Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Southeast Asia’s
Golden Age:
Resilience and Recovery
Our hearts go out to each of the families who have lost loved
ones to the tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic. Please
accept our deepest condolences.
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
1
with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
2
for local platforms
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by
3
2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
5
of incremental equity value by 2029
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
6
focused platforms
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8
the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
2 for local platforms
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by
33 2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
6 focused platforms
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
Negative growth in
GDP per Capita in Real, Inflation-Adjusted Terms FY2020 due to Size of Tech Companies
Expressed in Constant 2019 U.S. Dollars COVID-19 $US Billions
USA
$56,000 Australia
$20-2,000bn
Japan (Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Google,
S. Korea Facebook, Rakuten, Yahoo Japan,
$28,000 Netflix, Uber)
$14,000
China $30-700bn
(Alibaba, Tencent, JD, Baidu,
Meituan, Bytedance)
$7,000 Thailand
$2-100bn
THE GOLDEN AGE ` SE Asia
Indonesia
(Sea, Grab, Go-Jek, Lazada,
Tokopedia)
$3,500 Vietnam
$0.5-25bn
(Flipkart, MakeMyTrip)
India
$1,750 Bangladesh
$0-1bn
(Mpesa)
$875
'60 '63 '66 '69 '72 '75 '78 '81 '84 '87 '90 '93 '96 '99 '02 '05 '08 '11 '14 '17 '20
Source: IMF, World Bank, Asia Partners Analysis Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 6
ACCOUNTABILITY: ACTUALS VS. FORECAST
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
2
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
for local platforms
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by
33 2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
6 focused platforms
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
The vast majority of emerging markets internet market cap comes from Category 3
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
2
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
for local platforms
33
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by In Process
2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
6 focused platforms
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
Online Advertising Asiacontent.com, Sohu.com, Focus Media, Baidu, Pacific Online, Bluefocus Kingnet, 360 Security, 58.com, Weibo, iClick, Wanka, Glory Star Mobvista, Sogou,
SINA Corp, TOM Group TOM Online Leo Group Intelligent People.cn, Charm, Renren Momo, Tian Ge Qutoutiao, Ruhnn, Youdao, Beijing Daily, Netjoy
Software AsiaInfo-Linkage,
Yonyou Network
China
National
Beat DHC, Beijing Shiji, China TransInfo, Glodon, Sungy Thunder, Yusys, Duolun, Sinosoft, AsiaInfo, Wondershare, Ming Yuan
Thunisoft, Beijing Orient, AutoNavi Mobile Wondertek, Borqs OneConnect, Arcsoft, Geovis Cloud, Foxit
Longtop
China SUNDAY Communications, China Mobile AirNet
Wireless Telcos Mobile (US) China Unicorn, China United (HK), Hutchison Technology
Greatwall Tech, Shen Zhen Sumavision, Shenzhen Huizhou Desay, Hitevision, Haier, Xiaomi,
Consumer Electronic BOE
BOE, Skyworth
TCL
Mindata, MTC, Aisidi, NavInfo
Meitu
Huami, Hopechart IoT, Transsion, Anker
Asat JCET, Semicon Manufacturing Wuhan Guide Infrared, RDA, Shenzhen Goodix, Dawning, Amlogic, Verisilicon, Montage, China
Semiconductors Holdings Int’l Corp, China Resources (HK)
Spreadtrum NAURA
Beijing Waterek, MLS, Leyard Hua Hong, Will Semicon Resources (CH), Beijing Huafeng, iRay
Nanjing Newland, Fiberhome, Jiangsu ZTE Fujian Beijing Ultrapower, Gosuncn, Suzhou Yeahlink, Tianjin 712, Shenzhen
Telecom Equipment Panda Zhongtian, Hengtong, Aisino Corp Star-net Anhui Tatfook, Sunway, Hytera Keda Sinovatio, Yangtze Optical
Genew
Consys
Asia Xinhua Sports, China Jishi Media, Wisdom Wanda Film, Guizhou Broadcasting,
Film/Television Satellite
I-CABLE
Digital TV, VisionChina Beijing Enlight Sports IMAX China Guangxi Radio
China Bright
'95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20
Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 11
Source: Bloomberg for China/HK IPO Dates
SOUTHEAST ASIA IS APPROXIMATELY 10 YEARS SHIFTED IN TIME
Local Services
Each Blue Rectangle Indicates an IPO from SE Asia
Online Health
E-Commerce Logistics
Wealth Management iFast Corp
*MOL
Payments Global DIVA
Credit Bureau
Online Lending Asia
Online Education
Online Content
Online HR HRnetgroup
Online Travel
Online Games Xurpas Sea
Digital
Online Advertising SPH Phorm VGI PCL Mediatama
Stratech Awanbiru
Software Systems Technology
Pasifik M1, Maxis XL Axiata, Bakrie Maxis, Tower Bersama, Solosi Digital
Wireless Telcos Satelit Communications
Starhub
Telecom Tunas Pratama Telecom
Sevak, Nera
Telecom Equipment Telecom
ALT Telecom
Surya Citra, GMM, GMA, Media Elang Mahkota Visi Media Asia, MNC Sky Vision, MNC Studios, MNC
Film/Television ITV PCL, Astro
MCOT
Nusantara Teknologi Mono Next, Astro Malaysia, Intermedia
JKN
Yeah1 Group Vision
Telkom TIME Interlink Telecom,
Wireline Telcos Indonesia
Telstra
dotCom
CS Loxinfo Link Net
NetLink NBN
Converge ICT
'95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20
Source: Bloomberg for Southeast Asian IPO Dates Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 12
* MOL Global has been delisted from NASDAQ
ACCOUNTABILITY: ACTUALS VS. FORECAST
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
2
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
for local platforms
33
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by In Process
2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade In Process
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
6 focused platforms
