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Operations Management, Student Value Edition (11th Edition)

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Kelle Carpet and Trim installs carpet in commercial offices. Peter Kelle has been very concerned
with the amount of time it took to complete several recent jobs. Some of his workers are very
unreliable. A list of activities and their optimistic completion time, the most likely completion time, Continue to post
and the pessimistic completion time (all in days) for a new contract are given in the following
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a) Determine the expected completion time and variance for each activity. Hardik
Punjabi University
b) Determine the total project completion time and the critical path for the project. Find me a tutor
c) Determine ES, EF, LS, LF, and slack for each activity.
d) What is the probability that Kelle Carpet and Trim will finish the project in 40 days or less?
Step-by-step solution
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Step 1 of 6
Consider the following data showing the activities involved in a project along with its optimistic,
most likely, and pessimistic completion time.
Comment
Step 2 of 6
a.
Calculate the expected completion time and variance for each activity using given
formulas:
…… (1)
…… (2)
Where ‘a’ is the optimistic time estimate, ‘m’ is the most likely time estimate and ‘b’ is the
pessimistic time estimate.
Prepare an excel sheet incorporating above formulas to determine the expected

completion and variance of each activity as shown below:
Comments (1)
Step 3 of 6
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b.
Initially prepare a network diagram using the mentioned data. The network diagram is
shown below:
Comment
Step 4 of 6
Calculate the length of each path by adding the expected time required for completion of each
activity present in a path. Calcualtiosn are shown below:
Paths Duration Total
2+7+4+10+6+7.33 36.33*
C+D+E+F+H+K A+F+H+K
5.83+10+6+7.33 29.17
A+G+I+K
5.83+2.17+11+7.33 26.33
B+E+F+H+K
3.67+4+10+6+7.33 31
B+E+G+I+K
3.67+4+2.17+11+7.33 28.17
C+D+E+G+I+K
2+7+4+2.17+11+7.33 33.5
C-J
2+16.33 18.33
The path that takes the longest duration is called the critical path. The duration of this path is
called the project duration. Hence, the critical path is
Therefore, the total project duration is 36.33 days.
Comment
Step 5 of 6
c.
Calculate the ES, EF, LS and LF of the activities as follows-
ES and EF are calculated from the left side of a network diagram and proceeds towards the right
side.
ES of an activity = EF of preceding activity
ES of beginning activity = 0
EF of beginning activity = ES + Activity time
LS and LF are calculated from the right side of a network diagram and proceeds towards the left
side.
LF of an activity = LS of following activity
Use the largest EF as LF of all activities.
LS = LF – activity time
Calculate the slack time using the following formula:
Slack time = latest Start – Earliest start
ST = LS-ES
The ES, EF, LS, LF and Slack time of the activities present on the critical path are given below:
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Hence, the ES, EF, LS, LF, and slack of each activity present in the project are determined.
Activities having 0 slack is considered to be present in the critical path.
Comments (2)
Step 6 of 6
d.
Calculate the acitivity variance along critical path by adding the variance of each activity present
in the path.
Variance =
= 5.22
Determine the probability of completion of the project on or before week 40 days as shown
below:
Calculate the standard deviation of the critical path using given formula:
Initially calculate the z value for given data using given formula:
Now, determine the probability for given z value using =NORMSDIST (1.61) formula in excel
sheet. The probability comes out to be 0.9463 or 95% (approximately). Thus, the probability of
completion of the project on or before week 40 is 95%.
Please note that values might differ due to rounded figures taken in calculations.
Comment
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Operations Management, Student Value Edition (11th Edition)

Chapter 3, Problem 14P 16 Bookmarks Show all steps: OFF

F 6 10 14 A, E Operations... Introduction The..

View all solutions

Prepare an excel sheet incorporating above formulas to determine the expected

Paths Duration Total

Therefore, the total project duration is 36.33 days.

Calculate the ES, EF, LS and LF of the activities as follows-

ES of an activity = EF of preceding activity

EF of beginning activity = ES + Activity time

LF of an activity = LS of following activity

Use the largest EF as LF of all activities.

Calculate the slack time using the following formula:

Slack time = latest Start – Earliest start

Was this solution helpful? 23 2

Recommended solutions for you in Chapter 3

Southwestern University: (A)*Southwestern The estimated times and

See solution See solution

See more problems in subjects you study

LEGAL & POLICIES

CHEGG PRODUCTS AND SERVICES

© 2003-2020 Chegg Inc. All rights reserved.

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