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Recommended entry:
Sigua , Ricardo G.
Fundamentals of traffic engineering / Ricardo
—
G. Sigua. Quezon City: The University of the
Philippines Press, c2008.
346 p.; 23 cm.
PREFACE XV
1 INTRODUCTION 1
1.1 Background 1
1.1.1 Road Transport Network 1
1.1.2 Public Transportation 4
1.1.3 Traffic Management 4
1.1.4 Pedestrian Facilities 6
1.1.5 Vehicle Registration 7
1.1.6 Insurance 8
1.1. 7 Driving License 8
1.1.8 Driver Apprehensions 10
1.1.9 Driving Schools 10
1.1.10 Traffic Enforcement 11
1.1.11 Legislative Framework 11
1.2 Transportation and Traffic Engineering Practice 12
1.2.1 Definitions 12
1.2.2 Traffic Engineering in the Philippines 14
References 14
vi A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
2 TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT 16
2.1 Introduction 16
2.2 Traffic Regulations 16
2.2.1 Effective Traffic Regulation 17
2.2.2 Three Elements of the Road System 18
2.3 Traffic Control Devices 19
2.3.1 Four Elementary Requirements of
Every Traffic Control Device 19
2.4 Traffic Signs and ' Markings 20
2.4.1 Elements of Design 21
2.5 International Standard Traffic Signs 24
2.5.1 Warning Signs 24
2.5.2 Priority Signs 26
2.5.3 Prohibition Signs 26
2.5.4 Obligatory Signs 28
2.5.5 Other Prescription Signs 29
2.5.6 Information Signs 30
2.5.7 Direction Signs 31
2.5.8 Additional Information 32
2.6 Pavement Markings 32
2.6.1 Functions and Limitations of Pavement Markings 32
2.6.2 Legal Authority 33
2.6.3 Standardization 33
2.6.4 Types of Markings 33
2.6.5 Materials 34
2.6.6 Color 35
2.6. 7 Types of Lines 35
2.6.8 Width of Lines 35
2.6.9 Messages 36
2.6.10 Symbols 36
2.7 Object Markings and Markers 37
2.7.1 Object Markings 37
2.7 . 2 Raised Pavement Markers 38
Contents A vii
Problems 41
References 41
3 TRAFFIC FLOW FUNDAMENTALS 42
3.1 Introduction 42
3.2 Types of Flow 43
3.2.1 Major Traffic Variables 43
3.2.2 Other Traffic Variables 48
3.3 Relationship of Flow, Speed, and Density 50
3.3.1 Observed Relations 51
3.3.2 Empirical Relations 52
3.4 Capacity and Level of Service 58
3.5 Hydrodynamic and Kinematic Models of Traffic 61
3.6 Queuing Theory 66
3.6.1 D/ D /1 Queuing 68
3.6. 2 M / D /1 Queuing 70
3.6.3 M / M /1 Queuing 71
3.6.4 M / M / N Queuing 72
3.7 Shock Wave 75
Problems 78
References 83
4 TRAFFIC STUDIES 84
4.1 Introduction 84
4.2 Volume Studies 84
4.2.1 Types of Volume 84
4.2.2 Types of Data Collected 85
4.2.3 Time of Study 85
4.2 . 4 Methods 86
4.2.5 Presentation of Traffic Volumes 87
4.2 .6 AADT and ADT 89
viii ilk Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
—
Our children, Karen, Paul, and Luke my arrows in my warrior hand
(Psalms 127:3-5)
. -
NtEMG
KW
I
imuaioN
1.1 BACKGROUND
Figure 1.1
The Philippines (Metro Manila inset)
1: Introduction {fit 3
70
60
50
-C
£ 40
8<v
"
30
&
CO
20
10
0
i
0 100 200 300
h
400 500 600 700 800
l\
900 1000 1100 1200 1300
Time, sec
.
Source: Sigua 1997
Figure 1.3
Typical urban travel in’Metro Manila
1.1.2 Public Transportation
The mode of public transportation in Metro Manila is predominantly
road - based , consisting largely of jeepneys and buses for primary and
secondary routes, and motorized tricycles and pedicabs for feeder routes.
There are about 330 bus routes and 600 jeepney routes. These routes
include those serving the adjoining areas of Metro Manila. The jeepneys
cover more than 610 km of roads while buses operate mainly on about
350 km of roads ( ALMEC Corp. 1999). Figure 1.4 shows the major bus
and jeepney routes.
During rush hours, the inadequate provision of public transportation
becomes apparent . Many commuters can be seen standing on the
carriageway while waiting for buses and jeepneys. Passengers clinging
to anything at the back of jeepneys are a common sight.
/
/
I
w<
X
\
\
1
400 200 100
XN.. ..1
(000pax/day)
\
Jeepney
Bus
/ :
V / /
kk
Source: ALMEC Corp. 1999.
Figure 1.4
Major bus and jeepney routes
Photo shows inadequacy of public transport Photo shows stiff competition between buses
during peak hours. ( Photo taken by the and jeepneys. (Photo taken by Dr. Tetsuro
author.) Hyodo.)
6 fit Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Figure 1.5
A pedestrian overpass in Metro Manila
(Photo taken by the author.)
1: Introduction A 7
Table 1.1
Total registration of motor vehicles for 2002
Type Number %
1.1.6 Insurance
Motor vehicle owners are required to obtain insurance covering
third- party liabilities. The minimum insurance to be paid to victims of
traffic accidents (fatal) was P50,000 in 2002.
The Insurance Surety Association of the Philippines under the Office
of the Insurance Commissioner accredited 112 insurance companies all
over the Philippines by 2002. It regulates the industry to prevent the
proliferation of fly - by - night insurance companies.
1.1. 7 Driving License
The issuing procedure of driving license is provided for under
Republic Act ( RA) 4136. The LTO has the full responsibility for issuance
of, driving licenses.
There are three types of driving licenses: student driver’s permit ,
nonprofessional driver’s license, and professional driver’s license.
a . Student driver’s permit
Figure 1.6
Breakdown of driver licenses and permits issued in 2002
10 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Year Total
1999 480,122
2000 475, 626
2001 570, 748
2002 612, 477
Table 1.3
Breakdown of types of driver apprehension (1999-2002 ) ,
Type Number %
Standard requirements were set forth for driving site, school building,
classrooms, library facilities, motor vehicles, instructors, and course of
instruction .
In 2002 , about 170 LTO - accredited driving schools were in
operation all over the country.
1.1.10 Traffic enforcement
Traffic laws are enforced by the Traffic Management Group (TMG),
the traffic division of each district police , and the LTO . In 1978,
Presidential Decree ( PD ) 1605 was issued to centralize enforcement
matters in Metro Manila to the Metro Manila Commission ( MMC ) , now
ihe Metro Manila Development Authority.
The TMG, being a national support unit of the PNP, has traffic
management offices scattered in the different regions and provinces
nationwide. In selected areas or provinces, especially in highly urbanized
cities/ municipalities, the TMG has traffic management teams (TMTs) that
are also capable of performing the functions of the TMG in their areas. In
Metro Manila, the National Capital Regional Traffic Management Office
is complemented by some of the TMG operational support units that are
likewise based in Metro Manila. In coordination and cooperation with
the MMDA for Metro Manila and the local police units in the different
regions, the TMG has at its disposal the traffic enforcement units. Each
Kegional Traffic Management Office ( RTMO) can dispatch personnel to
strategic choke points and major thoroughfares to conduct traffic direction
mid control to ensure the smooth flow of traffic.
In Metro Manila, the TMG and the MMDA assist each other in
traffic management , especially when ongoing infrastructure projects cause
heavy congestion . Alongside this function, the personnel of TMG render
the following tasks: traffic accident investigation , and traffic safety
education through seminars and conferences, etc.
1.1 .11 Legislative Framework
This section discusses some of the legislations pertinent to road
safety (Santiago 1980).
Republic Act 4136, otherwise known as the Land Transportation
and Traffic Code, provides for the system of registration of motor vehicles,
checks on accessories of vehicles, and defines road traffic rules and
regulations.
12 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
1.2.1 Definitions
Transportation engineering is a field or branch of civil engineering
that deals with the application of technology and scientific principles to
the planning, functional design , operation, and management of facilities
for any mode of transportation in order to provide for the safe, rapid ,
comfortable , convenient , economical , and environmentally compatible
movement of people and goods.
On the other hand , traffic engineering is that phase of transportation
engineering that deals with the planning, geometric design , and traffic
operations of roads , streets and highways, their networks , terminals,
abutting lands, and relationships with other modes of transportation (Evans
1950).
In the United States, it was in 1921 when the title “ traffic engineer”
was first recognized , although a number of traffic engineering-related
activities were already going on. Table 1.4 shows some of these activities:
1: Introduction & 13
Table 1.4
Milestones in the developing profession of traffic engineering
Year Activity
The use of traffic signals for controlling traffic came much earlier.
The first recorded use of traffic signals was in 1868 in Great Britain . The
signals were illuminated by town gas. However, the use of gas was
discontinued after an explosion incident . The development of traffic signal
technology is shown in table 1.5.
Table 1.5
Development of traffic signal control
Year Activity
.
' utirce: Evans 1950.
REFERENCES
Traffic regulation must cover all aspects of the control of both vehicle
( registration , ownership , mechanical fitness, accessories , size, weight )
and driver (age, ability to operate specific types of vehicles, financial
responsibility).
Traffic regulations must be reasonable and effective. This can only
be achieved through careful study. Facts must be sought through the
conduct of traffic studies, accident analysis, keeping driver records and
other data .
All traffic regulations are dependent upon the laws of the states
and local governments, especially the ordinances of cities. Legislative
bodies and traffic authorities must keep in mind that unreasonable
restrictions or regulations are not likely to last very long.
2.2 .1 Effective Traffic Regulation
There are fundamental requirements for traffic regulation to be
effective. These are as follows:
a . Regulations should be rational.
Irrational regulations cannot be enforced except by
tremendous effort and expense. Social , economic , and human
problems must be considered . If the habits of a community are
greatly at variance with the regulations , success cannot be
attained for any substantial period of time.
b . Regulations should be developed progressively.
Regulations must be planned over a long period of time,
and the effects must be carefully observed so that alterations
can be made as experience dictates. Experience shows that
abrupt changes in regulation often lead to increase in the
occurrence of traffic accidents.
Road/
Environment
Vehicle {= } Human/
Driver
Figure 2.1
Interaction of the three elements of the road system
Traffic control devices are means by which the road user is advised
ns todetailed requirements or conditions affecting road use at specific
places and times so that proper action may be taken and accident or
delay avoided .
There are three distinct functional groups of traffic control devices:
a. Regulatory devices
These have the authority of law and impose precise
requirements upon the actions of the road user.
b . Warning devices
These are used to inform road users of potentially hazardous
roadway conditions or unusual traffic movements that are not
readily apparent to passing traffic.
c . Guiding devices
the device, it should provide adequate time for response. Simpler message
like STOP or YIELD requires only a second , while multiple choice (as in
destination or guide sign ) may require three to four seconds. Finally, all
—
these requirements the design features of size and brightness, position
—
allowing time for response, properly maintained control device should
command the respect of road users. Thus, shabby, ill- kept signs must be
discarded and replaced .
Traffic signs are employed more frequently than any other devices
to regulate, warn, or guide road users. Traffic markings normally consist
of lines, patterns, words, symbols, reflectors, etc. They may be considered
as specialized types of traffic signs in which the message is in contrast
with the color and brightness of the pavement or other background.
Philippine traffic signs conform to the 1968 Vienna Conventions of
the United Nations on Road Traffic and Road Signs, which the country
officially adopted on June 6, 1973.
Traffic signs are necessary to give information as to routes ,
directions, destinations, etc. Their function becomes more relevant when
used to warn road users of hazards and regulate any prohibitive action at
specific places and /or at specified times.
To ensure uniformity, traffic signs shall be installed only by a duly
authorized public body or official for the purpose of guiding, regulating,
and warning traffic . In case of temporary construction work , however,
special permission is given to contractors or utility companies to install
signs to protect the public provided that such signs conform to the set
standards.
Traffic signs are normally of fixed/ permanent type although some
variable signs have been employed and have become useful in locations
where traffic and environment conditions often change.
Traffic signs are classified depending on their intended uses:
a. Informative: the signs are intended to guide users while they
are traveling.
b . Regulatory: the signs are intended to inform users of special
obligations, restrictions, or prohibitions with which they must
comply.
2: Traffic Management 21
A 600 x 600
B 750 x 750
C 900 x 900
b . Height
In rural areas, the height of the sign should normally be
between 1 m and 1.5 m above the nearest edge of the traveled
way. For intersection direction signs , the height should be
increased to 2 m . Final height is dictated by visibility factor as
the sign should be mounted clear of vegetation and it must be
clearly visible under headlight illumination at night (see figure
2.2 ) .
On curbed roads such as in urban areas, the signs should
be mounted at a minimum of 2 m above the top of the curb to
prevent obstructions to pedestrians.
2.0 m min.
r
i >0.30 m 5.0 m max.
3
0.6 min.
3
c - Q
E 2r,
1 a)
E ~o
P 1.5 m min.
CN LO
s <N 0
j Paved
! . .igewayifootpath
i mi
h
Urban location Rural location with guard rail
e
Source: DPWH 2004.
Figure 2.2
Height and lateral placement of signs
24 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Aa. b. Some countries use this sign; some only for temporary messages.
L "1 1'
2: Traffic Management A 25
Table 2.3
Examples of warning signs
5
Sharp bend to the left Steep descend Sharp hump Slippery road
t
1
Traffic lights ahead Dangerous junction Junction with minor Yield sign ahead
ahead road ahead
Stop sign ahead Roundabout ahead Two- way traffic ahead Level crossing without
barriers ahead
Table 2.4
Example of priority signs
V # '0
Yield the right of way Stop and yield the
right of way
(
Yield the right of way You have right of way
to oncoming traffic over oncoming traffic
Table 2.5
Examples of prohibition signs
No entry
J
( ) ( j) ( j)
No entry No access to motor
vehicles, except
motorcycles without
sidecar
No access to
bicycles
2: Traffic Management
^ 27
Table 2.5 (continued)
s>
vehicles 2 meters 3 meters 20 tons
90
No U-turn No passing Limit is either 90 km/h No audible signals
or 90 mph
No parking during the No parking during the End of speed limit End of passing
first half of a month second half of a month prohibition
28 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Table 2.6
Examples of obligatory signs
t
At next junction go
straight on
At next junction go
to the left
At next junction go
straight on or
to the right
At next junction go to
the right or to the left
Eh
2: Traffic Management & 29
I nd of minimum speed End of shared path End of shared path End of bus lane
Table 2.7
Examples of prescription signs
I here is a minimum All three lanes have a You will enter a You come at a
npeed requirement for maximum speed to be one-way street one- way street
the left lane observed
30 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Table 2.8
Examples of information signs
Cabiao 12 -
)} NAIA
t SLEX
Arayat 2 Pateros
Makati
With information on distance Go right for Ninoy Aquino Multiple directions can be
of destinations International Airport placed on the same sign
32
^ Fundamentals of Traf fic Engineering
2.5.8 Additional Information
These signs are small and rectangular; they supplement the
information on the main sign (table 2.10).
Table 2.10
Examples of supplemental signs
j i i
i
Priority road comes • Priority road Priority road
1 Priority road
from left and goes continues right continues left continues left
ahead ( T - intersection) (4- leg intersection)
^
<
f. 2
2.6. 2 Legal Authority
Markings shall only be applied and /or removed by the Department
i udof Public Works and
s
Highways ( DPWH) or an authority to which these
powers are delegated .
All line- marking plans must be approved by the DPWH before
u installation .
^—
•m
CL
r 2.6 .3 Standardization
.J^ As is the case with all other traffic control devices, it is imperative
ojlhat
markings be uniform so that they may be recognized and understood
instantly by all drivers. Manuals are available from the DPWH , and on
0jkj
£ request , it will furnish traffic authorities, road markers, material suppliers/
manufacturers, and similarly interested agencies, detailed drawings of
*
J Jijthestandard designs and locations.
> 2.6 . 4 Types of Markings
H cz
£ Markings are classified into the following groups:
tr UJ • Pavement and curb markings
8> a. Longitudinal lines are those laid in the direction of travel . These
6
'
2.6.5 Materials
Road markings should be of nonskid materials and should not
protrude more than 6 mm above the level of the carriageway. Raised
pavement markings should not protrude more than 15 mm above the
level of the carriageway. The following are the commonly used materials
for road markings:
• Paint
/1
• Thermoplastic materials
Use of thermoplastic materials with or without reflective
properties is recommended at locations subject to extreme traffic
wear. The average service life of thermoplastic materials has been
experienced to be equivalent to eight times that of beaded traffic paints.
• Precut sheeting
Precut materials both with or without reflective properties are
used. It is usually in adhesive tape form, with aggregate, pigment, and
plastic rubber combined on one side and adhesive on the other side.
2: Traffic Management A 35
c. Numerals
The only numerals that should be used are those associated
with speed limits at location to supplement speed limit signs,
which are continuously disregarded by drivers.
Figure 2.3
Object markings (Courtesy of R. Rellosa of 3M Phil.)
38 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Figure 2.4
Raised pavement markers ( The one on the right has built-in lighting.) (Left photo
courtesy of R. Rellosa of 3M Phil.; right photo courtesy of Solarmarkers Inc.)
Figure 2.5
Visual effect of raised pavement markers in between reflectorized pavement
markings (Photo courtesy of R. Rellosa of 3M Phil.)
Hazard markers
Hazard markers are rectangular and generally consist of a series of
nllernating black and white bands (figure 2.6). The white portion is always
rellectorized, but the reflectorized material may cover only the central
portion of each white band in order to achieve a balance between the
ureas of black and white under headlight illumination. The bands may
consist of either diagonal strips where only a target is required, or of
chevrons where directional as well as target properties are desirable.
