEY00 119.15–119.19 119.170 -1.620
During the Platts Market on Close assessment Gasoline 95 unleaded PGAEZ00 121.47–121.51 121.490 -1.500

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process Friday, Vitol bid for--and eventually bought- Gasoline 97 unleaded PGAMS00 123.97–124.01 123.990 -1.510
Kerosene PJABF00 126.34–126.38 126.360 -0.140
-a cargo of Forties crude at a premium of $1.50/ Gasoil 0.05% sulfur AAFEX00 125.84–125.88 125.860 -0.350

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barrel to Dated Brent. Crucially, this occurred while Gasoil 0.25% sulfur AACUE00 124.74–124.78 124.760 -0.380
Gasoil POABC00 125.84–125.88 125.860 -0.350
Trafigura offered a cargo of Brent-Ninian Blend to
Fuel oil 180 CST 2% ($/mt) PUAXS00 648.16–648.20 648.180 +9.800
Dated Brent plus $1.35/b, where Vitol ultimately HSFO 180 CST ($/mt) PUADV00 633.66–633.70 633.680 +10.880
bought it too. The trades that occurred Friday implied HSFO 380 CST ($/mt) PPXDK00 629.18–629.22 629.200 +10.940

a
that the value of Forties crude was $0.15/b higher Indonesia (PGA page 2516)

than BNB as both cargoes were for the same dates, FOB Indonesia ($/barrel)

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LSWR Mixed/Cracked PPAPU00 110.69–110.73 110.710 +1.480
loading January 21-23. Thursday, and for the first
Gasoline components (PBF page 2010)
time since January 27, 2011, Platts assessed BNB
FOB Singapore ($/mt)

a
at a discount of $0.07/b to Forties crude. Friday, a MTBE PHALF00 1168.00–1170.00 1169.000 -15.000
crude trader at Vitol confirmed the trading house had Singapore Swaps (PPA page 2654)

Ev
put the Hanjin Ras Tanura VLCC on subjects to carry February ($/barrel) March ($/barrel)
crude from the North Sea to South Korea, loading Naphtha Japan ($/mt) AAXFE00 930.75–931.25 931.000 -8.000 AAXFF00 917.75–918.25 918.000 -7.500
Naphtha PAAAQ00 101.48–101.52 101.500 -0.900 PAAAR00 100.13–100.17 100.150 -0.900
January 20. Another trader said they had heard that
Gasoline 92 unleaded AAXEL00 117.08–117.12 117.100 -1.050 AAXEM00 115.98–116.02 116.000 -0.950
the vessel was put on subjects for $5.75-5.8 million. Reforming Spread AAXEO00 15.58/15.62 15.600 -0.150 AAXEP00 15.83/15.87 15.850 -0.050
A crude trader at Vitol declined to comment on the Kerosene PJABS00 125.28–125.32 125.300 -0.410 PJABT00 124.74–124.78 124.760 -0.550

F
Gasoil POAFC00 125.37–125.41 125.390 -0.440 POAFG00 124.95–124.99 124.970 -0.530
price. Part of the reason for Forties crude--and by HSFO 180 CST ($/mt) PUAXZ00 637.48–637.52 637.500 +8.250 PUAYF00 638.23–638.27 638.250 +7.000
extension Dated Brent--being so strong recently was Middle East (PGA page 2004)
PD
demand for the grade, in particular from Vitol, which FOB Arab Gulf ($/barrel)
now owns two Forties cargoes loading January 19-23 Naphtha ($/mt) PAAAA00 904.66–913.16 908.910 -7.390
and one Brent cargo loading 21-23--nearly a full Naphtha LR2 ($/mt) AAIDA00 915.54–924.04 919.790 -8.110
Kerosene PJAAA00 123.45–123.49 123.470 -0.050
VLCC’s worth. A crude trader at Vitol said Thursday Gasoil 0.005% sulfur AASGJ00 123.37–123.41 123.390 -0.260
that it had demand to fill, hence the relatively strong Gasoil 0.05% sulfur AAFEZ00 122.77–122.81 122.790 -0.260
Gasoil 0.25% sulfur AACUA00 121.77–121.81 121.790 -0.260
premiums being bid. With other North Sea grades
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Gasoil POAAT00 122.77–122.81 122.790 -0.260


