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Demographic Technique
Demographic Technique
Mortality refers to deaths that occur in a population. Death is the permanent disappearance of all
evidence of life at any time after birth has taken place. A death can occur only after a live birth.
It is notable that the definition of death excludes deaths prior to live births. Mortality is linked to
many factors, such as, age, sex, marital status, occupation, education, etc.
D
CDR= P ×K
Where,
D is the total number of deaths during a year.
P is the total population at the middle of the year, and
K is 1,000.
Crude death rate for a place of urban area of Nepal can be computed as follows:
Given,
Number of deaths in 2001 = 22,345
Midyear population in 2001 = 2,862,650
Crude death rate, CDR=?
D
×K
P
Now, CDR =
22,345
×1,000
= 2,862,650
= 7.81 deaths per thousand midyear population
Age-specific Death Rate (ASDR)
It is defined as the number of deaths in a given age group during a year per 1,000 midyear
population of the same age group. The formula for Age Specific Death Rate, ASDRa is
ASDRa=nDx/nPx*1,000
Where, nDx is the number of deaths in the age group x during a year, and nPx is the midyear
population in the same age group.
D ∠ 1 month
×K
Neonatal Mortality Rate = B
Where,
D ∠ 1 month indicates number of deaths of infants under 4 weeks of age
(28 days) in a year;
B represents number of live births in the same year; and
K is a constant, generally expressed as 1,000.
Likewise, the postneonatal mortality rate is defined as the number of infant deaths at 4 through
51 weeks of age or 1 through 11 months of age in a year per 1,000 live births during the same
year. Formula for this is:
D 1−11 months
×K
Postneonatal mortality rate = B
Where,
D1-11 months represents number of deaths at 1 through 11 months of age in a year.
B indicates number of live births in the same year.
K is a constant, expressed as 1,000.
Perinatal Mortality Rate is defined as the number of deaths per thousand neonatal plus fetus
death.
LFD + NN
×1,000
LFD + LB
Perinatal Mortality Rate =
perinatal deaths per 1,000 live births and fetal deaths of 28 or more weeks gestation
NMD
×K
Maternal Mortality Ratio, MMR = B
Where,
NMD indicates the number of maternal deaths due to complications of spontaneous or
induced abortions in a year;
B is the number of live births in the same year; and
K is a constant, generally expressed as 100,000.
Maternal mortality rate is also used if we specify the denominator by using the number of
women of childbearing age instead of live births in the population. According to this concept,
NMD
f
Maternal Mortality Rate= P15−49 ×K
Where,
NMD indicates the number of maternal deaths due to complications of spontaneous or
induced abortions in a year;
f
P 15−49 is the number of women aged 15-49 years; and
K is a constant, generally expressed as 1,000 or 100,000.
Exponential growth is possible only when infinite natural resources are available; this is
not the case in the real world. Charles Darwin recognized this fact in his description of
the “struggle for existence,” which states that individuals will compete (with members
of their own or other species ) for limited resources. The successful ones will survive to
pass on their own characteristics and traits (which we know now are transferred by
genes) to the next generation at a greater rate: a process known as natural selection.
To model the reality of limited resources, population ecologists developed the logistic
growth model.
The formula we use to calculate logistic growth adds the carrying capacity as a moderating force
in the growth rate. The expression “K – N” is indicative of how many individuals may be added
to a population at a given stage, and “K – N” divided by “K” is the fraction of the carrying
capacity available for further growth. Thus, the exponential growth model is restricted by this
factor to generate the logistic growth equation:
r max(K −N ) N
dN= K
When the population is tiny, N is very small compared to K. The
(K−N)/K terms becomes approximately (K/K) or 1 gives us back the
exponential population growth rate. On the other hand, when N is
large, (K−N)/K come close to zero, which means that population growth will be
slowed greatly or even stopped.
Thus, population growth is greatly slowed in large populations by the carrying capacity \(K\).
This model also allows for negative population growth or a population decline. This occurs when
the number of individuals in the population exceeds the carrying capacity (because the value of
(K-N)/K is negative).
A graph of this equation yields an S-shaped curve; it is a more-realistic model of population
growth than exponential growth. There are three different sections to an S-shaped curve.
Initially, growth is exponential because there are few individuals and ample resources available.
Then, as resources begin to become limited, the growth rate decreases. Finally, growth levels off
at the carrying capacity of the environment, with little change in population size over time.
Role of Intraspecific Competition
The logistic model assumes that every individual within a population will have equal access to
resources and, thus, an equal chance for survival. For plants, the amount of water, sunlight,
nutrients, and the space to grow are the important resources, whereas in animals, important
resources include food, water, shelter, nesting space, and mates.
In the real world, the variation of phenotypes among individuals within a population means that
some individuals will be better adapted to their environment than others. The resulting
competition between population members of the same species for resources is termed
intraspecific competition (intra- = “within”; -specific = “species”). Intraspecific competition for
resources may not affect populations that are well below their carrying capacity as resources are
plentiful and all individuals can obtain what they need. However, as population size increases,
this competition intensifies. In addition, the accumulation of waste products can reduce an
environment’s carrying capacity.