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Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Social Science & Medicine


journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/socscimed

Potential effectiveness of anti-smoking advertisement types in ten low


and middle income countries: Do demographics, smoking
characteristics and cultural differences matter?
Sarah Durkin a, Megan Bayly a, Trish Cotter b, Sandra Mullin b, Melanie Wakefield a, *
a
Cancer Council Victoria, 1 Rathdowne Street, Carlton, VIC 3053, Australia
b
World Lung Foundation, 61 Broadway, Suite 2800, NY 10006, USA

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Unlike high income countries, there is limited research to guide selection of anti-tobacco mass media
Available online 3 October 2013 campaigns in low and middle income countries, although some work suggests that messages empha-
sizing serious health harms perform better than other message types. This study aimed to determine
Keywords: whether certain types of anti-smoking advertisements are more likely to be accepted and perceived as
Tobacco effective across smokers in 10 low to middle income countries. 2399 18e34 year old smokers were
Low and middle income countries
recruited in Bangladesh, China, Egypt, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Philippines, Russia, Turkey and Vietnam
Mass media campaigns
to view and rate 10 anti-tobacco ads. Five ads were shown in all countries and five ads were chosen by
Adults
Cultural congruence
country representatives, providing a total of 37 anti-smoking ads across all countries (10 graphic health
effects ads, 6 simulated health effects, 8 emotional stories of health effects, 7 other health effects and 6
non-health effects). Smokers rated ads on a series of 5-point scales containing aggregated measures of
Message Acceptance and Perceived Effectiveness. All ads and materials were translated into the local
language of the testing regions. In multivariate analysis, graphic health effects ads were most likely to be
accepted and perceived as effective, followed by simulated health effects ads, health effects stories, other
health effects ads, and then non-health effects ads. Interaction analyses indicated that graphic health
effects ads were less likely to differ in acceptance or perceived effectiveness across countries, gender, age,
education, parental status and amount smoked, and were less likely to be affected by cultural differences
between characters and contexts in ads and those within each country. Ads that did not emphasize the
health effects of smoking were most prone to inconsistent impact across countries and population
subgroups. Graphic ads about the negative health effects of smoking may be most suitable for wide
population broadcast in low and middle income countries.
Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Introduction supported by FCTC Article 12 on public education and training


(World Health Organization, 2003). Mass media campaigns directly
Over 80% of the world’s adult male smokers now live in low and prompt quitting in adult smokers, as well as reduce the broader
middle income countries (Eriksen, MacKay, & Ross, 2012). In order social acceptability of smoking and build public support for the
to reduce global smoking prevalence as rapidly as possible, it is implementation of other key tobacco control policies (Durkin et al.,
imperative to fully implement comprehensive evidence-based to- 2012; Wakefield, Loken, & Hornik, 2010).
bacco control strategies, such as those articulated in the WHO Recent reviews highlight that the effectiveness of anti-tobacco
Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC). Anti-tobacco mass media campaigns depends upon the types of messages used
mass media campaigns increase quitting and reduce smoking and the extent to which campaigns can be funded to consistently
prevalence in high-income countries (Durkin, Brennan, & reach the majority of the population (Durkin et al., 2012; National
Wakefield, 2012; National Cancer Institute, 2008) and are Cancer Institute, 2008). Population-based and advertisement (ad)
rating studies of different message themes in high income coun-
tries indicate that negative health effects messages, most of which
feature graphic imagery (visceral pictures of external and internal
* Corresponding author. Centre for Behavioural Research in Cancer, Cancer
Council Victoria, 1 Rathdowne Street, Carlton, VIC 3053, Australia. body parts riddled with smoking related disease), testimonial
E-mail address: melanie.wakefield@cancervic.org.au (M. Wakefield). stories and/or elicit negative emotions, tend to be more effective

0277-9536/$ e see front matter Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2013.09.022
S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213 205