down slightly Friday, hindered from any rise on poor HSFO 180 CST ($/mt) PUABE00 618.63–618.67 618.650 +10.960
margins and weak demand, the current strength of Japan (PGA page 2006)
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the front-month ICE Brent crude futures spread was C+F Japan ($/mt) Premium/Discount
questioned by some traders--it traded as wide as Naphtha PAAAD00 945.25–953.75 949.500 -8.750
Naphtha MOPJ Strip AAXFH00 917.75–918.25 918.000 -7.500 AAXFI00 31.25/31.75 31.500 -1.250
$1.29/b Friday. “I don’t think fundamentals support Naphtha 2nd 1/2 Feb PAAAE00 961.75–962.25 962.000 -8.500
the spread where it is. I would expect things to Naphtha 1st 1/2 Mar PAAAF00 953.25–953.75 953.500 -8.500
Ex

Naphtha 2nd 1/2 Mar PAAAG00 945.25–945.75 945.500 -9.000


ease...Urals I am hearing might well ease...margins
Gasoline unleaded ($/barrel) PGACW00 122.03–122.07 122.050 -1.620
are not great--something is not quite adding up,” one Kerosene ($/barrel) PJAAN00 128.07–128.11 128.090 -0.190
trader said. Indeed, the February/March BFOE spread Gasoil ($/barrel) POABF00 127.98–128.02 128.000 -0.400
HSFO 180 CST PUACJ00 647.12–647.16 647.140 +10.880
was assessed in the narrower backwardation of
(continued on page 9)

Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 7


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

US Products: January 3, 2013


Code Mid Change Code Mid Change Code Mid Change
New York harbor (PGA page 152)
CIF cargoes (¢/gal) RVP
Unleaded 87 0.3% AAMHG00 284.27–284.37 284.320 -1.060 AAMHGRV 15.0
Unleaded-89 0.3% AAMIW00 296.07–296.17 296.120 -1.680 AAMIWRV 15.0
Unleaded-93 0.3% AAMIZ00 313.76–313.86 313.810 -2.610 AAMIZRV 15.0

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Jet PJAAX00 309.80–309.90 309.850 -0.680
Low sulfur jet PJABK00 314.80–314.90 314.850 -1.930
ULS Kero AAVTH00 328.80–328.90 328.850 -1.930

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No. 2 POAEH00 302.80–302.90 302.850 -1.430
$/barrel 1% strip NYH cargo vs 1% strip
No. 6 0.3% HP PUAAE00 110.76–110.86 110.810 +2.170 AAUGA00 10.41/10.51 10.460 +0.410
No. 6 0.3% LP PUAAB00 116.76–116.86 116.810 +2.120 AAUGB00 16.41/16.51 16.460 +0.360

a
No. 6 0.7% PUAAH00 106.15–106.25 106.200 +2.180 AAUGC00 5.80/5.90 5.850 +0.420
No. 6 1.0%** PUAAO00 102.39–102.44 102.415 +2.175 AAUGG00 100.34–100.36 100.350 +1.760 AAUGD00 2.04/2.09 2.065 +0.415
No. 6 2.2% PUAAU00 98.13–98.23 98.180 +1.610 AAUGE00 -2.22/-2.12 -2.170 -0.150

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No. 6 3.0% PUAAX00 97.38–97.48 97.430 +1.510 AAUGF00 -2.97/-2.87 -2.920 -0.250
Residual swaps ($/barrel)
No. 6 1.0% paper Bal M AARZS00 100.44–100.46 100.450 +1.850

a
No. 6 1.0% paper 1st month PUAXD00 99.50–99.60 99.550 +1.050
No. 6 1.0% paper 2nd month PUAXF00 99.10–99.20 99.150 +0.700
No. 6 1.0% paper next quarter PUAXG00 98.65–98.75 98.700 +0.470