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
2
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
for local platforms
33
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by In Process
2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade In Process
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
25% done
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
6 focused platforms
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
Shareholder Return
Ticker Name Market Cap ($Bn) Country Jan 2019- Present Primary Industry
SE US Equity SEA LTD-ADR $ 118 Singapore 1960% Video Games & eCommerce
TSLA US Equity TESLA INC $ 801 United States 1178% Automobiles
SHOP CN Equity SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A $ 145 Canada 769% Application Software
3690 HK Equity MEITUAN-CLASS B $ 282 China 762% Local Services
PDD US Equity PINDUODUO INC-ADR $ 208 China 662% eCommerce
000858 CH Equity WULIANGYE YIBIN CO LTD-A $ 171 China 532% Beverages
300750 CH Equity CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHN-A $ 141 China 468% Battery Manufacturer
AMD US Equity ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $ 108 United States 381% Semiconductors
JD US Equity JD.COM INC-ADR $ 143 China 355% eCommerce
SQ US Equity SQUARE INC - A $ 102 United States 304% Financial Technology
NVDA US Equity NVIDIA CORP $ 323 United States 303% Semiconductors
600519 CH Equity KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO LTD-A $ 397 China 285% Beverages
603288 CH Equity FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING -A $ 101 China 284% Food Manufacturer
ASML NA Equity ASML HOLDING NV $ 231 Netherlands 258% Semiconductors
2330 TT Equity TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFAC $ 600 Taiwan 250% Semiconductors
AAPL US Equity APPLE INC $ 2,151 United States 243% Electronic Manufacturer
QCOM US Equity QUALCOMM INC $ 185 United States 207% Semiconductors & Software
000333 CH Equity MIDEA GROUP CO LTD-A $ 105 China 205% Electrical Appliance Manufacturer
NOW US Equity SERVICENOW INC $ 101 United States 205% Software
PYPL US Equity PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC $ 290 United States 190% Financial Technology
9984 JP Equity SOFTBANK GROUP CORP $ 176 Japan 165% Multinational Conglomerate
1810 HK Equity XIAOMI CORP-CLASS B $ 104 China 142% Electronic Manufacturer
600036 CH Equity CHINA MERCHANTS BANK-A $ 201 China 138% Financial Services
005930 KS Equity SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO LTD $ 474 South Korea 138% Electronic Manufacturer
DHR US Equity DANAHER CORP $ 168 United States 132% Diversified Conglomerate
TMO US Equity THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INC $ 201 United States 132% Life Sciences
MSFT US Equity MICROSOFT CORP $ 1,636 United States 127% Computer Software
CHTR US Equity CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC-A $ 147 United States 126% Telecommunications
700 HK Equity TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD $ 841 China 120% Video Games & eCommerce
140
Billions
Today:
120 (Jan 2021)
US$117.6B
100
80
~US$100B in
60
incremental equity
value from Sea alone
40
0
Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20
Source: Bloomberg | Note: ‘Today’ stock price refers to Jan 14th, 2021 Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 17
ACCOUNTABILITY: ACTUALS VS. FORECAST
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
2
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
for local platforms
33
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by In Process
2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade In Process
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
25% done
6
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
focused platforms
There are 28,000 graduates of first-generation companies, of whom 1,200 are
77 already next generation founders; regional winners will emerge from this group
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
Relevant Historical
Technical Number of Examples of
GDP Population Talent(a) Sizable IPOs Scaling Across
Country US$ Billions Millions Thousands Since 2015(b) Southeast Asia
(a) Number of LinkedIn profiles with Python or JavaScript as skills and Programmer, Developer, Software Developer, Web Developer, Software Engineer, or Java Engineer as Job Titles, November
2020 search; (b) Number of $100M or larger IPOs from Country on any exchange from 2015 through December 2020.
Relevant Historical
Technical Number of Examples of
GDP Population Talent(a) Sizable IPOs Scaling Across
Country US$ Billions Millions Thousands Since 2015(b) Southeast Asia
Singapore $337
2 6 High 25 High
(a) Number of LinkedIn profiles with Python or JavaScript as skills and Programmer, Developer, Software Developer, Web Developer, Software Engineer, or Java Engineer as Job Titles, November
2020 search; (b) Number of $100M or larger IPOs from Country on any exchange from 2015 through December 2020.
2 Games,
E-commerce
Southeast Asia and Taiwan
1 E-Commerce Indonesia
1 E-Commerce Indonesia
1 Payments Indonesia
1 Vietnam
9%
Malaysia
6% Thailand
5% Philippines
4%
Myanmar
1%
Cambodia
1%
Indonesia
23%
2 Relevant Historical
Technical Number of Examples of
GDP Population Talent(a) Sizable IPOs Scaling Across
Country US$ Billions Millions Thousands Since 2015(b) Southeast Asia
GM ID
Indonesia $1,089 274 Medium High Adopted by:
66 Medium
GM TH
Thailand $509 67 Fewer 37 Medium
GM MY
Malaysia $336 33 Medium 9 High
CTO CEO CFO CGO
Singapore $337 6 High 25 High
GM PH
Philippines $367 110 Medium 10 Medium
GM VN
Vietnam $341 97 Medium 8 Medium
Asst. CTO
(a) Number of LinkedIn profiles with Python or JavaScript as skills and Programmer, Developer, Software Developer, Web Developer, Software Engineer, or Java Engineer as Job Titles, November
2020 search; (b) Number of $100M or larger IPOs from Country on any exchange from 2015 through December 2020.
Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 23
SINGAPORE HAS BECOME THE ‘COMMERCIAL CAPITAL OF ASIA’
FROM THE STANDPOINT OF REGIONAL EXECUTIVE ROLES
Country of Residence for all LinkedIn Profiles with a either an ‘Asia Pacific’, ‘Asia’, or ‘APAC’ in title (% of Global Total)
Vietnam Myanmar
1% 0% Others
South Korea 20% Singapore
1%
Indonesia 26%
2%
Taiwan
2%
Philippines China
2% 13%
Japan
2% India
Hong Kong SAR
11%
Thailand 13%
3%
Malaysia
4%
~26% of all Asia-wide roles sit in Singapore, double the proportion of that in China or Hong Kong
Source: LinkedIn, Asia Partners Analysis (late 2020) Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 24
STRATEGY 2 LEVERAGES THE REGION’S CONCENTRATION OF
PROGRAMMERS AND DATA SCIENTISTS IN SINGAPORE
INDICATOR OF GENERAL INDICATOR OF BIG DATA / STATISTICAL
PROGRAMMING (PYTHON OR JAVASCRIPT) COMPUTING CAPABILITIES (R)
% of LinkedIn Profiles who are equipped with % of LinkedIn Profiles who are equipped with
Python / JavaScript capabilities R capabilities
0.7%
3.0%
0.6%
2.5%
0.5%
2.0%
0.4%
1.5%
Average: 1.3% 0.3%
0.5% 0.1%
0.0% 0.0%
Source: LinkedIn, Asia Partners Analysis Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 25
AND SIMILARLY, THE LEVEL OF SENIOR TECH LEADERSHIP IN
SINGAPORE RELATIVE TO THE REST OF THE REGION
Chief Information Officer + Chief Technology Officer + Chief Product Officer + Chief Information Security Officers as a % of all LinkedIn Profiles
0.20%
0.15%
0.05%
0.00%
Global Singapore Vietnam Thailand Malaysia Philippines Indonesia United Taiwan Australia China India
States
Source: LinkedIn, Asia Partners Analysis Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 26
AN IMPORTANT TREND: THE REST OF THE REGION IS ALSO BUILDING
TECHNICAL TALENT, ENABLING DECENTRALIZED TALENT IN THE
‘ZOOM CALL ERA’ AND MORE HOME-GROWN REGIONAL STARTUPS
# OF AVAILABLE TECH TALENT FOR GENERAL # OF AVAILABLE TECH TALENT FOR BIG DATA /
PROGRAMMING (PYTHON OR JAVASCRIPT) STATISTICAL COMPUTING CAPABILITIES (R)
Absolute Number of LinkedIn Profiles who are Absolute Number of LinkedIn Profiles who are equipped
equipped with Python / JavaScript capabilities with R capabilities
90 22
Thousands
Thousands
80 20
18
70
16
60
14
50 12
40 10
8
30
6
20
4
10 2
0 0
Source: LinkedIn, Asia Partners Analysis Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 27
ACCOUNTABILITY: ACTUALS VS. FORECAST
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
2
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
for local platforms
33
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by In Process
2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade In Process
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
25% done
6
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
focused platforms
There are 28,000 graduates of first-generation companies, of whom 1,200 are Better than
77 already next generation founders; regional winners will emerge from this group we thought
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity
893 15.2% 1 5 .2 0 %
628 10.7% 1 0 .7 0 %
392 6.7% 6 .7 0 %
371 6.3% 6 .3 0 %
367 6.2% 6 .2 0 %
336 5.7% 5 .7 0 %
312 5.3% 5 .3 0 %
262 4.5% 4 .5 0 %
247 4.2% 4 .2 0 %
227 3.9% 3 .9 0 %
166 2.8% 2 .8 0 %
162 2.8% 2 .8 0 %
155 2.6% 2 .6 0 %
148 2.5% 2 .5 0 %
145 2.5% 2 .5 0 %
118 2.0% 2 .0 0 %
118 2.0% 2 .0 0 %
113 1.9% 1 .9 0 %
111 1.9% 1 .9 0 %
99 1.7% 1 .7 0 %
97 1.6% 1 .6 0 %
93 1.6% 1 .6 0 %
59 1.0% 1 .0 0 %
59 1.0% 1 .0 0 %
58 1.0% 1 .0 0 %
55 0.9% 0 .9 0 %
46 0.8% 0 .8 0 %
44 0.7% 0 .7 0 %
Southeast Asia is entering a golden age of rising affluence that has been associated
11 with large tech company formation in China, Korea, and Japan in the past
2
The region’s opportunities and unique complexity creates true home court advantage
for local platforms
33
We predict 20+ more billion-dollar value tech companies from Southeast Asia by In Process
2029
4 At least half of these 20 companies will pursue IPOs over the next decade In Process
New and existing tech companies in Southeast Asia will create an additional $400 billion
55 of incremental equity value by 2029
25% done
6
We think 70% of the winners will be regional platforms and 30% will be Indonesia-
focused platforms
There are 28,000 graduates of first-generation companies, of whom 1,200 are Better than
77 already next generation founders; regional winners will emerge from this group we thought
While the Series A/B ecosystem has strengthened, there is an acute Series C/D gap in Still a Series
8 the market for $20-100 million checks; Southeast Asia is ready for growth equity C/D Gap
2.32 2.78
x $3.30
Catch up to
China/HK 8.3 China/HK +3.3 Trillion China/HK
$1.09
USA USA
Catch up to
15.9 +10.9 $3.59
USA
$500
At larger check sizes,
Southeast Asia’s ecosystem Below $20M check sizes,
mirrors China closely in terms Southeast Asia has a ~$215M
$100 gap in Series A/B funding each
of the distribution of year relative to China.
investments, e.g.
$20
$4
99.9th 99th 90th 0th
Percentile Percentile Percentile Percentile
Rank of Deal Size During 2014 – May 2020 Period from Largest to Smallest (Highest Percentile = Largest Deals)
Source: AVCJ, Asia Partners Analysis; includes technology and technology-related businesses
Growth across all check sizes, very strong year A sizeable decrease in upstream early-stage deals, Despite resilient funding for early-stage deals, a
for the overall tech ecosystem. Investor optimism and growth equity has fell accordingly. sizeable decrease in Series C/D funding.
35
due to a quick recovery from the pandemic. Bn$+ winners, meanwhile, continue to get funded. Bn$ winners, meanwhile, continue to get funded.
PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN CHINA TECH: 2018, 2019, 2020
Cumulative Amount of Private Capital Raised Throughout Each Year for China Tech and Tech-Enabled Businesses
(US$1-20M Deals)
$5,000
$4,500
+21% 2020
$4,000 Increase
(Full Year) 2018
$3,500 2019
$3,000
$2,500
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$16,000
2020
+47%
$14,000
Increase
(Full Year) 2018
$12,000
2019
$10,000
$8,000
$6,000
$4,000
$2,000
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$80,000 2018
$70,000
$60,000
2020
$30,000
$20,000
$10,000
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2019
$2,500 -22%
Decrease
(Full Year) 2020
$2,000 2018
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
-11% 2019
$6,000 Decrease 2020
(Full Year) 2018
$5,000
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2020
$25,000
+31%
Increase
(Full Year)
2019
$20,000
$15,000 2018
$10,000
$5,000
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
-2%
$1,000
Decrease 2019
(Full Year) 2020
$800
2018
$600
$400
$200
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
-17% 2019
$2,000
Decrease
(Full Year) 2020
$1,500
2018
$1,000
$500
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$6,000 +22%
Increase 2020
(Full Year) 2018
$5,000
2019
$4,000
$3,000
$2,000
$1,000
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$200
$150
2018
$100
$50
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$400
$300
$200
$100
2018
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Indonesia Alone
2018
$2,500
+42%
Increase
$2,000 (Full Year)
2020
$1,500
2019
$1,000
$500
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$500
$400
$300
$200
$100
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$1,400 - -20%
2019
Decrease
$1,200 (Full Year) 2020
2018
$1,000
$800
$600
$400
$200
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$4,000
- +14%
Increase 2020
$3,500
(Full Year)
2019
$3,000
$2,500
2018
$2,000
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
$25,000.00
$2,500.00
$250.00
$25.00
Looking back at
internet and software
IPOs over the past two
$2.50 decades, the vast
majority today have
over $25M in gross
profits – in most cases,
substantially larger
$0.25 than their gross profits
1995 at IPO 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
$2,500.00
$250.00
$25.00
$25,000.00
$2,500.00
$250.00
$25.00
“The Spike”
20.0x
A The closer a B As cash flows continue to
18.0x business gets to grow, the perceived potential
breakeven, the more for new additional cash-flow
16.0x
credibility it receives streams start to attenuate
14.0x
12.0x
10.0x
8.0x
6.0x
4.0x
2.0x
0.0x
-$200.0 -$100.0 $0.0 $100.0 $200.0 $300.0 $400.0 $500.0
$300
Telcos
Value Crossover
$30
Tech/Internet
$3
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis; 2020 is October 16, 2020 Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 59
…WHICH IS EXACTLY 11 YEARS AFTER WHEN THE CROSSOVER
HAPPENED IN CHINA, CONSISTENT WITH OUR THESIS
China: Aggregate Market Capitalization by Sector, US$ Billions
$10,000
Tech/Internet
Value Crossover
$1,000
Telcos
$100
$10
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 60
THE STRUGGLE FOR VALUE CAPTURE BETWEEN ‘RAILS AND
CARGO’ UNDERLIES EVERY TECH ECOSYSTEM
Aggregate Market Capitalization ($US Bn): Telcos* (Horizontal Axis) vs. Non-Hardware Tech Companies (Vertical Axis), 2005-2020
$10
$1
$10 $100 $1,000
The Rails: Evolution of Market Cap of Telcos ($US Bn)
* Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 61
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
MODEL 1 REGIONS: RAILS LOSE GROUND TO CARGO
Aggregate Market Capitalization ($US Bn): Telcos* (Horizontal Axis) vs. Non-Hardware Tech Companies (Vertical Axis), 2005-2020
Latin America
$10
Korea
Eastern Europe
$1
$10 $100 $1,000
The Rails: Evolution of Market Cap of Telcos ($US Bn)
* Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 62
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
MODEL 2 REGIONS: DÉTENTE BETWEEN RAILS AND CARGO
Aggregate Market Capitalization ($US Bn): Telcos* (Horizontal Axis) vs. Non-Hardware Tech Companies (Vertical Axis), 2005-2020
$1
$10 $100 $1,000
The Rails: Evolution of Market Cap of Telcos ($US Bn)
* Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 63
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
MODEL 3 REGIONS: RAILS SUCCEED
Aggregate Market Capitalization ($US Bn): Telcos* (Horizontal Axis) vs. Non-Hardware Tech Companies (Vertical Axis), 2005-2020
Japan
$100
$10
$1
$10 $100 $1,000
The Rails: Evolution of Market Cap of Telcos ($US Bn)
* Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Softbank classified as a Telco and is included in the data set, but other
Japanese telcos have also seen increases in market capitalization
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 64
SOUTHEAST ASIA IS AN INTERESTING MARKET WHICH HAS GONE
FROM MODEL 3 TO MODEL 1 STARTING IN 2014
Aggregate Market Capitalization ($US Bn): Telcos* (Horizontal Axis) vs. Non-Hardware Tech Companies (Vertical Axis), 2005-2020
* Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 65
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
AT A MORE GRANULAR LEVEL, THE NATURE OF ‘CARGO’ VARIES
DRAMATICALLY ACROSS ECOSYSTEMS
The ‘Big 7’ TMT Sectors
Telcos
Traditional Hardware
Media
Software IT Services
Traditional Hardware
Media
Software IT Services
100%
7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4%
90%
80% 7% 8% 8%
6% 9% 12%
12% 11% 13% 12% 12% 12%
10% 12% 12%
70% 16%
60%
43%
50% 56% 52% 51% 42% 40% 37% 42% 38% 40% 37%
54% 43% 39%
46% 35%
40%
30%
20%
32% 30% 30% 33% 31% 31% 31%
30% 29% 27%
24% 25% 26%
10% 22% 22% 22%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 68
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
SOUTH KOREA ECOSYSTEM DEVELOPMENT: 2005-2020
Mix of Aggregate Market Capitalization Over Time
Samsung, LG
100% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4%
90% 5% 6% 6%
7% 7% 7% 8% 10%
8% 9% 12% 12%
11% 12% 16%
80% 11%
70%
60%
67% 62%
50% 73% 63%
73% 74% 79%
74% 74%
68% 74% 73% 69% 74%
40% 66% 70%
30%
20%
10% 23%
19% 19%
15%
10% 10% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 7%
6% 5% 5% 4%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 69
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
SOME MARKETS ARE CLASSIC ‘MODEL 1s’ WITH TELCOS GIVING
WAY TO PRIMARILY INTERNET AND E-COMMERCE
The ‘Big 7’ TMT Sectors
Telcos
Traditional Hardware
Media
Software IT Services
100% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2%
5% 4% 4% 4% 4%
10% 8% 9%
12% 12% 0%
1%
90% 1%
1% 1% 12% 12%
2%
2% 2% 1% 6% 19% 17%
1% 1% 1% 1% 26% 24%
80%
2% 27%
0% 47% 29%
70% 2%
1%
49%
60% 1%
1%
50%