I ) clineators
head lamp.
Placement of delineators at the roadside of a circular curve is shown
m figure 2.8.
40 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
»»
Figure 2.6
Chevron markers (Photo courtesy of R. Rellosa of 3M Phil.)
Reflective I
i > © Button
buttons mounted
o on guide
post
o
Figure 2.7
Delineators made of reflective materials
3.65 m max.
O
* Useable
I
i
shoulder
i
I 4-
S' I I
Edge of i
pavement 0.6 m
Figure 2.8
Placement of permanent delineators along a roadway curve
2: Traffic Management A 41
PROBLEMS
REFERENCES
—
to a standstill complete breakdown of the
a
of capacity. This condition
may
expressway because of lack
minutes or even hours.
last for several
However, we can expect a reverse process to occur when traffic flow ,
Distance
/
^
>f
I
T
^
• Time
Figure 3.1
Time-distance diagram
Example 3.1
Let us suppose a 15- minute count of vehicles bound for Manila
was conducted at a particular location on Quezon Avenue. A summary is
shown in the table below:
Car/van 420
Jeepney 300
Bus 16
Truck 28
Speed
Speed is defined as rate of motion in distance per unit time. When
describing traffic stream, two types of speed are used: time mean speed
and space mean speed .
a . Time mean speed
Also called spot speed , time mean speed is simply the
arithmetic mean of the speeds of vehicles passing a point within
a given interval of time. Strictly speaking, distance or length of
road must be known in order to measure speed. However, with
the use of speed radar, spot speed can be measured at a certain
point on the road. Also, spot speed can be reasonably measured
if a point is approximated by a short distance, say 15-50 m of
road. This distance is normally called trap length in spot speed
studies. With the use of a stop watch , the time it takes for the
vehicle to traverse this trap length is measured . Individual
speed of vehicles is then computed by dividing this trap length
by this measured time . Figure 3.2 shows how spot speed is
approximated by the use of trap length , Ax .
Distance
t\
••••••••••
> f
I
T
^ Time
Figure 3.2
Measuring spot speed using trap- length method
Ax
then ui = — x 3.6
(3.2)
ut = i =\
Example 3.2
The speeds of 25 cars were observed. 10 cars were noted to travel
at 35 kph , 8 cars at 40 kph , 2 cars at 50 kph , and 5 cars at 45 kph .
Assuming that each car was traveling at constant speed , determine the
time mean speed .
Solution:
Applying equation 3.2:
10 x 35 + 8 x 40 + 2 x 50 + 5 x 45 995
u
25 25
= 39.8 kph
It is a common practice among traffic engineers to report “ spot
speed ” for a given location . Spot speed is often used as basis for
establishing speed limits.
b . Space mean speed
Space mean speed is used to describe the rate of movement
of a traffic stream within a given section of road . It is the speed
based on the average travel time of vehicles in the stream within
the section. It is also called the harmonic mean speed. Consider
the time-distance diagram shown in figure 3.3. Only the speeds
of the vehicles intersected by the line drawn at instant time t
are measured. (The speed of a vehicle can actually be estimated
by dividing the length of the road section L by its travel time.)
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals 47
Distance
/
^
> f
t
T
^ Time
Figure 3.3
Time-distance diagram for space mean speed
X1
1
(3.3)
-
r= ir u:
i
Example 3.3
Using the same example, determine the space mean speed .
Solution:
Applying equation 3.3:
25 25
Us = i o = 39.26 kph
+ JL + A + A
35 40 50 45 °-
637
Density
Density is defined as the number of vehicles in a given length of
road at an instant point in time. Using the same figure 3.3, the number of
vehicles counted at time t divided by the length of the section L gives a
measure of density in that section. Again, if n vehicles are found within
the section L, density k is computed as:
48 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
k =± (3- 4)
L
Among these three variables, density proves to be the most difficult
or expensive to observe. Aerial photography is the most commonly used
method to get its exact values. On the other hand , there are various ways
of conducting volume and speed studies. (These are discussed in chapter
4.) It will be seen latei that these variables are actually related to each
other and that density can be derived if volume and speed are known.
3.2 . 2 Other Traffic Variables
There are other variables used to describe traffic flow. These
variables, however, are simply variants of the three variables described
previously.
Time headway
Time headway is defined as the time interval between passage of
consecutive vehicles at a specified point on the road with a unit of time
per vehicle.
Referring again to figure 3.1 where N vehicles were counted to
pass line 1-1 within the observation time T, let h . be the time headway of
2 consecutive vehicles. The average headway representing all observed
vehicles is estimated using arithmetic mean. ( Note that if there are N
vehicles observed , then there will be TV - 1 headways that will be
measured .)
N -1
;= i
h, =
N -l
For longer observation period :
N- l
sLN
^
1 =1
hi — T ancl yy - 1 N , or h.
=
Therefore, the average time headway and flow rate are related as
follows:
1
K =~ (3.5)
9
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals A 49
Example 3.4
During morning peak hour, the average headway of UP-Katipunan
jeepneys is estimated at 5 minutes. If the passenger demand during the
same period is 240, determine whether there is a need to increase the
number of jeepney units (or shorten the headway) for this route. Assume
that passenger demand is evenly distributed within that period and the
average load / occupancy is 14 passengers per jeepney. ( Note: This
assumption may not necessarily be true due to fluctuation of passenger
demand and variability of passenger occupancy.)
Solution:
From equation 3.5, the number of jeepneys per hour is
60
— = 12 jeepney /hr
60
s
Solution :
From equation 3.6, the jam density is
1,000
kj =
6.5
= 153.85 vehicles/ km
Time occupancy
Another useful measure of traffic flow is time occupancy. It can
only be measured , however, if a detector is installed at a specific point
on the carriageway. It is defined as the total time a detector is occupied
divided by the total time of observation . Figure 3.4 shows how a vehicle
is detected using ultrasonic detector.
^ Ultrasonic
detector voltage
pulse
* time
K *
the vehicle is detected
t ( time
underneath detector )
Detector 's output
Figure 3.4
Vehicle detection using ultrasonic detector
0. =
z•
(
=1
t:
x 100% (3.7)
T
where t . is the detection time of the i‘h vehicle.
analysis of the units will show that flow rate (veh / hr) is simply the product
of density (veh/ km) and space mean speed ( km / hr), or
q = k x u5 (3.8)
As mentioned earlier, density is the most difficult variable to
measure. It can be obtained indirectly using this relation.
100
JZ
CL 80
60
"
O
40
$ 20
CL
a. speed-density
o
relation
Density, k (veh/km)
2500
o.
> 2000
V 1500
03
»
-
£
1000
_
o
500
b. volume-density
0
| Li
0 20 40 60 80
relation
Density, k (veh/km)
_c 100
Q. 80
60
>
- o
CD
40
20
0)
CL c. speed- volume
0
LT )
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
relation
Figure 3.5
Volume-speed-density relations for the inner lane of South Luzon Expressway
52 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Us
/\
> k
ki
The equation of the line that gives the relation between speed and
density can be easily determined by ratio and proportion.
us = Uj {1 - k/k j
Example 3.6 ^ (3.9)
75 45
15 85
142 10
100 30
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals & 53
100
_c Q.
80
60
“
O
CD
CD 40
CL
to
20
0 4- '7
0 50 100 150
density, veh/ km
k - U : - nku
b=
^
/
~
i
_2
- nk
a = u — bk
54
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
The correlation coefficient r is given by:
r = b h-
Su
where
1 _ U) 1
— 1X “ — 1 Yj
2 2
=n ( i and Sk =n (k
‘
The two variables will have a very good correlation if the absolute
value of r is close to 1.0.
To perform the regression analysis, it is convenient to prepare the
table as shown:
Point k u ku kA 2 ( k - 83 ) A 2 ( u- 42.5 ) A 2
s „2 =
1 _ u) 2 = 1
l
/i
Su = 31.75
— 4 -1
3025 = 1008.33
1
— J iki ^ k )2
2
h = /il
~
=-
3
8458 = 2819.33
sk = 53.10
—
This is almost close to 1.0, which means that the correlation
between the two variables is very high .
Therefore the regression line is
u = a + bk = 91.96 - 0.5959 k
The negative sign confirms that as density increases , speed
decreases.
Example 3.7
Using the results of the previous example, determine the free flow
speed and jam density.
Solution:
The density-speed relation obtained from the previous example is
u = 91.96 - 0.5959 k
Free flow speed occurs when density k = 0.
uf = 91.96 - 0.5959(6) = 91.96 kph
Jam density occurs when speed u = 0.
0 = 91.96 - 0.5959 k .
or
k . = 91.96 -f 0.5959 = 154.32 veh / km
Volume-density relation
Substituting equation 3.9 to the general relation (equation 3.8):
= kug = k Uj{1 — ktk ) = uf { k — k 2lk )
q
^ (3.10)
56 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
km k
> k
Due to the symmetry of the figure, it can be said that the maximum
flow q max occurs when the density has a value k m equal to half of jam
1 J 1 J
ur
um
> Q
Qnux
Uf
um = —u2
(
m > k
ks ki
km = —
2
Example 3.8
In the previous example, determine the capacity of the rural highway
in one direction.
58 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Solution :
As already shown, the density-speed relation can be modeled by a
straight line. The formula for qmax can be used to compute for the capacity.
k; 154.32 91.96
Qmax
2
x —i 2i f 2
x :
2
= 3,547.82 vehicle/hr
Table 3.1
Levels of service
A Free flow, with low volumes and high speeds. Drivers are virtually
unaffected by the presence of others. Little or no restriction in
maneuverability and speed.
C Still in zone of stable flow, but speed and maneuverability are most
closely controlled by higher volumes. Most of the drivers are
restricted in the freedom to select their own speed, lane changing, or
overtaking maneuvers. The level of comfort and convenience
declines noticeably at this level.
speed
f
1.0 volume/capacity
Figure 3.6
Levels of service
Table 3.2
Volume-capacity ratio and LOS
Table 3.3
Measure of effectiveness for different highway types
Example 3.9
From the example of section 3.3, if traffic volume in the same
direction where capacity was estimated was 2,050 vehicles per hour at a
particular period, determine the level of service of the highway (in that
direction ).
Solution:
The capacity computed in the previous example was q max = 3,547.82
vehicles per hour.
The volume-capacity ratio is
v .c 2,050
= 0.578
' 3,547.82
Comparing this volume-capacity ratio with the values provided in
table 3.2, the LOS is C.
Using fluid flow analogy, models that are used to describe traffic
flow will be developed in this section. Consider two points on a one-way
road assumed to be homogeneous:
62
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
1 2
<r AX
Let
N . - number of cars passing station i during time interval At
—
q . flow (volume) passing station i during At
Ax - distance between stations
—
At duration of simultaneous counting at stations 1 and 2.
By definition,
(
h = —At (3.13)
Suppose Nj > N 2 ( means traffic is building up).
Let AN = (N2 - N {
)
AN
With A q = ; AN = AqAt (3.14)
At ’
- AN = AkAx (3.15)
or equating equation 3.14 and equation 3.15:
— AqAt = AkAx
^« 3=
Ax
-
At
0 (3.16)
faster.
On the other hand , if —dk is negative, the traffic flow tends to go
64
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Let us generalize the fluid -flow analogy equation:
du 2 in dk
dt
= ck
dx
— (3.22)
With speed u - f ( x , t ).
du du dx du dt du du
=— +
dt dx dt dt dt
= —dx .u H:
..
dt
Combining the above with the general equation ,
—du
dx
uH
du
dt
+c F — = 0
dx
2
but
du _ du dk , dk
=u
dt dk dt dt
du
dx
u+u
dk
dt
+ cV
dx ^= 0
dk c 2 k n\ dk dk
+ u 4- + ( u + ku’ )
dt u dx dt dx
c 2 k n\
u+
u
= ( u 4- ku ' )
du
( u i \)
( 2
—ck— 2/ n 1
; u' =
dk
= ck { n-l )l 2
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals fib 65
We can now consider some specific models, the first of which is the
Greenshield’s model ( n = 1).
du
~
dk — ~ ck o
,
—— c du - -cdk
^
u= — ck + a
When k = 0; u = uf . Therefore a = uf .
u = uf - ck
u
/
^
U,
* k
ki
Uf
c
also when u = 0, k = k .. Therefore j
kj
This gives the u-k relationship for Greenshield’s model:
k
U
— U
/ i
k J: J (3.25)
Table 3.4
Macroscopic models
Element n=1 n = -1 n=0 n > -1
Constant of
proportion- Ur ( n + 1 )u f
ality, c ki 2 k \J n 2 j< i n+ / 2
( ])
k (
k: \1/ 2 N ( n +1) / 2
u - k relation u = u< 1
1
rKi-
~
u = u m ln 17 k k
V k U - U f 1- u = uf 1-
ki ki j
Optimum ki ki ±9 k n+3 {
/ n+1)
density, km 2 e 1 k i:
2
Optimum uf n+1
c Uf
Uf
speed, um 2 3 n+ 3
it
Service
station
Input i Output
Kmmi
Figure 3.7
Queuing system
first and therefore the first to leave the system as well. (Another type of
queue discipline, which has limited application to traffic flow, is the so-
called LIFO or last-in first-out . Typical examples of this discipline are
the following: the last rider of an elevator normally gets out first; the last
—
document piled on top gets signed first not a recommended practice!)
Service mechanism refers to the manner customers are served at the
station. For example, a toll booth that charges a single fee, accepts only
a fixed amount, and does not give back any change will have a fairly
uniform service rate compared to a booth that charges variable toll fees
and gives back change up to the last centavo.
Kendall’s notation is popularly used to describe a queuing system.
It takes the form
AIB/ C ( n )
where
A - represents the input or arrival pattern
B — represents the service mechanism
C - represents the number of servers
n - represents the limit of the queue or users
/ v
360 vph
25 min
<D
> <s>
« >
to u
ZJ c _
E OJ 600 vph
u>
3
••
7 AM
>
Time
Figure 3.8
Graphical representation of D/D/1 queuing for example 3.10
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals A 69
Example 3.11
At the exit of a toll gate with a single booth , vehicles arrive at
random at a rate of 20 vehicles per minute. The service has an average
rate of 22 vehicles per minute.
Estimate the following:
a . average length of queue formed at the toll gate
b. average waiting time of vehicles
c . average time vehicles spent in the system
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals 71
Solution:
Arrival rate is A = 20 vehicles/minute.
Service rate is ju = 22 vehicles/minute.
2 x 0.909 - 0.9092
m= = 5.45 vehicles
2(1 - 0.909 )
w — 2 x 220.909
(1 0.909 )
-
= 0.23 min /veh
or 13.62 sec / veh
2 - 0.909
t = 2 x 22 (1 - 0.909 ) = 0.27 min/veh
or 16.35 sec / veh
3.6.3 M / M /1 Queuing
The M / M /1 queuing system assumes negative exponential for both
arrival and departure distributions.
Basic formulas for M / M /1:
a. Average length of queue
m= (3.29)
M ( M - A)
72 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
_Ll
Figure 3.9
Toll plaza with Ngates
Otherwise the driver may have to wait in queue if all gates are full.
Again the arrivals are assumed with a rate of X and the service rate per
A
server is p. pis still defined as . However,
P
—
is defined as the utilization
factor. ^
For M/ M/ N , the value of p may be greater than 1 but —Np must be
less than 1 for stable condition.
p+ m 1
w= (3.34)
X p
74 fib Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Example 3.13
If the operator of the toll road in the previous example wants to
improve the current condition at the toll plaza, determine the new queue
characteristics if the number of toll booths is increased to 2.
Solution:
The number of servers N = 2 . From the previous example, p = 0.909
and the utilization factor is p / N - 0.909 1 2 = 0.454.
The probability of having no vehicles in the system is computed
first using equation 3.33.
1 1 1
P
0 7V - 1 pn PN 1 Tl 2 „0 „1 2
„r 0 —n\
P P , P P
Z i /V!(l - p / N )
I 2\ ( l - p / 2 ) 0! 1! 2\ ( l - p / 2 )
n = 0 n'
1
Po = = 0.375
1 + 0.909 +
0.9092
2(1- 0.909 / 2)
PoP
iV +1
1 0.375 x 0.9093 1
m — N .N (1- p / N ) 2 2!2 (1- 0.909 / 2) 2
'
m = 0.0704 x 3.361 = 0.236 vehicles
w=
p+ m
X
1
p
0.909 + 0.236
20 — = 0.057
22
- 0.045 = 0.012 min
or 0.72 sec
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals fit 75
,
A: k , u
B: k 2, u 2
* x, distance
Figure 3.10
Two flows with different properties
U = (u -u )
Let N be the number of vehicles crossing the line S at time t :
N = (£/ .,/1:,) x t
= ( Ur2k 2 ) x t
Substituting the values of Url and Ur2:
( ui - UJk1 = ( U2 - UJk 2
or U k
2 2 UA = U „ ( K - ki )
~
This is the general equation for the speed of the shock wave . On uw
a q -kcurve, equation 3.36 is represented by the slope of the line
connecting points 1 and 2 as shown in figure 3.11.
q
/
^
K* M
q2 - q
i k2 - k i
(q , / k , )
> k
Figure 3.11
Representation of shock wave in q-k diagram
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals
^ 77
Example 3.14
During the last election campaign , a 500 m convoy of presidential
and senatorial candidates belonging to F4 Party was moving at a pace of
5 kph along Pan-Philippine Highway. At the tail of the convoy, it was
joined by a traffic flow with estimated volume of 1,800 veh /hr and density
of 30 veh / km. Since it was impossible to overtake, a platoon density of
200 veh/ km was formed . If the head of the convoy exited the highway
after moving 7 km:
1 .
a . Draw approximately the q - k diagram showing shock waves.
b . Estimate the length of queue after the convoy has cleared the
road .
c . Estimate how long it would take to disperse the platoon queue.
q
/ s.
