CONFIDENTIAL, UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA FINAL EXAMINATION COURSE INTRODUCTION TO STATISTICS/BUSINESS STATISTICS COURSE CODE : QMT181/212/216/STA104 EXAMINATION DECEMBER 2018 TIME : 3HOURS INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES 1. This question paper consists of eight (8) questions. 2. Answer ALL questions in the Answer Booklet. Start each answer on a new page. 3. Do not bring any material into the examination room unless permission is given by the invigilator. Please check to make sure that this examination pack consists of : i) the Question Paper ii) athree — page Appendix 1 iii) an Answer Booklet — provided by the Faculty iv) _ three graph papers ~ provided by the Faculty 5. Answer ALL questions in English. DO NOT TURN THIS PAGE UNTIL YOU ARE TOLD TO DO SO This examination paper consists of 6 printed pages (© Hak Cipta Universiti Teknologi MARA. CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 2 CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 QUESTION 1 a) b) Give a suitable statistical term for each of the following, i) This study is conducted to measure a variable based on overall elements of interest. (1: mark) ji) This measure can be defined as the value that has the highest frequency. (1 mark) This plot/diagram can help to identify the relationship between two variables. (1 mark) iv) This method is a non-probability sampling technique which is similar to stratified ‘sampling technique. (1 mark) A lecturer is interested in conducting a study to investigate the relationship between level of stress and Cumulative Grade Points Averages (CGPA) among Diploma students from the Faculty of Computer and Mathematical Sciences. The questionnaires were distributed to 280 randomly selected students and the total population for each programs in the faculty are recorded as follows: Program Number of students Computer Science 265 Statistics aE 100 ‘Actuarial Science 145 Mathematical Sciences 190 | i) State the population and sample of the study, (2 marks) ii) _ Identify the variable of interest for this study and state its scale of measurement. (2 marks) ili) What is the sampling method used? Describe how to carry out this sampling method. (6 marks) iv) Name the data collection method used by the lecturer and state ONE (1) advantage of this method. (2 marks) © Hak Cipta Universiti Teknologi MARA CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 3 CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 QUESTION 2 The following table provides information on the gross earnings (in RM’ 0000) of book sales by NHH Bookstore for the year 2016 and 2017. Year Genre of Book — | 359g —T —ag¢7 Sci-Fi and Fantasy 24 57 Mystery 35 48 Romance 39) 42 Classics 16 24 Construct a multiple bar chart to represent the above information and give your comment. (6 marks) QUESTION 3 The following data are the height of 12 sunflower plants (in feet) in Garden AA 10, 13, 6, 9, 16, 15, 10, 13, 17, 13, 14, 7 a) Find the first quartile, median and third quartile. (6 marks) b) Calculate the interquartile range. (1 mark) ©) Construct a box and whisker’s plot and comment on the skewness. (3 marks) QUESTION 4 The table below shows the length of time to brew coffee when Coffee Shop X opened for three days. Time (minutes) | Frequency | Oand jess than 4 4 4 and less than 8 5 @ and less than 12 10 72 and less than 16 | 16 and less than 20 4 a) Calculate the mean and standard deviation for the above data. ( marks) b) Construct a histogram to represent the above data. (4 marks) (© Hak Cipta Universiti Teknologi MARA, CONFIDENTIAL,CONFIDENTIAL 4 CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 °) 9) Using the histogram, estimate the modal time spend to brew the coffee for Coffee Shop X and comment on the value obtained. (3 marks) Given that the mean and standard deviation of the length of time to brew the coffee for Coffee Shop Z were 11 and 5.235 respectively. Determine which Coffee Shop has a more consistent distribution. (3 marks) QUESTION 5 AA long jump coach believes that the distance jump depends on the height of the players. A sample of ten players was selected and their height were measured. The information gathered is shown below: a) b) °) 4) Height of player | Distance jumped (in inches) (in inches) [ 78 88 L | 82 6 74 68 79 65 72 73 85 74 84 | 70 80 [_ 76 84 7 86. Calculate the Pearson’s Product Moment Correlation coefficient and comment on the value obtained. (5 marks) Calculate the coefficient of determination and explain its meaning. (3 marks) Find the least square regression equation by using least square method. (5 marks) Explain the meaning of