You are on page 1of 17

Mitchel Penn, CFA 410-583-5976 mpenn@janney.

com

BDCs August 29, 2019

Price: $15.98 Owl Rock Capital Corp. (ORCC) - NEUTRAL


Fair Value Estimate: $16.00
52-Week Range:
Market Cap (MM):
$15.02 - $16.45
$6,132
ORCC: Initiating Coverage at Neutral
Shr.O/S-Diluted (mm): 383.7
 
Average Daily Volume: 300,358
Book Value: $15.28 PORTFOLIO MANAGER BRIEF
Dividend: $1.24 We are initiating coverage of Owl Rock Capital Corp. (ORCC) with a Neutral rating
Yield: 7.8%
and a fair value of $16.00. Owl Rock is a regulated investment company/business
development company (RIC/BDC) with a focus on middle market debt and to a lesser
FYE: Dec 2019E 2020E 2021E extent related equity investments. We believe Owl Rock can generate a 9.0% ROE
EPS: $1.67E $1.64E $1.36E
Prior EPS: NC NC NC
with a cost of capital of 8.5%, resulting in a fair value estimate of $16/sh or 105% of
P/E Ratio: 9.6x 9.7x 11.8x NAV.

Quarterly EPS:  
Q1 $0.49A $0.40E $0.33E ANALYST NOTES
Q2 $0.44A $0.44E $0.34E ● Owl Rock has earned a 9.7% ROE on average since 2Q16. We believe Owl Rock
Q3 $0.36E $0.46E $0.35E
Q4 $0.38E $0.34E $0.34E
over-earned as it only charged a 75 bps fee during this time period. As a public
company Owl Rock will charge a 150 bps base management fee and a 17.50%
Quarterly NII: incentive fee. Management has agreed to waive all but 75 bps in fees for the first
Q1 $0.41A $0.40E $0.33E 15 months, after which investors will pay the full fee. We estimate that this will
Q2 $0.42A $0.44E $0.34E save investors roughly $0.47/sh annually (4% of NAV). However, at full fees, we
Q3 $0.36E $0.46E $0.35E estimate a normalized ROE of 8.5% to 9%, down 300 bps from our estimated
Q4 $0.38E $0.34E $0.34E peek ROE of 12% in 3Q20.
Year: $1.57E $1.64E $1.36E ● Credit quality is strong with no loans on non-accrual. Since the first quarter of
2016, ORCC has averaged a net unrealized/realized gain of 10 bps (per quarter)
of average total assets. Only 9.9% (fair value basis) of its portfolio is performing
below management's expectations. Based on conversations we have had with
management, ORCC focuses on higher quality first lien loans. ORCC’s 82%
st
allocation to 1 lien loans and its weighted average yield of 9.4% would support
management’s claim that it focuses on higher quality loans.
● As of 6/30/19, ORCC’s portfolio was comprised of investments in 90 portfolio
companies in 27 different industries with debt and equity investments with a
fair value of $7.2 billion, carried at approximately 100% of cost. The largest
industries in the portfolio, based on fair value as of June 30, 2019, were internet
software and services, professional services, healthcare providers and services,
distribution, and food & beverage, which represented 10.0%, 10.0%, 9.0%,
9.0%, and 7.0%, respectively, as a percentage of our portfolio at fair value.
● As of June 30, 2019, its portfolio on a fair value basis was comprised of 98.0%
secured debt investments (81% in first lien term loans and 17% in second lien
debt), 2% in unsecured debt, equity, and investment vehicles.
● Owl Rock has a 10b5-1 (share repurchase) program that allows it to repurchase
th
up to $150M of common stock over an 18 month period. We believe Owl Rock
will repurchase shares if the stock trades below NAV.

PAGE 1 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM

PAGE 2 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM


PAGE 3 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM

PAGE 4 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM

PAGE 5 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
PAGE 6 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM

PAGE 7 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM

Source: Company Reports

PAGE 8 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM

PAGE 9 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
PAGE 10 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
PAGE 11 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
PAGE 12 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
PAGE 13 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
PAGE 14 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
Research Analyst Certification
I, Mitchel Penn, the Primarily Responsible Analyst for this research report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research
report accurately reflect my personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers. No part of my compensation was, is, or will
be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views I expressed in this research report.
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC ("Janney") Equity Research Disclosure Legend
Owl Rock Capital Corp. currently is, or during the past 12 months was, a Janney Montgomery Scott LLC client. Janney Montgomery Scott LLC,
provided investment banking related services.
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC managed or co-managed a public offering of securities for Owl Rock Capital Corp. in the past 12 months.
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC received compensation for investment banking services from Owl Rock Capital Corp. in the past 12 months.
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services from Owl Rock Capital
Corp. in the next three months.
The research analyst is compensated based on, in part, Janney Montgomery Scott's profitability, which includes its investment banking revenues.
Definition of Ratings
BUY: Janney expects that the subject company will appreciate in value. Additionally, we expect that the subject company will outperform
comparable companies within its sector.
NEUTRAL: Janney believes that the subject company is fairly valued and will perform in line with comparable companies within its sector.
Investors may add to current positions on short-term weakness and sell on strength as the valuations or fundamentals become more or less
attractive.
SELL: Janney expects that the subject company will likely decline in value and will underperform comparable companies within its sector.
Price Charts
Rating and Price Target History for: Owl Rock Capital Corp. (ORCC) as of 08-28-2019
16.20

16.00

15.80

15.60

15.40

15.20
Q2 Q3 2017 Q1 Q2 Q3 2018 Q1 Q2 Q3 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3

Created by: BlueMatrix

Janney Montgomery Scott Ratings Distribution as of 06/30/2019


IB Serv./Past 12 Mos.*

Rating Count Percent Count Percent

BUY [B] 179 55.59 40 22.35

NEUTRAL [N] 142 44.10 14 9.86

SELL [S] 1 0.31 0 0.00

*Percentages of each rating category where Janney has performed Investment Banking services over the past 12 months.
Other Disclosures

PAGE 15 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, is a U.S. broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and a member of the
New York Stock Exchange, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority and the Securities Investor Protection Corp.
This report is for your information only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities or instruments named or
described in this report. Interested parties are advised to contact the entity with which they deal or the entity that provided this report to
them, should they desire further information. The information in this report has been obtained or derived from sources believed by Janney
Montgomery Scott LLC, to be reliable. Janney Montgomery Scott LLC, however, does not represent that this information is accurate or
complete. Any opinions or estimates contained in this report represent the judgment of Janney Montgomery Scott LLC at this time and are
subject to change without notice.
Investment opinions are based on each stock's 6-12 month return potential. Our ratings are not based on formal price targets, however,
our analysts will discuss fair value and/or target price ranges in research reports. Decisions to buy or sell a stock should be based on the
investor's investment objectives and risk tolerance and should not rely solely on the rating. Investors should read carefully the entire
research report, which provides a more complete discussion of the analyst's views. Supporting information related to the recommendation,
if any, made in the research report is available upon request.

PAGE 16 OF 17 RESEARCH ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS AND IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES ARE ON PAGES 15 - 17 OF THIS REPORT

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM
C A P I TA L M A R K E T S :
EQUITY RESEARCH

RESEARCH DEPARTMENT
Christopher Marinac, CFA - Director of Research 404.601.7210
Dan Wantrobski, CMT - Associate Director of Research 215.665.4446

FINANCIALS HEALTHCARE

BANKS & THRIFTS (FORMERLY FIG PARTNERS) BIOTECHNOLOGY & SPECIALTY PHARMACEUTICALS
Christopher Marinac, CFA Yun Zhong, Ph.D.
404.601.7210 212.888.2359
Director of Research Director
Jake Civiello Esther Hong, J.D.
207.536.2171 212.888.2525
Director Director
Timothy Coffey
925.393.5204 LIFE SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY
Managing Director
Brian Martin, CFA Paul Knight, CFA
312.461.4346 212.888.2696
Managing Director Head of Healthcare Research
John Rodis Michael Gokay
314.570.2671 212.888.2524
Managing Director Associate

BDCS
Mitchel Penn, CFA
410.583.5976
Managing Director INFRASTRUCTURE

INSURANCE
UTILITIES & INFRASTRUCTURE
Larry Greenberg, CFA
860.856.5731 Michael Gaugler
Managing Director 215.665.1359
Managing Director
SPECIALTY FINANCE
John Rowan
212.940.6981
Managing Director
TECHNICAL RESEARCH & STRATEGY

TECHNICAL RESEARCH
REAL ESTATE Dan Wantrobski, CMT
215.665.4446
Associate Director of Research
REITS
Robert Stevenson
646.840.3217
Head of Real Estate Research
SUPERVISORY ANALYSTS
LODGING REITS, TRAVEL & LEISURE
Tyler Batory Holly Guthrie
215.665.4448 215.665.1268
Director Director
Irene Buhalo
215.665.6510
Vice President

WWW.JANNEY.COM • © JANNEY MONTGOMERY SCOTT LLC • MEMBER: NYSE, FINRA, SIPC • REF. 190613A

Provided for the exclusive use of Rob Hink at Lowe`s Companies, Inc on 13-Jan-2021 02:01 AM

You might also like