2400 -
Duration of 7 km trip ( Note convoy has length of 0.5 km, thus end
of queue clears after covering 7.5 km) = 7.5 / 5 = 1.5 hrs
Maximum length of queue: 1.5 x 9.706 = 14.559 km
c . Time to disperse the platoon queue
2400 -1000
Uw2 ~
80 - 200
= -11.667 kph
14.559
Time for platoon queue to dissipate = -
4.706 - (-11.667)
= 2.092 hrs
PROBLEMS
Car 1.0
Jeepney 1.4
Bus 2.2
Truck 2.2
Determine the volume in pcu per hour for the given traffic
data .
Car 825
Jeepney 359
Bus 86
Truck 45
2. Five cars are traveling at constant speeds 24, 31, 28, 35, 19 kph ,
respectively, in a uniform section of highway 4 km long. Determine
the time mean and space mean speeds. Which one is higher, time
mean speed or space mean speed ? Can you think of the reason
why this is so?
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals 79
South Luzon Nichols-Bicutan 4.7 6- lane div. 59085 1770 5190 3503 69548
Expressway Bicutan-Sucat 3.6 4- lane div. 47404 757 5732 3776 57669
Sucat-Alabang 3.8 4- lane div . 31714 625 4920 2998 40257
Alabang-Susana Hts. 4.4 4 - lane div. 21930 816 2339 2703 27788
Susana Hts.-Carmona 7.1 4- lane div. 16041 551 2019 2226 20837
Carmona-Canlubang 14.2 4- lane div . 11459 49 1780 1589 14877
Calamba- Boundary-Sto. Tomas 4 2-lane undiv. 7661 1351 988 1184 11184
Batangas Sto. Tomas-Malvar 7.5 2-lane undiv. 4352 1095 521 855 6823
Malvar-Lipa 10.2 2-lane undiv. 4044 1127 582 325 6078
San Jose-Batangas 16.9 2-lane undiv. 4452 916 247 384 5999
10. Derive the relation between time occupancy and density for each
of the following cases:
a . Ultrasonic detector ( the detector emits an ultrasonic wave toward
the pavement at a single point).
b . Inductance loop detector (the detector is a magnetic wire loop
embedded on the pavement with dimensions d x d meters).
11. A square inductance loop detector embedded in the pavement has
a dimension of w meters on one side. This detector is used to estimate
time occupancy 0t of vehicles over observation time T . If the average
length of vehicles is l meters, determine the density k in terms of
O i.
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals 81
- 19. Traffic flow at the rate of 1200 veh / hr and density of 20 veh / km
joined the tail of a 400 m long Santacruzan procession moving at a
pace of 3 kph . Since it was impossible to pass, a platoon density of
190 veh /km was formed. The head of the procession was expected to
exit the road after moving 1 km. (Capacity of the road = 2000 veh /hr
at density = 45 veh / km; jam density at 200 veh / km)
300 m
school
m
3: Traffic Flow Fundamentals 42k 83
REFERENCES
Traffic volume is the most basic data needed for any traffic study.
Volume studies are conducted to obtain factual information on the number
of vehicles and /or persons that pass at a specified point on the highway
system. The resulting volume data are expressed in relation to time.
4.2.1 Types of Volume
a. Annual traffic is used for determining annual travel , estimating
expected highway user revenue, computing accident rates.
4: Traffic Studies 85
Vehicle class
Time Total
Car Bus Truck Jeepney Others
6:00 - 6: 15 30
18 6 5 0 1
6:15 - 6: 30 iII 40
22 7 9 2 0
6:30-6:45
1111 mi mi 37
13 9 6 5 4
Total
Figure 4.1
Form used for manual tally
4: Traffic Studies fit 87
Figure 4.2
Sample daily variation of traffic volume within a week
88 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
b . Flow maps
c . Intersection diagram
Figure 4.4
Sample intersection flow summary
—
Normally, the speeds of at least 50 vehicles preferably 100 —
should be measured. To cover all representative vehicles, measurement
,
of every n h vehicle may be applied . In this way, possible bias that may
be attributed to the following may be avoided:
a . Selecting mostly leaders of the platoon
b . Selecting mostly one particular type of vehicle
c . Selecting faster vehicles
4.3.3 Methods
A number of methods for conducting spot speed studies are
available. The lack of equipment does not pose any problem as long as
the procedure is done systematically.
Radar speed meter
When such instrument is available, the use of radar is a very
convenient way of conducting spot speed studies. The radar is positioned
at the edge of the roadway at an angle of about 15° with the centerline
and is directed toward the incoming vehicles. Radar may be difficult to
use when volume of traffic is high . Radar meters are often used by police
authorities for apprehending overspeeding drivers.
Manual method
A very useful and less expensive way of conducting spot speed
studies is called the “ trap length ” method . In this method , two lines,
30-50 m apart, are drawn transversely on the pavement . A stopwatch is
then used to measure the “ travel time” of the vehicle within the “ trap.”
The length of the trap is divided by the travel time to estimate the speed .
The observer must be well trained in order to reduce error attributed to
parallax , a common error in most visual methods of conducting surveys.
An alternative to conducting spot speed directly in the field is to
take video of the traffic flow and watch it at a later time in the office.
Markings on the pavement may be drawn before the video is taken .
Another way is to put markers on the roadside that will help draw the
“ trap” on the TV screen or monitor.
92 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Table 4.1
Spot speed summary for grouped data
The mean and variance were obtained using the following formulas
for grouped data:
Mean,
x — t =l
if ,;= i
; ( 4.3)
Variance, 2 _ ( 4.4)
^ n( n - l )
Figure 4.5
Spot speed frequency histogram
94 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Route: Direction:
Date: Weather
Trip Started: Time: Trip Ended: Time:
Location: Location:
Recorder Driver
Intersection Midblock
Station Stops Slows Stops Slows
T1 T2 Ofay Cause Caue T1 T2 CMiy Caue Lora lion Caue
Figure 4.6
Sample travel time and delay field sheet
4: Traffic Studies A 95
Example 4.2
A single test run along the national highway in Calamba, Laguna,
is shown in table 4.2. Determine the average travel speed and draw the
sectional travel time and speed diagrams.
Solution :
The travel speed of each section is computed in the last column of
the table. The two diagrams represent distance- time and distance-speed
diagrams, respectively.
Table 4.2
Summary of travel time and delay survey along national highway
in Calamba, Laguna
Run Number: 1
Route Name: South Luzon Expressway to Belarmino
Date: 9 November 2005 (Wed)
Weather: Fair
Start Time: 10:47:08 Starting Point: Gasoline Station
End Time: 11:15:05 Ending Point: Belarmino
Intersection delay
Travel Travel Travel
Distance
Station time time speed
(m) T1 T2
delay (mm:ss) ( sec ) ( kph )
(mm:ss) (mm:ss)
.
1 Gasoline Stn. 10:47:08 10:47:08 3.44
2. Bacnotan 600.0 10:48:12 10:57:35 0:09:23 0:10:27 627 9.29
3. Waltermart 400.0 11:00:02 11 :00:10 0:00:08 0:02:35 155 6.55
4. Intersection C 300.0 11 :01:04 11:02:55 0:01:51 0:02:45 165 4.80
5. Intersection A 100.0 11 :03:21 11 :04:10 0:00: 49 0:01 :15 75 7.06
6. Riles 300.0 11:06:08 11 :06:43 0:00:35 0:02:33 153 3.18
7. Y - junction 300.0 11 :08:42 11:12:23 0:03:41 0:05:40 340 2.98
8. Chipeco 100.0 11 :13: 37 11:14:24 0:00:47 0:02:01 121 4.39
9. Belarmino 50.0 11:15:01 11 :15:05 0:00:04 0:00:41 41
11 :16 AM
11 :09 AM
rtl
11 :02 AM
E
P 10:55
AM
10:48 AM
10:40 AM
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Distance, m
Figure 4.7
Time-distance diagram for Example 4.2
1
°9 ,
_c 8
Q . 7
'
§ 6
9r 5
a; 4
>
3
2
h - 2
1
0
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Distance, m
Figure 4.8
Travel speed-distance diagram for Example 4.2
Example 4.3
Tables 4.3 below show filled up field sheets for a route origin -
destination survey using license plate method. Determine the travel times
of those vehicles that were observed at both survey stations.
Solution :
It may be observed that plate numbers XKR748 , TNU210 , and
888888 were recorded in both forms. The corresponding travel times are
55 minutes, 50 minutes, and 45 minutes, respectively.
Table 4.3
Sample filled up sheets for license plate method
ROUTE ORIGIN-DESTINATION SURVEY
LICENSE PLATE METHOD
Field Sheet
Location: I
Date: 29 MARCH 2004
Weather: Fine
1
o
2
Vehicle Type: Light vehicles
Location: 2
Date: 29 MARCH 2004
Weather: Fine o
-
1
o
2
Vehicle Type: Light vehicles
b
/
L
t /
a -t 4-
* *< *
t
Figure 4.9
Diagram showing how the moving observer travels back and forth
Let t - travel time of test car when traveling with the stream
t i - travel time of test car when traveling against the stream
(
Q =
n
~
m —
p+o
( 4.6)
t t w + ta
( o - p) ( p - o)
b
L
I
a
w
* tave2
Figure 4.10
Test car traveling at average speed must have a net of ( o - p) = 0.
Assuming that flow rate is the same within any time period , then
o- p
9= (4.7)
tw — t avel,
or
p-o
t ai/el = *« + ( 4.8)
7
in case of the test car traveling at speed slower than the average speed.
Also,
p -o
7= (4.9)
t ave 2 ~
K
or
p-o
^ ave 2 ~ + (4.10)
9
in case of the test car traveling at speed faster than the average speed.
It can be seen that in both cases, the same result is obtained for
the value of the average travel time. Hence, in general,
4: Traffic Studies {£k 101
p -o
t ive
(
~ + ( 4.11)
7
The average speed of the traffic stream over the section L is obtained:
L
u= ( 4.12)
t ave
* = su. (4.13)
If information on both directions is desired , two teams are utilized
to do the same routine of going back and forth traversing the road section
L.
In conducting this survey, the ease in negotiating a U - turn is a
major factor that would affect the accuracy of the survey results. The
road section must be as homogenous as possible, i .e., uniform road width
all throughout the section; entry and exit points should be minimal; very
few jeepneys or buses stopping for loading and unloading, etc. In practice,
at least six round trips are performed to achieve good results .
Example 4.4
A survey on a 1.2 km highway was conducted using the moving
observer method . During the morning peak hour, the test car was able to
complete 6 runs for each direction . Determine the traffic volume, average
traffic speed , and density.
Eastbound trips:
Run # M O P T, min
E1 113 10 12 3.02
E2 118 13 9 2.9
E3 112 16 20 3.4
E4 99 9 11 2.7
E5 105 20 8 3.2
E6 110 17 7 3.3
102 fik Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Westbound Trips:
Run # M O P T, min
W1 120 12 15 2.8
W2 119 15 21 2.6
W3 112 12 9 3.05
W4 120 10 10 2.6
W5 115 25 13 2.9
W6 102 16 12 2.7
Solution:
The average of 6 runs is computed for each direction .
Run # M O P T, min
El 113 10 12 3.02
E2 118 13 9 2.9
E3 112 16 20 3.4
E4 99 9 11 2.7
E5 105 20 8 3.2
E6 110 17 7 3.3
Total 657 85 67 18.52
Ave. 109.5 14.17 11.17 3.09
Run # M O P T, min
11.17 - 14.17 )
tE — 3.09 + ( 20.04 — 3.04 min
(13.33 - 15 )
tv — 2.78 +
18.94
= 2.69 min
With L = 1.2 km, the average speeds are computed using equation
4.12:
1.2
UE = x 60 = 23.68 kph
3.04
1.2
uw = 2.69 x 60 = 26.77 kph
Finally, the densities are computed from equation 4.13:
1202.4
K= 23.68 — 50.78 veh/km
1136.4
K= 26.77
= 42.45 veh/ km
PROBLEMS
1. Draw the intersection diagram for the given traffic volume summary
of a T-intersection:
2. The following spot speed data ( in kph ) were obtained from a city
road .
31.6 46.2 51.2 47.3 39.4 44.7 53.3 46.7 41.1 45.0 42.8 34.8 40.9 38.6 37.8 48.3 40.0
47.8 40.3 50.0 44.2 38.1 32.7 44.8 45.0 34.0 44.0 35.0 34.1 35.1 35.2 42.1 35.2 35.7
36.1 37.0 35.8 36.0 36.7 37.3 36.5 35.9 37.4 38.8 39.0 44.9 37.9 41.8 48.4 41.3 38.5
39.1 52.1 40.1 52.8 48.2 41.6 53.4 44.6 39.3 47.7 39.4 37.7 38.1 44.5 38.2 38.4 39.7
40.0 57.0 40.7 40.1 37.8 41.2 45.2 43.7 45.0 33.5 39.4 40.1 44.8 40.7 50.9 40.4 40.6
40.2 41.3 39.5 45.0 43.8 43.9 41.1 41.7 41.8 41.9 42.0 35.4 42.4 42.6 42.7 42.8 43.0
41.7 41.8 41.9 42.0 38.8 42.3 48.2 34.6 42.4 48.3 42.9 42.8 43.0 41.7 42.0 42.5 47.9
48.1 50.1 42.6 42.7 42.8 43.1 46.0 31.0 43.6 41.4 43.7 45.1 43.8 43.9 44.0 48.6 44.6
45.2 43.6 43.7 43.8 43.9 44.2 38.1 44.5 41.3 44.7 40.8 44.9 45.8 45.7 45.9 46.5 44.0
41.5 46.1 47.2 47.5 38.4 44.2 47.9 48.6 40.8 48.9 47.8 50.2 50.6 50.7 50.4 50.1 35.9
50.8 51.0
3. In the determination of speed limits for roads, the 15th and 85th
percentile speeds are usually considered as the minimum and the
maximum speed limits , respectively. For problem 2 , draw the
cumulative frequency diagram and determine the minimum and
maximum speed limits.
4. While taking measurements using the moving observer method , a
test vehicle covered a 1.5 km section in 1.5 minutes going against
traffic and 2.5 minutes going with traffic. Given that the traffic flow
was 800 vehicles /hour and that the test vehicle passed 10 more
vehicles than passed it when going with traffic, find
a . the number of vehicles encountered by the test vehicle while
moving against traffic,
b . the speed of the traffic being measured , and
c . the density of the traffic stream.
No. of veh . .
No of veh. .
No of veh. Travel time Travel time
met when car passed by overtaking of car when of car when
Survey is traveling car when car when traveling with traveling
# traveling with traveling with the stream, min against the
against the
stream the stream the stream stream, min
Bypass
/
/
/ Town proper \
\
/
National highway
REFERENCES
5.1 INTRODUCTION
Shape
This refers to the configuration of the intersection and would depend
largely on the number of legs. Carefully planned and properly designed
road networks often lead to intersections with simpler shape having lesser
number of legs. Some of the most commonly observed intersection
configurations are the following:
a . Three-leg: T or Y
108 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
d . Rotary or roundabout
Type of structure
Most of the intersections are either designed as at-grade intersection
or grade separation such as flyovers or interchanges . Almost all
intersections are initially designed at-grade and are planned to be grade-
separated in the future to cope with high traffic volume. The type of
grade separation depends largely on the extent of improvement it would
provide in terms of easing congestion or reducing traffic accidents.
Type of operation
Rules and regulations applied to a given intersection depend largely
on the type of control which is in operation at that intersection . The main
objective is to simplify traffic flow. This is often achieved by reducing the
number of conflicts of vehicles.
5: Intersection Design and Control
^ 109
An intersection operates as unchannelized or channelized , and
unsignalized or signalized . Channelization often leads to simplified
movements of vehicles as it leads drivers to one conflict at a time. On the
other hand , signalization greatly reduces crossing conflicts at the
intersection area.
( optimum is 90°)
110 m Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Turning geometry
The primary purpose of an intersection is to provide change in the
direction of travel . As a vehicle approaches an intersection , the driver
has to decide whether to go straight or to turn left or right. For turning
movements, a number of turning geometries may be considered , the most
direct of which is highly preferred . Configurations of turning geometries
are shown below:
a. Direct
b . Semidirect
5: Intersection Design and Control 111
c . Indirect
Trumpet Cloverleaf
4
7
5.
1. Left turn storage bay
1t 2. Through lanes
3 . Exclusive right turn lane
1 4. Corner island
5 . Turning roadway
6. Median
7. Nose treatment
Figure 5.1
Design elements of an intersection approach
112
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
For the left turn storage bay, the recommended length is
intersection angle
3 -centered curve:
For R ] = 10-30 m
TO
U>
,
R2 = 1.5 /?
P\ P R3 = 3.0 K,
/
.
For R >30 m
^
« = « = 2 R,
3
Figure 5.2
Three-centered curve
Figure 5.3
Conflict diagrams for three-leg and four- leg intersections
Table 5.1
Types and number of conflicts
Intersection type
Type of conflict
Three-Leg Four-Leg
Diverging 3 8
Merging 3 8
Crossing 3 16
TOTAL 9 32
Figure 5.4
Roundabout (all vehicles move in one-way fashion)
(Photo taken by author.)
Figure 5.5
A U-turn slot in Quezon City
( Photo taken by author.)
116 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
-»
P-1
P-3
<r <
*
^o- >
Figure 5.6
Conflict diagrams for different types of control for a four - leg intersection
5: Intersection Design and Control A 117
Table 5.2
Comparison of types of control for a four- leg intersection
No. of conflicts
Intersection type Applicable control or
( 4- leg only ) Crossing/ regulation
Merging Diverging weaving
Figure 5.7
Grade separation or. interchanges
A large number of intersections all over the country are still without
traffic signals. It is therefore necessary to have a means of analysis of the
performance of this type of intersection so as to find appropriate measures
to minimize congestion and reduce the occurrence of traffic accidents.