1%
91%
84% 87%
40% 82% 82% 81% 80% 80% 1%
73% 73%
67% 68%
30% 61%
57%
47%
20% 39%
10%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 71
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
LATAM ECOSYSTEM DEVELOPMENT: 2005-2020
Mix of Aggregate Market Capitalization Over Time
100% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0%
1%
0% 1%
0% 1% 1%
2% 3% 4% 5% 5%
3% 0% 2%
0% 2% 2%
5% 4% 3% 4%
90% 5% 11%
8% 6% 13%
11% 19%
12%
80% 13% 10%
14%
13% 34%
70%
15%
60%
20% 40%
10%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 72
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
AFRICA/MIDDLE EAST ECOSYSTEM DEVELOPMENT: 2005-2020
Mix of Aggregate Market Capitalization Over Time
Naspers Israel
100% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8%
7% 10% 12%
2% 3% 4% 17%
90% 3% 3% 2% 1% 7% 9% 8%
3% 10%
2% 14%
80% 2% 2% 18%
2% 21% 21%
2% 32% 26% 21%
70% 2% 23%
2% 2%
4%
60% 3%
3% 3%
50%
88% 88% 87%
84% 82%
40% 80% 80% 78%
74%
69% 66% 66%
30% 59% 60%
54% 55%
20%
10%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 73
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
INDIA HAS CARVED OUT A UNIQUE PATH IN IT SERVICES, WHICH
HAS BEEN REMARKABLY DURABLE OVER TIME
The ‘Big 7’ TMT Sectors
Telcos
Traditional Hardware
Media
Software IT Services
100% 3%
4% 6% 6% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% 4%
8% 8% 9% 8% 9%
90%
80%
70% 38%
38%
55%
60% 64% 58% 64%
63% 61% 69% 69% 76%
68% 69% 64% 80%
1% 76%
50% 2%
1%
4%
40%
1%
3%
30% 1%
2% 2% 2%
48% 1% 1% 1%
4% 43% 2% 2% 2% 3%
20% 1% 2% 2%
1% 1% 2% 2%
31% 1% 3%
26% 3% 1% 3%
10% 21% 22% 23% 21% 1% 1%
18% 16% 17% 16%
14% 13%
10% 10%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 75
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
CHINA HAS BEEN A ‘MODEL 1’ WITH A WELL DIVERSIFIED SHIFT
AWAY FROM TELCOS
The ‘Big 7’ TMT Sectors
Telcos
Traditional Hardware
Media
Software IT Services
100% 3% 3%
5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 4%
9% 8%
90% 5% 6%
10% 9%
80% 17%
17% 18% 19%
20% 12% 18%
15%
70% 28%
39%
36% 47% 49% 49%
60% 32% 52%
22% 22% 22%
27%
50%
25%
40%
68% 70% 22%
65% 65%
30% 26% 25%
25% 23%
47% 45% 45% 27%
20% 38% 27%
31%
10% 23%
17% 17% 15%
13% 10%
6%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 77
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
REVISITING THE RAILS AND CARGO MODEL: SOUTHEAST ASIA’S
EVOLUTION FROM ‘JAPAN TO CHINA’
Aggregate Market Capitalization ($US Bn): Telcos* (Horizontal Axis) vs. Non-Hardware Tech Companies (Vertical Axis), 2005-2020
* Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 78
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
SOUTHEAST ASIA’S ECOSYSTEM DEVELOPMENT: 2005-2020
Mix of Aggregate Market Capitalization Over Time Sea Ltd.
100%
9% 8% 8% 5%
10% 10% 9% 9% 11% 12% 11% 12% 10% 10%
15% 13%
90% 0% 0%
0% 0% 1% 0% 0%
6% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 4% 9%
11% 0%
80% 13% 11% 10% 12% 9%
7% 10% 14% 10%
13% 13% 31%
22% 13%
70%
60%
13%
50%
40% 82%
76% 77% 78% 75% 77% 75%
74% 73% 73%
70% 69% 69% 67%
30% 62%
47%
20%
10%
0%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Telcos Hardware Data and Data Processing Internet and E-Commerce IT Services Software Traditional Media
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 79
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
SOUTHEAST ASIA’S 2020 LOOKS REMARKABLY LIKE CHINA 2009
Mix of Aggregate Market Capitalization Over Time
100% 100% 5%
5%
90% 90%
80% 80% 17%
31%
70% 70%
60% 60% 22%
13%
50% 50%
40% 40%
30% 30%
47% 47%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2020 2009
Note: Telcos include wireless, wireline, and cable/satellite companies. Internet includes games. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 80
Source: Bloomberg , Asia Partners Analysis
CONTENTS
1.0000000% Singapore
Memo: India
Philippines
Malaysia
0.1000000% Indonesia
Thailand
0.0100000%
Memo: Taiwan
0.0010000% Vietnam
0.0001000%
0.0000100%
0.0000010%
0.0000001%
Jan '20 Feb '20 Mar '20 Apr '20 May '20 Jun '20 Jul '20 Aug '20 Sep '20 Oct '20 Nov '20 Dec '20 Jan '21
Source: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Asia Partners Calculations Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 82
OUTSIDE OF SINGAPORE, THE NUMBER OF ADMINISTERED COVID
TESTS IN THE REGION HAS SADLY LAGGED GLOBAL BENCHMARKS
# of COVID-19 tests performed as of January 2021 (Per 1,000 People)
800
600
400
0
United States Australia India Singapore Malaysia Philippines Thailand Indonesia Vietnam
Source: Our World In Data COVID database (Oxford Martin School), Asia Partners Analysis 83
ID AND PH CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH HIGH POSITIVE TEST-
RATES, AN IMPORTANT LAGGING INDICATOR OF THE PANDEMIC
Positive Test Rate (%) (# of diagnosed / # of tests performed)
Jan ’20 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Indonesia 0% 0% 7% 17% 11% 11% 13% 15% 16% 14% 13% 15%
Vietnam 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southeast Asia
Philippines 0% 0% 0% 5% 4% 6% 7% 12% 9% 7% 6% 8%
Malaysia 0% 0% 8% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 3% 5% 3%
Singapore 0% 0% 0% 11% 9% 3% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1%
Thailand 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
United
0% 0% 5% 17% 7% 4% 7% 6% 5% 5% 9% 8%
States
Others
Australia 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
India 0% 0% 1% 4% 5% 7% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 6%
-7pp
4% 6% 5% 4% -6%
Malaysia
-10pp
7% 7% 6% 6%
Philippines -8%
-14pp
5% 5% 5% 5%
-1%
Indonesia
-6pp
3% 4% 4% 2% -7%
Thailand
-9pp
7% 7% 7% 7%
2%
Vietnam -5pp
Source: International Monetary Fund Database, Asia Partners Analysis Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 85
FORTUNATELY, THE ECONOMIC IMPACT IS PREDICTED TO BE
SHORT-TERM; A REBOUND IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED FOR 2021
Growth in GDP, Constant Prices (%) 2-year avg -0.5% Growth in GDP Per Capita (%) 2-year avg +1%
15% 15%
+11pp +14pp
SINGAPORE
10% 10%
MALAYSIA
5% World 5% 8% World
5%
0% 0%
-6% World -6% World
-5% -5%
-10% -10%
2020E 2021E 2020E 2021E
Growth in GDP Per Capita (%) 2-year avg -0.5% Growth in GDP Per Capita (%) 2-year avg +2.5%
10% 10%
INDONESIA
5% 7% World 5% World
6%
0% 0% -1%
-5% -8% World -5% World
-10% -10%
-15% -15%
2020E 2021E 2020E 2021E
Growth in GDP Per Capita (%) 2-year avg -1.5% Growth in GDP Per Capita (%) 2-year avg +4.5%
15% 15%
+5pp
10% +11pp 10%
THAILAND
VIETNAM
5% World 5% 7% World
0% 4% 0% +2%
-5% -7% -5%
World World
-10% -10%
-15% -15%
2020E 2021E 2020E 2021E
Indonesia
Singapore
Thailand
Malaysia
Philippines
“Could it happen
again, in our lifetime?”
