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International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24 (2017) 439–450

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ijdrr

Sex, gender, and disasters: Experimental evidence on the decision to invest MARK
in resilience

Kim A. Young , Robert T. Greenbaum, Noah C. Dormady
John Glenn College of Public Affairs, The Ohio State University, United States

A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T

Keywords: Increasing sensitivity to terrorism, economic volatility, frequent and severe natural disasters, and infrastructure
Economic resilience disruptions has intensified interest in resilience, the ability to withstand or recover from catastrophe. The
Gender growing research on disaster preparedness and recovery policies have been aggregate-level analyses focusing on
Experimental economics communities, organizations, or the physical environments. Absent from this literature is an exploration of the
Disasters
role of individual decision-makers in determining the resilience strategies of firms, even though the hardiness of
Decision-making
Middle-market
business is crucial to maintaining robust local, regional, and global economies. To address this, our research uses
a randomized controlled experimental design to examine whether biological sex or gender diversity might lead
to decision-making that improves investments in resilience to calamitous events. We study decisions related to a
core resilience strategy, investment in inventories, across professional manager and student subject pools. We
find that although females perceive a higher probability of a catastrophic event, male and female subjects do not
make different investment decisions when faced with uncertainty and risk. Importantly, a gender construct
capturing congruence with feminine personality attributes does correspond with increased resilience investment
and is driven by differences between managers and students. Increased gender diversity in decision-making
bodies may serve to improve economic resilience of firms and other organizations.

1. Introduction businesses and communities originate with individual decision-makers


or with collaborations of individual decision-makers. To address this
With renewed sensitivity to threats such as terrorism attacks, deep glaring gap in the literature, this paper evaluates individual-level resi-
and long-lasting recessions, frequent and severe natural disasters, and lience decisions and their determinants. We account for the important
infrastructure disruptions such as blackouts and loss of clean municipal decision-making context of firm-level resilience decisions, namely tra-
water, it is no surprise that the concept of economic resilience has be- deoffs inherent to resilience actions. In this paper, we evaluate the
come a popular focus of recent academic literature and policy discus- tradeoff to firms in acquiring inventories or stockpiles of production
sions [44,45]. Many of the latest studies informing policy have created inputs, a well-established resilience tactic of firms [59,60,62]. This is an
frameworks for evaluating vulnerability and hazard response important resilience decision making context because, while market
[12,2,31,41]. Others have sought to quantify post-disaster losses, competition pressures firms to be lean, the threat of economic disrup-
measure costs of resilience efforts, or establish baselines for appraising tion from natural or human-made disasters necessitates contemplation
resilience performance [14,34,53,69]. These studies have concentrated of investments to reduce the adverse impacts of catastrophic events.
on community or regional resilience by examining regions (e.g., metro Compared to smaller or larger firms, these tradeoffs between invest-
areas or watersheds), organizations (e.g. hospitals), institutions (e.g. ments in production and resilience are likely even more acute for mid-
government policies), or infrastructure systems (e.g. power and tele- sized firms, which hire one out of every three workers in the U.S. pri-
communication networks, supply chains). vate economy [48].
Firm resilience is critical to understanding community and regional Many factors potentially influence firm-level resilience investments.
resilience. While research has attempted to quantify the effects of cat- Our research builds on important findings that personal investment
astrophic events on businesses, it has largely ignored the role of deci- decisions often predict business investment decisions [15]. Individual
sion makers within firms and their attempts to minimize potential vulnerability to disasters may vary based on socio-economic class,
losses. Decisions that collectively constitute the economic resilience of gender, age, ethnicity, and disability [47,72,74], making it likely that


Correspondence to: Page Hall 310B, 1810 College Road, Columbus, OH 43210, United States.
E-mail address: young.1807@osu.edu (K.A. Young).

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.06.003
Received 10 November 2016; Received in revised form 1 June 2017; Accepted 3 June 2017
Available online 13 June 2017
2212-4209/ © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
K.A. Young et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24 (2017) 439–450