The method presented in this section was the basis of the method
discussed in the US Highway Capacity Manual with some modifications.
In our case, it may be better to introduce the original method. As new
researches on the topic are conducted , modifications may be done to
suit local conditions.
5: Intersection Design and Control fli 119
The method calculates the maximum flow in any given minor road
traffic stream. It is then compared with the existing traffic flow to estimate
the reserve capacity. The probable delay and level of service are
determined based on this reserve capacity.
Consider the four-leg intersection below. Minor movements are
movements coming from the side road or minor road. In addition , the left
turn movements from the major road are also considered minor. But in
terms of hierarchy, these left turn movements have higher priority than
the movements coming from the minor road .
c V
Shown are minor movements from one
d b approach of the minor road and one left
turn off major road only.
Table 5.3
Major road traffic streams
a . Right turn into major road: b. Left turn off major road:
,
Mh = 0.5 A4 + M 2 Mh = M } + M2
M2 Mn
M. M2
t
I M
I n
Mj
M
<
M3
ui
^ 3
Ms
\ Mn
Table 5.4
Critical gap tb for passenger cars, sec
1200
noo
critical gap tg
1000
900
800
I 700
600
8
5 500
400
300
200
100
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 90U 1000110012001300140015001600
Mh ( veh/hr)
Figure 5.8
Basic capacity of minor road flow
122 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
The basic capacity is the maximum minor road flow, assuming that
the following conditions are true:
a . The traffic on the major road
Mh does not block the major road.
b . A turning lane is provided for the exclusive use of the minor
road traffic stream.
If these conditions are not met , correction factors have to be applied
based on the following considerations:
a . Congestion on the major road
If a traffic stream turning off the major road becomes congested
and thus interferes with the minor road traffic, then the basic capacity
is reduced. A p-value is obtained from figure 5.9 and is applied as
a reduction factor. The p- value defines the probability that this
minor road traffic stream remains unaffected . The ratio of the actual
flow and the capacity of the same flow is initially used to determine
the p- value.
1
0.9
o
c 0.8
o
in $ o- 7
O u
u Lc 0.6 \
“
o
(V >
~0 0.5
a> o
.E
_|0.4fO \
C £
3
tS 0.3
o o
c 0.2 X
£
0.1
\
03
-O Q
D _ 0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
% Capacity used by minor road stream of vehicles
1 a b c
max Mn max M rui max Mnl max M
(5.1)
)
^
Table 5.5
PCU values of different vehicle types
Vehicle type
Gradient, % Passenger Full trailer Motor
Motorcycles Lorries
combination
cars vehicle'
Example 5.1
Consider the channelized T- intersection with the minor road
controlled by YIELD sign. There is no prevailing speed limit. Evaluate
the performance of the unsignalized intersection.
A B 400 -
360
V YIELD
Solution:
Following the logical order of analysis as suggested:
a . Right turn into major road
5: Intersection Design and Control A 125
—
= 150 pcu /hr » max Mn - 0.83 x 150 = 125 pcu /hr
iii. M no
iv. Existing M = 1.1 x 50 = 55 pcu / hr
v. Reserve capacity = 125 - 55 = 70 pcu / hr
STOP O
l
ft . 50
A B
70
70
380 >
60
u 45 | (7o
STOP
i 50
i
Solution:
Due to symmetry of traffic volume data, only the analysis of the
minor road approach C will be shown. The same condition is expected in
approach D.
a . Right turn into major road
Mh = 380 veh / hr
ii. Critical gap, tg = 7.0 sec
iii . M no= 500 pcu /hr — > max Mn - 500 pcu/hr
iv. Existing Mn = 1.1 x 30 = 33 pcu / hr
( Factor of 1.1 is used since no vehicle mix given .)
v. Evaluation is deferred since shared lane
b . Left turn off major road
i. Structure of major road traffic:
Mh = Mx + M2 = 60 + 380 veh/hr
ii . Critical gap, t = 6 sec
iii . M no= 580 pcu /hr — > max Mn — 580 pcu /hr
iv. Existing Mn = 1.1 x 70 = 77 pcu /hr
v. Reserve capacity = 580 - 77 = 503 pcu / hr
vi . Evaluation: very short traffic delay; LOS B
^
( existing M -r max M x 100% = 77 -r 580 x 100% = 13%;
p-value = 0.90)
c. Crossing major road
i. Structure of major road traffic:
M . = 0.5M . + M ,+ M .. + M . + M ,+ M . = 0 + 380 + 70 + 70 +
380 + 60 = 960 veh /hr
ii. Critical gap, to = 9 sec
iii . M no - 100 pcu / hr. — > max Mn - 100 x 0.90 x 0.90 =
81 pcu / hr
128 m Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
1 50 / 80 30 / 80
max M n 81 500 ; max Mn = 118 pcu /hr
v. ExistingMn = 33 + 55 = 88 pcu/hr
vi . Reserve capacity = 118 - 88 = 30 pcu /hr
vii . Evaluation : very long traffic delay; LOS E
(iexisting M + max M x 100% = 88 4- 120 x 100% = 73%;
p-value = 6.30
)
d . Left turn into major road
i. Structure of major road traffic:
— —
M /. 0.5M 1 + M 2 + M 3 + M 4 + M.5 + M 7 + M8 30 + 380 + 70 +
i
70 + 380 + 50 + 30
= 1010 veh/hr
ii. Critical gap, /
A = 10 sec
iii . maxM no = 50 pcu
r —
/ hr > max M n - 50 x 0.90 x 0.90 x 0.30
= 12 pcu / hr
iv. Existing Mn = 1.1 x 45 = 50 pcu /hr
v. Reserve capacity = 12 - 50 = -38 pcu /hr
vi . Evaluation: congested ; LOS F
Overall evaluation: the intersection requires improvement . Traffic
signals and geometric improvement (channelization ) may be necessary.
WIDTH OF
PAVEMENT
DIRECTIONAL
ISLAND
CENTRAL LENGTH OF
ISLAND WEAVING SECTION
Figure 5.10
Some design elements of a roundabout
^2 .
N
lx
Entry '. '
Exit
w
.angle Jt N angle
s
V
\ Internal
angle
s
X
w = 9.1 - 18.0 m
e/w = 0.63 - 0.95
w/l = 0.16 - 0.38
e /e2 = 0.34 - 1.14
The design of roundabouts is usually done by trial and error. Weaving
width and length are assumed and then checked for adequacy of capacity.
As roundabouts have a tendency to lock when overloaded, it is important
that they have adequate reserve capacity.
Example 5.3
Consider the Y- junction with the given traffic volume to be designed
as a roundabout .
C
5: Intersection Design and Control A 131
Table 5.7
Types and number of conflicts
Exit
Entry Total
A B C
1300 vph
B
A 100
700, 500
i
150
1250 vph 400 450
1100 vph
w/l = 0.225
The capacity of AB section is calculated:
A B
Figure 5.12
Two intersections distant apart (Isolated intersections may be
controlled either pre-time or actuated.)
Pre-time signal
Pre- time or fixed time signals work best when there is not much
fluctuation in traffic flow. The pre- time signal controller may be of a single
or multiprogram type of controller. The single- program controller makes
use of one set of signal parameters to control traffic flow throughout the
day or during the period when the signal is in operation . On the other
hand , the multiprogram type makes use of a number of sets of parameters.
This offers greater flexibility and may be able to cope with the fluctuating
demand within the day (figure 5.13). Nowadays, a controller with five or
more programs is not uncommon .
Many sets of
Single set of parameters
Traffic parameters Traffic
demand demand
i Detectors
Major flow
r
t
~
—
Semi -actuated Fully actuated
( Approaches in minor road are provided ( All approaches of the intersection are
with detectors ) . provided with detectors.)
Figure 5.14
Types of traffic-actuated signals
Min. green
unit
extension
period
I Max. green
T
Figure 5.15
Green time extensions for traffic -actuated control
Subgroup 1 Subgroup 2
Figure 5.16
Subgrouping of intersections for efficient control
0 0 0 0
Figure 5.1 7
Road network in urban centers suited for area traffic control
offsets. When two adjacent subareas are married , the common cycle time
for the combined area is the larger cycle time of the two separate subareas
before linkage.
5.7.2 Data Requirements for Traffic Signal Setting
In planning for phase pattern and for the determination of
appropriate timing of the signals, a number of data are required:
—
a . Traffic volume must include all types of vehicles (including
nonmotorized: bicycles, pedicabs, etc); directional
—
b . Pedestrian flows movement of pedestrians in all directions
c . Passenger car unit values ( PCU ) - PCU equivalent of the different
types of vehicles
d . Saturation flow rates - maximum flow rate occurring at the stop
line once traffic initially in queue is given green time indication
—
e. Physical characteristics of the road number of legs; width of
approaches; number of lanes; gradient .
Consider the flow of a single queue of vehicles once signal
indication turns to green as shown in figure 5.18. At the start of green, it
can be observed that the lead vehicle will take a second or two to react .
It will be after two or three vehicles crossing the stop line when the traffic
flow will be at maximum rate. This brings about what is called starting
loss. In the diagram , the starting loss is estimated as the time from the
actual start of green up to the point where the line representing the
maximum rate crosses the horizontal axis. The maximum flow rate that
corresponds to minimum headway is also known as the saturation flow
rate. The value of saturation flow rate depends on a number of factors:
vehicle mix , condition of the pavement , geometric characteristics of the
road ( width of the lane, gradient ), direction of movement, etc.
5.7 . 3 Phase
Phasing is a process by which right of way is given to particular
movements in a logical manner with the primary purpose of minimizing
the number of conflicts. The number of conflicts at an intersection depends
largely on the geometry of the intersection and turning prohibition . It
may be observed that as the number of legs of the intersection increases,
the number of conflicts increases exponentially.
140 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Cum. A
Veh.
Time
H G
Figure 5.18
Y
4
j “
Phase 1
i
Phase 2
r a . Two-phase system
5: Intersection Design and Control A 141
Phase 1 Phase 2
i
Phase 3
r b. Three -
phase
system
Figure 5.19
Typical phase patterns
increases. The lost time is composed of the starting loss and the all-red
period . In figure 5.20, it can be observed that for every phase, there is a
corresponding starting loss and all -red period .
The generally accepted value of starting loss is 2 seconds. The
amount of all-red period depends on the size of the intersection . Together
with the yellow or amber period, they compose the clearance interval or
intergreen period. With the yellow or amber having a value of 3 seconds,
the all-red period has to be long enough for the last vehicle crossing the
road to clear safely.
Starting
All -red
Intergreen
< >
A R
\J
K2 c2 Y
<r
Cycle
Figure 5.20
Lost times consisting of starting loss and all - red period
5.7.5 Cycle
A cycle is one complete indication of green , yellow, and red . Its
length is constant for a pre-time or fixed time signals. It varies for traffic-
actuated signals depending on traffic demand.
The fundamental relation between intersection delay and cycle
length is shown in figure 5.21.
5: Intersection Design and Control A 143
Delay
A
Cycle
c
Figure 5.21
Cycle and delay relation (Co provides the minimum delay.)
It can be seen that using either a long or short cycle will lead to
long delay, with very short cycle giving worse results. The objective of
signal timing is to minimize delay. There are other objective functions
—
travel speed , fuel consumption , emissions, etc. but they are all related
—
to delay. Reducing delay would lead to better speed , fuel savings, and
lesser emissions. The cycle corresponding to least intersection delay is
termed as the optimum cycle length. Webster’s formula is widely used to
estimate this cycle length . The equation is given by
1.5 L + 5
C0 = 1- Y
(5.3)
Saturation flow
Movement Approach Direction Volume, pcu/hr rate, pcu/hr
4 3 j “
4
*
(T
Phase 1 Phase 2
For phase 1, the critical y-value is 0.325 while for phase 2 , the
critical y- value is 0.517. This gives
F-value = 0.325 + 0.517 = 0.842
c
5: Intersection Design and Control fit 145
1.5 L + 5 _ 1.5 x 8 + 5
Co = 1- F
~
1- 0.842
= 107.37 sec, say, 110 sec
(The cycle length is normally rounded off to multiples of 5 or 10.)
5.7 .6 Allocation of Green Times
After the cycle length is computed , the total green time has to be
allocated to the different movements or phases. This is normally achieved
by dividing it in proportion to the y-values. For a particular phase t, for
example, its green time is estimated as follows:
g = Ji- x ( C 0 - l )
Example 5.5
Y ^ ( 5.4)
Consider the data in the previous example, allocate the green time
to phases 1 and 2.
Solution:
The computed optimum cycle is 110 sec and the total lost time is 8
sec. This results to total usable or effective green, g:
g
° = C - L = 110 - 8 = 102 sec
o
Or simply
^
82 = 8 ~ 8\
0.842
= 1°2 ~ 39 = 63 sec
146 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
1
r2 x2
d= - 0.65(-y x 2+5 q )3 (5.6)
2C(l - y ) 2q{\ - x ) <1
s
Delay, D t
>
r
^ Time
8
c
Figure 5.22
Delay representation per cycle
(* - ?K = <7r
to = s - q
with r = 2s
yr
K = i~y (5.7)
148 Hfc Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
The total delay per cycle D is equal to the area of the triangle in
figure 5.22.
2
—21 r x q( r + t° .) = —21 (1gr—- y )
0 (5.8)
d= ±q c i
2C ( l - y )
(5.9)
Example 5.7
Using equation 5.9, estimate the average delay per vehicle per
cycle of movement 3.
Solution :
Movement 3 has a y - value equal to 0.325. Its effective green is 39
sec .
1 712
d= —2C (1- y ) 2 x 110 (1 - 0.325)
= 33.95 sec/veh /cycle
Intergreen
< >
C, R
R2 C2 Y
<
Cycle
Figure 5.23
Timing diagram for a two-phase system
Example 5.8
Draw the timing diagram for the problem in example 5.4.
Solution:
The timing diagram is normally drawn using the actual green ( not
the effective green). Actual green is computed as follows:
actual green + yellow = effective green + starting loss
( Note: yellow is considered usable and is part of the effective green)
Since yellow = 3 sec and starting loss = 2 sec
actual green = effective green - 1
For phase 1: Actual green, G , = 39 - 1 = 38 sec
For phase 2: Actual green, C2 = 63 - 1 = 62 sec
The timing diagram is shown with the different components in
seconds.
150 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
38 3
2
2
62
3
j
then
volume -
xi =
capacity •
S 1: x Si
—C (5.10a )
CY
X = C-L ( 5.10 b)
It can be shown that the degree of the intersection is also the same
as the degree of any movement or approach if the allocation of green is
based on the proportion of y- values.
Example 5.9
Compute for the degree of congestion of the intersection described
in example 5.4.
5: Intersection Design and Control 42} 151
Solution:
With the cycle, y-value, and L computed previously, equation 5.10b
can be used to determine the degree of congestion .
CY 110 x 0.842
C-L 110 - 8
= 0.908 < 1.0
Equation 5.10a can also be used to compute for the intersection
degree of congestion since green times are allocated based on the
proportion of y-values.
Consider movement 1 with volume = 930 pcu / hr and saturation
flow rate of 1,800 pcu / hr. Based on y-value of 0.517, its green time was
computed as 62.6 sec. (This was rounded off to 63 sec in the previous
calculations) .
The degree of congestion of movement 1 based on equation 5.10a is
<7 £ 930
X; = gi 62.6
= 0.908
1800 x
C 110
which is equal to the degree of congestion X .
5.7.11 Critical Movement Analysis
When phase patterns become complex, cycle time and green times
needed by the different movements may be determined using the critical
movement analysis method . This is the same method used by Akcelik in
his Signalized and Unsignalized Intersection Design and Research Aid
(SIDRA ) program and by the US Highway Capacity Manual for the design
and analysis of signalized intersections.
For a given combination of intersection geometry and traffic volume,
a finite number of logical phase patterns may be identified . ( Logical phase
pattern is defined here as a phase pattern that is normally accepted in
traffic engineering practice in terms of safety and driver expectation .)
Let m - total number of possible phase patterns
P. — ith phase pattern
The best phase pattern P that is expected to result in minimum
delay is
152 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Figure 5.24
Three stages for a T - intersection
Figure 5.25
Critical movement diagram for the T- intersection
5: Intersection Design and Control A 153
Example 5.10
Consider the T-intersection with given traffic data:
Volume, SFR,
Movement
pcu/hr pcu/hr
1 750 2000
2 250 1800
3 650 2000
4 200 1600
5 240 1600
6 350 1800
0.38 0.13
A B C 0.19 A B
0.33 0.14
0.15
c = 1.5 x0.658
12 + 5
= 67.25 sec, say 70 sec
1-
0
Saturation flow
a. Random flow
b.
veh. in queue
c. red green
Figure 5.26
Conditions for left turn without phase
waiting left turners assess the gaps available to them. Normally, the
decision whether or not to accept the available gap is made in the following
manner:
a. No driver will accept a gap in the opposing stream that he or
she believes will certainly lead to a collision .
b . No driver gains admittance through intimidation of the opposing
stream drivers.
M -
' J
ID
I
i o r i - left turn
- through
I
o
Figure 5.27
Blockage of through traffic due to inadequate length of left turn bay
Time
last vehicle
to clear w ( bandwidth) - the
thickness of the band
that represents the
platoon that will be able
w to cross the intersections
^
C-
in platoon Cycle
— Distance
1
Figure 5.28
Simultaneous system
5: Intersection Design and Control
^ 161
A disadvantage of this system is that drivers tend to increase speed
in order to pass as many intersections as possible.
Alternating system
At any given instant of time, the driver sees intersections ahead
with alternating green and red indications. This system normally works
well when the intersections are far apart.