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000
Calendar Year
Note: Major pandemics only, defined as those with mortality of >1 million. COVID-19 related deaths up to January 13th, 2021.
89
Source: CDC, WHO, BBC, Historical Records, Encyclopedia Britannica, Johns Hopkins University, Asia Partners Analysis
LOOKING AT THE PAST 200 YEARS ALONE, THERE HAS BEEN AN
OUTBREAK WITH OVER 1M FATALITIES EVERY 50+ YEARS
Timeline of Prior Pandemics (since 1800)
Mortality Rate as a % of the World Population At That time (%)
10.000%
Average: 56 Years
Third Plague
Death Toll = 12m Spanish Flu
Death Toll = 45m
1.000%
Cholera Pandemic
Death Toll = 1m
Russian Flu Asian Flu COVID-19
Death Toll = 1m Hong Kong Flu Death Toll =
Death Toll = 1.1m
0.100% Death Toll = 1m 1.96m*
73 5 29 38 12 50
Years Years Years Years Years Years
0.010%
1817 1834 1851 1868 1885 1902 1919 1936 1953 1970 1987 2004 2021
Note: Major pandemics only, defined as those with mortality of >1 million. COVID-19 related deaths up to January 13th, 2021. SARS outbreak for example, has not been included in the dataset 90
due to its thankfully smaller scale. Source: CDC, WHO, BBC, Historical Records, Encyclopedia Britannica, Johns Hopkins University, Asia Partners Analysis
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT, OVER LONG PERIODS OF TIME, WE ARE
GETTING BETTER AT RESPONDING TO THEM
History of the Pandemics
Mortality Rate as a % of the World Population At That Time (%)
100.00000%
Plague of Black
Justinian Death
New World
10.00000% Smallpox
Antonine Spanish
Plague Flu
Pandemic mortality rates
have been generally declining
Japanese
Smallpox Third
1.00000%
Plague
Italian
Plague Asian
Flu
0.10000% Cholera
Pandemic
Russian
Flu
Hong
Kong Flu COVID-19
0.01000%
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000
Note: Major pandemics only, defined as those with mortality of >1 million. COVID-19 related deaths up to January 13th, 2021.
Source: CDC, WHO, BBC, Historical Records, Encyclopedia Britannica, Johns Hopkins University, Asia Partners Analysis 91
CONTENTS
Indexed # of Visitors To Each Location Type (0 = mid February 2020) SOUTHEAST ASIA
EXAMPLE
10
0 Grocery &
Pharmacy
-10
Workplace
Parks
-20 Retail
Public
-30 Transport
Hubs
-40
-50
-60
-70
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
Film /
Online Games
Television
Parks Consumer
Online Content
Electronics
Inventory Marketplace
eCommerce eCommerce
Retail eCommerce
Payments
Logistics
Film /
Online Games
Television
Parks Consumer
Online Content
Electronics
Inventory Marketplace
eCommerce eCommerce
Retail eCommerce
Payments
Logistics
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Singapore 0 0 0 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Indonesia 0 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
Southeast Asia
Thailand 0 0 1 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Philippines 0 0 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Malaysia 0 0 2 3 3 3 2 2 1 2 3 NA
Vietnam 0 3 3 3 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 3
United States 0 0 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Others
Australia 0 0 1 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 0
India 0 0 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 0
Required Required
Legend 0 No Measures 1 Recommended 2 3
(Only at Some Level) (All Levels)
1.6 90%
At one point, over 83% of
Billions
70%
1.2
60%
1.0
50%
0.8
40%
0.6
30%
0.4
20%
0.2 10%
0.0 0%
98
Source: UNESCO COVID-19 Impact on Education Visualization Data, Asia Partners Analysis
1 …FORCING LEARNERS TO GO ONLINE
Education-tech was one of the largest themes in FY2020…
SNAPASK EXAMPLE
Total Registered Students on Snapask Total Revenue for Snapask
~40% ~45%
Consistent Consistent
growth across growth across
multiple markets multiple markets
Film /
Online Games
Television
Parks Consumer
Online Content
Electronics
Inventory Marketplace
eCommerce eCommerce
Retail eCommerce
Payments
Logistics
30
20
10 Residential
Grocery &
0
Pharmacy
-10
Workplace
Parks
-20 Retail
Public
-30 Transport
Hubs
-40
-50
-60
-70
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
120
Driving
80
Walking
60
40
20
0
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 103
Source: Apple Mobility Trends, Asia Partners Analysis
2 CAR MARKETPLACES HAVE BEEN A NET BENEFICIARY GLOBALLY
250
200
150
100
50
0
Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20
CARSOME EXAMPLE
Monthly Units Transacted on Carsome (All Countries) Spread Earned Per Transaction (All Countries)
~2x ~2x
>100% growth in
multiple countries
(MY, ID, & TH)
Film /
Online Games
Television
Parks Consumer
Online Content
Electronics
Inventory Marketplace
eCommerce eCommerce
Retail eCommerce
Payments
Logistics
Weekly Average, Frequency of International Flights In and Out of Weekly Average, Frequency of Domestic Flights Within Indonesia
Indonesia By Year (FY19 vs. FY20) By Year (FY19 vs. FY20)
5 -66% 18 -14%
Thousands
Thousands
5 16
4
14
4
12
3
10
3
8
2
6
2
4
1
1 2
0 0
FY19 FY20 FY19 FY20
“International tourist arrivals were down 56% globally from “As markets start to slowly reopen, we’re confident there will be a
January to March, compared to 2019. Including a 47% drop for gradual recovery led by domestic travel demand, which will
America, 58% drop for Europe, and 60% drop for Asia Pacific” drive most of the initial uptake as countries gradually lift the
lockdown measures.”
- World Economic Forum - Amit Saberwal, Founder & CEO (RedDoorz)
107
Source: OAG Database, Asia Partners Analysis, World Economic Forum, Deal Street Asia
3 INDONESIAN DOMESTIC TRAVEL SAW A DECLINE UNTIL JULY,
BUT RECOVERED RELATIVELY QUICKLY
Weekly Frequency of Flights, Indexed Values (Index 100 = FY19 Average) INDONESIA EXAMPLE
Domestic
100 Index = 100 Flights
Already at
96% of pre-
COVID
80 levels
60
40
Int.
