Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY
NAME : N.NANDHINI
MODULE – 1
INTRODUCTION
TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY
INTRODUCTION:
MARKET SIZE:
monthly data usage per smartphone in India is expected to increase from 3.9 GB in 2017 to
18 GB by 2023.
INVESTMENTS DEVELOPMENT:
With daily increasing subscriber base, there have been a lot of investments and
developments in the sector. The industry has attracted FDI worth US$ 30.08 billion during
the period April 2000 to December 2017, according to the data released by Department of
Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP).
Some of the developments in the recent past are:
During the first quarter of 2018, India became the world’s fastest-growing market for
mobile applications.
Finnish telecommunication company Nokia, is going to collaborate with Indian
telecom companies Bharti Airtel and BSNL to work on the roadmap for development
of 5G technology and creating a conducive ecosystem for 5G in India.
India telecommunication companies will be investing US$ 20 billion over the next
two years for expansion of network and operations, stated Mr Akhil Gupta, Vice
Chairman, Bharti Enterprise.
GOVERNMENT INITIATIVES:
The government has fast-tracked reforms in the telecom sector and continues to be
proactive in providing room for growth for telecom companies. Some of the other major
initiatives taken by the government are as follows:
The Government of India is soon going to come out with a new National Telecom
Policy 2018 in lieu of rapid technological advancement in the sector over the past few
years. The policy has envisaged attracting investments worth US$ 100 billion in the
sector by 2022.
The Government of India is working to digitally connect the rural and remote regions
in the country and has decided a new affordable tariff structure with the principle of
more you use, less you pay. The changes will soon be reflected in tariff changes by
service providers in the country.
Future Growth Opportunities in The Indian Telecom Industry The Indian Telecom
Industry has been considered as an essential tool for the socio- economic development and
for growth of GDP in the country. The Indian mobile economy is growing rapidly. The
Government had raised the FDI limit from 74% to 100% during August 2013 which has
made the telecom Analysis of the Indian Telecom Industry. It is one of the fastest growing
and a top five employment opportunity generator in the country. The increase in FDI has
been done to ensure continuous flow of investments in the industry to expand the reach of
mobile operators. The Indian Telecom industry has undergone a progressive shift from voice
services to data services, thereby creating a new direction for the future of this industry. The
Ministry of Communication and IT is planning to extend basic mobile coverage, including
voice calling, in far flung areas of eight north eastern states, creating a more inclusive
telecom network across the country. This industry is expected to provide more than 4.1
million jobs in the coming five years. Therefore, this will be favourable to professionals who
aspire to pursue their career in this industry. The Indian Government has also decided to
expand the basic telecom services in the rural areas for increasing rural tele-density in future.
The Indian Telecom industry has been growing at an average of 35% a year for close to two
decades which is beneficial to the country. The industry has touched the lives of millions of
Indians and will continue to remain a significant growth driver in the future also.
OBJECTIVES :
MODULE – 2
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Fundamental Analysis
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
The fundamental analysis which includes the terms of economic analysis,
industry analysis and company analysis .Fundamental analysis, in accounting and painting,
is the analysis of a business's financial statements When applied to futures , it focuses on the
overall state of the economy, and considers factors including interest rates, production,
earnings, employment, GDP, housing, manufacturing and management. When analyzing a
stock, futures contract, or currency using fundamental analysis there are two basic approaches
one can use: bottom up analysis and top down analysis. The terms are used to distinguish
such analysis from other types of investment analysis, such as quantitative and technical.
Economical Analysis
Industry Analysis
Company Analysis
Fundamental analysis is one of the most useful tools that investors use when
making decisions about which stocks they’re going to buy. It is a process of examining key
ratios that show the current worth of a stock and the recent performance of a company.
Fundamental analysis is used to determine the amount of money a company can make and the
kind of earnings an investor can expect. Future earnings may be subject to interpretation but
good earning histories create confidence among investors. The stock prices may increase and
the dividends may pay out. Stock market analysts determine whether a company is meeting
its expected growth by examining the earnings that are reported by the company on a regular
basis. If the company doesn’t meet its expected growth, the prices of its stocks usually
experience a downturn. There are a lot of tools that are used to determine the earnings and the
value of a company on the stock market. Most of these tools rely on the financial statements
released by the company. Details about the value of a company which include competitive
advantages and ownership ratios between the management and the outside investors can be
revealed through further fundamental analyses.
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS :
Major Milestones of The Indian Telecom Industry The Indian Telecom Industry
comprises of various segments that are an indicator of its growth and development. It is
broadly divided into two segments, Fixed Communication and Mobile Communication.
Nowadays, there is a rapid growth in the field of mobile communication as compared to fixed
communication due to an increasing demand for cellular phones . The technologies like GSM
and CDMA are adopted by the Indian Telecom Industry . Different service providers offer
both fixed as well as mobile communication while operating in various service areas of India.
Wireless Communication and Wireline Communication The Wireless Communication is the
fastest growing segment of the Indian Telecom Industry. Through the development of
wireless communication, it has become easier to transmit information between two or more
points that cannot be connected by an electrical conductor. The wireless technologies being
employed presently by the Indian Telecom Industry are Cellular (mobile) phones, Television,
Radio etc.
The private telecom operators now dominate the wireless market. However, this was
not the case in the beginning. The changes in the market structure were mainly due to the
changes in the National Telecom Policy of 1999. The Government of India is providing
benefits to private players to grow in this sector. Mobile phone communication is one of the
best known examples of wireless technology and is also known as cellular phone
communication. The major operators in the wireless field are Bharti Airtel, Vodafone,
Reliance Communications, Idea Cellular, Tata Indicom and BSNL/MTNL . The Wireline
Communication focuses mainly on landlines. Fixed telephones are facing stiff competition
from mobile phones. The fixed telephones network quality has presently improved a lot and
these phones are now available even in high density urban areas on demand. The public
telecom operators like BSNL and MTNL dominate the wireline market followed by the
private operators . India has the world’s second- largest telecom network after China in terms
of both fixed as well as mobile communication. India had a subscriber base of 999.71 million
till the end of March’15 in terms of fixed and mobile communication .
The Indian Telecom Industry comprises of both public and private sector service
providers. The public sector telecom operators occupy a major share in the wireline segment
as compared to the wireless segment. The private telecom operators dominate the wireless
market. Their share is very less in the fixed line segment. BSNL and MTNL are the two
major public sector service providers. The major private sector service providers are Bharti
Airtel, Vodafone, Reliance Communications, Idea Cellular, Tata Indicom .
As depicted in the table above, the public sector operators BSNL and MTNL have a
larger share in the wireline segment as compared to the wireless segment. BSNL’s share is
much larger in the wireline sector in comparison to MTNL because it covers whole India
whereas MTNL operates only in Delhi and Mumbai . Over the years, the wireline market
share has declined due to an increased demand for wireless phones by subscribers. Amongst
all the private sector operators, Bharti’s share is higher in the wireless as well as wireline
segment. Till March’13, the share of Idea Cellular was less in the wireless segment as
compared to Reliance Communications but its share increased at the end of March’14 and
March’15 as compared to Reliance thereby securing a higher rank . Therefore, the private
service providers namely Bharti Airtel, Vodafone, Idea, Reliance Communications and Tata
Indicom secured 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th rank respectively according to their market share
at the end of March’15.