Time
last vehicle to clear
v Cycle
* Distance
1
Figure 5.29
Alternating system
Progressive system
The starts of green are arranged in such a way that traffic flow is
uninterrupted and bandwidth is optimized. The method works well for
one-way systems or when one direction of flow is given more priority over
the other.
For coordination , it is better to use one common cycle for all the
intersections. However, if distances are irregular, some intersections may
use two times the common cycle. In practice, this common cycle time is
usually the cycle time of the key intersection (i.e., the intersection that
normally requires the longest cycle time ).
162 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Time
J r last vehicle
to clear
first vehicle
y in platoon
w
CT- W -
Cycle
- Distance
1 2 3
Figure 5.30
Progressive system
Example 5.11
^
Consider the 4 intersections 400 m apart and with the given traffic
data. Determine the common cycle and the actual green times that will
be used for coordination.
North
*
A B C D
Intersection Approach Flow, pcu/hr Sat. flow rate Lost time, sec
A N 1250 3900 8
S 1450 3900
E 1000 2400
W 800 2000
B N 1350 3900 8
S 1550 3900
E 1200 2500
W 650 2000
C N 1100 3900 8
S 1500 3900
E 900 2000
W 550 2000
D N 1300 3900 8
S 1400 3900
E 1000 2500
W 600 2000
AR = 2 sec
Yellow = 3 sec
*
5: Intersection Design and Control A 163
AR = 2 sec
Yellow = 3 sec
GN S = 60 - 1 = 59 sec
$
164 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
For the other intersections, the maximum actual green for other
intersections depends on the minimum effective green for the side roads.
This minimum effective green is computed as
Yside X CYcle
(5.14)
0.90
The table shows how the required minimum green is given to the
side roads so as to maximize the green along the N -S direction .
A 0.417 65 64
-B-
-
C
JT
0.45
0.4
70
62
69
61
66
2+
A 6r r
—
B 62 78
C 69 74
D 77 63
17
Time
construction
line
>• Distance
t t
b . Knowing beforehand the common cycle time and its components
(effective green and red periods), a green or red is centered on
the construction line. (The figure shows a red [bold line] being
centered on this line.)
Time
construction
line
/
Distance
t I
166 (2k Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
> Distance
l 1 t
d . Going to the next intersection, a red or a green is centered on the
construction line, with the start of green very close to the initial
sloping line. In the figure a green is centered on the line. The
sloping line is then adjusted. This gives the new line (line 2).
Time
2
1
Distance
t
5: Intersection Design and Control
^ 167
e . The steps are repeated for the next intersection.
Time
3
2
1
Distance
(
f. Finally, a line is drawn parallel to line 3. This line represents
the last vehicle in the platoon that will be able to cross all
intersections without stopping. Lines are also drawn to represent
the platoon going in the other direction. It can be seen that the
method produces a balanced flow in both directions. The final
desired speed can also be estimated from the diagram (inverse
of the slope of the line). i
Time
Distance
I 1
168 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
5.7.17 Offset
The difference in the start of green of two signalized intersections
is called the offset. Two types of definitions may be used:
a . Absolute offset
This would require one of the intersections to be defined
as the key intersection. Then , all offsets will be reckoned from
it.021 ( read as “ offset of 2 with respect to 1” ) and 0. are
absolute offsets when intersection 1 is defined as the^ key
intersection in figure 5.31.
b. Relative offset
The offset of an intersection is defined with respect to an
adjacent intersection . 0. 2 is a relative offset if intersection 1 is
{
Time
o, o 32
3
K
— Distance
1 2 3
Figure 5.31
Offset definition
5: Intersection Design and Control & 169
PROBLEMS
4 920 ( 2 ,000 )
200 ( 1 ,800 )
*
600 ( 2 , 000) >
250 ( 1 , 600)
^
o o
o o
00 VO
o
o o
o
vO ro
N
A
Maximum no . Direction
Total volume .
Sat flow rate
Approach of lanes pcu/hr pcu/hr/ lane
N
A
5: Intersection Design and Control A 171
7. Given the traffic data for the one-way road shown below:
N
/ \
A B C D
N TH 1,400 4,200 5
LT 120 1,800 4
S TH 1,500 3,900 5
LT 140 1,800 4
W TH 750 4,400 5
LT 100 1,700 4
E TH 750 4,200 5
LT 110 1,600 4
Yellow = 3 sec
Starting loss = 2 sec
d = - ( I - A ) 2 , where X = S
—
2 c
5: Intersection Design and Control fit 173
REFERENCES
Akcelik , Rahmi . 1987. Traffic signal setting: Capacity and timing analysis .
Australian Road Research Board .
Allsop, Richard E . 1972. Delay at a fixed time traffic signal , I: Theoretical
analysis. Transportation Science 6, no. 3.
Drew, Donald R . 1968. Traffic flow theory and control . McGraw-Hill Inc.
Evans , Henry K., ed . 1950. Traffic engineering handbook . Second ed.
New Haven , Connecticut: Institute of Traffic Engineers.
Federal Highway Administration . 1988. Manual on uniform traffic control
devices for streets and highways . US Department of Transportation.
Japan Society of Traffic Engineers. 1988. The planning and design of at -
grade intersections .
Mannering, Fred L., and Walter R Kilareski . 1990. Principles of highway
engineering and traffic analysis . John Wiley and Sons.
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). 1978.
Capacity of at - grade junctions . Road Research Group, Paris.
Salter, R. J . 1976. Highway traffic analysis and design. Revised edition .
MacMillan Press.
Sigua , R . G. 1984. A study on control of right turn traffic at signalized
intersection . Master’s thesis , Department of Civil Engineering ,
University of Tokyo.
. 1991. An expert system for intersection design and analysis.
PhD diss., Department of Civil Engineering, University of Tokyo.
Transportation Research Board . 2000. Highway capacity manual .
National Research Council .
Webster, Frederick V. 1958. Traffic signal settings . Road Research
Technical Paper No. 39.
Wright , Paul H. 1958. Simulation of traffic at a 4-way stop intersection .
Analysis of Traffic Flow symposium, Michigan .
c
mmm UMN OI mmw
6.1 INTRODUCTION
When driving at night, the headlight beam can only reach up to a certain
distance. The vertical and horizontal curves must be designed so as not
to cause undue reduction in speed of vehicles.
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 175
Table 6.1
Design speed for various road classes and terrain conditions
Average Terrain
Class Description annual
daily traffic Flat Rolling Mountainous
Design speeds for feeder roads would range from 30 kph to 60 kph.
Source: Ministry of Public Highways 1979.
Speed
/
^
:<• >!< »5
d d2 Distance
Figure 6.1
Stopping sight distance
(6.1)
3.6
b . d 2 , distance required for stopping after brakes are applied ,
Short distance is required when negotiating an uphill. This is
taken care of by the sign of the gradient G.
6: Geometric Design of Highways 4il 177
v2 V
2
d = - or d = (6.2)
2g/ (3.6) 2 2g(3.6) 2 ( / ± G)
Table 6.2
SSD and f-values for different design speeds
-'ll
&£ a:
<
{T ]>
>
id 2
>4
< 11 d2 4
Figure 6.2
Passing or overtaking maneuver
d , V1
3.6 2
(6.3)
d3 = 15 ~ 80 m (6.5)
d . d4, distance traversed by an opposing vehicle for two-thirds of
the time the passing vehicle occupies the left lane
d = -d2 (6.6)
* 3
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 179
Table 6.3
Passing sight distance values for different design speeds
v ( kph) 100 80 60 50 40 30 20
vo(kph) 80 60 45 37.5 30 20 15
a, m/sec 2 0.66 0.65 0.63 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.60
t ] 7 sec 4.5 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.1 3.1 2.7
d,< m 113 82 51 34 28 28 10
t 2 sec
/ 11.4 10.4 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.5 7.6
d2, m 317 231 159 125 95 95 42
dy m 80 60 40 30 25 25 15
d4 m. 211 154 106 81 63 63 28
Total PSD 700 550 350 250 200 150 100
Min. PSD 500 350 250 200 150 100 70
2
<§) W V
g R
e
1
Section A -A
W
Figure 6.3
Vehicle negotiating a curve and forces acting on it
/ — side friction
Table 6.4 provides the values of / for different design speeds. Values
may be interpolated depending on the design speed used.
Table 6.4
Values of side friction f
6.2.4 Superelevation
Banking or superelevation is necessary to counteract the centrifugal
force that is acting on the vehicle. The value of maximum superelevation
e may range from 6 percent to 12 percent.
6: Geometric Design of Highways 181
o
CL
i
Profle control
A B C D E
\ Profile control
A B C D inside edge
Figure 6.4
Methods of attaining superelevation
182 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
% of AADT
Figure 6.5
The 30th hourly volume
way highways, the heavier movement will tend to use the other direction
for overtaking. For three-lane, two-way highways, the heavier movement
will tend to occupy the extra third lane.
Given the AADT, the design hourly volume is computed as follows:
DDHV = AADT* K* D ( for multilane highways ) (6.8)
or
DHV = AADT* K (for 2-lane or 3-lane, 2-way highways ) (6.9)
where DDHV — directional design hour volume
DHV - design hourly volume
AADT - average annual daily traffic
K - proportion of daily traffic occurring during peak hour,
expressed as a decimal
D - proportion of peak - hour traffic traveling in the peak
direction , expressed as a decimal
6.2 .6 Number of Lanes
The basic task in designing highways is the determination of the
number of lanes needed to meet the given design volume under a
specified level of service.
The procedure may follow trial and error. Initially the number of
lanes is assumed. With this assumption, the corresponding capacity is
obtained from lookup tables. If the desired level of service is known,
then its corresponding volume/ capacity ratio will be known . This v / c
ratio should be greater than the value of the ratio of the design hourly
volume over the estimated capacity. If the inequality is satisfied , then
the assumed number of lanes is okay; otherwise it is modified depending
on the result of the initial computations. In some cases, correction factors
are applied that would reduce the capacity if some substandard values
(width of lane, presence of gradient , etc.) deviate from the ideal ones.
The Philippine Highway Planning Manual provides a guide on
basic capacity for various road types in tables 6.5a and 6.5b.
184 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Table 6.5 a
Basic capacities for highways and urban streets
Table 6.5b
Basic capacity for multilane highways
Example 6.1
A proposed highway is to be designed with adequate shoulder and
clearance in a level terrain with the following:
AADT = 40,000 pcu /day
D% = 65%
K = 9%
Solution:
Try a two-lane, two-way:
v. 40000 x 0.09
c 2400
= 1.5 (LOS F from table 3.2)
Figure 6.6
Arc and chord definitions
Stationing
In metric system, the length l used is 20 m for both arc and chord
definitions. In English system, the length l used is 100 ft for both arc and
chord definitions.
i
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 187
Example 6.2
Rewrite the following in station notations:
a. Stake located 10,682.325 m from beginning
b. Stake located 2,345.21 ft from beginning
Solution:
a. For metric system, Sta. 10 + 682.325
b . For English system, Sta. 23 + 45.21
Simple curve
Simple curve is defined as a circular arc between two tangents
(figure 6.7).
Figure 6.7
The simple curve
Solution:
Using equation 6.11b:
L/ A° = 2 ^R/360°
With L = 150 m and R = 160 - 1.75 = 158.25 m
150Ad° = 2;z(158.25)/360o
or A° = 54.31°
From the figure, M = 158.25 (1 - cos 54.31/2) = 17.44 m
Therefore, the distance of bush from edge of pavement should be
at least
Figure 6.8
The compound curve
Figure 6.9
Reverse curve with parallel tangents
1- cosA 35
sin d / 250
192 {Sk Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Solving for A:
A = 16°
And , therefore:
250
R= = 453.5 m
2 sin16°
The other type of reverse curve is the case of nonparallel tangents
as shown in figure 6.10. The solution is similar to that of compound
curves.
Figure 6.10
Reverse curve with nonparallel tangents
Short
tangent
Figure 6.11
Broken back curve
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 193
Example 6.5
The broken back curve shown is to be replaced by a compound
curve with R2 = 1.8 Rv
45 m
30° \ \
20°
J?/s
\
'K O
A
Determine:
a. new values of radii
b . new values of tangents
Solution:
250 45 350 \
T, = 250 m
T2 = 350 m
a = 45 m
m + n = T } + a + T 2 = 645 m
tanl 5 = — ; m = R ] tan 15
«^2
tan 10 = - -; n = R9 tan 10
m+n =R }
tan 15 + R2 tan 10 = 645
194 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
With R2 = 1.8Rx
R } (tan 15 + 1.8 tan 10) = 645
Rl = 645/(tan 15 + 1.8 tan 10)
R.I =1101.928 m
R2 = 1.8/?, = 1.8 x 1101.928 = 1983.470 m
New values of tangents:
m = Rl tan 15 = 1101.928 tan 15 = 295.261 m
n = R2 tan 10 = 1983.470 tan 10 = 349.739 m
6.3.5 Easement Curve or Clothoid
An easement curve or clothoid is usually a spiral that serves as a
transition path as the vehicle enters or leaves a circular curve (figure
6.12). This type of curve follows a natural path as the driver turns the
steering wheel.
x
TS
*y
y
v ' sc
*c
Figure 6.12 /
Clothoid or easement curve
Also,
dl
dG = — (6.16)
R
Hence
Idl
de = (6.17)
lA
Integrating:
/2 K
e= and °
c (6.18)
2I A A
For dx and dy\
dx - dl cos 0 (6.19)
dy = dl sin 6 (6.20)
Substituting the expansions of cos 9 and sin ft
dx — dl (1 - — + - ...) (6.21)
2! 4!
ft 3 ft 5
dy = dl ( 9 - (6.22)
3! 5!
Substituting the value of ft
Z4
— X -
dx dl (1 + )
8l 2 F
l2 l6
dy = dl {
l AJ -
+ )
'
2 A 48
196 fit Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Integrating:
z 4 - + higher ordered terms
x=l — 8l s R ]
2 (6.23)
l3 Z7
7= + higher ordered terms
And
6 lsRc 3361* R* ^ 24)
X = l,(1 Is ) (6.25)
40 R 2 :
( omitting the higher ordered terms .)
r = zf (1- if / 56 )
(6.26)
6« c
Elements of symmetrical clothoid
Figure 6.13 shows a symmetrical clothoid , i.e., a circular curve
having two clothoids at each end serving as transition paths. The two
clothoids have exactly the same properties.
Tc
hi
Xm W
H
TS
\
Y
Nc
Sc
R = oo Lc AR
Cs
e
a
e
ST
A<b
Figure 6.13
Symmetrical clothoid
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 197
Xm = X - Rc sin e
AR = Y + Rc cos 6 — Rc
W = ( Rc + AR ) x tan —2
Tc = X m + W
(6.27)
Nc = T
cos —2
a = x - 2 6c
k = Rrna
180
For good design , Zs « L . Also, clothoid is necessary when AR >
0.2 m .
Standards for the length of clothoid
1. Based on travel time (enough time for reaction )
l 5
3 sec travel time (6.28)
2 . Based on rate of change of acceleration , p:
a= —
Is
V
a
P =-
t Ms
therefore:
i v
(6.29)
KP
Equation 6.29 is also known as the Shortt’s formula.
198 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Range of values of p :
p = 0.35-0.50 m/sec3 for expressways
p = 0.60-0.75 m/sec3 for rural and urban highways
3. Based on aesthetics
The longitudinal gradient of the superelevation runoff should not
exceed 1/200.
w
Is
Longitudinal section
center
line
*
100
ls ~_ 200 ; ls = 200 h e h h=
— ;h
exw
h 1 100 w/2 200
Therefore, ls = e x w (e in % )
Example 6.6
Given: design speed = 100 kph (/ = 0.13)
p - 0.4 m/sec 3
Sta. PI = 5 + 105.000
Road width = 14.0 m (4-lane, 2-way)
Normal crown = 1.5%
Intersection angle = 27°
Design the section of highway.
Solution:
Assume e = 3.5%
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 199
2
V 1002
R min
127( e + / ) 127( 0.035 + .13)
= 477.21 say 480 m
Is 112
= 0.117 radians or 6.68°
2 Rc 2( 480 )
i] 112 1122
Y= 1 = 4.351 m
6 Rc 56 R 2 /
C
6( 480 ) 56(480) 2
A R = Y + R cos 6 C C
- R = 4.351 + 480 cos ('6.68) - 480 = 1.088
C /
—
Lc = Rca 180 = 480 x 13.631 x 180 = 114.194 m —
L and ls are almost equal. Okay. (Otherwise, assume another e. )
200 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
x2
hx = kx *\ h2 = kx 22
d . If a tangent to the parabola is drawn between the main tangents,
the horizontal projection of the intercept cut off on this new
tangent by the main tangents is equal to one - half of the
horizontal projection of the long chord of the parabola.
Figure 6.14
Types of vertical curves
III M
L/ 2 L/2
4
* >
Gi
EVC
BVC
c2
E BVC
VPI
o x
Figure 6.15
Elements of vertical curve
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 203
Example 6.7
Given: Sta. VPI = 20 + 265.000; Elev. VPI = 40 m above sea level
Gx = 4.5%; G2 = -3.8%; L = 250 m
Compute the station and elevation of the highest point on the crest
vertical curve.