20 Flights
Still 13% of
pre-COVID
levels
0
108
Source: OAG database, Asia Partners analysis | Note: Excluding outlier data on the month of June
3 AND WITHIN INDONESIAN DOMESTIC TRAVEL, BUSINESS
TRAVEL HAS SEEN A MUCH QUICKER REBOUND IN DEMAND
Weekly Frequency of Flights Into City Type, Indexed Values (Index 100 = FY19 Average) INDONESIA EXAMPLE
110
Business
100 Index = 100
Cities
Basically, at
90 pre-COVID
levels already
80
70 Leisure
Cities
60 Still 47% below
pre-COVID
50
DEFINITIONS USED
40
Business Cities Leisure Cities
Flights into… Flights into…
30
Jakarta Denpasar-Bali
20 Surabaya
Yogyakarta
Medan
10 Balikpapan Bandung
109
Source: OAG database, Asia Partners analysis | Note: Excluding outlier data on the month of June
3 A SAFE HARBOR: HOTELS ON THE REDDOORZ PLATFORM
HAVE HAD HIGHER OCCUPANCY THAN INDEPENDENT HOTELS
RedDoorz is the leading online asset-light affordable hotel brand in Southeast Asia. It has over 1,800 properties under its management and
is focused on the resilient budget hotel segment in the region, mainly targeting domestic business travelers in the region. It is currently
present in 5 markets with Indonesia being its core market.
RedDoorz Industry
industry
2nd
lockdown
enforced
RedDoorz
~21p.p. higher
than industry
at trough
Mar01
Mar08
Mar15
Mar22
Mar29
Apr05
Apr12
Apr19
Apr26
May03
May10
May17
May24
May31
Jun07
Jun14
Jun21
Jun28
Jul05
Jul12
Jul19
Jul26
Aug02
Aug09
Aug16
Aug23
Aug30
Sep06
Sep13
Sep20
Sep27
Oct04
Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q3 2020 Q4 20
Note: Preliminary occupancy data based on Business-Intelligence Data for RedDoorz. Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 110
Source: STR Hotel Database, RedDoorz Internal Data, Asia Partners Analysis.
3 SOUTHEAST ASIA’S RESILIENCE HAS BEEN EVEN MORE
ROBUST THAN AIRBNB’S GLOBAL DATA
Quarterly Nights (Airbnb) Quarterly Nights (RedDoorz)
Values are Indexed (Q1 19 = 100) Values are Indexed (Q1 19 = 100)
100 Q1 19 100 Q1 19
50 50
0 0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20
111
Source: RedDoorz Internal Data, Airbnb S1 Filing, Asia Partners Analysis.
3 WHICH HAS PERMITTED REDDOORZ TO GROW REVENUES IN
EVERY QUARTER OF 2020, ENTIRELY ORGANICALLY
RedDoorz Net Revenue (Indexed)
(Q4 2020 Revenue = 100)
100
2019 2020
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
Record-high
for the
10 Company
0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Note: Q4 2020 data is based on preliminary business-intelligence data and is subject to change when actual books are closed.
Source: RedDoorz Internal Data, Asia Partners Analysis. 112
4 BONUS: A PRELIMINARY EMERGING VIEW ON ONLINE HEALTH
Film /
Online Games
Television
Parks Consumer
Online Content
Electronics
Inventory Marketplace
eCommerce eCommerce
Retail eCommerce
Payments
Logistics
-10%
Thailand
(Before COVID-19 vs. July 2020)
-20% Vietnam
-30%
-40% Malaysia
Singapore
-50%
Indonesia
-60%
-70%
Philippines
-80%
Delta in Telehealth Consultations in Southeast Asia Willingness of Healthcare Professionals to continue using Telemedicine
(before COVID-19 vs. during COVID-19 lockdown) post COVID-19 (% of doctors who have used Telemedicine)
100%
"As hospitals are already packed, the government
~6x wants to ensure only priority patients are going
to emergency rooms and that patients who 90%
don't urgently need hospitalization can be
helped online“ 80%
- Southeast Asia Telehealth Entrepreneur
70%
~4x 60%
~4x ~4x
~3x 50%
~3x
40%
30%
20%
Continue using post the pandemic
10%
Discontinue using post the pandemic
0%
100% 2%
6% 4%
9%
15%
90% 17%
14% 17%
29%
80%
22% Majority 33% 12%
70% use video
conference
60% tools in
21% ID and
VN
50% 28% 17%
0%
Malaysia Indonesia Vietnam Philippines Singapore Thailand
App-based Telemedicine Facebook Messenger Zoom Skype Zalo Others
Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 116
Source: IQVIA, Asia Partners analysis
IN ADDITION TO TELEHEALTH, A NEAR-TERM OPPORTUNITY LIES
IN E-PHARMACY AS OFFLINE VOLUMES ARE IMPACTED NEGATIVELY
Overall transaction volumes from offline Overall transaction volumes from offline
‘Pharmacy Chains’ (Index = 100) ‘Independent Drugstores’ (Index = 100)
-38% -37%
100 100
90 90
80 80
70 70
60 60
50 50
40 40
30 30
20 20
10 10
0 0
Before COVID-19 Jul-20 Before COVID-19 Jul-20
“During the pandemic, the public has resorted to online “The pandemic has prompted pharmacies to introduce more
channels to purchase medicine or other health products… convenient ways to interact and gain access to patients...
online applications not only provides benefits to the society, but Delivery services that minimize person-to-person contact, online
it also provides plenty of benefits to Doctors who are pharmacist-patient communication and the adoption of
overwhelmed with the current state of COVID-19” contactless payment are here to stay.”
200
150
100
50
0
Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20 Jul-20 Aug-20 Sep-20 Oct-20 Nov-20 Dec-20
200%
January
190% 2021: 193%
180% Previous
170% Maximum:
160% 147%
150%
140%
130%
120%
110%
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
'71 '73 '75 '77 '79 '81 '83 '85 '87 '89 '91 '93 '95 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15 '17 '19 '21
$70 $60
90%
$60 $50
80%
$50 $40
$40 70%
$30
$30
60%
$20
$20
$10 50%
$10
$0 $0 40%
'03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15 '17 '19 '21 '23 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15 '17 '19 '21 '23 '03 '05 '07 '09 '11 '13 '15 '17 '19 '21 '23
Source: Bloomberg, IMF WEO, Asia Partners Calculations (January 2021) Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 122
ROOT CAUSE ANALYSIS?