these groups would perceive disaster risk differently and/or make dif- F) and gender (socially constructed masculinity/femininity), we are
ferent resilience investment decisions. Here, we focus on the influence able to more holistically assess the factors influencing resilience in-
of sex and gender in the economic resilience decisions of firms, de- vestment decisions.
voting specific attention to middle market firms. We test the degree to The overall findings of these experiments support the conclusion
which sex and gender diversity leads to pro-resilient decision-making in that gender diversity, that is diversity of feminine and masculine per-
the face of calamitous events. This question is important both to the sonalities, may lead to greater investments in resilience. Under condi-
rapidly growing literature on economic resilience and to the decision- tions of uncertainty, male and female decision makers hold different
making literature more broadly. It also has significant societal im- perceptions of the likelihood of a catastrophic event that may lead to
portance in terms of informing businesses, social planners and federal increased investments in resilience as more women are included in
agencies tasked with emergency preparedness and improving the resi- those decisions. Femininity is also positively correlated with percep-
lience of businesses and the broader community. tions of increased disaster likelihood. Further, regardless of biological
This research considers both biological sex and gender. Biological sex, individuals reporting high congruence with femininity traits may
sex is based on physiological characteristics and is often represented by also be more likely to direct resources toward resilience. We discuss
binary male/female categories [63,73]. Gender is based on biological these results and their implications after reviewing the risk, decision-
sex characteristics and is produced through socialization as children making, and economic resilience literature, describing the experimental
internalize and demonstrate the different normative expectations of design and reporting the study findings.
appearance, attitude, and behavior consistent with boys/men and girls/
women [63,64,71,73]. In line with the extant literature that posits in- 1.1. Gender, decision-making and resilience
creased risk-aversion among females, we hypothesize that male and
female decision makers will exhibit differences in their willingness to Middle market firms, defined here as those with annual revenues
invest in economic resilience. We extend this further by evaluating the between $10 million and $1 billion, are an ideal sample to use to ex-
degree to which culturally-defined concepts of masculinity and femi- amine the relationship between decision-making, gender, and resi-
ninity, representations of gender, drive resilience investment decision- lience. These firms account for approximately one-third of the US pri-
making beyond the simple binary measure of sex. vate economy in dollar terms [48], making employment in these firms
To examine these hypotheses, we utilize controlled experiments vital for state and local economies. Despite their prevalence and eco-
with a subject pool of professional middle market firm managers. We nomic importance, these firms are particularly vulnerable to cata-
replicate the same experiments with undergraduate experimental eco- strophic events. Relative to smaller firms, they have greater capacity to
nomics subject pool students and report results of both. The direct and insulate themselves to disasters. However, relative to larger firms, they
indirect losses due to disaster-related supply chain interruptions are an often lack the necessary resources and expertise to fully recover from or
increasing concern for businesses [19], so the experimental design takes prepare for disaster. Middle market firms are also less likely to acquire
an explicitly narrow focus on one core resilience strategy of firms, in- government assistance.
vestments in inventories. Inventories, which can bear sizeable costs in Prior to the mid-1990s, middle market firms had not focused on
the short-run, can shield firms from costly business disruption when disaster planning, but an increase in both the frequency of catastrophic
faced with critical supply chain curtailments. Such business interrup- events and investment in costly data centers have prompted change
tions can be several orders of magnitude larger in terms of economic [54]. Purchasing business interruption insurance, designing alternate
disruption than the property damage of calamitous events. The inter- methods of communication with key customers and suppliers, and re-
connectedness of supply chains, trade and financial markets mean that writing contracts to include provisions for emergency space or equip-
local disaster-induced disruptions can produce effects that ripple ment, were some actions firms began pursuing. Each represents
through regional and global economies [19]. Our experimental design methods of passive (preventative) resilience [54]. Among the middle
allows us to evaluate the effects of sex and gender on the decision to market firms, fewer than ten percent are women-owned or woman-run.
invest in resilience, as well as differences in experience levels (man- This lack of gender diversity may have important implications for
agers vs. students). We also conduct extensive post-experiment survey economic resilience.
assessments of our subjects that provide critical information in under- Only a small literature explicitly examines how gender might affect
standing determinants of resilience decision-making. decisions regarding economic resilience. For example, Danes, et al. [18]
This research makes a number of important contributions to the found that female-owned firms that accepted federal disaster assistance (a
resilience and risk literature. First, our focus on middle market firms form of active resilience) achieved enhanced resiliency when compared to
fills a notable gap in the resilience literature. Mid-sized firms are a male-owned firms. Female-owners also maintained greater firm resiliency
critical component of labor economies and global supply chains via social capital. Danes, et al. [18] posit that relatively higher risk aver-
[33,48], but their resilience to disasters has remained under studied. sion and support-seeking tendencies of females and their deeper com-
Second, this study accounts for risk in a unique way, by incorporating mitment to permanent employees may explain these outcomes.
the inherent priors of experimental subjects and by designing a strategy The effects of gender composition on resilience decision-making
neutral game. Third, by using an experimental approach using both may manifest itself in a number of important ways. Our focus on the
student subjects and actual manager subjects, we are able to help re- role of gender and the growing literature on economic resilience in-
concile the conflicting findings from previous research regarding the forms and is informed by two main areas of prior research: the litera-
relationships between gender and risk. Risk and resilience studies have ture on gender and risk and the literature on gender and decision-
tended to focus on student subjects. We overcome the limitations of this making. Notably, the extant empirical literature has operationalized
approach by using a sample of middle market firm managers re- gender in terms of dichotomous biological sex rather than on masculine
presenting of all industries and comparing the decisions of students or feminine attributes. However, because gender is socially and cultu-
with professionals accustomed to making these types of decisions. rally constructed, individuals (regardless of their biological sex) will
Fourth, the existing risk literature relies on the use of biological sex as vary in their adoption of masculine/feminine traits and behaviors de-
the operationalization of gender, most typically examining only firms in pending on their socialization. By ignoring these social and cultural
the financial sector of the economy [66]. Following Meier-Pesti & Penz gender constructs, the empirical literature relying only on a biological
[46], who introduced masculinity and femininity into the financial risk- sex measure becomes dependent on sorting into particular industries or
taking research, we suspect that some of the conflicting male/female roles within a firm. Such sorting would lead to inconsistent findings
results produced in the risk literature are due to limitations of oper- regarding the role of gender, which is what we report below. Next, we
ationalizing gender as an M/F checkbox. By incorporating both sex (M/ review the literature that informs our hypotheses.

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1.2. The role of gender in decision-making and performance conclude that measurable disparities between sexes do exist. Faccio
et al. [28], after accounting for potential self-selection issues, found
Ambiguity and uncertainty are keenly relevant to economic resi- that female CEOs in large European companies made less risky (and,
lience decisions, making literature on gender differences related to risk perhaps, less efficient) investments than their male counterparts in si-
particularly applicable to the study of gender and resilience. Despite milar companies. Huang and Kisgen [37] also examined male and fe-
numerous studies conducted during the past several decades, the lit- male executives and discovered measurable disparities in corporate
erature on gender and risk has remained inconclusive. Research from investment decisions between sexes. When a firm was led by a woman,
the economics, behavioral psychology, banking and personal finance announced returns for acquisitions and debt offerings were higher,
literature is mixed regarding gender and risk aversion. Some of this while men were significantly more likely to pursue value destroying
literature has found that women investors tend to be more risk-averse acquisitions. However, instead of classifying these observed differences
than men [13,23,24,6,9] while others find no gender effects [25,4,67]. as cases of female risk aversion as Beckmann and Menkoff [6] and
This may be because risk is context dependent [65,70], incomplete Faccio et al. [28] did, the authors ascribed them to male over-con-
gender constructs have been used [46], or sub-group analysis reveals a fidence [37].
complex relationship between gender and risk [16,21,25]. Less studied, Male/female differences related to information processing may also
however, is whether risk attitudes translate into decisions made on help explain results showing gender-based differences in risk-taking
behalf of firms such as when corporate boards make capital planning [11]. Female professional investors have displayed increased sensitivity
decisions. This is noteworthy because investments in resilience are si- to the ambiguity and uncertainty that accompanies financial investment
milar to investments that shield firms from risk, like insurance, though decisions [51]. When faced with ambiguous or uncertain situations,
not all resilience investments are sunk costs [61]. some have suggested that women may be better positioned to make
Contradictory results span survey and experimental methods and decisions because they consider information more comprehensively
personal investment and finance contexts [1,23-25,27,4,65,67]. The [11,32]. Experimental evidence shows female subjects integrate all
literature on personal financial decision-making is relevant to decision- sources of information drawing comprehensively from internal, ex-
making in firms, as there is a growing literature finding a behavioral ternal, objective and subjective resources [11]. Females are also more
consistency between those personal decisions and decisions made on likely to use external information to shift their behavior and may be led,
the behalf of firms. For example, Cronqvis, Makhija, & Yonker [15] through external information, to sub-optimal decisions [11]. The se-
found a relationship between how leveraged CEOs were with respect to lective processing of males causes them to disregard additional in-
their home mortgages and the decisions they made regarding coporate formation initially and to base decisions on individual cues instead of a
leverage at work. combination of information resources [11]. Comprehensive utilization
Many studies find no risk differences between men and women of information also means incorporating subtle cues and incongruent
[25,27,4,65,67]. Investment behavior measured in terms of risk and information, which women tend to do more often than their male
performance of mutual funds do not differ for funds managed by males counterparts [32]. These differences in information processing cap-
and females [4]. Nor are differences found in risk and innovation abilities provide advantages in long-term portfolio performance [32].
strategies in entrepreneurial venture situations [67]. Results initially These differences in information processing capabilities suggest benefits
indicating risk aversion disparities based on sex may erode when sub- of diversity for decision-making in firms.
groups are examined, outcomes scrutinized or when decision context is While the empirical literature examining gender and risk finds
included. A thorough review of economic literature reveals that while contradictory results regarding propensities of male and female subjects
women tended to be more risk averse than men in the general popu- to invest in resilience, we frame our initial hypothesis consistently with
lation, women managers were an exception [16]. Women board di- the hypotheses purported in many of those studies:
rectors have also been shown to be more risk loving than male direc-
H1: Female subjects are more likely to invest in economic resilience than
tors, a result at odds with the general population [1]. When marital
male subjects
influences are isolated, sex is not an overall predictor of risk in in-
vestment choice [25]. Even in cases when women readily labelled Much of the literature concludes no risk differences exist for male
themselves as risk averse, analysis of their investment choices led to the and female managers and business owners [4,67]. Therefore, we hy-
conclusion that “there was no difference in investment patterns in fi- pothesize
nancial assets attributable to gender” ([25], p 38). Self-reported de-
H2a: Female subjects in the management pool are as equally likely as male
creased investment confidence does not result in different investment
subjects in the management pool to invest in economic resilience
decision quality between men and women [27]. Although women make
equally sound investment decisions, “differential cultural influences, The meta-analysis results that conclude female managers are not
probably beginning in early childhood, lead women to be less confident more risk averse than male managers and less risk averse than the
in their investment decisions” ([27], p. 586). In an experimental study general population [16] are the basis for an extension of the second
with abstract gambling and contextualized treatments, no differences hypothesis:
occurred by sex when the decisions were framed as investment or in-
H2b: Female subjects in the management pool are less likely to invest in
surance decisions [65].
resilience than male and female subjects in the student pool
Other research has found women to be more risk averse than men
[9,23,24,70]. Experiments involving personal investment decisions An expanded conceptualization of gender may provide additional
found statistically significant gender differences in each individual risk explanation. It is important to note that while many of the studies de-
attitude treatment, indicating that men are less risk averse than women scribed above have purported to address gender differences in risk at-
overall [23,24]. One recent study concludes that although college age titude or investment decision-making, the gender construct in each of
women expressed an increased willingness to take risks, they instead them has been defined as a binary, biological difference: male or fe-
made fewer risky decisions in hypothetical financial investment game male. This construct would be more appropriately characterized as a
[9]. biological sex variable. Sex has long been distinguished from gender
Building on previous findings that expertise tends to moderate [63,7,71,73,8]. Sex is a biologically based determination of an in-
gender differences in risk-taking, overconfidence and competitive be- dividual's status as male or female [71]. Gender is produced when so-
havior, another study shows that women fund managers tended to be cial and cultural processes specify norms of appearance, attitudes, and
more risk averse than men, though women did not have differing loss behaviors for males and females [71]. Thus, gender includes prescribed
aversion [6]. More recent studies looking at male and female executives social roles that are meant to organize social interaction on the basis of