GLOBAL ECONOMY:
Foreign Direct Investment has been one of the major contributors in the growth of the
Indian economy and therefore, the need for higher FDI is felt across sectors in the Indian
economy. The telecom sector has played a crucial role in attracting FDI in India. The telecom
industry of India requires huge investments for its expansion as it is capital- intensive and
FDI plays a vital role in meeting the fund requirements for its expansion. The relaxation in
FDI norms has attracted many foreign telecom majors to this industry. The presence of
foreign players has not only encouraged faster infrastructure development and up gradation
but also has opened up the telecom industry to foreign competition. The rise in FDI has also
enabled technology transfer, market access and has improved organizational skills. FDI is
also used for providing telecom services to rural areas, where teledensity is still very low .
During August 2013, the Telecom Commission raised the FDI cap from 74% to 100% in
order to encourage foreign investors to invest in the Indian Telecom industry. This has made
telecom one of the major sectors attracting FDI inflows in India. According to the data
released by the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), the industry has
received FDI of US$ 16, 994.68 million from April 2000 to January 2015 which contributes
to 7% of overall FDI inflow .
INDIA’S ECONOMY:
India's telecommunication network is the second largest in the world by number of
telephone users (both fixed and mobile phone) with 1.206 billion subscribers as on 31 March
2018. It has one of the lowest call tariffs in the world enabled by mega telecom operators and
hyper-competition among them. As on 30 March 2018, India has the world's second-
largest Internet user-base with 412.60 million internet subscribers in the country.
Indian telecom industry underwent a high pace of market liberalisation and growth
since the 1990s and now has become the world's most competitive and one of the fastest
growing telecom markets. The Industry has grown over twenty times in just ten years, from
under 37 million subscribers in the year 2001 to over 846 million subscribers in the year
2011. India has the world's second-largestmobile phone user base with over 1183.41 million
users as of March 2018.
has helped to increase the transparency of governance with the introduction of e-
governancein India. The government has pragmatically used modern telecommunication
facilities to deliver mass education programmes for the rural folk of India.
INDUSTRIAL ANALYSIS:
The Indian telecommunication sector has emerged as a strong growth engine for the
Indian economy in the last decade. Given the disruptive innovations and turmoil in this
industry in the last decade, the typical Porter’s Five Forces cannot be used to analyze this
industry. This article aims to study the industry using a modified Five Forces model, focusing
on every aspect from entry to the market to relationship dynamics amongst the various
stakeholders to exit options from the industry. The article contains valuable insights gathered
from primary interview of industry experts as well as data from various secondary literatures.
The Indian Telecom Industry is considered to be a vital tool for the development of
the country on the whole by contributing towards the immense growth, quick expansion and
upgradation of various sectors of the nation. This industry increases the GDP of India, earns
profit for the Indian Government and creates employment opportunities for a great number of
people. The Indian Telecom Industry is very huge consisting of companies that make
hardware and also produce software. Presently, it contributes to a revenue of USD 33, 500
million . Along with the Government owned telecom units, the Indian Telecom market has
also attracted many private operators to enter here who started offering their telecom services
as fixed communication, mobile communication and data services to the customers at the
most reasonable prices. The Government of India has adopted several measures to provide a
business friendly environment for companies in the Indian Telecom market while competing
with each other. Due to the rapid advancement in technologies, the telecom operators of India
are working actively in order to adapt themselves to the changing technology to continue
existing in the market. The Indian Telecom Industry has grown tremendously during the past
few years owing to the unprecedented growth of wireless telephony in India and
infrastructure which not only is beneficial for the telecom industry but has positive effects on
the entire economy of India . The industry has the world’s third highest number of internet
users. The Indian Telecom Industry has undergone a considerable transformation from being
a Government owned enterprise to that of a competitive environment after its liberalization in
1991. The rapid escalation in the telecom sector of India has been made possible due to the
active participation of private service providers, revenue generated through Foreign Direct
Investment (FDI), series of reforms instigated by the Government and through the adoption
of latest technologies.
COMPANY ANALYSIS:
Bharti airtel
Idea cellular
Tata communication
Reliance communication
MTNL (Mahanagar telephone nigam limited)
BHARTI AIRTEL:
Andhra Pradesh & Telangana, Karnataka, Chennai, Kolkata, Kerala and Odisha in India and
should roll out the technology in rest circles by end of August 2018. It is the largest mobile
network operator in India and the third largest in the world with over 429 million
subscribers. Airtel was named India's second most valuable brand in the first ever Brandz
ranking by Millward Brown and WPP plc.
In 1992, he successfully bid for one of the four mobile phone network licences
auctioned in India. One of the conditions for the Delhi cellular license was that the bidder
have some experience as a telecom operator. So, Mittal clinched a deal with the French
telecom group Vivendi. He was one of the first Indian entrepreneurs to identify the mobile
telecom business as a major growth area. His plans were finally approved by the Government
in 1994 and he launched services in Delhi in 1995, when Bharti Cellular Limited (BCL) was
formed to offer cellular services under the brand name AirTel. Within a few years Bharti
became the first telecom company to cross the 2 million mobile subscriber mark. Bharti also
brought down the STD/ISD cellular rates in India under brand name 'Indiaone'.
Airtel launched "Hello Tunes", a caller ring back tone service (CRBT), in July 2004
becoming to the first operator in India to do so. The Airtel theme song, composed by A.R.
Rahman, was the most popular tune in that year.
In May 2008, it emerged that Airtel was exploring the possibility of buying the MTN
Group, a South Africa-based telecommunications company with coverage in 21 countries in
Africa and the Middle East. The Financial Times reported that Bharti was considering
offering US$45 billion for a 100% stake in MTN, which would be the largest overseas
acquisition ever by an Indian firm. However, both sides emphasise the tentative nature of the
talks, while The Economist magazine noted, "If anything, Bharti would be marrying up," as
MTN has more subscribers, higher revenues and broader geographic coverage. However, the
talks fell apart as MTN Group tried to reverse the negotiations by making Bharti almost a
subsidiary of the new company. In May 2009, Bharti Airtel again confirmed that it was in
talks with MTN and the companies agreed to discuss the potential transaction exclusively by
31 July 2009. Talks eventually ended without agreement, some sources stating that this was
due to opposition from the South African government.
In 2009, Airtel launched its first international mobile network in Sri Lanka. In June
2010, Bhartil acquired the African business of Zain Telecom for $10.7 billion making it the
largest ever acquisition by an Indian telecom firm. In 2012, Bharti tied up with Wal-Mart, the
US retail giant, to start a number of retail stores across India. In 2014, Bharti planned to
acquire Loop Mobile for ₹7 billion (US$100 million), but the deal was called off later.
Bharti Airtel Limited ("Airtel"), the world's third largest mobile operator with
operations in 20 countries across Asia and Africa, said that its Treasury division has been
adjudged as a highly commended winner of the Top Treasury Team (Asia) Awards at the
Adam Smith Asia Awards 2015.
IDEA CELLULAR:
Idea Cellular started its journey in 1995 as Birla Communications Limited with GSM
licenses in Gujarat and Maharashtra circles.In 1996 it changed name to Birla AT&T
Communications Limited following joint venture between Grasim Industries and AT&T
Corporation. In 2001 it changed name to Birla Tata AT&T as a joint venture between Aditya
Birla Group, Tata Group and AT&T Wireless. The company named its brand Idea in
2002. Following AT&T Wireless' merger with Cingular Wireless in 2004, Cingular decided
to sell its 32.9% stake in Idea. This stake was bought by the remaining two stakeholders
equally. Tata forayed into the cellular market with its own subsidiary, Tata Indicom,
a CDMA-based mobile provider and in April 2006, Aditya Birla Group announced the
acquisition of the 48.18% stake held by Tata Group at INR 40.51 a share amounting to INR
44.06 billion with 15% of the stake acquired by Aditya Birla Nuvo and the remaining by
Birla TMT holdings Private Ltd. both AV Birla family owned companies. Malaysia
based Axiata bought a 19.96% stake in the company in 2009.