U.S. Federal Reserve balance sheet as percentage of U.S. GDP, 1990-2020
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
'90 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22
Max Market Cap Cumulative Year of CF Cumulative Fundraising to CF Breakeven Ent Val at CF Breakeven
Name Country Industry 2000-Present Cash Burn Breakeven Equity Debt Total Value EV/Cumul. Burn
MICROSOFT CORP United States Infrastructure Software $1,636,923 Minimal Late 1970s $1 $0 $1 Pre-IPO >100x
AMAZON.COM INC United States Online Marketplace $1,569,884 -$821 2001 $303 $2,053 $2,355 $5,213 6.4x
ALPHABET INC-CL A United States Internet Media & Services $1,200,483 ~$25 2001 ? ? ? Pre-IPO High
FACEBOOK INC-CLASS A United States Internet Media & Services $788,835 -$476 2009 $868 $241 $1,109 $10,000 21.0x
TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD China Internet Media & Services $744,210 Minimal ~2001 $1 $0 $1 Pre-IPO High
ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING-SP ADR China Online Marketplace $705,738 ? ? ? ? ? Pre-IPO High
VISA INC-CLASS A SHARES United States Data & Transaction Processors $463,003 ? 1960s-70s ? ? ? Pre-IPO ?
MASTERCARD INC - A United States Data & Transaction Processors $334,000 ? 1960s-70s ? ? ? Pre-IPO ?
MEITUAN-CLASS B China Specialty Online Retailers $232,042 -$2,754 2018 $3,843 $7,822 $11,666 $23,874 8.7x
SALESFORCE.COM INC United States Application Software $227,054 Minimal ~2003 $18 ? $18 Pre-IPO High
ADOBE INC United States Application Software $225,151 ? Pre-1989 ? ? ? Pre-IPO High
PAYPAL HOLDINGS INC United States Data & Transaction Processors $221,005 -$127 2001 $175 $0 $175 $791 6.2x
NETFLIX INC United States Internet Media & Services $213,316 -$54 2000 $102 $3 $105 Pre-IPO High
ORACLE CORP United States Infrastructure Software $197,480 -$87 1990 $85 $99 $184 $2,672 30.8x
INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP United States IT Services $192,472 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
PINDUODUO INC-ADR China Specialty Online Retailers $181,189 Minimal 2016 $78 $0 $78 Pre-IPO N/A
PROSUS NV Netherlands Internet Media & Services $171,242 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
ACCENTURE PLC-CL A Ireland IT Services $153,416 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
SAP SE Germany Application Software $148,065 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
JD.COM INC-ADR China Online Marketplace $144,096 -$549 2015 $4,501 $1,016 $5,517 $42,057 76.6x
TATA CONSULTANCY SVCS LTD India IT Services $134,547 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
ZOOM VIDEO COMMUNICATIONS-A United States Application Software $114,787 -$29 2017 $160 $0 $100 Pre-IPO High
YAHOO! INC United States Internet Media & Services $113,901 -$11 1997 $116 $0 $116 $3,033 268.3x
SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A Canada Application Software $112,110 -$64 2018 $2,084 $0 $2,084 $13,328 207.0x
SERVICENOW INC United States Infrastructure Software $99,113 -$20 2010 $24 $0 $24 Pre-IPO High
INTUIT INC United States Application Software $93,452 -$87 2001 $941 -$10 $930 $5,990 68.9x
NASPERS LTD-N SHS South Africa Internet Media & Services $90,102 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
FIDELITY NATIONAL INFO SERV United States Data & Transaction Processors $89,800 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
SEA LTD-ADR Singapore Video Games and E-Commerce $88,495 -$2,737 2022? $3,006 $2,272 $5,277 $85,833 31.4x
FUJITSU LTD Japan IT Services $88,356 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
AMERICA ONLINE LLC United States Internet Media & Services $84,742 -$183 1997 $462 $45 $507 $5,503 30.1x
BOOKING HOLDINGS INC United States Internet Media & Services $84,075 -$194 2000 $327 $0 $327 $510 2.6x
UBER TECHNOLOGIES INC United States Internet Media & Services $83,973 -$23,572 2022? $19,155 $5,434 $24,589 $89,118 3.8x
KE HOLDINGS INC China Internet Media & Services $82,929 >$1bn 2017 >$1.3bn $144 >$1.5bn Pre-IPO ?
S&P GLOBAL INC United States Information Services $82,266 ? Long Ago ? ? ? ? ?
BAIDU INC - SPON ADR China Internet Media & Services $79,928 -$6 ~2004 $31 $0 $31 $1,961 344.1x
SQUARE INC - A United States Data & Transaction Processors $79,901 -$779 2016 $1,357 $0 $1,357 $4,459 5.7x
EBAY INC United States Online Marketplace $77,123 -$31 1999 $788 $3 $791 $32,440 1061.0x
Source: Bloomberg, Asia Partners Analysis and Rough Estimates Asia Partners Confidential | February 2021 125
WHICH IS WHY WE REITERATE OUR PHILOSOPHICAL AVERSION
TO CASH-BURNING, LOW CAPITAL PRODUCTIVITY ‘UNICORNS’
Asia Partners is a growth equity firm focusing on investments in technology and technology-enabled companies that are transforming Southeast Asia’s economy. Our mission is to help Southeast Asian
entrepreneurs build a new generation of large tech companies by providing them with vital growth equity to help proven business models scale regionally, and to provide them with operating skills
while drawing upon our own experience growing eight multi-billion dollar companies, including Sea, Flipkart, and Bukalapak.
Our co-founding Partners, Nick Nash and Oliver Rippel, helped to navigate two of Emerging Asia’s most notable exits – the largest internet IPO from Southeast Asia (Sea), and the largest technology
exit in Asia’s history (Flipkart). Our team members have invested in or helped to lead 24 companies in Southeast Asia over the past decade, and include Singaporean, Thai, Indonesian, and Vietnamese
nationals, authentically helping our companies expand across the region.
For more information please visit our website at www.asiapartners.com or contact us at info@asiapartners.com.
The information in this document has not been reviewed or approved by any authority in any jurisdiction. Further, this document is for informational purposes only, and is not intended to be, nor shall
it be, construed as financial, legal, tax, investment or other advice, a recommendation to make an investment or adopt any investment strategy, or an offer, solicitation or recommendation to buy or sell
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or otherwise, can be accepted for the content or accuracy or completeness of this document or any omission from this document. Accordingly, recipients may not rely on this document for any purpose
and should obtain independent professional advice with respect thereto.
Asia Partners does not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the research set out in this document. Opinions expressed are subject to change without
notice. Any opinions contained in this document do not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is for the
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