Ev
Boston cargoes (PGA pages 152)
¢/gal
Low sulfur jet PJABL00 316.80–316.90 316.850 -1.930
ULS Kero AAVTJ00 330.80–330.90 330.850 -1.930
No. 2 POAEA00 305.55–305.65 305.600 -1.430
No. 6 2.2% ($/barrel) PUAWN00 98.73–98.83 98.780 +1.660

F
NY/Boston numbers include duty. **This assessment reflects 150 max al+si
FOB Gulf Coast (PGA page 156 & 338)
PD
¢/gal RVP
Unleaded 87 PGACT00 270.00–270.10 270.050 +3.350 PGACTRV 13.5
Unleaded 89 PGAAY00 283.50–283.60 283.550 +3.670 PGAAYRV 13.5
Unleaded 93 PGAJB00 303.75–303.85 303.800 +4.150 PGAJBRV 13.5
MTBE PHAKX00 395.50–395.60 395.550 +8.400
Alkylate* AAFIE00 40.95/41.05 41.000 +6.500
Naphtha PAAAC00 285.25–285.35 285.300 +0.850
Jet 54 PJABM00 303.15–303.25 303.200 -1.080
rt

Jet 55 PJABN00 308.15–308.25 308.200 -1.080


ULS Kero AAVTK00 318.15–318.25 318.200 -1.080
No. 2 POAEE00 299.00–299.10 299.050 -0.380
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Low sulfur No. 2 POAES00 300.80–300.90 300.850 -0.980


*Premium to US Gulf Coast pipeline gasoline
$/barrel 3% strip vs 1% strip
Slurry Oil PPAPW00 98.04–98.06 98.050 +1.270 AAUGS00 1.49/1.51 1.500 -0.010
No. 6 1.0% 6 API PUAAI00 100.39–100.41 100.400 +0.070 AAUGT00 3.84/3.86 3.850 -1.210
Ex

No. 6 3.0% PUAFZ00 97.89–97.91 97.900 +1.270 AAUGW00 96.54–96.56 96.550 +1.280 AAUGU00 1.34/1.36 1.350 -0.010
RMG 380 PUBDM00 99.69–99.71 99.700 +1.470 AAUGV00 3.14/3.16 3.150 +0.190
Residual swaps ($/barrel)
No. 6 3.0% paper 1st month PUAXJ00 95.40–95.50 95.450 +0.950
No. 6 3.0% paper 2nd month PUAXL00 94.95–95.05 95.000 +0.800
No. 6 3.0% paper next quarter PUAXN00 94.40–94.50 94.450 +0.580

Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 8


EUROPEAN MARKETSCAN january 4, 2013

LSSR (PGA page 1598)


$0.91/b Friday. With most February North Sea crude flirted with negative territory towards the end of the week,
loading programs expected Monday, January 7, the Low sulfur straight run values edged lower again Friday, could soon turn negative, a source agreed. “That could
end of the week saw the release of Statoil’s Oseberg beset by trader talk on the lack of European end-user help lift straight run [values] back towards some sense of
and Maersk’s Duc and Dumbarton. Oseberg was flat demand for material. There were signs of cargoes available, respectability after what’s been a tough run,” he said.
on January at six 600,000-barrel cargoes, Dumbarton according to sources, but few public offers gave much
also showed a stable program of one 425,000-barrel indication of value. “The straight run we are seeing is not in LSSR deals (PGA page 5)

n
cargo while Duc’s February program was at four massive quantities, but negative margins might impact that
600,000-barrel cargoes, down one cargo on January. even more,” said one trader. Refining margins, which have No deals reported.

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PD
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Copyright © 2013, The McGraw-Hill Companies 9

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