TATA COMMUNICATION:
Beginning as a wholesale service provider focused on India, it has grown to be one of the
largest telecommunications service providers in the world. Tata Communications’ customers
include over 2,000 service providers and enterprises in 240 countries, including many of the
world’s largest corporations.
Its telecommunications network spans the globe and includes more than 500,000 km of
subsea fibre and more than 210,000 km of terrestrial fibre. The company has invested $1.19
billion in its global subsea fibre network.
Tata Communications uses its network to deliver network services and software-defined
network platforms, such as Ethernet, SD-WAN, Content delivery
network (CDN), Internet, Multiprotocol Label Switching (MPLS) and Private Line. It has
more than 400 Points of Presence (POP) globally with data centre and colocation in 44 sites.
In 2016, Tata Communications had a revenue of $3.2 billion, with 77% of its revenue being
generated outside India. The company has over 8,000 employees from 40 nationalities.
The company is listed as one of AON Hewitt's Best Employers in India for 2017.
The company was founded as Videsh Sanchar Nigam Limited (VSNL) in 1986. In 2002, after
the Government of India decided to divest its shareholding, Tata Group acquired a 45% stake
in VSNL. The international arm of VSNL, VSNL International, was launched in 2004.
VSNL was completely acquired by the Tata Group and renamed as Tata Communications
Limited on 13 February 2008.
RELIANCE COMMUNICATION:
RCom had in November 2017, shut its wireless business. In December, it inked a pact
to sell its wireless assets to Reliance Jio Infocomm in an all-cash deal, pegged at Rs 24,000
crore by market circles. This would help pare its debt, which stands at about Rs 45,000 crore.
Reliance Communications reduced the prices of its 3G services by 61% in May 2012.
RCom shut down its CDMA operations in 2016 and migrated the subscribers to GSM
and LTE networks by September 2016.
MTNL:
Bombay Telephone was founded in 1882. The first telephone exchange in Mumbai
began operations on 28 January 1882.Delhi's first telephone system was established in
1911. Mahanagar Telephone Nigam was created by the Government of India in 1986 to
oversee the telephone services of Delhi and Mumbai.
Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited (MTNL) was set up in 1st April of the year
1986 by the Government of India to upgrade the quality of telecom services, expand the
telecom network, introduce new services and to raise revenue for telecom development needs
of India's key metros, Delhi (the political capital) and Mumbai (the business capital of India).
The company has also been in the forefront of technology induction by converting 100% of
its telephone exchange network into the state-of-the-art digital mode. MTNL as a company,
over last nineteen years, grew rapidly by modernising the network, incorporating the State-of-
the-art technologies and a customer friendly approach.
The Company providing various types of telecommunication services including
Telephone, telex, wireless, data communication, telematic and other like forms of
communication (Internet). First digital exchange world technology brought to India by the
company during the year 1986. In the year of 1987, Largle Scale came to existence,
introduction of push button telephone made dialling easier. Phone Plus services was offered
by the company in the year 1988, it gives multiplied benefits to telephone users. During the
year 1992, the company introduced Voice Mail Service. MTNL had introduced the Integrated
Services Digital Network (ISDN) services in the period of 1996.
To facilitate the clientele, MTNL launched the country's first toll-free service in Delhi
in the period of 1998. During the year 1999, MTNL brought in the most widely using service
called Internet (Network of Networks), the extreme level of information exchange.
Millennium Telecom Limited, a wholly owned subsidiary of MTNL was formed in 17th
February of the year 2000 to do practically any type of Telecom Business with a focus on
value added services, which was started its operation in Himachal Pradesh in association with
HPSEDC from 25th Feb 2002 itself. During the year 2001, the company launched GSM
Cellular Mobile service under the brand name Dolphin and in the same year MTNL also
launched Wireless in Local Loop (WLL) Mobile services under the brand name Garuda.
MTNL has formed a Joint Venture company in Nepal by the name of United Telecom Ltd.
(UTL) in collaboration with Telecom Consultants India Limited (TCIL), Videsh Sanchar
Nigam Limited (VSNL) and NVPL (Nepal Ventures Pvt. Ltd., a Nepalese Company). The
Company is operational since 10th October 2001 for providing WLL based basic services in
Nepal. CLI based Internet express service was added with the service line of the company in
the period of 2001. The Company made tied up with Billjunction.com in the year of 2001 to
provide online bill presenting and payment facility to its customers.
The Company launched pre-paid GSM Mobile services under the brand name Trump
during the year 2002, and in the same year MTNL's Email on PSTN lines were introduced
under the brand name mtnlmail. MTNL had set up a new software venture called ComSoft
for developing communications software in the year 2002, as a part of its strategy to offer
value-added communications software in e-commerce, e-governance and intelligent
networking. The Company brought in to market, the CDMA 1x 2000 Technology under the
brand name Garuda 1-x in the year of 2003.
MTML has already started its ILD & CDMA based basic services in Mauritius. In
Mauritius against the switching capacity of 50K, 8K telephone connections are working. The
Company established Wi-Fi & digital certification services in the identical year. MTNL
bagged the award for excellence in cost reduction in the year 2004. State of the art training
centre of the company 'CETTM' was commissioned in the year of 2004. The Company
introduced the broadband services under the brand name of 'TRI BAND' during the year
2005. The Company made partnership with Red Hat through its CETTM centre in the same
year of 2005.
To remain market leader in providing world class Telecom and IT related services at
affordable prices, the company partaking its all efforts in the same business area and MTNL
wants to become a global player, also find a place in the `Fortune 500' companies.
Net Operating Profit Per Share (Rs) 155.79 150.85 138.83 124.88
Profitability Ratios
Profit Before Interest And Tax Margin(%) 18.39 21.06 19.56 17.85
15,968.2
Inventory Turnover Ratio 11,377.42 5,903.87 45,380.45
8
15,968.2
Investments Turnover Ratio 11,377.42 5,903.87 45,380.45
8
Mar'1
Mar '16 Mar '15 Mar '14
7
Net Operating Profit Per Share (Rs) 97.85 99.44 86.94 78.65
Profitability Ratios
Profit Before Interest And Tax Margin(%) 6.75 15.76 15.18 12.07
Mar'1
Mar '16 Mar '15 Mar '14
7
Net Operating Profit Per Share (Rs) 177.83 168.08 151.56 153.56
Profitability Ratios
Profit Before Interest And Tax Margin(%) 8.48 8.98 6.19 6.56
Mar'1
Mar '16 Mar '15 Mar '14
7
Net Operating Profit Per Share (Rs) 35.45 40.15 43.40 54.71
Profitability Ratios
Profit Before Interest And Tax Margin(%) -19.41 0.97 -2.55 -1.85
Mar'1
Mar '16 Mar '15 Mar '14
7
Net Operating Profit Per Share (Rs) 45.55 49.59 53.97 53.84
Profitability Ratios
Profit Before Interest And Tax Margin(%) -61.35 -53.43 -49.29 -55.14
MODULE – 3
Market value is the company's value calculated from its current stock price and rarely
reflects the actual current value of a company. The reason for this is that the market
value reflects supply and demand in the investing market, how eager (or not) investors
are to participate in the company's future.
The market value is usually higher than the intrinsic value if there is strong
investment demand, leading to possible overvaluation. The opposite is true if there is weak
investment demand, which can result in undervaluation of the company.
BHARTI AIRTEL:
% *
No. No.
