Program Name Source Content

1.3 Pritchett Clock Repair Shop Excel QM Breakeven Analysis

1.4 Pritchett Clock Repair Shop Excel QM Goal Seek
2.1 Expected Value and Variance Excel Expected Value and Variance

2.2 Binomial Probabilities Excel Binomial Probabilities

2.3 Normal distribution Excel Normal distribution
2.4 F Distribution Excel F distribution probabilities
2.5 Exponential Distribution Excel Exponential probabilities
2.6 Poisson distribution Excel Poisson probabilities
3.1 Thompson Lumber Excel Decision Table
3.5 Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example Excel Bayes Theorem
4.1 Triple A Construction Company Sales Excel Regression
4.2 Jenny Wilson Realty Excel Multiple Regression
4.3 Jenny Wilson Realty Excel Dummy Variables - Regression
4.4 MPG Data Excel Linear Regression
4.5 MPG Data Excel Nonlinear Regression
4.6 Solved Problem 4-2 Excel Regression
4.8 Triple A Construction Company Sales Excel QM Regression
5.1 Wallace Garden Supply Shed Sales Excel QM Weighted Moving Average
5.2 Port of Baltimore Excel QM Exponential Smoothing
5.3 Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand Excel QM Expo. Smoothing with Trend
5.4 Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand Excel Trend Analysis
5.5 Midwestern Manufacturing's Demand Excel QM Trend Analysis
5.6 Turner Industries Excel QM Multiplicative Decomposition
5.7 Turner Industries Excel Multiple Regression
6.1 Sumco Pump Company Excel QM EOQ Model
6.2 Brown Manufacturing Excel QM Production Run Model
6.3 Brass Department Store Excel QM Quantity Discount Model
6.4 Hinsdale Company Safety Stock Excel QM Safety Stock
7.2 Flair Furniture Excel Linear Programming
7.4 Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch Excel Linear Programming
7.6 High note sound company Excel Linear Programming
7.7 Flair Furniture Excel QM Linear Programming
8.1 Win Big Gambling Club Excel Linear Programming
8.2 Management Science Associates Excel Linear Programming
8.3 Fifth Avenue Industries Excel Linear Programming
8.4 Greenberg Motors Excel Linear Programming
8.5 Labor Planning Example Excel Linear Programming
8.6 ICT Portfolio Selection Excel Linear Programming
8.5xx Top Speed Bicycle Company Excel Linear Programming
8.7 Goodman Shipping Excel Linear Programming
8.8 Whole Foods Nutrition Problem Excel Linear Programming
8.9 Low Knock Oil Company Excel Linear Programming
8.10 Top Speed Bicycle Company Excel Linear Programming
9.1 Transportation Example Excel Linear Programming
9.2 Fix-It Shop Excel QM Linear Programming
9.3 Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem Excel Linear Programming
9.4 Transportation Problem - Birmingham Excel QM Transportation
9.5 Fix-It Shop Assignment Excel QM Assignment
 9.1 Executive Furniture Company Excel QM Transportation
9.2 Birmingham Plant Excel QM Transportation
10.2 Harrison Electric IP Analysis Excel Integer programming
10.4 Bagwell Chemical Company Excel Integer programming
10.5 Quemo Chemical Company Excel Integer programming
10.6 Sitka Manufacturing Company Excel Integer programming
10.7 Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg Excel Integer programming
10.9 Great Western Appliance Excel Nonlinear programming
10.10 Hospicare Corp Excel Nonlinear programming
10.11 Thermlock Gaskets Excel Nonlinear programming
10.12 Solved Problem 10-1 Excel 0-1 programming
10.13 Solved Problem 10-3 Excel Nonlinear programming
12.1 PERT - General Foundry Example Excel QM Crashing
12.2 Crashing General Foundry Problem Excel Crashing
12.extra Crashing General Foundry Problem Excel QM Crashing
13.1 Arnold's Muffler Shop Excel QM Single Server (M/M/1) system
13.2 Arnold's Muffler Shop Excel QM Multi-Server (M/M/m) system
13.3 Golding Recycling, Inc. Excel QM Constant Service Rate (M/D/1)
13.4 Department of Commerce Excel QM Finite population
14.2 Harry's Tire Shop Excel Simulation (inventory)
14.3 Generating Normal Random Numbers Excel Random #s and Frequency
14.4 Harry's Tire Shop Excel QM Simulation (inventory)
14.5 Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings Excel Simulation (waiting line)
14.6 Three Hills Power Company Excel Maintenance Simulation
15.3 Three Grocery Example Excel Markov Analysis
15.4 Accounts Receivable Example Excel Fundamental Matrix & Absorbing States
16.1 Box Filling Example Excel QM Quality = x-bar chart
16.2 Super Cola Example Excel QM Quality = x-bar chart
16.3 ARCO Excel QM p-Chart Analysis
16.4 Red Top Cab Company Excel QM c-Chart Analysis
Module
M1.1 AHP Excel
M5.1 Matrix Multiplication Excel
- Regression
Rate (M/D/1)

ix & Absorbing States

Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the
the selling
selling price
price in
in the
the data
data area.
area.

Data Cost-volume analysis

Rebuilt Springs 12
Fixed cost 1000 10
8

$
Variable cost 5
Revenue 10 6
4
2
Results 0
Breakeven points 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Units 200 Costs Revenue
Units
Dollars $ 2,000.00

Graph
Units Costs Revenue
0 1000 0
400 3000 4000
Pritchett Clock Repair Shop

Breakeven Analysis
Enter
Enter the
the fixed
fixed and
and variable
variable costs
costs and
and the
the selling
selling price
price in
in the
the data
data area.
area.

Data
Rebuilt Springs
Fixed cost 1000
Variable cost 5
Revenue 10.71
Volume (optional) 250

Results
Breakeven points
Units 175
Dollars $ 1,875.00

Volume Analysis@ 250

Costs $ 2,250.00
Revenue $ 2,678.57
Profit $ 428.57

Graph
Units Costs Revenue
0 1000 0
350 2750 3750
 X P(X) XP(X) (X - E(X))2P(X)
5 0.1 0.5 0.441
4 0.2 0.8 0.242
3 0.3 0.9 0.003
2 0.3 0.6 0.243
1 0.1 0.1 0.361
E(X) = ΣXP(X) = 2.9 1.290 = Variance
1.136 = Standard deviation

To see the formulas, hold down the CTRL key and press the ` (Grave accent) key
ard deviation
The Binomial Distribution
X = random variable for number of successes
n= 5 number of trials
p= 0.5 probability of a succes
r= 4 specific number of successes

Cumulative probability P(X < r) = 0.96875

Probability of exactly r successes
P(X = r) = 0.15625
X is a normal random variable
with mean, μ, and standard deviation, σ.
μ= 100
σ= 20
x= 75
P(X < x) = 0.10565
P(X > x) = 0.89435
F Distribution with df1 and df2 degrees of freedom
To find F given α
df1 = 5
df2 = 6
α= 0.05
F-value = 4.39

To find the probability to the right of a calculated value, f

df1 = 5
df2 = 6
f= 4.2
P(F > f) = 0.0548
Exponential distribution - the random variable (X) is time
Average number per time period = μ = 3 per hour
t= 0.5000 hours
P(X < t) = 0.7769
P(X > t) = 0.2231
Poisson distribution - the random variable is the number of occurrences per time period
λ= 2
x P(X) P(X < x)
0 0.1353 0.1353
1 0.2707 0.4060
2 0.7293 0.6767
Thompson Lumber
Decision Tables
Enter the profits or costs in the main body of the data table. Enter probabilities in the first row
if you want to compute the expected value.
Data Results
Favorable Unfavorable
Profit Market Market EMV Minimum Maximum Hurwicz
Probability 0.5 0.5 coefficient 0.8
Large Plant 200000 -180000 10000 -180000 200000 124000
Small plant 100000 -20000 40000 -20000 100000 76000
Do nothing 0 0 0 0 0
Maximum 40000 0 200000 124000

Expected Value of Perfect Information

Column best 200000 0 100000 <-Expected value under certainty
40000 <-Best expected value
60000 <-Expected value of perfect information

Regret
Favorable MUnfavorable Market Expected Maximum
Probability 0.5 0.5
Large Plant 0 180000 90000 180000
Small plant 100000 20000 60000 100000
Do nothing 200000 0 100000 200000
Minimum 60000 100000
Bayes Theorem for Thompson Lumber Example

Fill in cells B7, B8, and C7

Probability Revisions Given a Positive Survey

State of Posterior
Nature P(Sur.Pos. Prior Prob. Joint Prob Probability
FM 0.7 0.5 0.35 0.78
UM 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.22
P(Sur.pos.)= 0.45

Probability Revisions Given a Negative Survey

State of Posterior
Nature P(Sur.Pos. Prior Prob. Joint Prob Probability
FM 0.3 0.5 0.15 0.27
UM 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.73
P(Sur.neg.)= 0.55
Triple A Construction Company SUMMARY OUTPUT

Sales (Y) Payroll (X) Regression Statistics

6 3 Multiple R 0.8333
8 4 R Square 0.6944
9 6 Adjusted R 0.6181
5 4 Standard E 1.3110
4.5 2 Observatio 6
9.5 5
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 15.6250 15.6250 9.0909 0.0394
Residual 4 6.8750 1.7188
Total 5 22.5

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
Intercept 2 1.7425 1.1477 0.3150 -2.8381
Payroll (X) 1.25 0.4146 3.0151 0.0394 0.0989
Significance F

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
6.8381 -2.8381 6.8381
2.4011 0.0989 2.4011
Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE SF AGE

95000 1926 30
119000 2069 40
124800 1720 30
135000 1396 15
142800 1706 32
145000 1847 38
159000 1950 27
165000 2323 30
182000 2285 26
183000 3752 35
200000 2300 18
211000 2525 17
215000 3800 40
219000 1740 12

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.81968
R Square 0.67188
Adjusted R Square 0.61222
Standard Error 24313
Observations 14

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 1.3314E+10 6.66E+09 11.26195 0.00217876517
Residual 11 6502131603 5.91E+08
Total 13 1.9816E+10

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 146631 25482.0829 5.7543 0.0001 90545.2073 202716.5798
SF 43.8194 10.2810 4.2622 0.0013 21.1911 66.4476
AGE -2898.7 796.5649 -3.6390 0.0039 -4651.9139 -1145.4586
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
90545.2073 202716.5798
21.1911 66.4476
-4651.9139 -1145.4586
Jenny Wilson Realty

