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MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22
ISSN 0025-1909 (print) ISSN 1526-5501 (online) http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2369
© 2016 INFORMS
Jens Hainmueller
Department of Political Science and Graduate School of Business, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305,
jhain@stanford.edu
Richard M. Locke
Watson Institute for International Studies and Department of Political Science, Brown University,
Providence, Rhode Island 02912, richard_locke@brown.edu
T his study tests the hypothesis that lean manufacturing improves the social performance of manufacturers in
emerging markets. We analyze an intervention by Nike, Inc., to promote the adoption of lean manufacturing in
its apparel supply chain across 11 developing countries. Using difference-in-differences estimates from a panel of
more than 300 factories, we find that lean adoption was associated with a 15 percentage point reduction in
noncompliance with labor standards that primarily reflect factory wage and work hour practices. However, we
find a null effect on factory health and safety standards. This pattern is consistent with a causal mechanism that
links lean to improved social performance through changes in labor relations, rather than improved management
systems. These findings offer evidence that capability-building interventions may reduce social harm in global
supply chains.
Data, as supplemental material, are available at http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2369.
Keywords: corporate social performance; global supply chains; lean manufacturing; human resource management;
labor standards
History: Received January 19, 2014; accepted May 27, 2015, by Bruno Cassiman, business strategy. Published
online in Articles in Advance.
1
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
2 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS
From the managerial perspective, ineffective compli- finding is robust to alternative specifications, including
ance programs threaten corporate social performance controls for divergent labor market trends across coun-
and its associated benefits. Socially irresponsible prac- tries, controls for increased monitoring and enforcement
tices in the supply chain expose lead firms to the risk by Nike, and an examination of pretrends among the
of negative financial shocks associated with activist lean adopters. We estimate a modest effect on health,
campaigns (King and Soule 2007) and the disclosure of safety, and environmental compliance, but it is impre-
socially harmful behavior (Klassen and McLaughlin cisely estimated and more sensitive to specification
1996, Flammer 2013).
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effects of lean in the developing world. Some research our data and empirical strategy, we present our main
suggests that pressures to adopt lean manufacturing finding: lean adoption produced a substantial reduction
and develop fast turnaround capabilities have led to in poor compliance grades associated with wage and
a deterioration of working conditions in emerging work hours violations. The final section discusses the
market suppliers. Managers lacking the resources to limitations of this study and implications for future
effectively implement modern manufacturing systems research and management practice.
shift the costs of flexible production onto the workforce
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and NGOs, working conditions and labor rights have 3. Lean Capability Building in the
improved among some supplier factories but have stag- Nike Supply Chain
nated or even deteriorated in many others (Locke 2013). Facing supply chain challenges in delivery time, prod-
Although pressure generated by antisweatshop cam- uct quality, and workplace conditions, in the late 1990s,
paigns has improved wages in some cases (Harrison Nike began a search for management interventions
and Scorse 2010), the scholarly literature on private for its supply base.3 The Toyota Production System
regulation has generally found persistent noncompli- (Ohno 1988, Womack et al. 1991) was selected for
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ance in a variety of workplace standards (Barrientos emulation, and a Toyota consultant was hired to adapt
and Smith 2007, Egels-Zandén 2007, Locke et al. 2007a). lean concepts to footwear manufacturing. In 2002, Nike
Despite private initiatives to equalize minimum work- secured commitments from long-term footwear suppli-
place standards across countries, domestic regulatory ers to implement the lean management and production
institutions and civil society remain key predictors of system it had developed, and a dedicated training
social compliance in global supply chains (Distelhorst center was established in 2004 to train both factory
et al. 2014, Toffel et al. 2015). managers and Nike staff. By May 2011, 80% of Nike’s
One important critique of these programs is that footwear suppliers had committed to adopting the new
they decouple compliance activities from core business system.
practices and thereby limit their impact on supplier Lean concepts have been widely studied and applied
social performance. When needs for external legiti- without a clear consensus on the definition of lean
macy diverge from market demands, firms may design production (Shah and Ward 2007). In this study, we
compliance regimes that conflict with other business
characterize the Nike production system as “lean”
processes, a decoupling that has been observed in other
by reference to common goals and features in lean
corporate ethics regimes (Weaver et al. 1999, MacLean
systems described by key works in the literature. The
and Behnam 2010). Within the global buyers that imple-
features of the Nike system (described in Table 1)
ment compliance programs, sourcing decisions are
included identifying the core value stream and orienting
often decoupled from the enforcement of private regu-
production around this concept; balancing production
lation, resulting in tension between these two functions.
processes using takt time (i.e., the available time for
It is not uncommon to hear complaints from social
production divided by consumer demand); eliminating
compliance managers that their mission is not taken
waste through the reduction of inventory buffers and
seriously by their colleagues in purchasing depart-
works in progress; increasing operator participation in
ments (Harney 2008, p. 213). For their part, suppliers
quality control and problem solving for continuous
complain that, despite lip service paid to ethical com-
improvement; and improving operational stability
pliance, sourcing decisions appear to remain guided
with 5S, standardized work, and visual management
by traditional business considerations, such as price,
techniques (Womack and Jones 1996, MacDuffie 1995,
quality, or turnaround (Ruwanpura and Wrigley 2011).