than other message themes (Durkin et al., 2012; U.S. Department of whether certain types of negative health effects and non-health
Health and Human Services, 2012). There is a small but growing effects anti-smoking ads are more likely to be accepted and
body of evidence of the effectiveness of anti-tobacco mass media perceived as effective across a broad cross-section of smokers from
campaigns in low and middle income countries (Alday et al., 2010; low and middle income countries, or whether there are no ‘com-
Murukutla et al., 2011; Perl et al., 2011; Thrasher et al., 2011; mon denominator’ messages and only specific types of ads are
Wakefield et al., 2013), although only one study has directly effective for specific demographic subgroups.
compared the effectiveness of different message types among adult It has been suggested that an efficient way of using funds avail-
smokers in such countries (Wakefield et al., 2013). That study found able for anti-smoking campaigns in low and middle income coun-
two ads containing graphic imagery, and a third showing a disgust- tries is to adapt and/or recycle messages already used successfully in
provoking simulation of the serious health effects of smoking, were other jurisdictions to reduce costs associated with new campaign
rated consistently more positively on message acceptance and development (Cotter et al., 2010). However, it is possible that the
perceived ad effectiveness than an emotional story about the health success of some of these ads may be reduced within different
effects of smoking and a simulation of the effects of emphysema, countries due certain ads being culturally different (Wakefield et al.,
across 10 low and middle income countries (Wakefield et al., 2013). 2013). Communication theories indicate personal relevance or self-
A limitation of the study was that all ads featured the negative referencing where viewers relate events in the message back to their
health effects of smoking and there were only one or two repre- own life and behaviour (Burnkrant & Unnava, 1989, 1995) are
sentations of the different ad types. The current study aims to more important in determining message persuasiveness (Dunlop,
fully explore the effects of different types of anti-tobacco ads, using Wakefield, & Kashima, 2008, 2010; Epstein, 2003; Green, 2008;
a total of 37 ads in the same 10 countries. Petty, Cacioppo, Strathman, & Priester, 2005). Messages may have
As smoking prevalence differs across different demographic lower personal relevance and elicit less self-referencing among
groups e for example by age, gender or socio-economic status viewers if they include people and actors from cultures obviously
(Eriksen et al., 2012) e it is often assumed that particular campaigns different from their own. If smokers see people like themselves in
should be specifically designed for the highest prevalence sub- the ad or if the story is more recognizable, messages may be more
groups. However, developing and producing many different ads for likely to be accepted and perceived as effective. Our study also aimed
different subgroups requires substantial resources and erodes the to examine whether cultural differences between the characters and
amount of funding available to widely broadcast ads and reach the contexts in the ad and the country in which it was tested affected the
majority of smokers (Durkin et al., 2012; U.S. Department of Health perceived impact of different types of anti-tobacco ads, and whether
and Human Services, 2012). Campaigns specifically targeted to this differed by demographic and smoker subgroups.
subgroups risk stigmatizing the targeted group by implicitly Interest in quitting, quitting history and addiction level have
communicating to the public that this group is in particular need of also been found in some studies to influence responses to anti-
the message (Hornik & Ramirez, 2006). Creating targeted messages tobacco mass media campaign messages. Those who have greater
for many different groups may also inadvertently reduce the po- motivation to quit smoking and have made previous attempts to
tential for campaigns to support broader societal norm and policy quit are more likely to perceive anti-smoking ads to be relevant and
change, due to public perceptions that the messages are of relevance effective (Davis, Nonnemaker, Farrelly, & Niederdeppe, 2011;
only to specific subgroups (Hornik & Ramirez, 2006). Also, targeted Durkin & Wakefield, 2008; Niederdeppe et al., 2011; Veer, Tutty,
campaigns may not perform better for a particular demographic & Willemse, 2008), while those who smoke more or are more
subgroup than ‘common denominator’ ads that are relevant to a addicted tend to be less likely to report positive responses to anti-
broad range of smokers (Durkin et al., 2012; Hornik & Ramirez, 2006; smoking messages (Davis et al., 2011; Strasser et al., 2009). Other
National Cancer Institute, 2008; U.S. Department of Health and studies have found more behaviourally-based responses to health
Human Services, 2012). Therefore, it has been suggested that if effects anti-tobacco campaigns (i.e. quit attempts) to be more
‘common denominator’ messages are found to be equally effective equally generated by sustained media campaign exposure irre-
across different demographic groups, a segmented strategy is un- spective of baseline interest in quitting (Borland & Balmford, 2003;
necessary and not worth the potential risks as well as extra costs Wakefield, Spittal, Yong, Durkin, & Borland, 2011). The current
(Hornik & Ramirez, 2006). study also aimed to examine if smokers in low and middle income
Previous research in high income countries has found few dif- countries who are more motivated to quit or who have previously
ferences between the response of different demographic groups to tried to quit respond more positively, and heavier smokers less
anti-smoking mass media campaigns among adolescents (National positively, to anti-smoking messages, and whether this differs
Cancer Institute, 2008; U.S. Department of Health and Human depending on the type of message.
Services, 2012) and adults (Bala, Strzeszynski, & Cahill, 2008;
Durkin et al., 2012). A review of campaign effects in adolescents Method
(National Cancer Institute, 2008) concluded that ad characteristics
are more important than demographic characteristics in deter- Design
mining ad effectiveness, and that ads that perform well do so
among many population groups. Consistent with this, in adults, Smokers in ten low and middle-income countries individually
negative health effects ads that have been found to be most effec- rated, and then discussed in a group, a set of ten anti-smoking
tive across a broad range of smokers have also been found to be television ads. Five ads were shown and rated in all countries,
equally effective across different age groups and genders (Durkin and the remaining five ads differed in each country, providing a
et al., 2012). There is also emerging evidence these health effects total of 37 different anti-smoking ads across the 10 countries
ads are at least equally, if not more effective among lower income (online Appendix 1).
and lower educated smokers (Durkin, Biener, & Wakefield, 2009,
Durkin, Wakefield, & Spittal, 2011; Niederdeppe, Farrelly, Participants
Nonnemaker, Davis, & Wagner, 2011). Decisions about segmenta-
tion of campaign messages are particularly important for the 2399 daily cigarette smokers (including female bidi smokers in
development of campaigns in low and middle income countries, India; a bidi is small cigarette, locally produced in India and usually
where funding is limited. Therefore this study aimed to examine from cut tobacco rolled in leaf), aged 18e34 years who could read
206 S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213