Solution:
Using equation 6.31:
y = I/2 rx2 + GJx -\- E BVC
G2 - G I - 0.038 - 0.045 - 0.083
r = L 250 250
,
Elev. BVC = Elev. VPI - C x - = 40 5.625 = 34.375
2
Substituting in equation 6.31:
1 (-0.083) 2
y= X + 0.045% + 34.375
2 250
Taking the first derivative and equating to 0 to get maxima:
2 = o = - 0.083 x + 0.045
dx 250
x = 135.542 m
Sta. BVC = Sta. VPI - U 2
= 20 + (265 - 125)
= 20 + 140
Station of highest point = 20 + (140 + 135.542) = 20 + 275.542
Elevation of highest point:
1 (-0.083)
y highest (135.542) 2 + 0.045 (135.542) + 34.375 = 37.425 m
2 250
204 fit Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
I h
"
h
h, = 1.14 m (3.75 ft); h 2 = 15.24 cm (6 in)
Figure 6.16
Estimation of stopping sight distance
,
h = 1.14 m; h 2 = 1.37 m (4.5 ft)
Figure 6.17
Estimation of passing sight distance
6: Geometric Design of Highways fit 205
AS 2
(6.32)
+ fih2
A
Line of sight
/
h2
h
C2
s
L
Figure 6.18
Sight distance less than length of curve
L = 2S (6.33)
A
A
Line of sight
/
h2
h
S
G
L
Figure 6.19
Sight distance greater than length of curve
206 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
S <L
Q ;; H
s
L
Figure 6.20
Sight distance shorter than length of curve
S> L
p tr
L
Figure 6.21
Sight distance longer than length of curve
6: Geometric Design of Highways 207
Example 6.8
Given : Design speed = 80 kph
G{ = 2%; G2 = - 2%
Ss = 110 m
S = 550 m
Determine the length of vertical curve.
Solution:
For stopping sight distance requirement:
Assume S > L:
From equation 6.33,
~
L = 2S -
2( v7i + VM
A
with hx = 1.14 m and h2 - 0.15 m
4.26
L = 2S -
A
A= \- 0.02 - 0.02| = 0.04
4,26
= 113.5 > 110
L = 2(110) -
0.04
Assumption is incorrect. S should be less than L.
Using equation 6.32
AS 2 ( 0.04 )(110 ) 2
= 113.615 m. Okay.
yj 2 h ] +
^ 2 /^2 4.26
208 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
AS 2 ( 0.04)(550 ) 2
= 1,205.179 m
, fih
^/
2A + 2
10.04
The assumption is correct and the required length of curve is
1,205.179 m if PSD is to be satisfied. This is more than ten times the
required length for SSD. In actual design, it is almost impossible to provide
100 percent PSD throughout the whole stretch of highway. Good design
would provide PSD at least one- third of the time.
PROBLEMS
5.5 m
Sight
>
obstruction
-
Sta. 2 + 510
L = 2S - 2(
^ ^
Jh + Jh
for crest vertical curves with S > L.
)2 / A
6: Geometric Design of Highways A 211
\ AS 2
L=
2( S tan J0 + H )
190 m
REFERENCES
I
7
m\> m m TMHK mmMAWM
7.1 INTRODUCTION
Example 7.1
A town has a population of 350,000 in 2005. In the same year, the
number of accidents was 620. Determine the accident rate.
Solution:
Using equation 7.1,
620
x 100,000 = 177 accidents per 100,000 population
350,000
Example 7.2
The town in example 7.1 has 122,400 registered vehicles in 2005.
Determine the accident rate per registered vehicles.
Solution:
From equation 7.2 ,
N 620
Av = —y
V
x 10,000 = AVV = 122,400 X 10,000
= 51 accidents per 10,000 vehicles
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis rfSk 215
Example 7.3
Given the number of accidents , population , and . number of
registered number of vehicles for each region in the Philippines, the
accident rates are computed and shown in table 7.1. Most number of
accidents ( 72.44 percent) occurred in the National Capital Region ( NCR)
or Metro Manila. In terms of rate per population, Metro Manila still has
the highest rate, followed in distant second by Region 10 ( Northern
Mindanao). However, in terms of rate per registered vehicle, Region 10
has the highest, followed by Metro Manila. It is recognized that the level
or accuracy of reporting traffic accidents varies from region to region.
Table 7.1
Distribution of accidents by region
— —
Sources: Number of accidents TMG/PNP;Population and vehicle registration 2000 Philippine statistical yearbook.
216 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Figure 7.1
Growth of population, GDP, and vehicle registration
1mi 1
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis 219
was also increasing at about 5.5 percent annually while the total number
of vehicles was fast increasing at the rate of 4.4 percent .
Given the growth rates in all the factors, which increase the potential
for road accidents, and based on the experience of most developing
countries with similar trends, it is highly likely that casualties on the
road should also increase over the years. However, this increase is not
reflected in the reported road traffic accident statistics as collected and
collated by the PNP. On the contrary, the trend in road accident deaths
appears to be decreasing as shown in figure 7.2.
Figure 7.2
Number of fatalities on the road as reported by the PNP and the health sector
accidents in the country. Based on the study, about 9,000 fatalities could
be attributed to road traffic accidents in 2003. As a cause of injury
morbidity, road traffic accidents ranked first among other causes (fall,
injured/struck by objects, burn, animal bites, etc.). In terms of mortality,
the leading cause was infectious diseases ( 49 percent ) , followed by
noncommunicable diseases (17 percent ) and injuries (11 percent ).
However, as far as mortalities due to injuries are concerned , road traffic
accident was the leading cause (20 percent), followed by gunshot (17 percent),
stabbing (14 percent), etc.
For the same year (2003) , the police only reported about 900
fatalities. This problem of underreporting is expected to be more serious
for the other types of accidents, namely, injuries and property -damage-
only accidents.
Based on the study of traffic accident victims using 2001 hospital
data the very young people ( below fifteen years old ) were the most
vulnerable age group (figure 7.3), representing 36 percent of the country’s
total population . The number of fatalities for young people (fifteen to
thirty- nine years old) was also high, with more than 70 percent of them
being male.
Figure 7.4 clearly shows that the most vulnerable road user group
is the pedestrians. About 25 percent of the fatalities and 40 percent of
the seriously injured pedestrians are less than fifteen years old .
Fatal
Seriously
injured
Age group
Figure 7.3
Casualties by age group
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis fill 221
60
50
CD
40
W)
ra
£ 30
u Fatal
CD
Q
- 20 Seriously
injured
10
0 n MU
Cyclists Passenger Passenger Motor- Pedestrians Others
private public cyclists
Figure 7.4
Vulnerable road user groups
Table 7.2
Causes/nature of traffic accidents ( 2003 )
Intersections
il Bridge
Roadway
Shoulder
Service Road
Others
Table 7.3
Fatal accidents by location ( 2000)
1,000,000 X N (7.3)
4= 365 xTxV
18,450
<
•
4628 2800
28,900
500
AADT
100,000,000 x /V
( 7.4)
365 x 71 xV x L
where N — total number of accidents in time T
T - time frame of analysis, year
V — AADT or annual average daily traffic
L — length of section in km
Example 7.5
A stretch of four-lane, two- way highway 5.0 km long has a traffic
volume of 35,000 vehicles per day. If for the last three years, the total
number of accidents recorded was 1,900, determine the accident rate
per 100 mvk .
Solution :
From equation 7.4,
2500
Time %
0-3 am 33.08
2000 ! 3 -6 15.77
6-9 4.73
1500 9-12 nn 2.32
12-3 1.01
&
c 3 -6 1.87
3cr 1000 6-9 6.57
o> 9-12 mn 34.66
LI - Total 100.00
500
o ;
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 2021 2 2 2 3 2 4
Time of day
Figure 7.6
Distribution of accidents by time of day ( year 2000)
where —
X . accident frequency or rate at location i
Table 7.4
Commonly used levels of confidence and K values
Level of confidence, % K values
90 1.282
95 1.645
99 2.327
Example 7.6
A highway section has an accident rate of 150 accidents per 100
mvk. If the mean accident rate for all sections is 55 per 100 mvk, and
the standard deviation is 26 per 100 mvk , should the section under
study be flagged as hazardous with 95 percent confidence ?
Solution :
Applying equation 7.5,
X;? X + K x S
150 ? 55 + 1.645 (26)
150 > 98
The section under study has to be flagged as hazardous at 95 percent
level of confidence.
7.3.2 Rate Quality Control Method
This is a variation of the classic statistical method . Instead of a
normal distribution , the method assumes that the number of accidents at
a set of locations follows a Poisson distribution. Also, the method applies
only to rates and not to frequencies. It compares the rate of a particular
location to the mean rate at similar locations rather than at all locations.
The method flags a location as hazardous if it satisfies the following
inequality:
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis
^ 227
—
>Y + Kx -
r°- \ 5
1
Yi V, 2V,
(7.6)
\ * /
Example 7.7
A section of road has 55 accidents recorded in three years. For the
same period , the estimated vehicle travel on the section was 23 mvk .
Considering only those sections having the same characteristics as the
section under study, the mean rate is 80 accidents per 100 mvk. Is the
section hazardous with 95 percent level of confidence?
Solution:
80
The mean accident rate Y 1i 8
100 — 80 accidents per mvk.
•
c
“
a>
o
Number of accidents benchmark
u
u
CO
c
CD Places ranked in decreasing
JD
E no. of accidents
13
z
Figure 7.7
Extracting blackspots
7.4 .1 The Inter- agency Road Safety Committee and the National Road
Safety Committee
In response to the increasing concerns regarding road accidents
nationwide and cognizant of the need to coordinate efforts of concerned
government agencies and the private sector, the president of the
Philippines issued Administrative Order 222 in May 1992, creating the
Inter-agency Road Safety Committee (IRSC). The committee was chaired
by the secretary of Public Works and Highways and composed of top
officials of the Department of Transportation and Communications ( DOTC ),
Department of Education , Culture and Sports ( DECS) , Department of
National Defense ( DND) , Department of Health ( DOH ) , Department of
Interior and Local Government ( DILG), and the Safety Organization of
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis & 229
——
management. A number of subjects related to road safety road safety
programs , accident investigation , reporting, and analysis are offered
as part of the curriculum of the regular training programs for the
participants of traffic engineering course and traffic management for traffic
law enforcers course.
The Safety Organization of the Philippines Inc. (SOPI) is a private
organization operated by donations from private companies as well as
from government agencies. The activities of SOPI cover not only road
safety but also the prevention of any types of accidents. The month of
May is set by SOPI as the “ Road Safety Month ,” during which it conducts
road safety campaigns in cooperation with private companies and
government agencies. Aside from an annual national meeting on road
safety, SOPI issues booklets and other materials for road safety education.
The Automobile Association Philippines ( AAP), formerly the
Philippine Motor Association, is a private organization that has dedicated
itself to the promotion of motoring and to the service of the Philippine
motorists for more than half a century. This organization also serves the
needs of Philippine motorists worldwide through its affiliation with the
two most distinguished motoring federations in the world: the Alliance
232 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
passengers seated immediately behind the door of the bus are required
lo wear seat belts.
7.5. 4 Banning the Use of Cellular Phones and Handset Radios while
Operating or Driving a Motor Vehicle ( RA 7924 )
The use of cellular phones while driving has been banned within
Metro Manila since March 1997 because of its potential hazards to
motorists. Though still small in number, accidents that were primarily
attributed to using cellular phone while driving have occured.
7.5. 5 Other Initiatives
As mentioned earlier, the UNICEF Philippines conducted a study
on the reduction of incidence of childhood death and disability resulting
from preventable injuries in 2003. This study was similar to the first
project on Child Injury Prevention supported by the UNICEF in Vietnam.
'
The results of the study have confirmed the seriousness of the country’s
problem regarding road safety and the unreliability of data as provided
by the police.
f 1
DPWH MMDA PNCC DOH
( TARAS) (MMARAS ) others
1
UP NCTS
integrated database
1
NRSC
Accident annual
report
Figure 7.8
Proposed integrated traffic accident data management system
7.6 .3 Technical
As to the road environment , whatever changes in control or
geometric improvements applied to intersections or roadways bring about
significant change in accident occurrence and accident rates. Caution is
therefore advised when conducting test runs or experiments without prior
careful analysis. A trial-and -error method of solving traffic problem must
be avoided .
Since many accidents occur during nighttime , efforts must be
exerted to improve visibility at night . Placement of appropriate traffic
control devices (warning devices, delineators, reflectors, etc.) at hazardous
locations can help minimize accidents. Figure 7.9 shows a section of the
NLEX installed with traffic control devices.
236 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Figure 7.9
Gentle curve, guardrails, medians, adequate lighting help prevent traffic accidents
u
m
VffiSlIlilSBlll
Photo taken by the author
Figure 7.10
" it W -beam guardrails ( left) and New Jersey median barrier for narrow highways ( right)
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis ® 237
Figure 7.11
Speed humps
238 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Figure 7.12
Roundabout; smaller central islands are commonly used at residential areas
Research on the area of traffic safety has not been given full attention
here in the country. But several questions need to be answered in order
to develop a better traffic safety program: Where are the high accident
locations? How many were killed and injured last year ? Where? When ?
.
i
How ?
Some of the more urgent topics for research are as follows:
a . Real causes of motor vehicle accidents, as differentiated from
circumstantial factors
b . Driver behavior and accidents (speeding, inattention , ignoring
traffic control devices, drunk driving, driving on drugs, failure
to “ buckle up,” etc.)
c . Relation of specific road and vehicle design elements to highway
safety
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis 239
Grade 6
A.Importance of Road Safety
- A1 Hazards on the Road
A2 Agony of Accidents
A3 Accidents are Preventable
.
B Safe Commute to and from School
B1 Pedestrian and Cyclists
TEACHING MODULE ON B2 Public Transportation
ROAD TRAFFIC SAFETY
B3 Private Vehicle and School Transport Services
FOP CHILDREN
G Traffic Accident-Free Leisure Time
. ..
f : " t:
4th Year HS
A Importance of Road Safety
Scooty d PNlippno
Motoring Joumalal
(SPMJ )
. A1 Hazards on the Road
A2 Agony of Accidents
A3 Accidents are Preventable
B. The Road, Vehicle, Safety, and You
B1 Road Safety Facilities and Traffic Signs
Soplombor 2004 B2 Safe Commute to and from School
B3 Vehicle Safety Features
.
UP National CM * (or Traruportolion Studio
.
FoundMion Inc ( UPNCTSFl )
B4 Defensive Driving
C Rules that Ensure Safety
Figure 7.13
Sample education materials (UP NCTSFI)
7.6.5 Sociocultural
It is a familiar saying that anyone who can drive in the Philippines
can drive anywhere in the world. It means experiencing driving on
Philippine roads is like going through the most challenging driving
situations. The prevalent mentality of Upuwede na yana mindset of 5
mediocrity and getting one’s way out of trouble , makes rules and
240
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
regulations practically useless. It is as if chaos is a better or more
acceptable state to be than having some order to things. Commuters wish
to get off at any point at their whim and fancy, and drivers of public
utility vehicles give in . Drivers themselves pick up passengers at any
point even if it means blocking a whole trail of vehicles behind them.
They do not observe the right of way but have their own habit of
—
“ ngusuan” that of sticking out their vehicle first so as to get ahead
first . The culture of corruption penetrates all sectors of society, not to
exclude traffic matters . Due to bribes or under- the- table transactions,
there are licensed drivers who are underage, illiterate, drug addicts, don’t
understand road rules or traffic signs , drive even when drunk , have bad
tempers, and use their guns at the slightest road quarrel or irritation .
million in 2002). Once merely a status symbol , owning a car has become
a necessity due to the inadequacy of public transportation services and
has contributed to the deterioration of the environment through pollution .
The lack of driver education and weak enforcement exacerbate the
situation . Overspeeding and complete disregard for and lax
implementation of traffic rules and regulations have contributed to the
rise of casualties on the road .
Life is considered most sacred , and there seems to be strong
disagreement whether to put monetary value on it or not . Some people
are uncomfortable or emotionally very reluctant to assess traffic accidents
involving human lives in terms of money. For while properties and finances
may be restored , human lives lost cannot . Putting a monetary value to
human life or to a fatal accident may be a topic for a heated debate but
the same lack of cost estimates leaves many, including the decision makers,
still groping in the dark .
But if it would create awareness of the worsening road safety
situation in our country alone , an estimation of the losses attributed to
traffic accidents is very well justified . Like the growing concern for the
environment , it is high time that the government takes action in promoting
safety on the road. If realistic estimates of the cost of losses can be made,
there is no reason why the government cannot take action in reducing it.
The estimate must truly reflect the actual worsening condition of our
roads as far as safety is concerned . While it is recognized that data gaps
exist , reasonable assumptions must be made as an initial attempt .
Improvement of the estimate can be done in the future as data become
readily available and collection efforts improve.
7.7 .1 Uses of Accident Cost Estimates
The reason for estimating accident costs may seem obvious but it
is seldom expressed explicitly. Costs are sometimes used for general
statements such as “ accidents in (country) are worth more than (so many)
( million dollars) per year,” or accidents are (so many percent of a country’s
GDP.) For such purposes, ballpark figures are sufficient as long as they
are of the right magnitude ( Andreassen 1988). Costs are also required
for assessing the value of improving a highway, installing traffic signals,
enforcing specific traffic laws, putting reflective plates on trucks, various
safety countermeasures, etc. When these are to be considered , a very
specific cost is required to determine the benefit .
242
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
The promotion of traffic safety contributes to improvement of the
welfare of society in two ways (OECD Report , 1981):
a . By avoiding accidents and accident consequences the losses
of resources caused by accidents are avoided as well.
b . By avoiding accidents and their social costs, resources can be
saved , which otherwise would be devoted to the relief of
accident consequences.
The first point includes the avoidance of production losses due to
the incapacity of accident victims, damage to capital goods, and traffic
congestion resulting from accidents.
The second point includes the avoidance of the following costs:
medical treatment of persons involved in accidents, repair of property
damage, police investigation, legal and court procedures, and insurance
administration. The resources saved can be used elsewhere to increase
welfare.
7.7.2 Approaches to Estimating Cost of Accidents
A number of methodologies to estimate the cost of accidents have
been introduced in the past , including the following:
a. Gross output / human capital method
b. Life insurance method
c. Court award method
d. Implicit public sector valuation method
e. Net Output Method
i
- t* . f. Value of risk change or willingness- to- pay method
LiU
These methods are documented by Alfaro, Chapuis , and Fabre
(1994); Jacobs (1995); and Babtie Ross Silcock and TRL (2003).
r "!