Shah and Ward 2003).
Some buyers have publicly acknowledged that their
Nike reported business performance gains associ-
own sourcing practices—including the proliferation of
ated with its lean intervention in footwear, includ-
styles, last-minute order changes, poor forecasting, and
ing increased productivity, reduced defect rates, and
overloading supplier capacity—contribute to the very
reduced lead times for both delivery and the introduc-
social performance problems that compliance programs
tion of new models (Nike, Inc. 2012). If these practices
attempt to remediate (Nike, Inc. 2012, Locke 2013).
improved productivity and quality, why did manufac-
In light of the limitations of private regulation, we
turers require outside intervention to adopt them? In
study a supply chain intervention that focuses on
fact, management practices associated with inferior
developing the management capabilities of suppliers,
organizational performance are relatively widespread
rather than enforcing standards through sourcing deci-
even in advanced industrial economies (Bloom and
sions. The immediate goal of capability building is
Van Reenen 2007). The adoption of new management
not to monitor and incentivize socially responsible
practices is not fully explained by superiority in effi-
behavior, but rather to change suppliers’ day-to-day
ciency. It is instead constrained by prevailing intellec-
managerial practices in ways that may also support
tual dispositions, preexisting assumptions about human
improved social performance. Capability building for
behavior, institutional conformity, and asymmetries
social performance has been pursued across a vari-
ety of industries (Locke 2013), but claims of impact
3
have yet to be subjected to quantitative hypothesis The following description of Nike’s lean manufacturing program
for apparel is based on internal documents provided by manage-
testing. The following section describes Nike’s lean
ment and interviews and written correspondence with eight Nike
capability-building initiative and the opportunity it managers over 2011–2014: four directors in lean manufacturing;
provided to test whether such interventions improve one vice president, one director, and one development associate in
social performance in global production. sustainability; and one director in communications.
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS 5
1. Connect or link at least one process Before lean, almost all apparel factories had physically disconnected sewing, ironing, and packing, with high inventory
to the core value stream buffers between each process. Connecting processes to the core value stream (sewing, in apparel factories) means
physically moving operators and machines into the line, with process cycle time balanced to the line takt time. In
practice, most apparel factories chose to connect ironing and packing at the end of each sewing line.
2. Control inventory via flow racks, Flow racks allow for easy retrieval of inventory on a first-in-first-out basis; kanbans are cards used to signal the start
kanbans, and pull systems and end of production. Both tools support pull systems, which drive production by demand at the end of the
process and reduce waste by eliminating inventory that would ordinarily build up in the value stream to absorb
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Note. Nike personnel certified lean production lines in apparel factories by evaluating the adoption of these eight practices.
between visible costs versus hard-to-measure benefits Vietnam and introduced to the Nike lean production
(Guillén 1994, Pfeffer 2007). Implementing modern system. All invitees accepted Nike’s offer to receive
management systems like lean also requires knowledge training and agreed to implement the system in their
that may be difficult to acquire in developing countries own plants. In general, the factories receiving the inter-
(Bloom et al. 2013). For these reasons, supply chain vention were larger plants with preexisting sourcing
capability building is neither unusual nor unique to relationships to Nike.5
Nike. Its lean program resembles well-known initiatives The first group of apparel suppliers committed to
to develop supplier capabilities by Toyota, Honda, and the Nike lean program in 2007 and began meeting
other automakers (Sako 2004). to discuss lean concepts and receive limited training.
The perceived success of the footwear program led A full training curriculum was offered starting in
Nike to expand the lean program to its apparel supply 2009 at the newly opened Apparel Innovation and
chain, which is the subject of our study. The global Training Center in Sri Lanka. The program trained
apparel industry employs tens of millions of workers in supplier managers to oversee the lean transformation of
the developing world (International Labour Organiza- their factories. The training program worked on a self-
tion 2005) and has traditionally offered opportunities for funding model that involved significant commitment
developing countries to integrate with global production from suppliers. Participating factories sent managers to
networks (Gereffi 1999). As of November 2015, Nike the Sri Lanka training center for eight weeks and paid
contracted with 396 apparel factories across 40 countries, tuition to cover program costs.6 The training center
employing over 370,000 workers.4
The first wave of lean adopters came from Nike’s 5
These selection criteria are one reason why cross-sectional com-
Apparel Manufacturing Leadership Forum, a group of
parisons of social compliance outcomes do not produce credible
strategic manufacturing partners with long-term rela- estimates of lean’s effects on social outcomes. Previous research on
tionships to Nike. Subsequent waves of lean-adopters working conditions among Nike’s suppliers found that strategic
were nominated by Nike Apparel Liaison Office direc- partners were more likely to have higher compliance scores (Locke
tors. Senior management from invited suppliers were et al. 2007a). We illustrate the problem with cross-sectional estima-
tions below after reporting the results of our difference-in-differences
initially brought to the footwear training center in
analysis.