Total Deliverab Deli. Spread
Ope Hig Lo Clos WA of of
Date Turnov le Qty to
n h w e P Share Trade H C-
er Quantity Trade
s s -L O
d Qty
12,17,10,55
2/04/18 401.40 403.00 390.60 394.45 394.70 3,08,361 4,784 57,210 18.55 12.40 -6.95
9
15,30,38,25
3/04/18 393.50 402.60 391.15 401.65 398.00 3,84,516 2,829 37,267 9.69 11.45 8.15
6
-
4/04/18 405.00 407.00 393.25 394.50 398.49 1,70,089 2,449 6,77,78,265 30,679 18.04 13.75
10.50
12,78,39,84
5/04/18 401.90 401.90 391.25 393.95 394.49 3,24,065 4,262 94,020 29.01 10.65 -7.95
5
12,54,57,05
6/04/18 394.00 396.55 383.10 385.40 387.43 3,23,817 3,933 60,447 18.67 13.45 -8.60
3
15,53,45,50
9/04/18 383.90 386.90 376.80 380.75 381.43 4,07,275 4,126 68,747 16.88 10.10 -3.15
7
10/04/1 14,98,86,70
380.75 386.55 374.60 385.55 379.98 3,94,459 3,856 82,441 20.90 11.95 4.80
8 4
11/04/1 11,94,55,82
386.20 391.10 383.55 384.55 386.80 3,08,833 3,265 75,936 24.59 7.55 -1.65
8 1
12/04/1
384.05 386.00 379.25 380.10 381.14 1,42,360 1,671 5,42,58,575 33,937 23.84 6.75 -3.95
8
13/04/1 43,61,13,54
381.25 386.05 376.35 377.80 380.07 11,47,463 1,923 10,14,151 88.38 9.70 -3.45
8 4
16/04/1 21,01,45,88
376.30 380.50 375.00 377.20 377.05 5,57,339 1,363 12,986 2.33 5.50 0.90
8 2
17/04/1
377.20 382.90 374.80 381.30 378.64 1,22,514 1,617 4,63,88,462 15,892 12.97 8.10 4.10
8
18/04/1 10,31,53,56
383.80 391.75 382.00 384.80 386.63 2,66,803 4,447 73,323 27.48 9.75 1.00
8 7
19/04/1
385.50 396.80 385.50 394.95 391.27 1,71,701 2,657 6,71,81,741 45,851 26.70 11.30 9.45
8
20/04/1
394.90 402.90 391.55 400.75 398.47 2,06,033 2,791 8,20,98,386 25,262 12.26 11.35 5.85
8
23/04/1 13,00,75,16
398.50 406.10 397.35 403.65 402.28 3,23,345 2,058 1,68,434 52.09 8.75 5.15
8 4
24/04/1 25,99,28,34
403.50 408.50 396.60 406.10 401.38 6,47,593 4,592 2,98,721 46.13 11.90 2.60
8 4
25/04/1 39,54,28,09
414.00 427.00 412.15 419.80 420.26 9,40,909 9,924 88,562 9.41 14.85 5.80
8 9
26/04/1 11,41,31,34 -
424.00 424.00 405.00 408.85 413.04 2,76,319 3,050 50,359 18.22 19.00
8 1 15.15
27/04/1
408.00 415.85 401.05 408.95 407.28 2,39,878 3,242 9,76,98,176 31,422 13.10 14.80 0.95
8
30/04/1 408.95 412.70 404.40 409.55 409.48 1,52,859 3,752 6,25,92,771 47,703 31.21 8.30 0.60
2/05/18 411.00 412.00 406.00 408.00 408.01 1,57,149 1,679 6,41,19,148 18,626 11.85 6.00 -3.00
3/05/18 408.00 408.00 399.55 404.40 403.84 93,206 1,811 3,76,40,509 19,994 21.45 8.45 -3.60
23,33,72,79 -
4/05/18 411.00 418.25 394.00 396.60 405.33 5,75,765 6,562 1,21,990 21.19 24.25
5 14.40
7/05/18 400.50 404.50 395.90 398.00 399.71 1,85,692 2,357 7,42,23,608 26,542 14.29 8.60 -2.50
8/05/18 398.50 402.75 397.15 400.75 400.29 1,33,069 1,501 5,32,66,285 19,443 14.61 5.60 2.25
IDEA CELLULAR:
% *
No. No.
Total Deliverab Deli. Spread
Ope Hig Lo Clos WA of of
Date Turnove le Qty to C
n h w e P Share Trade H
r Quantity Trade -
s s -L
d Qty O
2/04/18 78.25 78.25 75.65 77.60 76.90 6,51,341 1,818 5,00,86,637 54,195 8.32 2.60 -0.65
3/04/18 77.00 78.00 76.50 77.45 77.56 12,24,670 1,353 9,49,86,943 8,09,498 66.10 1.50 0.45
4/04/18 77.60 78.40 75.65 76.55 76.72 12,47,730 2,310 9,57,22,463 4,45,396 35.70 2.75 -1.05
5/04/18 76.60 77.80 76.10 77.00 76.90 3,39,440 1,129 2,61,04,228 54,576 16.08 1.70 0.40
6/04/18 76.65 78.00 74.70 74.90 75.48 8,86,492 2,602 6,69,16,602 2,99,002 33.73 3.30 -1.75
9/04/18 74.25 75.20 73.50 74.90 74.50 9,36,411 2,260 6,97,67,231 1,87,005 19.97 1.70 0.65
10/04/1
75.00 75.50 73.55 73.95 74.17 6,08,856 2,247 4,51,57,050 1,43,800 23.62 1.95 -1.05
8
11/04/1
74.15 75.20 73.30 73.95 74.35 6,72,960 1,866 5,00,33,729 1,61,861 24.05 1.90 -0.20
8
12/04/1
74.90 74.90 72.15 73.05 73.09 7,13,165 2,003 5,21,23,681 2,22,354 31.18 2.75 -1.85
8
13/04/1
73.00 74.30 72.00 72.20 72.88 7,67,630 2,214 5,59,46,396 1,64,254 21.40 2.30 -0.80
8
16/04/1
72.00 72.00 70.75 71.25 71.20 57,53,962 2,026 40,96,63,351 51,38,534 89.30 1.25 -0.75
8
17/04/1 4,38,72,40 3,13,84,44,5
71.80 74.05 71.20 71.40 71.54 4,806 2,76,758 0.63 2.85 -0.40
8 0 07
18/04/1
72.00 72.50 71.15 71.65 71.60 74,11,780 2,299 53,07,17,020 66,08,113 89.16 1.35 -0.35
8
19/04/1
72.00 72.00 70.15 71.10 70.96 5,64,224 1,527 4,00,37,129 1,33,812 23.72 1.85 -0.90
8
20/04/1
71.10 71.90 70.30 70.80 71.05 5,91,585 1,494 4,20,30,916 83,025 14.03 1.60 -0.30
8
23/04/1
71.00 72.30 70.50 71.65 71.78 33,90,177 1,914 24,33,34,307 26,97,090 79.56 1.80 0.65
8
24/04/1
71.10 71.55 70.20 71.10 70.92 8,17,363 1,858 5,79,64,354 1,46,222 17.89 1.35 0.00
8
25/04/1
71.90 72.75 70.85 71.35 71.62 7,42,046 2,216 5,31,45,957 1,12,014 15.10 1.90 -0.55
8
26/04/1
71.35 71.80 67.60 68.35 69.17 11,58,782 3,775 8,01,50,213 2,87,588 24.82 4.20 -3.00
8
27/04/1
69.05 70.15 68.50 68.80 69.38 6,50,427 1,864 4,51,24,376 2,16,047 33.22 1.65 -0.25
8
30/04/1
72.00 72.00 68.20 69.05 69.47 11,42,514 4,191 7,93,69,683 2,36,435 20.69 3.80 -2.95
8
2/05/18 69.10 69.40 66.60 67.20 67.68 6,68,446 1,743 4,52,37,115 1,71,797 25.70 2.80 -1.90
3/05/18 67.40 67.40 63.55 63.90 64.76 8,99,048 2,905 5,82,25,549 2,45,123 27.26 3.85 -3.50
4/05/18 64.00 64.65 61.45 62.50 62.97 14,07,241 4,387 8,86,07,827 6,18,466 43.95 3.20 -1.50
7/05/18 62.90 63.40 62.15 62.45 62.68 6,97,648 2,165 4,37,28,557 1,69,454 24.29 1.25 -0.45
8/05/18 62.70 62.80 60.10 61.25 61.16 14,83,144 2,892 9,07,04,876 6,59,665 44.48 2.70 -1.45
TATA COMMUNICATION:
% *
No. No.