SELL PRICE SF AGE X3 (Exc.) X4 (Mint) Condition

95000 1926 30 0 0 Good
119000 2069 40 1 0 Excellent
124800 1720 30 1 0 Excellent
135000 1396 15 0 0 Good
142800 1706 32 0 1 Mint
145000 1847 38 0 1 Mint
159000 1950 27 0 1 Mint
165000 2323 30 1 0 Excellent
182000 2285 26 0 1 Mint
183000 3752 35 0 0 Good
200000 2300 18 0 0 Good
211000 2525 17 0 0 Good
215000 3800 40 1 0 Excellent
219000 1740 12 0 1 Mint

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9476
R Square 0.8980
Adjusted R Sq 0.8526
Standard Error 14987.5545
Observations 14

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 1.78E+10 4.45E+09 19.804436 0.000174
Residual 9 2.02E+09 2.25E+08
Total 13 1.98E+10

CoefficientsStandard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
Intercept 121658.45 17426.61 6.981 0.000 82236.71 ### 82236.71 ###
SF 56.43 6.95 8.122 0.000 40.71 72.14 40.71 72.14
AGE -3962.82 596.03 -6.649 0.000 -5311.13 -2614.51 -5311.13 -2614.51
X3 (Exc.) 33162.65 12179.62 2.723 0.023 5610.43 60714.87 5610.43 60714.87
X4 (Mint) 47369.25 10649.27 4.448 0.002 23278.93 71459.57 23278.93 71459.57
Upper 95.0%
Automobile Weight vs. MPG SUMMARY OUTPUT

MPG (Y) Weight (X1) Regression Statistics

12 4.58 Multiple R 0.86288
13 4.66 R Square 0.74456
15 4.02 Adjusted R 0.71902
18 2.53 Standard E 5.00757
19 3.09 Observatio 12
19 3.11
20 3.18 ANOVA
23 2.68 df SS MS F Significance F
24 2.65 Regression 1 730.909 730.909 29.14802 0.000302
33 1.70 Residual 10 250.7577 25.07577
36 1.95 Total 11 981.6667
42 1.92
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%
Intercept 47.6193 4.813151 9.89359 1.75E-06 36.89498 58.34371
Weight (X1 -8.24597 1.527345 -5.398891 0.000302 -11.64911 -4.842833
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
36.89498 58.34371
-11.64911 -4.842833
Automobile Weight vs. MPG SUMMARY OUTPUT

MPG (Y) Weight (X1) WeightSq.(X2) Regression Statistics

12 4.58 20.98 Multiple R 0.9208
13 4.66 21.72 R Square 0.8478
15 4.02 16.16 Adjusted R 0.8140
18 2.53 6.40 Standard E 4.0745
19 3.09 9.55 Observatio 12
19 3.11 9.67
20 3.18 10.11 ANOVA
23 2.68 7.18 df SS MS F
24 2.65 7.02 Regression 2 832.2557 416.1278 25.0661
33 1.70 2.89 Residual 9 149.411 16.60122
36 1.95 3.80 Total 11 981.6667
42 1.92 3.69
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value
Intercept 79.7888 13.5962 5.8685 0.0002
Weight (X1 -30.2224 8.9809 -3.3652 0.0083
WeightSq.( 3.4124 1.3811 2.4708 0.0355
Significance F
0.000209

Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%

Upper 95.0%
49.0321 110.5454 49.0321 110.5454
-50.5386 -9.9062 -50.5386 -9.9062
0.2881 6.5367 0.2881 6.5367
Solved Problem 4-2

Advertising ($100) Y Sales X

11 5
6 3
10 7
6 2
12 8

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.9014
R Square 0.8125
Adjusted R Square 0.7500
Standard Error 1.4142
Observations 5

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 26 26 13 0.036618
Residual 3 6 2
Total 4 32

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Intercept 4 1.5242 2.6244 0.0787 -0.8506 8.8506 -0.8506
Sales X 1 0.2774 3.6056 0.0366 0.1173 1.8827 0.1173
Upper 95.0%
8.8506
1.8827
Triple A Construction

Forecasting Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in in the
the demand
demand
column.
column. IfIf this this isis causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with yy first
first and
and
enter
enter aa new new value
value of of xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom inin order
order to
to forecast
forecast y.y.

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis

Period Demand (y) Period(x) Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
Period 1 6 3 5.75 0.25 0.25 0.0625 04.17%
Period 2 8 4 7 1 1 1 12.50%
Period 3 9 6 9.5 -0.5 0.5 0.25 05.56%
Period 4 5 4 7 -2 2 4 40.00%
Period 5 4.5 2 4.5 0 0 0 00.00%
Period 6 9.5 5 8.25 1.25 1.25 1.5625 13.16%
Total 0 5 6.875 75.38%
Intercept 2 Average 0 0.833333 1.145833 12.56%
Slope 1.25 Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 1.311011
Next period 10.75 7
Correlatio 0.833333
Wallace Garden Supply

Forecasting Weighted moving averages - 3 period moving average

Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Enter
Enter weights
weights in
in
INCREASING
INCREASING order order from
from top
top to
to bottom.
bottom.

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis

Period Demand Weights Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
January 10 1
February 12 2
March 13 3
April 16 12.1667 3.8333 3.8333 14.6944 23.96%
May 19 14.3333 4.6667 4.6667 21.7778 24.56%
June 23 17 6 6 36 26.09%
July 26 20.5 5.5 5.5 30.25 21.15%
August 30 23.8333 6.1667 6.1667 38.0278 20.56%
September 28 27.5 0.5 0.5 0.25 01.79%
October 18 28.3333 -10.3333 10.3333 106.7778 57.41%
November 16 23.3333 -7.3333 7.3333 53.7778 45.83%
December 14 18.6667 -4.6667 4.6667 21.7778 33.33%
Total 4.3333 49.0000 323.3333 254.68%
Average 0.4815 5.4444 35.9259 28.30%
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 6.79636
Next period 15.3333333
Port of Baltimore

Forecasting Exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha (between
(between 00 and and 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in in the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then enter
enter aa starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting
forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error analysis
analysis for
for all
all rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.

Alpha 0.1
Data Forecasts and Error Analysis
Period Demand Forecast Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
Quarter 1 180 175 5 5 25 02.78%
Quarter 2 168 175.5 -7.5 7.5 56.25 04.46%
Quarter 3 159 174.75 -15.75 15.75 248.0625 09.91%
Quarter 4 175 173.175 1.825 1.825 3.330625 01.04%
Quarter 5 190 173.3575 16.6425 16.6425 276.9728 08.76%
Quarter 6 205 175.0218 29.97825 29.97825 898.6955 14.62%
Quarter 7 180 178.0196 1.980425 1.980425 3.922083 01.10%
Quarter 8 182 178.2176 3.782382 3.782382 14.30642 0.02078232
Total 35.95856 82.45856 1526.54 44.75%
Average 4.49482 10.30732 190.8175 05.59%
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 15.95065
Next period 178.595856
st.
st. IfIf the
the starting
starting
Midwestern Manufacturing

Forecasting Trend adjusted exponential smoothing

Enter
Enter alpha
alpha and
and beta
beta (between
(between 00 andand 1),
1), enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands inin the
the shaded
shaded column
column then
then enter
enter aa
starting
starting forecast.
forecast. IfIf the
the starting
starting forecast
forecast isis not
not in
in the
the first
first period
period then
then delete
delete the
the error
error analysis
analysis for
for all
all
rows
rows above
above the
the starting
starting forecast.
forecast.
Alpha 0.3
Beta 0.4
Data Forecasts and Error Analysis
Forecast
Smoothed Including
Forecast, Smoothed Trend,
Period Demand Ft Trend, Tt FITt Error Absolute Squared
Period 1 74 74 74 0 0 0
Period 2 79 74 0 74 5 5 25
Period 3 80 75.5 0.6 76.1 4.5 4.5 20.25
Period 4 90 77.27 1.068 78.338 12.73 12.73 162.0529
Period 5 105 81.8366 2.46744 84.30404 23.1634 23.1634 536.5431
Period 6 142 90.51283 4.950955 95.46378 51.48717 51.4872 2650.929
Period 7 122 109.4246 10.5353 119.9599 12.57535 12.5754 158.1395
Next period 120.572 10.78011 131.3521
Total 109.4559 109.456 3552.914
Average 15.63656 15.6366 507.5592
Bias MAD MSE
SE 26.65676
Abs Pct
Err
00.00%
06.33%
05.63%
14.14%
22.06%
36.26%
0.103077

94.73%
13.53%
MAPE
Midwestern Manufacturing

Time (X) Demand (Y)

1 74
2 79
3 80
4 90
5 105
6 142
7 122

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.89491
R Square 0.800863
Adjusted R 0.761036
Standard E 12.43239
Observatio 7

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 3108.036 3108.036 20.10837 0.006493
Residual 5 772.8214 154.5643
Total 6 3880.857

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 56.71429 10.50729 5.397615 0.002948 29.70445 83.72412 29.70445 83.72412
Time (X) 10.53571 2.349501 4.484236 0.006493 4.496131 16.5753 4.496131 16.5753
Midwestern Manufacturing

Forecasting Regression/Trend analysis

IfIf this
this isis trend
trend analysis
analysis then
then simply
simply enter
enter the
the past
past demands
demands in in the
the demand
demand column.
column. IfIf this
this isis
causal
causal regression
regression then
then enter
enter the
the y,x
y,x pairs
pairs with
with yy first
first and
and enter
enter aa new
new value
value of
of xx at
at the
the bottom
bottom inin
order
order to to forecast
forecast y.y.

Data Forecasts and Error Analysis

Period Demand (y) Period(x) Forecast Error Absolute Squared
Year 1 74 1 67.25 6.75 6.75 45.5625
Year 2 79 2 77.7857 1.2143 1.2143 1.4745
Year 3 80 3 88.3214 -8.3214 8.3214 69.2462
Year 4 90 4 98.8571 -8.8571 8.8571 78.4490
Year 5 105 5 109.3929 -4.3929 4.3929 19.2972
Year 6 142 6 119.9286 22.0714 22.0714 487.1480
Year 7 122 7 130.4643 -8.4643 8.4643 71.6441
Total -4.2632564E-14 60.0714 772.8214
Intercept 56.7142857 Average -6.0903663E-15 8.5816 110.4031
Slope 10.5357143 Bias MAD MSE
SE 12.43239
Next period 141 8
Correlatio 0.89491
Abs Pct Err
09.12%
01.54%
10.40%
09.84%
04.18%
15.54%
06.94%
57.57%
08.22%
MAPE
Turner Industries

Forecasting Multiplicative decomposition

Enter
Enter past
past demands
demands in
in the
the data
data area.
area. Do
Do not
not change
change the
the time
time period
period
4 seasons numbers!
numbers!