6
The lean training program for apparel suppliers lasted 12 weeks,
4
For more detail, see Nike’s global manufacturing map: http:// but managers returned from the Sri Lanka training center to their
manufacturingmap.nikeinc.com (accessed February 21, 2016). home factories during the middle 4 weeks to work on assignments.
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
6 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS
was located inside an active apparel supplier, which for a wider range of tasks than in traditional mass
allowed trainees to observe and to practice what they production7 (Appelbaum 2000, MacDuffie 1995). Work-
learned in a lean manufacturing environment. After ers in lean systems integrate quality inspection into
completing the program, trainees worked with a Nike production work, suggest process improvements, and
manager to develop a rollout strategy for their home are more likely to engage in multiple production oper-
factories. They began by establishing a pilot line and ations (Berg et al. 1996, Dunlop and Weil 1996). In the
pursuing one element of the transformation, adding Nike system, workers were trained to conduct in-station
new elements until all were adopted and stabilized.
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of worker turnover; the more employers invest in and nonwage benefits. In theory, workers might be
workers, the more costly it is when workers leave the sensitive to workplace health and safety standards as
firm (Cappelli and Rogovsky 1994, MacDuffie 1995). well. However, we assume that wages and benefits
Thus, managers may improve terms of employment in are generally more influential in determining worker
order to improve employee retention, a major challenge motivation and job satisfaction. Survey evidence from
in many emerging market manufacturers. migrant workers in China finds that they are more than
The key empirical prediction of the labor rela- twice as likely to report “low pay” (80%) as “poor work-
tions mechanism—whether it passes through the need ing conditions” (35%) when reporting why they intend
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to motivate discretionary effort or to retain skilled to leave a job (Smyth et al. 2009). On the other hand,
employees—is an increase in wages and nonwage bene- if lean’s effects on social performance are primarily
fits. In addition, other working conditions that influence due to new management systems, we expect to see the
worker motivation and satisfaction may improve as largest effects in technical standards, such as industrial
well, such as total work hours, noise and temperature hygiene, hazardous substances, and emergency egress.8
on the shop floor, and sanitation in worker dormitories. After estimating the effect of lean on labor standards,
Consistent with these predictions, several studies of we shed light on these mechanisms by examining the
U.S. firms show that high-involvement work systems detailed workplace practices associated with Nike’s
are associated with increased employee compensation compliance grades.
(Appelbaum 2000, Bailey et al. 2001, Cappelli and To our knowledge, this is the first study to estimate
Neumark 2001, Osterman 2006). The labor relations the effects of lean on workplace standards across a
mechanism holds that lean will raise labor standards large sample of emerging market manufacturers. Inno-
for similar reasons. vative case study research offered initial support for
An alternative mechanism is that management sys- lean’s effect on labor standards in emerging markets
tems associated with lean manufacturing reduce the (Locke et al. 2007a), but a small sample size raised
marginal cost of complying with certain labor, health, the possibility that these effects were idiosyncratic to
and environmental standards (King and Lenox 2001), particular factories or local labor markets. Moreover,
even if labor relations remain largely unchanged. In other research suggests that the move toward lean
addition to changes to workers’ role in production, production in global supply chains has harmed labor
lean emphasizes the development of process improve- standards in emerging markets. In 2003–2004, Oxfam
ment capabilities (Womack et al. 1991). These modern International led a research project on the supply
management techniques are not widely diffused in chain practices of 20 companies spanning 15 coun-
emerging markets (Bloom and Van Reenen 2007). If tries. On the basis of interviews with factory and farm
noncompliance with certain workplace standards is workers, managers, government officials, union and
the result of flawed management processes, lean may NGO representatives, trading agents, importers, and
provide the tools to correct those processes to ensure staff from major brands and retailers, it concluded
compliance. Examples include the absence of processes that “0 0 0 current sourcing strategies designed to meet
to appropriately label and store hazardous chemicals ‘just-in-time’ delivery (premised on flexibility and fast
or ineffective inventory management that leads to turnaround), combined with the lowering of unit costs,
obstruction of emergency exits. Improved production are significantly contributing to the use of exploita-
planning and reduced cycle time (Dunlop and Weil tive employment practices by suppliers” (Dhanarajan
1996, Appelbaum 2000) may also reduce pressure on 2005, p. 531). According to this study, lean production
worker overtime to meet delivery deadlines (Locke is mimicked rather than genuinely practiced when
et al. 2009). By introducing improved systems of pro- suppliers do not possess the capabilities to cope with
cess improvement, industrial hygiene, and production demands by global buyers for shorter production lead
planning, lean may reduce the costs of remediating times, a greater diversity of products and styles, and
these violations of workplace standards. Consistent lower unit prices. They conclude that “As a result, it is
with this account, previous research on U.S. firms finds most definitely the workers at the labor-intensive stage
that the adoption of lean manufacturing is associated of production who are getting leaned on” (Raworth and
with improved environmental performance (King and Kidder 2009, p. 170). A study by the Clean Clothes Cam-
Lenox 2001). paign of 30 garment factories in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh,
The labor relations and management systems India, and Thailand found that demands by large
hypotheses are not mutually exclusive; both may be at retailers like Walmart, Carrefour, and Tesco for quick
work. However, they offer divergent predictions about turnaround and lower unit costs were undermining the
lean’s effects on factory social performance. If increased
worker involvement necessitates efficiency wages or 8
Both mechanisms predict improvement in overtime compliance.