Total Deliverab Deli. Spread
Ope Hig Lo Clos WA of of
Date Turnov le Qty to
n h w e P Share Trade H C-
er Quantity Trade
s s -L O
d Qty
2/04/18 623.55 641.70 620.55 636.15 634.00 13,160 368 83,43,397 3,242 24.64 21.15 12.60
3/04/18 637.45 655.15 636.70 651.70 651.88 24,781 687 1,61,54,282 6,908 27.88 18.45 14.25
-
4/04/18 653.60 661.90 635.15 639.05 649.34 17,978 573 1,16,73,816 2,232 12.42 26.75
14.55
5/04/18 650.00 660.60 648.10 655.80 654.22 9,325 404 61,00,636 2,400 25.74 12.50 5.80
6/04/18 651.10 659.00 649.40 656.05 654.75 5,637 169 36,90,814 2,405 42.66 9.60 4.95
9/04/18 657.00 670.90 654.85 660.45 664.85 16,398 474 1,09,02,264 3,276 19.98 16.05 3.45
10/04/1
662.95 664.20 643.75 653.70 655.36 14,739 567 96,59,301 4,875 33.08 20.45 -9.25
8
11/04/1
654.05 660.90 649.70 659.70 657.03 11,255 273 73,94,908 6,463 57.42 11.20 5.65
8
12/04/1 -
653.05 659.35 633.85 636.55 642.63 13,605 544 87,43,005 5,289 38.88 25.50
8 16.50
13/04/1 -
650.00 650.00 629.50 634.55 634.84 21,657 572 1,37,48,733 10,047 46.39 20.50
8 15.45
16/04/1 -
634.65 634.65 615.00 620.60 620.54 24,930 732 1,54,70,070 9,713 38.96 19.65
8 14.05
17/04/1
615.00 627.70 615.00 623.15 623.22 10,727 325 66,85,313 2,584 24.09 12.70 8.15
8
18/04/1
620.50 628.60 618.20 621.35 620.85 8,684 292 53,91,491 3,143 36.19 10.40 0.85
8
19/04/1
615.00 625.50 615.00 621.20 619.25 8,296 244 51,37,270 3,679 44.35 10.50 6.20
8
20/04/1 625.50 633.25 622.00 628.25 628.63 12,956 417 81,44,497 3,556 27.45 11.25 2.75
2/05/18 614.50 634.55 614.50 629.45 630.46 76,597 1,091 4,82,91,040 13,133 17.15 20.05 14.95
3/05/18 623.25 624.15 612.50 614.25 616.15 55,441 1,716 3,41,60,055 23,129 41.72 11.65 -9.00
4/05/18 610.00 618.20 609.45 616.15 614.21 7,803 247 47,92,700 1,367 17.52 8.75 6.15
7/05/18 616.15 621.65 606.95 610.20 612.13 24,064 527 1,47,30,368 4,887 20.31 14.70 -5.95
8/05/18 612.05 620.15 609.55 613.85 614.90 16,040 327 98,63,059 4,109 25.62 10.60 1.80
RELIANCE COMMUNICATION:
% *
No. No.
Total Deliverab Deli. Spread
Ope Hig Lo Clos WA of of
Date Turnov le Qty to
n h w e P Share Trade H C-
er Quantity Trade
s s -L O
d Qty
10,02,18,12
2/04/18 22.00 22.80 21.90 22.55 22.44 44,66,730 3,949 7,63,076 17.08 0.90 0.55
4
12,82,12,93
3/04/18 22.10 22.90 22.10 22.65 22.53 56,91,144 4,244 7,58,512 13.33 0.80 0.55
1
21,20,80,74
4/04/18 22.70 23.40 21.70 22.35 22.50 94,24,107 8,196 14,09,140 14.95 1.70 -0.35
6
1,82,79,73 42,33,12,69
5/04/18 22.50 24.15 21.70 23.35 23.16 16,627 22,03,862 12.06 2.45 0.85
2 9
1,49,98,44 36,52,37,34
6/04/18 23.80 25.20 23.55 24.35 24.35 15,324 19,47,978 12.99 1.65 0.55
7 3
15,05,59,41
9/04/18 24.55 24.90 23.70 23.80 24.14 62,37,460 5,744 12,34,288 19.79 1.20 -0.75
2
10/04/1 13,02,71,00
23.85 24.10 22.80 23.25 23.34 55,82,319 4,880 12,28,692 22.01 1.30 -0.60
8 5
11/04/1
23.25 23.30 22.75 22.85 23.00 38,20,961 3,297 8,78,80,064 9,77,699 25.59 0.55 -0.40
8
12/04/1 11,47,50,42
22.95 23.10 22.10 22.25 22.53 50,92,889 4,010 16,84,589 33.08 1.00 -0.70
8 9
13/04/1
22.40 22.75 22.10 22.30 22.43 43,72,799 3,009 9,80,73,193 8,66,711 19.82 0.65 -0.10
8
16/04/1 16,81,49,77
22.25 22.50 20.85 21.10 21.49 78,23,020 6,980 18,69,010 23.89 1.65 -1.15
8 4
17/04/1 21.20 21.85 20.95 21.10 21.35 70,83,778 6,165 15,12,25,86 14,24,330 20.11 0.90 -0.10
7/05/18 15.20 15.80 15.15 15.55 15.44 42,66,217 3,435 6,58,51,658 6,55,402 15.36 0.65 0.35
8/05/18 15.40 15.60 15.00 15.15 15.28 55,19,030 3,597 8,43,30,889 7,98,663 14.47 0.60 -0.25
MTNL:
% *
No. No.