Data
Period Demand (y) Time (x) Average Ratio Seasonal Smoothed Unadjusted
Period 1 108 1 0.8491 127.1979 127.1187
Period 2 125 2 0.9626 129.8589 129.4621
Period 3 150 3 131 132.000 1.136 1.1315 132.5660 131.8056
Period 4 141 4 133 134.125 1.051 1.0571 133.3841 134.1490
Period 5 116 5 135.25 136.375 0.851 0.8491 136.6200 136.4924
Period 6 134 6 137.5 138.875 0.965 0.9626 139.2087 138.8359
Period 7 159 7 140.25 141.125 1.127 1.1315 140.5199 141.1793
Period 8 152 8 142 143.000 1.063 1.0571 143.7899 143.5227
Period 9 123 9 144 145.125 0.848 0.8491 144.8643 145.8662
Period 10 142 10 146.25 147.875 0.960 0.9626 147.5197 148.2096
Period 11 168 11 149.5 1.1315 148.4739 150.5530
Period 12 165 12 1.0571 156.0878 152.8965

Average Intercept 124.7753

Slope 2.3434

Ratios
Season 1 Season 2 Season 3 Season 4
1.1364 1.0513
0.8506 0.9649 1.1267 1.0629
0.8475 0.9603
Average 0.8491 0.9626 1.1315 1.0571

Forecasts
Period Unadjusted Seasonal Adjusted
13 155.240 0.849 131.810
14 157.583 0.963 151.687
15 159.927 1.132 180.959
16 162.270 1.057 171.535
 Forecasts and Error Analysis
Adjusted Error |Error| Error^2 Abs Pct Err
107.9327 0.0673 0.0673 0.0045 00.06%
124.6181 0.3819 0.3819 0.1458 00.31%
149.1396 0.8604 0.8604 0.7403 00.57%
141.8086 -0.8086 0.8086 0.6538 00.57%
115.8917 0.1083 0.1083 0.0117 00.09%
133.6411 0.3589 0.3589 0.1288 00.27%
159.7461 -0.7461 0.7461 0.5567 00.47%
151.7175 0.2825 0.2825 0.0798 00.19%
123.8507 -0.8507 0.8507 0.7236 00.69%
142.6641 -0.6641 0.6641 0.4410 00.47%
170.3526 -2.3526 2.3526 5.5346 01.40%
161.6265 3.3735 3.3735 11.3807 02.04%
Total 0.0107 10.8547 20.4014 07.14%
0.0009 0.9046 1.7001 00.59%
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 1.84397092
 Year Quarter SalesX1 Time Period
X2 Qtr 2 X3 Qtr 3 X4 Qtr 4
1 1 108 1 0 0 0
2 125 2 1 0 0
3 150 3 0 1 0
4 141 4 0 0 1
2 1 116 5 0 0 0
2 134 6 1 0 0
3 159 7 0 1 0
4 152 8 0 0 1
3 1 123 9 0 0 0
2 142 10 1 0 0
3 168 11 0 1 0
4 165 12 0 0 1

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.99718
R Square 0.99436
Adjusted R 0.99114
Standard E 1.83225
Observatio 12

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 4 4144.75 1036.188 308.6516 6.03E-08
Residual 7 23.5 3.357143
Total 11 4168.25

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 104.104 1.332194 78.14493
X1 Time Pe 2.3125 0.16195 14.27913
X2 Qtr 2 15.6875 1.504767 10.4252
X3 Qtr 3 38.7083 1.530688 25.28819
X4 Qtr 4 30.0625 1.572941 19.11228
P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
1.48E-11 100.954 107.2543 100.954 107.2543
1.96E-06 1.92955 2.69545 1.92955 2.69545
1.62E-05 12.12929 19.24571 12.12929 19.24571
3.86E-08 35.08883 42.32784 35.08883 42.32784
2.67E-07 26.34308 33.78192 26.34308 33.78192
Sumco Pump Company
Inventory Economic Order Quantity Model
Enter the data in the shaded area

Data
Demand rate, D 1000
Setup cost, S 10
Holding cost, H 0.5 (fixed amount)
Unit Price, P 0
Inventory: Cost vs Quantity
Results
Optimal Order Quantity, Q* 200

Cost ($)
12
Maximum Inventory 200
Average Inventory 100 10 Setup cost
Number of Setups 5 8
Holding
6 cost
Holding cost $50.00
Setup cost $50.00 4 Total cost

Unit costs $0.00 2

Total cost, Tc $100.00 0
Order Quantity (Q)

COST TABLE Start at 25 Increment 15

Q Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost

25 400 6.25 406.25
40 250 10 260
55 181.8182 13.75 195.5682
70 142.8571 17.5 160.3571
85 117.6471 21.25 138.8971
100 100 25 125
115 86.95652 28.75 115.7065
130 76.92308 32.5 109.4231
145 68.96552 36.25 105.2155
160 62.5 40 102.5
175 57.14286 43.75 100.8929
190 52.63158 47.5 100.1316
205 48.78049 51.25 100.0305
220 45.45455 55 100.4545
235 42.55319 58.75 101.3032
250 40 62.5 102.5
265 37.73585 66.25 103.9858
280 35.71429 70 105.7143
295 33.89831 73.75 107.6483
310 32.25806 77.5 109.7581
325 30.76923 81.25 112.0192
340 29.41176 85 114.4118
355 28.16901 88.75 116.919
370 27.02703 92.5 119.527
Brown Manufacturing
Inventory Production Order Quantity Model
Enter the data in the shaded area. You may have to do some work to enter the daily production rate.

Data
Demand rate, D 10000 Inventory: Cost vs Quantity
Setup cost, S 100
Holding cost, H 0.5 (fixed amount) 12

Cost ($)
Daily production rate, p 80
10
Daily demand rate, d 60
Unit price, P 0 8 Setup cost
Holding cost
Results 6 Total cost
Optimal production quantity, Q* 4000 4
Maximum Inventory 1000
Average Inventory 500 2
Number of Setups 2.5
0
Holding cost 250 Order Quantity (Q)
Setup cost 250

Unit costs 0

Total cost, Tc 500

COST TABLE Start at 1000 Increment 333.3333

Q Setup cost Holding cosTotal cost

1000 1000 62.5 1062.5
1333.333 750 83.33333 833.3333
1666.667 600 104.1667 704.1667
2000 500 125 625
2333.333 428.5714 145.8333 574.4048
2666.667 375 166.6667 541.6667
3000 333.3333 187.5 520.8333
3333.333 300 208.3333 508.3333
3666.667 272.7273 229.1667 501.8939
4000 250 250 500
4333.333 230.7692 270.8333 501.6026
4666.667 214.2857 291.6667 505.9524
5000 200 312.5 512.5
5333.333 187.5 333.3333 520.8333
5666.667 176.4706 354.1667 530.6373
6000 166.6667 375 541.6667
6333.333 157.8947 395.8333 553.7281
6666.667 150 416.6667 566.6667
7000 142.8571 437.5 580.3571
7333.333 136.3636 458.3333 594.697
7666.667 130.4348 479.1667 609.6014
8000 125 500 625
8333.333 120 520.8333 640.8333
8666.667 115.3846 541.6667 657.0513
ction rate.

s Quantity

Setup cost
Holding cost
Total cost
Brass Department Store
Inventory Quantity Discount Model

Data
Demand rate, D 5000
Setup cost, S 49
Holding cost %, I 20%

Range 1 Range 2 Range 3

Minimum quantity 0 1000 2000
Unit Price, P 5 4.8 4.75

Results
Range 1 Range 2 Range 3
Q* (Square root formula) 700 714.4345083118 718.18484646
Order Quantity 700 1000 2000

Holding cost $350.00 $480.00 $950.00

Setup cost $350.00 $245.00 $122.50

Unit costs $25,000.00 $24,000.00 $23,750.00

Total cost, Tc $25,700.00 $24,725.00 $24,822.50 minimum

Optimal Order Quantity 1000
=

$24,725.00
 6.4

Inventory Safety stock - Normal distribution

Select aa model and then
then enter the data inshaded
the
the shaded area. The
The model onbottom
the
the bottom left
left represents the
SelectSelect
Select aa model
model model
and andenter
and then
then enter enter
the thein
the data
data data
in thein
the shadedshaded
area. area.
area. The
The model
modelmodel
on theon
on the bottom bottom
left represents
left represents
represents the the
the 33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models
33 models
models described
described in
in the
the textbook
textbook under
under Other
Other Probabilistic
Probabilistic Models
Models

Model: Demand during leadtime and its standard deviation given Model: Daily demand and its standard deviation are given

Data Data
Average demand during lead time, µ 350 Average daily demand 15
Standard deviation of σdLT 10 Standard deviation of daily demand, σ d 3
Service level (% of demand met) 95.00% Lead time days 4
Service level (% of demand met) 97.00%

Results Results
Z-value 1.64 Z-value 1.88
Safety stock 16.45 Average demand during lead time 60
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, σ 6.00
Safety stock 11.28
Reorder Point 71.28

Models: Either daily demand, lead time or both are variable

Data
Average daily demand 25
Standard deviation of daily demand 0 Enter 0 if demand is constant
Average lead time (in days) 6
Standard deviation of lead time, σLT 3 Enter 0 if lead time is constant
Service level (% of demand met) 98.00%

Results
Z-value 2.05
Average demand during lead time 150
Standard deviation of demand during lead time, σ dLT 75.00
Safety stock 154.03
Reorder point 304.03

500393393.xls
Flair Furniture

Variables T (Tables) C (Chairs)

Units Produced 30 40 Profit
Objective function 70 50 4100

Constraints LHS (Hours used) RHS

Carpentry 4 3 240 < 240
Painting 2 1 100 < 100
Holiday Meal Turkey Ranch

Variables Brand 1 Brand 2

Units Produced 8.4 4.8 Cost
Objective function 2 3 31.2

Constraints LHS (Amt. of Ing.) RHS

Ingredient A 5 10 90 > 90
Ingredient B 4 3 48 > 48
Ingredient C 0.5 0 4.2 > 1.5
High Note Sound Company

Variables CD Player Receivers

Units Produced 0 20 Profit
Objective function 50 120 2400

Constraints LHS (Hrs. Used) RHS

Electrician Hours 2 4 80 < 80
Audio Tech Hours 3 1 20 < 60
 7.7
Enter
Enter the
the values
values inin the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATabTab on on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis
Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.
Linear Programming

Signs
< less than or equal to
= equals (You need to enter an apostrophe first.)
> greater than or equal to

Data Results
x1 x2 LHS Slack/Surplus
Objective 70 50 sign RHS 4100
Constraint 1 4 3 < 240 240 0
Constraint 2 2 1 < 100 100 0