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K.A. Young et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24 (2017) 439–450

sex category [58]. Although socializing processes encourage agreement an event [70]. A study incorporating financial, health/safety, recrea-
between sex and gender, the two can diverge. A female individual may tional, ethics and social contexts found men associated significantly less
adopt masculine personality attributes, attitudes, appearances, or be- risk in each situation, with the exception of the social context and the
havior and vice versa. Dichotomous measurements of biological sex are gambling aspect of the financial context. There were no male/female
very simplistic constructs, and incorporation of additional gender differences in perceived risk-attitude [70]. Male subjects in disaster-
considerations improves analysis. To this end, Meier-Pesti and Penz related research have reported consistently smaller perceptions of the
[46] explain observed differences in risk aversion between men and likelihood of environmental health risks such as storms and floods,
women based on identification with masculine or feminine attributes motor vehicle and commercial air travel accidents, and chemical pol-
rather than on a solely biological basis. Using a survey of 186 people, lution [30]. If biological factors were responsible for these differences,
they studied whether identification with socially constructed gender the effects would be equally present in white and non-white subjects.
roles of masculinity and femininity had a bearing on risk-taking in White men, however, perceive markedly less risk than all other groups
actual investment behavior and related to hypothetical financial deci- (white females, and non-white males and females) suggesting social
sions [46]. The authors found that “the more people feel congruence influences [30]. Women and minorities also report perceptions of
with the male sex role stereotype, the more risk they are willing to take higher vulnerability to natural disasters [72].
in financial decision-making regardless of their biological sex” ([46], p. These studies lead to a fourth hypothesis that addresses risk per-
188). They also conducted an experiment that supported the conclu- ception and its subsequent influence on investment decisions.
sions of the first study, that financial risk taking can be predicted by Informing this hypothesis is the extant literature suggesting males
identification with masculinity. Interestingly, while being masculine perceive less risk related to a variety of situations, including cata-
was associated with risk-taking, being feminine did not associate with strophic events [30,70]. Therefore, we hypothesize:
risk behavior, either as risk-averse or risk-neutral [46].
H4a: Female subjects perceive a higher likelihood of catastrophic event than
While the risk-taking literature has begun to incorporate non-di-
male subjects
chotomous conceptualizations of gender, decision researchers have
long suggested that male/female differences may be better explained by H4b: Higher perceived likelihood of catastrophic event is positively related to
culturally defined sex-roles [40,43]. Group decisions made in the pre- the decision to invest in inventories
sence of individuals representing masculine-typed, feminine-typed,
androgynous and undifferentiated sex role categories show that active,
instrumental decision-making behavior is associated with masculine- 2. Experimental study
typed and androgynous orientations regardless of sex [40]. Still others
conclude that gendered decision-making differences are related to To test the hypotheses, we ran a controlled human subjects ex-
power, organizational politics, conflict management and trust rather periment. Use of controlled experiments has grown rapidly because of
than to biological sex [43]. Research that explicitly incorporates ana- their strengths in testing social phenomena in a controlled manner
lysis of gender roles shows that a mix of masculine and feminine at- [39,56]. While lab experiments evaluating the social effects of gender
tributes produces better decisions [42,57]. When every group member have been vast, we are aware of none evaluating individual-level resi-
possesses a balance of masculine and feminine attributes, referred to as lience decision-making as opposed to community resilience. Below we
high androgyny, higher quality decisions are made [42]. Perceived provide the operational details for our experiment and explain how it
decision-making skills are improved when characteristics traditionally was designed to specifically test our hypotheses.
linked to masculinity are augmented by traits traditionally considered
feminine [57]. These decision-making findings are relevant to the 2.1. Selection and assignment
current study since individuals may, at times, collaborate to make firm
decisions that would improve economic resilience. The experiment was conducted as an online experimental survey
In addition to biological male/female differences, the literature administered by RTI Research, a professional business survey firm. Our
suggests hypotheses regarding relationships between socially de- professional subject experimental sessions made use of an existing
termined gender attributes and resilience decision-making. If, as has subject pool of managers from a representative sample of mid-sized
been found, masculinity is associated with increased risk-taking, then a businesses and included mainly CEOs, COOs, owners, or executives
lower masculinity score would be expected for subjects who choose tasked with making strategic corporate investment decisions.1 Our
resilience investment: undergraduate subjects were selected from The Ohio State University
Experimental Economics Subject Pool, which consists of approximately
H3a: Masculinity is negatively related to investment decisions Regardless of
12,000 undergraduate and graduate students at The Ohio State Uni-
biological sex, subjects with more masculine personalities will be less likely to
versity, one of the nation's largest university pools. Subjects in both
invest in economic resilience than subjects with less masculine personalities.
pools were randomly assigned to treatment conditions, described
Meier-Pesti & Penz [46] found no relationship between femininity below.
and risk (for either risk aversion or risk neutrality). This would imply no
relationship between investing in inventories and traditionally feminine 2.2. Decision-making scenario
attributes. However, much of the literature finds male/female differ-
ences in risk-taking and investment decision-making, thus leading to Subjects were provided a resilience decision-making context, or
the hypothesis that femininity (rather than biological sex) might be vignette, in which they were asked to advise a firm's Chief Operations
behind these findings: Officer (COO) on an important operational decision in the face of a
H3b: Femininity is positively related to investment decisions Regardless of critical supply chain vulnerability (see Appendix A). In the possible
biological sex, subjects with more feminine personalities will be more likely to event of an unnamed disaster/catastrophe, the firm's ability to acquire
invest in economic resilience than subjects with less feminine personalities.
Some of the contradictory findings between studies may be due to
1
Because the National Center for the Middle Market funded this research and had
existing collaborations with RTI Research, we had a high degree of assurance that the
conflating risk perception with risk attitude [70]. The perceived-risk
respondents took the survey very seriously. More specifically, these subjects were drawn
attitude concept assumes consistently negative attitudes toward risk but from the pool of managers who complete the Middle Market Indicator Report. For more
allows for individual differences in risk preference based on trade-offs information on the sampling pool, see the FAQ at http://www.middlemarketcenter.org/
between perceptions of the risk and expected benefits associated with performance-data-on-the-middle-market.