and write in their own language, and who did not work in health Over 80% of the 37 ads were about the serious health harms of
promotion, market research, advertising, or the tobacco industry, smoking. Based on previous ad categorizations of negative health
were recruited from the ten countries. In each country, approxi- effects ads (Durkin et al., 2009, 2011; Farrelly, Davis, Nonnemaker,
mately 240 adult smokers (24 groups of 8e12 smokers) were Kamyab, & Jackson, 2011; Wakefield et al., 2013) one researcher
recruited using convenience sampling by a local market research (MB) categorized each ad into one of four types of health effects ad
agency through face-to-face or telephone interviewing. Fieldwork or a non-health effects ad category, whether the ad contained a
was completed between August 2008 and September 2010. Groups second hand smoke (SHS) message or not, and also coded the
were segmented by age, gender, location, and order of ad presen- extent to which each ad contained culturally different characters
tation. The sample included more male groups to reflect higher and/or contexts compared to the country in which it was tested. In
male smoking prevalence in these countries, and in Bangladesh, each country there were 1e2 country-specific experts who oversaw
only males were recruited, as the scarcity of female smokers meant data collection. As these experts differed from country to country,
it was impractical to recruit sufficient numbers. Table 1 shows the research coordinator provided an outline of what constituted a
participant characteristics by country. There were higher pro- local, neutral, culturally similar appearance and culturally different
portions of university-educated participants recruited in appearance ad: Neutral ads (n ¼ 6 ads) did not feature images of
Bangladesh, Egypt, India and Mexico. people, and included mostly simulations or demonstrations; Local
Culture ads (n ¼ 12 ads) were those tested in the same country in
Anti-smoking advertisements which they were made; Culturally Similar ads (n ¼ 7 ads), where
those in which the main character of the ad and the context was
Five ads were selected from the WLF mass media clearinghouse culturally or ethnically similar to people in the country in which it
of anti-tobacco ads to test in each country. These five anti-smoking was tested; Culturally Different ads (n ¼ 19 ads) included characters
ads were chosen to represent the health effects message theme or contexts that were clearly different to the cultures of the coun-
previously found to perform well in encouraging smoking cessation tries in which they were tested. The research coordinator suggested
using a range of ad execution styles (National Cancer Institute, a potential category for each ad in each country and the in-country
2008), and also had good potential to be efficiently adapted for experts were then asked to closely examine each ad and decide
use in other countries and had performed well in evaluations. The whether this categorization was accurate or needed to be altered.
five ads that were consistent across all countries were 30-s in There were 5 occasions when the in-country experts differed from
duration with original English text and speech, while the languages the original suggestion and in each case the in-country expert’s
of the 32 different country-chosen ads varied. The ad scripts were suggestion was used. Table 2 provides the number of smoker re-
translated by country-based research agencies into the local lan- sponses and number of ads in each ad category.
guage (or languages in India) and then translated into English and
reviewed. This process was repeated until an accurate and appro- Ad type
priate translation was achieved. The original content of ad scripts Ads categorized as Graphic Health Effects ads described or
was closely preserved, allowing for some variation to maximize depicted the negative health effects of smoking or SHS in a visceral
cultural acceptability and comprehension. Ads were then dubbed (disgust-provoking) way, typically using imagery of diseased tissue
into the local language, and end-frames removed or replaced with a and organs. Ads categorized as Simulation Health Effects ads
local equivalent. All 37 ads are described in the Appendix 1 and can described the negative health effects of smoking or SHS using
be viewed at www.worldlungfoundation.org/mmr. simulated imagery (e.g. Bubblewrap) or ‘augmented’ scenes, where

Table 1
Demographic characteristics of participants.

Bangladesh China Egypt India Indonesia Mexico Philippines Russia Turkey Vietnam

N 192 240 240 270 240 226 280 231 240 240

Ad order
Order A 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.9 50.0 51.1 50.0 50.0
Order B 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 49.1 50.0 48.9 50.0 50.0
Gender
Male 100.0 66.7 66.7 70.4 66.7 65.9 66.1 66.7 66.7 66.7
Female 0 33.3 33.3 29.6 33.3 34.1 33.9 33.3 33.3 33.3
Age
18e24 years 50.0 50.0 50.0 49.6 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.2 50.0 48.3
25e34 years 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.4 50.0 50.0 50.0 49.8 50.0 51.7
Parental status
Parent 17.7 19.2 18.8 28.2 19.2 41.6 40.0 23.8 25.8 17.1
Not a parent 82.3 80.8 81.3 71.9 80.8 58.4 60.0 76.2 74.2 82.9
Completed university degree
Yes 45.8 5.4 44.2 43.3 22.9 38.9 12.1 7.4 11.7 17.9
No 54.2 94.6 55.8 56.7 77.1 61.1 87.9 92.6 88.3 82.1
Cigarettes smoked daily
1e15 78.7 67.5 52.5 93.3 82.5 94.7 82.5 64.9 52.1 84.6
16 or more 21.4 32.5 47.5 6.7 17.5 5.3 17.5 35.1 47.9 15.4
Thinking about quitting in next 12 months
Yes 62.0 39.2 63.8 34.8 42.9 40.3 68.6 50.7 62.1 47.1
No 38.0 60.8 36.3 65.2 57.1 59.7 31.4 49.4 37.9 52.9
Previously tried to quit
Yes 66.2 52.9 72.5 43.3 72.1 58.0 62.9 72.3 63.8 63.3
No 33.9 47.1 27.5 56.7 27.9 42.0 37.1 27.7 36.3 36.7
Location
Smaller urban city 50.0 50.0 50.0 49.6 50.0 47.8 50.0 50.2 50.0 50.0
Large urban city 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.4 50.0 52.2 50.0 49.8 50.0 50.0
S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213 207

Table 2
Number of smoker responses (number of different ads) for Ad Type and Ad-Cultural Differences.a

Health effects e Graphic Health effects e Simulation Health effects e Stories Health effects e Other Non-health effects

Similar 692 (3) 240 (1) 457 (2) 240 (1) 0 (0)
Local culture 720 (3) 280 (1) 240 (1) 670 (3) 942 (4)
Neutral 2399 (1) 4744 (3) 0 (0) 422 (2) 0 (0)