Results
Variables 30 40
Objective 4100

Page 51
 A B C D E
1 Win Big Gambling Club
2 Radio Radio
3 TV Newspaper 30 sec. 1 min.
4 Variables X1 X2 X3 X4
5 Solution 1.9688 5 6.2069 0
6 Audience per ad 5000 8500 2400 2800
7
8 Constraints
9 Max. TV 1
10 Max. Newspaper 1
11 Max. 30-sec. radio 1
12 Max. 1 min. radio 1
13 Cost 800 925 290 380
14 Radio dollars 290 380
15 Radio spots 1 1
 F G H
1
2
3
4
5 Total Audience
6 67240.3017
7
8 LHS RHS
9 1.9688 < 12
10 5 < 5
11 6.2069 < 25
12 0 < 20
13 8000 < 8000
14 1800 < 1800
15 6.2069 > 5
 A B C D E F G H I J
1 Management Science Associates
2
3 Variable X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6
4 Solution 0 600 140 1000 0 560 Total Cost
5 Min. Cost 7.5 6.8 5.5 6.9 7.25 6.1 15166
6
7 Constraints LHS RHS
8 Total Households 1 1 1 1 1 1 2300 > 2,300
9 30 and Younger 1 0 0 1 0 0 1000 > 1,000
10 31-50 0 1 0 0 1 0 600 > 600
11 Border States 0.85 0.85 0.85 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 395 > 0
12 51+ Border States 0 0 0.8 0 0 -0.2 0 < 0
 A B C D E F G
1 Fifth Avenue Industries
2
3 All silk All poly. Blend 1 Blend 2
4 Variables X1 X2 X3 X4
5 Values 5112 14000 16000 8500 Total Profit
6 Profit 16.24 8.22 8.77 8.66 412028.88
7
8 Constraints LHS
9 Silk available 0.125 0.066 1200 <
10 Polyester available 0.08 0.05 1920 <
11 Cotton available 0.05 0.044 1174 <
12 Maximum silk 1 5112 <
13 Maximum polyester 1 14000 <
14 Maximum blend 1 1 16000 <
15 Maximum blend 2 1 8500 <
16 Minimum silk 1 5112 >
17 Minimum polyester 1 14000 >
18 Minimum blend 1 1 16000 >
19 Minimum blend 2 1 8500 >
20
21
22
23 Calculations to determine the profit per tie.

24
Silk Polyester Blend 1 Blend 1
25 Selling Price per tie 19.24 8.7 9.52 10.64 Cost of material per yard

26 Yards of silk used in

tie 0.125 0 0 0.066 24

27 Yards of polyester
used in tie 0 0.08 0.05 0 6

28 Yards of cotton used

in tie 0 0 0.05 0.044 9
29 Material cost per tie 3 0.48 0.75 1.98
30 Profit per tie 16.24 8.22 8.77 8.66
 H I J K
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 RHS Slack/Surplus
9 1200 0
10 3000 1080
11 1600 426
12 7000 1888
13 14000 0
14 16000 0
15 8500 0
16 5000 112
17 10000 4000
18 13000 3000
19 5000 3500
20
21
22
23

24

25

26

27

28

29
30
 A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
1 Greenberg Motors
2
3 Variable A1 A2 A3 A4 B1 B2 B3 B4 IA1 IA2 IA3 IA4 IB1 IB2 IB3 IB4
4 Solution 1276.9 223.1 1757.7 792.3 1000 2522.2 77.8 1700 476.9 0 757.7 450 0 1322.2 0 300
5 Min. Cost 20 20 22 22 15 15 16.5 16.5 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26
6
7 Demand Constraints
8 Jan. GM3A 1 -1
9 Feb. GM3A 1 1 -1
10 Mar. GM3A 1 1 -1
11 Apr. GM3A 1 1 -1
12 Jan. GM3B 1 -1
13 Feb. GM3B 1 1 -1
14 Mar. GM3B 1 1 -1
15 Apr. GM3B 1 1 -1
16 Inv.GM3A Apr. 1
17 Inv.GM3B Apr. 1
18 Labor Hour Constraints
19 Hrs Min. Jan. 1.3 0.9
20 Hrs Min. Feb. 1.3 0.9
21 Hrs Min. Mar. 1.3 0.9
22 Hrs Min. Apr. 1.3 0.9
23 Hrs Max. Jan. 1.3 0.9
24 Hrs Max. Feb. 1.3 0.9
25 Hrs Max.Mar. 1.3 0.9
26 Hrs Max. Apr. 1.3 0.9
27 Storage Constraints
28 Jan. Inv. Limit 1 1
29 Feb. Inv. Limit 1 1
30 Mar. Inv. Limit 1 1
31 Apr. Inv. Limit 1 1
32
 A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q
33
34 Jan Feb Mar Apr
35 GM3A Units Pro 1276.9 223.1 1757.7 792.3
36 GMBA Units Pro 1000.0 2522.2 77.8 1700.0
37 GM3A Inventory 476.9 0.0 757.7 450.0
38 GM3B Inventory 0.0 1322.2 0.0 300.0
39 Labor Hours Us 2560.0 2560.0 2355.0 2560.0
 R S T U V W
1
2
3
4 Total Cost
5 169294.9
6
7 LHS Sign RHS
8 800 = 800
9 700 = 700
10 1000 = 1000
11 1100 = 1100
12 1000 = 1000
13 1200 = 1200
14 1400 = 1400
15 1400 = 1400
16 450 = 450
17 300 = 300
18 Slack/Surplus
19 2560 > 2240 320
20 2560 > 2240 320
21 2355 > 2240 115
22 2560 > 2240 320
23 2560 < 2560 0
24 2560 < 2560 0
25 2355 < 2560 205
26 2560 < 2560 0
27
28 476.92 < 3300
29 1322.22 < 3300
30 757.69 < 3300
31 750 < 3300
32
 A B C D E F G H I J
1 Labor Planning Example
2
3
4 Variables F P1 P2 P3 P4 P5
5 Values 10 0 7 2 5 0 Total Cost
6 Cost 100 32 32 32 32 32 1448
7
8 Constraints LHS Sign RHS
9 9 a.m. - 10 a.m. 1 1 10 > 10
10 10 a.m. - 11 a.m. 1 1 1 17 > 12
11 11 a.m. - noon 0.5 1 1 1 14 > 14
12 noon - 1 p.m. 0.5 1 1 1 1 19 > 16
13 1 p.m. - 2 p.m. 1 1 1 1 1 24 > 18
14 2 p.m. - 3 p.m. 1 1 1 1 17 > 17
15 3 p.m. - 4 p.m. 1 1 1 15 > 15
16 4 p.m. - 5 p.m. 1 1 10 > 10
17 Max. Full time 1 10 < 12
18 Total PT hours 4 4 4 4 4 56 < 56
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
 K L M N O
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 Slack/Surplus
9 0
10 5
11 0
12 3
13 6
14 0
15 0
16 0
17 2
18 0
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
 A B C D E F G H
1 ICT Portfolio Selection
2
3 Variable X1 X2 X3 X4
4 Solution 750000 950000 1500000 1800000 Total Return
5 Max. Return 0.07 0.11 0.19 0.15 712000
6
7 LHS RHS
8 Trade 1 750000 < 1,000,000
9 Bonds 1 950000 < 2,500,000
10 Gold 1 1500000 < 1,500,000
11 Construction 1 1800000 < 1,800,000
12 Min. Gold+Constr. -0.55 -0.55 0.45 0.45 550000 > 0
13 Min. Trade 0.85 -0.15 -0.15 -0.15 0 > 0
14 Total Invested 1 1 1 1 5000000 < 5000000
Goodman Shipping

Variables X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6
Values 0.33333 1 0 0 0 0 Total Value
Load Value $ 22500 24000 8000 9500 11500 9750 31500

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Total weight 7500 7500 3000 3500 4000 3500 10000 < 10000
% Item 1 1 0.33333333 < 1
% Item 2 1 1 < 1
% Item 3 1 0 < 1
% Item 4 1 0 < 1
% Item 5 1 0 < 1
% Item 6 1 0 < 1
 A B C D E F G H
1 Whole Foods Nutrition Problem
2
3 Grain A Grain B Grain C
4 Variable Xa Xb Xc
5 Solution 0.025 0.05 0.05 Total Cost
6 Minimize 0.33 0.47 0.38 0.05075
7
8 Constraints LHS Sign RHS
9 Protein 22 28 21 3 > 3
10 Riboflavin 16 14 25 2.35 > 2
11 Phosphorus 8 7 9 1 > 1
12 Magnesium 5 0 6 0.425 > 0.425
13 Total Weight 1 1 1 0.125 = 0.125
 I J
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8 Slack/Surplus
9 0
10 0.35
11 0
12 0
13 0
Low Knock Oil Company

X100 Reg X100 Econ X220 Reg X220 Econ

Variable X1 X2 X3 X4
Solution 15000 26666.67 10000 5333.33 Total Cost
Cost 30 30 34.8 34.8 1783600

Constraints LHS Sign

Demand Regular 1 1 25000 >
Demand Economy 1 1 32000 >
Ing. A in Regular -0.1 0.15 0 >
Ing. B in Economy 0.05 -0.25 0 <
 RHS Slack/Surplus
25000 0
32000 0
0 0
0 0
Top Speed Bicycle Company
N.O. to N.O. to N.O. to Omaha to Omaha to Omaha to
NY Chicago LA NY Chicago LA
Variables X11 X12 X13 X21 X22 X23
Values 10000 0 8000 0 8000 7000 Total Cost
Cost 2 3 5 3 1 4 96000

Constraints LHS
NY Demand 1 1 10000
Chi. Demand 1 1 8000
LA Demand 1 1 15000
N.O. Supply 1 1 1 18000
Omaha Supply 1 1 1 15000
Sign RHS
= 10000
= 8000
= 15000
< 20000
< 15000
 Shipping Cost Per Unit
From\To Albuquerque Boston Cleveland
Des Moines 5 4 3
Evansville 8 4 3
Fort Lauderdale 9 7 5

Solution - Number of units shipped

Albuquerque Boston Cleveland Total shipped Supply
Des Moines 100 0 0 100 100
Evansville 0 200 100 300 300
Fort Lauderdale 200 0 100 300 300
Total received 300 200 200
Demand 300 200 200

Total cost = 3900

 Cost for Assignments
Person\Project Project 1 Project 2 Project 3
Adams 11 14 6
Brown 8 10 11
Cooper 9 12 7

Made
Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Total pro Supply
Adams 0 0 1 1 1
Brown 0 1 0 1 1
Cooper 1 0 0 1 1
Total assigned to 1 1 1
Total workers 1 1 1

Total cost = 25
Frosty Machines Transshipment Problem

Shipping Cost Per Unit

From\To Chicago Buffalo NYC Phil. St.Louis
Toronto 4 7
Detroit 5 7
Chicago 6 4 5
Buffalo 2 3 4

Solution - Number of units shipped

Chicago Buffalo NYC Phil. St.Louis
Total shipped
Supply
Toronto 650 150 800 800
Detroit 0 300 300 700
Chicago 0 350 300 650
Buffalo 450 0 0 450
Total received 650 450 450 350 300
Demand 450 350 300

Total cost = 9550

 9.4

Birmingham

Transportation

Enter
Enter the
the transportation
transportation data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then gogo to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab on on the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis
Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not on
on the
the Data
Data Tab
Tab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.