raises the costs of turnover, we expect improvement in Reduction of excessive overtime may be the result of efforts to please
social performance standards that directly influence employees by reducing the intensity of work or reduced cycle times
employee motivation and well-being, such as wages and improved production planning.
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
8 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS
ability of suppliers to comply with codes of conduct third-party audits since June 2012. The purpose of the
(Clean Clothes Campaign 2008). Finally, field research dual system is to allow higher-performing factories
in a footwear factory in China found that lean manu- access to the Nike compliance personnel who can facil-
facturing increased health and safety risks for workers itate improvements beyond the minimum compliance
(Brown and O’Rourke 2007). In light of these conflicting standard. A factory’s progress in lean is not used when
claims, it remains unclear whether lean manufacturing making decisions about audit scheduling or the use of
is part of the problem or part of the solution. third-party versus internal auditors.
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9
Nike Inc. provided audit results for its apparel suppliers from third-party auditors was 2.35, and that assigned by Nike’s in-house
FY2009 through the first half of FY2014, as well as internal docu- auditors was 2.42, which yields a t-test p-value of 0.74. A chi-squared
ments describing its lean program. Nike also made key managers test of independence fails to detect differences in the compliance
involved in its lean program available for multiple interviews with grade distributions across auditor types (p-value of 0.79).
11
researchers. We agreed to withhold the names of individual suppliers See Nike, Inc. (2014) for full documentation of these standards.
as proprietary information in publications but were not otherwise 12
It is important to note that the specific content of these social
constrained in our presentation of research outcomes. compliance standards varies according to local law. For example,
10
We tested for systematic differences in the labor audits conducted the minimum wage in China is different from the minimum wage
by Nike and third-party auditors. Comparing mean audit scores for in Vietnam. Our empirical approach accounts for this in part by
a subsample of labor audits in the 11 countries studied, we find focusing on within-factory differences in compliance over time.
no significant difference in compliance grades. Using the four- However, a necessary assumption is that these within-factory changes
point grading scale described below, the average grade assigned by in grades are equivalent across factories.
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS 9
Table 2 Factory Compliance Panel Summary grade. We therefore believe that imputing missing val-
ues is the empirical approach least likely to introduce
Labor HSE
bias, because it retains information from the entire
Imputed values? No Yes No Yes sample of factories in each time period. However, we
Countries 11 11 11 11 also repeat our main analysis with no imputation of
Factories 300 300 332 332 missing data with no change in findings. The larger
Observations 862 2,704 959 2,504
number of imputed values for labor compliance results
Compliance scores (%)
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Table 3 Lean Adoption in the Compliance Panel The treatment is also slightly lagged by our coding
of lean adoption according to the state of the factory
Labor sample HSE sample
on the first day of a time period, which ensures that
Year Factories % Factories % lean adoption in our data predates the factory audit.
FY2009 0 0 0 0
Neither our lean measures nor our social compliance
FY2010 12 4 12 4 scores rely upon factory self-reporting, which may be
FY2011 27 9 27 8 subject to biases motivated by self-interest.