Culturally different 4337 (6) 760 (3) 6132 (7) 226 (1) 480 (2)
Total 8148 (10) 6024 (6) 6829 (8) 1558 (7) 1422 (6)
a
Ad-Cultural Difference categories are not mutually exclusive, given particular ads were culturally similar in some countries but not others, therefore the number of
different ads within each category may not add to the total number of different ads for a given ad type.

computerized imagery is used to enhance an image (e.g. When you et al., 2013). The first scale examined Message Acceptance (MA)
smoke). Emotional Health Effects Story ads described or depicted the (Cronbach’s a ¼ 0.80), and comprised Understand and Believable
consequences of smoking or SHS using emotional narratives, and (scores from these two items were averaged together). The second
included real personal testimonials (e.g. Zita), or emotional dra- scale examined Perceived Effectiveness (PE) (Cronbach’s a ¼ 0.94)
matizations (e.g. Worse). Other Health Effects ads described the and was comprised of: Taught me something new; Stop and think;
negative health effects of smoking or SHS in a generic way (e.g. Relevant; Concerned about my smoking; Makes me more likely to
Poison), and did not meet the definitions of the Health effects try to quit; and Effective (averaged together). Scores on the MA and
Graphic, Emotional story and Simulation categories. Non-Health PE scales were negatively skewed and so were binary coded allo-
Effects ads included humorous, anti-industry, financial benefits cating a score greater than 3.5 (versus 3.5 and below) to represent an
messages, and non-emotional stories that related to either the so- average positive response on each composite scale allowing us to use
cial unacceptability of personal smoking or SHS. logistic regression analyses which does not require normally
distributed variables. As response tendency may have differed be-
Cultural appearance difference tween countries, a set of sensitivity analyses were conducted. For
To allow examination of the interaction between ad type and these sensitivity analyses, each country’s median score was used to
difference in the cultural appearance of characters, the ‘Similar’ and classify whether a smoker gave a positive response on each item
‘Local’ categories were first collapsed due to empty or small cell sizes making up the MA and PE scales. For these sensitivity analyses a
(there were no ads that fit into both ‘Similar’ and ‘Other’; ‘Neutral’ positive response on MA was coded if smokers responded at or above
and ‘Health effects story’; or ‘Neutral’ and ‘Other’ ad categorizations). their country median on Understand and Believe, while a positive
Preliminary examinations of the effects of ‘Similar’ or ‘Local’ and response on PE was coded if smokers responded at or above their
‘Neutral’ ad types indicated they did not differ significantly from country median on at least 4 of the 6 items that comprise PE. This
each other on Message Acceptance or Perceived Effectiveness classification method resulted in fewer smokers reporting positive
(‘Similar or Local’ compared to ‘Neutral’ on Message Acceptance responses overall, however the pattern of results reported here was
OR ¼ 1.09, p ¼ 0.273; on Perceived Effectiveness OR ¼ 1.00, p ¼ 1.00). consistent with those found using these alternative measures of MA
So, for the purposes of analyses, those ads that were ‘Not Culturally and PE. Therefore we chose to report the findings using a standard
Different’ (local, similar, or neutral) were combined and compared to cut off for positive response that was used across all countries and
those that were ‘Culturally Different’ (Table 2). that is consistent with the methods used in the previous paper
reporting findings from this study (Wakefield et al., 2013).
Measures
Procedure
Smokers’ gender, age (18e24 years; 25e34 years), parental status
(no; yes), level of educational attainment (below university educa- Full details of the procedure are available in a previous paper
tion; completed university education), daily cigarette/bidi con- (Wakefield et al., 2013). Briefly, after completing demographic
sumption (1e15; 16 or more per day), intention to quit in the next 12 items and rating a practice ad, smokers were shown the first anti-
months (no; yes), ever tried to quit (no; yes), and residential location smoking advertisement twice, after which they completed the ad
(small urban city; large urban city) were collected at the beginning of rating questions. This process was repeated for the remaining nine
the rating session. The advertisement ratings were repeated for each ads. Participants were instructed not to talk to each other when
ad, and incorporated items used in other ad rating studies (Davis watching and rating the ads. The five ads that were shown in all
et al., 2011; Dillard, Shen, & Vail, 2007; Durkin & Wakefield, 2008; countries were alternated with the five country-choice ads. To
Wakefield, Durkin, Murphy, & Cotter, 2007; Wakefield et al., 2003). counterbalance potential effects of ad viewing order, half the
These questions measured the extent to which participants thought groups viewed the ads in the reverse order.
each ad was ‘easy to understand’, ‘believable’, ‘relevant’, and ‘effec-
tive’, whether the ad taught them ‘something new’, and made them Data analysis
‘stop and think’, feel ‘concerned about their smoking’, and ‘moti-
vated to try to quit smoking’. Each item was measured on a 5-point Multivariate logistic regression analyses examining the effect of ad
scale where 1 represented ‘strongly disagree’, 2 ‘slightly disagree’, 3 type, demographic subgroup, smoker subgroup and cultural differ-
‘neither agree nor disagree’, 4 ‘slightly agree’, and 5 ‘strongly agree’. ence were performed separately for the MA and PE outcome mea-
We undertook an iterative process of translation and back- sures. Robust standard errors to control for individuals each having
translation of the ad rating items, ensuring they were meaning- rated multiple ads were used (Kirkwood & Stern, 2001). All models
fully translated into the local language/s, while accurately repre- included the following covariates: SHS message, ad order, gender, age,
senting the original questionnaire to facilitate cross-country parental status, education level, average daily cigarette consumption,
consistency. Rating items were collapsed into 2 scales based on thinking about quitting smoking in the next year, having made a
principal components analyses conducted across all countries using previous quit attempt, country and residential location. A series of
the 5 country-consistent ads, as reported previously (Wakefield two-way interaction models were used to assess if responses to each
208 S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213