Data
COSTS Dest 1 Dest 2 Dest 3 Dest 4 Supply
Origin 1 73 103 88 108 15000
Origin 2 85 80 100 90 6000
Origin 3 88 97 78 118 14000
Origin 4 84 79 90 99 11000
Demand 10000 12000 15000 9000 46000 \ 46000

Shipments
Shipments Dest 1 Dest 2 Dest 3 Dest 4 Row Total
Origin 1 10000 0 1000 4000 15000
Origin 2 0 1000 0 5000 6000
Origin 3 0 0 14000 0 14000
Origin 4 0 11000 0 0 11000
Column Total 10000 12000 15000 9000 46000 \ 46000

Total Cost 3741000

Page 73
 9.4

olver
olver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis

Page 74
 9.5

A B C D E F G
1 Fix-It Shop Assignment
2
3 Assignment
4
5 Enter
Enter the
the assignment
assignment costs
costs in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATabTab onon the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on
Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis Group
Group and and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
6 IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER is is not
not on
on the
the Data
Data TabTab then
then please
please see
see the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.
7
8 Data
9 COSTS Project 1 Project 2 Project 3
10 Adams 11 14 6
11 Brown 8 10 11
12 Cooper 9 12 7
13
14 Assignments
15 Shipments Project 1 Project 2 Project 3 Row Total
16 Adams 1 1
17 Brown 1 1
18 Cooper 1 1
19 Column Total 1 1 1 3
20
21 Total Cost 25
22

Page 75
Harrison Electric Integer Programming Analysis
Chandeliers Fans
Variables X1 X2
Values 5 0 Total Profit
Profit 7 6 35

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Wiring hours 2 3 10 < 12
Assembly hours 6 5 30 < 30
Bagwell Chemical Company
Xyline (bags) Hexall (lbs)
Variables X Y
Values 44 20 Total Profit
Profit 85 1.5 3770

Constraints LHS sign RHS

Ingredient A 30 0.5 1330 < 2000
Ingredient B 18 0.4 800 < 800
Ingredient C 2 0.1 90 < 200
Quemo Chemical Company
Catalytic Conv. Software Warehouse Expan.
Variables X1 X2 X3
Values 1 0 1 NPV
Net Present Value 25000 18000 32000 57000

Constraints LHS
Year 1 8000 6000 12000 20000
Year 2 7000 4000 8000 15000
sign RHS
< 20000
< 16000
Sitka Manufacturing Company
Baytown Lake Charles Mobile Baytown units
Variables X1 X2 X3 X4
Values 0 1 1 0
Cost 340000 270000 290000 32

Constraints
Minimum capacity 1
Maximum in Baytown -21000 1
Maximum in L. C. -20000
Maximum in Mobile -19000
L. Charles units Mobile units
X5 X6
19000 19000 Cost
33 30 1757000

LHS Sign RHS

1 1 38000 > 38000
0 < 0
1 -1000 < 0
1 0 < 0
`
Simkin, Simkin and Steinberg

Variables X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7
Values 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 Return
Return ($1,000s) 50 80 90 120 110 40 75 360
Constraints LHS Sign
Texas 1 1 1 2 >
Foreigh Oil 1 1 1 <
California 1 1 1 =
$3 Million 480 540 680 1000 700 510 900 2890 <
RHS
2
1
1
3000
Great Western Appliance
Micro Self-Clean
Variables X1 X2
Values 0 1000

Terms X1 X2 X22
Calculated Values 0 1000 1000000 Profit
Profit 28 21 0.25 271000

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Capacity 1 1 1000 < 1000
Hours Available 0.5 0.4 400 < 500
Hospicare Corp

Variables X1 X2
Values 6.0663 4.1003

Terms X1 X12 X1*X2 X2 X23 1/X2

Calculated Values 6.0663 36.7995 24.8732 4.1003 68.9337 0.2439 Total Profit
Profit 13 0 6 5 1 248.8457

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Nursing 2 4 90.00 < 90
X-Ray 1 1 75.00 < 75
Budget 8 -2 40.33 < 61
Thermlock Gaskets

Variables X1 X2
Values 3.325 14.672 Total Cost
Cost 5 7 119.333

X1 X12 X13 X2 X22

Value 3.325 11.058 36.771 14.672 215.276
Constraints LHS Sign
Hardness 3 0.25 4 0.3 136.012 >
Tensile Strength 13 1 80 >
Elasticity 0.7 1 17 >
RHS
125
80
17
Solved Problem 10-1

Variables X1 X2 X3
Values 1 1 0 Total
Maximize 50 45 48 95

Constraints LHS Sign RHS

Constraint 1 19 27 34 46 < 80
Constraint 2 22 13 12 35 < 40
Constraint 3 1 1 1 2 < 2
Constraint 4 1 -1 0 0 < 0
Forecasting - Exponential Smoothing

α = 0.3478 Ft+1 = Ft + α(Yt-Ft)

Time Period (t) Demand (Yt) Forecast (Ft) Error = Yt - Ft |error|
1 110 110 0 -
2 156 110 46.000 46.000
3 126 125.999999780957 0.000 0.000
4 138 125.999999857146 12.000 12.000
5 124 130.173912893171 -6.174 6.174
6 125 128.026464959728 -3.026 3.026
7 160 126.973781509886 33.026 33.026
8 138.461161697009 MAD= 16.704

F1 is assumed to be a perfect forecast.

MAD is based on time periods 2 through 7

`
General Foundry

Project Management Precedences; 3 time estimates

Enter
Enter the
the times
times in
in the
the appropriate
appropriate column(s).
column(s). Enter
Enter the
the precedences,
precedences, one
one per
per column.
column. (Do
(Do not
not try
try to
to use
use
Gantt Chart
commas).
commas).
Data A
Activity Optimistic Likely Pessimistic Mean Std dev Variance
A 1 2 3 2 0.333333B 0.111111
B 2 3 4 3 0.333333C 0.111111
C 1 2 3 2 0.333333 0.111111
D 2 4 6 4 0.666667D 0.444444
E 1 4 7 4 1E 1
F 1 2 9 3 1.333333 1.777778
G 3 4 11 5 1.333333F 1.777778
H 1 2 3 2 0.333333 0.111111
G
Precedences Immediate Predecessors (1 per column)
Activity Time Pred 1 Pred 2 H
A 2
B 3 0 2 4 6 8
Time 10
C 2 A
D 4 B Column H Critical Activity Noncritical Acti
E 4 C
F 3 C
G 5 D E
H 2 F G

Results
Early Early Late Late
Activity Start Finish Start Finish Slack Variance
A 0 2 0 2 0 0.111111
B 0 3 12 15 12
C 2 4 2 4 0 0.111111
D 0 4 4 8 4
E 4 8 4 8 0 1
F 4 7 10 13 6
G 8 13 8 13 0 1.777778
H 13 15 13 15 0 0.111111
Project 15 Project 3.111111
Std.dev 1.763834
Early start computations
A 0 0
B 0 0
C 2 0
D 0 0
E 4 0
F 4 0
G 4 8
H 7 13

Late finish computations

A B C D E F G H
A 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
B 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
C 2 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
D 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
E 15 15 4 15 15 15 15 15
F 15 15 10 15 15 15 15 15
G 15 15 15 8 8 15 15 15
H 15 15 15 15 15 13 13 15
2 15 4 8 8 13 13 15

Graph Critical ActNoncritical Slack 9 Graph Critical ActiNoncritical

A 0 2 0 0 8 H 13 2 0
B 0 0 3 12 7 G 8 5 0
C 2 2 0 0 6 F 4 0 3
D 0 0 4 4 5 E 4 4 0
E 4 4 0 0 4 D 0 0 4
F 4 0 3 6 3 C 2 2 0
G 8 5 0 0 2 B 0 0 3
H 13 2 0 0 1 A 0 2 0
 Gantt Chart

6 8
Time 10 12 14 16

ritical Activity Noncritical Activity Slack

Slack
0
0
6
0
4
0
12
0
 Crashing

A B C D E F G H I J K L M
3 Project Management Crashing
4 Enter
Enter the
the data
data in
in the
the shaded
shaded area.
area. Then
Then go
go to
to the
the DATA
DATATab
Tab onon the
the ribbon,
ribbon, click
click on
on Solver
Solver in
in the
the Data
DataAnalysis
Analysis Group
Group and
and then
then click
click SOLVE.
SOLVE.
5 IfIf SOLVER
SOLVER isis not
not ononthe
the Data
DataTab
Tab then
then please
please seesee the
the Help
Help file
file (Solver)
(Solver) for
for instructions.
instructions.
6 Results
7 Data Normal time 15 Minimum crash cost to meet project goal $ 5,000.00
8 Project goal 12 Minimum time 7 Project time 12
9
10 Immediate Predecessors (1 per column) Intermediate Computations

11 Normal Normal Crash Crash Crash

Activity Time Cost Time Crash Cost Pred 1 Pred 2 Pred 3 Pred 4 days cost/day Crash limit
12 A 2 $ 22,000 1 $ 23,000 0 1000 1
13 B 3 $ 30,000 1 $ 34,000 0 2000 2
14 C 2 $ 26,000 1 $ 27,000 A 0 1000 1
15 D 4 $ 48,000 3 $ 49,000 B 0 1000 1
16 E 4 $ 56,000 2 $ 58,000 C 1 1000 2
17 F 3 $ 30,000 2 $ 30,500 C 0 500 1
18 G 5 $ 80,000 2 $ 86,000 D E 2 2000 3
19 H 2 $ 16,000 1 $ 19,000 F G 0 3000 1
20 0 0 0

