Stat 113 ST1 first part for learning Spring 2011

Questions 1 to 3 concern this situation:

Recently, a survey was conducted by an aspiring author who wanted to know what attributes led to the success of American millionaires.
She was able to obtain from the government a huge list which consisted of all millionaires who were currently on a salary of over
$700,000 per year. From this list she selected a simple random sample (SRS) of 1100 people. One of the questions asked was: "Were
you an ‘A’ student in college?" Of the people asked, 25% said “Yes” and 75% said "No"
We want to study various aspects of this survey.

1. The population that was intended for this survey is

(a) all American millionaires with a salary over $700,000 per year
(b) 95% of American millionaires on the government's list
(c) 1100 American millionaires on the government's list
(d) all American millionaires
(e) 95% of all American millionaires with salary over $700,000 per year.
2. Which of these sources of possible errors in the survey result are considered as a sampling error.
(a) The survey left out millionaires with a salary under $700,000 per year.
(b) Some people chosen in the sample refused to answer.
(c) Some people did not tell the truth because they were embarrassed to admit they were not an A student in college
(d) None of these
(e) (b) and (c) but not (a).
3. Which of these sources of possible errors in the survey result are examples of non-sampling errors?
(a) The survey left out millionaires with a salary under $700,000 per year.
(b) Some people chosen in the sample refused to answer.
(c) Some people did not tell the truth because they were embarrassed to admit they were a B or lower student in college
(d) None of these
(e) (b) and (c) but not (a).
4. A The student newspaper wants to know how students feel about the new football coach. The editor selected a random sample 300
students from all of the students who attend football games and asked each one: “Are you happy with the choice of the new
football coach?” Of the 300 responses , 75% said “Yes.” Based on this data, the 95% confidence interval for the true unknown
percentage of the student population who would say "Yes" is given by
(a) 75% ± 6.3%
(b) 225 ± 20%
(c) 75% ± 3%
(d) 75% ± 5%.

The next Question deals with the following information. The amount of
money spent during Spring Break for the population of students from a
large Midwestern university follows a normal (“bell”) distribution with
mean $600 and standard deviation of $150.
5. The proportion of the students who will spend less than $450 is:
(a) 0.4 (b) 0.84 (c) 0.16 (d) 0.69 (e) 0.31
6. The length of pregnancy for raccoons follows a normal distribution with mean 63 days and standard deviation of 2 days. We can
then say that 10% of the pregnancies will take longer than (round up to whole days)
(a) 66 days (b) 68 days (c) 67days (d) 69 days

7. During a visit to the doctor, you are weighed on a very accurate scale. You are weighed five times and the five readings are
essentially the same. When being weighed, you are wearing all of your clothes and a pair of hiking boots. As a measure of your
weight without clothe, the reading on the scale is
(a) unbiased and reliable
(b) unbiased and unreliable
(c) 95% accurate
(d) biased and unreliable
(e) biased and reliable
 The next two questions are based on the measured times in
hours until each of 140 Cadillac front lights burnt out. The
data is summarized in the frequency table and the Histogram.

Hours
Intervals Frequency

301-320 1
321-340 6
341-360 16
361-380 19
381-400 25
401-420 28
421-440 17
441-460 10
461-480 7
481-500 4
501-520 3
521-540 2
541-560 1
561-580 1

8. Looking at the summarized data, what percentage of the 140 lights failed after 440 hours.
(a)10% (b) 20% (c) 46% (d) 21% (e) 39%
9. Exactly 30% of the bulbs failed before what hour?
(a)360 (b) 380 (c) 361 (d) 381 (e) none of these

The next two questions deal with the following situation. Over a period of 300 days of last year a certain stock broker made predictions
about the Dow Jones Index. The stock broker predicted either that the Index would go Up or it would go Down the next day. Over this
period the stock broker predicted that that the Index would go Up 160 times and would go Down 140 times. Overall the stock broker
was correct 60% of the predictions. The table below has blanks that should be filled in such a way that the figures are consistent with
these numbers.
The index The index
went up went down Totals
The stock broker predicted the
index would go up Blank A Blank B 160
The stock broker predicted the
index would go down Blank C Blank D 140
Total 300