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the needed production input would be substantially limited. Subjects inability to produce without the requisite production input in the face
were asked to advise the COO on an investment decision that could of limited input substitution. Profits would be $10 million per period
reduce the potential negative consequences of the production input (bottom-left cell). Finally, if a firm invested in resilience and the shock
curtailment that would occur if the catastrophic event were to ensue. occurred, the firm would be much better off than if they had not in-
Businesses face a wide array of risks. As such, the exact type of cata- vested in resilience. In this case, the firm is only slightly negatively
strophic event was not specified, as a contextualized decision could affected by the shock and profits would be $70 million per period,
introduce exogeneity bias if subjects’ heuristic biases (e.g., fear of taking into account the inventory investment (top-left cell). This matrix
hurricanes) influenced their resilience decisions. An investment in in- also internalizes, within the framework of the experiment, the reality of
ventories, a common firm-level resilience tactic [62], would provide a positive spillovers from some resilience investments (i.e., some resi-
stock of the critical input that would, in the face of such a catastrophic lience strategies are worthwhile even in the absence of a shock).
event, result in only a slight reduction in the firm's production output. Subject remuneration was aligned with standard experimental
Subjects were thus faced with the decision of continuing to operate practices of incentivizing performance. This is consistent with corporate
normally and face the risk of a catastrophic event that would nearly performance pay strategies that reward executives for management
wipe out the firm's production capability or make an investment in performance that is tied to market-based outcomes [38]. Subjects in the
inventories that would shield the firm from much of the negative experiment received payment at the ratio of one dollar for every $100
consequences of the production input curtailment. million the firm received in profits.
Inventories can reduce or eliminate business interruption given
supply chain vulnerabilities in which the delivery or availability of 2.4. Catastrophic event likelihood
critical production inputs is inhibited. However, inventories incur a
meaningful cost to mid-sized firms. We highlight the fact that in the Subjects’ decision calculus inherently depends on their risk toler-
face of catastrophic events—human-made or natural—firms have sev- ance and their willingness to take preventative action [26]. However,
eral micro-level operational strategies at their disposal. These can in- this experimental design differs from classic risk experiments in three
clude redundancy (e.g., inventories, back-up generators, mirrored ser- important ways. First, unlike many risk experiments, the subjects in this
vers), conservation (e.g., more efficient utilization of labor, capital or experiment are not informed of the likelihood of the event (the cata-
other resources), input and import substitution, recapture (e.g., working strophic shock). Second, the actual probability is strategy neutral. That
overtime and extra shifts upon restoration of services to make up for is, there is no dominant strategy in equilibrium. The expected value of
backlogs), and relocation. Because the operational focus of our study is profit, or expected monetary value (EMV) at the shock probability we
middle-sized businesses, resilience strategies of middle-sized firms tend set (Pr=0.25) is equal for either investment strategy ($77.5 million).2
to be limited compared to larger companies. This is important because Table 2 also presents the EMVs for probabilities of 0.5 and 0.1, two
middle-sized businesses that make investments in redundancy or in- common potential guesses as to the event likelihood. If risk-neutral
ventories, for example, do so at a tradeoff to core production inputs in subjects knew the probability, they would be forced to play a mixed
the present, notably investments such as in labor or capital. Larger firms strategy. As such, our experimental design attempts to mirror the pre-
can afford redundancy without the same degree of tradeoff. Moreover, disaster planning decision environment that many firms face and allows
in the globally competitive marketplace in which most middle-sized us to evaluate the role of gender without a clear dominant strategy. A
businesses compete, costly investments in inventories or other resi- dominant resilience investment strategy would otherwise wash out any
lience investments can put them at a disadvantage to other firms that do gender treatment effects.
not bear such costs of catastrophic event risk. In markets dominated by Third, this experiment informs the relationship between risk and
middle market firms, this can lead to a decision context akin to a investment—specifically investment in inherent resilience. It is important
prisoners’ dilemma, in which less than societally optimal investments in to note that the economic resilience literature makes a critical distinc-
resilience are made. tion between inherent and adaptive resilience [17,44,59,60]. The former
consists of “built-in” resilience, including the availability of inventories
2.3. Decision payoffs or substitution among inputs. The latter consists of improvisation that
occurs under duress, such as strict conservation measures or changes in
Subjects received the decision-making payoff matrix in Table 1. The production processes to continuing operating when faced with an event.
right column represents the payoffs under the scenarios in which no While we are not aware of any research investigating the behavioral
catastrophe occurs. Under these business-as-usual conditions, the firm determinants of either strategy, this experiment provides the first be-
would have profits of $100 million per period if inventories were not havioral analysis of the relationship between uncertainty and inherent
purchased (bottom-right cell). Inventories cost the firm $20 million per
period. If the firm made that investment and no catastrophic shock Table 2
occurs, profits would be $80 million per period, or $100 million minus Expected monetary value conditional on common likelihood priors.
the $20 million cost of inventories (top-right cell). The left column
represents payoffs under the catastrophic shock scenarios. If a shock Resilience Decision Expected Monetary Value

were to occur, and no inventories were acquired by the firm, its in- Pr.=0.5 Pr.=0.25† Pr.=0.10
frastructure would be severely impacted in the short run, reflecting the
*
Invest in Resilience $75 Million $77.5 Million $79 Million
Table 1 Do Not Invest in Resilience $55 Million $77.5 Million $91 Million*
Resilience decision payoff matrix.
Notes: Table provides EMVs for possible likelihood priors subjects may have con-
Resilience Decision Event Determination (Exogenous) sidered—the actual event likelihood utilized in the experiment was 0.25.
* Indicates dominant strategy.

