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Article history: The nuclear accident that occurred in Fukushima, Japan has broadly affected the rapid development
Received 5 December 2014 trend of the worldwide nuclear industry, causing many countries, including China, to adjust their nuclear
Received in revised form policies. However, as the impact of the accident is fading away, nuclear policies are differentiating
23 September 2015
worldwide. Hence, analysing nuclear policies in different countries and their trends after the Fukushima
Accepted 17 December 2015
accident has a practical significance of promoting the effective and safe development of the nuclear
Available online 12 January 2016
power industry. This paper focuses on the nuclear accident in Fukushima, Japan, and its wide impact.
Keywords: First, the changes of the developmental policies and the trends of the nuclear powers, including China,
The Fukushima nuclear accident are summarised just after the accident in Fukushima occurred. Next, the nuclear power development of
Nuclear policy
the nuclear powers and China in the last two years is analysed with real data. Finally, this paper sys-
Development of nuclear power
tematically predicts the developmental direction of the global nuclear industry according to the actual
Nuclear safety
nuclear development status in each country.
& 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Contents
1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148
2. Status of nuclear power policy changes in countries after the Fukushima accident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148
2.1. Status of the world's overall nuclear policy changes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148
2.2. Status of the nuclear policy changes in countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149
2.3. Status of nuclear policy changes in China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149
2.3.1. China's nuclear power profile . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149
2.3.2. Nuclear policy changes in China . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149
3. Status of nuclear power development in the last two years . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
3.1. The world's nuclear power development situation as a whole . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151
3.2. The nuclear development situation of specific countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152
3.3. China’s nuclear development situation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152
3.3.1. Nuclear power situation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152
3.3.2. Nuclear policy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
4. The world's developmental trend of nuclear power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
4.1. The developmental trend of nuclear power throughout the world . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
4.2. Countries' developmental trend of nuclear power. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153
4.3. China's developmental trend of nuclear power . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155
5. Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155
Acknowledgements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156
References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156
n
Corresponding author. Tel.: þ 86 13426197078.
E-mail address: oysj0216@163.com (O. Shaojie).
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2015.12.165
1364-0321/& 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
148 Z. Ming et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 58 (2016) 147–156
Fig. 1. The changes of world’s nuclear policy after the Fukushima accident. Note: Sourced from various resources and compiled by the authors.
Z. Ming et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 58 (2016) 147–156 149
Table 1
Summary of the world's nuclear policy changes after the Fukushima accident.
1 Continue developing The country is using nuclear power and constructing new nuclear power plants, for example, the U.S.A., Russia, China, and
France. The country is using nuclear power and plans to construct new nuclear power plants, for example, Mexico and Brazil.
The country has no nuclear power plants, but is building new nuclear power plants, for example, Chile and Egypt. The country
has no nuclear plants and plans to build new nuclear plants, for example, Iran.
2 Make use of existing nuclear The country is using nuclear power, and no more nuclear plants will be built, for example, Japan and Spain.
plants
3 Phase-out The country is using nuclear power and is going to phase out the nuclear industry, for example, Germany, Belgium and
Switzerland.
4 Phase down The country is using nuclear power; however, it is considering reducing the number of nuclear power plants, for example,
Sweden.
It can be seen from Table 1 and Fig. 1 that, although the (1) Nuclear power units in operation
Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan cast a shadow over the China had 13 nuclear power units commissioned when the
world's nuclear development, in the background of energy short- Fukushima accident occurred (the basic situation is presented
age and environmental protection, considering the national con- in Table 3): Qinshan phase I Nuclear Power Plant, Qinshan
ditions and their respective development needs, most countries phase II Nuclear Power Plant, Qinshan phase III Nuclear Power
still chose to continue development of nuclear power. However, Plant, Daya Bay Nuclear Power Plant, Ling'ao phase I Nuclear
nuclear power will be developed prudently. Power Plant, Tianwan phase I Nuclear Power Plant, Unit 3 of
the Ling'ao phase III Nuclear Power Plant, and Unit 3 of the
Qinshan phase II Nuclear Expansion Program.