The life insurance method measures the valuation of risk associated
with road usage and is determined by the premiums that the driver
population is willing to pay. On the other hand , the court award method
is based on the actual compensation settlements awarded , which may be
influenced by the degree of negligence found . In the implicit public
sector valuation method , a set of implicit values is used to value human
lives.
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis fit 243
Table 7.5
Cost component categories
Lost output The loss of the value of work that an injured person would
have produced during the time that they were absent from
work.
Pain, grief, and suffering An allowance for the loss of quality of life and the pain, grief,
and suffering incurred by injured persons, their family and
friends .
Medical costs Cost of treating the persons injured in the crash, including the
cost of doctor's fees, medicines, and (if required) the time
spent in hospital and long-term care.
Property damage Cost of repairing a vehicle and other property damage,
including the costs paid by the person and their insurance
company.
Administration costs Costs incurred by the police and other services in the process
of attending crashes and associated activities, and by
insurance companies administering insurance claims.
Lost output
Lost output is generally considered as the largest resource cost
incurred due to a traffic accident. It is an expression of the loss to society
of the productive manpower, be it permanent or temporary. Its value
varies widely, ranging from a one day lost time for minor injury incident ,
to long years of foregone work for those killed or permanently disabled.
-
a . On - the spot medical treatment
b. Transport and treatment on the way
c . Treatment at the hospital
d . Rehab at the hospital
e . Outpatient follow- up treatment
f. General treatment
Although considerable parts of the medical expenses are paid only
to those who provide such medical services, they may still be regarded
as losses to the economy because such services would have been
otherwise provided elsewhere if the traffic accidents had not occurred.
The same applies to the repair charges of damaged vehicles and legal
fees.
Property damage
Property damage necessitates repair or replacement costs of vehicles,
goods, and road accessories. In addition , property damage can result in
further welfare losses when capital goods (e.g., trucks, cars for commercial
use, equipment , etc .) are damaged or destroyed and their productive
services are lost . When private passenger cars are damaged, additional
welfare losses may result from the loss of use.
For the determination of property-damage-only involvement costs,
insurance records can be used and the compensation taken as indicator
of social losses. Account has to be taken of the fact that insurance
companies generally pay compensation for liability cases only, and are
liable for accidents brought on by one’s own fault only to the extent of a
contracted limit . In addition , it should be noted that there may be
considerable differences between the cases recorded by the insurance
companies and the police records.
With respect to property losses, evaluation is relatively easy because
the market prices and repair charges for the property lost or damaged
can be regarded as a good expression of the objective values.
246 fit Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Administrative costs
The police are called out to the sites of traffic accidents to control
traffic and investigate and record the accidents. Total work hours required
for handling traffic accidents have to be considered . A patrol car is
dispatched to each traffic accident site to control traffic and deal with the
accident. Since the patrol car is also used for other purposes, half of its
total expenses will be taken up in connection with traffic accidents. In
addition , the police headquarters use cameras for photographing accident
sites. Some of the other components of administrative costs are judicial
costs and insurance administration costs. The functions of the court
dealing with traffic accidents include (a) civil suits for damages, ( b) civil
mediation , (c) criminal suits for negligence, and (d) summary criminal
procedures. Most of the damage caused by traffic accidents is covered
by insurance, and the operating expenses required to support this system
also constitute part of the costs and expenses incidental to traffic accidents.
Figure 7.14 provides a summary of the different cost components
that may be involved in each accident , depending on the type of severity:
Minor Medical
injury
Administrative
Damage
only
Vehicle
repair
Figure 7.14
Cost component for each severity type
expense when the victim was brought to the hospital before dying; a
number of miscellaneous expenses that would constitute administrative
cost; and cost of a totally wrecked vehicle or cost of repair of a damaged
vehicle. Similar cost components may be incurred when a victim becomes
permanently disabled due to a serious injury accident. A minor injury
accident would still incur some medical costs and require some paper
work and , possibly, minor repair of a slightly damaged vehicle.
Other assumptions
A range of assumptions underlie the recommended methodology.
The major additional assumption is that all accidents are costed out as
though all steps were taken to restore people , vehicles, and property as
closely as possible to their condition prior to the accident . It means that:
• injured persons receive full medical treatment , are treated in a
hospital if seriously injured , and recuperate for the
recommended period ;
• injured persons are considered to be employed ( or potentially
employable);
• vehicles are repaired according to manufacturer’s specifications;
and
• an accident report is made, all the proper paperwork is completed ,
and insurance claims are filed and recorded accurately.
Some indirect costs of accidents
Aside from the major cost components previously discussed , there
are other costs that may be attributed to traffic accidents. One is the cost
of transportation services for the injured from the accident spot to the
hospital . In a number of cases, the law -abiding “ offender” is the one that
brings the victim to the hospital . In some cases, a concerned citizen may
offer his or her vehicle to bring the victim to the hospital . It is seldom that
a hospital ambulance would be called to the rescue of the victim , although
at present , ambulance services provided by some rescue teams may be
summoned to the accident site when notified by a phone call .
Losses caused by traffic congestion
Traffic accidents often cause bottlenecks . A few minutes of
congestion can easily create gridlocks at intersections and several
248 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Table 7.6
Estimation procedure for valuing accidents based on gross output method
Lost output Calculated as the average daily wage rate of each person
involved in the crash, multiplied by the number of days off
work, then added up for all the people involved in the
crash. For fatalities and permanent disabilities the calculation
is performed over the rest of their expected working life
and discounted to an equivalent present value.
Pain, grief, and suffering Calculated as a percentage of lost output cost.
Short - term medical cost Calculated as the average length of stay in hospital for each
seriously injured person involved in the crash, multiplied
by average daily cost of hospital care, then added up for all
the people seriously injured in the crash. For minor injuries,
the cost is calculated as the average cost of a visit to a
doctor for treatment times the average number of visits.
Long- term medical cost Calculated as the annual cost of care for persons permanently
and severely disabled. The calculation is performed over
the rest of their expected life span and discounted to an
equivalent present value.
Vehicle damage Calculated as the average cost of vehicle repairs (sourced
from insurance company records) multiplied by the average
number of vehicles involved in the crash.
Administration cost Calculated as a percentage of resource costs in line with ADB
recommendations (0.2 percent for fatal accidents, 4 percent
for serious injury accidents, 14 percent for minor injury accidents,
and 10 percent for property -damage-only accidents).
have an additional 2 days off work for every day of stay in the hospital.
This has been confirmed by medical practitioners in Manila.
b . Minor injury
In the case of minor injuries, two visits to a doctor can be reasonably
assumed ; the first visit is for initial assessment of the injury while the
second is for follow- up.
Costs incurred during each visit may be as follows: P 250 for
consulting services and another F250 for medication , bandages, etc .
Say, F500 per consultation.
c . Permanent disability
Table 7.7
Average cost of fatal accident
Lost output:
•Fatality 1 , 783,540
•Disability/serious injury 32,428
•Off work 2,893
Subtotal 1 , 818,861 80
Medical:
•Short - term 12,800
•Long- term 8,672
Subtotal 21,472 0.9
Table 7.8
Average cost of serious injury accident
Lost output:
•Disability/serious injury 121,605
•Off work 10,849
Subtotal 132,454 37.5
Medical:
•Short -term 48,000
•Long-term 32.521
Subtotal 80.521 22.8
Table 7.9
Average cost of minor injury accident
Lost output:
•Off work 603 0.9
Table 7.10
Average cost of damage-only accident
Table 7.11
Summary of cost
Fatal 2 , 273,000
( $ 41 , 330)
—
—
definition of traffic death one that occurs within thirty days
of the event our count is still based on “ death at scene.”
Even though most countries still use different definitions, their
accident statistics are adjusted by applying correction factors
to conform to the standard definition. Our current system of
accident data keeping makes statistical adjustment almost
impossible to do.
b . A major cause of the underestimating of traffic accident statistics
in the Philippines is the lack of an effective means of updating
fatality and injury data. At present , the country has yet to develop
a system of transferring records from hospitals to the TMG.
c . Recording and updating are prone to errors as these tasks are
done manually. There are also cases of records getting lost or
misplaced.
Even the PNP itself ackowledges that there is a serious problem of
underreporting of traffic accidents. Aside from the absence of an efficient
road accident data system, there is a great discrepancy between hospital
and police records. Figure 7.15 shows the official statistics from the health
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis A 257
. .
Sources: National Epidemiology Center 1998; Lim-Quizon et al 2004
Figure 7.15
Traffic accident deaths
Table 7.12
Traffic accident statistics
Fatal 714
Serious injury 797
Minor injury 1,672
Damage -only 9,623
TOTAL 12,806
Table 7.13
Traffic accidents statistics
Fatal 8,180
Serious injury 93,820
Minor injury 402,150
Damage -only 469,090
TOTAL 973,240
.
Note: Fatal based on Lim-Quizon 2004 ; others are adjusted
Table 7.14
Calculation of national cost
components were not accounted for during the application of the gross
output method. But this cost is already about 2.6 percent of the Philippines’
GDP. A better estimate of the cost is expected when more accurate statistics
are made available due to improved data collection system.
PROBLEMS
1* 20 30,000 50
2 35 32,000 85
3 40 28,000 45
4* 20 29,000 35
5 50 31 ,500 50
6* 40 28,600 63
7 30 28,000 35
8 50 31 ,000 42
9 30 31.600 25
1 0* 50 30,000 48
11 20 32,000 55
12 25 31,000 52
13 29 32,000 54
14* 30 28,000 37
15* 28 29, 400 70
16 35 31,500 38
17* 42 28.600 63
18 38 28,300 29
19 28 32.100 56
20 31 33.100 43
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis fli 261
2. The five-leg roundabout shown below was the scene of 850 accidents
in 2004. The annual average daily traffic is shown in the
corresponding route OD table. Determine the accident rate of the
roundabout .
A B C D E
3. The figure below shows the road network inside a town proper.
According to accident statistics over the last three years, the ten
intersections having the highest number of accidents are shown in
the corresponding table . The total entering traffic for each
intersection is also shown . Identify the intersections that may be
considered hazardous, using 95 percent level of confidence.
243 15.900
200 18.300
310 24 ,000
180 13,600
239 14, 200
250 17,120
190 13,700
360 19.300
350 47.900
400 17,100
4. The table below shows the average cost of traffic accidents by type:
Fatal 2 , 273,000
Serious injury 350,000
Minor injury 69,000
Vehicle damage 55 , 000*
Average repair cost of a damaged vehicle
262
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Based on the experience of a similar country:
Ratio of seriously injured victims to fatal victims: 16:1
Ratio of minor injured victims to fatal victims: 60:1
Number of vehicle - damage - only accidents : 5 times the
number of serious injury accidents
Based on accident statistics:
a . 1 fatal accident — > 1.1 fatalities + 1.5 seriously injured
victims + 1.0 minor injured victim + 1.6 damaged vehicles
b . 1 serious accident -> 1.5 seriously injured victims + 2.0
minor injured victims + 1.2 damaged vehicles
c . 1 minor accident — > 1.0 minor injured victim + 0.5
damaged vehicle
—
d . 1 vehicle-damage-only accident > 1.4 damaged vehicles
For a particular year, if the number of fatal victims ( based on hospital
data) is 5,000, estimate the total accident cost .
REFERENCES
Asian Development Bank (ADB). 1997. Road safety guidelines for Asian
and Pacific Region. Regional Initiatives in Road Safety, Asian
Development Bank .
Alfaro, J ., M. Chapuis, and F. Fabre, eds. 1994. COST 313. Socioeconomic
cost of road accidents . Report EUR 15464 EN , Brussels ,
Commission of the European Communities.
Andreassen, D. C. 1988. The application of cost data in traffic safety:
Traffic safety theory and research methods . Netherlands, April .
Babtie Ross Silcock and TRL Limited . 2003. Guidelines for estimating
the cost of road crashes in developing countries. Final Report ,
Department for International Development Project R 7780, Transport
Research Laboratory, May.
Barrs, P., G. Smith , S. Baker, and D. Mohan. 1998. Injury prevention: An
international perspective . Oxford University Press.
7: Road Safety and Traffic Accident Analysis rflfc 263
8.1 INTRODUCTION
r I Uiis chapter introduces the classic four-step forecasting model which
'
X was developed more than sixty years ago in the United States. The
method has deficiencies, and other new ones have been developed over
the past ten years. However, the method is still widely used as a tool over
analyzing travel demand and estimating future traffic flow. Most
commercially available software for forecasting travel demand are still
largely based on this four-step model. It provides a tool for traffic engineers
and planners to analyze travel demand and traffic situation in a given
study area .
Prior to the application of the four-step model , it is always necessary
to obtain as much information as possible on the socioeconomic indicators
of the area under study, such as population , income distribution , car
ownership, etc. Using statistical tools, these socioeconomic variables may
be forecasted within the planning horizon , which may vary from twenty
to fifty years.
b . Trip distribution
c . Modal split
d . Traffic assignment
In a nutshell, the use of these models follows a logical order as
shown in figure 8.1. The models answer basic questions that determine
the number of future trips, the origins and destinations of such trips, the
modes of transportation used , and the routes taken by these trips. The
data are necessary for planning new infrastructure facilities, or expanding
existing ones.
Generation/attraction:
"How many trips will be there in the future in the
^ study area ?"
_ca»
c
O <D Distribution:
i
o "From which zones are these trips generated and to
I£C tu which zones are these trips bound?"
<D -C
~CD
o O
a- .IT
8 _a5
I
^
re
c
o
:Modal split:
'Which mode of travel will be used ?"
=8 U
I
CD
CD
LL.
Assignment:
"Which route will these trips take ?"
consider some zones outside the study area, which may greatly affect the
trip patterns. These are called external zones. For example, if Metro Manila
is taken as a study area, there is a need to consider the outlying areas of
Cavite, Laguna, Rizal , and Bulacan, among others.
For a more systematic analysis and easier presentation, an origin -
destination (OD) table is generally prepared. The origin -destination table
simply shows the trips from one zone to another within a given study
area. The terms are defined in reference to figure 8.2.
Destination
1 2 j n-1 n 2
No. of
-
1
2
01
o2
trips from
Zone 1
.9
DC
o
i
Qi O ,
: N No. of trips
from zone i
to zone j
n-1 On-
n on
Trip
,
D o2 Dl On- , Dn production
No. of trips
attracted to
Zone 2.
Figure 8.2
Elements of an origin-destination table
( 8.1 )
j= l
268 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
DJ. = Y
ZT
.
z y
;= i - ( 8.2)
T=
± ± Ot
7 =1
Dj =
i=1
(8.3)
a . Predictability
Trips per day at cities in the world are fairly stable, which is
about 2.5. Manila is about 2.3 trips per day while Davao City
is about 2.4 trips per day.
b . Existence of significant difference between categories
—
A simple example of category is gender male or female. Males
usually generate more trips per day. In Metro Manila, this is
about 2.6 for males compared with 2.0 for females ( ALMEC
Corp. 1999).
; = T XFI
T 1
(8.5)
where —
T . trip generation or attraction of zone i.
P-
Fi = —R x —M , growth
L;
:
rate of zone i
P. — population of zone i
M . - index of activity of zone i (example - car ownership,
income)
Ti , Pi , Mi — future values
Ti , Pi , Ml — present values
Number of cars/households
Family 2
size
No. of .
No of No. of .
No of
households trips households trips
From these data, the average trip generation rate per category can
be estimated by dividing the number of trips by the number of households
in each category.
Number of cars/households
Family
size 1 2
1 2.0 3.0
2 2.5 3.5
3 3.0 4.0
More than 3 5.0 7.0
Number of cars/households
Family 2
size
No. of .
No of No. of .
No of
households trips households trips
Estimated no. of
Estimated trip
household in
generation
the future
8: Introduction to Travel Demand Forecasting fit 271
Example 8.1
The city of Vigan held the following land use activity statistics during
morning peak hour in 2000. Estimate the total trip generation during
that period .
Solution:
The estimated person trips can be computed by multiplying column
a with column b.
1. Residential in 10,005
out 19,746
2. Hotels in 151
out 119
3. Hospitals in 337
out 217
4. Restaurants in 80
out 50
5. Commercial in 522
out 409
6. Office in 486
out 74
7. Schools
a) elementary & secondary in 16,509
out 44
b) college in 9,792
out 20
272 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Table 8.1
Variables influencing trip making
akxki + c (8.6)
k =1
8: Introduction to Travel Demand Forecasting A 273
akxkj + c
k =1
where — coefficients
xki — independent variable
For example, to
— describe “ home” trips, trip generation and
c constant
to
attraction regression equations are given as follows:
0 . = 0.5860*, + 0.6310*2 - 5362.3
—
where *, population
* — workers
2
at workplace
c . Detroit method
Tv- = T1 X 0\ X::
—0 —D , —rT
:
X ' (8.9)
oc —OiO, (8.10)
and that trip distribution is proportional to the relative growth rate of trip
attraction to trip production
—D-j x —TT-
i
cc -DT1j- ITD j
x or ' (8.11)
DJ
d . Fratar method
This is the most commonly used present pattern method.
O'. Dj X 7*
n = nx Oirx —DJ x 7 (8.12)
k =1
—
d .. trip resistance between zone i and zone j ( this
may be time or distance)
Other forms of resistance functions are:
1
e A\
'
'
in general, the basic type may be written as:
01 WL (8.15)
T , 0
Tvw
WL (8.16)
276 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Some of the merits cited for the gravity models are as follows:
a . Trip resistance is considered.
b . Structure of model is easy to understand.
c . Complete OD matrix is not necessarily required .