FY2012 53 18 56 17
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Notes. The table shows OLS panel fixed-effects regression from FY2009 H1 to FY2014 H1. Models are fit using both
start point imputation of missing data and no imputation of missing data. Regression coefficients are shown with
robust standard errors clustered by factory in parentheses. The outcomes are factory compliance grades on a
four-point scale (A = 4, B = 3, C = 2, D = 1) for labor and for health, safety, and environment (HSE). The two codings
of the independent variable are any lean adoption (1 if the factory has adopted any lean lines, 0 otherwise) and
percentage of lean lines (count of lean lines/total lines in factory). Effect magnitudes are expressed in percent of mean
compliance scores for all nonlean factory-half observations. CI, confidence interval.
∗∗
p < 0001.
factories to invite, thereby introducing bias. Finally, we We also test whether these results are driven by our
examine the assumption of parallel trends among lean approach to missing data by comparing estimates from
adopters and nonadopters in the pretreatment period. both imputed (balanced) and nonimputed (imbalanced)
Consistent with the parallel trends assumption, we panel data. Lean’s estimated effect on labor compliance
find no evidence of divergent trends until after lean is larger in the imbalanced panels (Models 3 and 4),
adoption. but statistical comparisons fail to detect significant
differences in effects across alternative approaches to
missing data.
5. Results
One potential concern with the preceding analysis is
Table 4 presents the main results of our estimation
the validity of the parallel trends assumption, which
using two measures of lean adoption. Odd-numbered
implies that average outcomes for lean adopters and
models use the binary indicator of lean adoption, and
nonadopters would follow parallel trends in the absence
even-numbered models use the continuous measure:
of the intervention. To inspect differences in treatment
the percentage of lean-certified production lines in a
and control groups before and after the intervention,
plant. In both specifications, lean manufacturing has a
we estimate a panel model using leads and lags of the
positive effect on labor compliance. The adoption of
treatment, similar to that in Autor (2003). We recode
any lean lines results in an improvement of 0.29 letter
our treatment indicator as the “switch” from the last
grades, 11% of the dependent variable mean (Model 1).
time period of no lean lines to the first time period
Going from zero lean lines to a 100% lean factory is
with any lean lines. We then add binary leads and
associated with an improvement of over half a letter
lags of this indicator to the model. The coefficients on
grade (Model 2). We estimate a small positive effect of
these indicators estimate the differences between lean
lean adoption on HSE compliance on the four-point
adopters and nonadopters at periods just before and
scale, but the coefficients are imprecisely estimated.14
after the adoption of lean in the treatment group.
14
We would have come to apparently erroneous conclusions about 4
X
lean’s effects on HSE compliance if we had relied on estimates Yit = i + t + a leanswitchi4t−a5 + it 0 (2)
using cross-sectional variation. Examining compliance outcomes a=−4
in our sample in FY2014, two-sided t-tests allowing for unequal
variances estimate significant effects of lean adoption on both Our fixed effects remain the same as the ordinary
labor compliance (+0051 grades, = 0013) and HSE compliance panel model. The explanatory variable leanswitchit is a
(+0044 grades, = 0006). binary indicator that takes the value 1 only if factory i
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
12 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS
Figure 1 (Color online) Leads and Lags of Lean Adoption variation over time in the effect of the intervention.
The improvement in labor compliance grows consis-
Before lean adoption After lean adoption
Difference in labor compliance
0.4
their labor audits than non adopters. In periods before
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Notes. The table shows OLS panel fixed-effects regression from FY2009 H1 to FY2014 H1 (11 periods). Regression coefficients are shown with robust standard
errors clustered by factory in parentheses. The outcomes are binary transformations of factory compliance scores for labor and for health, safety, and environment
(HSE). The first transformation codes factories receiving A or B grades as 1, and 0 otherwise. The second transformation codes factories receiving only an A grade
as 1, and 0 otherwise. The two codings of the independent variable are lean adoption (1 if the factory has adopted any lean lines, 0 otherwise) and percentage of
lean lines (count of lean lines/total lines in factory).
∗
p < 0005; ∗∗ p < 0001.
Hiring practices:
Trains employees on terms of employment
Employment records for all employees
Non-discrimination compliance
Employees free to terminate employment
No underage employees
Does not assign home work
Employees communication:
Confidential grievance system
Procedures to investigate grievances
Employees believe grievance system is fair
Employees can freely associate
No factory interference with employee orgs
No coaching worker responses to auditor
Treatment of employees:
No abusive treatment of employees
Leave for emergencies or medical care
Access to drinking water and toilets
0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20
Variable importance from random forest
(mean decrease in Gini index)
Notes. The figure shows random forest estimates of variable importance from sample of audits with detailed subscores for labor compliance, with a total of
442 audits over FY2008–FY2012. Variable importance is measured by the sum of all decreases in the Gini impurity index associated with splitting on a given
variable, normalized by the number of trees in the forest (Breiman 2002, Liaw and Wiener 2002).