Catastrophic Event Catastrophic Event Does Not Indicates mixed-strategy catastrophic event probability utilized in this experiment.
Occurs Occur

Invest in Resilience $70 Million $80 Million


Do Not Invest in $10 Million $100 Million
Resilience 2
The expected monetary value (EMV) for the Invest strategy is 0.25 ($70) + 0.75
($80) = $77.50. The EMV for the Do Not Invest strategy is 0.25 ($10) + 0.75 ($100) =
$77.50.

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resilience. 3. Methods and data


Given the 25% likelihood utilized in this experiment as the exo-
genous shock probability, the subjects’ inherent priors about the like- The hypotheses are tested by comparing mean differences and es-
lihood of a catastrophic event and their risk preferences ultimately in- timating logistic regressions. Because the experimental subjects are
forms their resilience investment decisions. Subjects who believe that randomly selected and randomly assigned into groups, differences in
the likelihood of a catastrophic event is high are likely to choose the means present a reliable test to assess between-group differences such
profit maximizing dominant strategy of investing in inventories if they as with sex or gender. Logistic regression is the most appropriate data
are risk-averse profit-maximizing decision makers. Alternatively, if analysis method to examine the binary outcome variable of interest,
subjects believe that the likelihood of a catastrophic event is low, they investing or not investing in economic resilience, when controlling for
will choose the profit-maximizing dominant strategy of not investing in the influences of multiple factors.
inventories. The experiment was conducted in two stages in late 2015 and early
2016. In October 2015, the initial run included 368 undergraduate
2.5. Treatment conditions subjects. The advice treatments that are the focus of this paper provided
a total of 298 completed survey responses. The remaining 70 re-
Through the decision context, subjects were informed that the COO spondents were assigned to independent and alternative non-gender
appointed an advisory committee of associates with operational man- related treatments that are not relevant for this study. The second run,
agement expertise to assist them in making their decision on how to carried out in January 2016, included both students (286 subjects) and
advise the COO regarding the inventory investment. However, subjects managers (312 subjects). Altogether, the data set is comprised of 1155
were informed that their decisions were ultimately their own. In this subjects with 896 subjects in the advice treatment portion relevant to
way, we can examine the determinants of the resilience decision con- this study.
ditional upon characteristics of the experimental subjects. In addition to the random selection of subjects through the subject
pool randomized invitations and sign-up process, subjects were ran-
2.6. Pre- and post-experiment surveys domly assigned into treatment groups through the survey software. The
random assignment utilized a conditional least-count uniform dis-
We utilized both a pre- and a post-experiment survey. The pre- tribution algorithm to assign subjects into treatments by gender and by
survey completed the essential task of assigning subjects to treatments treatment. This algorithm assigned subjects into treatments randomly
based on their reported sex. To mitigate concerns with priming subjects, using a uniform distribution, weighting the distribution more heavily
the male/female/trans question was administered in the pre-survey toward those treatment and selection parameters that had the lowest
among many other demographic and background questions, such as ZIP count of completed surveys at that point in time. This ensured that our
code, age, and racial/ethnic identification. We utilized a more extensive survey responses would be almost perfectly matched by gender and
post-experiment survey that asked a sequence of additional questions treatments. Female managers were over-sampled in order to obtain an
on the subjects’ background as well as perceptional questions regarding equal composition of male and female subjects.
their decision-making during the experiment. These questions offer
detail on the subjects’ perceptions of the nature of the inventories, and 4. Results
perceptions of the nature of the catastrophic event.
Post-survey responses provided informative treatment and control First, we investigate the investment decisions made by the experi-
measures. The femininity trait index (FTI) and the masculinity trait mental subjects, who are not informed of the likelihood of the cata-
index (MTI) were generated from post survey questions based on the strophic event. The results indicate that subjects, regardless of sex,
Bem's Sex-Role Inventory (BSRI), a dominate gender research instru- overwhelmingly opted to invest in resilience. Table 3 shows the count
ment since its development in the 1970s by Sandra Bem [35]. The BSRI (and percentage) of males and females who made a decision to invest in
was originally created in response to the theoretical and practical inventories. As can be seen in the “Total” column in the second row of
limitations of previous scales that considered masculinity and femi- the table, 84.7% of subjects invested in inventories.
ninity to be polar opposites of a single dimension [8]. Bem was among We assume that subjects’ investment decisions indicate the option
the first to theorize multi-dimensionality, or the possibility that a male that they believed would maximize their utility. However, how they
or a female could adopt combinations of personality attributes com- arrived at that “utility-maximizing” decision is not immediately clear.
monly considered masculine and feminine [29,35]. Therefore, an in- That is, subjects could have been playing a profit maximizing strategy
dividual could be high in masculinity and high in femininity, could be based on some expected value of catastrophic event likelihood or a
low in both, or high in one but not the other [8]. Bem also emphasized maximin strategy. With a profit maximizing strategy, subjects’ decisions
the role of culture in establishing what constitutes appropriate attri- would inherently depend upon their perceived likelihood, or prob-
butes or behavior for males and females [35]. ability, of the catastrophic event occurring. Employing a maximin
To examine whether individuals with more masculine or feminine strategy would mean utility-maximizing decision-makers, faced with
personalities also tend to make resilience-related decisions (investment uncertainty over the probability (outcome) domain choose the strategy
in inventories), we incorporated a modified Bem's Sex Role Inventory profile that maximizes the minimum outcome. Subjects who play this
[5,68]. This scale is a series of 20-items comprising a society's cultural strategy profile are choosing the best worst-case scenario.
stereotypes of maleness and femaleness [35]. The scale asks subjects to
rate their congruence with 10 feminine sex role traits and 10 masculine Table 3
traits according to a 7-point Likert scale. The 20 items associated with Count of resilience investment decisions by sex.
femininity and masculinity are listed in Appendix B. They were pre-
Inventory Investment Male Female Total
sented to the subjects in alphabetical order so as to not bias their re-
sponses. To obtain a score on each index for each experiment subject, No 74 63 137
the items are aggregated so that the minimum possible score is 10 and (16.5) (14.1) (15.3)
Yes 374 385 759
the maximum is 70 [68]. These index scores serve as an alternative
(83.5) (85.9) (84.7)
gender construct to the binary biological sex (male/female) measure Total 448 448 896
collected through the pre-survey. Because we are interested in the so-
cializing influences of masculinity and femininity on resilience deci- Note: Percentages in parentheses.
sions the scales are considered together, not in opposition.

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Table 4
Mann-Whitney test results.