the slope coefficient obtained in the above regression line. (2 marks) Predict the distance jump for a player who is 75 inches tall. (2 marks) (© Hak Cipta Universiti Teknologi MARA, CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL 5 CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 QUESTION 6 The price of three brands of washing machine and the quantity sold for 2015, 2016 and 2017 are as follows. Brand | Quantity Price (RM) (weighted) | 2075 2016 2017 m2 400 500 600 50 Q 200 580 800 71000 [FR 300 1050 1500 1800 Using the year 2015 as the base year, a) Calculate weighted aggregate price index in 2016. (3 marks) b) Calculate the simple relative price index in 2017. (3 marks) QUESTION 7 a) Determine the appropriate component of time series for the following situations: i) The increase of female students’ enrollment in local university from 2010 until 2017. (1 mark) ii) The number of children visiting zoo during school holidays. (1 mark) iil) Flood that hit Sabah and Sarawak in August 2017. (1 mark) iv) The rise of water consumption during hot weather in Malaysia. (1 mark) b) The following table shows the sales (in RM'000) of a stationery item by a company from the year 2015 to 2017. Year Quarter 1 2 3 4 “2015 ét 34 36 48 2016 75 42 40 45 2017 83 48 44 56. i) Find the trend values for the sales using the moving average method (Correct to three decimal places). ( marks) (© Hak Cipta Universit Teknologl MARA CONFIDENTIAL,CONFIDENTIAL, 6 CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 ii) Determine the seasonal indices for each quarter. (6 marks) Interpret the seasonal indices obtained for the first and third quarter. (2 marks) iv) Forecast the sales of the stationery item in first quarter of 2019. (3 marks) QUESTION 8 a) The letters of word CORPORATION are each written on a card and the cards are shuffled and placed in a line. i) In how many ways can the cards be arranged? (2 marks) ii) Five letters are chosen at random. How many ways if at most two letters chosen are consonants. (2 marks) b) Three local pharmaceutical wholesalers, W, S and R are competing for a contract to supply medicines to a hospital. The probabilities that pharmaceutical wholesaler, W, S and R will win the contract are 0.34, 0.16 and 0.50 respectively. If pharmaceutical wholesaler, W, S and R win the contract, the probabilities that they will make profits are 0.69, 0.82 and 0.45 respectively. i) Drawa tree diagram for the above information. (3 marks) ii) What is the probability that the pharmaceutical wholesaler will make profit? (2 marks) If the contract is found to be unprofitable, find the probability that the contract was given to pharmaceutical wholesaler S. (3 marks) END OF QUESTION PAPER (© Hak Cipta Universiti Teknologi MARA CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL, APPENDIX 4 (1) CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 FORMULA LIST Sample Measurements Mode, Standard Deviation, tafe [Ee] faalde = ae) s= [= fx = x or if yre - (hey Coefficient of Variation, CV = FI x 100 = —Medi Pearson's Measure of Skewness = ——Mean=Mode _,,_3(Mean—Median) Standard Deviation Standard Deviation where n total frequency Lm lower median class boundary re lower modal class boundary Dns! cumulative frequencies for the classes before the median class fm median class frequency Ay (modal class frequency) — (frequency for the class before the modal class) A, (modal class frequency) ~ (frequency for the class after the modal class) c class size (© Hak Cipta Universit Teknologi MARA CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL APPENDIX 4 (2) CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 Correlation and Regression 1. Pearson's Product Moment Correlation Coefficient (EX)(ZY) n(EXY) -(EXNEY) on cex- PE 2X2) EF Jn EY") -(2¥)"] ex) Bev) | n a 2. The least- squares regression line of Y against X, Y = a + bX _(eney) OnxY)-EXEY) 4, en -(2™) n(X*) = (2X)F (cx -) n 1. Laspeyres Price Index = 2-P9° «100 DP oe 2. Paasche Price Index = ¥ x100 0s 3. Simple Aggregate Price Index = 2 x100 Po w 4. Weighted Aggregate Price Index -& PW 400 Pow where Po = price of the base year Pt = price of the current year qo = quantity of the base year i = quantity of the current year w= weights (© Hak Cipta Universiti Teknologl MARA CONFIDENTIALCONFIDENTIAL APPENDIX 4 (3) CSIDEC 2018/QMT181/212/216/STA104 Probability Theory 1. Conditional Probability P(AnB) P(AIB)= “Fey 2. Multiplicative Rule a) P(AMB)=P(B).P(AIB) b) P(AMB)=P(A).P(B) if and if only if A and B are independent events. 3. Bayes Theorem P(AIB) = P(A). P(BIA) P(A). P(BIA) + P(A’). P(BIA’) (© Hak Cipta Universiti Teknologi MARA CONFIDENTIAL