labor compliance grades are related to employee com- 5.2. Heterogeneous Effects by Country
pensation and hours, especially accurate payment of Finally, we examine the effects of lean in different
wages, one day off per seven days of work, provision of countries. We interact the lean measures in our panel
legally mandated benefits, time-keeping for work hours, model with country indicators to estimate country-
and keeping work hours under the maximum limit. specific treatment effects. The seven countries that
In contrast, HSE grades, where we find no significant occupy at least 5% of the sample each have their own
indicators, and the remaining countries are pooled into
improvement, are primarily determined by technical
a residual indicator comprising Bangladesh, Cambodia,
and procedural standards that do not play a major role
Egypt, Indonesia, and Turkey.
in worker motivation and retention. The top predictors We find significant heterogeneity in the treatment
are risks from confined spaces and the management effect across countries (Figure 3). In India, Malaysia,
of hazardous substances (see Figure A.1). Although and Thailand, any lean adoption is associated with
these are important working conditions, workers cite improvement of over half a letter grade in labor com-
them significantly less often than wages as a reason for pliance. The effect in Vietnam is smaller but statistically
leaving the enterprise (Smyth et al. 2009). significant. However, in China, Sri Lanka, and our pool
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS 15
Figure 3 (Color online) Country-Specific Treatment Effects industry, we estimate that adoption of any lean manu-
facturing is associated with an improvement of 0.29
India labor compliance grades, or a 15 percentage point
increase in the probability of compliance (A or B grades).
Thailand
Although this finding by no means obviates concerns
Malaysia about working conditions in emerging markets, it does
provide the first quantitative evidence on the efficacy
Vietnam
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The effect of lean on labor standards was strongest through the threat of external sanction. Buyers mandate
in India, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam. However, that suppliers meet social responsibility standards in
we detect no effect of the lean intervention in Sri order to do business. For the sanction-based system
Lanka, China, and the pool of remaining countries. It is to work, the buyer has to be willing to bear the costs
perhaps unsurprising to find little improvement in Sri of adequately financing an auditing team to monitor
Lanka, a country known for high levels of factory social compliance as well as switching costs associated with
compliance (Ruwanpura and Wrigley 2011). Among terminating relationships with noncompliant suppliers.
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factories in Sri Lanka, 85% of nonlean observations In turn, the supplier must believe that investments in
exhibited a labor compliance rating of B or higher, improved conditions are more valuable than losing
with 31% receiving A ratings. The same cannot be said the buyer’s business. However, the last decade of
for China, where just 57% of nonlean observations research offers evidence that these programs offer lim-
received a B or higher, and only 8% received an A grade. ited improvements, because buyers continue business
China’s labor compliance grades are comparable to relationships even under conditions of sustained non-
factories in India (48% B or higher, 10% As), where compliance (Barrientos and Smith 2007, Egels-Zandén
factories exhibited significant improvement. 2007, Lund-Thomsen et al. 2012, Locke 2013, Distelhorst
One clue to the absence of an effect in China is et al. 2014). Even when traditional compliance regimes
the lower intensity of lean adoption. By the start of function as designed, the buyer must continuously
FY2014, all 12 Thai lean adopters, 9 of 10 in Malaysia, apply these pressures, with their associated costs for all
and all 3 in India had certified more than 33% of their parties, to sustain improved workplace conditions. In
production lines to meet Nike’s minimum definition. contrast, previous research shows that lean and other
In contrast, 6 of the 16 lean adopters in China had less forms of modern manufacturing deliver substantial
than 33% lean lines. If the effects of lean are associated benefits to business performance (Ichniowski et al. 1996,
with a certain threshold level of adoption, then perhaps Bloom et al. 2013). If these practices can be successfully
factories in China have not yet reached that threshold. introduced, suppliers themselves may have a stake in
A second possibility is that features of China’s indus- maintaining them.
trial workplace create barriers to the development of How generalizable are our findings? The interven-
high-involvement work systems that devolve mean- tion we studied was firm driven and implemented in
ingful decisions to workers. Previous research on lean the naturalistic setting of actual manufacturers across
and high-performance work systems emphasizes the 11 emerging markets. The manufacturing practices
importance of complementary “bundles” of work and that comprise Nike’s lean intervention (Table 1) are
personnel practices in delivering benefits for the firm widely known and commonly employed in a range of
(Milgrom and Roberts 1990, MacDuffie 1995, Dunlop manufacturing settings. Because these practices are
and Weil 1996). If changes in labor relations are the not highly idiosyncratic or proprietary, our findings
primary mechanism through which lean affects labor may be applicable to similar interventions by other
standards, key elements of the bundle may include insti- firms. Our findings also come from an industry in
tutions that facilitate communication between workers which emerging markets play an important role. After
and management and foster the necessary trust to China and the European Union, the world’s biggest
give workers meaningful decision-making authority. exporters of apparel are Bangladesh, Vietnam, India,
Contemporary China has highly limited institutions and Turkey (World Trade Organization 2014). With low
of worker voice, with the official labor union failing barriers to entry, apparel manufacturing is viewed as a
to provide significant bottom-up representation of “starter” industry for growth strategies that emphasize
worker interests and opposing higher levels of worker export-oriented industrialization (Gereffi 1999). In these
participation in decision-making (Friedman and Lee ways, our findings on lean manufacturing and labor
2010, Brown and O’Rourke 2007). In the absence of standards are theoretically applicable to firms across a
institutions facilitating voice and trust, employers may variety of emerging markets.