Total Deliverab Deli. Spread
Ope Hig Lo Clos WA of of
Date Turnov le Qty to
n h w e P Share Trade H C-
er Quantity Trade
s s -L O
d Qty
2/04/18 19.00 19.50 19.00 19.35 19.22 3,73,007 696 71,69,558 1,34,406 36.03 0.50 0.35
3/04/18 19.15 19.90 19.05 19.80 19.42 5,75,386 1,188 1,11,71,388 1,90,809 33.16 0.85 0.65
4/04/18 20.30 20.40 19.40 19.60 19.91 4,46,212 915 88,83,860 1,37,862 30.90 1.00 -0.70
5/04/18 19.80 20.25 19.75 19.90 19.91 2,44,825 633 48,74,901 99,181 40.51 0.50 0.10
6/04/18 19.60 20.35 19.30 20.00 19.99 3,48,818 957 69,73,339 1,22,151 35.02 1.05 0.40
9/04/18 20.25 21.50 20.05 20.85 20.86 11,90,394 2,271 2,48,36,913 2,41,110 20.25 1.45 0.60
10/04/1
21.20 21.40 20.45 20.50 20.75 2,93,063 603 60,80,475 92,720 31.64 0.95 -0.70
8
11/04/1
20.50 20.60 20.15 20.20 20.31 2,80,443 413 56,95,958 1,02,390 36.51 0.45 -0.30
8
12/04/1
20.20 21.45 20.15 20.65 20.70 6,68,066 1,580 1,38,27,373 1,88,801 28.26 1.30 0.45
8
13/04/1
20.70 20.85 20.25 20.35 20.47 2,38,278 603 48,76,799 81,343 34.14 0.60 -0.35
8
16/04/1
20.05 20.40 19.90 20.10 20.11 2,53,706 474 51,02,592 85,508 33.70 0.50 0.05
8
17/04/1
20.35 21.20 20.25 20.70 20.71 8,52,550 1,669 1,76,60,313 1,78,266 20.91 0.95 0.35
8
18/04/1
20.95 20.95 20.25 20.40 20.48 1,57,173 290 32,19,079 63,213 40.22 0.70 -0.55
8
19/04/1
20.45 20.60 20.05 20.20 20.28 1,45,550 259 29,51,172 52,072 35.78 0.55 -0.25
8
20/04/1
20.20 20.20 19.75 19.85 19.90 2,17,269 395 43,23,493 86,127 39.64 0.45 -0.35
8
23/04/1
19.85 20.50 19.60 20.30 20.18 6,75,733 966 1,36,39,389 3,49,998 51.80 0.90 0.45
8
24/04/1
20.70 20.80 19.90 20.05 20.31 5,37,458 881 1,09,15,767 1,86,204 34.65 0.90 -0.65
8
25/04/1
20.25 20.45 19.75 19.85 20.06 3,34,528 498 67,09,445 88,020 26.31 0.70 -0.40
8
26/04/1
19.75 19.95 19.15 19.35 19.57 2,32,296 368 45,46,313 1,17,861 50.74 0.80 -0.40
8
27/04/1
19.40 19.75 19.30 19.35 19.51 1,49,571 378 29,18,257 53,269 35.61 0.45 -0.05
8
30/04/1
19.60 19.70 19.30 19.35 19.40 1,71,862 278 33,33,547 74,235 43.19 0.40 -0.25
8
2/05/18 19.50 19.75 19.00 19.05 19.35 2,19,093 561 42,40,063 80,183 36.60 0.75 -0.45
3/05/18 18.85 19.20 18.70 18.85 18.86 1,91,616 396 36,14,829 82,689 43.15 0.50 0.00
4/05/18 18.80 18.90 18.50 18.55 18.72 1,12,863 268 21,12,368 51,035 45.22 0.40 -0.25
7/05/18 18.80 18.90 18.50 18.60 18.68 1,38,404 267 25,85,145 73,649 53.21 0.40 -0.20
8/05/18 18.75 18.80 18.35 18.40 18.53 90,477 205 16,76,353 51,910 57.37 0.45 -0.35
MODULE – 4
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
TECHNCAL ANALYSIS:
identify patterns. Analysis applied to the price action of the market to develop trading
decisions, irrespective of fundamental factors.
The Relative Strength Index is a technical momentum indicator that compares the
magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in an attempt to determine overbought and
oversold conditions of an asset. It is calculated using the following formula:
100-100/(1+RS*)
BHARTI AIRTEL:
RSI
100
90
80
70
60 RSI
50
40
30
20
10
0
1 7 1 3 19 25 3 1 37 43 4 9 5 5 61 67 7 3 79 85 9 1 9 7 0 3 0 9 1 5
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The graph predicts the relative strength index for Bharti airtel and there is eventual
downfall and rise in share price of the company. As there is downfall in previous year and
boost in the current year so the company’s volatility is predicted to be high and holds a good
position in market and gains their shareholder good rate of takings.
RELIANCE COMMUNICATION :
5 5 3
3 1511.2 19.75 19.75 0 11.97857 9.325 1.28456 56.228
5
4 1487.9 -23.3 0 23.3 11.97857 10.46786 1.14431 53.3651
9 6
5 1468.2 -19.7 0 19.7 11.97857 9.292857 1.28900 56.3129
8 6
6 1460.6 -7.6 0 7.6 7.121429 9.835714 0.72403 41.9966
8 3
7 1477.2 16.65 16.65 0 8.310714 9.332143 0.89054 47.1052
5 7 6
8 1465.0 -12.2 0 12.2 8.078571 10.20357 0.79174 44.1883
5 2
9 1473.5 8.5 8.5 0 7.810714 10.20357 0.76548 43.3584
5 8 5
10 1487.1 13.55 13.55 0 8.778571 8.289286 1.05902 51.4333
6 5
RSI
90
80
70
60
50 RSI
40
30
20
10
0
1 7 13 1 9 25 3 1 37 43 4 9 5 5 6 1 67 7 3 79 8 5 91 97 0 3 0 9 1 5
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
TATA TELECOMMUNICATION:
NO CLOS CHANG ADVANC DECLIN AV.GAI AV.LOS RS RSI
E E E E N S
1 403.25 9.4 9.4 0 2.939286 2.710714 1.08432 52.0227
1 6
2 406.6 3.35 3.35 0 3.178571 2.082143 1.52658 60.4209
7 1
3 410.1 3.5 3.5 0 3.428571 1.721429 1.99170 66.5742
1
4 411.1 1 1 0 3.5 1.453571 2.40786 70.6560
2 9
5 404.95 -6.15 0 6.15 3.5 1.460714 2.39608 70.5543
8 6
6 401.45 -3.5 0 3.5 2.264286 1.710714 1.32359 56.9631
1 6
7 404.6 3.15 3.15 0 2.489286 1.639286 1.51851 60.2941
9 2
8 402.6 -2 0 2 2.064286 1.782143 1.15831 53.6676
7
9 410.9 8.3 8.3 0 2.425 1.782143 1.36072 57.6400
1 7
10 413.95 3.05 3.05 0 2.642857 1.307143 2.02185 66.9077
8 8
RSI
90
80
70
60
50 RSI
40
30
20
10
0
1 7 13 1 9 25 3 1 37 43 4 9 5 5 6 1 67 7 3 79 8 5 91 97 0 3 0 9 1 5
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph shows the relative strength of TATA communication. It further
more shows the bullish and bearish movements in the stock price. It provides important clues
indicating potential trend reversals and can also serve compliment as a broader trading
strategy.
IDEA CELLULAR:
RSI
80
70
60
50
RSI
40
30
20
10
0
1 7 13 1 9 25 3 1 37 43 4 9 5 5 6 1 67 7 3 79 8 5 91 97 0 3 0 9 1 5
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph shows the relative strength index for Idea cellular. The company
shows a sudden uptrend of share price and sharp downtrend of share prices. The RSI above
60 levels may be potential area for downtrend and the 20 level as an area reflecting oversold
conditions.
MTNL:
3
9 232.35 -11.4 0 11.4 2.042857 4.007143 0.50980 33.7662
4 3
10 233.85 1.5 1.5 0 1.739286 4.007143 0.43404 30.2672
6 5
RSI
80
70
60
50
RSI
40
30
20
10
0
1 7 13 1 9 25 3 1 37 43 4 9 5 5 6 1 67 7 3 79 8 5 91 97 0 3 0 9 1 5
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph shows the relative strength index for MTNL
communication. The company shows a sudden uptrends of share price and sharp
downtrends of share price.
The moving average (MA) gives you the daily average of the last x number
ofdays. Using the 20-day, 50-day, and 100-day time periods are common. That
provides three different levels of time information. The MAs are typically used
SRI KRISHNA ARTS AND SCIENCE COLLEGE Page 53
AN INDUSTRIAL EXPOSURE TRAINING REPORT ON
TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY
to provide support and resistance areas, and the crosses are treated as signals to
buy, sell, or cover as the case may be. There are variations on the moving
averages, but the simple ones suffice for what most people need them for. They
are also effective to confirm another signal. Most indicators can be used
together to present stronger evidence. Just be aware that some indicators use
similar information so they are likely to arrive at the same conclusions.