500393393.xls
Crashing General Foundry Problem
YA YB YC YD YE YF YG YH XST XA XB XC XD XE XF XG
Values 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 3 7 7 6 10
Minimize cost 1000 2000 1000 1000 1000 500 2000 3000
A crash max. 1
B crash max. 1
C crash max. 1
D crash max. 1
E crash max. 1
F crash max. 1
G crash max. 1
H crash max. 1
Due date
Start 1
A constraint 1 -1 1
B constraint 1 -1 1
C constraint 1 -1 1
D constraint 1 -1 1
E constraint 1 -1 1
F constraint 1 -1 1
G constraint 1 1 -1 1
G constraint 2 1 -1 1
H constraint 1 1 -1
H constraint 2 1 -1
Finish constraint
XH XFIN
12 12 Totals
5000
0 < 1
0 < 2
1 < 1
0 < 1
0 < 2
0 < 1
2 < 3
0 < 1
1 12 < 12
0 = 0
2 > 2
3 > 3
2 > 2
4 > 4
4 > 4
3 > 3
5 > 5
5 > 5
1 6 > 2
1 2 > 2
-1 1 0 > 0
Arnold's Muffler Shop

Waiting Lines M/M/1 (Single Server Model)

The
The arrival
The arrival
arrival RATE
RATE
RATE and
and service
and RATE
service
service RATE both
both must
RATE bothbe
must rates
must
be and
ratesbe
and use
use the
rates and
the same
usetime
same theunit.
time same
unit. Given
time
Given aa time
unit.
time Given a
such
such as
time as 10
such10 minutes, convert
convert ititconvert
as 10 minutes,
minutes, to
to aa rate
rate such
it to as
such a 66 per
asrate hour.
persuch
hour.as 6 per hour.
hour.
Data Results
Arrival rate (l) 2 Average server utilization(r) 0.6666667
Service rate (m) 3 Average number of customers in the queue(L q
) 1.3333333
Average number of customers in the system(Ls) 2
Average waiting time in the queue(Wq) 0.6666667
Average time in the system(Ws) 1
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P0) 0.3333333

Probabilities
Cumulative
Number Probability Probability
0 0.333333 0.333333
1 0.222222 0.555556
2 0.148148 0.703704
3 0.098765 0.802469
4 0.065844 0.868313
5 0.043896 0.912209
6 0.029264 0.941472
7 0.019509 0.960982
8 0.013006 0.973988
9 0.008671 0.982658
10 0.005781 0.988439
11 0.003854 0.992293
12 0.002569 0.994862
13 0.001713 0.996575
14 0.001142 0.997716
15 0.000761 0.998478
16 0.000507 0.998985
17 0.000338 0.999323
18 0.000226 0.999549
19 0.000150 0.999699
20 0.000100 0.999800
Arnold's Muffler Shop
Waiting Lines M/M/s
The
The arrival
arrival RATE
RATE and
and service
service RATE
RATE both
both must
must be
be rates
rates and
and use
use the
the same
same time
time unit.
unit. Given
Given
aa time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.
time such as 10 minutes, convert it to a rate such as 6 per hour.
Data Results
Arrival rate (l) 2 Average server utilization(r) 0.33333
Service rate (m) 3 Average number of customers in the queue(Lq) 0.08333
Number of servers(s) 2 Average number of customers in the system(L) 0.75
Average waiting time in the queue(Wq) 0.04167
Average time in the system(W) 0.375
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P0) 0.5
Probabilities
Number Probability Cumulative Probability
0 0.500000 0.500000
1 0.333333 0.833333
2 0.111111 0.944444
3 0.037037 0.981481
4 0.012346 0.993827
5 0.004115 0.997942
6 0.001372 0.999314
7 0.000457 0.999771
8 0.000152 0.999924
9 0.000051 0.999975
10 0.000017 0.999992
11 0.000006 0.999997
12 0.000002 0.999999
13 0.000001 1.000000
14 0.000000 1.000000
15 0.000000 1.000000
16 0.000000 1.000000
17 0.000000 1.000000
18 0.000000 1.000000
19 0.000000 1.000000
20 0.000000 1.000000

Computations
n or s (lam/mu)^nCumsum(n-term2 P0(s)
0 1
1 0.666667 1 2 0.33333
2 0.222222 1.666667 0.333333333333333 0.5
3 0.049383 1.888889 0.063492063492064 0.5122
4 0.00823 1.938272 0.009876543209877 0.51331
5 0.001097 1.946502 0.001266223488446 0.51341
6 0.000122 1.947599 0.000137174211248 0.51342
7 1.16E-05 1.947721 1.28350139179682E-05 0.51342
8 9.68E-07 1.947733 1.05569378546059E-06 0.51342
9 7.17E-08 1.947734 7.74175442671098E-08 0.51342
10 4.78E-09 1.947734 5.12020795417393E-09 0.51342
11 2.9E-10 1.947734 3.08313597240581E-10 0.51342
12 1.61E-11 1.947734 1.70369367459144E-11 0.51342
13 8.25E-13 1.947734 8.69753527569206E-13 0.51342
14 3.93E-14 1.947734 4.12575391282828E-14 0.51342
15 1.75E-15 1.947734 1.82757648408783E-15 0.51342
16 7.28E-17 1.947734 7.59282983727312E-17 0.51342
17 2.85E-18 1.947734 2.96998446015785E-18 0.51342
18 1.06E-19 1.947734 1.09750556974159E-19 0.51342
19 3.71E-21 1.947734 3.84311714656988E-21 0.51342
20 1.24E-22 1.947734 1.27871411410371E-22 0.51342
21 3.92E-24 1.947734 4.05275511573853E-24 0.51342
22 1.19E-25 1.947734 1.22628006974231E-25 0.51342
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
Rho(s) Lq(s) L(s) Wq(s) W(S)

0.666667 1.333333 2 0.666667 1

0.333333 0.083333 0.75 0.041667 0.375
0.222222 0.009292 0.675958 0.004646 0.337979
0.166667 0.001014 0.667681 0.000507 0.33384
0.133333 0.0001 0.666767 5E-05 0.333383
0.111111 8.8E-06 0.666675 4.4E-06 0.333338
0.095238 6.94E-07 0.666667 3.47E-07 0.333334
0.083333 4.93E-08 0.666667 2.46E-08 0.333333
0.074074 3.18E-09 0.666667 1.59E-09 0.333333
0.066667 1.88E-10 0.666667 9.39E-11 0.333333
0.060606 1.02E-11 0.666667 5.11E-12 0.333333
0.055556 5.15E-13 0.666667 2.57E-13 0.333333
0.051282 2.41E-14 0.666667 1.21E-14 0.333333
0.047619 1.06E-15 0.666667 5.3E-16 0.333333
0.044444 4.36E-17 0.666667 2.18E-17 0.333333
0.041667 1.69E-18 0.666667 8.47E-19 0.333333
0.039216 6.22E-20 0.666667 3.11E-20 0.333333
0.037037 2.17E-21 0.666667 1.08E-21 0.333333
0.035088 7.17E-23 0.666667 3.59E-23 0.333333
0.033333 2.26E-24 0.666667 1.13E-24 0.333333
0.031746 6.82E-26 0.666667 3.41E-26 0.333333
0.030303 1.97E-27 0.666667 9.84E-28 0.333333
Garcia-Golding Recycling

Waiting Lines M/D/1 (Constant Service Times)

The
The
The arrival
The arrival
arrival
arrival RATE
RATE
RATE
RATE and
andand
and service
service RATE
service
service RATE RATE
both
RATE both
both must
bothbe
must bemust
ratesbe
rates
must and
be
andrates
use
rates and
use the
and
the use
same the
usetime
same same
theunit.
time same
unit. time
Given unit.
unit. Given
aa time
time
Given time Given
such
a time
asuch as
time 10
10 minutes,
assuch
such as 10convert
as 10
minutes, itit to
minutes,
minutes,
convert aa rate
rate such
toconvert
convert it as
it to
such asa
to a66rate
per
per hour.
rate such
such as
hour. as 66 per
per hour.
hour.
Data Results
Arrival rate (l) 8 Average server utilization(r) 0.666667
Service rate (m) 12 Average number of customers in the queue(L q0.666667
)
Average number of customers in the system(L1.333333
s
)
Average waiting time in the queue(Wq) 0.083333
Average time in the system(Ws) 0.166667
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P 0) 0.333333
Department of Commerce

Waiting Lines M/M/s with a finite population

The
The arrival
The arrival rate
arrival rate is
rate isfor
is for each
for eachmember
each memberof
member ofthe
of the population.
the population.IfIfIf they
population. theygo
they gofor
go forservice
for service every
service every20
every 20 minutes
20 minutesthen
minutes then enter
enter 33 (per
(per
then
then enter
hour).
hour).enter 33 (per
(per hour).
hour).
Data Results
Arrival rate (l) per
customer 0.05 Average server utilization(r) 0.436048
Service rate (m) 0.5 Average number of customers in the queue(L q0.203474
)
Number of servers 1 Average number of customers in the system(L0.639522
s
)
Population size (N) 5 Average waiting time in the queue(Wq) 0.933264
Average time in the system(Ws) 2.933264
Probability (% of time) system is empty (P 0) 0.563952
Effective arrival rate 0.218024

Probabilities
Probability, Cumulative Arrival
Number, n P(n) Probability Number waiting rate(n)
0 0.5639522 0.56395218 0 0.25
1 0.2819761 0.84592827 0 0.2
2 0.1127904 0.9587187 1 0.15
3 0.0338371 0.99255583 2 0.1
4 0.0067674 0.99932326 3 0.05
5 0.0006767 1 4 0
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
 1.7732
Sum term Sum term Decum
Term 1 1 Term 2 2 term 2 P0(s)
1 1 1 1 0.7732
0.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.2732 0.563952
0.2 1.7 0.0732
0.06 1.76 0.0132
0.012 1.772 0.0012
0.0012 1.7732 0
Harry's Tire Shop NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the bo
Probability
Range Cumulative Tires Random Simulated
Probability (Lower) Probability Demand Day Number Demand
0.05 0 0.05 0 1 0.961476 5
0.1 0.05 0.15 1 2 0.528963 3
0.2 0.15 0.35 2 3 0.36932 3
0.3 0.35 0.65 3 4 0.348755 2
0.2 0.65 0.85 4 5 0.551209 3
0.15 0.85 1 5 6 0.512126 3
7 0.691222 4
8 0.688585 4
9 0.660969 4
10 0.689304 4
Average 3.5
Results (Frequency table)
Tires
Demanded Frequency Percentage Cum %
0 0 0% 0%
1 0 0% 0%
2 1 10% 10%
3 4 40% 50%
4 4 40% 90%
5 1 10% 100%
10
same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.
Generating Normal Random Numbers NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the