adopt the physical and managerial elements of lean At the same time, there are important limits to general-
without implementing the high-involvement work izability. As a model for improving social compliance in
practices that stimulate improved labor standards. global supply chains, capability-building interventions
Learning more about mechanisms and heterogeneous may be limited to large buyers like Nike. Large multi-
effects across workplaces is the focus of our future nationals have more resources to support training
research. Regardless of the mechanisms that produce programs, and the scale of their orders makes it eas-
positive spillovers for social performance, lean capa- ier to persuade suppliers to invest in implementing
bility building differs in fundamental ways from the new management systems. This intervention also tar-
traditional private regulatory approach to social respon- geted suppliers with long-term business relationships
sibility in supply chains. The dominant mode of private with Nike. If such relationships are a precondition for
regulation attempts to improve workplace conditions intensive collaboration on management systems, this
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS 17
intervention may not be plausible in supply chains attempt to create value for both the buyer and sup-
with high supplier turnover. In short, we should nei- plier, such that both parties have incentive to cultivate
ther over- nor undergeneralize from the results of and sustain new management practices. By offering
this research. Lean manufacturing is associated with evidence that certain forms of capability building
improved labor standards in this important case, but it enhance factory social performance, we identify a
would be prudent to replicate these analyses with new specific opportunity to create “shared value” in global
industries and lead firms. supply chains (Porter and Kramer 2006). If global
buyers, supplier management, and the production
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Appendix
Table A.1 Effects of Lean, Controlling for Cumulative Compliance Audits and Country Trends
Model: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (11) (12)
∗∗ ∗∗
Lean adoption 0029 0029 0021 0008 0004 0000
400115 400115 400115 400075 400075 400065
% lean lines 0057∗∗ 0057∗∗ 0044∗∗ 0008 0000 0004
400165 400165 400155 400115 400115 400105
Cumulative audits 0010 0004 0010 0004
400135 400135 400135 400135
(Squared) −0001 0001 −0001 0001
400035 400035 400035 400035
Country time trends Ø Ø Ø Ø
Factory FEs Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø
Half-year FEs Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø Ø
Factories 300 300 300 300 300 300 332 332 332 332 332 332
Total observations 2,704 2,704 2,704 2,704 2,704 2,704 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504 2,504
Notes. Alternative specifications of the compliance models estimated in Table 4 are shown, controlling for cumulative audits and country-specific time trends (linear
and quadratic) for each of the 11 countries in the sample. Cumulative audits are the total number of audits the factory has experienced as of the current period. The
outcomes are factory compliance grades on a four-point scale (A = 4, B = 3, C = 2, D = 1) for labor and for health, safety, and environment (HSE). The two
codings of the independent variable are any lean adoption (1 if the factory has adopted any lean lines, 0 otherwise) and percentage of lean lines (count of lean
lines/total lines in factory).
∗∗
p < 0001.
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
18 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS
Table A.2 Effects of Leads and Lags of Lean Adoption on Labor Compliance
Model: (1)
40009665
leanswitch t+2 000662
4001115
leanswitch t+1 000419
4001265
leanswitch t 00115
4001635
leanswitch t−1 00220
4001805
leanswitch t−2 00283
4001935
leanswitch t−3 00490∗∗
4002055
leanswitch t−4 00548∗∗
4002165
Factory FEs Ø
Half-year FEs Ø
Factories 300
Total observations 2,704
Notes. The table shows OLS panel fixed effects regression from FY2009 H1 to FY2014 H1.
Regression coefficients are shown with robust standard errors clustered by factory in parentheses.
The outcomes are factory labor compliance grades on a four-point scale (A = 4, B = 3, C = 2,
D = 1). The binary indicator leanswitch t takes the value 1 only in the first period after lean
adoption. The leads and lags of this indicator allow us to examine differences between the
treatment and control groups before (t + a) and after (t − a) lean adoption. The results are plotted
in Figure 1.
∗
p < 0005; ∗∗ p < 0001.
