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Managerial Economics CH 5 & 6
Managerial Economics CH 5 & 6
MBA Program
(BADM – 641)
Chapter- Five:
Strategies and Tactics in Game Theory
Dominant Strategy
Nash Equilibrium
Non –cooperative games
Cooperative games
Sequential games
Introduction
Definition:
• Game theory is a bag of analytical tools designed to help
us understand the phenomena that we observe when
decision-makers interact.
0, 0 -1, 1 1, -1
1, -1 0, 0 -1, 1
-1, 1 1, -1 0, 0
Non –cooperative games …
• The Prisoners’ Dilemma is a two-person, simultaneous-move, non-cooperative,
one-shot game in which each player adopts the strategy that yields the largest
payoff, regardless of the strategy adopted by the other player.
• Two individuals are taken into custody by the police following the robbery of a
store, but after of the treasure has been disposed of. Although the police
believe the suspects to be guilty, they do not have enough evidence to convict
them. In an effort to extract a confession, the suspects are taken to separate
rooms and interrogated/questioned. If neither individual confesses, the most that
either one can be convicted of is loitering at the scene of the crime, which carries
a penalty of 2 years in jail. On the other hand, if one confesses and turns state’s
evidence against the other, the person who talks will be in jail for only 1 year,
while the other will receive 10 years in prison. Finally, if both suspects confess,
both will be convicted, but because of a lack of evidence (the stolen items
having been disposed of prior to their arrest) the penalty is 6 years on the
lesser charge of breaking and entering.
• Payoff matrix for the Prisoners’ Dilemma bellow
Example 1: Payoff matrix for the Prisoners’ Dilemma
(Normal Form of Simultaneous Move Game)
Martha’s options
Martha’s options
Player B
L R
U (1,2) (0,4)
Player A
D (0,5) (3,2)
Player B
L,pL R,1-pL
U,
3 (1,2) (0,4)
Player A 5
D, 2 (0,5) (3,2)
5
Mixed Strategies
Player B
L,pL R,1-pL
3
U, 5 (1,2) (0,4)
Player A 2
D, (0,5) (3,2)
5
L,pL R,1-pL
3
U, 5 (1,2) (0,4)
Player A 2
D, (0,5) (3,2)
5
So for there to exist a Nash equilibrium, A
must be indifferent between playing Up or
Down; i.e. p L 3(1 p L )
Mixed Strategies
Player B
L,pL R,1-pL
3
U, 5 (1,2) (0,4)
Player A 2
D, (0,5) (3,2)
5
So for there to exist a Nash equilibrium, A
must be indifferent between playing Up or
Down; i.e. pL 3(1 pL ) pL 3 / 4.
Mixed Strategies
Player B
3 1
L, 4 R, 4
3
U, 5 (1,2) (0,4)
Player A 2
D, (0,5) (3,2)
5
So for there to exist a Nash equilibrium, A
must be indifferent between playing Up or
Down; i.e. pL 3(1 pL ) pL 3 / 4.
Mixed Strategies
Player B
3 1
L, 4 R, 4
3
U, 5 (1,2) (0,4)
Player A 2
D, (0,5) (3,2)
5
L,
3 R,
1
4 4
3 (1,2) (0,4)
U,
9/20 3/20
Player A 5
2 (0,5) (3,2)
D,
6/20 2/20
5
Mixed Strategies
Player B
3 1
L, 4 R, 4
U,
3 (1,2) (0,4)
Player A
5 9/20 3/20
D,
2 (0,5) (3,2)
5 6/20 2/20
A’s expected Nash equilibrium payoff is
9 3 6 2 3
1 0 0 3 .
20 20 20 20 4
Mixed Strategies
Player B
3 1
L, 4 R, 4
3 (1,2) (0,4)
U, 5
Player A 9/20 3/20
2 (0,5) (3,2)
D,
5 6/20 2/20
A’s expected Nash equilibrium payoff is
9 3 6 2 3
1 0 0 3 .
20 20 20 20 4
B’s expected Nash equilibrium payoff is
9 3 6 2 16
2 4 5 2 .
20 20 20 20 5
How Many Nash Equilibria?
• A game with a finite number of players, each
with a finite number of pure strategies, has at
least one Nash equilibrium.
This important formula for GDP says that gross domestic product is equal
to gross national expenditure (GNE) plus the trade balance (TB).
The trade balance, TB, is also often referred to as net exports. Because
it is the net value of exports minus imports, it may be positive or
negative.
If TB > 0, exports are greater than imports and we say a country has a trade surplus.
If TB < 0, imports are greater than exports and we say a country has a trade deficit.