Random number Value Frenquency Percentage

34.1809138264468 26 0 0.0%
34.6301619609842 28 0 0.0%
39.5078287950423 30 6 3.0%
42.1724783885104 32 4 2.0%
45.5849466405258 34 3 1.5%
43.4461132806434 36 19 9.5%
35.0053442414302 38 21 10.5%
44.2659376700364 40 34 17.0%
44.5329718580652 42 33 16.5%
47.6816682518454 44 38 19.0%
35.4170125517084 46 23 11.5%
44.3069341395202 48 13 6.5%
38.5342519311072 50 4 2.0%
46.5727365642431 52 1 0.5%
43.4461132806434 54 1 0.5%
41.5154177825607 56 0 0.0%
40.5339666623779 200
41.4052098539909
46.835984061948
34.5146532319266
42.8454382385533
40.9079830926172
43.4721745866821
36.5122035242628
40.4755597261777
39.5201402802829
40.9079830926172
40.6511076951017
34.9421824789208
41.5195129005479
40.2124825920346
36.6587609616879
31.7175256700904
44.950902803445
36.9284256557915
33.4397074701998
31.7960084080466
45.6542608080469
46.2016298069733
31.7960084080466
29.1751899549852
42.7385512396125
45.8723036006983
39.1888473240934
41.4011771451635
29.1751899549852
44.1687559150138
39.5166422697854
35.3303758766023
35.4521417518384
43.4866580489999
42.9545812933466
42.1029058350285
42.7343234754718
28.2201659199201
36.2979305637997
37.5638210224758
43.1669681794799
41.4045012077142
41.3422695314551
37.1897145138915
43.4866580489999
39.5685204348058
45.9721168823556
39.717825031942
42.3677760671776
38.4489175510476
28.2201659199201
38.4486157012585
40.8631827544508
43.3833646741201
48.4303014642722
41.9979985246625
44.8800288173544
35.8284102336815
36.1103742596603
33.3894061891468
38.5080588897268
36.2373406979432
39.5685204348058
41.3944812482619
41.0947416329318
34.4051824496027
42.2375498543394
43.877282299849
49.110288579755
41.8385596779418
42.0026145672394
45.473846840496
38.4352439301567
39.1964497452726
36.4489251483361
34.2808440555634
41.9979985246625
43.8975532333012
43.5817296478426
39.1569115612945
38.7994810287492
39.9613731690229
34.1551417725023
38.2673464705021
38.8636683834016
45.4957200035985
53.2831262123294
45.3225616379992
36.7947140526064
36.5985406374206
46.7384964574713
40.8333541436864
34.2215452355947
46.7814078651274
41.879906855204
46.4452673064286
36.0032096587967
40.2835353093187
39.7128403548546
44.8668232818379
46.042719731621
44.0679331153282
35.2253203101462
40.994741235962
48.599808492524
43.6384462374144
39.62116216804
43.9971014706067
40.0528744034384
42.6852350552168
46.170000140725
42.2715385730145
36.733117586799
28.9753139246603
46.2263997959824
42.7949126009111
43.6451352389394
43.0137533945727
40.2963460134665
39.5329563090386
45.7918115481119
44.4039807849181
40.3133902276555
42.7252233467611
41.5087324768491
44.1104065678888
36.9385061564919
41.5287721789796
38.5797483723103
38.7186517714881
36.9914698212609
36.6079039537387
46.9028732754806
39.7151687712561
45.2013048153343
36.0871302372302
29.4026253621106
46.6418351408453
44.1606404784594
44.8744397230684
38.8793032825375
37.340048462605
42.0690367369575
39.3665397776035
47.9006497038417
34.8077753612725
39.4639017493918
42.9075205153301
34.8035423984814
38.3569514239217
42.9621872776638
39.4229880416054
41.3129481876269
40.4458460558842
38.5103980053292
31.0229937922946
35.8242959543105
43.5707066809037
38.7148799524505
42.7512136276654
37.7572901730796
42.8162096606725
35.9375966614094
32.203735099826
48.5612752253128
35.3697803464871
42.1754919686645
41.3733280529924
36.032063365173
38.5335110501204
38.9554486552129
36.637780451021
51.8639583577212
43.1480184486731
40.7283795534597
42.8305160461344
41.4283596420187
39.9749998394054
42.4818565806323
45.0964844162088
45.2523121477246
40.2169553428232
42.1473082705776
ay not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.
Harry's Auto Tire Enter
Enter the
the values
values andand the
the requencies
requencies in in the
the top
top table.
table. Press
Press F9
F9 to
to run
run another
another simulation.
simulation. IfIf you
you like,
like, you
you
may
you
may enter
may
enter the
enter
the random
the
random numbers
randomnumbers in
numbers
in thein
the column
the labeled
column
column "Random
labeled
labeled number".
"Random
"Random
you may enter the random numbers in the column labeled "Random number". number".
number".
Simulation

Data Expected Value

Random Number Cumulative Value *
Sorter Category name Value Frequency Probability Probability Frequency
0 Category 1 0 10 0.05 0.05 0
5 Category 2 1 20 0.1 0.15 20
15 Category 3 2 40 0.2 0.35 80
35 Category 4 3 60 0.3 0.65 180
65 Category 5 4 40 0.2 0.85 160
85 Category 6 5 30 0.15 1 150
Total 200 Expected

Simulation trials
Trial Random Number Value
1 83.28203704537 4
2 7.003285614479 1
3 77.04288262861 4
4 36.86392918802 3
5 43.41482950006 3
6 0.467402447204 0
7 38.58461510179 3
8 34.63045336401 2
9 43.5027494927 3
10 72.40942553529 4
11 58.44148886684 3
12 0.535160468183 0
13 10.53112841379 1
14 27.04065380051 2
15 27.94211596316 2
16 80.93915221718 4
17 34.63045336401 2
18 68.30620866213 4
19 33.45698444522 2
20 41.06599355756 3
21 27.04065380051 2
22 46.9804758552 3
23 85.69110014889 5
24 21.0062464174 2
25 41.06599355756 3
26 12.48044027464 1
27 6.026573203511 1
28 61.21102016198 3
29 68.98960624817 4
30 2.520587191877 0
31 38.13342469034 3
32 23.47592275713 2
33 2.520587191877 0
34 81.08463787211 4
35 20.99189859996 2
36 76.82197042788 4
37 76.82197042788 4
38 43.00058478639 3
39 56.85447395373 3
40 37.06748316767 3
41 53.07708105151 3
42 3.321634160961 0
43 51.74181780986 3
44 63.70335277081 3
45 42.01902921827 3
46 47.31225035091 3
47 94.32830551364 5
48 43.04898017004 3
49 96.11357959405 5
50 33.63103526023 2
51 71.89353707648 4
52 89.49449206285 5
53 45.93607249675 3
54 49.11659707107 3
55 28.64385137928 2
56 71.38619774772 4
57 27.26055170875 2
58 62.70870766479 3
59 0.061828369782 0
60 30.6273656422 2
61 39.94603346879 3
62 74.36856003523 4
63 64.66890789524 3
64 1.328679457176 0
65 65.71492103688 4
66 85.18055316634 5
67 85.1045600664 5
68 32.8806185032 2
 69 63.93964521711 3
70 42.07370291477 3
71 3.57340325758 0
72 80.73217912792 4
73 39.66155843523 3
74 91.28482862437 5
75 58.33699118843 3
76 93.0960383385 5
77 76.76140497477 4
78 77.58520865895 4
79 94.47221274922 5
80 94.2636071067 5
81 15.74417791166 2
82 23.09837376694 2
83 49.96098284801 3
84 3.57340325758 0
85 51.26834003467 3
86 83.43051419111 4
87 61.65883885091 3
88 21.25737675441 2
89 98.10449600772 5
90 58.33699118843 3
91 54.66983591319 3
92 53.52247300333 3
93 86.72804774828 5
94 53.52247300333 3
95 89.2663282042 5
96 54.64344067836 3
97 33.16277125001 2
98 84.48970683428 4
99 96.17200857883 5
100 86.37823673335 5
101 38.02698353712 3
102 38.52929327553 3
103 82.62334416765 4
104 40.71614049904 3
105 29.40142657094 2
106 21.55987951938 2
107 19.82303856336 2
108 86.24357852274 5
109 88.14571539859 5
110 13.95658416372 1
111 22.19175568251 2
112 45.40734049041 3
113 56.20065964597 3
114 71.80930108803 4
115 64.03727824779 3
116 43.22810298388 3
117 22.27323586307 2
118 72.78217086841 4
119 8.928411789037 1
120 74.16193645906 4
121 22.79903478906 2
122 89.2663282042 5
123 66.02600270295 4
124 25.39528383058 2
125 93.10990820104 5
126 76.83904557435 4
127 79.90319618934 4
128 96.17200857883 5
129 72.78585737965 4
130 68.56573645519 4
131 15.88312944541 2
132 48.37883741692 3
133 30.87986583518 2
134 82.62334416765 4
135 25.9389135659 2
136 64.27706117318 3
137 86.10846282888 5
138 67.73897181195 4
139 94.12240818937 5
140 52.63992680591 3
141 25.77043761288 2
142 8.288757153935 1
143 45.3786396351 3
144 87.12598831002 5
145 30.78949628801 2
146 45.88844841741 3
147 67.97706700791 4
148 32.05893813891 2
149 18.95303080416 2
150 84.96733072698 4
151 88.20630157681 5
152 13.12569513846 1
153 64.31802595366 3
154 4.951395340747 0
155 99.94995612836 5
156 96.19004582458 5
157 25.85210362169 2
158 0.472303158151 0
159 55.12191758479 3
160 50.9404365599 3
161 97.76400262701 5
162 88.54076043114 5
163 32.30201630118 2
164 42.32822153715 3
165 20.1428482056 2
166 4.602920640166 0
167 14.45988004611 1
168 81.80717969631 4
169 90.85756447583 5
170 80.18857257927 4
171 32.04641519707 2
172 50.45562257694 3
173 54.50378217119 3
174 72.78585737965 4
175 93.07747857075 5
176 78.90483148614 4
177 31.08277370021 2
178 16.25543983976 2
179 80.68780820594 4
180 75.27571275306 4
181 97.03248509525 5
182 94.80941741165 5
183 37.48185525998 3
184 69.45443694802 4
185 85.80807103722 5
186 28.71425548613 2
187 63.09774636167 3
188 87.83639011689 5
189 81.98084553782 4
190 91.77416775129 5
191 24.08200824131 2
192 31.28782601113 2
193 91.79772771716 5
194 76.6058953331 4
195 84.6496340621 4
196 44.7371512935 3
197 21.21972723314 2
198 25.1284240251 2
199 47.82803034341 3
200 52.03788657097 3
simulation.
simulation. IfIf you
you like,
like, you
you

Simulation results
Simulation Occurences *
Value Occurrences Percentage Value
0 12 0.06 0
1 9 0.045 9
2 43 0.215 86
3 59 0.295 177
4 41 0.205 164
5 36 0.18 180
Totals 200 1 616
Average 3.08
Port of New Orleans Barge Unloadings NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be

Total to
Previously Random be Random Possibly
Day delayed number Arrivals unoaded Number unloaded Unloaded
1 0 0.720958 4 4 0.873205 4 4
2 0 0.83158 4 4 0.528903 3 3
3 1 0.653284 3 4 0.015337 1 1
4 3 0.658588 3 6 0.99561 5 5
5 1 0.887913 4 5 0.164666 2 2
6 3 0.746332 4 7 0.184741 2 2
7 5 0.183236 1 6 0.631715 3 3
8 3 0.832671 4 7 0.20367 3 3
9 4 0.994613 5 9 0.230708 3 3
10 6 0.354359 2 8 0.920083 5 5

Barge Arrivals Unloading rates

Demand Probability Lower CumulativeDemand Number Probability Lower Cumulative
0 0.13 0 0.13 0 1 0.05 0 0.05
1 0.17 0.13 0.3 1 2 0.15 0.05 0.2
2 0.15 0.3 0.45 2 3 0.5 0.2 0.7
3 0.25 0.45 0.7 3 4 0.2 0.7 0.9
4 0.2 0.7 0.9 4 5 0.1 0.9 1
5 0.1 0.9 1 5
pearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.