ad type were consistent across each country, between each of the positive response for each ad type overall and for each country. Post
demographic attributes and smoking characteristics and by Ad- hoc comparisons showed Graphic Health Effects ads were signifi-
cultural difference. For the two outcomes, a two-way interaction cantly more likely to be rated highly on MA than all other ad types
term was included by multiplying the 5-category ad type variable (covariate adjusted proportion 91%; all p values <0.001). Simulated
separately by the 10-country variable, then by each of the categorical Health Effects (85%), Emotional Health Effects Stories (85%) and
demographic variables, then by each of the categorical smoking Other Health Effects (84%) ads were all equally likely to be accepted,
characteristic variables, and finally by the cultural difference variable but were each more likely than the Non-Health Effects ads (75%; all
(e.g., age  ad type in one model, gender  ad type in another model, p values <0.001) to be accepted. Table 3 shows that males and those
and so on). A global test of the significance of each interaction was not thinking about quitting in the next year were significantly less
conducted after each model to examine whether the interaction likely to accept anti-tobacco messages overall. Ads that were local,
contributed significant additional explanation of variance above and culturally similar or neutral were more likely to be rated positively
beyond the model without the inclusion of the interaction. From these on MA (90%) compared to culturally different ads (83%, p < 0.001).
covariate-adjusted interaction models, average predicted probabili-
ties of positive ad ratings on the two outcomes were calculated for Perceived Effectiveness
each ad, and it is these covariate adjusted probabilities that are re- As shown in Table 3, there was a significant effect of ad type
ported throughout the Results section. found for PE (c2 ¼ 525.11, p < 0.001) and Fig. 2 plots the adjusted
Sensitivity analyses were also conducted including only the 32 proportions of positive response for each ad type overall and for
ads that were not rated in every country. As the substantive find- each country. Post hoc comparisons showed Graphic Health Effects
ings of these analyses did not differ from the analyses including all ads were most likely to be rated highly on PE, significantly more so
37 ads, we provide results for the full set of ads. than all other ad types (covariate adjusted proportion 90%; all p
values <0.001). Simulated Health effects ads (84%) were next most
Results likely to be highly rated (significantly higher than each of the three
other ad types; all p values <0.001), followed by Emotional Health
Ad ratings Effects Stories (80%; higher than Other Health Effects and Non-
Health Effects ads, all p values <0.001), Other Health effects ads
Message Acceptance (75%; higher than Non-Health Effects ads only, p < 0.001), and then
Table 3 indicates a significant effect of ad type for MA ads in the Non-Health Effects category (69%; lower than all other ad
(c2 ¼ 300.91, p < 0.001) and Fig. 1 plots the adjusted proportions of types, all p values <0.001). Table 3 shows that males, those with

Table 3
Multivariate logistic regression analyses of positive Message Acceptance and Perceived Effectiveness ratings by ad type, demographic and smoker characteristics, and Ad-
cultural difference.

Message Acceptance Perceived Effectiveness

Odds ratio (95% CI) p Odds ratio (95% CI) p

Ad Type
Health effects e Graphic 3.65 (3.13, 4.27) 0.000 4.36 (3.77, 5.03) 0.000
Health effects e Simulation 1.95 (1.68, 2.27) 0.000 2.58 (2.24, 2.97) 0.000
Health effects e Emotional Story 1.97 (1.71, 2.26) 0.000 1.92 (1.69, 2.18) 0.000
Health effects e Other 1.88 (1.55, 2.28) 0.000 1.35 (1.16, 1.58) 0.000
Non-Health Effects (ref) 1.00 1.00
Demographic subgroups
Education
No university degree (ref) 1.00 1.00
Completed university degree 0.87 (0.75, 1.00) 0.058 0.66 (0.56, 0.77) 0.000
Gender
Female (ref) 1.00 1.00
Male 0.72 (0.62, 0.83) 0.000 0.82 (0.70, 0.96) 0.011
Age
25e34 years (ref) 1.00 1.00
18e24 years 1.15 (0.99, 1.33) 0.067 1.03 (0.88, 1.20) 0.709
Location
Smaller urban city (ref) 1.00 1.00
Large urban city 1.12 (0.99, 1.27) 0.068 1.27 (1.11, 1.44) 0.000
Parental status
Not a parent (ref) 1.00 1.00
Parent 1.00 (0.85, 1.19) 0.957 1.26 (1.04, 1.51) 0.017
Smoker subgroups
Thinking about quitting
No (ref) 1.00 1.00
Yes 1.26 (1.10, 1.43) 0.001 1.74 (1.52, 1.98) 0.000
Cigarettes smoked daily
1e15 (ref) 1.00 1.00
16 or more 1.03 (0.89, 1.20) 0.716 0.84 (0.72, 0.98) 0.030
Previously tried to quit
No (ref) 1.00 1.00
Yes 1.10 (0.96, 1.26) 0.173 1.26 (1.10, 1.45) 0.001
Ad-Cultural Difference
Culturally Different (ref) 1.00 1.00
Not Culturally Different 1.85 (1.67, 2.05) 0.000 1.46 (1.34, 1.60) 0.000

Note: All analyses adjusted for participant country, inclusion of second-hand smoke theme, ad presentation order, and for each individual having rated multiple ads.
S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213 209

Fig. 1. Adjusted proportion of positive responses on Message Acceptance by country.