Nonmotorized Motorized
Figure 8.3
Modal choice using a binary tree
8: Introduction to Travel Demand Forecasting rfH 277
Mode 1: GC .i = c .i + d x Ti
Mode 2: CC 2 = c 2 + d x T 2
The shares of trip makers likely to use modes 1 and 2 are shown by
the areas of the time value distribution in figure 8.4.
GC
1
T,
2
T2
c 2
C,
Figure 8.4
Generalized cost for two modes
278 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
^—
where P probability that person i will chose mode /
p .- f
b . Logit model (distribution of
"" 1
'
v^ e
1 U. 2
2
8 is
du
Weibul).
(8.22)
Pa = e ” u + ev .
ev* 1
(8.23)
>«
1+
8: Introduction to Travel Demand Forecasting
^ 279
Example 8.2
A calibrated utility function for travel in a medium-sized city by
car, bus, and light rail is
U = a - 0.02*, - 0.05*2
Where A , is the cost of travel in pesos and X 2 is the travel time
(min). Calculate the modal split for the given values:
Mode a X x2
Car -0.3 30 25
Bus -0.38 8 38
Light rail -0.32 15 30
Solution:
The utility of each mode is calculated:
Car: [/ = - 0.3 - 0.02(30) - 0.05(25) = - 2.15
Bus: Uh = - 0.38 - 0.02(8) - 0.05(38) = - 2.44
Light rail: Ut = - .32 - 0.02(15) - 0.05(30) = - 2.12
Using logit model:
Pcar
eUr 0.1165
eu + eUk + eu‘
' 0.3237
= 0.36
Similarly, P and Plight rail can be obtained using the same formula.
bus
The calculations are summarized in the table below. The current modal
share shows that car and light rail have almost the same share.
Mode U eu P %
Mode U eu P %
Given a road network , car drivers will normally use the route or
routes through which they will reach their destination in the least time or
distance. The same assumption is used to assign trips or vehicles in the
four-step model. The road network is usually drawn using nodes and
links as shown in figure 8.5. The zone centroids are represented by nodes,
and the roads connecting the zones are represented by links.
Figure 8.5
Network represented by nodes and links
8: Introduction to Travel Demand Forecasting 4£k 281
both have values equal to 3. Node c is chosen in this case, and unlabeled
nodes adjacent to it are labeled temporarily as shown in ( D). The steps
are repeated. It will be noted in ( E) that the value 13 is replaced by a
smaller value, which is 11.
0 2 3
13
5
( D)
0 2 3
3 43
5 11
10
( E)
0 2 3
5 5 11
10
13
(C) ( F)
Figure 8.6
Estimation of shortest path using Dijkstra's algorithm
' 8: Introduction to Travel Demand Forecasting
0 2 3 0 2 3
5 11 5 11
10 22 10 21
13 13 23
19 19
(G) (J )
0 2 3 0 2 3
5 11 5 11
21
10 22 10 21
13 13 23
19 19
(H) (K )
0 2 3 0 2 3
3
5 11 5
21
10 22 10 21
13
19 19
( I) ( L)
Route T, hrs
1 1.0
2 1.25
3 1.5
4 2.0
The inverse of time for each route is computed. This serves as the
level of service of the route. The assigned trips to each route are obtained
in proportion to this LOS. Higher values would have larger share of
assigned trips. The result of assignment is shown in the table below.
1 1.00 33.71
2 0.80 26.97
3 0.67 22.47
4 0.50 16.85
Total 2.97 100.00
Incremental assignment
This method considers the influence of previously assigned trips.
It is based on the Wardrop’s Principle, which states that out of several
routes available between zones i and y, the routes that are used have
equal level of service. The routes that are not used have lower LOS.
Consider the trips originating from one zone to be assigned. The
incremental assignment method takes the following steps:
a . Assign 1/ n of the trips to route ( by using all - or- nothing
assignment , or constant assignment ratio).
b . Calculate the new level of service for the state that 1/ n trips are
already assigned .
c . Assign next 1/n trips.
d . Repeat until all trips are assigned.
286 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
PROBLEMS
1. Use gravity model (Voohees type) to distribute the person trips given
below. Refine the method using Fratar iteration scheme. (Stop
iteration when row and column factors are 1 ±0.05.)
0\ D 1 2 3 Total
1 0 ? ? 15
2 ? 0 ? 12
3 ? ? 0 14
Total 10 13 18 41
2%
Impedance function: F ( t - ) = 50
J
Car 50 30 2
Aircon bus 10 45 40
Jeepney 5 50 14
8: Introduction to Travel Demand Forecasting <£} 287
0\D 1 2 3 4 5 6
40'
20'
4
2 12*
8'
30' 3
501 ,24'
1 ,36' '26' 10'
5'
10'
5 6
17*
9 4
8 5
- a
15 8
2 6 3
6 4 12
5
3 6 5
5 3
4 3
4
15 2 5
7 5 3 8
3
b 4
3 8 6
5. Assign the given vehicle trips ( veh / hr) using incremental method
( n = 3).
0\D 1 2 3 4 5 6
Travel
speed, kph
/ .
s
90
45
15
Volume, veh/hr
Capacity ~ 2400
6. Assign the peak hour vehicular trips shown on the given road
network . Use all-or-nothing assignment for the first 1/ n trips, then
use incremental method with capacity- restraint for the succeeding
assignments ( n = 2).
o D 1 2 3 4
V, kph
A
80
40
10
> >
2800 , veh/hr
Q
Both
Speed-flow relation directions
290 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
40'
3
20' 18'
1 2 20'
37'
56'
4
Road Network
shown are based on 80 kph free flow speed.)
(Travel times
0 \D 1 2 3 4
b . Growth factors:
Zone 1 2 3 4
d . Cost of travel ( pesos) and travel time in minutes. Use for modal
choice only.
(Assume data for 1 to 2 are the same for 2 to 1, etc.)
i 2 3 4
18 ' 3
1 20' 2
15 '
26'
4
Perform:
i. trip distribution using Fratar method (make 1 iteration only,
i .e., get one set of row and column factors)
ii . modal split using logit model
iii. trip assignment of cars only using all-or-nothing assignment
( Average veh . occupancy: car
persons)
— 1.5 persons Jeepney - 14.0
;
292 fit Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
REFERENCES
g
INTRODUCTION TO INTONTTMNSPOMION vm
9.1 BACKGROUND
ra
Regional computer
(PC running NT)
,1 Regusmal computer
(PC running NT)
0 0 Local controller
0 0 Local controller
Local controller
D 0 Q 0'
Figure 9.1
SCATS hardware structure
( Regional Computers Networked to a CMC)
(Courtesy of R. Solayvar)
Help
CEBU
13 : 26: 29
IN T : 1 1 4
SS: 34
-
•congestion
i
hi l)S:hi
ned DS:hi
« ned DS:ried
to DS:lo
* l o C L warn
—
Isolated
FlexiLink
i Fall Back
Figure 9.2
SCATS display of congestion level of Cebu City's road network
(Courtesy of R. Solayvar)
296 Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
will increase, queuing will be less, traffic will be orderly, etc. However,
there are a number of factors external to the system that may severely
affect the traffic flow. In a “ before-and-after” study conducted to evaluate
the system , it was observed that most of the unwanted practices noted
during the before case were still prevalent during the after case ( UP
NCTSFI 2001). These include
• uncontrolled loading and unloading of passengers by PUVs;
• illegal parking;
• vendors occupying sidewalks ( even carriageway ) , leaving
pedestrians no option but to use the road ;
• commuters on the road waiting for rides; and
• laxity in traffic enforcement.
These practices severely hinder the flow of traffic along some
—
thoroughfares considered in the study Taft Ave., Mabini St., and Del
Pilar St. There is no way that SCATS alone can solve the traffic problems
along these roads. A concerted effort by concerned authorities is therefore
necessary to eliminate these practices. Otherwise, the government’s effort
to alleviate congestion through the use of advanced technologies will be
worthless.
Nevertheless, the SCATS has been found to manage traffic better
by preventing extreme peaking (or concentration ) of the traffic volumes,
thus allowing the available capacities to be used more optimally. With
regard to queuing, twenty -five intersections along four corridors (i.e.,
Taft Avenue , Roxas Boulevard , Mabini St ., and Del Pilar St . ) were
evaluated before and after the installation and operation of the SCATS
traffic signal system. An overall reduction of 30.39 percent was estimated
for queue lengths during the morning peak . Similarly, an overall reduction
of 35.98 percent was estimated for afternoon peak queues. These
reductions clearly indicate an improvement due to the installation and
operation of SCATS.
9.2 .2 The Metro Manila ETC Systems
Dubbed E-PASS, the first-ever electronic toll collection (ETC) system
in the Philippines started to be implemented in August 2000. Transcore US
and Transcore Australia take care of software and hardware, respectively.
E -PASS is expected to be used in more than 150 toll lanes along the
South Luzon Expressway (SLEX ) and the Skyway (elevated expressway).
9: Introduction to Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) A 297
Figure 9.4
E- PASS exit
(Courtesy of PNCC Skyway Corp.)
b . Cash collection
• Uses magnetic striped card which is encoded by the toll
teller and handed to the patron at entry booth .
• Card is electronically “ read ” at the exit booth .
• Toll teller classifies the vehicle/AVC system makes its own
classification independently.
• Toll is computed by the computer and displayed to the toll
teller and the patron.
• A motorist receipt is generated .
9: Introduction to Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) {Sk 299
——
Orange low balance
Red insufficient fund
• If fund is insufficient, the patron has to pay in cash .
d . Information generated at the supervisor’s level ( maxi booth)
• Lane information , such as lane number, lane direction , lane
mode, operator, payment type, etc.
• Transaction details at a particular lane vehicle
classification, amount paid , etc.
—
• Unusual occurrences, such as changes in lane modes, toll
operator log on / off , violation , nonrevenue transaction ,
equipment fault or recovery
• Assignment of cash bags
Figure 9.5
Hanging ETC antenna
(Courtesy of PNCC Skyway Corp.)
300
^ Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Initial assessment
The existing system lacks some of the features of a full - blown ETC
system found in other countries. There is no monitoring system using
cameras nor automatic vehicle violation processing system . To cut cost ,
a simplified system was devised so that full control is done within the
jurisdiction of the expressway. The existing ETC system requires motorists
to slow down or to come to a full stop for checking. A horizontal barrier
lifts when a green light is given . At times, when traffic becomes heavy, a
bumper- to- bumper situation can cause the barrier to rise and fall too
often . This can confuse drivers who follow other vehicles too closely and /
or who misjudge the operation of the traffic light and barrier. This technical
flaw needs to be addressed since in 2001, at least 200 barriers were
destroyed every month , not to mention the damages to vehicles. Minimum
spacing or headway between vehicles should be enforced . A simple
method is to paint two lines before the toll gates for checking the spacing.
Based on an initial study of the operation of the tollway, the
dedicated E-PASS lane has an average tollbooth transaction time of 1.15
seconds per vehicle compared to 15.0 seconds per vehicle for the manual
scheme ( cash coupons), and 5.9 seconds per vehicle for mixed - mode
lanes (Padayhag and Sigua 2001). Table 9.1 shows the lane usage and
service rates at Nichols A tollgate.
Table 9.1
Lane usage for Nichols A at morning peak (7:30-10:30 AM)
Table 9.2
Number of vehicles using E-PASS ( according to vehicle type)
Vehicle type
Location Total
Car Bus Small truck Large truck
Vehicle type
Location Total
Car Bus Small truck Large truck
Figure 9.6
The new North Luzon Expressway
( Upper photo courtesy of MNTC; lower photo taken by the author . )
9: Introduction to Intelligent Transportation System ( ITS) 303
Table 9.3 shows a comparison of the SLEX and the NLEX ETC
systems. The estimated percentage of ETC users was for the year 2006.
Table 9.3
Comparison of SLEX and NLEX ETC systems
Length, km 48 84
Start of operation Aug. 2000 Early 2005
Technology US -based Transcore DSRC Egis Projects S.A. of France
5.8 Ghz DSRC 5.8 Ghz
Daily volume 270,000 200,000
% ETC users 20 6.5
a . Institution
Successful ITS deployment requires a very high level of
cooperation between national and local agencies on the one
hand , and law enforcement and emergency response agencies
on the other. Since these agencies do not normally work closely
together, significant turf and organizational culture problems
may arise. Traditional transportation agency leaders also suffer
from inadequate knowledge of ITS technologies and their
potential benefits.
9: Introduction to Intelligent Transportation System ( ITS) 307
b . Infrastructure
Successful ITS deployment and operations require basic
infrastructure elements like a well-developed communications
backbone and uninterrupted power supply.
c . Technology
9.5 C O N D I T I O N S F O R A C C E P T A B L E D E P L O Y M E N T/
IMPLEMENTATION OF ITS IN METRO M A N I L A
9.6 CONCLUSION
—
—
deployment in Metro Manila SCATS Signal System and
Skyway’s ETC their effectiveness, and what went wrong. Is
SCATS a failure due to lack of complementing traffic
management measures ? Do ETC’s partial implementation and
cost -cutting measures make the system ineffective ? Is full
implementation an absolute condition ?
• Making it known that ITS is not only for developed countries.
ITS seems to be so sophisticated / high - tech that it becomes
incomprehensible to traditional politicians. In a developing
country, there is a strong tendency to rely heavily on manual
methods due to cheap labor. This is also true in the Philippines
where manual method is thought to be more effective than
automatic means.
• As government is desperately looking for effective solutions, a
lot of convincing is needed for the decision makers to believe
that ITS is not simply a “ technology push ” but a viable solution
to Metro Manila’s congestion problem .
9: Introduction to Intelligent Transportation System ( ITS) Ok 309
REFERENCES
Crest vertical curve a vertical curve with the parabolic curve drawn
below the two tangents.
Critical gap describes the minimum gaps needed by drivers of
minor road vehicles.
FIFO First -in first -out , i .e., the first one that arrives at the
service station gets served first and therefore is the
first to leave the system as well .
Flow rate the number of vehicles passing a point during a
specified period of time.
For hire vehicles motor vehicles authorized to be used as public
vehicles by virtue of a franchise granted by the Land
Transportation Franchising and Regulatory Board.
Generalized cost a term that puts costs on quantifiable and sometimes
unquantifiable costs that may be incurred during a
trip using a specified mode.
Glass beads materials used to enhance the wet - night
reflectivities of pavement markings.
Grade-separation eliminates the problematic crossing conflicts of the
different movements of vehicles; flyover/overpass,
underpass, or full- blown interchanges are some of
the examples.
Greenshields model a traffic flow model describing linear relation
between speed and density.
Harmonic mean speed See Space mean speed.
Intergreen See Clearance interval.
Interrupted flow flow occurring at intersections or driveways where
vehicles are required to stop by any cause outside
the traffic stream such as traffic signs (STOP or
YIELD), traffic signal lights, etc.
Intersection the point where traffic flow converges and where
direction of travel changes.
ITS Intelligent transportation system ; the application
of information and communication technologies for
surface traffic and transportation systems.
Jeepney an indigenous mode of public transportation in the
Philippines; a postwar creation , it was inspired by
the GI jeeps that the American soldiers brought
with them to the country during the 1940s.
314 & Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Passing sight distance the shortest distance required for a vehicle to safely
pull out of a traffic lane, pass a vehicle traveling in
the same direction , and return to the correct lane
without interfering either with the overtaken vehicle
or opposing traffic.
Glossary of Terms fib 315
Pavement markings traffic control devices that take the form of lines,
symbols, messages, or numerals, and may be set into
the surface of , applied upon , or attached to the
pavement.
PCU value passenger car unit equivalent of the different types
of vehicles.
Pedicab a bicycle with a sidecar; nonmotorized mode of
public transportation . See also tricycle.
Phasing a process by which right of way is given to particular
movements in a logical manner with the primary
purpose of minimizing the number of conflicts.
Pneumatic road tube used as detector, it senses vehicle pressure and sends
a burst of air pressure along a rubber tube when a
vehicle’s tires pass over them ; the pulse of air
pressure then closes an air switch and sends an
electrical signal that marks the passage of a vehicle.
Private vehicles motor vehicles owned by private individuals or
companies and are not intended to be used for hire.
Raised pavement markers small rectangular or dome-shaped devices that are
fixed or embedded to the pavement to simulate or
supplement painted pavement markings.
Reserve capacity difference between the existing traffic volume and
available capacity.
Reverse curve a two-arc simple curve having its centers on opposite
sides
“ Right of Way ” rule rule which states that when two vehicles arrive at
the same time at the intersection, the vehicle on the
right has the priority.
Road pricing a method of alleviating congestion by charging any
vehicle entering the restraint zone a special fee to
depending on the level of congestion in the area.
Rotary a form of unsignalized intersection in which all the
vehicles move counterclockwise in one- way fashion.
Roundabout See Rotary
316 A Fundamentals of Traffic Engineering
Sag vertical curve a vertical curve with the parabolic curve drawn
above the two tangents.
Saturation flow rate the maximum flow rate occurring at the stop line
once traffic initially in queue is given green time
indication .
Space mean speed speed based on the average travel time of vehicles
in the stream within the section .
D/ D/1 68 F
Degree of congestion , A 150 Federation Internationale de 1’ Automobile
Degree of curvature 186 232
Delineators 39 FIFO 66
Density, definition of 47 Flow rate, definition of 43
jam density 52 Four-step forecasting model 265
Department of Education, Culture and Sports submodels 265
228, 231 Fratar method 274
Department of Environment and Natural
Resources 217 G
Department of Health 216, 228, 231
Department of Interior and Local Generalized cost 277
Government 12, 228 Grade separation 108
Department of National Defense 228 Gradient 176
Department of Public Works and Highways Gross output or human capital method 243
90, 229, 294 Growth rate method 269
Department of Transportation and H
Communications 7, 11, 228, 229
Design speed 175 Hazard markers 39
Design volume 182 Highway Capacity Manual ( HCM)
58, 118, 151, 185
Index 323
A
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