BHARTI AIRTEL:
1600
1550
1500
1450
1400
1350
1300
1 6 11 1 6 21 26 3 1 3 6 41 46 5 1 56 61 6 6 7 1 76 81 8 6 91 96 0 1 0 6 1 1
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph represents simple moving average of Bharti airtel for 20, 50, and
100 days. The 20 days average shows that there is uptrend. The 50 days average shows a
sharp downtrend and 100 days average shows a sideways trend.
RELIANCE COMMUNICATION:
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1 6 1 1 16 21 2 6 31 36 4 1 4 6 51 56 6 1 66 71 7 6 8 1 8 6 91 9 6 0 1 0 6 1 1
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph represents the simple moving average of Reliance communication
for 20, 50, 100 days. The 20 days average tells that there is uptrend which is followed by
downtrend. The 50 and 100 days average shows a sideways trend.
TATA COMMUNICATION:
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1 6 11 1 6 2 1 2 6 3 1 3 6 41 46 51 56 6 1 6 6 7 1 7 6 8 1 86 91 96 0 1 0 6 1 1
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph represents the simple moving average of TATA commincation for
20, 50, 100 days. The 20 days average tells that there is uptrend which is followed by
downtrend. The 50 and 100 days average shows a sideways trend.
IDEA CELLULAR:
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
1 6 1 1 16 21 2 6 3 1 36 41 4 6 5 1 56 61 66 7 1 76 81 8 6 9 1 96 0 1 0 6 1 1
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph represents the simple moving average of Idea cellular for 20, 50,
100 days. The 20 days average tells that there is uptrend which is followed by downtrend.
The 50 and 100 days average shows a sideways trend.
MTNL:
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
1 6 11 1 6 2 1 2 6 3 1 3 6 41 46 51 56 6 1 6 6 7 1 7 6 8 1 86 91 96 0 1 0 6 1 1
1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The above graph represents the simple moving average of MTNL communication
for 20, 50, 100 days. The 20 days average tells that there is uptrend which is followed by
downtrend. The 50 and 100 days average shows a sideways trend.
PIVOT= HIGH+LOW+CLOSE/3
*R1=PIVOT-LOW
*S1=PIVOT-HIGH
BHARTI AIRTEL:
1800
1600
1400
1200
1000
800 S1
600 R1
400
200
0
INTERPRETATION:
The exceeding graph represents share price movements for Bharti airtel for a period
of 6 months. The increasing trends can be considered as support level and below trends can
be considered as resistance levels.
RELIANCE COMMUNICATION:
INTERPRETATION:
TATA TELECOMMUNICATION:
INTERPRETATION:
The exceeding graph represents share price movements for TATA communication
for a period of 6 months. The increasing trends can be considered as support level and below
trends can be considered as resistance levels.
IDEA CELLULAR:
1400
1200
1000
800
S1
600 R1
400
200
0
1 8 15 22 29 3 6 4 3 5 0 5 7 6 4 71 78 85 92 99 0 6 1 3 2 0 2 7
1 1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The exceeding graph represents share price movements for Idea cellular for a period
of 6 months. The increasing trends can be considered as support level and below trends can
be considered as resistance levels.
MTNL :
NO HIGH LOW CLOSE PIVOT S1 R1
1 294.85 287.45 292.35 291.55 288.25 295.65
2 293 281.25 287.75 287.3333 281.6667 293.4167
3 287.15 277.5 279.15 281.2667 275.3833 285.0333
4 287.65 277.65 280.85 282.05 276.45 286.45
5 287 250 281.85 272.95 258.9 295.9
6 272.5 264.3 270.2 269 265.5 273.7
7 273.85 260.1 267.6 267.1833 260.5167 274.2667
8 269.5 258.55 267.9 265.3167 261.1333 272.0833
9 267.9 257.1 259.85 261.6167 255.3333 266.1333
10 270.45 262.65 265.6 266.2333 262.0167 269.8167
300
250
200
150 S1
R1
100
50
0
1 8 1 5 22 29 3 6 4 3 50 57 6 4 7 1 78 85 9 2 99 0 6 1 3 2 0 2 7
1 1 1 1
INTERPRETATION:
The exceeding graph represents share price movements for MTNL communication
for a period of 6 months. The increasing trends can be considered as support level and below
trends can be considered as resistance levels.
MODULE – 5
PETS ANALYSIS
POLITICAL:
The political environment is full of risks for the telecom sector. The traditional
political risks for telecom are the ones related to regulations, network licensing, national
radio spectrums and in case of certain nations trade barriers. Generally, these issues have
affected the network operators and the effect has been felt less by equipment and service
providers. However, one factor that worked in the favor of the telecom industry was
privatization and deregulation. For some time, the telecom industry enjoyed relative freedom
based upon its importance in the process of globalization. However, a number of threats have
emerged in last some years that could mean that political risks are on the rise again. Increased
focus is on the growing markets like China and India. However, the level of government
control in these markets is high.
Political risks rooted in national security and human rights issues are another major
source of political pressure for the telecom sector. Governments across the world have
launched measures to monitor and control communications motivated by political and
security reasons. These measures have grown tougher in the aftermath of the terrorist attacks
on US and hacking attempts on the US government’s databases. All these factors show that
political risks are going to sustain. Moreover, a large number of countries have maintained
trade barriers against the US telecom companies. As per a USCIB 2016 report, there is an
extensive list of countries that maintain trade barrier against the US telecom companies. The
list is here:
employment laws
tax policy
political stability
ECONOMIC:
The role of economic factors is just as important in the context of the telecom
industry. The recession had hurt this sector deeply. People were cutting back on their telecom
spending during the recession. Cutbacks on landlines had grown during the recession while
the growth of cellular services had slowed. Now since the economic recession has passed,
consumer spending on telecom is back on track. By 2009, people had stopped cutting on their
telecom expenses. 2016 has been good and with economic revival, things are changing
around the world. Globally, it all depends on the pocket of the consumer. The happier is the
economy, the higher will be consumer spending on any product or service. These economic
trends are also supported by technological changes. Fewer trade barriers could mean better
growth rate for the US based network providers.
inflation rate
economic growth
exchange rates
interest rates
SOCIAL:
Social factors also have a deep influence on the industry and its profitability.
Connectivity is central to so many things including work and entertainment. Globally, the use
of internet based services has grown. A higher number of people are using the social media
for fun and business. From YouTube videos to Netflix, video streaming services all require a
very good connectivity. This is a reason that the use of 4G has grown globally. Moreover,
more and more people like to remain connected on the go. This is a part of their lifestyle. For
some it is because they are too busy with work and in case of others they cannot remain
disconnected with family and friends.
Moreover, as per a report, the US people are gazing at least 9 billion times on their
smartphones and mobile devices. The use of mobile computing has grown quite fast and so
many features in these smartphones and tablets cannot be used without a very good
connection. A larger number of people around the world are growing health conscious and
are using wrist bands to track their physical activity. In this way, for the modern generation
connectivity defines its world. Overall, these trends have proved highly favorable for the
telecom industry.
emphasis on safety
career attitudes
age distribution
health consciousness
TECHNOLOGICAL:
Autonomous driving too could become a reality in some years. This is just a part of
the picture because there are several other small and big technologies that will utilize a
connection like biometrics whose use on smartphones is expected to grow. IoT is another
area that is giving rise to major opportunities for the telecom providers. From connected cars
to smart homes and businesses, wearables, smart cities, several things will have connectivity
at their core. 5G is expected to take things ahead by reducing costs for the providers and
speeding up our connections many times. Thus, technological forces are one of the most
important ones affecting the telecom industry.