2.2. Status of the nuclear policy changes in countries (2) Nuclear power units under construction
At that time, China had 26 nuclear power units under con-
The reaction towards the Fukushima nuclear accident and the struction, including: Unit 4 of the Ling’ao phase II NPP,
changes of nuclear development policy in various countries in the Hongyanhe phase I NPP, Ningde phase I NPP, Fuqing phase I
nine months following the accident will be briefly described in NPP, Unit 1/2/3 of Yangjiang NPP, Fangjiashan NPP(Qinshan
this section, as summarised in Table 2. phase I Nuclear Power Expansion Program), Sanmen NPP,
The following describes the different reactions of the above- Haiyang NPP, Taishan NPP, Changjiang NPP and Unit1 of
mentioned countries towards the Fukushima accident: Fangchenggang NPP.
The number of nuclear Risks of nuclear Basic attitude Reactions/measures after the Fukushima accident in Japan
plants power
1 27 European Union 143 No agreements The EU conducted stress tests on 143 European nuclear plants on June1, 2011. The tests examined the ability
countries of nuclear plants to resist emergencies, such as earthquake, flood, tsunami, tornado, impacts of plane and
explosion. The test reports were submitted to the EU on November 11.
2 U.S.A. 104 medium Continue developing New nuclear plants were constructed as planned. The U.S.A. performed a comprehensive estimate on the
domestic nuclear plants and made every effort to ensure the nuclear facilities are safe and reliable.
3 France 59 low Continue developing France continued to develop nuclear power and examined the safety of all nuclear plants. France also shut
down nuclear plants that could not pass the EU test standards.The former president of France—Nicholas
Sarkozy, indicated that the Fukushima nuclear accident in Japan would not have negative effects on the new
nuclear energy plans, so France would continue to rely on nuclear power. Additionally, France declared on
Netherland performed safety tests on domestic nuclear plants and planned to construct new nuclear plants.
Bulgaria performed safety tests on domestic nuclear plants. In the meantime, the country was constructing
Armenia performed safety tests on domestic nuclear plants and planned to construct new nuclear plants. construction plans; and strictly examine new clean power
projects.
Romania planned to add 2 nuclear power plants before 2020 and build another one before 2035.
Continue developing
Continue developing
Continue developing
low
low
low
2
1
1
capacity of 375 GWe(see Table 4). Nuclear power plants are pri-
Romania
Armenia
Bulgaria
22
21
19
Fig. 2. Distribution of nuclear power plants in China after the Fukushima accident.
18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
nuclear power plants already
closed 5 2 8 1 2 3 1 13 3 4
Fig. 3. Status of number changes of nuclear power units in the world from 2004 to 2013.
Source: IAEA NET.
Fig. 4. The number of running nuclear units of each country in the world (By
Table 4 December, 2013).
Status of nuclear development in the world from 2009 to 2013. Source: IAEA NET.
Table 5
Situation of the nuclear power development of the relevant countries from 2012 to 2013.
Source: NEA NET; IAEA NET.
1 27 European Union countries Twelve EU countries signed a joint statement to declare their confidence that nuclear energy would play a role in the European
future's low-carbon energy structure on March, 2012, in London, England. These countries also appealed to create appropriate
investment environment for new reactors.
2 U.S.A. On February, 2012, the U.S.A. once again considered the construction of two new nuclear reactors. On March, 2013, America began to
construct two nuclear units, which had been forbidden to be built for the past 30 years. This construction began a new journey for
American nuclear power. In 2013, America permanently shut down Crystal River one-unit nuclear plant, two units of San Onofre
Nuclear Plant and four nuclear reactors of Kewaunee Nuclear Plant.