higher education, without children, from smaller urban cities, types on PE across all countries. Simulated Health Effects ads were
heavier smokers, those who had not previously tried to quit and typically rated higher than or equal to the remaining ad styles in
who were not thinking about quitting in the next year each were each country except in Mexico, where they were rated slightly
less likely to perceive anti-smoking ads overall to be effective. Ads lower than Health Effects Stories. Health Effects Stories, Other
that were local, culturally similar or neutral were more likely to be Health Effects ads and Non-Health Effects ads varied widely in
rated positively on PE (86%) compared to culturally different ads ratings from country-to-country. Health Effects Stories were rated
(81%, p < 0.001). equal to highest in the Philippines and Mexico, but lowest in
Bangladesh, China and Turkey. Other Health Effects ads were rated
Ad Type by Country Interactions equal to highest in China but lowest in Russia, Mexico, and Viet-
nam. Non-Health effects ads were rated equal to highest in China,
There was a significant interaction between ad type and country but were rated lowest or equal lowest in Egypt, India and Indonesia.
on Message Acceptance (c2 ¼ 249.94, p < 0.001). Similar to the
overall pattern of effects, post hoc tests indicated that Graphic Ad Type by Demographic Interactions
Health Effects ads were rated higher or equal to other ads on MA in
each country. Simulated and Other Health Effects ads were gener- Table 4 shows significant interactions between ad type and
ally rated next highest and similarly to each other across countries, gender, and parental status were found on message acceptance (all
except in China and Russia where Other Health Effects ads were p values <0.05), while a trend towards a significant interaction was
rated higher. Health Effects stories and Non-Health Effects ads found for age (p < 0.10). Fig. 3 provides the differences in covariate-
varied widely in MA from country to country. Health Effects Stories adjusted proportion of positive ratings on ad acceptance between
rated equal to highest in Mexico and the Philippines, but lowest in each of the demographic subgroups. For MA, females rated Graphic
Russia, Vietnam, Bangladesh, China, India and Turkey. Non-Health Health effects ads on average only 1% point higher than males,
Effects ads rated equal to the highest in Bangladesh, China and Emotional Health Effects Stories and Non-Health Effects ads only 3%
India, but by far the lowest in Egypt and Indonesia. points higher, but Simulated Health Effects ads 6% points higher,
There was also a significant interaction between ad type and and Other Health effects ads 9% points higher. Parents and non-
country on Perceived Effectiveness (c2 ¼ 225.84, p < 0.001). parents did not substantially differ in their average ratings of
Graphic Health Effects ads were rated higher or equal to other ad Graphic, Simulated, Emotional Health Effects Stories and Non-

Fig. 2. Adjusted proportion of positive responses on Perceived Effectiveness by country.


210 S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213

Table 4
Ad type by Demographic, Smoking and Ad-Cultural Difference Interaction effects from multivariate logistic regression analyses of positive Message Acceptance and Perceived
Effectiveness ratings.

Message Acceptance Perceived Effectiveness

Interaction c2 p Interaction c2 p

Ad Type by Country Interactions 249.94 0.000 225.84 0.000


Ad Type and Demographic Interactions
Education*Ad type 1.36 0.716 8.47 0.037
Gender*Ad type 12.15 0.016 8.89 0.064
Age*Ad type 8.69 0.069 9.74 0.045
Location*Ad type 6.83 0.145 2.27 0.687
Parental status*Ad type 13.48 0.009 16.17 0.003
Ad Type by Smoking Subgroup Interactions
Thinking about quitting*Ad type 3.15 0.533 12.89 0.012
Cigarettes smoked daily*Ad type 15.17 0.004 7.24 0.124
Previously tried to quit*Ad type 8.30 0.081 11.22 0.024
Ad-Cultural Difference by Ad type Interaction 130.87 0.000 67.72 0.000

Note: All analyses adjusted for participant country, inclusion of second-hand smoke theme, ad presentation order, and other demographic and smoking subgroups, Ad-cultural
difference, and for each individual having rated multiple ads.

Health Effects ads (0e3% point differences), however parents rated (8% points), Other Health Effects (9% points), and Non-Health Ef-
Other Health Effects ads 6% points higher than those without fects ads (8% points) higher than those without children. There
children. There were only very small differences between younger were no differences between females and males on their average PE
and older smokers on each of the Health Effects ad types (range rating of Graphic Health Effects ads, while females rated all other ad
0%e2% points), while Non-Health Effects ads were rated 6% points types somewhat higher than males (3e6% points).
higher on average by younger smokers than older smokers.
Table 4 shows significant interactions between ad type and Ad Type by Smoker Characteristic Interactions
education level, age, and parental status on PE (all p values <0.05),
and a trend towards an interaction for gender (p < 0.10). Fig. 4 A significant interaction between ad type and cigarette con-
provides the differences in proportion of positive ratings on sumption level was found on MA (p < 0.01), while a trend toward
perceived ad effectiveness between each of the demographic a significant interaction was found for previous quit attempts
subgroups (covariate adjusted proportions). For PE, there was little (p < 0.10) (Table 3). Lighter smokers did not differ substantially
difference between lower and higher educated smokers’ ratings of from heavier smokers on each of the Health Effects ad types
Graphic, Simulated, and Other Health Effects ads (2e3% points (range 1%e3% point differences), however lighter smokers rated
difference), but lower educated smokers rated Emotional Health Non-Health Effects ads 14% points higher on average than heavier
Effects Stories and Non-Health Effects ads higher than educated smokers. There were no differences in MA response to the
smokers (7% and 9% points higher, respectively). Younger smokers Graphic, Simulation and Health Effects Story ads between smokers
rated Graphic Health Effects ads similarly to older smokers (1% who had made a previous quit attempt and those who had not
point higher), while older smokers rated all other ad types slightly (Fig. 1), but smokers who made a previous attempt rated Other
higher (2e3% points). Parents and those without children rated Health effects ads slightly higher (2% points), and Non-Health
Graphic Health Effects ads similarly (1% point difference), but par- Effects ads slightly lower (3% points) than those who had not
ents rated Simulated (5% points), Emotional Health Effects Stories made an attempt.