(1) (2)
Lean adoption
× China −00074
4002255
× Thailand 00704∗∗
4001825
× Vietnam 00239
4002115
× Sri Lanka −00023
4002405
× Malaysia 00608∗∗
4002205
× India 00809∗∗
4001875
× Other 00184
4002565
(1) (2)
× Malaysia 00912∗∗
4002515
× India 10360
4003595
× Other −00025
4005255
Factory FEs Ø Ø
Half-year FEs Ø Ø
Factories 300 300
Total observations 2,704 2,704
Notes. The table shows OLS panel fixed effects regression from FY2009 H1 to FY2014 H1. Regression
coefficients are shown with robust standard errors clustered by factory in parentheses. The outcomes are
factory labor compliance grades on a four-point scale (A = 4, B = 3, C = 2, D = 1). The two codings of our
lean measure have been interacted with country indicators to estimate treatment effects within each country
that represents at least 5% of our sample. Bangladesh, Cambodia, Egypt, Indonesia, and Turkey make up the
“Other” category. Results are plotted in Figure 3.
∗∗
p < 0001.
Table A.4 Nike Compliance Audit Scoring Rubric
Health, safety,
Grade Labor and environment
A • Isolated violations of standards that do not rise to the level of “Serious” or “Critical” issues • Fully compliant
• No more than five minor issues awaiting remediation • Demonstrates best
practices
• Considered a leader
B • Isolated violations of standards that do not rise to the level of “Serious” or “Critical” issues • Mostly compliant
• More than five minor issues awaiting remediation • Minor system failures
• Factory making progress
C • Factory not providing basic terms of employment (contracts, documented training on terms of employment, equal • Noncompliant
pay, discriminatory employment screening) • Serious system failures
• Isolated use of workers under the minimum legal age or above the minimum legal age but under the minimum age • Factory making no
of Nike’s standards progress
• Factory fails to honor a material term of a signed collective bargaining agreement
• Isolated case of not paying the legally mandated minimum wage; not providing legally required nonincome-related
benefits; or failure to provide required income-related benefits
• Isolated verbal or mental harassment or abuse
• Violation of local laws regarding the use of migrant labor
• Serious violation of hours of work standard: factory fails to provide verifiable timekeeping system to accurately
record work hours; more than 10% of employees work between 60 and 72 hours each week or work seven or more
consecutive days without a break
D • Management specifically refuses or continues to demonstrate that it is not willing to comply with Nike Standards • Noncompliant
• Any denial of access to authorized compliance inspectors • Demonstrates general
• Management provides false information (statements or documents or demonstrates coaching) disregard for Nike codes
• Factory outsources to an unapproved or unauthorized facility or issues home work to employees and standards
• Any use of bonded, indentured, or prison labor • Unwilling or unable to
• Use of force to compel illegal work hours drive important change
• Systemic use of workers under the minimum legal age for work • Deliberately misleads
• Factory denies workers freedom of association auditors
• Systematically not paying the legally mandated minimum wage or not providing legally required income-related • Audit shows critical
benefits systemic and
• Factory conducts pregnancy testing as a condition of employment widespread problems
• Systematically not providing legally required maternity leave
• A confirmed serious incident of physical or sexual abuse or systemic harassment and abuse and/or failure to timely
respond to complaint(s)
• Critical violation of hours of work standard: lack of verifiable timekeeping system results in workers not having
hours or work accurately recorded; more than 10% of employees exceed daily work hour limits, work more than
72 hours each week, or work 14 or more consecutive days without a break
Note. See Nike, Inc. (2014) for more detail on the standards that these grades refer to.
Distelhorst, Hainmueller, and Locke: Does Lean Improve Labor Standards?
20 Management Science, Articles in Advance, pp. 1–22, © 2016 INFORMS
Figure A.1 (Color online) Predictors of Health, Safety, and Environment (HSE) Compliance Grades
General work
Heat stress
Nonionizing raditiation
Maintenance:
Confined spaces
Electrical safety
Contractor safety
Hazardous energy control
Maintenance safety
Fall protection
PMV
Health:
Canteen
Sanitation
Occupational health
Drinking water
Dormitory
Childcare
Chemical management:
Hazardous materials
Hazardous waste
Air emissions
AST
Waste water
Asbestos
Solid waste
PCB
UST
0 5 10 15 20 0 5 10 15 20
Variable importance from random forest
(mean decrease in Gini index)
Notes. Random forest estimates of variable importance from sample of 313 audits with detailed subscores for HSE compliance. Includes factories from the eleven
countries used in the main study. Variable importance is measured by the sum of all decreases in the Gini impurity index associated with splitting on a given
variable, normalized by the number of trees in the forest (Breiman 2002, Liaw and Wiener 2002). PPE, personal protective equipment; PMV, powered motor vehicle;
AST, above-ground storage tank; PCB, polychlorinated biphenyl; UST, underground storage tank.
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