3 France In October, 2012, the French President Francois Hollande held a nuclear policy committee meeting, in which he proposed to decrease
nuclear power proportion in the country's total power from 75 percent to 50 percent. At the end of 2012, France had built 71 nuclear
units (among them, 12 were already closed, and the Flamanville-3 unit was under construction). The number of plants in France was
second to the number of plants in the U.S.A. In 2012, the nuclear power proportion of the total power in France was 75 percent,
2.9 percent lower than 2011. The total power amount was 407.4 billion kWh, which decreased by 16.1 billion kWh compared to 2011.
4 Russia In 2012, Russia made remarkable achievements in the nuclear market. The foreign order of the country's state-owned nuclear power
company, Rosatom, was at a steady level of $69.3 billion; this number excluded contract for highly enriched uranium mixed into
low-enriched uranium (it means transforming highly enriched uranium of Russian nuclear warheads into low enriched uranium).
The contract increased by 18.4 billion dollars in 2012.
5 Korea In 2013, after the exposure of the use of counterfeit items, Korean nuclear power plants received criticism from people of all walks of
life. These counterfeit items have led many Korean nuclear power plants to stop operating. In the beginning of May in 2012, con-
struction began on the New Wei Jane nuclear power plant, and in July, the first pot of concrete of Unit1 of the plant was poured.
According to the plan, Unit1 was to be finished by April, 2017, and Unit 2 was planned to be finished in April, 2018.On August 12,
2013, the Korean NSSC approved the restart of the Hanul4 Unit, which was stopped in September, 2011 for maintenance and
examination.
6 India At the end of 2012, India had built 22 nuclear power plants (among them 7 nuclear power plants were under construction). The
nuclear power proportion to the total power generation in India was 3.6 percent in 2012, which decreased to 0.1 percent compared
with 2011. In July, 2013, the largest Indian nuclear power plant began to generate power. The operation of the plant, Kudankulam,
was suspended because of protests. Kundankulam reached a critical condition on July 13, 2013, that is, the nuclear fission chain
reaction chain went into a self-sustaining state. The power from the plant would supply the power needs of four states, among them
the biggest beneficiary was Tamil Texa, where the nuclear plant is located. At the end of 2013, nuclear energy was only 2.6 percent of
the total Indian energy demand. The government planned to increase the proportion to 10 percent by 2020 and to 25 percent by
2050. This means that by 2020, nuclear power will increase to 20000 MW. To achieve the goal, the government has declared to
invest 77 billion dollars to construct new nuclear power plants during 2010 to 2020.
7 England On May 22, 2012, Britain DECC issued «The Energy Law» (draft), which was expected for a long time. In March, 2013, England, for the
first time since 1995, approved the construction of new nuclear power plants. Moreover, England also issued permits to French
power enterprises to build nuclear projects in the Somerset Hinckley Angle area in southwest of England.
8 Canada At the end of 2012, Canada has 25 nuclear units (among them 6 were closed permanently). The generation of Canada in 2012 was
89.1 billion kWh, which was 0.8 billion kWh higher than in 2011. Nuclear power was 15.3 percent of the Canadian total generation,
and the proportion was flat compared to that of 2011.
9 Japan In May, 2012, Reactor 3 of the Tomari Nuclear Power Plant in Hokkaido was closed. On June 9, 2012, the Japanese government issued
“the draft innovation energy and environmental” strategies, in which there was the goal of phasing out nuclear power as soon as
possible. On September 14, 2012, the “Policy of energy and environmental strategies” was approved by the Japanese government.
The strategies proposed to create a society without nuclear power by the 2030s of this century and three principles for nuclear
power development: strictly implement the provisions of 40 years for nuclear reactor operation life; once guaranteed, restart the
existing nuclear plants; do not produce new and additional nuclear power plant construction plans.At the end of 2012, Japan had
built 62 nuclear units, among them 9 were shut down permanently. The Monju Unit was shut down for a long time. Moreover,
2 units were under construction. Japanese nuclear generation was 17.2 billion kWh, which decreased by 88.99 percent compared to
2011; the proportion of nuclear power in Japanese generation was 2.1%, which was 16 percent lower than in 2011.On January 2, 2013,
Japan's new prime minister, Shinzo Abe, stated that he was going to approve construction of more nuclear reactors and would
reconsider Japan's nuclear energy policy. However, the Japanese government did not mention the restart of the operation of any
nuclear reactors. On September15, 2012, the last nuclear plant in operation was closed. Hereafter, all nuclear plants in Japan would
be stopped running once again.