Fig. 3. Adjusted proportion of positive responses on Message Acceptance by demographic and smoker subgroups, and Ad-cultural difference.
S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213 211

Fig. 4. Adjusted proportion of positive responses on Perceived Effectiveness by demographic and smoker subgroups, and Ad-cultural difference.

Table 3 shows significant interactions were found between ad ads were not only rated most highly overall, but were also least
type and quitting intentions and previous quit attempts on PE (all p likely to show differential ratings across countries. These findings
values <0.05). Those who intended to quit within the next year add to the growing body of research indicating ads that evoke
rated all of the different types of ads higher in PE than those who strong emotional reactions, such as fear and disgust, are perceived
did not, however this difference was least pronounced for the Non- as more effective and more likely to be associated with reduced
Health Effects ads (4% points higher, versus a range 6e9% points smoking behaviours than ads that do not evoke strong emotions
higher for the different ads about Health Effects) (Fig. 2). Similarly, (Durkin et al., 2012; National Cancer Institute, 2008; U.S.
those who made previous quit attempts rated Graphic, Simulated, Department of Health and Human Services, 2012). Often govern-
Emotional Health Effects Stories and Other Health Effects ads ments are inclined to broadcast positive public health messages
higher (2e4% points), but Non-Health Effects ads only 1% point however these findings indicate that strongly emotional graphic
higher than those who had not made a previous quit attempt. health effects ads may be the best value for money for driving down
national smoking rates. Future research could explore whether
Ad Type by Ad-Cultural Difference Interactions these types of ads are the best option for other pressing public
health issues in developing countries, such as HIV prevention.
Significant interactions were found between Ad-cultural dif- Extending previous findings, we also found that the graphic
ference and ad type for both MA and PE (all p values <0.001). There health effect ads were least likely to vary across individual
were only very small differences between culturally different and subgroups and were least subject to Ad-cultural difference effects.
non-culturally different Graphic and Simulated Health Effects ads These findings indicate these messages can influence different
on MA (1%e2% point differences), whereas culturally different demographic subgroups equally and so are ideal ‘common de-
Health Effects Stories were rated lower (9% points), and culturally nominator’ anti-tobacco messages, likely to be appropriate for
different Other Health Effects and Non-Health Effects ads were broad use in many low and middle income countries. The univer-
rated substantially lower than non-culturally different versions of sality of the graphic images of internal organs in these ads may
these ads (22% and 29% points lower, respectively). For PE, cultur- make them highly relevant to many populations and elicit common
ally different Other Health Effects and Non-Health Effects ads were emotional responses among viewers. If organizations aim to reduce
also rated substantially lower than non-culturally different versions smoking in particular subgroups, funds could be used to ensure
of these ads (11% and 16% points, respectively). Smaller differences these graphic ads are aired more frequently on channels which are
were found between culturally different and non-culturally popular with those in these subgroups, given high reach and fre-
different versions of Simulated and Emotional Health Effects Stor- quency of exposure are essential for campaign impact (Durkin et al.,
ies (5% and 7% points, respectively), while there was no meaningful 2012; Hornik & Ramirez, 2006).
difference between the culturally different and non-culturally Simulated health effects ads were rated highly on message
different versions of Graphic Health Effects ads (1% point differ- acceptance and perceived effectiveness across most countries,
ence) on PE. while emotional stories varied widely in terms of acceptance and
perceived effectiveness across different countries consistent with
Discussion our previous analyses (Wakefield et al., 2013). This previous ex-
amination indicated that where the story-based ad rated poorly, it
Overall, graphic health effects ads were most likely to be was due to problems with understanding and acceptance. The
accepted and perceived as effective, followed by simulated health findings reported here include evaluation data from another 7
effects ads, health effects stories and other health effects ads. Non- emotional story based ads, and support the previous finding; in
health effects ads were the least likely to be accepted and perceived those countries where these emotional story-based ads rated
as effective overall. Consistent with our previous examination of a poorly on message acceptance they also rated poorly on perceived
sub-set of these ads (Wakefield et al., 2013) graphic health effects effectiveness. ‘Other health effects’ ads rated well on message
212 S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213