Measuring Macroeconomic Activity
The Flow of Payments in an Open Economy: Incorporating the
Balance of Payments Accounts
• The difference between payments made for imports and payments received for
exports is called the trade balance (TB), and it equals net payments to domestic
firms due to trade. GNE plus TB equals GDP, the total value of production in the
home economy.
Income, Product, and Expenditure
From GDP to GNI: Accounting for Trade in Factor Services
• Gross national income equals gross domestic product (GDP)
plus net factor income from abroad (NFIA).
GNI C I G ( EX IM ) ( EX FS IM FS )
Gross national expenditure Trade balance Net factor income from abroad
GNE TB NFIA
GDP
Measuring Macroeconomic Activity
The Flow of Payments in an Open Economy: Incorporating the
Balance of Payments Accounts
• The value of factor service exports minus factor service imports is known
as net factor income from abroad (NFIA), and thus GDP plus NFIA
equal GNI, the total income earned by domestic entities from all
sources, domestic and foreign.
Measuring Macroeconomic Activity
The Flow of Payments in an Open Economy: Incorporating the
Balance of Payments Accounts
• Gifts may take the form of income transfers or “in
kind” transfers of goods and services. They are
considered nonmarket transactions, and are
referred to as unilateral transfers.
• Net unilateral transfers (NUT) equals the value of
unilateral transfers the country receives from the rest
of the world minus those it gives to the rest of the
world.
Income, Product, and Expenditure
From GNI to GNDI: Accounting for Transfers of Income
If a country receives transfers worth UTIN and gives transfers worth UTOUT, then
its net unilateral transfers, NUT, are NUT = UTIN − UTOUT. Because this is a net
amount, it may be positive or negative.
Adding the impact of net unilateral transfers to gross national Income, we
obtain a full measure of national income in an open economy, known as gross
national disposable income (GNDI), henceforth denoted Y:
Y C I G ( EX IM ) ( EX FS IM FS ) (UT UT )
GNDI
GNE Trade Net factor income
balance from abroad Net unilateral
(TB ) ( NFIA) transfers
(NUT )
GNI
Measuring Macroeconomic Activity
The Flow of Payments in an Open Economy: Incorporating the
Balance of Payments Accounts
• These net transfers have to be added to GNI to calculate gross national
disposable income (GNDI). Thus, GNI plus NUT equals GNDI, which represents
the total income resources available to the home country.
Income, Product, and Expenditure
From GNI to GNDI: Accounting for Transfers of Income
Major Transfer Recipients The chart
shows average figures for 2000 to
2008 for all countries in which net
unilateral transfers exceeded 15% of
GNI. Many of the countries shown
were heavily reliant on foreign aid,
including some of the poorest countries
in the world such as Liberia, Burundi,
Eritrea, and Nepal. Some countries
with higher incomes also have large
transfers because of substantial
migrant remittances from a large
number of emigrant workers overseas,
for example, Tonga, Jordan, El
Salvador, and Cape Verde.
Measuring Macroeconomic Activity
The Flow of Payments in an Open Economy: Incorporating the Balance of
Payments Accounts
The current account
(CA) is a tally of all
international
transactions in goods,
services, and income
(occurring through
market transactions
or transfers).
Income, Product, and Expenditure
Understanding the Data for the National Economic Aggregates
U.S. Economic Aggregates in 2016 The table shows the computation of GDP, GNI, and
GNDI in 2016 in billions of dollars using the components of gross national expenditure,
the trade balance, international income payments, and unilateral transfers.
Income, Product, and Expenditure
What the Current Account Tells Us
Y C I G CA
• This equation is the open-economy national income identity. It tells us that
the current account represents the difference between national income Y
(or GNDI) and gross national expenditure GNE (or C + I + G ). Hence:
• GNDI is greater than GNE if and only if CA is positive, or in
surplus.
• GNDI is less than GNE if and only if CA is negative, or in
deficit.
Income, Product, and Expenditure
What the Current Account Tells Us
• The current account is also the difference between national
saving (S = Y − C − G) and investment:
S
I CA
Y C G
In the 1990s,
emerging markets
moved into current
account surplus
and thus financed
the overall trend
toward current
account deficit of
the industrial
countries.
Note: Oil producers
include Norway.
APPLICATION
Global Imbalances
Global Imbalances (continued)
FA ( EX IM ) ( EX IM ) ( EX IM ) ( IM EX )
H H F F H H F F
A
A
A A
A A A A
Net export of home assets Net export of foreign assets Net export of home assets Net import of foreign assets
= =
Net additions to Net additions to
external liabilities external assets