Row Hypothesis Null Hypothesis Mean 1 Mean 2 (1) - (2) p-value

Investment
1 H1 Male subjects = Female subjects 83.5% 85.9% −2.40% 0.308
2 H2a Male managers = Female managers 72.4% 73.1% −0.7% 0.899
3 H2b Female managers = Female students 73.1% 92.8% −19.7% 0.000***
Male managers = Male students 72.4% 89.4% −17.0% 0.000***
4 H3a MTI of investors = MTI non-investorsa 48.175 48.051 −0.124 0.749
5 H3b FTI of investors = FTI of non-investorsa 51.976 49.518 2.458 0.002***
Perceived Event Likelihood
6 H4a Male subjects = Female subjectsb 2.337 2.594 −0.257 0.001***
7 Male manager = Female managerb 2.076 2.189 −0.113 0.250
8 Male students = Female studentsb 2.476 2.812 −0.336 0.000***

Notes: n = 896.
a
MTI and FTI scores can range from 10 to 70.
b
Perceived event likelihood can range from 1 (lowest) to 5 (Highest). See Fig. 1.

Regardless of the strategy chosen by any one subject, no obvious likelihoods.4


gender effect appears. Females chose to invest in inventories at a
The Mann-Whitney test (Table 4, row 6) confirms the mean male
slightly higher rate than males: 85.9% for females versus 83.5% for
and mean female perceived likelihoods of shock are statistically sig-
males (“Yes” row of Table 3). However, based upon a Mann-Whitney
nificantly different at the one percent level. On the 1–5 ordered scale,
non-parametric test of mean differences (Table 4, row 1), these differ-
females’ mean perception was 2.6 and males’ was 2.3. Thus, females’
ences are not statistically significant at conventional levels. Regarding
perceptions of the likelihood of catastrophic events were slightly higher
Hypothesis 1, we find that females are not more likely than males to
than males’ perceptions, providing support for Hypothesis 4a. However,
invest in economic resilience.
this difference is not driven by females overall because the difference in
Analysis of student subjects and manager subjects are shown in
perceived likelihood between male and female managers (Table 4, row
Table 4, rows 2–3. A Mann-Whitney test showed no difference in mean
7) is not significant (p=0.250). The mean event likelihoods for male
investment within groups. Male and female managers did not invest in
and female students are 2.48 and 2.81, respectively. This result is sig-
resilience at different rates (p=0.899) nor do male and female students
nificant at the one percent level. While Hypothesis 4a is supported, it is
(p=0.147, not shown). Interesting differences emerge when comparing
not true that all females are more likely to perceive a higher probability
between groups of managers and students. As hypothesized, female
of a disaster event, but student females do.
students were much more likely to invest in inventories than female
The literature does not suggest a hypothesized relationship between
managers (p=0.000). As would be expected from the non-significant
gender and perceived event likelihood, but because this study considers
within group comparisons, this appears to be driven by differences
both sex and gender, we conducted supplemental analysis to investigate
between managers and students overall (p=0.000) than by gender
this. Fig. 2 shows the percentage of subjects, regardless of sex, with
differences. This supports Hypotheses 2a and 2b.
masculinity and femininity scores above the mean who reported each
Examining resilience investment based on the expanded gender
probability of a disaster event. Interestingly, the pattern of masculinity
constructs3 reveals differences that did not appear using male/female
(MTI %) relative to femininity (FTI %) is similar to the differences
as the gender construct. Here we compared the mean MTI and FTI
between the perceived likelihoods reported by male and female sub-
scores for subjects who chose investment and those who did not.
jects. Ordered logistic regression was conducted to dig deeper into this
Again, the literature informing this hypothesis suggests the mean
result and is described below.
MTI would be lower for investors because masculinity is associated
To further investigate the determinants of the resilience investment
with increased risk-taking and there would be no effect related to
decision while controlling for factors likely to influence that decision,
FTI. At the same time, a larger FTI for investors might be found if
we conducted ordered logistic and logistic regression analyses, pro-
traditionally feminine traits are associated with less risk-taking. The
vided in Tables 5, 6. The dependent variable equals one if the subject
results are shown in Table 4, rows 4–5. The mean MTI score for
chose to invest in inventories. The regressions show that the male/fe-
subjects who chose investment was 48.18, 0.12 points higher than
male gender construct reveals no differences in the tendency to invest
the mean MTI score for subjects who decided not to invest, 48.05.
in resilience (Model 1) but that FTI is a significant predictor, whether
This small difference is not statistically significant (p=0.749), and
(Models 4 and 5) or not (Model 2) we control for other covariates. The
Hypothesis 3a is not supported. At the same time, the 2.46 point
odds ratio for females regressed on the first decision variable is 1.25
difference in FTI score between investors and non-investors is sig-
(Model 1, p=0.308), reducing to even odds when other predictors are
nificant (p < 0.01). The mean FTI score for subjects who chose re-
included (Model 4). This leads to the conclusion that female subjects
silience investment is 51.98 points compared to 49.52 points for non-
were no more likely than males to invest in inventories. In Model 2, we
investors (p=0.002). As discussed below, this support for Hypothesis
3b remains robust after controlling for multiple additional invest-
ment decision predictor factors in a logit regression.
4
While not examined in this paper, subjects repeated this experiment nine additional
Hypothesis 4 proposed that perceptions of event likelihood may also times (i.e., ten total decision-making rounds). The post-experimental survey questions
help explain investment decision-making behavior. In the post- were very clear that subjects were being asked only about the perceived likelihood of a
experimental survey, subjects were asked to record their perceptions catastrophe in that initial round. Further, in the first round, subjects were not informed of
any opportunity to change the investment decision nor that there would be additional
of the likelihood of the shock on a scale of 1 (lowest likelihood, 0–20%) decision-making rounds. Over the ten rounds, there was no statistically significant dif-
to 5 (highest likelihood, 81–100%), and Fig. 1 presents their perceived ference in the probability that male and female undergraduate subjects experienced a
shock. On average, males experienced 2.43 shocks over the 10 rounds compared to 2.54
for females (p=0.1642).
3 5
The Pearson correlations between biological sex and gender are: 0.15 for female/FTI; Using the numbers from Table 3, the odds ratio is calculated as [385 / 63] / [374 /
−0.13 for female/MTI. 74] = 6.111 / 5.054 = 1.2.

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K.A. Young et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24 (2017) 439–450

Table 5
Regression analysis of resilience investment decision to invest in inventories.

Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6

Female 1.21 1.01


(0.308) (0.953)
FTI 1.03*** 1.03*** 1.03**
(0.004) (0.011) (0.013)
MTI 1.00 1.00 1.01
(0.876) (0.965) (0.342)
Perceived Event 1.53*** 1.41*** 1.42***
Likelihood
(0.000) (0.001) (0.001)
Male manager 0.16***
(0.000)
Female student 1.34
(0.335)
Female manager 0.17***
(0.000)
Fig. 1. Perceived likelihood of catastrophic event (by sex). Student FTI 1.04***
(0.003)
Manager FTI 1.02
replace the female binary variable with the femininity trait index (FTI) (0.123)
Student MTI 1.02
score and find the odds ratio is statistically significant. Although we can
(0.142)
infer that a higher FTI score is positively related to increased likelihood Manager MTI 1.00
of investing in inventories (p < 0.01), support for Hypothesis 3b, we (0.921)
note that the effect size is very small. FTI predicts 0.03 increased odds Age 1.02* 1.01
(0.072) (0.181)
of resilience investment.
Married 0.85 0.86
Likewise, in Model 3, the odds ratio on the masculinity trait index (0.350) (0.384)
(MTI) is 1.00 and remains 1.00 in the expanded model (Table 5, Model Constant 5.05*** 1.30 5.11*** 0.56 0.56 0.25
5), indicating no difference in the odds of making the decision to invest (0.000) (0.596) (0.002) (0.447) (0.514) (0.149)
based on congruence with stereotyped masculinity. This is further McFadden's 0.001 0.011 0.000 0.044 0.103 0.096
Pseudo-R2
evidence that Hypothesis 3b, predicting a negative relationship be-
tween MTI and investing, is not supported. Model 5 includes the per- Notes: Logistic regression models include the decision to invest in inventories as the
ceived likelihood of a catastrophic event along with the gender vari- dependent variable (1 indicates investment in resilience). We report odds ratios instead of
ables of interest, MTI, and FTI, and other controls. The terms interacting coefficients. Robust standard errors were used but p-values are in parentheses. N=896.
subject sex and student/manager position dummy variables gives three ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.10.
combinations in reference to the excluded category, male student. From
these results, we see that both male and female managers are much less
likely to invest in resilience than male students (p < 0.01 for both). femininity and masculinity results. Perceived event likelihood remains
Female students are 1.34 times more likely to invest, but this result is significant at the same level, but age becomes insignificant. The odds
not statistically significant. Here, then, is confirmation of support for ratio of 1.04 for the Student/FTI interaction indicates slightly increased
Hypotheses 2a and 2b. The only other control exerting an influence is odds of subjects with higher FTI scores investing in resilience
age, but this effect size is even smaller than the FTI variable and is (p < 0.01). As none of the other interactions are statistically significant,
significant only at the 10% level. the effect of femininity congruence appears to be driven by students.
Model 5 also shows that the subject's perception of the likelihood of Finally, Table 6 reports the results of an ordered logistic regression
an event has the largest effect, 1.41 odds (p < 0.01). A subject who model on the perceived likelihood of a catastrophic event to assess the
perceives a higher probability of shock is almost one and a half times impact of gender (masculinity and femininity). As indicated in Models 1
more likely to invest in resilience, all else equal. Model 6 expands the
Table 6
Ordered logistic regression odds ratios for perceived event likelihood.

Predictors (1) (2)

MTI 1.00 1.00


(0.01) (0.01)
FTI 1.01* 1.01*
(0.01) (0.01)
Female 1.52***
(0.19)
Manager 0.43***
(0.06)
Female student 1.70***
(0.26)
Male manager 0.50***
(0.09)
Female manager 0.62***
(0.11)
Pseudo-R2 0.02 0.02

Fig. 2. Perceived likelihood of catastrophic event (by Gender)* * Graph shows percentage Notes: Odds ratios are reported instead of coefficients. Standard errors are in parentheses.
of subjects with MTI or FTI scores above the means. Male students is the reference category. N=896. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.10.

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K.A. Young et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24 (2017) 439–450

and 2 of Table 6, there was no relationship between masculinity and tradeoffs—relative to large firms—when making preemptive invest-
perceived event likelihood of an event, but both female and femininity ments, such as inventories, that can improve resilience to catastrophic
were found positively connected with the perceived likelihood of an events. In the highly-competitive 21st Century global economy that
event when no information about the event type or frequency was rewards cost-saving measures such as just-in-time (JIT) logistics, in-
provided. FTI, however, was associated weakly in both direct (1) and vestments in inventories aimed at mitigating business interruption from
moderation (2) models (p < 0.10). On average, female subjects were catastrophic events carry a high cost to mid-sized firms that could
1.52 times more likely than male subjects to report higher probability otherwise make investments in labor and capital. As such, the de-
of a disaster (p < 0.01). Managers are about half as likely as students to terminants of resilience decision-making in these firms is a public-
report higher probability of a disaster (p < 0.01). Model 2, presented in sector issue in so far as their decisions are critically important to the
the second column of Table 6, shows results of moderation analysis for larger economy and community resilience more broadly.
subject sex and type (student/manager). Female students were more Our experimental research focuses on the effects of sex and gender
likely than male students to perceive higher disaster probabilities in the decisions that these firms face when making resilience invest-
(p < 0.01) but male managers and female managers both perceive ments, specifically investments in inventories, given these important
lower probabilities than male students (p < 0.01). The sex difference decision-making tradeoffs. Firms have a variety of resilience tactics at
finding confirms the initial support for Hypothesis 4a. While the lit- their disposal, some inherent (i.e., embodied within the natural capa-
erature did not suggest a hypothesis regarding femininity and perceived cities of the firm or its employees) and some adaptive (i.e., strategies
event likelihood, the supplemental analysis shows that a positive re- that can be pursued in the aftermath of events) [62]. Some of these
lationship exists. This result provides an interesting issue for future tactics include efforts such as recapture (i.e., working extra shifts to
research. make up for down time or labor curtailments), conservation (i.e., using
existing plant and equipment more efficiently or with fewer available
4.1. Summary of results inputs), excess capacity (i.e., the utilization of otherwise idle plant and
equipment), among several others. Active investments in inventories
Overall, we find that both male and female subjects choose to invest are another strategy that firms can utilize to improve resiliency, as
in economic resilience (83.5% of males, 85.9% of females) when faced catastrophic events can lead to supply chain and logistical curtailments,
with an unknown catastrophic threat. While females are not more likely as well as shortages, of important production inputs. The finding that
to invest in inventories (lack of support for hypothesis 1), female subjects of both sexes frequently choose to make investments in in-
managers invest less frequently than students and not differently than ventories implies that under conditions of uncertainty about the like-
male managers (support for both 2a and 2b). Also, experience plays a lihood of a disruptive disaster, both males and females consistently
defining role, as professional managers are less likely to make these adopted a business investment strategy that is consistent with maximin
investments relative to undergraduate subjects. Congruence with fem- behavior—an investment approach designed to minimize the maximum
inine personality traits was positively related to investing in resilience, potential disaster losses. It should be noted that additional investments
but masculinity appears unrelated (support for 3b but not 3a), with the in resilience, whether capital or otherwise, do not always lead to en-
FTI effect driven by higher congruence with femininity traits among hanced resilience.
student subjects. When no information about the event type or prob- Our experiment has identified no clear biological sex (i.e., male/
ability was given, female subjects perceived a higher event likelihood, female) differences in resilience investments, and this contradicts much
but as female and male managers do not differ in their event percep- of the extant literature that finds females to be more risk averse.
tions, this result was driven by differences between female and male However, we do find that gender (as opposed to purely biological
students (support for 4a). Femininity, but not masculinity, was also sex)—measured through an established scale designed to assess mas-
positively associated with perceived event likelihood. Perception of culinity and femininity (the BSRI [see [5,7]])—better explain resilience
greater event likelihood was a positive and significant predictor of re- decisions than the simple male/female sex binary. Specifically, we find
silience investment decision-making (support for 4b). that those with higher measures of femininity (higher FTI) were more
likely to make resilience investments. This result both corroborates and
5. Discussion and conclusion contradicts earlier work [46]. Our conclusions relate exclusively to
femininity measures, as we find no relationship between our masculi-
The results provide evidence that gender diversity can influence a nity measure (the MTI) and resilience investment decisions. Future
business's resilience to catastrophic events and impact local, state, and research should continue to expand beyond simplistic biological sex
national economies post-disaster. Scholars have long drawn a distinc- measures of gender.
tion between sex and gender [63,7,71,73,8]. While sex is a biologically Conducting our experiment across two separate subject pools,
based categorization system that classifies individuals as male or fe- middle market managers and undergraduate university students, allows
male, gender is the socially-situated conduct that aligns normative ex- us to explicitly test the assertion that female managers differ from the
pectations of appearance, attitudes, and behaviors of men and women population in their preference for risk [16]. This also helps to explain
[71]. Thus, gender includes social roles that are based on biological sex some of the mixed findings in previous research that has relied on
but created through socializing systems [58,63,71]. Our analysis found narrow samples. The finding that female mangers differ significantly
that gender and biological sex are weakly correlated, indicating that from male and female student subjects is an important contribution
they measure similar but different constructs. This study considers both because, as far as we know, no experimental analysis of resilience de-
biological sex (represented by binary male/female categories) and cision-making has incorporated subjects from these two disparate ex-
gender (represented by femininity and masculinity scores) but finds perience categories. Perceptions of catastrophic event likelihood were
only gender effects; regardless of sex, those with stereotypically femi- the best predictor of resilience investment decisions. We believe these
nine personality attributes are more likely to make resilience invest- results suggest that subjects’ own inherent priors regarding the like-
ments. lihood of a catastrophic event and their perception of which resilience
These findings have implications for the middle market firms—de- strategy minimizes the maximum potential losses are driving these in-
fined by annual revenues between $10 million and $1 billion—that are vestment decision results.
critical to the domestic economy and account for a large portion of U.S. There is one notable male/female difference. While Flynn, Slovic
economic activity and employment. These firms often face the greatest and Mertz [30] tested male perceptions of the risk associated with