acceptance across the six countries in which they were tested, but effectiveness of ads. Convenience sampling was used in each
had more variable perceived effectiveness ratings. For example, country and so the smokers included here may not be represen-
these types of ads rated highly on message acceptance but rela- tative of all smokers within each country, similar to other adver-
tively low on perceived effectiveness in Russia, Vietnam and Egypt. tisement rating studies (Durkin et al., 2012). Our aim was to
This pattern of effects is not surprising given the lower level of examine the comparative effectiveness of a range of different ads
emotion evoked by these ads, with previous research indicating across many different low and middle income countries. To permit
lower levels of emotion are associated with lower ad perceived valid comparisons between ads we set standard protocol, educa-
effectiveness ratings (Durkin et al., 2012). tion, gender and other demographic quotas across countries. This
Simulated health effects, emotional stories of the health effects, allowed for valid comparisons across ad types ensuring that the
and ‘other’ health effects messages rated similarly across most ratings were not unduly influenced by differences in underlying
demographic subgroups on message acceptance. These types of demographic profiles. In some countries, however, women smokers
messages showed slightly more variability on perceived effective- were rare and so there were fewer women than planned in some
ness across demographic groups, with parents, older smokers and groups, and no women included in Bangladesh. In India we relaxed
females perceiving these types of messages as more effective. In the recruitment criteria to include bidi smokers in order to get a
addition, those with lower education perceived emotional stories of sufficient number of female smokers. Our in-country fieldwork
the health effects of smoking more effective than those with higher agency indicated that most of the female smokers in India were bidi
education. This is consistent with previous research that has indi- smokers, however we did not specifically record who was and was
cated personal testimonials and emotional narratives are more not a bidi smoker, so bidi smokers were treated the same as other
effective among those with lower education (Durkin et al., 2009, smokers in our analyses. It is possible that bidi smokers’ responses
2011; Niederdeppe et al., 2011). to the ads differed from non-bidi smokers and future research
The simulated and emotional story-based ads were also less should examine this issue.
likely to be accepted or perceived as effective if they featured In addition, due to cross country differences in higher education
culturally different people or contexts. However, as these types of rates, there were some countries with higher proportions that had
messages have been found to be among the most influential types attained university degrees. Given previous work indicating per-
of ads in high-income countries (Durkin et al., 2012), it is highly sonal testimonials and emotional narratives may be more effective
likely that local or culturally adapted versions of these types of among those with lower education (Durkin et al., 2012), the overall
messages may also be very effective in low and middle income effectiveness of ads using emotional stories may be underestimated
countries. in the current study. However, this would have been minimized by
Consistent with several studies from high income countries including education level as a covariate in each analyses comparing
(Durkin & Wakefield, 2008; Niederdeppe et al., 2011), health effects the effects of different ad types.
ads were also most likely to be perceived as effective by those To maximize the potential for valid comparisons of ad types
motivated to quit in the next year and those who had made a across countries standard procedures were also used in every
previous quit attempt. Like other subgroup differences in response country to ensure consistency in the translation of the study pro-
to health effects ads, although statistically significant, the degree of tocol, ad scripts, and questionnaires. Pilot study of two groups in
difference was of small practical consequence, with these ads each country prior to the main data collection were also conducted
scoring highest even for those least interested in quitting or not to ensure participants could follow the procedure, and to check for
having tried to quit previously. any ad script or questionnaire translation issues.
The content of the messages that were not focused on the health We were able to replicate the pattern of these findings using an
effects of smoking ranged from humorous depictions of smokers, to alternative method for categorizing positive message acceptance
anti-industry, financial and non-emotional messages about the and perceived effectiveness ratings and when including only the 32
social unacceptability of personal smoking or second hand smoke. ads that had not been examined in our previous analysis (Wakefield
Consistent with previous research, these types of ads were the least et al., 2013). These sensitivity analyses indicate that these results
likely to be accepted and perceived as effective compared to ads are not an artefact of any particular coding method or ad selection
about the serious harms of smoking overall (Durkin et al., 2012; bias and so provide greater confidence in the findings.
National Cancer Institute, 2008; U.S. Department of Health and Overall, the findings from this study indicate that ads that do not
Human Services, 2012). These ads also showed the greatest de- emphasize the health effects of smoking may be prone to incon-
gree of difference across the five countries in which they were sistent impact across countries and population subgroups. As these
tested and between different demographic subgroups, were the types of ads may not be relied upon to impact the whole smoker
least likely to be rated highly by those motivated to quit and were population they may not be the most efficient use of the funding
most likely to be affected by Ad-cultural differences. However, as required for wide population broadcast. Simulations and emotional
there were only a few examples of these non-health effects ads and stories about the health effects of smoking, especially those that
they were all included in the one category, further research feature actors or real people, may need more careful adaptation
comparing each type of these ads to the various health effects than graphic style health effects ads. However, these types of ads
messages is warranted to further explore their utility in low and may prove very effective once they have been appropriately
middle income countries. modified, as they have been found to be in high-income countries.
Similar to other ad-rating studies, we used self-report ratings of Strong graphic ads about the negative health effects of smoking
message acceptance and perceived effectiveness and so the effects may be most suitable for rapid adaptation and wide population
here are limited to perceptions rather than actual behaviour broadcast and may most efficiently contribute to the reduction in
change. A series of recent studies that link anti-smoking ad ratings smoking in low and middle income countries.
of perceived effectiveness with subsequent attitude change
(Dillard, Shen, et al., 2007; Dillard, Weber, et al., 2007), quitting Role of the funding source
intention change (Bigsby, Cappella, & Seitz, 2012; Brennan, Durkin,
Wakefield, & Kashima, 2013; Davis et al., 2011; Dillard, Shen, et al., This study was funded by the World Lung Foundation (WLF) as
2007) and reduced smoking behaviour (Brennan et al., 2013) in- part of the Bloomberg Initiative. WLF contributed to the study
dicates that these ratings are important predictors of the actual design, facilitated data collection in each country, and contributed
S. Durkin et al. / Social Science & Medicine 98 (2013) 204e213 213

to manuscript preparation and the decision to submit this paper for Durkin, S. J., & Wakefield, M. (2008). Interrupting a narrative transportation expe-
rience: program placement effects on responses to anti-smoking advertising.
publication.
Journal of Health Communication, 13(7), 667e680.
Durkin, S. J., Wakefield, M., & Spittal, M. (2011). Which types of televised anti-
tobacco campaigns prompt more quitline calls from disadvantaged groups?
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