10 Spain Spain initiated the closing of the Garoña Nuclear Power Plant in the north of Spain. On July 14, 2013, the Garoña Nuclear Power Plant
was officially closed.
11 Germany At the end of 2012, Germany had built 36 nuclear units (among them 27 were closed permanently). In 2012, German nuclear
generation was 94.1 billion kWh, which decreased 8.2 billion kWh compared to the previous year. The nuclear power proportion of
the total German generation was 16.1 percent, which was 1.7% lower than in 2011.
12 Belgium At the end of 2012, Belgium had built 8 nuclear units (among them, the BR-3 PWR (test) nuclear facility was shut down). In 2012,
Belgian nuclear generation was 38.5 billion kWh, which decreased by 7.4 billion kWh from the previous year. The nuclear power
proportion of the total German generation was 51 percent, which was 3% lower than in 2011.
13 Switzerland On October 30, 2012, the Swiss state-run energy enterprise BKW stated that the Muehleberg Nuclear Power Plant was going to be
retired in 2019. After the Fukushima accident in Japan, Switzerland sought to phase out nuclear power.
14 Sweden On December 21, 2012, the largest nuclear power plant in Sweden, Spirit Hals, was closed because its reactor seeped radioactive
products into the ocean. In January, 2013, there were 10 nuclear units in Sweden, which supplied 40% of the country's entire power
demand.
15 Finland At the end of 2012, Finland had built 5 nuclear units (among them, Olkiluoto-3 was under construction). In 2012, the Finnish nuclear
generation was 22.1 billion kWh, which decreased by 0.2 billion kWh from the previous year. Nuclear power accounted for 32.6% of
the total electricity generation in Finland, which was 1% lower than in 2011.
16 Brazil In 2012, Brazilian nuclear generation was 15.2 billion kWh, which increased 0.4 billion kWh compared to the previous year. Nuclear
power accounted for 3.1% of total electricity generation in Brazil, which was 0.1% lower than in 2011.
Z. Ming et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 58 (2016) 147–156 155
Table 6
Chinese nuclear policy and relative content from 2012 to 2013.
June, 2012 《General technical requirements for nuclear power plant improvement Regulate common improvement action of each plant. Solve the technical
action after the Fukushima accident(trial)》(NNSA file [2012] NO. 98) unity problem in the process of implementing improvement actions after
the Fukushima accident.
June, 2012 《The nuclear safety cooperation agreements on both sides of the Taiwan Exchange and cooperate in fields of the nuclear safety, accident emer-
straits》 gency notification and other issues.
October, 2012 《Nuclear safety, radioactive pollution prevention and control in the 12th Restart to construct safely; reasonable grasp the pace of construction;
Five-year Plan and 2020 vision》、《The nuclear safety plan (2011– push and order the pace steadily; layout the project scientifically. During
2020)》and《Long-term nuclear power development plan(2011–2020)》 the 12th Five-year Plan period, arrange some nuclear projects that have
been examined detailedly. Do not arrange inland nuclear projects.
Improve the safe standard of nuclear plant permission. Construct new
nuclear power projects based on the highest safe standard in the world,
and new nuclear projects must meet three safe standards.
March, 2013 《The draft plan for national economic and social development report It is estimated to increase 3.24 GW of nuclear installed capacity. This
2013》 means China's nuclear installed capacity would increase 20% in 2013.
March, 2013 《The State Council's propose of the State Council reform and function Integrate the responsibility and consolidation of the national energy
change Plan》 administration and the state electricity regulatory commission, and re-
build the national energy administration. The new national energy
administration will be managed by NDRC. Cancel the State Electricity
Regulatory Commission.