R&D activity
technology incentives
automation
LEGAL:
Globally legal compliance gives rise to big risks for the telecom providers. Apart from
the common labor and employment laws, there are several other laws and licenses that are
essential to be complied with. In US, the broadcasting regulations are overseen by the FCC
which was established by the Congress in 1934. There are several laws including those
related to telemarketing and privacy that the providers must comply with. Several changes
took place in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks that gave rise to additional pressures for the
telecom providers.
MODULE – 6
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS:
Reality sector is lucrative for long term period; whereas investment in reality sector
creates boom in short term period. Five scrip here analyses based on BSE indices, RSI
analysis, moving average of convergences and divergence, and support & resistance
in the fundamental analysis. . As stock markets are highly volatile the investors
should aware the periodic trend in the market. The share price which is
telecommunication industries correlating with Sensex reflects a positive trend.
So investors should invest in this sector they will that good return for their
investment. Sometime the share price should come down but that cannot affect the
invest money, so the long term investment is use to get high returns. And that is safe
to invest the money.
RSI swings between 70 and 30.It can be concluded that there is a strong uptrend in the
share price movements. As there is downfall in previous year and boost in the current
year so the company’s volatility is predicted to be high and holds a good position in
topical market and gains their shareholder good rate of takings. RSI values find by
using formula and insert in the chart.
Support and Resistance for a period of 6 months. The increasing trends can be
considered as support level and below trends can be considered as resistance levels.
In over all companies Bharti airtel and Reliance communication having stable growth
in the analysis. These Companies having price movements are very highly violated
and having average increase in the support and resistance level.
Other companies are also having consistence growth in the price level. But it changes
according to the certain circumstances of the economic growth of our nation.
MODULE – 7
CONCLUSION
CONCLUSION:
In the analysis we see the company share price and the company share levels. It helps
to investor to invest their money into the best company. So investor can get returns for
their investment.
In this analysis of telecommunication companies. The company share price is increase
in market, because the company net profit is increase. And their company market
value is increase to compare another company. So investor should get high return of
these companies.
This report of ratio analysis in the production concern is not merely a work of the
project. But a brief knowledge and experience of that how to analyze the financial
performance of the firm.
The fundamental and technical analysis needs of an organization change over time as
does its internal cash generation rate. As such, the small should ensure a good
synchronization of its assets and liabilities. Further, this research concludes that there
is a pressing need for further empirical studies to be undertaken on small business
financial management, in particular their fundamental practices by extending the
sample size so that an industry wise analysis can help to uncover the factors that
explain the better performance of telecommunication industries. From the above
analysis an investor can assess the true and fair view of investing ways.
MODULE - 8
ANNEXURE
BHARTI AIRTEL:
Profit & Loss account of Bharti Airtel ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
INCOME
53,663.0
Revenue From Operations [Gross] 62,276.30 60,300.30 55,496.40
0
53,663.0
Revenue From Operations [Net] 62,276.30 60,300.30 55,496.40
0
53,663.0
Total Operating Revenues 62,276.30 60,300.30 55,496.40
0
53,898.6
Total Revenue 62,460.60 60,473.20 60,689.40
0
EXPENSES
13,951.2
Operating And Direct Expenses 14,536.00 28,776.00 14,602.50
0
13,048.6
Depreciation And Amortisation Expenses 12,203.40 9,575.30 7,559.70
0
20,186.0
Other Expenses 22,308.90 7,348.30 19,699.90
0
53,975.7
Total Expenses 53,699.30 49,538.90 45,034.10
0
IDEA CELLULAR:
Profit & Loss account of Idea Cellular ------------------- in Rs. Cr. -------------------
Income
Expenditure
TATA COMMUNICATION:
Income
Expenditure
RELIANCE TELECOMMUNICATION:
INCOME
EXPENSES
INCOME
2,849.1
Revenue From Operations [Gross] 3,111.14 3,375.52 3,379.16
2
2,849.1
Revenue From Operations [Net] 3,111.14 3,375.52 3,379.16
2
2,869.6
Total Operating Revenues 3,123.96 3,400.08 3,391.74
8
3,552.4
Total Revenue 3,693.18 3,821.06 3,787.37
6
EXPENSES
2,647.8
Employee Benefit Expenses 2,639.32 2,653.19 2,615.40
1
1,448.4
Finance Costs 1,351.34 1,439.62 1,390.15
7
1,087.6
Depreciation And Amortisation Expenses 1,151.59 1,158.59 1,165.74
3
6,497.9
Total Expenses 6,448.93 6,723.46 6,870.41
2
-
Profit/Loss Before Exceptional,
2,945.4 -2,755.75 -2,902.40 -3,083.04
ExtraOrdinary Items And Tax
6
-
Profit/Loss Before Tax 2,945.4 -2,755.75 -2,902.40 8,537.89
6
-
Profit/Loss After Tax And Before
2,941.0 -2,263.49 -2,902.40 8,040.72
ExtraOrdinary Items
8
-
Profit/Loss From Continuing
2,941.0 -2,263.49 -2,893.39 7,825.13
Operations
8
-
Profit/Loss For The Period 2,941.0 -1,947.54 -2,893.39 7,825.13
8
BHARTI AIRTEL:
Sources Of Funds
100,862.2
Reserves 99,208.60 109,730.40 76,272.10
0
102,860.9
Networth 101,207.30 111,729.10 78,270.80
0
168,276.7
Total Liabilities 161,302.00 153,886.00 98,523.40
0
Application Of Funds
180,754.6
Gross Block 163,428.00 137,060.80 93,021.60
0
122,609.4
Net Block 111,522.80 91,925.50 53,442.30
0
168,276.7
Total Assets 161,302.00 153,886.00 98,523.40
0
IDEA CELLULAR:
Sources Of Funds
20,118.4
Reserves 21,164.69 18,292.30 12,264.72
3
23,723.7
Networth 24,765.20 21,890.14 15,584.35
6
43,812.5
Unsecured Loans 0.00 9,951.21 9,861.92
5
51,671.4
Total Debt 37,549.62 16,157.88 17,753.24
8
75,395.2
Total Liabilities 62,314.82 38,048.02 33,337.59
4
Application Of Funds
85,501.1
Gross Block 69,717.83 51,212.18 41,352.37
4
76,124.9
Net Block 64,971.30 32,113.91 26,024.12
9
20,019.9
Current Liabilities 15,913.40 19,046.89 10,247.56
1
20,367.1
Total CL & Provisions 16,340.36 19,627.82 10,650.77
8
-
Net Current Assets 14,510.2 -11,195.00 -11,959.43 -5,707.85
4
67,866.0
Total Assets 62,314.83 38,048.04 33,337.60
6
29,513.0
Contingent Liabilities 25,478.46 54,236.32 14,957.68
0
TATA COMMUNICATION:
Sources Of Funds
Application Of Funds
10,956.6
Gross Block 10,233.65 9,655.61 9,702.38
3
RELIANCE COMMUNICATION:
Sources Of Funds
Application Of Funds
MTNL COMMUNICATION:
Sources Of Funds
Application Of Funds
BIBILOGRAPHY:
http://indianfinance.in
www.investopida.com
www.jpcindianfinance.nic.inwww.pib.nic.in
Financial statements: www.moneycontrol.com/company/financial
Historical share prices: http://www.yahoofinance.com
http://www.wikipedia.com
www.easycalculation.com
www.moneycontorl.com