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K.A. Young et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24 (2017) 439–450

catastrophic events, our study examined perceptions of event prob- than sex diversity, the resilience decision-making differences following
ability when no information was given about the type of disaster or the from gender diversity may also be achieved by including anyone, male
likelihood of occurrence. Not only did higher perception of event or female, with feminine personality attributes. However, if female and
likelihood lead to increased resilience investment, but we found that male mangers, or other resilience decision makers, are selected based
female subjects tended to ascribe higher likelihoods to the same event on congruence with traditionally masculine attributes [10,22], gender
context. Although the literature does not prescribe a relationship be- diversity will not follow from sex diversity and increased resilience
tween gender and perceived event likelihood, our focus on both sex and investment may not occur. Age and experience diversity among deci-
gender prompted supplemental analysis of this relationship. Higher sion-makers may also affect resilience investment decisions. If males
congruence with femininity traits corresponds to a higher perceived and females, those with more feminine personalities, young people and
likelihood of catastrophic event, although this effect is small. This in- experienced managers hold different perceptions of the likelihood of
teresting finding merits further research. Our data do not allow an disaster events and have different preferences regarding resource allo-
examination of the socializing factors that lead those with more femi- cations aimed to build resilience, increased resilience may enhance
nine personality attributes to perceive a higher probability of a risk disaster outcomes for middle market firms and their communities.
event, but this should be explored in further research. While this was a carefully designed study that produced novel
The results of this study contribute to the research that attributes a findings, one important limitation should be noted. The self-report as-
number of positive firm and public-sector outcomes to the effects of pect of the modified Bem Sex Role Inventory is a benefit in that it
increased gender diversity among decision makers. Across a variety of provides a subject's own assessment of the gendered components of
industry types, boards with more women directors consistently obtain their personalities. Still, an element of social desirability may be in-
the highest corporate governance scores, but firms with even a lone fluencing subjects’ responses. This bias, if it is present, may be miti-
female board member outperform firms with all-male boards on cor- gated by the experiment design. The vignette experiment was con-
porate governance rankings [75]. Real and symbolic representations ducted online, and not in person.
related to diversity improve a board's legitimacy and increase perceived Danes et al. [18] suggest that higher risk aversion and deeper
trustworthiness among a firm's shareholders [55]. Gender diverse un- commitment to long-term employees prompt female business owners to
dergraduate and MBA business teams have outperformed all-male make decisions that improve firm resilience to disaster events. Meier-
teams in sales, profit and strategizing tasks [3,36]. In the public sector, Pesti and Penz [46] assert that social roles, rather than sex, explain
greater gender diversity of top management teams has led to higher more variation in financial risk taking. Our study finds sex differences
financial performance of municipalities [52]. in perceptions of the likelihood of a catastrophic event and congruence
One possible explanation for these outcomes is that surface-level with socially constructed feminine personality traits, rather than being
diversity (such as gender) prompts expectations of information di- female, affects resilience decision-making. These sex and gender based
versity that lead to improved decision-making [20]. Another me- differences imply that middle market firms, public organizations and
chanism is that women board members contribute productively to local and regional communities may benefit from policies that improve
strategic decision-making when differences in experiences and values leadership, top management and board diversity. Given this, the over-
prompt increased issue discussion among all board members [49,50]. arching contribution of these findings is that gender diversity increases
As would be expected, the benefits of diversity are not experienced investments in resilience.
when women are not perceived as equals [49]. Our results add to these
and support the assertion that, for firms making resilience investments, Funding acknowledgement
there are benefits arising from gender diversity. Socializing processes
prompt males and females to adopt the traits, attitudes, appearance and We gratefully acknowledge the National Center for the Middle
behaviors prescribed for their sex [71]. This means including more Market and the Battelle Center for Science and Technology Policy for
females in the decision-making process is likely to increase gender di- their generous financial support for this research. The analyses pre-
versity in ways that improve economic resilience. Because our findings sented here, as well as any errors or omissions, are solely those of the
indicate that increased resilience results from gender diversity, rather authors.

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K.A. Young et al. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 24 (2017) 439–450

Appendix A. Resilience decision-making context

Presented to all subjects

Appendix B

See Table B1

Table B1
Bem's modified sex role inventory [68].

Femininity Sex Roles Masculinity Sex Roles

Affectionate Leadership
Loyal Willingness to take a stand
Tender Ambitious
Sensitive Competitive
Sympathetic Dominant
Compassionate Assertive
Eager to Soothe Strong personality
Understanding Forceful
Gentle Leader
Warm Aggressive

Note: Subjects rate their congruence with each sex role attribute on a 7-point Likert Scale.

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