September, 2013 《Action plan of air pollution prevention and control》 Emphasize to speed up the use of clean energy. Running nuclear units
installed capacity would reach 50 GW in 2017 by its prediction.
October, 2013 《Implementation plan of the scientific development coordination It is the first time to propose the stepping-out strategy of nuclear power
mechanism to serve nuclear power enterprises》 and indicate detail directions. Promote the strategy to be the important
means of bilateral political, economic exchanges between China and
potential nuclear input countries.
(4) Most European countries will continue to increase their that are densely populated, such as Jiangxi, Hunan, Guangxi,
investment in nuclear power, such as England, Sweden, the Sichuan and Henan. Therefore, China’s nuclear power will
Netherlands, Ukraine, Spain, Slovakia, Romania, Hungary, develop in inland areas.
Bulgaria, and so on. These countries indicated that they will (3) Economisation. In our energy structure, coal power is domi-
not to give up nuclear power immediately after the Fukushima nant. Compared with coal power and gas power, the cost of
accident and continued their original development plans. In nuclear power is not as economical. Therefore, economisation
the meantime, these countries focused more on nuclear safety. of China’s nuclear power industry will realise the domestica-
(5) Countries that are short of energy or that must improve their tion and standardisation of nuclear facility production and
energy infrastructure proposed to develop nuclear power, mass production based on the introduction of foreign
such as Poland, Pakistan, Vietnam, Thailand, Indonesia, Ban- advanced technology and independent development. This
gladesh, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Turkey, Nigeria, and so on. These economisation will also reduce the costs of nuclear power
countries were not affected by the nuclear accident; after efficiently.
comprehensive consideration, they believed that nuclear
power has great significance to economy and thus continued
to make plans to introduce nuclear technology. 5. Conclusion
4.3. China's developmental trend of nuclear power After the Fukushima accident in Japan, global nuclear power
development was strongly affected, with most countries, including
In recent years, the State Council approved new nuclear pro- China, adjusting their nuclear policies. The paper want to show the
jects in succession and implemented a series of nuclear policies to process of the countries adjusting their attitudes and policies for
approve nuclear power. In the 13th Five-Year-Plan period, China nuclear power. Firstly, this paper analysed the reactions of the
planned to build 18 new nuclear units to achieve 60 million kilo- countries and the nuclear policies implemented after the accident.
watts of installed capacity in 2020. It is estimated that by 2020, Second, the paper summarised the situation of global nuclear
there will be 270 billion Yuan in the new nuclear facilities market. development in 2012 and 2013. With time lapse, countries bagan
China's nuclear power will transition to a period of accelerated rational consideration in next 2 years. Finally, the paper discussed
development. The features of the process are as follows. the development trend of the world's nuclear industry in the
future.
(1) Securitisation. After Japan's Fukushima accident, the govern- After the study of above, we can see that at the beginning of
ment of China improved the safety standards of national Post-Fukushima Era, the main countries with nuclear power were
nuclear power to improve the safety level of nuclear power cautious and anxious The nuclear powers of the world examined
and develop a safe, efficient nuclear industry. Currently, China the safety of their nuclear power. In addition, some of the nuclear
has independently made good achievements in improving the projects were delayed and cancelled; during this time, China
design of its nuclear power and the safety standard of nuclear stopped approving new nuclear projects. However, after the sus-
power. The government has issued relevant policies. There- pension of nuclear power plants in 2011, the world's nuclear
fore, China's nuclear power will develop with an emphasis on power development was restored to steady development.
safety. Although some developed countries hold different attitudes
(2) Inland. Because current nuclear units are distributed in coastal towards future nuclear development, most nuclear countries will
areas, new nuclear units will be constructed in inland areas still study and make use of nuclear energy, and the principle and
156 Z. Ming et al. / Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 58 (2016) 147–156
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