10. Which of the following statements are true

(a) Blank B gives the total incorrect predictions
(b) Blank A + Blank D gives the total correct predictions
 (c) Blank C gives the total correct predictions
(d) Blank B+ Blank D gives the total incorrect predictions
(e) None of the above
11. Which of the following statements are consistent with this data and the fact that success rate is 60%
a) Blank A=30 b)Blank C= 125 c) Blank B +Blank C =140 d) Blank D= 70 e) None of these

The next three questions are based on the table below. This data represents the
measured calorie content in 100 randomly selected poultry hotdogs. The data
is sorted down a column and across.
95 131 135 142 144 151 154 159 162 170
100 132 135 142 145 151 155 159 162 172
110 132 136 142 145 151 155 160 163 174
113 132 136 142 146 152 156 160 163 176
119 132 137 143 146 152 156 161 165 176
125 133 137 143 146 152 156 161 166 176
126 133 139 144 147 153 157 161 167 177
128 134 140 144 147 153 158 162 167 180
129 134 141 144 150 154 159 162 168 181
131 135 142 144 151 154 159 162 168 198

12. The Inner Quartile Range (IQR) has the value of

(a) 22 (b) 23 (c) 26 (d) 24 (e) 21
13. How many outliers are in this data?
(a) 1 (b) 2 (c) 3 (d) 4 (e) none
14. If the observation of “95” was recorded incorrectly and should have been 105 calories, which statement below is true?
a) the median and the mean would change
b) the mean would not change but the lower quartile would change
c) the median would not change but the mean would change
d) the lower quartile and the mean would change
e) the inner quartile range would change
The next four Questions concern this situation:
Does taking aspirin help protect against heart attacks? To study this question, researchers enrolled 22,000 male physicians, all over the
age of 50. Half of the men were randomly assigned to take an aspirin tablet every other day, and the others took a dummy pill that has no
active ingredient. The researchers followed all the men for five years. At the end of this period, the men in the aspirin group had 47%
fewer heart attacks than the men in the other group. This study has inspired millions of people to start taking aspirin regularly. The next 4
questions are based on this study. The study design is below.
Group 1 Treatment 1
11,000 Subjects Aspirin
Subjects Observe
22,000 Blank B
Blank A

Group 2 Treatment 2
11,000 Subjects Placebo
15. The statistical name for this study design is
a) Simple random sample.
b) Stratified random sample.
c) Randomized comparative design
d) Randomized blocks design.
e) Matched pairs design.
16. The method used to form the groups should appear in the outline at the point marked (Blank A). What is this method?
(a) Random allocation.
(b) Voluntary response.
(c) Alternate day treatment.
(d) The double-blind method.
(e) Stratified sampling.
17. The response variable should be named in the outline at (Blank B). The response variable in this study is
(a) Whether or not a subject took aspirin.
(b) The 22,000 physicians in the study
(c) Random allocation.
 (d) A confidence statement.
(e) Whether or not a subject had a heart attack.
18. In order to avoid unconscious bias, neither the subjects nor the doctors who examined them knew whether a particular subject was
taking aspirin or dummy pills. This is called
(a) The placebo effect.
(b) The double-blind technique.
(c) The retrospective method.
(d) Stratified sampling.
(e) Internal validity.

The next two Questions concern the Box plot as shown which concerns the corn production in bu/acre for 87 Indiana counties.
Using the numbers shown, answer the following questions
19. We can say that exactly 75% produced less than how many bu/acre?
a) 94 b) 163 c) 114 d) 177 e) none of these
20. The value at the dot is 177 and it is an outlier because it is larger than what value
a) 126 b) 163 c) 174 d) 168 e) none of these