Unloading
1
2
3
4
5
Three Hills Power Company

Breakdown Random Time between Time of Time repairperson Random Repair

number number breakdowns breakdowns is free Number Repair time ends
1 0.4014 2 2 2 0.0451 1 3
2 0.7346 2.5 4.5 4.5 0.2830 2 6.5
3 0.6846 2.5 7 7 0.4158 2 9
4 0.4939 2 9 9 0.4567 2 11
5 0.7683 2.5 11.5 11.5 0.3759 2 13.5
6 0.1257 1.5 13 13.5 0.0274 1 14.5
7 0.3584 2 15 15 0.7280 2 17
8 0.5865 2 17 17 0.7038 2 19
9 0.2062 1.5 18.5 19 0.5664 2 21
10 0.4101 2 20.5 21 0.3053 2 23

Demand Table Repair times

Time
between
breakdowns Probability Lower Cumulative Demand Time Probability
0.5 0.05 0 0.05 0.5 1 0.28
1.0 0.06 0.05 0.11 1 2 0.52
1.5 0.16 0.11 0.27 1.5 3 0.20
2.0 0.33 0.27 0.6 2
2.5 0.21 0.6 0.81 2.5
3.0 0.19 0.81 1 3

NOTE: The random numbers appearing here may not be the same as the ones in the book, but the formulas are the same.
 Lower Cumulative Lead time
0.00 0.28 1
0.28 0.80 2
0.80 1.00 3

are the same.

Three Grocery Example

State Probabilities
American Food SFood Mart Atlas Foods
Time #1 #2 #3 Matrix of Transition Probabilities
0 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.1
1 0.41 0.31 0.28 0.1 0.7 0.2
2 0.415 0.314 0.271 0.2 0.2 0.6
3 0.4176 0.3155 0.2669
4 0.41901 0.31599 0.265
5 0.419807 0.316094 0.264099
6 0.4202748 0.3160663 0.2636589
Accounts Receivable Example

1 0 0 0
P= I:0 = 0 1 0 0
A:B 0.6 0 0.2 0.2
0.4 0.1 0.3 0.2

I-B= 0.8 -0.2

-0.3 0.8

F = (I - B) inverse 1.37931 0.344828

0.517241 1.37931

FA = 0.965517 0.034483
0.862069 0.137931
Box Filling Example

Quality Control x bar chart

Enter
Enter the
the population
population standard
standard deviation
deviation
then
then enter
enter the
the data
data from
from each
each sample.
sample.
Number of 1 Finally,
Finally, you
you may
may change
change thethe number
number ofof
standard
standard deviations.
deviations.
Sample siz 36
Populatio
n
standard
deviation 2
Data Results
Mean
Sample 1 16 x-bar valu 16
Average 16 z value 3
Sigma x ba0.333333

Upper cont 17
Center lin 16
Lower cont 15
Super Cola Example

Quality Control x bar chart

Enter
Enter the
the mean
mean and
and range
range from
from
Number of 1 each
each sample.
sample.
Sample size 5

Data Results
Mean Range Xbar Range
Sample 1 16.01 0.25 x-bar value 16.01
Average 16.01 0.25
R bar 0.25

Upper contro 16.15425 0.52875

Center line 16.01 0.25
Table Lower contro 15.86575 0

Mean Upper Lower

Sample Factor, Range, Range,
size, n A2 D4 D3
2 1.88 3.268 0
3 1.023 2.574 0
4 0.729 2.282 0
5 0.577 2.115 0
6 0.483 2.004 0
7 0.419 1.924 0.076
8 0.373 1.864 0.136
9 0.337 1.816 0.184
10 0.308 1.777 0.223
11 0.285 1.744 0.256
12 0.266 1.716 0.284
13 0.249 1.692 0.308
14 0.235 1.671 0.329
15 0.223 1.652 0.348
16 0.212 1.636 0.364
17 0.203 1.621 0.379
18 0.194 1.608 0.392
19 0.187 1.596 0.404
20 0.18 1.586 0.414
21 0.173 1.575 0.425
22 0.167 1.566 0.434
23 0.162 1.557 0.443
24 0.157 1.548 0.452
25 0.153 1.541 0.459
ARCO

Quality Control p chart

Enter
Enter the
the sample
sample size
size then
then enter
enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects in
in each
each sample.
sample.
Number of 20
Sample siz 100

Data Results
# Defects % Defects Total Sampl 2000
Sample 1 6 0.06 Total Defec 80
Sample 2 5 0.05 Percentage 0.04
Sample 3 0 0 Std dev of 0.019596
Sample 4 1 0.01 z value 3
Sample 5 4 0.04
Sample 6 2 0.02 Upper Cont 0.098788
Sample 7 5 0.05 Center Lin 0.04
Sample 8 3 0.03 Lower Cont 0
Sample 9 3 0.03
Sample 10 2 0.02 p-chart
Sample 11 6 0.06 0.12
Sample 12 1 0.01 0.1
Mean

Sample 13 8 0.08 0.08

Sample 14 7 0.07 0.06
Sample 15 5 0.05 0.04
Sample 16 4 0.04
0.02
Sample 17 11 0.11 Above UCL
0
Sample 18 3 0.03
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19
Sample 19 0 0
Sample
Sample 20 4 0.04

Graph information
Sample 1 0.06 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 2 0.05 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 3 0 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 4 0.01 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 5 0.04 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 6 0.02 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 7 0.05 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 8 0.03 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 9 0.03 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 10 0.02 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 11 0.06 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 12 0.01 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 13 0.08 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 14 0.07 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 15 0.05 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 16 0.04 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 17 0.11 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 18 0.03 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 19 0 0 0.04 0.098788
Sample 20 0.04 0 0.04 0.098788
3 15 17 19
 Red Top Cab Company
c-chart
Quality Control c chart 16

Mean
Enter 14
Enter the
the number
number of
of defects
defects for
for each
each of
of the
the
Number of 9 samples/items.
samples/items. 12
10
8
6
Data Results 4
# Defects Total unit 9 2
0
Sample 1 3 Total Defe 54 1 2 3 4 5 6
Sample 2 0 Defect rate, 6 Sample
Sample 3 8 Standard d 2.44949
Sample 4 9 z value 3
Sample 5 6
Sample 6 7 Upper Con13.34847
Sample 7 4 Center Lin 6
Sample 8 9 Lower Con 0
Sample 9 8

Graph information
Sample 1 3 0 6 13.34847
Sample 2 0 0 6 13.34847
Sample 3 8 0 6 13.34847
Sample 4 9 0 6 13.34847
Sample 5 6 0 6 13.34847
Sample 6 7 0 6 13.34847
Sample 7 4 0 6 13.34847
Sample 8 9 0 6 13.34847
Sample 9 8 0 6 13.34847
 c-chart

3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sample
AHP n= 3
Hardware Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Priority Wt. sum vector Consistency vector
Sys.1 1 3 9 Sys.1 0.6923 0.7200 0.5625 0.6583 2.0423 3.1025 Lambd
Sys.2 0.3333 1 6 Sys.2 0.2308 0.2400 0.3750 0.2819 0.8602 3.0512 CI
Sys.3 0.1111 0.1667 1 Sys.3 0.0769 0.0400 0.0625 0.0598 0.1799 3.0086 CR
Column Total 1.4444 4.1667 16

Software Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Priority Wt. sum vector
Sys.1 1 0.5 0.125 Sys.1 0.0909 0.0769 0.0943 0.0874 0.2623 3.0014 Lambd
Sys.2 2 1 0.2 Sys.2 0.1818 0.1538 0.1509 0.1622 0.4871 3.0028 CI
Sys.3 8 5 1 Sys.3 0.7273 0.7692 0.7547 0.7504 2.2605 3.0124 CR
Column Total 11 6.5 1.325

Vendor Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Sys.1 Sys.2 Sys.3 Priority Wt. sum vector
Sys.1 1 1 6 Sys.1 0.4615 0.4286 0.6000 0.4967 1.5330 3.0863 Lambd
Sys.2 1 1 3 Sys.2 0.4615 0.4286 0.3000 0.3967 1.2132 3.0582 CI
Sys.3 0.1667 0.3333 1 Sys.3 0.0769 0.1429 0.1000 0.1066 0.3216 3.0172 CR
Column Total 2.1667 2.3333 10

Factor Hard. Soft. Vendor Hardware Software Vendor Priority Wt. sum vector
Hardware 1 0.125 0.3333 Hardware 0.0833 0.0857 0.0769 0.0820 0.2460 3.0004 Lambd
Software 8 1 3 Software 0.6667 0.6857 0.6923 0.6816 2.0468 3.0031 CI
Vendor 3 0.3333 1 Vendor 0.2500 0.2286 0.2308 0.2364 0.7096 3.0011 CR
Column Total 12 1.4583 4.3333

n RI Hardware Software Vendor Priority

2 0.00 Sys.1 0.658 0.087 0.497 0.231
3 0.58 Sys.2 0.282 0.162 0.397 0.227
4 0.90 Sys.3 0.060 0.750 0.107 0.542
5 1.12
6 1.24
7 1.32
8 1.41
Consistency vector
3.0541
0.0270
0.0466

3.0055430750418
0.0028
0.0048

3.0539
0.0269
0.0464

3.0015
0.0008
0.0013
Matrix Multiplication

A= 1 2 3 B= 2 1
1 2 0 1 1
3 2

AxB = 13 9
4 3

Matrix Inverse

A= 2 1 A-inverse= 1.5 -0.5

4 3 -2 1

Matrix Determinant

A= 3 4 det(A)= -10
4 2